Nifty - Weekly Review Oct 13 to Oct 17Price has been facing resistance at the 25320 zone and has been unable to break through it on Friday. If we have a gap-down opening due to the weakness in global markets, 24900 - 25000 can act as a support zone. 24900 to 25000 can become choppy if there is no trend strength. If the support is broken, the next support will be 24600.
Let us assume we have a gap down opening near 25000.
Buy if there is any bullish strength above 25000 with the stop loss of 24950 for the targets 25040, 25080, 25120, 25200, 25280, 24320, 25360, and 24420.
Sell below 24880 with the stop loss of 24930 for the targets 24840, 24800, 24740, 24680, 24620, 24560, 24520, 24480, and 24400.
Always do your own analysis before taking any trade.
Community ideas
PGEL: Suggest Momentum ShiftPG Electroplast Ltd. (PGEL) has recently shown signs of emerging strength after a prolonged phase of consolidation. Over the last two trading sessions, the stock has demonstrated upward momentum, suggesting a possible attempt to break out of its range-bound structure. This observation is supported by several technical factors:
1. Moving Averages & Volume Dynamics
The stock has successfully closed above the 20-day EMA, indicating short-term bullish sentiment.
It is currently trading near the 50-day EMA, although it has not yet closed above this level. The recent price movement has been accompanied by increased trading volume, which may reflect growing market participation.
2. Change of Character (CHOCH)
The break above the 20-day EMA, despite the price not closing above the 50-day EMA, may signal a CHOCH. This is often interpreted by technical analysts as a potential shift in trend direction, particularly from bearish to neutral or bullish.
3. RSI Momentum
The RSI has moved above the 60 level, suggesting strengthening momentum. This level is typically viewed as a transition zone between neutral and bullish conditions.
4. MACD Signal
A bullish crossover on the MACD indicator has occurred on the daily timeframe. This crossover may indicate a potential shift in momentum, especially when supported by price structure and volume.
Breakout Confirmation Level:
A sustained close above ₹597 could be interpreted as a breakout from the consolidation zone. If this level is cleared with volume support, the next potential resistance may lie near ₹712 , based on historical price action. The lower boundary of the recent consolidation zone, around ₹494 , may act as a support level. This area could be monitored for potential retests or invalidation of the breakout attempt.
Disclaimer: This analysis is intended for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Market participants are encouraged to conduct their own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
EURGBP MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC-Built to Compound, Poised to BreakoutNSE:ABSLAMC
🔹 Fundamental Overview
Business Strength—One of India’s leading asset management companies, part of the Aditya Birla Group; operates across mutual funds, PMS, and AIF segments.
Financial Health – Debt-free balance sheet with excellent profitability and high cash reserves.
Profitability Metrics – ROE around 28%, ROA near 25%, and net margins above 50%, indicating strong operational efficiency.
Growth Trend – Revenue and net profit are both growing at ~20–25% YoY, supported by rising AUM and stable fee income.
Valuation—Trades near 24× P/E and 6–7× P/B; premium valuation justified by brand strength and consistency, but limits margin of safety.
Dividend Policy – Moderate yield (~1.5–1.7%) with regular payouts; good for long-term income seekers.
Key Positives—Strong parentage, scalable business, high ROE, and steady market share gains.
Key Risks—Market-linked revenues, fee compression risk, and competition from passive products and fintechs.
🔹 Technical Overview
Trend Bias—The long-term trend remains bullish, with the price comfortably above the 50-DMA (₹838) and 200-DMA (₹748).
Momentum – RSI around 55–60, neutral to mildly positive; no overbought signs.
Trend Strength – ADX below 20 shows consolidation; potential for trend expansion if volume picks up.
Crucial Support Zone – ₹ 815 – ₹ 830; strong base for accumulation.
Resistance Zone – ₹ 854 – ₹ 860; a breakout above this range may trigger a sustained rally.
Long-Term Projection – 2,500+++ possible over 3–5 years in favorable market conditions.
Risk Control – Maintain stop-loss below ₹ 810 for long positions; trail profits once above ₹ 900.
🔹 Investor Takeaway
Outlook—Fundamentally robust, financially sound, and technically poised for breakout after consolidation.
Strategy—Ideal for gradual accumulation on dips and adding on confirmed breakouts above ₹ 860.
Time Horizon – Best suited for 1–5 year investors seeking stable compounding from a high-quality financial business.
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⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only.
We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors.
This is our personal view based on available data and market trends.
Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content.
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Trade Secrets By Pratik
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VBL Looking Bearish??!!!VBL - On Weekly timeframe,
Inverted cup&handle pattern and a breakdown visible!!! (shown below)
On Dailytimeframe,
VBL is travelling inside a Descending channel pattern making highs and lowerhighs...lows and lowerlows...
SL & Target levels shown @ chart!!!
Let's wait & watch!!!
Thank you!!!
Just my view...not a tip nor advice!!!!
Bitcoin – Rising Structure Still Intact, Bulls Aren’t Done YetBitcoin (BTCUSD) continues to respect its rising structure , even after a sharp pullback from the resistance zone near 125K. While short-term traders might see this as weakness, price action tells a different story, the overall structure is still intact and favors the bulls.
Notice how BTC once again bounced from the ascending trendline support, confirming that institutional buyers are still active around these zones. The recent rejection was from a well-defined major resistance area , but as long as Bitcoin holds above the rising support band, the bias remains positive.
A breakout above 125K will open the doors for another impulsive leg toward 130K+ levels . On the downside, any sustained drop below 107K could temporarily shift momentum, but so far, there’s no structural damage visible.
Analysis By @TraderRahulPal (TradingView Moderator)
If this structure analysis helped you, like and follow for more insights on BTC’s long-term cycles.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
Gold–Bullish Reversal Setup from Extreme POI Toward 4060 TargetTimeframe: 30-minute chart (XAU/USD – Gold Spot vs U.S. Dollar)
Market Structure:
Price made a structural low (SMT) around the $$$ liquidity zone.
A Market Structure Shift (MSS) occurred as price broke above short-term highs.
POI (Point of Interest) Zones:
High Probability POI: Previous accumulation zone that caused a bullish impulse.
Extreme POI: Current demand zone (around 3960–3980), where price is rebounding.
Current Price Action:
Price has reacted bullishly from the Extreme POI.
The breakout above MSS signals possible continuation to the upside.
Target Zone:
The shaded grey target area (~4060–4080) aligns with previous liquidity highs.
Bias:
Bullish short-term bias toward 4060–4080 zone, assuming the demand zone holds.
Break below Extreme POI would invalidate the setup and suggest deeper retracement.
XAUUSD | Bulls Maintain Weekly ControlGold continues to display firm momentum as investor confidence remains stable despite short-term fluctuations. The latest weekly candle structure shows price holding within a steady consolidation range, signaling accumulation rather than weakness. Market behavior suggests large participants are preparing for another expansion phase after absorbing liquidity in the lower zones.
Institutional interest remains evident, with consistent buying pressure observed on dips, indicating sustained optimism for further growth. The current behavior aligns with broader market sentiment favoring safe-haven assets amid global uncertainty. Overall, Gold retains its dominance as capital flows stay supportive of the uptrend, positioning the metal for renewed strength in the upcoming sessions.
XAUUSD / GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION – 12.10.25The 1H structure is showing a clean breakout and retest, indicating strong bullish continuation.
✅ Technical Breakdown:
Price broke above the resistance zone and retested the breakout level, confirming support at $4,007–$4,012.
Fibonacci 0.618 Golden Ratio aligned with the support adds confluence for a long setup.
An upward trendline is being respected, signaling controlled bullish structure.
A fair value gap remains unfilled below, but since it’s in the order block zone, it’s less likely to break for a sell.
Strong bullish momentum candles indicate buyers in control.
🎯 Targets:
TP1: $4,030 (Resistance R1)
TP2: $4,050 (Resistance R2 / ATH Zone)
🛡️ Invalidation:
A clean break below $3,996 (order block zone) would weaken this bullish projection.
📈 Summary:
Entry: $4,007–$4,012 zone after retest
TP1: $4,030
TP2: $4,050
SL: Below $3,996
Bias: Bullish
Timeframe: 1H
⚠️ Always use proper risk management and follow the trend structure.
NIFTY 50 PUT 25450 (14 OCT 2025)BUY SETUP:
Buy near 159.55 level
Maintain 2-point Stop Loss below entry (tight risk control)
Confirm entry only after a green candle closes above the buy level with supporting volume
SELL / PROFIT BOOKING ZONE:
Partial profit booking near 172.65 – 180.00
Max Profit Book Zone: 186.25 – 190.00
This area aligns with EMA 12 resistance, so expect possible rejection or pullback
⚠️ WARNING / DISCLAIMER:
This chart and analysis are for educational purposes only.
It is not financial advice or a trading recommendation.
Trade at your own risk — always confirm signals with volume and candle structure before entering any position.
IDEA ABOUT 25300 PUT IN NIFTYBUY SETUP:
Buy near 70.50 level
Maintain 2-point Stop Loss below entry (tight risk control)
Confirm entry only after a green candle closes above the buy level with supporting volume
SELL / PROFIT BOOKING ZONE:
Partial profit booking near 78.90
Max Profit Book Zone: 88.50
This area aligns with EMA 7 resistance, so expect possible rejection or pullback
⚠️ WARNING / DISCLAIMER:
This chart and analysis are for educational purposes only.
It is not financial advice or a trading recommendation.
Trade at your own risk — always confirm signals with volume and candle structure before entering any position.
Nifty - Expiry day analysis Oct 14Price moved within a very narrow range today between 25150 and 25250. Nearby resistance is seen at the 25300 - 25320 zone. And nearby support is at the 25000 zone. Bank Nifty was bullish and did not fall, giving strength to Nifty to sustain above 25150.
Let us assume the price opens flat without any big gap up or gap down. In that case, buy above 25200 with the stop loss of 25150 for the targets 25240, 25280, 25320, 25380 and 25420.
Sell below 25100 with the stop loss of 25150 for the targets 25060, 25020, 24980, 24920 and 24880.
Expected expiry day range is 24900 to 25400.
Always do your own analysis before taking any trade.
Nifty ready for 26000After the Shakeout on Wednesday, NSE:NIFTY gave two consecutive green candles and pushed the index above 25300.
That was a key resistance level, and it got broken on Friday.
Now Nifty’s Pivot has shifted up to 25257, which also sits above a major resistance zone.
On the intraday chart, the index shows a possible pullback towards the support at 25222. If that happens, it’ll be a great opportunity to accumulate some longs.
Resistance for tomorrow is at 25335.
Pivot Percentile is tight, which means if this resistance breaks, we could see a sharp rally towards 26000 very soon.
My view remains bullish from both swing and positional perspectives.
Market breadth looks positive, and the overall environment supports continued strength. So, stocks should perform well next week.
Sectors looking strong — #PSUBanks and #Finance.
Also, Auto Parts and #Tyres industry setups are forming nicely.
FnO stock for the next week: #LAURUSLABS
That’s all for the day. Take care and have a profitable tomorrow.
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📊 Levels at a glance:
Pivot: 25257
Support: 25222 (good zone to accumulate)
Resistance: 25335 (break = rally towards 26000)
Pivot Percentile: Tight (sharp move possible)
Bias: Bullish for swing and positional trades
Sectors to watch: NSE:CNXPSUBANK , NSE:CNXFINANCE , Auto Parts, Tyres
FnO Focus: NSE:LAURUSLABS
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 13-Oct-2025NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 13-Oct-2025
📊 Chart Timeframe: 15-Minutes
📍 Last Close: 25,278.20 | 🔽 -6.00 pts (-0.02%)
📅 Analysis Type: Psychological + Technical Levels-Based
🔍 Key Technical Levels to Watch
🟥 Last Intraday Resistance: 25,427
🟧 Opening Resistance: 25,364
🟠 Opening Support: 25,247
🟩 Last Intraday Support: 25,169
🟢 Major Support Zone: 25,078
🚀 Scenario 1 – Gap Up Opening (100+ pts above 25,380)
If Nifty opens above 25,380, it will enter a near-resistance zone between 25,364 – 25,427, making the early session crucial for direction confirmation.
In case the index sustains above 25,427 for 15–30 minutes with supportive volume, it could trigger a momentum rally toward 25,520–25,593 levels.
Avoid aggressive long entries immediately at open — instead, wait for a controlled pullback or retest near 25,364–25,400, which can offer a low-risk long entry zone.
If rejection candles appear near 25,427, it may indicate short-term profit booking. In that case, downside retracement toward 25,247 can occur.
A sustained failure to hold above 25,364 post-gap-up could turn the session choppy, so trade with confirmation.]
💡 Educational Insight:
Gap-up openings near resistance zones often invite emotional buying. Wait for the market to confirm strength through structure — not just price. Watch volume and candle behavior closely before acting.
⚖️ Scenario 2 – Flat Opening (Around 25,250 ± 50 pts)
A flat opening around the previous close keeps Nifty within the decision zone between 25,247 – 25,364.
If Nifty sustains above 25,364, bulls may regain control with upside potential toward 25,427 and then 25,593.
Failure to hold above 25,247 can trigger mild profit booking, dragging prices toward 25,169 — the last intraday support.
A bounce from 25,169 can act as a low-risk buy setup with strict stop loss below 25,078.
If a 15-min candle closes below 25,078, it confirms short-term weakness; sellers can then aim for 25,000–24,950 zones.]
🧠 Educational Tip:
Flat openings give the best opportunity to follow structure-based breakouts. Don’t predict — let price action dictate direction. Wait for a clear breakout above 25,364 or breakdown below 25,169 for a decisive trade setup.
📉 Scenario 3 – Gap Down Opening (100+ pts below 25,180)
If Nifty opens below 25,180, sentiment will lean negative, but watch how it reacts near the 25,078 major support zone.
A bounce from 25,078 can offer a relief rally toward 25,169–25,247, especially if short covering kicks in.
However, a breakdown and 15-min close below 25,078 may extend weakness toward 24,950–24,900.
Avoid chasing shorts aggressively at open — instead, wait for a pullback toward resistance near 25,169–25,200 to re-enter with better risk-reward.
The key here is patience — let the initial volatility settle before entering positions.]
💬 Educational Note:
Gap-down openings near major support often create traps. Let confirmation come through a strong close — don’t rely solely on the first few minutes of panic or excitement.
🛡️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders
Limit your risk to 2%–3% of total trading capital per trade.
Use 15-min or hourly candle close to confirm breakouts and stop losses.
Trade ATM or slightly ITM options to minimize time decay.
Avoid over-leveraging during high-volatility gap openings.
Consider using spreads (Bull Call / Bear Put) to hedge against rapid time decay.
Book partial profits once your trade achieves a 1:1 risk/reward to protect gains.
Avoid holding options beyond 2:45 PM, as theta decay intensifies in the final hour. ⏳]
📊 Summary & Conclusion
Nifty continues to hover in a tight consolidation range, with key resistance at 25,427 and support at 25,078.
A breakout above 25,427 can trigger fresh bullish momentum toward 25,593, while a breakdown below 25,078 may open the path for 24,950.
Patience, disciplined execution, and confirmation-based entries are essential — avoid emotional trading during gap openings.
Remember: The best trades are those backed by both structure and timing, not prediction.]
🎯 Focus Zones for 13-Oct-2025:
🟩 Buyers’ Zone: 25,169 → 25,078
🟥 Sellers’ Zone: 25,364 → 25,427
📢 Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . This analysis is meant purely for educational and informational purposes. Traders are advised to perform their own research or consult a certified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Ixigo (W) - At a Crossroad: Bullish Trend vs. Bearish PatternAfter a spectacular run-up, Ixigo (Le Travenues Technology Ltd) has entered a sideways consolidation phase. The current price action presents conflicting technical signals, placing the stock at a critical inflection point where it could either be pausing before another surge or forming a major top.
The Powerful Backdrop
Since April 2025, Ixigo has been in a powerful bull market, delivering an extraordinary gain of approximately 166% in just a few months. Following this rapid ascent, the stock's strong momentum has paused since August 2025, with the price now trading within a well-defined horizontal range.
The Current Dilemma: Two Competing Scenarios
The technical picture offers two distinct and competing interpretations:
1. The Bullish Case (A Healthy Consolidation):
This perspective views the current phase as a normal and healthy pause, where the stock is building energy for its next advance. This argument is supported by:
- Strong Underlying Momentum: Key indicators like the short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) remain in a bullish positive crossover state, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is still rising, suggesting the primary uptrend remains intact.
2. The Bearish Warning (A Potential Reversal):
Conversely, there are clear warning signs that the rally could be losing steam:
- Potential Double-Top: A Double-Top pattern , a classic bearish reversal signal, appears to be forming at the upper boundary of the trading range.
- Elevated Volume: Typically in a bullish consolidation, volume tends to decrease. However, volume has remained relatively high during this phase, which at a potential peak, can be a sign of distribution (selling) rather than accumulation.
Conclusion and Key Triggers to Watch
Ixigo is currently in a state of equilibrium, and a breakout from the current range is required for confirmation of the next directional move.
- Bullish Trigger: A decisive close above the range's resistance would invalidate the Double-Top pattern and signal a continuation of the uptrend. This would open a path towards the ₹380 level.
- Bearish Trigger: A decisive close below the range's support would confirm the Double-Top pattern, suggesting the bullish momentum has faded and a correction towards the ₹275 level could be imminent.
Until either of these levels is breached, patience is warranted. The direction of the break from this consolidation will be the key to identifying the stock's next major trend.
SOUTH INDIAN BANK LTD ANALYSISFOR LEARNING PURPOSE
SOUTH INDIAN BANK LTD- The current price of SOUTH INDIAN BANK is 34.26 rupees
I am going to buy this stock because of the reasons as follows-
1. Its making 52W high with some good volume (sign of strength)
2. It got a great buying force and moved up by 440% in 2022-2023 (which shows smart money)
3. It is showing better relative strength as it stood strong in volatile times including last few weeks.
4. The risk and reward is favourable. The good part- The stock is not extended.
5. The stock can be a good turnaround story if it does great in coming time.
6. The stock has got a good catalyst and that is- Mutual Funds and FIIs have increased their stake in this stock.
They have gone aggressive in that.
7. Another good part- The sector is looking bullish. Private Bank sector is getting better and things go well, we can see ATH soon in this sector.
I am expecting more from this in coming weeks
I will buy it with minimum target of 35-40% and then will trail after that.
My SL is at 29.80 rupees
I will be managing my risk.
DMARTHello & welcome to this analysis
DMART has usually reversed regularly from Harmonic Patterns as can be seen in this chart in daily time from a
Bullish Reciprocal ABCD
to a
Bearish Deep Crab
to now forming a
Bullish Reciprocal ABCD
If it sustains above 4200 then it could give a probable bounce/reversal to 4400 & 4550 indicating a good risk : reward ratio
All the best
Symmetrical Triangle & Parallel Channel CoexistenceThis weekly chart of Tara Chand Infralogistic Solutions Ltd. serves as a case study in identifying and analyzing overlapping price action structures in 3 Main Points -
1) The chart highlights a well-defined symmetrical triangle pattern, with one white line representing the counter-trendline (CT) and another as the primary trendline (T), illustrating the process of volatility contraction.
2) Overlaid within the triangle, a clearly marked parallel channel (in pink) frames the intermediate price swings during the recent consolidation. The channel illustrates rotational movement within the broader consolidation envelope, mapping the climb and retracement cycles more granularly.
3) Volume, Fibonacci retracement levels, and the shaded value area further reinforce the chart’s impartial focus on structure, without implying directionality. This example serves as a valuable reference for recognizing multi-pattern contexts and appreciating how classical patterns—when viewed together—help decode complex phases of price organization.
- Disclaimer: Trading involves significant risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research, consider seeking advice from a qualified financial advisor, and trade only with capital you can afford to lose.