🔗Blockchain Fundamentals - Fee Ratio Multiple by Cryptorhythms🔗Blockchain Fundamentals - Fee Ratio Multiple by Cryptorhythms
Intro
Back with the next indicator in the Blockchain Fundamentals Series! Hope everyone is enjoying using these as much as I enjoyed porting them to tradingview. This one is not a buy / sell signal, but useful none the less. Created by Matteo Leibowitz.
Description
Fee Ratio Multiple (FRM), which seeks to measure the transaction fee revenue growth required for dis-inflationary Proof of Work chains to maintain existing security levels once block rewards are fully phased out. A high FRM suggests that a network will have to maintain inflationary block rewards in order to sustain security, whilst a low FRM suggests that a network can maintain existing security levels while simultaneously achieving low inflation. The latter outcome is arguably more desirable for a long term Store of Value and protection against inflationary government-controlled currencies.
FRM is explicitly about security, which should be considered the foundational layer of the chain stack. By looking at FRM we can deduce how secure chains will be once block rewards disappear. Further, FRM implicitly measures the strength of an assets properties as a Store of Value.
A low FRM suggests that an asset can maintain its current security budget (miner revenue) without having to rely on an inflationary subsidy.
Conversely, a high FRM suggests that an asset will require heavy inflation via block reward subsidies in order to maintain its existing security budget.
I suggest everyone read the article here for further clarification on what this indicator means and how to use it: medium.com
👍 Enjoying this indicator or find it useful? Please give me a like and follow! I post crypto analysis, price action strategies and free indicators regularly.
💬 Questions? Comments? Want to get access to an entire suite of proven trading indicators? Come visit us on telegram and chat, or just soak up some knowledge. We make timely posts about the market, news, and strategy everyday. Our community isn't open only to subscribers - everyone is welcome to join.
For Trialers & Chat: t.me
Blockchain
🔗Blockchain Fundamentals - PUELL MULTIPLE! by Cryptorhythms🔗Blockchain Fundamentals - PUELL MULTIPLE! by Cryptorhythms
Intro
The PUELL MULTIPLE! is a way to gauge market cycles from a mining profitability / compulsory sellers' perspective. It takes total miner revenue and adjusts by its yearly moving average. Calculation = mining revenue / 365-day simple moving average of mining revenue.
(The indicator is written that way in all caps at the request of its Creator David Puell)
Still over half a dozen blockchain based indicators to come (follow me and dont miss them!)
IS THE BOTTOM IN ?
The PUELL MULTIPLE! seems to suggest it is. With an insanely accurate call history this is a long term bitcoin maximalists dream indicator. You're welcome!
Extras
As usual we took care of you with some selectable options for the MA type and length so you can experiment.
Want more information?
For a better write up that I could do, check out this thread here: medium.com
👍 Enjoying this indicator or find it useful? Please give me a like and follow! I post crypto analysis, price action strategies and free indicators regularly.
💬 Questions? Comments? Want to get access to an entire suite of proven trading indicators? Come visit us on telegram and chat, or just soak up some knowledge. We make timely posts about the market, news, and strategy everyday. Our community isn't open only to subscribers - everyone is welcome to join.
For Trialers & Chat: t.me
🔗Blockchain Fundamentals - BTC Network Momentum - Cryptorhythms🔗Blockchain Fundamentals - Bitcoin Network Momentum by Cryptorhythms
Description
Network Momentum is a view created by PositiveCrypto which looks into the value transmitted through the Bitcoin blockchain denominated in BTC value plotted against Bitcoin`s price. It serves as a leading indicator of Bitcoin bull markets. Sufficiently high levels of value throughput is needed drive bull markets.
Network Momentum, if it was corrected for Bitcoin`s expanding token supply, would essentially be Bitcoin Velocity. In other words an inverse chart of NVT Ratio.
Bitcoin Network Momentum is another piece of the puzzle to help our understanding of Bitcoin fundamentals and their impact on price. Bitcoin Network Momentum looks at the relationship between Bitcoin’s price and the BTC value of daily transactions flowing through the blockchain.
It is important to note here that we are using the BTC daily value flowing through the blockchain, not the USD daily value which NVT Signal uses.
What we see when we look at this is that the BTC value of daily transactions acts as a leading indicator of Bitcoin’s major market phases.
Extras
We give you the option of changing the median price lookback length
👍 Enjoying this indicator or find it useful? Please give me a like and follow! I post crypto analysis, price action strategies and free indicators regularly.
💬 Questions? Comments? Want to get access to an entire suite of proven trading indicators? Come visit us on telegram and chat, or just soak up some knowledge. We make timely posts about the market, news, and strategy everyday. Our community isn't open only to subscribers - everyone is welcome to join.
For Trialers & Chat: t.me
🔗Blockchain Fundamentals - Bitcoin Velocity by Cryptorhythms🔗Blockchain Fundamentals - Bitcoin Velocity by Cryptorhythms
Description
The velocity of money is the rate at which money is exchanged in an economy. It is the number of times that money moves from one transaction to another. It also refers to how much a unit of currency is used in a given period of time. Simply put, it's the rate at which people spend currency. The velocity of money is usually measured as a ratio of gross national product (GNP) to a country's total supply of money, in traditional markets.
Here is the formula proposed by twitter user PositiveCrypto, implemented for you here on tradingview.
How does it relate to Bitcoin?
Is bitcoin trending towards savings or payments? This can help you decide. It is similar to Bitcoin Network Momentum, except this takes into account bitcoins increasing supply.
Low velocity implies HODLing and Speculation on future value. People looking at bitcoin as a longer term investment.
Higher velocity indicates currency changing hands faster. Perhaps as an indication of adoption pushing bitcoin towards a payment/transaction usage.
Opinions and Hypothesis
In the midst of the last bear market we saw velocity spike, perhaps as people gave up on investments and starting using it for payments.
As the 2017 bull run sucked in more buyers at higher and higher retail prices, velocity decreased, perhaps as those people did not want to sell at a loss.
As we entered the big dip in Nov 2018 velocity began increasing, as some capitulated and others were drawn into the market by lower prices.
Extras
I added in additional functionality so you can change the moving average from SMA to a few other choices (more MA's to choose from coming soon in future update). I also added a variable to change the length of said MA to your desired value so you may experiment. You can also chose to display as a line or area plot depending on preference.
👍 Enjoying this indicator or find it useful? Please give me a like and follow! I post crypto analysis, price action strategies and free indicators regularly.
💬 Questions? Comments? Want to get access to an entire suite of proven trading indicators? Come visit us on telegram and chat, or just soak up some knowledge. We make timely posts about the market, news, and strategy everyday. Our community isn't open only to subscribers - everyone is welcome to join.
For Trialers & Chat: t.me
🔗 Blockchain Fundamentals - Thermocap by Cryptorhythms🔗 Blockchain Fundamentals - Thermocap (Marketcap Alternative) by Cryptorhythms
Description
Market capitalization is an indicator for assessing the value of equity in companies. Crypto has inherited the metric from stocks and is having a hard time trying to get rid of it. Problems here are:
Market Cap takes into account all coins distributed so far, not distinguishing lost coins within the circulating supply (or coins intended to be hodled for long periods).
The point is: if a cryptocurrency has a market cap of $1 billion, it doesn’t mean that $1 billion has flown into that asset. One can create a billion coins; sell 2 of them for $2; and thus pump into CoinMarketCap an excess of $999.999.998 in relation to the actual amount that asset has been traded for.
A more appropriate measure of network value was recently put forth by Nic Carter. Remember capital flows in crypto generally do not come in via exchanges (miners notably like to sell OTC). Every buy in an exchange is matched by a sell. Money that comes in = money that goes out.
True inflows (in Bitcoin, at least) are the aggregate of resources spent by miners. And a good proxy for that is the amount these folks are earning back from networks they support in return for their investments. That’s aggregate security spend (or Thermocap): what was actually paid out to miners (coinbase transactions * their price in USD at the time they were mined).
What does it portray?
A more effective measure of wealth in illiquid markets. How much the network has been worth to its maintainers, in cash flows.
🔗 Blockchain Fundamentals - NVU Ratio by Cryptorhythms🔗 Blockchain - NVU (Network Value to User) Ratio by Cryptorhythms
Introduction
Please note this is not an indicator that gives you buy and sell signals, its for bitcoin blockchain based fundamental analysis and valuation metrics.
Description
Blockchains have network effects.
The classic example of network effects is Facebook: every person who gets on Facebook makes the network a little more valuable for every other person on Facebook.
As the number of users in a network grows, the more valuable the network becomes. That’s why the most powerful companies in the world today are network companies: Facebook, Apple, Google. The old-school “blue chip” companies don’t have the benefits of network effects. (When a new customer buys your toothpaste, it doesn’t make toothpaste more valuable for everyone else.)
Blockchain assets (like bitcoin) are essentially networks. The more people who use a blockchain asset (like bitcoin), the more valuable that blockchain becomes. One way that analysts value network companies (like Facebook and Twitter) is by looking at Network Value per User. We take their market cap, then divide by their number of Monthly Active Users.
Of the top social media networks, the Value Per User generally ranges from $25 to $250. These values have fluctuated over time, but they give us some guard rails. Of the blockchains we can track, the Network Value per User is typically $1,000 and $5,000 per user. This makes sense, as we would expect blockchain NVU to be higher than social media NVU, since blockchain users are much more valuable—they’re not just mindless ad-consuming machines, like on Facebook.
The caveat is that Value Per User depends on knowing Monthly Active Users, which is not available for all blockchain assets. Blockchains that have this level of transparency will have better valuation metrics, which means they will become more trusted, and thus more highly valued.
Bitcoin Network MomentumBitcoin Network Momentum is a leading indicator that relates On-Chain Transactional Volume (measured in BTC)with the evolution of the Bitcoin Price.
Further resources:
Woobull charts
Medium article
Credits: PositiveCrypto
NVT Signal with RMA and thresholds [alertable]NVT Signal, or NVTS, is an indicator that compares the market cap of Bitcoin to the aggregate USD value of daily transactions on the Bitcoin blockchain. It is a value indicator that shows a multiple of Bitcoin price against the actual usage of its blockchain. When the NVTS is low, it suggests Bitcoin price is low relative to the amount of utility the network provides, and vice versa.
For more information on NVTS, visit medium.com
This indicator aims to provide the following:
1. An open-source implementation of NVTS on Tradingview, as the most popular one currently is closed-source.
2. To provide two simple ways to define and visualize "overbought" or "oversold" conditions using the NVTS. Here, we have absolute value of NVTS & deviation from a long-term moving average.
3. Crude integration into Tradingview's alert system.
What this indicator CANNOT do:
1. Timeframes below 1d.
2. Signals based on statistical analyses, such as seen in Bollinger Bands et al. (However, with the appropriate type of account, you can add BBands on top of this indicator.)
I would like to express my gratitude to Willy Woo, Chris Burniske and Dimitry Kalichkin for their work on NVT Ratio and NVT Signal, without which my indicator would not have been created.
Feel free to fork & improve, or experiment with settings. I hope this indicator will be useful to someone.
Bitcoin Fundamentals - Mining IncomePlot the Bitcoin Mining Income in USD or BTC terms.
This Blockchain Indicator is a very useful helper tool to elaborate on Fundamental Studies.
BTC exchange trade vol / on-chain transaction volThis Bitcoin indicator shows the percentage that the exchange traded volume is from the sum of the exchange traded volume + on-chain transaction volume.
The thin red line is the non-smoothed value calculated from daily volumes.
The thick black line is the 7-day EMA-smoothed value.
The exchange traded volume and the on-chain transaction volume are reported by Quandl and have a 1D resolution - so it is best to use this indicator on the daily time frame.
When the value is high, it shows the the interest of traders is high and they are intensely trading BTC. When the indicator is low, it means that BTC is "dormant": it is used for transfers, but not so much for trading - traders forgot about it for a while - which may be a good time to accumulate if the economy is in a general bull market.
Mining Cash Flow LineTakes QUANDL Bitcoin blockchain difficulty data, three variables (hashrate in THs/sec, power consumption in kWh, and electricity costs in cents/kWh) and calculates the base line for cash flow in US dollars. The default is an AntMiner S15 at 10 cents/kWh.
When price is above this line, miners with the given conditions have positive cash flow (i.e. they make more money mining than their running costs), and when below the line, they would be better off turning their rigs off (if this simple model can be applied to their particular circumstance).
Assumptions:
1. All costs are consolidated into one "electricity cost" variable, including things like rent and wages for mining farms.
2. 12.5 BTC/block emission schedule (update source code upon next halving).
Warnings:
It is likely that actual costs to miners varies in complex ways. This indicator only shows a cash flow calculation for a very simple set of parameters that will generally apply to miners, but not necessarily all of them. (For example, a miner may be locked into a prepaid contract for cheap electricity, or sell exhaust heat in the winter for extra revenue.)
Positive cash flow is also different from ROI, as this model does not take into account the cost of acquiring an ASIC mining rig.
🔗 Blockchain Rhythms by Cryptorhythms🎼 Blockchain Rhythms v1.0 by Cryptorhythms
This indicator and data plot suite is for bitcoin BTCUSD analysis over longer periods and higher time frames. 🚨For this to plot anything you must use on Daily or higher timeframe🚨 .
You want to have an alternative to the typical technical indicators you see everywhere? This is it. Seen crypto twitter talking about/using all sorts of indicators you have never seen before on tradingview? Here you go. Are you a long term investor and not a short term speculator?... I think you get the picture...
With the wealth of data here, I cannot go into a fully detailed analysis for every indicator. Please make liberal use of google and as always DYOR before trading on a system you have never used.
These indicators are best observed versus a logarithmic price scale. If I have missed any indicators you think should be in here let me know! Let me preempt that by saying MVRV and UTXO Age Distribution are not possible to create on Tradingview at this time.
🚧Error Screen:
If you see this you need to choose a data-point or indicator to plot!
⌚If you are loading this indicator with alot of chart history shown (as in the example screenshots) it may take up to a minute to load.
Please note: some of the screenshots below show chart title plots which I subsequently had to remove due to limitations. If you would like a title for all the plot, simple use the Indicator Labels checkbox option located in the scales tab of chart settings.
[b📊 Fundamental Blockchain Indicators
NVT Signal & Ratio
Both are related. NVT / NVT Signal can be interpreted as the strength of market confidence in the means of payment / settlement layer narrative. A “measure of the chain’s strength as a payment network compared to its market value — a low NVT may suggest that a network is undervalued compared to the service it is providing as a settlement layer” (Matteo Leibowitz).
💰NVT Ratio:
NVT Ratio (Network Value to Transactions Ratio) is similar to the PE Ratio used in equity markets.
When Bitcoin`s NVT is high, it indicates that its network valuation is outstripping the value being transmitted on its payment network, this can happen when the network is in high growth and investors are valuing it as a high return investment, or alternatively when the price is in an unsustainable bubble.
🚦NVT Signal:
NVT Signal (NVTS) is a derivative of NVT Ratio created by Dimitry Kalichkin. This indicator provides more emphasis on predictive signaling ahead of price peaks.
🚀Bitcoin Velocity
Velocity is a measure of how quickly money is circulating in the economy. Is bitcoin trending towards savings or payments? This can help you decide. It is similar to Bitcoin Network Momentum, except this takes into account bitcoins increasing supply.
🏃Bitcoin Network Momentum
Network Momentum is a view created by PositiveCrypto which looks into the value transmitted through the Bitcoin blockchain denominated in BTC value plotted against Bitcoin's price. It serves as a leading indicator to bitcoin price, in that we need high levels of value throughput to drive the bull market. This indicator is experimental.
Both daily transaction values and price exhibit cyclical patterns, but not in sync with each other. A hypothesis to explain the mismatch is that short-term mindset traders (using exchanges) heavily influence price; but long-term mindset investments (more likely to be directly recorded on-chain) have a greater contribution to the daily transaction value recorded in the ledger.
An alternative to the NVT / NVT Signal - tracks the relationship between Bitcoin’s price and BTC volume flowing through the blockchain network.
Ⓜ Mayer Multiple
Introduced by Trace Mayer as a way to gauge the current price of Bitcoin against its long range historical price movements (200 day SMA by default), the Mayer Multiple highlights when Bitcoin is overbought or oversold in the context of longer time frames.
It`s worth noting as the market becomes larger and less volatile, the peaks are becoming less exaggerated. This is because a 200 day moving average baseline is a static yardstick against an ever growing, more stable, Bitcoin market. We should eventually re-calibrate what constitutes the overbought/oversold extremes on this chart accordingly.
A more fully featured Mayer Multiple version available here:
💲 BTC Marketcap and Thermocap
We are all familiar with marketcap, but it does come with its disadvantages.
A more appropriate measure of network value was recently put forth by Nic Carter. Remember capital flows in crypto generally do not come in via exchanges (miners notably like to sell OTC). Every buy in an exchange is matched by a sell. Money that comes in = money that goes out.
True inflows (in Bitcoin, at least) are the aggregate of resources spent by miners¹. And a good proxy for that is the amount these folks are earning back from networks they support in return for their investments. That’s aggregate security spend (or Thermocap): what was actually paid out to miners (transactions * their price in USD at the time they were mined).
There is an option to deduct lost coins, genesis (Satoshi's) coins, and dead HODL'ers coins from the marketcap. This information was taken from ChainAnalysis' 2017 report
This shows both plots for comparison on a logrithmic scale:
⛏Mining Indicators & Data
⛏ Petahash Dollar Ratio
Bitcoin’s Hashrate (Daily PetaHashes) to Daily Mining Earnings (PetaHashDollar) is a robust metric to asses the day to day mining profitability. In addition, when plotted over the past five years, its overall trend represents a good way to quantify and visualize the relative progress in efficiency of ASICs (more specifically the inverse of that metric: 1/relative mining efficiency).
⛏Unmined Coins Marketcap
A simple statistic I created to plot the value of the unmined BTC still waiting to be extracted. If you find any interesting value for analysis please message me and let me know.
⛏Percentage of Total BTC Mined
I hope this one doesnt need an explanation. 😅
#️⃣ Network Hash Rate
A network's hashrate is the most important data point in blockchain tech. It indicates to the world how secure its network is. The hashrate is the "bridge" between the analog world, and the digital world. Essentially, the hashrate describes how much computing power (called hashing power in blockchain speak) is being thrown at the network, by users all across the world. These "miners" are running servers with dedicated processing chips to solve random, cryptographic math problems. The reason miners do this constant computing is that it betters their chances to reap a "block reward." The block reward entitles them to:
1.)Newly "mined" coins, and
2.)Transaction fees
Both of these are typically paid out with each new block. This rewards miners for their “proof-of-work.” It signals to the world that real "work" and resources, like electricity, have been spent on the Bitcoin network.
As more and more miners compete for the block reward, the hashrate, mining calculations and block difficulty will increase. This increase in the network's hashrate over time means an increase in the network’s security. Much better detail on this is available elsewhere, but primarily, this process solves digital money's vulnerability to attacks and the "double spend" problem.
I like to plot it directly on the price chart (click on the indicator and drag it up)
⛏ Revenue Per Transaction
A chart showing miners revenue divided by the number of transactions.
Fee Per Block Kilobyte
A measure of how much it costs per kilobyte of blockchain block size.
⛏Return Per TeraHash (TH)
Revenue per TH of mining hash power.
Can also be plotted on price chart and looks nice:
Cost Per TX (CPT) and Cost % Per TX Volume
CPT - A chart showing miners revenue divided by the number of transactions
C%PRV - A chart showing miners revenue as percentage of the transaction volume
Blockchain Statistics & Data Plots
🏋Network Difficulty
A relative measure of how difficult it is to find a new block. The difficulty is adjusted periodically as a function of how much hashing power has been deployed by the network of miners.
I like plotting this one on price chart as well:
Daily Output Value
The total value of all transaction outputs per day (includes coins returned to the sender as change).
🔢Number of Unique Addresses Used
Addresses are kind of like bank accounts.
Unlike bank accounts, addresses on the blockchain can be generated by anyone, anywhere and one single person could have thousands.
The plot shows bitcoins growth of addresses which are both unique and active per day, smoothed out over 14 days for clarity (using a zero lag ema). As you can see bull runs typically lead to more unique addresses the assumption being that more new money is drawn into the market due to the news cycle.
This is another one I prefer to plot on the price chart.
🔢Number of Transactions (NoTX) and NoTX - Exchange Wallets
Number of TX's on the chain (green line) and NoTX minus (-) Exchange Wallets (blue line).
⏳ Median Confirmation Time
The median time for a transaction to be accepted into a mined block and added to the public ledger (note: only includes transactions with miner fees). Displayed in minutes.
🔊Volume Dominance (Liquidity to Transaction Volume Ratio)
Volume Dominance is another metric I invented simply to show the ratio between spot exchange TXs (liquidity/speculation) and blockchain TXs (utility/HODLing). Its shows percent of volume attributed to blockchain TXs.
🙃 We REALLY hope you enjoy and find this indicator useful. I certainly enjoyed creating it and learned quite a bit myself manipulating the data! I welcome any suggestions or ideas you may have to further extend, or create new indicators.
👍 Enjoying this indicator or find it useful? Please give me a like and follow! I post crypto analysis, price action strategies and free indicators regularly.
💬 Questions? Comments? Want to get access to an entire suite of proven trading indicators? Come visit us on telegram and chat, or just soak up some knowledge. We make timely posts about the market, news, and strategy everyday. Our community isn't open only to subscribers - everyone is welcome to join.
Kovach Crypto SpreadThe Kovach Crypto Spread indicator calculates the spread in profit between Bitcoin and the leading Altcoins. The Altcoins are weighted by market cap and this script is update weekly so you constantly have the most relevant Altcoins and their coefficients in the indicator.
Values above zero indicate a net flow from Altcoins to Bitcoin and vice versa. Let's consider how to use this data.
1. If Bitcoin is rallying, and the spread is well above zero, this indicates that Bitcoin is providing more profit than Altcoins. Consider taking some profits from BTC and investing in Altcoins.
2. If Bitcoin is retracing, but the spread is still above zero, it means that Altcoins are getting hit harder than Bitcoin, and you should keep your position in Bitcoin.
3. If Bitcoin is ranging, and the spread is below zero, it means that Altcoins are rallying and Bitcoin is stagnant.
For access to this indicator and more, please visit quantguy.net
