FRIEDRICHs - AI learning trendFRIEDRICHs learning trend - take your trading to the NEXT LEVEL!
Introducing the AI learning trend, an advanced trading indicator designed to adapt to market volatility dynamically using machine learning techniques. This indicator employs Clustering to categorize market volatility into high, medium, and low levels, enhancing the traditional SuperTrend strategy. Perfect for traders who want an edge in identifying trend shifts and market conditions.
What is Clustering and how it works?
Clustering is a machine learning algorithm that partitions data into distinct groups based on similarity. In this indicator, the algorithm analyzes ATR (Average True Range) values to classify volatility into three clusters: high, medium, and low. The algorithm iterates to optimize the centroids of these clusters, ensuring accurate volatility classification.
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Clustering
Correlation Clusters [LuxAlgo]The Correlation Clusters is a machine learning tool that allows traders to group sets of tickers with a similar correlation coefficient to a user-set reference ticker.
The tool calculates the correlation coefficients between 10 user-set tickers and a user-set reference ticker, with the possibility of forming up to 10 clusters.
🔶 USAGE
Applying clustering methods to correlation analysis allows traders to quickly identify which set of tickers are correlated with a reference ticker, rather than having to look at them one by one or using a more tedious approach such as correlation matrices.
Tickers belonging to a cluster may also be more likely to have a higher mutual correlation. The image above shows the detailed parts of the Correlation Clusters tool.
The correlation coefficient between two assets allows traders to see how these assets behave in relation to each other. It can take values between +1.0 and -1.0 with the following meaning
Value near +1.0: Both assets behave in a similar way, moving up or down at the same time
Value close to 0.0: No correlation, both assets behave independently
Value near -1.0: Both assets have opposite behavior when one moves up the other moves down, and vice versa
There is a wide range of trading strategies that make use of correlation coefficients between assets, some examples are:
Pair Trading: Traders may wish to take advantage of divergences in the price movements of highly positively correlated assets; even highly positively correlated assets do not always move in the same direction; when assets with a correlation close to +1.0 diverge in their behavior, traders may see this as an opportunity to buy one and sell the other in the expectation that the assets will return to the likely same price behavior.
Sector rotation: Traders may want to favor some sectors that are expected to perform in the next cycle, tracking the correlation between different sectors and between the sector and the overall market.
Diversification: Traders can aim to have a diversified portfolio of uncorrelated assets. From a risk management perspective, it is useful to know the correlation between the assets in your portfolio, if you hold equal positions in positively correlated assets, your risk is tilted in the same direction, so if the assets move against you, your risk is doubled. You can avoid this increased risk by choosing uncorrelated assets so that they move independently.
Hedging: Traders may want to hedge positions with correlated assets, from a hedging perspective, if you are long an asset, you can hedge going long a negatively correlated asset or going short a positively correlated asset.
Grouping different assets with similar behavior can be very helpful to traders to avoid over-exposure to those assets, traders may have multiple long positions on different assets as a way of minimizing overall risk when in reality if those assets are part of the same cluster traders are maximizing their risk by taking positions on assets with the same behavior.
As a rule of thumb, a trader can minimize risk via diversification by taking positions on assets with no correlations, the proposed tool can effectively show a set of uncorrelated candidates from the reference ticker if one or more clusters centroids are located near 0.
🔶 DETAILS
K-means clustering is a popular machine-learning algorithm that finds observations in a data set that are similar to each other and places them in a group.
The process starts by randomly assigning each data point to an initial group and calculating the centroid for each. A centroid is the center of the group. K-means clustering forms the groups in such a way that the variances between the data points and the centroid of the cluster are minimized.
It's an unsupervised method because it starts without labels and then forms and labels groups itself.
🔹 Execution Window
In the image above we can see how different execution windows provide different correlation coefficients, informing traders of the different behavior of the same assets over different time periods.
Users can filter the data used to calculate correlations by number of bars, by time, or not at all, using all available data. For example, if the chart timeframe is 15m, traders may want to know how different assets behave over the last 7 days (one week), or for an hourly chart set an execution window of one month, or one year for a daily chart. The default setting is to use data from the last 50 bars.
🔹 Clusters
On this graph, we can see different clusters for the same data. The clusters are identified by different colors and the dotted lines show the centroids of each cluster.
Traders can select up to 10 clusters, however, do note that selecting 10 clusters can lead to only 4 or 5 returned clusters, this is caused by the machine learning algorithm not detecting any more data points deviating from already detected clusters.
Traders can fine-tune the algorithm by changing the 'Cluster Threshold' and 'Max Iterations' settings, but if you are not familiar with them we advise you not to change these settings, the defaults can work fine for the application of this tool.
🔹 Correlations
Different correlations mean different behaviors respecting the same asset, as we can see in the chart above.
All correlations are found against the same asset, traders can use the chart ticker or manually set one of their choices from the settings panel. Then they can select the 10 tickers to be used to find the correlation coefficients, which can be useful to analyze how different types of assets behave against the same asset.
🔶 SETTINGS
Execution Window Mode: Choose how the tool collects data, filter data by number of bars, time, or no filtering at all, using all available data.
Execute on Last X Bars: Number of bars for data collection when the 'Bars' execution window mode is active.
Execute on Last: Time window for data collection when the `Time` execution window mode is active. These are full periods, so `Day` means the last 24 hours, `Week` means the last 7 days, and so on.
🔹 Clusters
Number of Clusters: Number of clusters to detect up to 10. Only clusters with data points are displayed.
Cluster Threshold: Number used to compare a new centroid within the same cluster. The lower the number, the more accurate the centroid will be.
Max Iterations: Maximum number of calculations to detect a cluster. A high value may lead to a timeout runtime error (loop takes too long).
🔹 Ticker of Reference
Use Chart Ticker as Reference: Enable/disable the use of the current chart ticker to get the correlation against all other tickers selected by the user.
Custom Ticker: Custom ticker to get the correlation against all the other tickers selected by the user.
🔹 Correlation Tickers
Select the 10 tickers for which you wish to obtain the correlation against the reference ticker.
🔹 Style
Text Size: Select the size of the text to be displayed.
Display Size: Select the size of the correlation chart to be displayed, up to 500 bars.
Box Height: Select the height of the boxes to be displayed. A high height will cause overlapping if the boxes are close together.
Clusters Colors: Choose a custom colour for each cluster.
RSI K-Means Clustering [UAlgo]The "RSI K-Means Clustering " indicator is a technical analysis tool that combines the Relative Strength Index (RSI) with K-means clustering techniques. This approach aims to provide more nuanced insights into market conditions by categorizing RSI values into overbought, neutral, and oversold clusters.
The indicator adjusts these clusters dynamically based on historical RSI data, allowing for more adaptive and responsive thresholds compared to traditional fixed levels. By leveraging K-means clustering, the indicator identifies patterns in RSI behavior, which can help traders make more informed decisions regarding market trends and potential reversals.
🔶 Key Features
K-means Clustering: The indicator employs K-means clustering, an unsupervised machine learning technique, to dynamically determine overbought, neutral, and oversold levels based on historical RSI data.
User-Defined Inputs: You can customize various aspects of the indicator's behavior, including:
RSI Source: Select the data source used for RSI calculation (e.g., closing price).
RSI Length: Define the period length for RSI calculation.
Training Data Size: Specify the number of historical RSI values used for K-means clustering.
Number of K-means Iterations: Set the number of iterations performed by the K-means algorithm to refine cluster centers.
Overbought/Neutral/Oversold Levels: You can define initial values for these levels, which will be further optimized through K-means clustering.
Alerts: The indicator can generate alerts for various events, including:
Trend Crossovers: Alerts for when the RSI crosses above/below the neutral zone, signaling potential trend changes.
Overbought/Oversold: Alerts when the RSI reaches the dynamically determined overbought or oversold thresholds.
Reversals: Alerts for potential trend reversals based on RSI crossing above/below the calculated overbought/oversold levels.
RSI Classification: Alerts based on the current RSI classification (ranging, uptrend, downtrend).
🔶 Interpreting Indicator
Adjusted RSI Value: The primary plot represents the adjusted RSI value, calculated based on the relative position of the current RSI compared to dynamically adjusted overbought and oversold levels. This value provides an intuitive measure of the market's momentum. The final overbought, neutral, and oversold levels are determined by K-means clustering and are displayed as horizontal lines. These levels serve as dynamic support and resistance points, indicating potential reversal zones.
Classification Symbols : The "RSI K-Means Clustering " indicator uses specific symbols to classify the current market condition based on the position of the RSI value relative to dynamically determined clusters. These symbols provide a quick visual reference to help traders understand the prevailing market sentiment. Here's a detailed explanation of each classification symbol:
Ranging Classification ("R")
This symbol appears when the RSI value is closest to the neutral threshold compared to the overbought or oversold thresholds. It indicates a ranging market, where the price is moving sideways without a clear trend direction. In this state, neither buyers nor sellers are in control, suggesting a period of consolidation or indecision. This is often seen as a time to wait for a breakout or reversal signal before taking a position.
Up-Trend Classification ("↑")
The up-trend symbol, represented by an upward arrow, is displayed when the RSI value is closer to the overbought threshold than to the neutral or oversold thresholds. This classification suggests that the market is in a bullish phase, with buying pressure outweighing selling pressure. Traders may consider this as a signal to enter or hold long positions, as the price is likely to continue rising until the market reaches an overbought condition.
Down-Trend Classification ("↓")
The down-trend symbol, depicted by a downward arrow, appears when the RSI value is nearest to the oversold threshold. This indicates a bearish market condition, where selling pressure dominates. The market is likely experiencing a downward movement, and traders might view this as an opportunity to enter or hold short positions. This symbol serves as a warning of potential further declines, especially if the RSI continues to move toward the oversold level.
Bullish Reversal ("▲")
This signal occurs when the RSI value crosses above the oversold threshold. It indicates a potential shift from a downtrend to an uptrend, suggesting that the market may start to move higher. Traders might use this signal as an opportunity to enter long positions.
Bearish Reversal ("▼")
This signal appears when the RSI value crosses below the overbought threshold. It suggests a possible transition from an uptrend to a downtrend, indicating that the market may begin to decline. This signal can alert traders to consider entering short positions or taking profits on long positions.
These classification symbols are plotted near the adjusted RSI line, with their positions adjusted based on the standard deviation and a distance multiplier. This placement helps in visualizing the classification's strength and ensuring clarity in the indicator's presentation. By monitoring these symbols, traders can quickly assess the market's state and make more informed trading decisions.
🔶 Disclaimer
Use with Caution: This indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Users should exercise caution and perform their own analysis before making trading decisions based on the indicator's signals.
Not Financial Advice: The information provided by this indicator does not constitute financial advice, and the creator (UAlgo) shall not be held responsible for any trading losses incurred as a result of using this indicator.
Backtesting Recommended: Traders are encouraged to backtest the indicator thoroughly on historical data before using it in live trading to assess its performance and suitability for their trading strategies.
Risk Management: Trading involves inherent risks, and users should implement proper risk management strategies, including but not limited to stop-loss orders and position sizing, to mitigate potential losses.
No Guarantees: The accuracy and reliability of the indicator's signals cannot be guaranteed, as they are based on historical price data and past performance may not be indicative of future results.
AI Channels (Clustering) [LuxAlgo]The AI Channels indicator is constructed based on rolling K-means clustering, a common machine learning method used for clustering analysis. These channels allow users to determine the direction of the underlying trends in the price.
We also included an option to display the indicator as a trailing stop from within the settings.
🔶 USAGE
Each channel extremity allows users to determine the current trend direction. Price breaking over the upper extremity suggesting an uptrend, and price breaking below the lower extremity suggesting a downtrend. Using a higher Window Size value will return longer-term indications.
The "Clusters" setting allows users to control how easy it is for the price to break an extremity, with higher values returning extremities further away from the price.
The "Denoise Channels" is enabled by default and allows to see less noisy extremities that are more coherent with the detected trend.
Users who wish to have more focus on a detected trend can display the indicator as a trailing stop.
🔹 Centroid Dispersion Areas
Each extremity is made of one area. The width of each area indicates how spread values within a cluster are around their centroids. A wider area would suggest that prices within a cluster are more spread out around their centroid, as such one could say that it is indicative of the volatility of a cluster.
Wider areas around a specific extremity can indicate a larger and more spread-out amount of prices within the associated cluster. In practice price entering an area has a higher chance to break an associated extremity.
🔶 DETAILS
The indicator performs K-means clustering over the most recent Window Size prices, finding a number of user-specified clusters. See here to find more information on cluster detection.
The channel extremities are returned as the centroid of the lowest, average, and highest price clusters.
K-means clustering can be computationally expensive and as such we allow users to determine the maximum number of iterations used to find the centroids as well as the number of most historical bars to perform the indicator calculation. Do note that increasing the calculation window of the indicator as well as the number of clusters will return slower results.
🔶 SETTINGS
Window Size: Amount of most recent prices to use for the calculation of the indicator.
Clusters": Amount of clusters detected for the calculation of the indicator.
Denoise Channels: When enabled, return less noisy channels extremities, disabling this setting will return the exact centroids at each time but will produce less regular extremities.
As Trailing Stop: Display the indicator as a trailing stop.
🔹 Optimization
This group of settings affects the runtime performance of the script.
Maximum Iteration Steps: Maximum number of iterations allowed for finding centroids. Excessively low values can return a better script load time but poor clustering.
Historical Bars Calculation: Calculation window of the script (in bars).
AI SuperTrend Clustering Oscillator [LuxAlgo]The AI SuperTrend Clustering Oscillator is an oscillator returning the most bullish/average/bearish centroids given by multiple instances of the difference between SuperTrend indicators.
This script is an extension of our previously posted SuperTrend AI indicator that makes use of k-means clustering. If you want to learn more about it see:
🔶 USAGE
The AI SuperTrend Clustering Oscillator is made of 3 distinct components, a bullish output (always the highest), a bearish output (always the lowest), and a "consensus" output always within the two others.
The general trend is given by the consensus output, with a value above 0 indicating an uptrend and under 0 indicating a downtrend. Using a higher minimum factor will weigh results toward longer-term trends, while lowering the maximum factor will weigh results toward shorter-term trends.
Strong trends are indicated when the bullish/bearish outputs are indicating an opposite sentiment. A strong bullish trend would for example be indicated when the bearish output is above 0, while a strong bearish trend would be indicated when the bullish output is below 0.
When the consensus output is indicating a specific trend direction, an opposite indication from the bullish/bearish output can highlight a potential reversal or retracement.
🔶 DETAILS
The indicator construction is based on finding three clusters from the difference between the closing price and various SuperTrend using different factors. The centroid of each cluster is then returned. This operation is done over all historical bars.
The highest cluster will be composed of the differences between the price and SuperTrends that are the highest, thus creating a more bullish group. The lowest cluster will be composed of the differences between the price and SuperTrends that are the lowest, thus creating a more bearish group.
The consensus cluster is composed of the differences between the price and SuperTrends that are not significant enough to be part of the other clusters.
🔶 SETTINGS
ATR Length: ATR period used for the calculation of the SuperTrends.
Factor Range: Determine the minimum and maximum factor values for the calculation of the SuperTrends.
Step: Increments of the factor range.
Smooth: Degree of smoothness of each output from the indicator.
🔹 Optimization
This group of settings affects the runtime performances of the script.
Maximum Iteration Steps: Maximum number of iterations allowed for finding centroids. Excessively low values can return a better script load time but poor clustering.
Historical Bars Calculation: Calculation window of the script (in bars).
