Yield Curve InversionThe Yield Curve Inversion indicator is a tool designed to help traders and analysts visualize and interpret the dynamics between the US 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields. This indicator is particularly useful for identifying yield curve inversions, often seen as a precursor to economic recessions.
Features and Interpretations
Display Modes: Choose between "Spread Mode" to visualize the yield spread indicating normal (green) or inverted (red) curves, or "Both Yields Mode" to view both yields.
Yield Spread: A plotted difference between 10-year and 2-year yields, with a zero line marking inversion. A negative spread suggests potential economic downturns.
Color Coding: Green for a normal yield curve (10Y > 2Y) and red for an inverted curve (2Y > 10Y).
Legend: Provides quick reference to yield curve states for easier interpretation.
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be considered financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instruments. Users should conduct their own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions. The creator of this indicator is not responsible for any financial losses incurred through its use.
Federalreserve
Weighted Global Liquidity Index (WGLI) ROCThe Weighted Global Liquidity Index (WGLI) ROC indicator calculates the rate of change (ROC) of the WGLI, providing valuable insights into the dynamics of global liquidity. The WGLI consolidates major central bank balance sheets and key financial indicators, such as Foreign Exchange Reserves, Interbank Rates, and Interest Rates, converted to USD and expressed in trillions. Specific US accounts like the Treasury General Account (TGA) and Reverse Repurchase Agreements (RRP) are subtracted from the Federal Reserve's balance sheet for a more detailed view of US liquidity.
Using both the WGLI and the WGLI ROC together allows users to track changes in global liquidity and understand policy trajectories and economic conditions. This dual approach offers insights into asset pricing and helps investors make informed decisions about capital allocation.
Feel free to explore and customize the WGLI ROC script to suit your analysis needs!
Weighted Global Liquidity Index (WGLI)The Weighted Global Liquidity Index (WGLI) provides a comprehensive view of major central bank balance sheets from around the world, using data converted to USD for consistency and expressed in trillions. This indicator includes specific US accounts like the Treasury General Account (TGA) and Reverse Repurchase Agreements (RRP), which are subtracted from the Federal Reserve's balance sheet to offer a more detailed perspective on US liquidity.
The WGLI incorporates not only the balance sheets but also additional key financial indicators such as Foreign Exchange Reserves, Interbank Rates, and Interest Rates, weighted by their global liquidity importance. The regions and central banks included are:
Federal Reserve System (FED) - Treasury General Account (TGA) - Reverse Repurchase Agreements (RRP)
European Central Bank (ECB)
People's Bank of China (PBC)
Bank of Japan (BOJ)
Bank of England (BOE)
Bank of Canada (BOC)
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA)
Reserve Bank of India (RBI)
Swiss National Bank (SNB)
Central Bank of the Russian Federation (CBR)
Central Bank of Brazil (BCB)
Bank of Korea (BOK)
Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ)
Sweden's Central Bank (Riksbank)
Central Bank of Malaysia (BNM)
This tool is designed for anyone interested in gaining a snapshot of global liquidity to interpret macroeconomic trends. By examining these balance sheets and additional indicators, users can understand policy trajectories and evaluate the global economic climate. It also offers insights into asset pricing and helps investors make informed capital allocation decisions.
Feel free to explore and customize the WGLI script on Trading View to suit your analysis needs!
US CPIIntroducing "US CPI" Indicator
The "US CPI" indicator, based on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) of the United States, is a valuable tool for analyzing inflation trends in the U.S. economy. This indicator is derived from official data provided by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and is widely recognized as a key measure of inflationary pressures.
What is CPI?
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a measure that examines the average change in prices paid by consumers for a basket of goods and services over time. It is an essential economic indicator used to gauge inflationary trends and assess changes in the cost of living.
How is "US CPI" Calculated?
The "US CPI" indicator in this script retrieves CPI data from the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) using the FRED:CPIAUCSL symbol. It calculates the rate of change in CPI over a specified period (typically 12 months) and applies technical analysis tools like moving averages (SMA and EMA) for trend analysis and smoothing.
Why Use "US CPI" Indicator?
1. Inflation Analysis: Monitoring CPI trends provides insights into the rate of inflation, which is crucial for understanding the overall economic health and potential impact on monetary policy.
2. Policy Implications: Changes in CPI influence decisions by policymakers, central banks, and investors regarding interest rates, fiscal policies, and asset allocation.
3. Market Sentiment: CPI data often impacts market sentiment, influencing trading strategies across various asset classes including currencies, bonds, and equities.
Key Features:
1. Customizable Smoothing: The indicator allows users to apply exponential moving average (EMA) smoothing to CPI data for clearer trend identification.
2. Visual Representation: The plotted line visually represents the inflation rate based on CPI data, helping traders and analysts assess inflationary pressures at a glance.
Sources and Data Integrity:
The CPI data used in this indicator is sourced directly from FRED, ensuring reliability and accuracy. The script incorporates robust security protocols to handle data requests and maintain data integrity in a trading environment.
In conclusion, the "US CPI" indicator offers a comprehensive view of inflation dynamics in the U.S. economy, providing traders, economists, and policymakers with valuable insights for informed decision-making and risk management.
Disclaimer: This indicator and accompanying analysis are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Users are encouraged to conduct their own research and consult with professional advisors before making investment decisions.
Global Liquidity IndexThe Global Liquidity Index offers a consolidated view of all major central bank balance sheets from around the world. For consistency and ease of comparison, all values are converted to USD using their relevant forex rates and are expressed in trillions. The indicator incorporates specific US accounts such as the Treasury General Account (TGA) and Reverse Repurchase Agreements (RRP), both of which are subtracted from the Federal Reserve's balance sheet to give a more nuanced view of US liquidity. Users have the flexibility to enable or disable specific central banks and special accounts based on their preference. Only central banks that both don’t engage in currency pegging and have reliable data available from late 2007 onwards are included in this aggregated liquidity model.
Global Liquidity Index = Federal Reserve System (FED) - Treasury General Account (TGA) - Reverse Repurchase Agreements (RRP) + European Central Bank (ECB) + People's Bank of China (PBC) + Bank of Japan (BOJ) + Bank of England (BOE) + Bank of Canada (BOC) + Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) + Reserve Bank of India (RBI) + Swiss National Bank (SNB) + Central Bank of the Russian Federation (CBR) + Central Bank of Brazil (BCB) + Bank of Korea (BOK) + Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) + Sweden's Central Bank (Riksbank) + Central Bank of Malaysia (BNM).
This tool is beneficial for anyone seeking to get a snapshot of global liquidity to interpret macroeconomic trends. By examining these balance sheets, users can deduce policy trajectories and evaluate the global economic climate. It also offers insights into asset pricing and assists investors in making informed capital allocation decisions. Historically, riskier assets, such as small caps and cryptocurrencies, have typically performed well during periods of rising liquidity. Thus, it may be prudent for investors to avoid additional risk unless there's a consistent upward trend in global liquidity.
USD Liquidity IndexThis USD Liquidity Index composed of 2 parts, total assets and major liabilities of the Federal Reserve .
There is a certain positive correlation between USD liquidity and risk asset price changes in history.
Suggested that USD Liquidity is mostly determined by the Federal Reserve balance (without leveraged), this index deducts three major liabilities from the total assets (in green color line) of the Federal Reserve . They are the currency in circulation (WCURCIR) in gold color, the Treasury General Account (WTREGEN) in blue color, the Reverse Repo (RRPONTSYD) in red color.
The grey line is the calculation result of the USD Liquidity Index. With it goes up, liquidity increases, vice versa.
FOMC AnnouncementsThis indicator plots vertical lines at the scheduled times of US Federal Reserve's FOMC Meeting Announcements. Usually, that time or the 24 hours before and after could see big moves in markets. You can change those dates and times in the settings, and could use the indicator option "Add this indicator to entire layout" if you want to easily reflect that across all panes of a layout. Those lines will show on any symbol you switch to, saving you time and effort of drawing them manually.
Interest Rates [WhaleCrew]This indicator allows you to display the interest rates of multiple central banks (US, EU, China, Russia, Japan, UK, ...) at once.
Built-in Interest Rates
US ECONOMICS:USINTR
EU ECONOMICS:EUINTR
China ECONOMICS:CNINTR
Russia ECONOMICS:RUINTR
Japan ECONOMICS:JPINTR
UK ECONOMICS:GBINTR
Custom Symbol (default: ECONOMICS:CHINTR )
Fed and ECB Calendar by KziHello traders,
Here is a script that i've done for testing the timestamp and the input.time fonction.
You can see verticals lines blue and yellow.
The blue are the ECB meeting date (7 dates)
The yellow are the FED meeting date. (10 Dates)
// In the parameter you can enter the next rolling month date for ECB and FED
// I don't figure out how to add label / Txt on the lines
// And be carreful i don't put the real hours of the meeting.
Federal Funds Rate and Overnight Bank Fund RateAMEX:SPY
Comparison of the Overnight Bank Fund Rate and the Effective Federal Funds Rate.
The Fed sets a discount rate of 100 basis points above the effective federal funds rate to discourage ("penalize") banks from borrowing from its reserves. If lending banks have excess in their reserves, the borrowing banks have ease in negotiating a lower rate overnight to maintain its requirements. For this reason its a good indicator of the economy. If it becomes more difficult for banks to maintain the required reserve amount they may charge borrowing banks higher rates.
Both the Effective Federal Funds Rate and Overnight Bank Fund Rate use the same data. Except, the OBFR includes overnight Eurodollar transaction data and certain overnight “selected deposit” transactions that are placed at domestic bank branches controlled by a U.S. banking office.
The indicator includes the lower and upper bound target rate set by the Federal Reserve.
An interesting note:
Notice the jump in the Overnight Bank Rate followed by Fed buying to provide liquidity and lower rates in Sept 2019.
[Daveatt] BEST Quandl Federal Reserve Economic Dashboard 1.0Hello traders
I hope you're all doing well and the quarantine will soon be over in your respective countries.
We all have strong opinions on how it could have been handled by our respective governments but the facts cannot be contested.
And basically, they acted based on a lot of unknown data. Obviously, we can throw away some conspiracy theories but what's the point really?
Conspiracy theorists never ever ever ever made money - Permabulls did historically.
Fight only for what you can change, in other words, YOURSELF. Those 2 months were tremendous for me to adapt, learn, and pivot my different businesses.
I believe that humans are wired to one thing - transform themselves. You'll never be able to change our governments, the banks, the FED printing money (making it the dollar less and less valuable)
Transforming yourself and your life is the only (and the most powerful) hedge you have
Yes, you didn't ask for it, this is not fair. Life is not fair. Only YOU can make it fair for yourself
That's why I stopped listening to the media, social media and all the news related to COVID
Context
I wanted to play with the new Quandl utility function provided by TradingView
With this dashboard, I tried to build a Quandl dashboard based on the Federal Reserve Economic Data data
I pulled out a few metrics from this Quandl page: www.quandl.com
"Federal Reserve Economic Data" or FRED is a project by the Economic Research Department of the Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis.
FRED collects over 200,000 US and international economic time series, from 69 different sources, on a single website. Data coverage includes all major areas of macroeconomic analysis: growth, inflation, employment, interest rates, exchange rates, production and consumption, income and expenditure, savings and investment, and more.
What can you do with the indicator
First, kudos to Pinecoders . I used his color scale and f_print functions to display those labels at the right.
Script Reference:
You can change from the indicator settings:
- Labels horizontal position
- Labels size (tiny, normal, big, huge)
- Labels colors
Final words
Tough times are ahead as we can see from those numbers.
For those having an online business, it's a fantastic period despite the terrible events. Use it at your advantage to learn and share your vibes and knowledge with your audience
Stay brave,
Dave
