4-Year Cycles [jpkxyz]Overview of the Script
I wanted to write a script that encompasses the wide-spread macro fund manager investment thesis: "Crypto is simply and expression of macro." A thesis pioneered by the likes of Raoul Pal (EXPAAM) , Andreesen Horowitz (A16Z) , Joe McCann (ASYMETRIC) , Bob Loukas and many more.
Cycle Theory Background:
The 2007-2008 financial crisis transformed central bank monetary policy by introducing:
- Quantitative Easing (QE): Creating money to buy assets and inject liquidity
- Coordinated global monetary interventions
Proactive 4-year economic cycles characterised by:
- Expansionary periods (low rates, money creation)
- Followed by contraction/normalisation
Central banks now deliberately manipulate liquidity, interest rates, and asset prices to control economic cycles, using monetary policy as a precision tool rather than a blunt instrument.
Cycle Characteristics (based on historical cycles):
- A cycle has 4 seasons (Spring, Summer, Fall, Winter)
- Each season with a cycle lasts 365 days
- The Cycle Low happens towards the beginning of the Spring Season of each new cycle
- This is followed by a run up throughout the Spring and Summer Season
- The Cycle High happens towards the end of the Fall Season
- The Winter season is characterised by price corrections until establishing a new floor in the Spring of the next cycle
Key Functionalities
1. Cycle Tracking
- Divides market history into 4-year cycles (Spring, Summer, Fall, Winter)
- Starts tracking cycles from 2011 (first cycle after the 2007 crisis cycle)
- Identifies and marks cycle boundaries
2. Visualization
- Colors background based on current cycle season
- Draws lines connecting:
- Cycle highs and lows
- Inter-cycle price movements
- Adds labels showing:
- Percentage gains/losses between cycles
- Number of days between significant points
3. Customization Options
- Allows users to customize:
- Colors for each season
- Line and label colors
- Label size
- Background opacity
Detailed Mechanism
Cycle Identification
- Uses a modulo calculation to determine the current season in the 4-year cycle
- Preset boundary years include 2015, 2019, 2023, 2027
- Automatically tracks and marks cycle transitions
Price Analysis
- Tracks highest and lowest prices within each cycle
- Calculates percentage changes:
- Intra-cycle (low to high)
- Inter-cycle (previous high to current high/low)
Visualization Techniques
- Background color changes based on current cycle season
- Dashed and solid lines connect significant price points
- Labels provide quantitative insights about price movements
Unique Aspects
1. Predictive Cycle Framework: Provides a structured way to view market movements beyond traditional technical analysis
2. Seasonal Color Coding: Intuitive visual representation of market cycle stages
3. Comprehensive Price Tracking: Captures both intra-cycle and inter-cycle price dynamics
4. Highly Customizable: Users can adjust visual parameters to suit their preferences
Potential Use Cases
- Technical analysis for long-term investors
- Identifying market cycle patterns
- Understanding historical price movement rhythms
- Educational tool for market cycle theory
Limitations/Considerations
- Based on a predefined 4-year cycle model (Liquidity Cycles)
- Historic Cycle Structures are not an indication for future performance
- May not perfectly represent all market behavior
- Requires visual interpretation
This script is particularly interesting for investors who believe in cyclical market theories and want a visual, data-driven representation of market stages.
Cryptocurrency
Cryptocurrency SentimentOverview
This script focuses on calculating and visualizing the sentiment difference between LONG positions and SHORT positions for a selected cryptocurrency pair on the Bitfinex exchange. It provides a clean and clear visual representation of the sentiment, helping traders analyze market behavior.
Key Features
Dynamic Symbol Selection:
The script automatically detects the cryptocurrency symbol from the chart (syminfo.basecurrency) and dynamically constructs the LONGS and SHORTS ticker symbols.
Works seamlessly for pairs like BTCUSD, ETHUSD, and others available on Bitfinex.
Sentiment Calculation:
The sentiment difference is calculated as:
Sentiment Difference=−1×(100− SHORTS/LONGS ×100)
LONGS : The total number of long positions.
SHORTS : The total number of short positions.
If SHORTS is 0, the value is safely skipped to avoid division errors.
Color Coding:
The script visually highlights the sentiment difference:
Green Line: Indicates that LONG positions are dominant (bullish sentiment).
Red Line: Indicates that SHORT positions are dominant (bearish sentiment).
Zero Reference Line:
A gray horizontal line at 0 helps users quickly identify the transition between bullish (above zero) and bearish (below zero) sentiment.
How It Works
Fetching Data:
The script uses request.security to fetch LONGS and SHORTS data at the current chart timeframe (timeframe.period) for the dynamically generated Bitfinex tickers.
Handling Data:
Missing or invalid data (NaN) is filtered out to prevent errors.
Extreme spikes or irregular values are safely avoided.
Visualization:
The sentiment difference is plotted with dynamic color coding:
Green when LONGS > SHORTS (bullish sentiment).
Red when SHORTS > LONGS (bearish sentiment).
Benefits
Market Sentiment Insight: Helps traders quickly identify if the market is leaning towards bullish or bearish sentiment based on actual LONG and SHORT position data.
Dynamic and Adaptive: Automatically adjusts to the selected cryptocurrency symbol on the chart.
Clean Visualization: Focuses solely on sentiment difference with color-coded signals, making it easy to interpret.
Best Use Cases
Trend Confirmation: Use the sentiment difference to confirm trends during bullish or bearish moves.
Market Reversals: Identify potential reversals when sentiment shifts from positive (green) to negative (red) or vice versa.
Sentiment Monitoring: Monitor the overall market bias for cryptocurrencies like BTC, ETH, XRP, etc., in real-time.
Sample Chart Output
Above Zero → Green Line: Bullish sentiment dominates.
Below Zero → Red Line: Bearish sentiment dominates.
Zero Line → Transition point for shifts in sentiment.
Cryptocurrency StrengthMulti-Currency Analysis: Monitor up to 19 different currencies simultaneously, including major pairs like USD, EUR, JPY, and GBP, as well as emerging market currencies such as CNY, INR, and BRL.
Customizable Display: Easily toggle the visibility of each currency and personalize their colors to suit your preferences, allowing for a tailored analysis experience.
Real-Time Strength Measurement: The indicator calculates and displays the relative strength of each currency in real-time, helping you identify potential trends and trading opportunities.
Clear Visual Representation: With color-coded lines and a dynamic legend, the indicator presents complex currency relationships in an easy-to-understand format.
Advantages
Comprehensive Market View: Gain insights into the broader forex market dynamics by analyzing multiple currencies at once.
Trend Identification: Quickly spot strong and weak currencies, aiding in the identification of potential trending pairs.
Divergence Detection: Use the indicator to identify divergences between currency strength and price action, potentially signaling reversals or continuation patterns.
Flexible Time Frames: Apply the indicator across various time frames to align with your trading strategy, from intraday to long-term analysis.
Enhanced Decision Making: Make more informed trading decisions by understanding the relative strength of currencies involved in your trades.
Unique Qualities
TSI-Based Calculations: Utilizes the True Strength Index for a more nuanced and responsive measure of currency strength compared to simple price-based indicators.
Adaptive Legend: The indicator features a dynamic legend that updates automatically based on the selected currencies, ensuring a clutter-free and relevant display.
Emerging Market Inclusion: Unlike many standard currency strength indicators, this tool includes a wide range of emerging market currencies, providing a truly global perspective.
Whether you're a seasoned forex trader or just starting out, this Currency Strength Indicator offers valuable insights that can complement your existing strategy and potentially improve your trading outcomes. Its combination of comprehensive analysis, customization options, and clear visualization makes it an essential tool for navigating the complex world of currency trading.
Multi-Timeframe RangeThe Multi-Timeframe Range Indicator is designed for traders looking to monitor key price levels across various timeframes (Daily, Weekly, Monthly, Quarterly, and Yearly) directly on their charts. This indicator draws boxes and mid-lines for each timeframe’s high, low, and midpoint, enabling users to visualize price ranges and assess potential areas of support and resistance more effectively.
Features:
Dynamic Range Boxes: Displays the high, low, and midpoint levels for each specified timeframe, with customizable colors for easy differentiation.
Visual Cues for Monday’s Levels: Highlights Monday’s high, low, and midpoint levels each week to support intraday trading setups and weekly trend analysis.
Multi-Timeframe Flexibility: Easily toggle between timeframes to view ranges from daily to yearly, making this indicator suitable for both short-term and long-term traders.
Ideal Use Cases:
Identify key support and resistance zones based on multiple timeframes.
Assess weekly and monthly trends using the Monday range levels.
Gain insights into market structure across various timeframes.
ETH Signal 15m
This strategy uses the Supertrend indicator combined with RSI to generate buy and sell signals, with stop loss (SL) and take profit (TP) conditions based on ATR (Average True Range). Below is a detailed explanation of each part:
1. General Information BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P
Strategy Name: "ETH Signal 15m"
Designed for use on the 15-minute time frame for the ETH pair.
Default capital allocation is 15% of total equity for each trade.
2. Backtest Period
start_time and end_time: Define the start and end time of the backtest period.
start_time = 2024-08-01: Start date of the backtest.
end_time = 2054-01-01: End date of the backtest.
The strategy will only run when the current time falls within this specified range.
3. Supertrend Indicator
Supertrend is a trend-following indicator that provides buy or sell signals based on the direction of price changes.
factor = 2.76: The multiplier used in the Supertrend calculation (increasing this value makes the Supertrend less sensitive to price movements).
atrPeriod = 12: Number of periods used to calculate ATR.
Output:
direction: Determines the buy/sell direction based on Supertrend.
If direction decreases, it signals a buy (Long).
If direction increases, it signals a sell (Short).
4. RSI Indicator
RSI (Relative Strength Index) is a momentum indicator, often used to identify overbought or oversold conditions.
rsiLength = 12: Number of periods used to calculate RSI.
rsiOverbought = 70: RSI level considered overbought.
rsiOversold = 30: RSI level considered oversold.
5. Entry Conditions
Long Entry:
Supertrend gives a buy signal (ta.change(direction) < 0).
RSI must be below the overbought level (rsi < rsiOverbought).
Short Entry:
Supertrend gives a sell signal (ta.change(direction) > 0).
RSI must be above the oversold level (rsi > rsiOversold).
The strategy will only execute trades if the current time is within the backtest period (in_date_range).
6. Stop Loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP) Conditions
ATR (Average True Range) is used to calculate the distance for Stop Loss and Take Profit based on price volatility.
atr = ta.atr(atrPeriod): ATR is calculated using 12 periods.
Stop Loss and Take Profit are calculated as follows:
Long Trade:
Stop Loss: Set at close - 4 * atr (current price minus 4 times the ATR).
Take Profit: Set at close + 2 * atr (current price plus 2 times the ATR).
Short Trade:
Stop Loss: Set at close + 4 * atr (current price plus 4 times the ATR).
Take Profit: Set at close - 2.237 * atr (current price minus 2.237 times the ATR).
Summary:
This strategy enters a Long trade when the Supertrend indicates an upward trend and RSI is not in the overbought region. Conversely, a Short trade is entered when Supertrend signals a downtrend, and RSI is not oversold.
The trade is exited when the price reaches the Stop Loss or Take Profit levels, which are determined based on price volatility (ATR).
Disclaimer:
The content provided in this strategy is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended as financial, investment, or trading advice. Trading in cryptocurrency, stocks, or any financial markets involves significant risk, and you may lose more than your initial investment. Past performance is not indicative of future results, and no guarantee of profit can be made. You should consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this strategy is not responsible for any financial losses or damages incurred as a result of following this strategy. All trades are executed at your own risk.
Korean Exchange Relative Volume BarchartKorean Exchange Relative Volume Barchart
The Korean Exchange Relative Volume Barchart indicator compares the trading volume of a cryptocurrency on any symbol with the combined volumes of major Korean exchanges, Upbit and Bithumb. This tool helps traders understand regional trading activities, offering insights into market sentiment influenced by Korean markets.
For example 0.5 would indicate that the Korean exchanges are doing 50% of the volume of the selected symbol.
Features:
Exchange Selection: Include or exclude Upbit and Bithumb in the comparison.
Automatic Symbol Mapping: Automatically maps the current chart's symbol to equivalent symbols on Upbit and Bithumb.
Stacked Bar Chart Visualization: Plots a stacked bar chart showing the relative volume contributions of Binance, Upbit, and Bithumb.
Usage:
Add the Indicator: Apply it to a cryptocurrency chart on TradingView.
Configure Settings: Toggle inclusion of Upbit and Bithumb in the settings.
Interpret the Chart: The stacked bar chart displays the proportion of trading volumes from each exchange.
Notes:
Symbol Compatibility: Ensure the cryptocurrency is listed on the Korean exchanges for accurate comparison.
Data Accuracy: Volumes are compared in the same base currency (e.g., BTC), so no exchange rate conversion is necessary.
Enhance your trading analysis by understanding the influence of Korean exchanges on cryptocurrency volumes with the Korean Exchange Volume Comparison indicator.
Intelle_city - World Cycle - Ath & Atl - Logarithmic - Strategy.Overview
Indicators: Strategy !
INTELLECT_city - World Cycle - ATH & ATL - Timeframe 1D and 1W - Logarithmic - Strategy - The Pi Cycle Top and Bottom Oscillator is an adaptation of the original Pi Cycle Top chart. It compares the 111-Day Moving Average circle and the 2 * 350-Day Moving Average circle of Bitcoin’s Price. These two moving averages were selected as 350 / 111 = 3.153; An approximation of the important mathematical number Pi.
When the 111-Day Moving Average circle reaches the 2 * 350-Day Moving Average circle, it indicates that the market is becoming overheated. That is because the mid time frame momentum reference of the 111-Day Moving Average has caught up with the long timeframe momentum reference of the 2 * 350-Day Moving Average.
Historically this has occurred within 3 days of the very top of each market cycle.
When the 111 Day Moving Average circle falls back beneath the 2 * 350 Day Moving Average circle, it indicates that the market momentum of that cycle is significantly cooling down. The oscillator drops down into the lower green band shown where the 111 Day Moving Average is moving at a 75% discount relative to the 2 * 350 Day Moving Average.
Historically, this has highlighted broad areas of bear market lows.
IMPORTANT: You need to set a LOGARITHMIC graph. (The function is located at the bottom right of the screen)
IMPORTANT: The INTELLECT_city indicator is made for a buy-sell strategy; there is also a signal indicator from INTELLECT_city
IMPORTANT: The Chart shows all cycles, both buying and selling.
IMPORTANT: Suitable timeframes are 1 daily (recommended) and 1 weekly
-----------------------------
Описание на русском:
-----------------------------
Обзор индикатора
INTELLECT_city - World Cycle - ATH & ATL - Timeframe 1D and 1W - Logarithmic - Strategy - Логарифмический - Сигнал - Осциллятор вершины и основания цикла Пи представляет собой адаптацию оригинального графика вершины цикла Пи. Он сравнивает круг 111-дневной скользящей средней и круг 2 * 350-дневной скользящей средней цены Биткойна. Эти две скользящие средние были выбраны как 350/111 = 3,153; Приближение важного математического числа Пи.
Когда круг 111-дневной скользящей средней достигает круга 2 * 350-дневной скользящей средней, это указывает на то, что рынок перегревается. Это происходит потому, что опорный моментум среднего временного интервала 111-дневной скользящей средней догнал опорный момент импульса длинного таймфрейма 2 * 350-дневной скользящей средней.
Исторически это происходило в течение трех дней после вершины каждого рыночного цикла.
Когда круг 111-дневной скользящей средней опускается ниже круга 2 * 350-дневной скользящей средней, это указывает на то, что рыночный импульс этого цикла значительно снижается. Осциллятор опускается в нижнюю зеленую полосу, показанную там, где 111-дневная скользящая средняя движется со скидкой 75% относительно 2 * 350-дневной скользящей средней.
Исторически это высветило широкие области минимумов медвежьего рынка.
ВАЖНО: Выставлять нужно ЛОГАРИФМИЧЕСКИЙ график. (Находиться функция с правой нижней части экрана)
ВАЖНО: Индикатор INTELLECT_city сделан для стратегии покупок продаж, есть также и сигнальный от INTELLECT_сity
ВАЖНО: На Графике видны все циклы, как на покупку так и на продажу.
ВАЖНО: Подходящие таймфреймы 1 дневной (рекомендовано) и 1 недельный
-----------------------------
Beschreibung - Deutsch
-----------------------------
Indikatorübersicht
INTELLECT_city – Weltzyklus – ATH & ATL – Zeitrahmen 1T und 1W – Logarithmisch – Strategy – Der Pi-Zyklus-Top- und Bottom-Oszillator ist eine Anpassung des ursprünglichen Pi-Zyklus-Top-Diagramms. Er vergleicht den 111-Tage-Gleitenden-Durchschnittskreis und den 2 * 350-Tage-Gleitenden-Durchschnittskreis des Bitcoin-Preises. Diese beiden gleitenden Durchschnitte wurden als 350 / 111 = 3,153 ausgewählt; eine Annäherung an die wichtige mathematische Zahl Pi.
Wenn der 111-Tage-Gleitenden-Durchschnittskreis den 2 * 350-Tage-Gleitenden-Durchschnittskreis erreicht, deutet dies darauf hin, dass der Markt überhitzt. Das liegt daran, dass der Momentum-Referenzwert des 111-Tage-Gleitenden-Durchschnitts im mittleren Zeitrahmen den Momentum-Referenzwert des 2 * 350-Tage-Gleitenden-Durchschnitts im langen Zeitrahmen eingeholt hat.
Historisch gesehen geschah dies innerhalb von 3 Tagen nach dem Höhepunkt jedes Marktzyklus.
Wenn der Kreis des 111-Tage-Durchschnitts wieder unter den Kreis des 2 x 350-Tage-Durchschnitts fällt, deutet dies darauf hin, dass die Marktdynamik dieses Zyklus deutlich nachlässt. Der Oszillator fällt in das untere grüne Band, in dem der 111-Tage-Durchschnitt mit einem Abschlag von 75 % gegenüber dem 2 x 350-Tage-Durchschnitt verläuft.
Historisch hat dies breite Bereiche mit Tiefstständen in der Baisse hervorgehoben.
WICHTIG: Sie müssen ein logarithmisches Diagramm festlegen. (Die Funktion befindet sich unten rechts auf dem Bildschirm)
WICHTIG: Der INTELLECT_city-Indikator ist für eine Kauf-Verkaufs-Strategie konzipiert; es gibt auch einen Signalindikator von INTELLECT_city
WICHTIG: Das Diagramm zeigt alle Zyklen, sowohl Kauf- als auch Verkaufszyklen.
WICHTIG: Geeignete Zeitrahmen sind 1 täglich (empfohlen) und 1 wöchentlich
intellect_city - World Cycle - Ath & Atl - Logarithmic - Signal.Indicator Overview
INTELLECT_city - World Cycle - ATH & ATL - Timeframe 1D and 1W - Logarithmic - Signal - The Pi Cycle Top and Bottom Oscillator is an adaptation of the original Pi Cycle Top chart. It compares the 111-Day Moving Average circle and the 2 * 350-Day Moving Average circle of Bitcoin’s Price. These two moving averages were selected as 350 / 111 = 3.153; An approximation of the important mathematical number Pi.
When the 111-Day Moving Average circle reaches the 2 * 350-Day Moving Average circle, it indicates that the market is becoming overheated. That is because the mid time frame momentum reference of the 111-Day Moving Average has caught up with the long timeframe momentum reference of the 2 * 350-Day Moving Average.
Historically this has occurred within 3 days of the very top of each market cycle.
When the 111 Day Moving Average circle falls back beneath the 2 * 350 Day Moving Average circle, it indicates that the market momentum of that cycle is significantly cooling down. The oscillator drops down into the lower green band shown where the 111 Day Moving Average is moving at a 75% discount relative to the 2 * 350 Day Moving Average.
Historically, this has highlighted broad areas of bear market lows.
IMPORTANT: You need to set a LOGARITHMIC graph. (The function is located at the bottom right of the screen)
IMPORTANT: The INTELLECT_city indicator is made for signal purchases of sales, there is also a strategic one from INTELLECT_city
IMPORTANT: The Chart shows all cycles, both buying and selling.
IMPORTANT: Suitable timeframes are 1 daily (recommended) and 1 weekly
-----------------------------
Описание на русском:
-----------------------------
Обзор индикатора
INTELLECT_city - World Cycle - ATH & ATL - Timeframe 1D and 1W - Logarithmic - Signal - Логарифмический - Сигнал - Осциллятор вершины и основания цикла Пи представляет собой адаптацию оригинального графика вершины цикла Пи. Он сравнивает круг 111-дневной скользящей средней и круг 2 * 350-дневной скользящей средней цены Биткойна. Эти две скользящие средние были выбраны как 350/111 = 3,153; Приближение важного математического числа Пи.
Когда круг 111-дневной скользящей средней достигает круга 2 * 350-дневной скользящей средней, это указывает на то, что рынок перегревается. Это происходит потому, что опорный моментум среднего временного интервала 111-дневной скользящей средней догнал опорный момент импульса длинного таймфрейма 2 * 350-дневной скользящей средней.
Исторически это происходило в течение трех дней после вершины каждого рыночного цикла.
Когда круг 111-дневной скользящей средней опускается ниже круга 2 * 350-дневной скользящей средней, это указывает на то, что рыночный импульс этого цикла значительно снижается. Осциллятор опускается в нижнюю зеленую полосу, показанную там, где 111-дневная скользящая средняя движется со скидкой 75% относительно 2 * 350-дневной скользящей средней.
Исторически это высветило широкие области минимумов медвежьего рынка.
ВАЖНО: Выставлять нужно ЛОГАРИФМИЧЕСКИЙ график. (Находиться функция с правой нижней части экрана)
ВАЖНО: Индикатор INTELLECT_city сделан для сигнальных покупок продаж, есть также и стратегический от INTELLECT_сity
ВАЖНО: На Графике видны все циклы, как на покупку так и на продажу.
ВАЖНО: Подходящие таймфреймы 1 дневной (рекомендовано) и 1 недельный
-----------------------------
Beschreibung - Deutsch
-----------------------------
Indikatorübersicht
INTELLECT_city – Weltzyklus – ATH & ATL – Zeitrahmen 1T und 1W – Logarithmisch – Signal – Der Pi-Zyklus-Top- und Bottom-Oszillator ist eine Anpassung des ursprünglichen Pi-Zyklus-Top-Diagramms. Er vergleicht den 111-Tage-Gleitenden-Durchschnittskreis und den 2 * 350-Tage-Gleitenden-Durchschnittskreis des Bitcoin-Preises. Diese beiden gleitenden Durchschnitte wurden als 350 / 111 = 3,153 ausgewählt; eine Annäherung an die wichtige mathematische Zahl Pi.
Wenn der 111-Tage-Gleitenden-Durchschnittskreis den 2 * 350-Tage-Gleitenden-Durchschnittskreis erreicht, deutet dies darauf hin, dass der Markt überhitzt. Das liegt daran, dass der Momentum-Referenzwert des 111-Tage-Gleitenden-Durchschnitts im mittleren Zeitrahmen den Momentum-Referenzwert des 2 * 350-Tage-Gleitenden-Durchschnitts im langen Zeitrahmen eingeholt hat.
Historisch gesehen geschah dies innerhalb von 3 Tagen nach dem Höhepunkt jedes Marktzyklus.
Wenn der Kreis des 111-Tage-Durchschnitts wieder unter den Kreis des 2 x 350-Tage-Durchschnitts fällt, deutet dies darauf hin, dass die Marktdynamik dieses Zyklus deutlich nachlässt. Der Oszillator fällt in das untere grüne Band, in dem der 111-Tage-Durchschnitt mit einem Abschlag von 75 % gegenüber dem 2 x 350-Tage-Durchschnitt verläuft.
Historisch hat dies breite Bereiche mit Tiefstständen in der Baisse hervorgehoben.
WICHTIG: Sie müssen ein logarithmisches Diagramm festlegen. (Die Funktion befindet sich unten rechts auf dem Bildschirm)
WICHTIG: Der INTELLECT_city-Indikator dient zur Signalisierung von Käufen oder Verkäufen, es gibt auch einen strategischen Indikator von INTELLECT_city
WICHTIG: Das Diagramm zeigt alle Zyklen, sowohl Kauf- als auch Verkaufszyklen.
WICHTIG: Geeignete Zeitrahmen sind 1 täglich (empfohlen) und 1 wöchentlich
Crypto Realized Profits/Losses Extremes [AlgoAlpha]🌟🚀 Introducing the Crypto Realized Profits/Losses Extremes Indicator by AlgoAlpha 🚀🌟
Unlock the potential of cryptocurrency markets with our cutting-edge On-Chain Pine Script™ indicator, designed to highlight extreme realized profit and loss zones! 🎯📈
Key Features:
✨ Realized Profits/Losses Calculation: Uses real-time data from the blockchain to monitor profit and loss realization events.
📊 Multi-Crypto Compatibility: The Indicator is compatible on other Crypto tickers besides Bitcoin.
⚙️ Customizable Sensitivity: Adjust the look-back period, normalization period, and deviation thresholds to tailor the indicator to your trading style.
🎨 Visual Enhancements: Choose from a variety of colors for up and down trends, and toggle extreme profit/loss overlay for easy viewing.
🔔 Integrated Alerts: Set up alerts for high and extreme profit or loss conditions, helping you stay ahead of significant market movements.
🔍 How to Use:
🛠 Add the Indicator: Add the indicator to favorites. Customize settings like period lengths and deviation thresholds according to your needs.
📊 Market Analysis: Monitor the main oscillator and the bands to understand current profit and loss extremes in the market. When the oscillator is at the upper band, this means that the market is doing really well and traders/investors will be likely to take profit and cause a reversal. The opposite is true when the oscillator reaches the lower band. The main oscillator can also be used for trend analysis.
🔔 Set Alerts: Configure alerts to notify you when the market enters a zone of high profit or loss, or during trend changes, enabling timely decisions without constant monitoring.
How It Works:
The indicator calculates a normalized area under the RSI curve applied on on-chain data regarding the number of wallets in profit. It employs a custom "src" variable that aggregates data from the blockchain about profit and loss addresses, adapting to intraday or longer timeframes as needed. The main oscillator plots this normalized area, while the upper and lower bands are plotted based on a deviation metric to identify extreme conditions. Colored fills between these bands visually denote these zones. For interaction, the indicator plots bubbles for extreme profits or losses and provides optional bar coloring to reflect the current market trend.
🚀💹 Enjoy a comprehensive, customizable, and visually engaging tool that helps you stay ahead in the fast-paced crypto market!
Entry FraggerEntry Fragger is a simple buy signal indicator.
It is most suitable for cryptocurrency, especially for altcoins on the 5 minute to daily timeframe and is based on simple volume calculations, in combination with EMA's.
Main Signal Logic explained:
A buy signal is generated by counting candles with an above average sell volume of 130% to 170%, taking into account the candles position below and above the 50 and 200 EMA.
If criteria meet, the first green candle above the 50 EMA's suggests upcoming higher prices.
The indicator has 2 input variables.
"Signal Confirmations (0 - 7):" Changes signal accuracy by a defining an ammount of high sell volume candles necessary below the 50 EMA.
"Volume Calculation Base (9 - 200):" Sets the exponential volume multiplier, this affects candle coloring and the volume calculation inside the candle.
"Style Settings": Turn ON/OFF Signals, Cloud, Bar Coloring, EMA's, etc...
There are no generally suitable default numbers for those 2 inputs, those have to be tested out, depending on cryptocurrency and timeframe.
The calculation is very basic, the underlying idea being, market maker initiating range breakouts through rapid increase of volume above or below the EMA's .
Example settings:
SOLUSDT: Signal Confirmations: 2, Volume Calculation Base 13.
SOLUSDT: Signal Confirmations: 0, Volume Calculation Base 20.
As you can see it affects signals quite a lot, but staying accurate.
Finetune the inputs to your preference.
Risk to Reward, Stoploss, Take Profit, position sizing, etc... is up to the user.
Recommended entry is to wait for following candle closes, entering half of the candle size and setting Stoploss outside the structure, like this:
Or right below the candles open, for safety.
Bitcoin Momentum StrategyThis is a very simple long-only strategy I've used since December 2022 to manage my Bitcoin position.
I'm sharing it as an open-source script for other traders to learn from the code and adapt it to their liking if they find the system concept interesting.
General Overview
Always do your own research and backtesting - this script is not intended to be traded blindly (no script should be) and I've done limited testing on other markets beyond Ethereum and BTC, it's just a template to tweak and play with and make into one's own.
The results shown in the strategy tester are from Bitcoin's inception so as to get a large sample size of trades, and potential returns have diminished significantly as BTC has grown to become a mega cap asset, but the script includes a date filter for backtesting and it has still performed solidly in recent years (speaking from personal experience using it myself - DYOR with the date filter).
The main advantage of this system in my opinion is in limiting the max drawdown significantly versus buy & hodl. Theoretically much better returns can be made by just holding, but that's also a good way to lose 70%+ of your capital in the inevitable bear markets (also speaking from experience).
In saying all of that, the future is fundamentally unknowable and past results in no way guarantee future performance.
System Concept:
Capture as much Bitcoin upside volatility as possible while side-stepping downside volatility as quickly as possible.
The system uses a simple but clever momentum-style trailing stop technique I learned from one of my trading mentors who uses this approach on momentum/trend-following stock market systems.
Basically, the system "ratchets" up the stop-loss to be much tighter during high bearish volatility to protect open profits from downside moves, but loosens the stop loss during sustained bullish momentum to let the position ride.
It is invested most of the time, unless BTC is trading below its 20-week EMA in which case it stays in cash/USDT to avoid holding through bear markets. It only trades one position (no pyramiding) and does not trade short, but can easily be tweaked to do whatever you like if you know what you're doing in Pine.
Default parameters:
HTF: Weekly Chart
EMA: 20-Period
ATR: 5-period
Bar Lookback: 7
Entry Rule #1:
Bitcoin's current price must be trading above its higher-timeframe EMA (Weekly 20 EMA).
Entry Rule #2:
Bitcoin must not be in 'caution' condition (no large bearish volatility swings recently).
Enter at next bar's open if conditions are met and we are not already involved in a trade.
"Caution" Condition:
Defined as true if BTC's recent 7-bar swing high minus current bar's low is > 1.5x ATR, or Daily close < Daily 20-EMA.
Trailing Stop:
Stop is trailed 1 ATR from recent swing high, or 20% of ATR if in caution condition (ie. 0.2 ATR).
Exit on next bar open upon a close below stop loss.
I typically use a limit order to open & exit trades as close to the open price as possible to reduce slippage, but the strategy script uses market orders.
I've never had any issues getting filled on limit orders close to the market price with BTC on the Daily timeframe, but if the exchange has relatively low slippage I've found market orders work fine too without much impact on the results particularly since BTC has consistently remained above $20k and highly liquid.
Cost of Trading:
The script uses no leverage and a default total round-trip commission of 0.3% which is what I pay on my exchange based on their tier structure, but this can vary widely from exchange to exchange and higher commission fees will have a significantly negative impact on realized gains so make sure to always input the correct theoretical commission cost when backtesting any script.
Static slippage is difficult to estimate in the strategy tester given the wide range of prices & liquidity BTC has experienced over the years and it largely depends on position size, I set it to 150 points per buy or sell as BTC is currently very liquid on the exchange I trade and I use limit orders where possible to enter/exit positions as close as possible to the market's open price as it significantly limits my slippage.
But again, this can vary a lot from exchange to exchange (for better or worse) and if BTC volatility is high at the time of execution this can have a negative impact on slippage and therefore real performance, so make sure to adjust it according to your exchange's tendencies.
Tax considerations should also be made based on short-term trade frequency if crypto profits are treated as a CGT event in your region.
Summary:
A simple, but effective and fairly robust system that achieves the goals I set for it.
From my preliminary testing it appears it may also work on altcoins but it might need a bit of tweaking/loosening with the trailing stop distance as the default parameters are designed to work with Bitcoin which obviously behaves very differently to smaller cap assets.
Good luck out there!
Blockunity Address Synthesis (BAS)Track the address status of the various cryptoassets and their evolution.
The Idea
The goal is to provide a simple tool for visualizing the evolution of different types of crypto addresses.
How to Use
This tool is to be used as fundamental information. It is not intended for investment or trading purposes.
Elements
Active Addresses
Active Addresses represent the subset of total addresses that made one or more on-chain transaction on a given day.
New Addresses
New Addresses refer to addresses that receive their first deposit in the selected crypto-asset.
Zero Balance Addresses
Zero Balance Addresses are addresses that transferred out (potentially sold) all of their holdings for the selected crypto-asset.
Total Addresses
Total Addresses refer to the overall count of unique addresses that have been created on a blockchain network.
Settings
In the settings, you can :
Adjust line smoothing (in terms of number of days).
Change the lookback period used to calculate the different variations.
Display or not the different address types (for better visualization, Total Addresses should be shown alone).
Show or hide labels and configure their offset.
Lastly, you can modify all table parameters.
Altcoin ManagerThe Altcoin Manager is a comprehensive script for identifying the current altcoin narrative by tracking and analyzing of a wide array of altcoins across various blockchain layers and categories, such as DeFi, GameFi, AI, and Meme coins. Ideal for traders looking to get a broad yet detailed view of the altcoin market, covering various sectors and chains.
The Key Features:
Versatile Asset Tracking:
Tracks 40 different cryptocurrencies (as of publishing) across different categories, allowing for a diversified and detailed analysis of the altcoin market.
Customizable Assets and Category Analysis:
Select 20 of your own coins across 4 different categories such as DeFi, GameFi, AI, and Meme coins as well as specifying their individual chains.
Dynamic Layer and Chain Analysis:
Includes options to plot and analyze specific blockchain layers and chains such as Ethereum Chain, Solana Chain, BNB Smart Chain, Arbitrum Chain, and Polygon Chain. The script associates various assets with specific blockchains, providing a clearer picture of how different segments of the altcoin market are performing.
Cumulative and Per-Candle Change:
Switch between viewing the total cumulative change since a set start date or the per-candle change, offering flexibility in analyzing price movements over different timeframes.
Denomination Adjustment:
Includes a functionality to denominate asset prices in other currencies or crypto such as BTC, allowing for a more tailored financial analysis according to your preference.
Moving Averages for Categories and Chains:
Calculates and plots moving averages for each category and chain, aiding in the identification of trends over the selected moving average length.
How do I use it?
This script is not used with any particular chart. Instead, assign it it's own tab and layout.
For a clearer analysis, use multiple different panels to track Categories and Chains separately, both Cumulative for a longer term analysis and Per-Candle to find ongoing breakouts and changes in trend.
You can either use the pre-selected altcoins to represent the market, or you can select your own.
The Layer 1 and Layer 2 are not customizable but consists of 15 popular Layer 1 incl Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana etc. Layer 2 consists of 5 popular Layer 2.
Trendinator LiteThe Trendinator Lite indicator detects whether the crypto price is trending up or down. It is based on a set of rules developed by Scott Phillips.
According to the rules, trending is a two stage process (bollinger bands are 20 bar, 2 std):
1) Touch of the upper bollinger band for uptrend or touch of lower bollinger band for downtrend.
2) Look for a subsequent candle that makes both a higher high and a higher close since the upper bollinger touch in 1). When this happends, uptrend is confirmed. The reverse is true for down trend - look for a subsequent candle that makes both a lower low and a lower close since the lower bollinger touch in 1).
Trending stops when one of two things happens:
1) When we touch the lower bollinger band (in case of uptrend), or we touch the upper bollinger band (in case of downtrend).
2) When we continue for 20 bars without making a higher high (lower low for downtrend) than any of the preceding candles since we started trending.
The indicator is overlaid on top of the main chart - green for trending up, red for trending down, yellow for no trend.
Note, the upper bollinger and lower bollinger values are available as upper_bb and lower_bb respectively. Alerts can be set using these values if required.
Crypto Daily WatchList And Screener [M]
Hi, this is a watchlist and screener indicator designed for traders in the field of cryptocurrencies who want to monitor developments in other currency pairs and indices.
The indicator consists of two tables. One of them is the table containing indices such as BTC dominance, total, total2, which allows you to track market developments and changes. In this table, you will find price information, daily change, stochastic, and trend information.
The other table includes cryptocurrencies like BTC/USDT, ETH/USDT, DOT/USDT, and more. In this table, you will see real-time prices, daily volume, daily change, stochastic, the correlation coefficient between the pair and Bitcoin, and the trend value calculated based on MACD.
The "Customize" section in the settings enables you to personalize the appearance of the tables according to your preferences.
Blockchain FundamentalThis indicator is made for traders to harness fundamental blockchain data for better decision-making. Unlike traditional tools, this indicator doesn't depend on standard technical indicators. It offers a novel perspective by focusing on core blockchain metrics like capitalization, miner activity, and other intrinsic data elements. I've designed a distinct scoring logic, exclusive to BF, ensuring it's user-friendly and provides actionable insights for traders at all levels.
Mainly created for Bitcoin , but can be applied to any other crypto assets in cost of losing some metrics in the analysis.
Ethereum chart:
Features:
Customizable Moving Averages:
Choose from an array of moving averages, with the flexibility to adjust the length for a tailored analysis, aiding in pinpointing asset trends.
Blockchain Metrics Integration:
Incorporates a range of blockchain metrics such as Market Cap to Realised Cap ratio, Spent Output Profit Ratio, ATH Drawdown, and more.
Blockchain Metrics Evaluation:
Each metric can be toggled on/off to customize the analysis. Using default settings, traders can use all of the metrics combined.
Every metric is essentially evaluated on a scale from -100 to 100 and then combined with others. If any metric is uncertain about its direction (equals to 0), then the score of it is not accounted in a final calculation.
Kalman Filter:
This indicator offers the option to apply a Kalman filter to the signals, enhancing the smoothness and accuracy of the indicator’s output. This is my approach to mitigate the noise in the final output.
Signal Oscillator:
Displays the aggregated score of all selected blockchain metrics.
Offers visual signals with adjustable upper and lower bounds for easy interpretation based on particular asset observation.
Visual Elements:
Signal Oscillator:
A visual representation of the aggregated blockchain fundamental score.
(White line for a raw calculation, orange line for kalman-filtered one)
Signal Counter:
Displays the count of metrics currently being considered in the fundamental score calculation. (grey line at the middle of an indicator)
Buy/Sell Signal Coloring:
The background color changes to indicate potential buying or selling opportunities based on user-defined bounds.
Usage:
Analysis:
Use the signal oscillator to identify potential market tops and bottoms based on blockchain fundamental data.
Adjust the bounds to customize the sensitivity of buy/sell signals.
Customization:
Enable/disable specific blockchain metrics to tailor the indicator to your analytical needs.
Adjust the moving average type and length for better analysis.
Integration:
Combine with other technical indicators to create a comprehensive trading strategy.
Utilize in conjunction with volume and price action analysis for enhanced decision-making. Every output could be used in traders custom strategies and indicators.
FIRST-HOUR TOOL V.1.8.08.23Three horizontal lines are drawn on the chart to represent session prices. These prices are calculated based on the user-specified session:
"FirstHour Session High" represents the highest price reached during the firsthour session.
"FirstHour Session Open" represents the opening price of the firsthour session
"FirstHour Session Low" represents the lowest price reached during the firsthour session.
These prices are respectively colored with light blue, light yellow, and light pink.
The chart background can change color based on whether the current time is within the specified session. If the current time is within the session, the background will be colored in semi-transparent aqua green. Otherwise, it will remain transparent.
Upward-pointing triangle markers are used to highlight points where the closing price crosses above (crossover) or below (crossunder) the session levels.
These markers appear below the corresponding bar.
They are colored based on the type of crossover:
Yellow for crossover above the "FirstHour High"
Red for crossover above the "FirstHour Open"
Green for crossover above the "FirstHour Low"
Alerts:
Alert messages are generated when crossovers or crossunders of the closing price relative to the session levels occur.
The alerts appear once per bar. Alerts are generated for the following events:
Crossover of the price above the "Session High" with the message "High First Hour Crossover."
Crossunder of the price below the "Session Open" with the message "Open First Hour Crossunder."
Crossunder of the price below the "Session Low" with the message "Low First Hour Crossunder."
Crossover of the price above the "Session Low" with the message "Low First Hour Crossover."
In summary, this indicator provides a visual representation of session prices and events, helping traders spot significant crossovers and crossunders relative to key price levels.
Author @tumiza999
Extreme Reversal SignalThe Extreme Reversal Signal is designed to signal potential pivot points when the price of an asset becomes extremely overbought or oversold. Extreme conditions typically signal a brief or extensive price reversal, offering valuable entry or exit points. It's important to note that this indicator may produce multiple signals, making it essential to corroborate these signals with other forms of analysis to determine their validity. While the default settings provide valuable insights, it might be beneficial to experiment with different configurations to ensure the indicator's efficacy.
Two primary conditions define extremely overbought and oversold states. The first condition is that the price must deviate by two standard deviations from the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). The second condition is that the 3-day SMA of the 14-day Stochastic Oscillator (STO) derived from the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above or below the upper or lower limit.
Oversold states arise when the first condition is met and the 3-day SMA of the 14-day Stochastic RSI falls below the lower limit, suggesting a buy signal. These are visually represented by green triangles below the price bars. Overbought states arise when the first condition is met and the 3-day SMA of the 14-day Stochastic RSI rises above the upper limit, suggesting a sell signal. These are visually represented by red triangles above the price bars. It's also possible to set up automated alerts to get notifications when either of these two conditions is met to avoid missing out.
While this indicator has traditionally identified overbought and oversold conditions in various different assets, past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, it is advisable to supplement this indicator with other technical tools. For instance, trend indicators can greatly improve the decision-making process when planning for entries and exit points.
EMA Power BandsHello!
Today, I am delighted to introduce you to the "EMA Power Bands" indicator, designed to assist in identifying buying and selling points for assets moving in the markets.
Key Features of the Indicator:
EMA Bands: "EMA Power Bands" utilizes Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to create trend lines. These bands automatically expand or contract based on the price trend, adapting to market conditions.
ATR-Based Volatility: The indicator measures price volatility using the Average True Range (ATR) indicator, adjusting the width of the EMA bands accordingly. As a result, wider bands form during periods of increased volatility, while they narrow during lower volatility.
RSI-Based Buy-Sell Signals: "EMA Power Bands" uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to identify overbought and oversold zones. Entering the overbought zone generates a sell signal, while entering the oversold zone produces a buy signal.
Trend Direction Identification: The indicator assists in determining the price trend direction by analyzing the slope of the EMA bands. This allows you to identify periods of uptrends and downtrends.
Visualization of Buy-Sell Signals: "EMA Power Bands" visually marks the buy and sell signals:
- When RSI enters the overbought zone, it displays a sell signal (🪫).
- When RSI enters the oversold zone, it indicates a buy signal (🔋).
- When a candle closes above the emaup line, it displays a bearish signal (🔨).
- When a candle closes below the emadw line, it indicates a bullish signal (🚀).
By using the "EMA Power Bands" (EMA Güç Bantları) indicator, especially in trend-following strategies and periods of volatility, you can make more informed and disciplined trading decisions. However, I recommend using it in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and fundamental data.
*You can also use it with CCI as an example.
With this indicator, you can identify potential trend reversals in advance and strengthen your risk management strategies.
So, go ahead and try the "EMA Power Bands" (EMA Güç Bantları) indicator to enhance your technical analysis skills and make more informed trading decisions!
Volume Accumulation Oscillator (VAO)The Volume Accumulation Oscillator (VAO) is a powerful momentum-based indicator designed to assess the strength of volume accumulation in a given asset. It helps traders identify periods of intense buying or selling pressure and potential trend reversals.
The VAO calculates the Net Volume Accumulation (NVA) by considering the volume, open, close, high, and low prices. It then applies exponential moving averages (EMAs) to smooth the NVA and calculates the VAO by comparing the smoothed NVA with its EMA over a specified signal period.
The VAO is plotted as a line chart, providing a clear visual representation of its values. Positive VAO values indicate strong bullish volume accumulation, suggesting potential upward price movement. Conversely, negative VAO values indicate significant selling pressure and the possibility of a downtrend.
To enhance the analysis, the indicator includes reference levels such as the zero line and +/-1 levels. These levels serve as important reference points for interpreting the VAO values and identifying key turning points in the market.
Additionally, the VAO histogram is included, which further illustrates the strength and direction of volume accumulation. The histogram bars are color-coded, with green bars representing positive VAO values and red bars representing negative VAO values.
The Volume Accumulation Oscillator is a versatile tool that can be used in various trading strategies. Traders can look for divergences between the VAO and the price chart to identify potential trend reversals. Combining the VAO with other technical analysis techniques can provide valuable insights into market dynamics and help traders make informed trading decisions.
Note: It is recommended to customize the indicator's parameters and conduct thorough backtesting to align it with your specific trading strategy and preferences before using it for live trading.
Disclaimer: This indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only. Trading involves risks, and it is important to exercise caution and conduct your own analysis before making any investment decisions.
Crypto Trend IndicatorThe Crypto Trend Indicator is a trend-following indicator specifically designed to identify bullish and bearish trends in the price of Bitcoin, and other cryptocurrencies. This indicator doesn't provide explicit instructions on when to buy or sell, but rather offers an understanding of whether the trend is bullish or bearish. It's important to note that this indicator is only useful for trend trading.
The band is a visual representation of the 30-day and 60-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). When the 30-day EMA is above the 60-day EMA, the trend is bullish and the band is green. When the 30-day EMA is below the 60-day EMA, the trend is bearish and the band is red. When the 30-day EMA starts to converge with the 60-day EMA, the trend is neutral and the band is grey.
The line is a visual representation of the 20-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) in the daily timeframe. "Bull" and "Bear" signals are generated when the 20-day EMA is either above or below the 20-week SMA, in conjunction with a bullish or bearish trend. When the band is green and the 20-day EMA is above the 20-week SMA, a “Bull” signal emerges. When the band is red and the 20-day EMA is below the 20-week SMA, a “Bear” signal emerges. The 20-week SMA can potentially also function as a leading indicator, as substantial price deviations from the SMA typically indicate an overextended market.
While this indicator has traditionally identified bullish and bearish trends in various cryptocurrency assets, past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, it is advisable to supplement this indicator with other technical tools. For instance, range-bound indicators can greatly improve the decision-making process when planning for entries and exits points.
Boftei's StrategyI wrote this strategy about a year ago, but decided to publish it just now. I have not been able to implement this strategy in the market. If you can, then I will be happy for you.
This strategy is based on my "Botvenko Script". (It finds the difference between the logarithms of closing prices from different days.) (Check this script in my profile)
Then the strategy makes trades when the "Botvenko Script" indicator crosses the levels set earlier and manually selected for each currency pair/shares: long/short opening/closing levels, long/short re-entry levels. (They are drawn with horizontal dotted lines.) The names of these lines are: buy/sell level, long/short retry - too low/high, long close up/down, dead - close the short. Manual selection of each of the parameters provides a qualitative entry of the strategy into the deal. However, without restraining mechanisms, the strategy enters into rather controversial deals. In order to avoid going long/short during bear/bull markets, which is unacceptable, I added a fan of EMA lines.
The fan consists of several EMA lines, which are set according to Fibonacci numbers (21, 55, 89, 144). If the lines in the fan are arranged in ascending order (ema_21>ema_55 and ema_55>ema_89 and ema_89>ema_144), then this indicates a bull market, during which I banned shorting. And vice versa: during the bear market (ema_21<ema_55 and ema_55<ema_89 and ema_89<ema_144) I banned long trading. If these two inequalities are not met, then this indicates that the market is flat, and during it it is allowed to enter any transactions, because a flat is a good moment to catch massive movements in the future by entering a transaction. (This is all visualized using semi-transparent thick lines of green, yellow and red colors.)
By default, all parameters are adjusted for the btc/usd (bitstamp) pair. Best of all, the strategy shows itself if 1 candle = 1 day.
At the time of writing, on the pair btcusd (bitstamp) (1d) with pyramiding = 1, the strategy shows a profit of 64728896%. If pyramiding is increased by 1, then the profit will be greater, but I still prefer pyramiding = 1.
There is a possibility that my strategy is doing complete nonsense. I don't vouch for her.
If you select parameters for other pairs of currencies/stocks, then you should not change anything in the fan of lines.
That's all, probably.
[MiV] MA Screener v1.0In my trading I stick to the following strategy: I buy an asset above the 100/200 moving average and then sell it.
The most problematic thing in all this is to look for assets that are above the 100 or 200 moving average, and to assess how "far" the price is from that moving average.
In fact, to solve this problem I created this indicator.
It works with 30 different assets and displays the state of its two moving averages, whether the price is higher or not, and how much higher the price is from that level.
