gold spot today will down close as per chart petterngold today will close down from friday closing . as per chart pettern
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Why Gold and US Bonds Move Together!Hello Traders!
If you follow global markets, you’ll notice that Gold and US Bonds often move in the same direction.
When one rises, the other usually does too. But why does this happen? Let’s understand the link in simple words.
1. Both Are Seen as Safe Havens
In times of uncertainty, whether it’s recession fears, geopolitical tension, or market crashes, investors rush towards safety.
Gold is considered a timeless store of value.
US Bonds are backed by the US government, making them the safest fixed-income asset globally.
So, in panic situations, both attract inflows together.
2. Driven by Interest Rates & Inflation
When inflation rises or central banks cut interest rates:
Bond yields fall, but bond prices rise as investors lock in fixed returns.
At the same time, low yields make gold more attractive since the “opportunity cost” of holding it decreases.
That’s why both often rally when interest rates are falling.
3. Dollar Weakness Adds Fuel
Both gold and US bonds are influenced by the US dollar.
A weaker dollar makes gold cheaper for global buyers, pushing prices up.
Foreign investors also buy US bonds when the dollar weakens, supporting bond demand.
4. Why Traders Must Watch This Correlation
If both gold and US bonds are rising, it usually signals fear and risk-off sentiment in global markets.
If both are falling, it often reflects rising risk appetite, money moving back into equities.
This correlation can help you gauge global market mood even before equities react.
Rahul’s Tip:
Don’t just watch Nifty in isolation. Keeping an eye on gold and US bonds can give you early clues about global risk sentiment. It’s like reading the heartbeat of safe-haven flows.
Conclusion:
Gold and US bonds move together because they serve the same purpose, safety in uncertain times .
Understanding this relationship can help you read the bigger picture and prepare for market shifts more confidently.
If this post helped you connect the dots, like it, share your views in comments, and follow for more global market insights!
ITC Limited Weekly Chart – Wave Y Targets Support ClusterITC has been trending lower since the ₹498.85 peak, carving out what appears to be a complex W-X-Y correction. The first leg (W) found support near ₹391.20, followed by a corrective bounce into X at ₹444.20. The decline since then has kept price under a descending trendline, respecting the larger corrective rhythm.
Wave Count
Wave W: Completed into the ₹391.20 low.
Wave X: Counter-trend rally capped at 444.20.
Wave Y: Now unfolding, with sub-wave (C) still incomplete.
The broader structure hints that ITC may continue toward the support cluster (₹350–375) before this correction runs its course.
Indicators
Volume : Muted on upticks – rallies lack buying strength.
RSI (~44) : Mid-zone, leaving space for further downside before oversold conditions.
Weekly 50/100 MA crossover : Adds weight to the ongoing corrective bias.
Invalidation
A decisive break above ₹422.45 and sustained strength beyond 427 would question this bearish view, hinting at a possible shift back to bullish sequences.
Summary
Unless ITC reclaims higher ground above 422.45, the bias stays toward a Wave Y completion in the support cluster zone.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
BUYER FOMO: BREAK ALL THE RULES📌 GOLD – Trading Plan OANDA:XAUUSD
Follow Signals On weekend Linda published you got SELL PLAN 3720 +120PIPS
Absolutely that up first down after:
1. Market Context (H1)
Main trend: Bullish (following several upward BOS).
The price has just broken the peak and created new liquidity above the 3715 – 3720 zone.
Below, there are CP Orders + FVG at 3693 / 3669 / 3650 → the price may retrace to test demand before continuing to rise.
Above: the 3749 – 3750 zone is a strong resistance, likely to see liquidity sweeps.
2. Main Scenario – BUY with the trend
Entry 1: CP ORDER + Trend Timing
Zone: 3693 – 3695.
Stoploss: 3685.
TP1: 3715.
TP2: 3730+.
R:R ratio: ~1:3.
Entry 2: Deeper CP ORDER
Zone: 3669 – 3670.
Stoploss: 3660.
TP1: 3710.
TP2: 3730+.
R:R: ~1:4.
Entry 3: Final FVG
Zone: 3650 – 3655.
Stoploss: 3640.
TP: 3710 – 3720.
This is the final entry; if it breaks, consider the trend reversed.
3. Alternative Scenario – SELL counter-trend (scalp)
Entry Sell
Zone: 3749 – 3750 (resistance + liquidity).
Stoploss: 3757.
TP1: 3730 – 3735.
TP2: 3695 – 3670 (if selling pressure is strong).
Confirmation required on M5/M15:
MSS down.
Bearish engulfing.
Long wick rejection.
4. Capital Management
Total risk for the day: max 3 – 4% of the account.
Each trade risk 1 – 1.5%.
Prioritize Buy, Sell is just a small scalp.
If the price hits TP1 → move SL to entry, let the rest run.
5. Notes
Main trend: Bullish, don't attempt too many counter-sells.
Only sell when clear signals appear at 3749 – 3750.
The 3693/3669 mark is a key zone → if it breaks strongly, wait for trend confirmation.
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Trendline Support in DENORA
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
You going to lossI need daily candle close on the black Box.. then I am looking for sell if I get my entry signals
BTCUSDT – Possible Bounce Back Zone Ahead?Title:
🚀 BTCUSDT – Possible Bounce Back Zone Ahead?
Description / Note:
Bitcoin is at a decisive point. If price loses the Bull Market Support Band, the next key area of interest may be the 50-week SMA, currently lining up near the $100K region.
Why it matters:
📌 The 50-week SMA has been a reliable dynamic support in past market cycles.
📌 The ongoing bull flag formation suggests potential continuation after consolidation.
📌 Previous trendlines also converge in this area, adding confluence.
In short:
If BTC fails to hold the Bull Market Support Band, watch the 50-week SMA near $100K as a potential bounce-back zone.
AVNT FUTURE TARGET ?!🔥 Quick Take:
After a strong rally, AVNT is consolidating near $2.00 – a key line in the sand. The next few candles could define whether bulls push higher or bears take control.
🗝 Key Levels:
• Support: $2.00 | $1.58–$1.46
• Resistance: $2.40 | $2.67 | $2.88
📉 Bias:
• Neutral → Bearish if $2.00 - $1.95 breaks.
• Neutral → Bullish if $2.30 - $2.40 breaks.
💡 Scenarios:
1. Bounce: $2.00 hold → $2.40 → $2.67
2. Breakdown: $2.00 break → $1.58–$1.46
⚠️ Takeaway:
$2.00 is critical. Watch for either a decisive break or a strong rebound – this will set the next trend.
🚀 Why Watch:
AVNT’s volatility after the recent rally means rapid moves can happen. Position sizing and risk management are key.
A Rally Born in Silence: The Canara Bank SetupCanara Bank – Multi-Timeframe Impulse Reloaded
On the 3-month timeframe, Canara Bank is staging what looks like a textbook long-term Elliott Wave impulse. With Wave (IV) bottoming out around ₹15.15 and a roaring rally taking us into Wave (V), the broader structure suggests that this could be the start of a generational uptrend, aiming toward the 2.618 extension near ₹206.
Dropping down to the daily chart, things get even more compelling. The move off the March 2025 lows at ₹78.60 is showing all the signs of a fresh impulsive structure. That low aligns precisely with the higher-degree Wave (IV), suggesting the beginning of Wave (V) is already underway. What’s particularly interesting is how the current rally is unfolding — the green Wave 3, which started from ₹83.70, appears to be extending. It has already subdivided into a clean internal five-wave structure, with blue subwaves 1 through 4 in place and blue wave 5 in progress.
This kind of extended third wave is not only typical but often the most powerful part of the move, carrying the strongest momentum. The current wave is aiming toward the 1.618 projection zone around ₹138, which would be a fitting cap for an extended third. Once this fifth subwave of green 3 completes, a corrective green Wave 4 would be due, likely shallow given the strength of the third wave, followed by one final push in green 5.
On the risk side, the structure remains intact as long as price holds above ₹102.63 — the invalidation level for the current count. A break below would suggest the impulse failed and could force a reassessment of the bias. Until then, both the short-term and long-term wave counts remain firmly aligned to the upside, with momentum backing the structure on multiple timeframes.
Chart will be updated as price action evolves.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Nifty - Expiry Day Analysis Sep 23Price faced resistance around the 25300 - 25320 zone and fall down. Next nearby support is seen at 25080 as per the one-hour chart.
In the lower time frame, the price is moving inside a descending channel.
Buy above 25240 with the stop loss of 25200 for the targets 25280, 25320, 25360, 25420, and 25480.
Sell below 25160 with the stop loss of 25200 for the targets 25120, 25080, 25040, 25000, and 24950.
Expected expiry day analysis is 25050 to 25400.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
NIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 23-Sep-2025NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 23-Sep-2025
Nifty closed near 25,200, holding around the critical zone of 25,189–25,200, with multiple resistances above and strong support below.
Opening Resistance: 25,261
Sideways Resistance Zone: 25,261–25,296
Last Intraday Resistance: 25,379
Major Resistance: 25,479
Opening Support: 25,189
Last Intraday Support (Buyers’ Zone): 25,000–25,046
With a gap opening threshold of 100+ points, let’s look at the trading scenarios in detail:
🚀 Gap Up Opening (100+ points above previous close)
If Nifty opens near or above 25,300–25,320, it will enter a test zone of 25,261–25,296.
A sustained breakout above 25,296 may invite momentum buying towards 25,379, and a further extension can take it towards 25,479.
If Nifty fails to sustain above 25,296, then a pullback towards 25,261–25,200 can occur. This retracement may offer intraday shorting opportunities.
👉 Traders should avoid chasing the initial spike. Waiting for 15–30 minutes for confirmation will help avoid false breakouts.
⚖️ Flat Opening (near 25,180–25,220 zone)
In case of a flat start, the immediate play will be between 25,189 (support) and 25,261 (resistance).
A decisive move above 25,261 can attract bullish momentum towards 25,296–25,379.
Conversely, slipping below 25,189 may drag Nifty back towards 25,046, which is a critical buyer’s zone.
👉 This is the best scenario for breakout traders, as both sides provide clear risk-reward setups depending on the direction chosen by the market.
📉 Gap Down Opening (100+ points below previous close)
If Nifty opens near or below 25,100, immediate pressure will shift focus to the 25,000–25,046 buyer’s support zone.
A quick bounce from this zone can trigger a recovery rally back towards 25,189–25,261.
However, if Nifty breaks below 25,000 and sustains, it will trigger strong bearish momentum, possibly extending the fall towards 24,950–24,880 levels.
👉 In this setup, option traders can look for put buying opportunities but must keep stop-losses tight, as volatility will be high around psychological levels like 25,000.
🛡️ Risk Management & Option Trading Tips
Always allow the first 15–30 minutes for market direction to settle before taking trades.
Trade near support/resistance zones; avoid entries in the middle range.
Follow hourly candle closing for breakout confirmations.
Keep a 1:2 minimum risk-reward ratio to filter low-quality trades.
In options trading, avoid over-leveraging as premiums decay quickly on sideways days.
Respect levels like 25,000, which act as strong psychological supports/resistances.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
Above 25,296, bullish momentum may extend towards 25,379–25,479 🚀.
Flat openings will revolve around 25,189–25,261 levels, offering breakout trades ⚖️.
Below 25,000, deeper bearish pressure may emerge, targeting 24,950–24,880 📉.
Discipline, patience, and waiting for price confirmation at key levels will be crucial for success.
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is only for educational purposes. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Part 4 Learn Institutional Trading1. How Option Trading Works
Imagine two traders:
Rahul (Call buyer) thinks Infosys will go up.
Neha (Call seller) thinks Infosys will stay flat or fall.
Infosys spot = ₹1500. Rahul buys a Call option at 1520 strike for a premium of ₹20. Lot size = 100 shares.
If Infosys rises to ₹1600, Rahul gains (1600 – 1520 = ₹80 profit – ₹20 premium = ₹60 net profit per share × 100 = ₹6,000).
Neha loses ₹6,000.
If Infosys stays below 1520, Rahul’s option expires worthless, and his maximum loss is ₹2,000 (premium paid).
This shows how option trading is a zero-sum game: one’s profit is another’s loss.
2. Option Premium & Its Components
The premium you pay for an option has two parts:
Intrinsic Value (IV): Real profit if exercised now.
For Call = Spot Price – Strike Price.
For Put = Strike Price – Spot Price.
Time Value (TV): Extra value due to time left till expiry (uncertainty = potential).
As expiry nears, time value decays (Theta decay).
3. Moneyness in Options
Options are classified based on relation between spot price & strike price:
In the Money (ITM): Option has intrinsic value.
Example: Spot ₹1600, Call strike ₹1500 = ITM.
At the Money (ATM): Spot = Strike.
Example: Spot ₹1600, Call strike ₹1600.
Out of the Money (OTM): Option has no intrinsic value, only time value.
Example: Spot ₹1600, Call strike ₹1700.
4. Participants in Options Market
Hedgers – Reduce risk (e.g., an investor hedges stock portfolio with put options).
Speculators – Take directional bets for profit.
Arbitrageurs – Exploit price differences across markets.
Option Writers (Sellers) – Earn premium by selling options, often institutions.
5. Why Trade Options? Benefits & Uses
Leverage: Control large positions with small capital.
Hedging: Protect portfolio against adverse moves.
Flexibility: Multiple strategies for bullish, bearish, or neutral markets.
Income Generation: Selling options can provide steady income.
Risk Defined (for buyers): Maximum loss = premium paid.
6. Risks in Option Trading
Unlimited Loss (for sellers): Option writers can face huge losses.
Time Decay: Buyers lose money if market stays sideways.
Volatility Trap: Sudden volatility crush can wipe out premiums.
Complexity: Requires deep knowledge of Greeks & strategies.
Liquidity Risk: Some options have low trading volume.
Adani Ports (Daily) - Coils for Potential BO at Critical ResAdani Ports is currently testing a significant long-term angular resistance trendline , a barrier that has persisted since the stock's All-Time High in June 2024. The stock has been in a sideways consolidation phase since March 2025, following a prolonged downtrend, and is now showing signs of building pressure against this key resistance.
Recent price action suggests a growing determination to break through, with breakout attempts becoming more frequent . Today's session saw a notable increase in trading volume, adding weight to this observation.
Broad-Based Bullish Signals 👍
The bullish case is strengthened by a confluence of indicators across multiple timeframes:
- Strong Momentum: On both the daily and weekly charts , short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are in a bullish crossover state.
- Dual Confirmation: This is further corroborated by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on both timeframes, which is also exhibiting a bullish crossover, confirming broad-based positive momentum.
Outlook: Awaiting Confirmation
The stock is at a critical inflection point. While multiple indicators are signaling a strong potential for an upward move, the long-term resistance remains a formidable obstacle. The price action in the coming days will be decisive. A confirmed breakout would signal the next major leg up, but until then, a cautious approach is warranted while waiting for the market to show its hand.
GOLD TREND 23/09 SIMPLE ANALYSIS1. Market Context
Price is currently moving within an ascending channel.
A recent BOS (Break of Structure) indicates that buyers are still in control.
There is an untested FVG (Fair Value Gap) and CP (Demand Zone) below.
2. Key Levels
Immediate resistance: around 3,758 – 3,760 USD.
FVG zone: 3,700 – 3,720 USD.
CP (strong demand): around 3,650 USD.
Mid-level of interest: 3,702.8 USD (possible retracement point).
3. Trading Scenarios
🅰️ Scenario 1 – Pullback before continuation (higher probability)
Price may touch the resistance zone at 3,758 → retrace to test the FVG (3,700 – 3,720).
If the pullback extends deeper, it could sweep into the CP zone at 3,650 before bouncing strongly upwards.
Entry: Buy around 3,700 – 3,650.
SL: Below 3,630.
TP1: 3,758 (previous high).
TP2: 3,800+.
🅱️ Scenario 2 – Strong breakout continuation
If price breaks clearly above 3,760 with high volume → possible breakout buy.
Entry: Buy above 3,765 after a retest.
SL: 3,740.
TP1: 3,800.
TP2: 3,830 – 3,850.
🅾️ Risk scenario – Reversal
If price breaks down below the channel and closes H4 candles under 3,630 → bullish structure is invalidated.
In this case, best to stay out or look for short setups towards 3,580.
4. Risk Management & Notes
Risk per trade < 1–2% of account.
Prioritise long entries from the FVG/CP zones, avoid chasing highs.
Keep an eye on USD & Gold-related news (economic calendar may cause strong volatility).
Trader's Queries - The process of recovering loss.Query: How to recover loss faster?
Answer: Those who are new to trading believe it is simple to make money. When they suffer significant losses, they trade more to recover the losses. In my interactions with Novice traders, the majority of them express a desire to recover their losses fast. Does this mindset help in the development of better trading ability? How does a person with this mindset improve?
Trading is a process. This implies that you can not become a profitable trader overnight. It requires financial resources, technical expertise, the correct mindset, and more practice. A person who wants to become a profitable trader should concentrate on the process of trading. When they concentrate on recovering losses fast, they do overtrade, revenge trade, and impulsive trade, and again they are in loss. For instance, if you want to become a skilled driver, you will focus on honing your driving skills before learning what to do in the event of an unexpected situation on the road. It's easy to recover a loss; you just need to improve your trading abilities. And only U, and no one else, can do it. Although others can offer guidance, you are ultimately in charge of your trades.
The market moves in its own phase. Trading opportunities develop as per market conditions, not as per traders' expectations. So you can not predict how much you can recover daily or how much you can earn per day. When these things can not be planned or predicted, it creates uncertainty in the trader's mind. How you manage your expectations decides how fast you can recover from loss.
NIFTY Levels for Today
Here are the NIFTY's Levels for intraday (in the image below) today. Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both.
Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level.
Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose.
Your likes and boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.
BTC/USD (Short Cycles)Namaskaram Everyone
BTC is in uptrend but going down in Medium cycle.
currently risk reward is not much favourable, for that you need to wait for short term cycle retracement.
If you need shorter degree chart i will update it, reply in comments.
Intraday Gear 3
Intraday Gear 2
Learn More about trend here
NIFTY Analysis 23 SEPTEMBER, 2025 ,Daily Morning update at 9 amSupport 25155 25069 24985
Resistance 25274 25324 25385
If Nifty holds 25155 and moves above 25199, consider buying
Target: 25274
Stop loss: just below 25155
If Nifty fails to sustain above 25175 and forms a BN pattern on chart, consider selling
Target 25103 then 25065
Stop loss just above 25175
Trade only near support and resistance levels
Watch price action on 5-minute and 15minute charts
gift for you. If Nifty holds above 25199 Buy Calls
If Nifty breaks below 25175 Buy Puts
If Nifty stays between 25155–25199 Avoid or Sell Options with hedging
Part 6 Learn Institutional Tading 1. Option Strategies (Beginner to Advanced)
Single-leg strategies:
Long Call – Bullish.
Long Put – Bearish.
Multi-leg strategies:
Covered Call – Hold stock + sell call = income.
Protective Put – Hold stock + buy put = hedge.
Straddle – Buy call + put at same strike (bet on big move).
Strangle – Buy OTM call + put (cheaper than straddle).
Iron Condor – Sell OTM call + put, buy further OTM = earn from sideways market.
Butterfly Spread – Limited risk/reward strategy around ATM strike.
2. Greeks in Options (Risk Measurement Tools)
Options traders must understand the Greeks:
Delta: Sensitivity to price change (probability of ITM).
Gamma: Rate of change of Delta.
Theta: Time decay (loss in premium daily).
Vega: Sensitivity to volatility.
Rho: Sensitivity to interest rates.
Greeks help manage risk scientifically.
3. Options vs Stocks & Futures
Stocks: Ownership, unlimited upside, no expiry.
Futures: Obligation to buy/sell, linear profit/loss.
Options: Right, not obligation, nonlinear payoff.
4. Real-Life Examples of Option Trades
Example: Nifty at 20,000. Trader buys 20,200 Call at premium 100, lot size 50.
If Nifty goes to 20,500 → profit = (300 – 100) × 50 = ₹10,000.
If Nifty stays below 20,200 → loss = ₹5,000 (premium).
This highlights asymmetric risk/reward.
5. Psychology & Discipline in Option Trading
Options attract traders because of quick profits, but discipline is key:
Never risk more than 2–5% of capital in one trade.
Don’t chase OTM lottery tickets blindly.
Focus on strategies, not emotions.
Keep a trading journal.
Part 2 Ride The Big Moves 1. How Options Work in Practice
Suppose you buy a call option:
Stock XYZ = ₹200.
Call strike = ₹210.
Premium = ₹5.
Expiry = 1 month.
If the stock rises to ₹230 before expiry:
Profit = (230 – 210) – 5 = ₹15 per share.
If the stock stays below ₹210:
Loss = Premium paid = ₹5.
So the risk is limited to the premium, but the profit can be large.
2. Why Do People Trade Options?
Speculation – Traders use options to bet on price movements with limited risk.
Hedging – Investors buy puts to protect their portfolios (like insurance).
Income Generation – Selling options (like covered calls) can generate steady income.
Leverage – Options allow control of large positions with small amounts of money.
3. Option Buyers vs. Option Sellers
Option Buyer
Pays the premium.
Has rights but no obligation.
Risk is limited to the premium.
Profit potential can be high.
Option Seller (Writer)
Receives the premium.
Has an obligation to buy/sell if the buyer exercises.
Risk can be unlimited (in case of naked options).
Profit is limited to the premium received.
4. Strategies in Option Trading
Options are flexible. Traders combine calls and puts in creative ways to form strategies. Some common ones:
Covered Call – Holding a stock and selling a call against it for extra income.
Protective Put – Buying a put option to protect against downside risk in stocks.
Straddle – Buying both a call and a put at the same strike to profit from big moves either way.
Iron Condor – Selling both a call spread and a put spread to profit from low volatility.
Bull Call Spread – Buying one call and selling another at a higher strike to reduce cost.
Each strategy balances risk and reward differently.
5. Risks in Option Trading
While options are powerful, they also carry risks:
Time Decay – Options lose value as expiry approaches.
Volatility Risk – Options are sensitive to changes in volatility.
Liquidity Risk – Some options have low trading volume, making entry/exit difficult.
Unlimited Loss (for sellers) – A naked call seller can face huge losses if stock rises sharply.
Complexity – Misunderstanding option behavior can lead to unexpected losses.
6. Benefits of Option Trading
Flexibility – You can profit in rising, falling, or sideways markets.
Leverage – Control large exposure with small capital.
Hedging – Protect your portfolio against downside risk.
Defined Risk (for buyers) – Maximum loss is limited to the premium.
Income Opportunities – Selling options can generate consistent returns.
Trdaing Master Class With Experts 1. Option Terminology
Understanding options requires familiarity with specific terms:
In the Money (ITM):
Call: Spot price > Strike price
Put: Spot price < Strike price
At the Money (ATM):
Spot price ≈ Strike price
Out of the Money (OTM):
Call: Spot price < Strike price
Put: Spot price > Strike price
Intrinsic Value: The real value if exercised now.
Time Value: Extra premium above intrinsic value due to time remaining until expiration.
Implied Volatility (IV): Expected volatility of the underlying asset, impacting option price.
Delta: Measures sensitivity of option price to underlying price change.
Gamma: Rate of change of delta.
Theta: Rate of decline in option value due to time decay.
Vega: Sensitivity to changes in volatility.
2. Types of Options
Options can be classified based on exercise style and underlying asset:
2.1 Exercise Style
American Options: Can be exercised anytime before expiration.
European Options: Can only be exercised at expiration.
2.2 Based on Underlying Asset
Equity Options: Based on stocks.
Index Options: Based on stock indices.
Commodity Options: Based on commodities like gold, oil, or agricultural products.
Currency Options: Based on forex pairs.
ETF Options: Based on exchange-traded funds.
3. Option Pricing Models
Option pricing is influenced by multiple factors. The most widely used model is the Black-Scholes Model, which calculates the theoretical price of an option based on:
Current stock price
Strike price
Time to expiration
Volatility
Risk-free interest rate
Dividends
Other models include:
Binomial Model: Useful for American options with the flexibility of early exercise.
Monte Carlo Simulation: Simulates random paths to estimate option value.
Factors affecting pricing:
Intrinsic value: The difference between spot price and strike price.
Time value: More time to expiration = higher option value.
Volatility: Higher volatility increases potential for profit, raising option price.
Interest rates: Higher risk-free rates slightly increase call prices.
JSWSTEEL 1D Time frame🔍 Current Price
Trading around ₹1,119 – ₹1,120
⚙️ Key Levels (Daily)
Immediate Resistance 1: ₹1,125 – ₹1,130
Next Resistance 2: ₹1,133
Immediate Support 1: ₹1,116 – ₹1,117
Support 2: ₹1,110 – ₹1,113
Deeper Support (Positional): ₹1,072
🧮 Base Strategy Application
Long Setup:
Entry: Near current levels (~₹1,120) if it holds above ₹1,116
Stop Loss: Below ₹1,110
Targets: ₹1,125 – ₹1,130 (short-term), then ₹1,133
Short Setup (Reversal):
If rejection happens near ₹1,125 – ₹1,130 zone
Target: ₹1,116 first, then ₹1,110
Breakout Setup:
If price breaks and sustains above ₹1,133 with volume
Potential for further upside beyond recent highs
Gold Demand Zone Holding – Upside Potential Toward 3710!Gold is currently testing a demand zone around 3640–3650 , which aligns well with moving average support. As long as this zone holds, price action favors a potential bounce toward the falling trendline and eventually the key resistance area near 3710 . Short-term buyers may look for confirmation inside the demand zone before positioning, while a breakdown below 3614 would invalidate this setup.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
