Sensex - Expiry day analysis Dec 17The price faced resistance from the 84900 zone and fall towards the support at the 84500 zone. It broke 84500, and the bulls came to push the price up. This movement has formed a falling wedge pattern. The pattern is bullish, but the opening strength will decide the trend direction.
The daily chart clearly shows how the price is facing resistance from the channel and is still bearish.
If the price opens flat, buy above 84540 with the stop loss of 84400 for the targets 84660, 84780, 84960, 85080 and 85200.
84900, 85000 can act as resistance. If the price opens gap up at resistance levels and shows bearish strength, the falling wedge pattern won't work.
If the price opens below 84500 and shows bearish strength, sell below 84240 with the stop loss of 84400 for the targets 84100, 83960, 83800 and 83660.
Always analyse the market before taking any trade.
Community ideas
WELSPUNLIV | Trend Reversal with Strong VolumeWelspun Living Ltd. (NSE: WELSPUNLIV) is showing signs of a significant trend reversal as it breaks out of a downward channel, supported by a surge in volume. After multiple attempts to move higher, the price action has finally broken above the crucial resistance at ₹132.90, signaling the potential for an uptrend. Here’s the breakdown:
Breakout Point: The price has broken out of a downward trend channel (highlighted in blue), which could signal the start of a bullish phase.
Key Support: The breakout level around ₹132.90 will act as a key support, and any pullbacks towards this level can be considered as potential buying opportunities.
Level 1 - ₹150.99: The first resistance is at ₹150.99. A successful breakout above this level will confirm the uptrend.
Level 2 - ₹166.99: The next major resistance is ₹166.99, which will likely act as a significant hurdle.
Level 3 - ₹181.09: If momentum continues, the price could reach ₹181.09, where another resistance zone exists.
Ultimate Level - ₹212.57: If the bullish trend continues, the price could eventually reach ₹212.57, the next major resistance zone.
Volume Confirmation: The breakout is accompanied by a notable increase in volume, which enhances the reliability of this move.
Note: This analysis is purely for educational purposes and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. It is based on technical indicators and historical price action. Always conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Use proper risk management techniques, such as stop-loss orders, when trading. The market is unpredictable, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
HEROMOTOCO - Rejection From Strong Resistance, Momentum Cooling💹 Hero MotoCorp Ltd (NSE: HEROMOTOCO)
Sector: Automobiles | CMP: 5817
View: Bearish — Rejection From Strong Resistance, Momentum Cooling
HEROMOTOCO has recently faced a sharp rejection from its upper resistance zone near the 6100–6200 region after a strong prior rally, indicating supply emergence at higher levels rather than healthy consolidation. The subsequent decline has been decisive, with price slipping back below key short-term levels, suggesting that the recent upswing may have been a momentum-driven leg rather than the start of a sustained trend. Current price behaviour reflects a cooling phase following distribution near the highs.
From a structural perspective, the stock remains within a broader developing framework, but near-term momentum has weakened. RSI around 42.6 sits in a neutral-to-healthy zone, indicating that the stock is neither oversold nor displaying reversal exhaustion. Stochastic has cooled from elevated levels, while MACD signals point to loss of bullish momentum rather than aggressive bearish acceleration. ADX suggests the trend is still developing, though recent behaviour highlights a transition from expansion to consolidation or pullback.
Volume participation remains moderate (Vol-X ~0.83), confirming that the recent decline is orderly and controlled, not panic-driven. This reduces the probability of sharp capitulation but keeps downside risk open as long as price fails to reclaim overhead supply. The current structure favours patience, with markets reassessing value after a strong prior move.
Key price references show strong overhead resistance clustered near 5931–6045 and further up around 6120, while immediate structural supports are placed near 5742, followed by 5668 and 5553, defining the current risk-reward envelope. Sustained acceptance above the resistance band would be required to restore bullish confidence, while continued trade below this zone keeps the bias tilted to the downside or range-bound with elevated volatility.
On the derivatives side, near-ATM CALLs and PUTs are referenced strictly for analytical insight into positioning behaviour. CALL-side data shows rising open interest with moderate volume expansion, indicating short build-up rather than directional strength, while PUT-side activity reflects short-covering-led participation, suggesting defensive repositioning rather than fresh aggressive bearish bets. Implied volatility remains in a relatively low-to-moderate band, pointing to measured risk pricing rather than fear-driven expansion. Overall, derivatives behaviour aligns with a cooling, non-trending phase, where conviction remains mixed and momentum-dependent.
Structure quality metrics reflect this balance. The STWP Edge Score in the moderate range highlights tradability but not high-conviction trend alignment. Liquidity remains concentrated near ATM strikes, supporting participation, but directional option structures remain sensitive to time decay and price stalling, reinforcing the importance of confirmation through price acceptance or rejection at key levels.
Overall, HEROMOTOCO is currently in a post-rally digestion phase, with bearish pressure emerging near resistance and momentum moderating. While deeper downside is possible if supports fail, the absence of capitulation volume suggests that the stock may oscillate within a defined range unless fresh directional conviction develops.
Final Outlook (Educational Snapshot):
Momentum: Neutral| Trend: Developing / Cooling | Risk: Low | Volume: Normal
⚠️ STWP Legal Disclaimer
This document is strictly for educational and informational purposes. All examples, charts, levels, and option structures discussed are illustrative and are not intended as buy, sell, or hold recommendations. STWP does not provide investment advice, trading tips, signals, or personalized financial guidance of any kind, nor is it a SEBI-registered intermediary or research analyst. The analyses, illustrations, and risk–reward structures included here are generic in nature and based on publicly available data and observed market behaviour, which may change without notice. Financial markets involve significant risk; derivatives in particular carry the potential for substantial losses. Option premiums, implied volatility, open interest, delta, and other market variables can fluctuate rapidly and unpredictably.
Readers are solely responsible for their trading decisions, capital management, and risk assessment. Before making any investment or trading decision, please consult a SEBI-registered investment advisor. STWP, its representatives, and affiliates shall not be liable for any direct or indirect loss arising from the use of this material. Historical patterns or past market behaviour do not guarantee future outcomes, nor should any part of this document be interpreted as a promise of performance, accuracy, or returns.
Position Status: No active position in this instrument at the time of analysis.
Data Source: TradingView & NSE India.
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CHFJPY – Bias-Driven HFT Buy OpportunityThis my first Idea I share in public. Bias-driven HFT buy on CHFJPY, aligned with the higher-timeframe Monthly bullish structure. Price is holding above key support and reacting from a discount zone. Entry is taken in line with structure continuation, with SL below the current daily candle and targets toward the next high maybe in next month. Risk is defined and managed as per plan.
Supreme Industries - Strong Weekly Demand Zone + Unfilled GapOn the weekly chart of Supreme Industries, price is approaching a strong confluence area near ₹3145 – ₹3200.
There are three major technical factors aligning at this zone 👇
1️⃣ Weekly Demand Zone:
Price has previously reversed from this area, showing strong buyer interest.
Now, once again, the price is testing the same zone — indicating buyers might become active again.
2️⃣ Lower Bollinger Band Support:
Currently, price is trading near the lower Bollinger Band.
Whenever price touches the lower band, a short-term pullback or bounce is often seen.
3️⃣ Unfilled Gap:
There’s also an unfilled gap around this zone, adding an extra layer of support.
If the price shows signs of reversal from this level,
a short-term upside move toward ₹4060 can be expected.
The risk–reward from this zone looks attractive (around 2:1 setup).
⚙️ Trade Plan (for Educational Purpose Only):
📍 Entry Zone: ₹3145 – ₹3200
🛑 Stop Loss: Below ₹3060
🎯 Target: ₹4060
💡 Conclusion:
This setup looks like a strong technical confluence reversal zone,
where the Demand Zone + Lower Bollinger Band + Gap Support
together create a high-probability area for buyers to step in.
Wait for bullish price action confirmation (like a strong green candle or structure break) before considering any entries.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not a buy/sell recommendation.
Always do your own research and risk management before trading.
BANKNIFTY at a Make-or-Break ZoneNIFTYBANK is currently trading at a critical confluence zone where a downward-sloping resistance trendline is meeting a well-defined rising support area on the 1-hour timeframe. This price compression indicates indecision and typically precedes a sharp directional move. The index has repeatedly respected both these levels, confirming their importance in the current structure.
On the upside, the falling resistance zone near 59,300–59,500 remains the key hurdle. A sustained breakout and close above this trendline would signal a shift in short-term momentum, opening the door for a recovery move toward 59,800 initially, followed by a potential extension toward the 60,400–60,600 zone. Such a breakout would also indicate that buyers are regaining control after the recent corrective phase.
On the downside, the green support zone around 58,700–58,850 is the immediate demand area to watch. This zone has acted as a base multiple times, and as long as Bank Nifty holds above it, pullbacks may continue to attract buyers. However, a decisive breakdown below this support would invalidate the bullish bounce scenario and could accelerate selling pressure toward 58,300 first, with a deeper downside extension possible toward the 57,200 region.
Overall, BANKNIFTY is trading inside a tightening range, signaling an imminent volatility expansion. Directional clarity will emerge only after a confirmed breakout or breakdown. Traders should remain cautious at current levels and wait for confirmation, as this is a classic decision zone where false moves are also common.
EURUSD-Short-15MThe trade was initiated based on a high-probability setup identified through a confluence of technical factors.
Higher Timeframe (HTF) Analysis: Price action on a higher timeframe (15 MIn) demonstrated a perfect retracement into a previously identified order block (OB). This order block represented an area of significant institutional selling pressure (bearish OB) that had yet to be fully mitigated.
Lower Timeframe (LTF) Confirmation: A shift to a 1-minute chart was utilized to refine the entry and gain further confirmation of the HTF bias, a technique used for precise entry and risk control.
Point of Interest (POI) Entry: A precise entry was executed upon the price reaching a specific Point of Interest (POI) within the order block zone, confirming institutional activity at that exact level.
Risk Management & Target:
Risk: A stop-loss order was strategically placed above the high of the order block, defining the maximum risk and invalidation point for the trade.
Reward: The profit target was set at the next key level of Sell-side Liquidity (SSL), located below recent swing lows, where a cluster of stop-loss orders was anticipated to reside.
NIFTY Levels for Today
Here are the NIFTY's Levels for intraday (in the image below) today. Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both.
Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level.
Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose.
Your likes and boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.
“TD Power Systems – Probable Wave‑5 Upside After Wave‑4 Correct“TD Power Systems – Probable Wave‑5 Upside After Wave‑4 Correction.”Daily Elliott Wave structure indicates a completed a‑b‑c corrective wave‑4 around 640, with price now attempting to base near 700. A fresh impulsive wave‑5 can potentially lift the stock toward 917 and 1,075 over the next few months, while a close below 640 would invalidate this bullish wave count.”
Support and Resistance Apollo Tyre CMP 499
Support and Resistance Levels.
Strong Support ~₹495–₹490 Buyer interest; recent lows
Deeper Support ~₹482–₹475 Below this could accelerate selling
Immediate Resistance ~₹508–₹516 Near-term profit targets
Major Resistance ~₹520–₹528 Breakout trigger zone
**Weekly Extended R ~₹525–₹540 Wider breakout area
Thematic and Sectoral Rotation TradingRiding Market Cycles with Strategic Precision
The financial markets do not move in a straight line. They evolve through cycles driven by economic growth, interest rates, inflation, government policies, technological innovation, and investor psychology. Within these cycles, leadership constantly shifts from one sector to another and from one powerful theme to the next. Thematic and sectoral rotation trading is a strategy that seeks to identify these shifts early and allocate capital to the areas of the market most likely to outperform at a given phase of the cycle. Instead of focusing on individual stock stories alone, this approach looks at the bigger picture, aligning trades with macroeconomic trends and structural changes in the economy.
Understanding Sectoral Rotation Trading
Sectoral rotation trading is based on the idea that different sectors perform better at different stages of the economic cycle. The economy typically moves through phases such as recovery, expansion, peak, slowdown, and recession. Each phase creates a favorable environment for specific industries.
For example, during an economic recovery, sectors like banking, real estate, automobiles, and capital goods often lead because credit growth picks up and consumer demand improves. In the expansion phase, IT services, consumer discretionary, and industrials may outperform as corporate profits grow. During periods of high inflation or uncertainty, defensive sectors such as FMCG, pharmaceuticals, and utilities tend to attract investor interest because of stable earnings. Sectoral rotation traders study these patterns and shift capital accordingly, aiming to stay invested in market leaders rather than laggards.
This approach reduces the risk of being stuck in underperforming sectors during unfavorable cycles. Instead of predicting which single stock will do well, traders focus on which sector has the wind at its back.
What is Thematic Trading?
Thematic trading goes a step beyond sectoral rotation. While sectors are broad classifications like banking, IT, or energy, themes are cross-sectoral narratives driven by long-term structural changes. A single theme can impact multiple industries simultaneously.
Examples of themes include digital transformation, renewable energy, electric vehicles, infrastructure development, defense manufacturing, China-plus-one supply chain shift, financial inclusion, and consumption growth in emerging markets. These themes often play out over several years rather than months. Thematic traders aim to identify these powerful narratives early and invest in companies that are direct or indirect beneficiaries.
Unlike sectoral rotation, which is more closely linked to economic cycles, thematic trading is driven by structural shifts that may continue even during economic slowdowns. For instance, digitization and automation can continue regardless of short-term GDP fluctuations.
The Role of Macroeconomics and Policy
Both thematic and sectoral rotation trading rely heavily on macroeconomic analysis. Interest rates, inflation, fiscal spending, monetary policy, and global economic trends act as triggers for rotation. In the Indian market, government policies play a particularly important role. Budget allocations, production-linked incentive (PLI) schemes, infrastructure spending, and reforms in banking or energy can create strong sectoral and thematic tailwinds.
For example, a rising interest rate environment may hurt rate-sensitive sectors like real estate but benefit banks through improved net interest margins. Similarly, a government push toward renewable energy can create a multi-year theme benefiting solar, wind, power equipment, and green financing companies. Traders who understand these macro-policy linkages gain a significant edge.
Time Horizon and Trading Style
Sectoral rotation trading is usually medium-term in nature, ranging from a few weeks to several months. Traders actively rebalance portfolios as leadership changes. Thematic trading, on the other hand, often suits positional or long-term investors who are willing to stay invested for years while tolerating short-term volatility.
However, both strategies can be adapted for trading if supported by technical analysis. Many traders combine top-down analysis (macro and sector/theme identification) with bottom-up analysis (stock selection and technical timing). This hybrid approach helps in entering themes and sectors at optimal points rather than chasing momentum blindly.
Tools Used in Rotation Trading
Successful thematic and sectoral rotation traders use a combination of tools:
Relative strength analysis to compare sector performance against benchmark indices
Sector indices and ETFs to track broad sector movements
Economic indicators such as PMI, inflation data, interest rates, and GDP growth
Technical indicators like moving averages, trendlines, and momentum oscillators
Earnings trends and valuations to avoid overpaying for popular themes
Relative strength is especially critical. A sector may be fundamentally strong, but if it is underperforming the broader market, capital is likely flowing elsewhere. Rotation trading is ultimately about capital flow analysis.
Advantages of Thematic and Sectoral Rotation Trading
One of the biggest advantages of this approach is alignment with market leadership. Markets reward sectors and themes where institutional money flows. By positioning in these areas, traders increase the probability of outperforming the benchmark.
Another advantage is diversification with direction. Instead of spreading capital randomly across stocks, traders diversify across high-conviction sectors or themes, reducing unsystematic risk while maintaining focus. This strategy also helps traders avoid emotional attachment to stocks and encourages a dynamic, adaptive mindset.
Risks and Challenges
Despite its advantages, thematic and sectoral rotation trading is not without risks. Themes can become overcrowded, leading to sharp corrections once expectations peak. Sectoral leadership can also change abruptly due to unexpected macro events such as geopolitical tensions, policy reversals, or global financial shocks.
Timing is another major challenge. Entering a theme too early can lead to long periods of underperformance, while entering too late can expose traders to sharp drawdowns. This is why discipline, risk management, and continuous review are essential.
The Indian Market Perspective
In India, thematic and sectoral rotation trading has gained popularity due to strong retail participation and clear policy-driven narratives. Sectors like PSU banks, infrastructure, defense, renewables, and manufacturing have shown how powerful rotations can be when aligned with economic and political trends. Indian markets are particularly sensitive to liquidity conditions and foreign institutional investor flows, making rotation strategies highly relevant.
Conclusion
Thematic and sectoral rotation trading is a sophisticated yet practical approach that bridges macroeconomic understanding with market execution. It encourages traders and investors to think beyond individual stocks and focus on where growth, capital, and narratives are converging. When executed with proper research, timing, and risk management, this strategy can help market participants stay ahead of cycles, capture leadership trends, and build sustainable performance over time. In a world of ever-changing markets, the ability to rotate intelligently is not just a skill—it is a necessity.
ETH Next Prediction || CRYPTOETH is in a macro downtrend after rejection from the 4,700–4,800 zone. Price is trading below the weekly trendline and inside a descending channel.
RSI (Weekly):
RSI has rolled over from mid-range and is heading down → weak momentum No bullish divergence visible yet.
ETH broke down from a descending channel. Price is below key Fibonacci levels (0.5 and 0.618 failed). Current price ~ 2,930–2,950 is acting as weak support, not strong demand.
Support:
2,800
2,500
2,100 (major demand)
Price is making lower highs Rejected again from descending trendline Consolidation = bear flag structure
RSI (4H):
RSI stuck between 40–50 → weak recovery, Momentum favors sellers
Disclaimer- This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial, investment, or trading advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and involve significant risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XAU/USD: Rejected at Sell, Awaiting Support Reaction◆ Market Context (M30)
Price has twice swept Liquidity Sell around the peak area but failed to hold, indicating weakening buying pressure at premium. Previously, the market had a Liquidity Sweep + Trap at the bottom, then created an upward BOS, so the current decline is seen as a rebalancing pullback, not yet a confirmed reversal.
◆ SMC & Price Action
• The upper Liquidity Sell area has been completed → profit-taking pressure appears.
• Price is returning to Support Zone 4,275 – 4,270, where it previously held and created BOS.
• Below is a large OB 4,216, acting as a liquidity attraction area if the current support is broken.
• The FVG + Fibo Sell area above is a reaction zone if the price retraces.
◆ Key Levels
• Liquidity Sell (swept): 4,345 – 4,350
• Current Support: 4,275 – 4,270
• Lower OB: 4,216
• Supply / upper target (if rebound): 4,330 → 4,360+
◆ Trading Scenarios
➤ Scenario A – Pullback BUY (priority)
• Await reaction at Support 4,275 – 4,270
• Condition: maintain structure, appearance of rejection candle / buying reaction
• Targets:
▪ 4,305
▪ 4,330
▪ extended: 4,360+
• Invalid if clearly breaks 4,257
➤ Scenario B – Deeper Pullback
• If Support 4,275 is lost
• Monitor reaction at OB 4,216
• Only BUY when a new upward CHoCH appears
➤ Scenario C – Short-term Sell Retracement
• If price retraces to FVG + Fibo Sell but does not break the peak
• Observe rejection signals for short-term SELL back to the support area
◆ Summary
• Context: upper Liquidity Sell swept → prioritize waiting for pullback.
• Decisive area: 4,275 – 4,270.
• Losing this area → potential liquidity attraction to 4,216.
• Avoid FOMO BUY at premium; wait for clear reaction at support/OB.
BTCUSD: Holding Wave X or Slipping Lower?24 Nov 2025
27 Nov 2025
1 Dec 2025
17 Dec 2025
Bitcoin is still trading inside a falling channel, and the overall structure remains corrective. The recent bounce from lower levels lacks momentum and is overlapping, which signals consolidation rather than a trend reversal. Price continues to respect channel resistance, keeping the broader bias weak.
Wave X is acting as an important support zone around 83,822 , and as long as price holds above this level, further consolidation remains possible. This area is currently absorbing selling pressure and preventing immediate continuation to the downside.
However, a decisive breakdown below Wave X would signal that the correction is not complete. In that scenario, downside momentum is likely to expand, opening the path toward the 79,650 - 75,655 zone.
Stay Tuned
@Money_Dictators
RD :)
XAUUSD – H1 TechXAUUSD – H1 Technical Analysisnical AnalysisXAUUSD – H1 Technical Analysis
Lana trades based on liquidity, with priority on price reaction 💛
Quick Summary
Market context: Midweek, gold liquidity is relatively weak as holiday sentiment starts to build
Timeframe: H1
Strategy: Buy at well-defined liquidity zones, sell psychological reactions at resistance
Expectation: No major USD news today, so strong volatility is unlikely
Market Context
The market is entering a “resting phase” as many traders begin to step back ahead of the holiday period, leading to a noticeable drop in liquidity. Today, there are no key US economic releases, so gold is likely to trade within a narrow range, with movements driven mainly by technical factors.
From a macro perspective, recent comments emphasising a clear separation between the White House and the Federal Reserve show that markets remain sensitive to inflation control. However, the short-term impact is limited, which fits a light, quick trading approach rather than holding positions for large moves.
H1 Technical View
On the H1 chart, price is moving around an equilibrium zone after previous fluctuations. Lower liquidity zones continue to provide solid support, while the upper side consists of psychological resistance levels that may trigger short-term reactions.
With weak liquidity conditions, Lana is not looking for strong breakouts. The focus remains on price reaction at clear and well-defined zones.
Intraday Trading Scenarios
Main Scenario – Buy with liquidity
Buy: 4302 – 4306
SL: 4298
This area shows a clear concentration of liquidity. If price revisits this zone and structure holds, a technical rebound is highly possible.
Secondary Scenario – Sell scalping at resistance
Sell: 4351 – 4355
SL: 4360
This sell setup is purely for scalping, taking advantage of psychological reactions near resistance. It is not preferred to hold sell positions for long under current market conditions.
Trading Notes
Weak liquidity → reduce position size, prioritise quick profits
Avoid expecting large moves in the absence of major USD news
Observe price reaction at key zones; avoid entering trades in the middle of the range
Lana’s Note 🌿
Each scenario represents just one of many possible outcomes in the market. Lana always prioritises account protection, uses clear stop losses, and is ready to stay out if price does not return to the planned zones.
XAU/USD: Trendline support awaits confirmation for gains.◆ Market Context (M30)
The price is maintaining an uptrend with higher lows, supported by the rising trendline. After a correction, the market reacted with buying at Support ~4,275, indicating that the flow of funds protecting the structure is still present. Currently, the price is entering the Liquidity + Fibo zone—a decisive area for the next move.
◆ SMC & Price Action
• The uptrend structure remains valid as long as the trendline + support 4,275 is held.
• Liquidity + Fibo ~4,300 is a short-term reaction zone (prone to fluctuations).
• Supply Zone ~4,349 is the upper liquidity target; reactions here need to be observed.
• A clear break of 4,275 will weaken the short-term uptrend structure.
◆ Key Levels
• Support: 4,275
• Liquidity + Fibo: ~4,300
• Supply / Target: 4,349
• Invalid: clear break below 4,275
◆ Trading Scenarios
➤ Scenario A – Pullback BUY (priority)
• Wait for price holding reaction around 4,300 (or slight pullback to trendline)
• Condition: candle rejects decline / holds HL
• Targets:
▪ 4,330
▪ 4,349 (Supply)
➤ Scenario B – Break & Continue
• If price closes candle above 4,300
• Follow the trend up to 4,349, manage risk at Supply
➤ Scenario C – Breakdown (defensive)
• If 4,275 is broken
• Price may return to test lower areas → stay out/wait for new bullish CHoCH
◆ Summary
• Trend: Bullish when > 4,275.
• Decisive zone: Liquidity + Fibo ~4,300.
• Upper target: 4,349.
• Avoid FOMO; prioritize pullback along trendline.
Safe Enterprises Retail Fixtures LtdDate 17.12.2025
Safe Enterprises Retail Fixtures
Timeframe : 4 Hours Chart
About
It designs, manufactures, supplies, and installs shop fittings and retail fixtures, providing customized solutions across various retail segments such as fashion, electronics, and department stores.
Product Portfolio
(1) Modular storage racks and systems
(2) Cabinets, partition systems
(3) Display tables and counters
(4) Digital display screens and touch monitors
(5) Electrified shop fittings with IoT applications like Lift and Learn
(6) Eight engineered shop fitting lines
Revenue Bifurcation
(1) Domestic Sales: 98.69%
(2) Exports: 1.31%
Domestic Revenue Bifurcation
(1) Maharashtra – 17.46%
(2) Karnataka – 11.00%
(3) Telangana – 8.14%
(4) Uttar Pradesh – 7.78%
(5) Gujarat – 7.54%
(6) The remaining 48.05%
Valuations
(1) Market Cap ₹ 1,281 Cr
(2) Stock Pe 23.1
(3) Roce 96.4 %
(4) Roe 77.6 %
(5) Book Value 5.5X
(6) Opm 36%
(7) Promoter 70%
(8) Profit Growth (TTM) 70%
(9) EV/Ebita 16.25
(10) PEG 0.06
Regards,
Ankur
SUPREMEIND High-Volume Reversal Attempt💹 Supreme Industries Ltd (NSE: SUPREMEIND)
Sector: Consumer Durables / Plastics | CMP: 3405.8
View: Neutral to Bullish — High-Volume Reversal Attempt
SUPREMEIND has witnessed a sharp corrective phase from its prior swing high near 4739, followed by a decisive reaction from the lower demand zone around the 3180–3320 region. The recent price action is marked by a strong bullish candle supported by exceptionally high volume, signalling aggressive short covering and fresh participation rather than a low-quality bounce. Despite the strength of the reaction, the broader structure remains a recovery attempt within a larger corrective framework, with price still trading below key medium- and long-term moving averages.
From a structural perspective, the stock is attempting to stabilize after a prolonged decline, with RSI at 43.65 recovering from oversold conditions and moving back into a neutral-to-healthy zone. Stochastic has exited oversold territory, while MACD remains negative but shows early signs of deceleration in downside momentum. ADX reflects a strong directional phase, although current behaviour suggests the trend is transitioning rather than fully reversed. Volume participation is notably elevated (Vol-X 3.86), confirming that the recent move is driven by active repositioning rather than passive mean reversion.
Key price references show overhead supply zones clustered near 3456–3592, while immediate structural support remains around 3320–3184, defining the current risk-reward envelope. A sustained hold above the reclaimed short-term averages would be required to improve structural confidence, while failure to hold recent demand may keep the stock range-bound with elevated volatility.
On the derivatives side, the 3400 CALL is used strictly as an analytical reference to understand positioning behaviour. The option reflects LTP near 72 with a delta of 0.55, indicating strong directional sensitivity. OI contraction of approximately 18 percent combined with an explosive volume expansion of over 1300 percent clearly points to short-covering-led participation rather than fresh leveraged longs. IV remains in a moderate zone, suggesting volatility is present but not excessively priced. This configuration typically aligns with sharp reactive moves, though continuation depends on follow-through in the underlying.
Structure quality metrics remain constructive, with an STWP Edge Score near 6.8/10, supported by liquidity proximity to ATM, balanced IV conditions and strong participation. However, directional options remain highly sensitive to time decay and price stalling, reinforcing the importance of momentum persistence in such environments. Smart positioning currently reflects improving sentiment, though confirmation would require sustained price acceptance above near-term resistance bands.
Overall, SUPREMEIND is exhibiting a high-volume reversal attempt with improving internal momentum, but the broader trend remains in a rebuilding phase. Structural confirmation, moving-average reclaim and contraction-to-expansion behaviour will be critical in determining whether this move evolves into a trend or remains a reactive bounce.
Final Outlook (Educational Snapshot):
Momentum: Strong (Short-Term) | Trend: Recovering / Transitional | Risk: High | Volume: Very High
⚠️ STWP Legal Disclaimer
This document is strictly for educational and informational purposes. All examples, charts, levels, and option structures discussed are illustrative and are not intended as buy, sell, or hold recommendations. STWP does not provide investment advice, trading tips, signals, or personalized financial guidance of any kind, nor is it a SEBI-registered intermediary or research analyst. The analyses, illustrations, and risk–reward structures included here are generic in nature and based on publicly available data and observed market behaviour, which may change without notice. Financial markets involve significant risk; derivatives in particular carry the potential for substantial losses. Option premiums, implied volatility, open interest, delta, and other market variables can fluctuate rapidly and unpredictably.
Readers are solely responsible for their trading decisions, capital management, and risk assessment. Before making any investment or trading decision, please consult a SEBI-registered investment advisor. STWP, its representatives, and affiliates shall not be liable for any direct or indirect loss arising from the use of this material. Historical patterns or past market behaviour do not guarantee future outcomes, nor should any part of this document be interpreted as a promise of performance, accuracy, or returns.
Position Status: No active position in this instrument at the time of analysis.
Data Source: TradingView & NSE India.
💬 Found this useful?
🔼 Boost this post to support structured learning
✍️ Share your thoughts or questions in the comments
🔁 Forward this to traders who value clean technical studies
👉 Follow for disciplined, structured, STWP-style analysis
🚀 Stay Calm. Stay Clean. Trade With Patience.
Trade Smart | Learn Zones | Be Self-Reliant 📊
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 18th December 2025NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 26000 – 26050 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 26250 – 26300 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 25625 – 25575 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 25400 – 25350 range.
Sentiment is range bound to negative and profit booking expected near the resistance zone.
NIFTY Weekly AI Bands | Mid-Week Structure & Trade ContextWe are in middle of week and Wednesday market trading hours are going to close soon.
This chart shows weekly NeuralFlow AI bands plotted on a 15-minute NIFTY chart. These are contextual levels, not signals, designed to define where price matters as the week progresses.
By Wednesday, market behavior around these levels usually sets the tone for Thursday–Friday.
What These AI Bands Measure
The NeuralFlow Forecast Engine™ is a proprietary Artificial Intelligence framework trained to identify rebalancing zones, not breakout targets. It maps auction behavior, not trader sentiment.
The bands highlight:
Where price prefers to stabilize
Where expansion starts losing strength
Where moves historically exhaust
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Key Weekly AI Levels (This Week)
Upper Structure
Predictive Rail (Upper): 26,146
Outer / Extreme Upper Zone: 26,400 – 26,700
Balance
AI Equilibrium: 25,955
Mid-Equilibrium: 25,910
Lower Structure
Outer Lower Zone: 25,483
Extreme Lower Zone: 25,293
Please NOTE: These are weekly reference levels, not intraday targets.
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Mid-Week Read (Wednesday)
Earlier this week, NIFTY moved above equilibrium (25,955) but failed to hold.
Price has since:
Rotated back below equilibrium
Stabilized in the lower half of the weekly range
Shown controlled selling, not panic
This suggests value is shifting lower, not a trending breakdown.
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How to Use These Levels
Below Equilibrium (Below 25,955)
Long trades have lower probability
Rallies toward 25,955–26,146 are corrective
Prefer sell-on-rallies, not breakout longs
Middle of the Range (25,700–25,900 approx.)
Choppy price action
High stop-loss risk
Avoid trading here
Lower Zones (25,483 → 25,293)
Risk becomes better defined
Avoid fresh shorts into these levels
Watch for slowing momentum or rejection
These zones often produce end-of-week responses.
What Would Change the Structure?
Acceptance above 25,955
→ Balance restored, longs regain edge
Acceptance below 25,483
→ Downside discovery toward lower extremes
Rejection from 25,293–25,483
→ Likely rotation higher, not trend reversal
Acceptance means holding, not just touching.
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Thursday–Friday Playbook
Below 25,955
→ Prefer selling rallies
→ Avoid chasing upside moves
Above 25,955 with acceptance
→ Shorts lose edge
→ Upside rotations toward 26,146 possible
Near 25,483–25,293
→ Reduce shorts
→ Watch for bounce or range formation
Final Takeaway
NIFTY has:
Tested fair value at 25,955
Failed to accept it
Settled lower in the weekly structure
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The goal is not prediction.The goal is trading only at meaningful levels.
Wait for price to reach where risk makes sense. Everything else is noise.
Happy trading!
EURUSD Monthly View – Trendline Breakout Sustained, Weekly Flag EURUSD has already broken above the key trendline and sustained, confirming bullish momentum. On the monthly chart, the pair is testing the previous high — a clean breakout and sustained close above this level could trigger fresh long opportunities and mark the start of a new uptrend.
On the weekly timeframe, a flag pattern is forming and appears close to breaking out. If confirmed, this would align with the broader bullish bias and strengthen the case for continuation to the upside, supp FX:EURUSD orted by higher‑high and higher‑low structure.






















