BTC | 8H Technical Structure UpdateBTC | 8H Technical Structure Update
Price Is Printing A Clear Ascending Triangle With Consistent Higher Lows Pressing Into A Well-Defined Horizontal Supply Zone At $94,500
Key Technical Levels:
🔹 Range High / Supply: $94,500 → $107,000
🔹 Ascending Trendline (Dynamic Demand): ~$88,000
🔹 HTF Demand / Structural Support: $78,000
Market Structure Read:
🔹 Compression Phase Ongoing
🔹 Volatility Expansion Imminent
🔹 Trendline Continues To Act As Acceptance Support
🔹 Liquidity Resting Above Range High
Scenarios:
✔️ 8H Close Above $94500 → Range Expansion Toward $106K+
❌ Loss Of Ascending Trendline → Structural Rotation To $78K
Market Is At Decision Point. Wait For Acceptance, Not Anticipation.
Community ideas
MTARTECH: Trendline BO with Fresh Momentun, Chart of the WeekNSE:MTARTECH Trendline Breakout after Signals Fresh Momentum as BofA Takes Stake in It. Let us understand it in the "Chart of the Week."
As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate.
Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Price Action Overview:
- Current Price: ₹2,689.70 (+13.38%)
- 52-Week High: ₹2,920.35
- 52-Week Low: ₹1,155.60
- The stock has broken out from a multi-month symmetrical triangle pattern with strong volumes
- Price is currently trading 8% below its all-time high, showing recovery momentum
- A recent breakout occurred with significant volume expansion (6.66M vs the average of 2.38M)
Volume Spread Analysis:
- Current Volume: 6.66M (significantly above average)
- Average Volume: 2.38M
- Volume Spike: Nearly 3x the average, confirming strong institutional interest
- Breakout accompanied by highest volume in recent months
- Volume expansion during up-moves and contraction during corrections is a bullish sign
- Green volume bars dominating in recent sessions indicating buying pressure
Symmetrical Triangle Breakout:
- Formation Period: Mid-2024 to Early 2026
- Apex Point: Around ₹1,600-1,700 zone
- Breakout Level: ₹2,400-2,450
- Pattern indicates consolidation followed by directional move
- Breakout suggests potential continuation of the prior uptrend from 2022 to 2023
Descending Trendline Break:
- A major descending trendline resistance from the 2023 peak has been decisively broken
- This trendline acted as resistance throughout 2024-2025
- Break confirms shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Major Support Zones:
- Immediate Support: ₹2,400-2,450 (breakout zone and recent consolidation)
- Secondary Support: ₹2,200-2,250 (previous resistance turned support)
- Strong Support: ₹1,900-2,000 (triangle mid-point and psychological level)
- Critical Support: ₹1,600-1,700 (triangle apex and long-term support)
Major Resistance Zones:
- Immediate Resistance: ₹2,750-2,800 (short-term supply zone)
- Major Resistance: ₹2,900-2,920 (all-time high zone)
- Psychological Resistance: ₹3,000 (round number psychological barrier)
Base Formation:
- Primary Base: The symmetrical triangle from mid-2024 to early 2026 represents a consolidation base
- This base formed after a significant decline from the 2023 highs
- Base width suggests potential for sustained upward movement
- The longer consolidation typically leads to stronger breakouts
Trend Analysis:
- Short-term Trend (Daily): Bullish with strong momentum
- Medium-term Trend (Weekly): Transitioning from consolidation to bullish
- Long-term Trend (Monthly): In recovery phase after 2023-2024 correction
- Price trading above key moving average levels post-breakout
Sectoral Backdrop:
Clean Energy and Nuclear Power Sector:
- India's nuclear power capacity expansion plans gaining momentum
- Government targeting 100 GW nuclear capacity by 2047
- Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) emerging as key focus area
- Global shift toward carbon-neutral energy boosting nuclear power demand
- MTAR is positioned as a key supplier to India's nuclear program
Defense Manufacturing Sector:
- India's defense budget increased to ₹6.21 lakh crore for FY25
- The government's 'Aatmanirbhar Bharat' initiative driving domestic defense manufacturing
- Capital outlay for defense modernization supporting equipment manufacturers
- Private sector participation in defense production expanding
- MTAR supplies critical components to defence applications, including missile systems
Space Technology Sector:
- ISRO's increasing launch frequency and ambitious missions
- Private space sector opening up with policy reforms
- Growing demand for satellite components and launch vehicle parts
- India positioning itself as a low-cost space launch provider globally
- MTAR manufactures precision components for space applications
Industrial and Clean Energy Equipment:
- India's renewable energy target of 500 GW by 2030
- Growing demand for precision-engineered components in various industries
- Export opportunities expanding in specialized manufacturing
- The government's PLI schemes supporting manufacturing competitiveness
Fundamental Backdrop:
Company Overview:
- MTAR Technologies is a precision engineering solutions company
- Specializes in manufacturing critical and precision components
- Serves diversified sectors: Nuclear, Defense, Space, and Clean Energy
- Established reputation with marquee clients including ISRO, BARC, DRDO
- Listed on NSE and BSE in March 2021
Recent Key Developments:
- BofA Securities (Bank of America) has reportedly acquired a stake in the company
- This institutional interest signals confidence in the company's growth prospects
- The timing of the stake acquisition coinciding with technical breakout is noteworthy
- Institutional buying often precedes sustained upward moves
Business Strengths:
- Strong order book visibility across multiple sectors
- High entry barriers due to specialized manufacturing capabilities
- Long-term relationships with government and PSU clients
- Diversified revenue streams reducing concentration risk
- Focus on high-margin precision engineering products
Growth Drivers:
- Expanding nuclear power program in India
- Increasing defense indigenization requirements
- Growing space sector opportunities with ISRO and private players
- Clean energy transition driving demand for specialized components
- Potential for export growth in precision engineering
Key Metrics to Watch:
- Order book growth and execution
- Revenue mix across different sectors
- Operating margins and profitability trends
- Capacity utilization and expansion plans
- Working capital management
Risk Factors:
- Failure to hold ₹2,400 support could trigger profit booking
- Market-wide correction could impact momentum
- Any negative news on key sectors (defence/nuclear) could affect sentiment
- Overbought conditions in the near term may lead to consolidation
Key Levels to Watch:
- Breakout Confirmation: Sustained trade above ₹2,700
- Momentum Acceleration: Break above ₹2,920 (all-time high)
- Support Test: How price behaves if it retests ₹2,400-2,450 zone
- Volume Sustenance: Whether high volumes continue or fade
My 2 Cents:
MTAR Technologies is showing a strong technical setup following a prior symmetrical triangle breakout and current trendline breakout with exceptional volumes. The combination of technical breakout, institutional interest from BofA Securities, and favorable sectoral tailwinds in nuclear, defense, and space sectors creates a compelling case. However, traders should watch for confirmation above the ₹2,700-2,750 levels and manage risk appropriately. The stock's positioning in high-growth strategic sectors provides a supportive fundamental backdrop for the technical rally.
Full Coverage on my Mid-Week Newsletter coming Wednesday.
Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR.
NO RECO. For Buy/Sell.
📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable.
🙏FOLLOW for more
👍BOOST if you found it useful.
✍️COMMENT below with your views.
Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback.
As per the Latest SEBI Mandate, this isn't a Trading/Investment RECOMMENDATION nor for Educational Purposes; it is just for Informational purposes only. The chart data used is 3 Months old, as Showing Live Chart Data is not allowed according to the New SEBI Mandate.
Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Advanced Hedging Techniques: Tools for Managing Financial RiskUnderstanding the Concept of Advanced Hedging
Advanced hedging techniques go beyond one-to-one risk offsetting. They are designed to handle non-linear risks, multiple asset correlations, time decay, and tail-risk events. These methods often involve combinations of derivatives, dynamic adjustments, and quantitative models. The primary goal is not always to eliminate risk entirely, but to optimize the risk–return profile by reducing downside exposure while preserving upside potential.
Options-Based Hedging Strategies
One of the most widely used advanced hedging tools involves options strategies. Unlike futures, options provide asymmetric protection, meaning losses can be limited while gains remain open.
Protective Put Strategy: Investors buy put options against an existing equity or portfolio position. This acts as insurance, setting a floor on potential losses during market downturns.
Collar Strategy: This involves buying a put option and simultaneously selling a call option. The premium received from the call helps finance the put, making it a cost-effective hedge, though it caps upside potential.
Ratio Spreads and Backspreads: These strategies hedge volatility risk by adjusting the ratio of long and short options, benefiting from sharp price movements in either direction.
Such option-based hedges are particularly useful in managing event-driven risks such as earnings announcements, policy decisions, or geopolitical shocks.
Delta and Gamma Hedging
Delta hedging is a dynamic hedging technique primarily used by institutional traders and derivatives desks. Delta measures how much the price of an option changes relative to the underlying asset.
In delta hedging, traders continuously adjust their positions in the underlying asset to maintain a delta-neutral portfolio.
Gamma hedging goes a step further by managing the rate at which delta changes, especially important during periods of high volatility.
These techniques require frequent rebalancing and advanced modeling but are highly effective in minimizing small price fluctuations’ impact on portfolios.
Cross-Asset and Cross-Currency Hedging
Modern portfolios often contain exposure across asset classes and geographies. Cross-hedging involves using a related but different asset to hedge risk when a direct hedge is unavailable or illiquid.
For example, an investor holding Indian equities with global exposure may hedge using global indices or ETFs.
Currency hedging uses forward contracts, currency swaps, or options to protect against adverse exchange rate movements.
Advanced currency hedging becomes critical for multinational corporations managing foreign revenues, import costs, and overseas investments.
Interest Rate and Credit Hedging
Interest rate fluctuations can significantly affect bond portfolios, loans, and corporate balance sheets. Advanced tools used in this area include:
Interest Rate Swaps: Converting floating-rate exposure into fixed-rate exposure (or vice versa) to stabilize cash flows.
Swaptions: Options on swaps that provide flexibility to hedge future interest rate uncertainty.
Credit Default Swaps (CDS): Used to hedge against default risk of bonds or loans by transferring credit risk to another party.
These instruments are essential for banks, financial institutions, and companies with high leverage or long-term debt obligations.
Volatility Hedging and Tail Risk Protection
Volatility itself is a tradable and hedgeable risk factor. During market stress, volatility tends to spike, causing large portfolio drawdowns.
VIX-based strategies allow investors to hedge equity portfolios against sudden volatility surges.
Tail risk hedging focuses on protecting against rare but severe market crashes using deep out-of-the-money options or structured products.
Although tail hedges can be expensive, they provide crucial protection during extreme market events, preserving capital and liquidity.
Dynamic and Quantitative Hedging Models
Advanced hedging increasingly relies on quantitative models and algorithms. These models dynamically adjust hedge ratios based on volatility, correlations, and market trends.
Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall models help determine the size and structure of hedges.
Algorithmic hedging systems execute trades automatically to maintain optimal hedge efficiency.
Such techniques reduce human bias and improve precision, especially in fast-moving markets.
Corporate and Operational Hedging
Beyond financial markets, advanced hedging is also applied to operational risks. Corporations hedge commodity prices, energy costs, and supply chain risks using customized derivative contracts.
For example:
Airlines hedge fuel prices using futures and swaps.
Manufacturing firms hedge raw material costs to protect profit margins.
These strategies ensure earnings stability and support long-term planning.
Benefits and Limitations of Advanced Hedging
Advanced hedging techniques offer several benefits, including reduced volatility, capital preservation, and improved predictability of returns. However, they also come with limitations such as higher costs, complexity, liquidity risk, and the need for continuous monitoring. Poorly designed hedges can sometimes amplify losses rather than reduce them.
Conclusion
Advanced hedging techniques are powerful tools for managing financial risk in today’s complex markets. By leveraging options, swaps, dynamic models, and cross-asset strategies, investors and institutions can protect portfolios against adverse movements while maintaining strategic flexibility. However, successful hedging requires deep market knowledge, disciplined execution, and ongoing evaluation. When used thoughtfully, advanced hedging transforms risk from a threat into a manageable and strategic component of long-term financial success.
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:8 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:8 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
National Aluminium Company Limited - Breakout Setup, Move is ON.#NATIONALUM trading above Resistance of 331
Next Resistance is at 443
Support is at 228
Here are previous charts:
Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
buy bitcoin for short term swingEntry Price (BUY): 90,330
This level indicates bullish intent. Price holding above this zone suggests buyers are in control and momentum is shifting upward.
⸻
🔻 Stop Loss: 89,670
• Placed 660 points below entry
• This level protects capital if the market moves against the trade
• A breakdown below 89,670 would invalidate the bullish setup, so exiting here is disciplined risk management
⸻
🎯 Target Price: 93,700
• Potential upside of 3,370 points
• This target is based on expected continuation of bullish momentum and breakout follow-through
• Strong reward zone where partial or full profit booking is advised
⸻
⚖️ RISK–REWARD ANALYSIS
• Risk: 660 points
• Reward: 3,370 points
👉 Risk–Reward Ratio ≈ 1 : 5.1
This is an excellent risk–reward trade, meaning even if only a few such trades work, overall profitability remains strong.
⸻
🧠 TRADE LOGIC (WHY THIS TRADE MAKES SENSE)
• Price is positioned for an upward breakout / continuation
• Stop loss is tight and logical, not emotional
• Target allows the trend to fully develop
• High reward compared to limited risk makes this trade strategically sound
⸻
✅ FINAL TRADE SUMMARY
BUY @ 90,330
STOP LOSS @ 89,670
TARGET @ 93,700
📌 Trend-following | High R:R | Disciplined setup
#Nifty Weekly 12-01-26 to 16-01-26#Nifty Weekly 12-01-26 to 16-01-26
26000-26080 will act as resistance for next week.
Ther are 2 short leves for the coming week.
Short below 25600 for the targets of 25500/25400/25300.
If Nifty gives a pull back and tests the resistance zone, short from that level.
Long is only above 26100 for the targets of 26200/26300.
View: Sideways to Bearish.
Gbpjpy expecting buyside delivery!!At monthly open and 4H imbalance expecting fro reaction!! Was expecting the market on 8 Jan to took weekly imbalance however market left the liquidity and start to shift momentum for buyside delivery where market taken the liquidity of above area where the previous sellside structure shift formed!! Now look for that 4H IMB fill and execute based on confirmation, until and unless no trades until candle closure inside the zone .
Impact on Global TradeEconomic Growth and Development
One of the most significant impacts of global trade is its contribution to economic growth. Trade allows countries to specialize in the production of goods and services in which they have a comparative advantage. This specialization increases efficiency, productivity, and overall output. Developing countries, in particular, benefit from access to larger international markets, enabling them to grow industries, attract foreign investment, and integrate into global value chains. For many emerging economies, export-led growth has been a key driver of poverty reduction and improved living standards.
At the same time, advanced economies benefit from global trade by gaining access to cheaper raw materials, intermediate goods, and consumer products. This helps control costs, increase competitiveness, and enhance consumer welfare through lower prices and greater product variety.
Employment and Labor Markets
Global trade has a mixed impact on employment. On one hand, it creates millions of jobs worldwide in manufacturing, services, logistics, finance, and technology. Export-oriented industries often experience job growth as demand from international markets increases. Service sectors such as IT, finance, consulting, and outsourcing have expanded rapidly due to globalization and digital trade.
On the other hand, global trade can lead to job displacement, especially in industries that face strong foreign competition. Workers in less competitive sectors may experience job losses or wage pressure. This has increased the need for reskilling, upskilling, and stronger social safety nets. The overall impact on employment depends on how well countries manage trade transitions through education, labor reforms, and inclusive economic policies.
Global Supply Chains and Efficiency
Modern global trade is deeply interconnected through global supply chains. A single product may involve raw materials from one country, manufacturing in another, and assembly and distribution across multiple regions. This system has significantly increased efficiency, reduced production costs, and accelerated innovation.
However, recent global disruptions—such as pandemics, geopolitical conflicts, and trade restrictions—have highlighted the vulnerabilities of highly integrated supply chains. As a result, many countries and companies are rethinking trade strategies, focusing on supply chain diversification, regional trade, near-shoring, and resilience rather than purely cost-based efficiency.
Impact of Technology and Digital Trade
Technology has transformed global trade more than any other factor in recent decades. Digital platforms, e-commerce, artificial intelligence, blockchain, and advanced logistics have reduced trade barriers and transaction costs. Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) can now access global markets that were once dominated by large multinational corporations.
Digital trade has expanded services exports, including software, digital content, online education, and financial services. At the same time, it has raised new challenges related to data privacy, cybersecurity, digital taxation, and regulatory harmonization. Countries that invest in digital infrastructure and skills are better positioned to benefit from this transformation.
Trade Policies and Protectionism
Trade policies play a crucial role in shaping global trade flows. Free trade agreements, regional trade blocs, and multilateral institutions have historically promoted trade liberalization, reducing tariffs and non-tariff barriers. This has encouraged cross-border investment and economic integration.
However, rising protectionism, trade wars, and economic nationalism have altered the global trade landscape. Tariffs, sanctions, export controls, and regulatory barriers can disrupt trade flows, increase costs, and create uncertainty for businesses. While some protectionist measures aim to protect domestic industries or national security, excessive restrictions can slow global economic growth and strain international relationships.
Geopolitical and Strategic Impacts
Global trade is increasingly influenced by geopolitics. Strategic competition between major economies affects trade policies, technology transfer, energy markets, and supply chains. Trade is no longer purely an economic activity; it is also a strategic tool used to gain influence and reduce dependency on rivals.
This shift has led to the fragmentation of global trade into regional and strategic blocs. Countries are prioritizing trade partnerships based on political alignment and strategic interests, which may reshape long-term global trade patterns and reduce the efficiency of the global trading system.
Impact on Inflation and Consumer Prices
Trade has a direct impact on inflation and consumer prices. Open trade generally lowers prices by increasing competition and allowing access to cheaper imports. Consumers benefit from a wider range of affordable products, improving purchasing power and living standards.
Conversely, trade disruptions, tariffs, and supply chain shocks can increase costs and contribute to inflation. Rising transportation costs, energy prices, and trade restrictions can quickly translate into higher consumer prices, affecting households and businesses alike.
Environmental and Sustainability Considerations
Global trade has both positive and negative environmental impacts. On one side, it enables the global diffusion of green technologies, renewable energy equipment, and sustainable practices. International cooperation through trade can support climate goals and environmental innovation.
On the other side, increased trade can lead to higher carbon emissions, resource depletion, and environmental degradation if not properly regulated. As a result, sustainability is becoming a central theme in global trade, with growing emphasis on carbon pricing, green trade policies, ESG standards, and sustainable supply chains.
Future Outlook of Global Trade
The future of global trade will be shaped by a balance between globalization and localization. While complete de-globalization is unlikely, trade patterns are expected to become more diversified, digital, and sustainability-focused. Regional trade agreements, technological innovation, and resilient supply chains will play a larger role.
Countries that adapt to these changes by investing in technology, skills, infrastructure, and inclusive trade policies will benefit the most. Global trade will continue to be a critical driver of economic progress, but its impact will depend on how well the world manages risks, inequalities, and global cooperation.
Conclusion
The impact on global trade is profound and far-reaching, influencing economic growth, employment, innovation, geopolitics, and sustainability. While global trade has delivered immense benefits, it also presents challenges that require careful policy management. In an increasingly interconnected yet uncertain world, the future success of global trade will depend on resilience, adaptability, and international collaboration.
Nifty50 - 13 JAN 2026 Updated Expiry OutlookAfter a ~700-point decline in the last few sessions, NIFTY is now trading at a critical decision zone.
Daily TF
Price has reacted into a well-defined higher-timeframe support cluster.
Candles remain outside the lower Bollinger Band, making a technical pullback or pause statistically reasonable, though not guaranteed.
A deeper support exists lower (~25,430–25,450) if current demand fails.
1H TF
RSI is attempting to curl up from oversold territory, hinting at a possible relief move.
However, trend damage is still present. A pullback toward 25,780–25,805 remains vulnerable to rejection.
This zone will be key to differentiate between a false pullback (bearish continuation) and a genuine base formation.
Key levels to watch
Support: 25,700–25,730 | Below that 25,600 → 25,450
Resistance: 25,780–25,820 | Above that 25,900–26,100
Outlook
A short-term pullback is likely due to overextension, but confirmation is required.
Acceptance above resistance with RSI holding above its MA would favor stabilization.
Failure to hold support keeps downside risk open.
⚠️ This is a probability-based view, not a prediction. Patience and confirmation remain key, especially ahead of expiry.
NIFTY:Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern in Technical Analysis🎯 Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern in Technical Analysis
The Inverted Head and Shoulders (Inverse H&S) pattern is a bullish reversal formation in technical analysis, typically appearing at the end of a downtrend to signal a potential shift to an uptrend. It's the mirror image of the standard Head and Shoulders pattern, indicating that bearish momentum is waning and buyers are gaining control. This pattern is commonly spotted in equity markets, such as Indian indices like Nifty 50 or individual stocks like Dixon Technologies, where it can foreshadow recoveries after prolonged selling pressure.
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^________________^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
💯 Key Components of the Pattern
✅ Left Shoulder: The price falls to a low point (forming the shoulder) and then rebounds to a resistance level.
✅ Head: The price drops again, forming a deeper low (the head), followed by another rally back to the resistance level.
✅ Right Shoulder: The price declines once more but only to a low similar to the left shoulder, then rises again.
✅ Neckline: A trendline connecting the highs after the left shoulder and head (and ideally the right shoulder). This acts as a key resistance level.
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^________________^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
🏃🏽♂️ The pattern is confirmed when the price breaks above the neckline on increased volume, often leading to a measured upside target equal to the distance from the head's low to the neckline, projected upward from the breakout point.
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^________________^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
🚀Reliability: The Inverse H&S has a high success rate, around 70-85% in studies, particularly when volume surges on the breakout and indicators like RSI show bullish divergence or MACD crosses upward.
⌚ Timeframe: Best on daily or weekly charts over several weeks to months; intraday versions are prone to false signals due to market noise.
⁉️Variations:
Complex Inverse H&S: May include multiple shoulders or a rounded head.
Standard H&S: The bearish counterpart for downtrend reversals.
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^________________^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
⁉️ False Signals: Retests of the neckline (now support) are frequent; if the breakout fails and price falls back below, the pattern is invalidated.
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^________________^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
🏹 Implications for Trading
👆🏼 Bullish Setup: Enter long positions or buy calls on neckline breakout. Place stop-loss below the right shoulder.
👇🏼 Bearish Setup (Rare): Only if the pattern fails, but generally avoided.
🎯 Target Calculation: F or instance, if the head is at 21,743.65, neckline at 25,347 (height 3603.35 points), Target: 25,347+3,603.35=>28,950.35
⁉️❌: In volatile markets like the current Nifty environment (with supports around 25,500 amid FII outflows), false breakouts can occur; always confirm with other tools like moving averages or candlestick patterns.
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^________________^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
🌈 In today's context Nifty potentially forming an Inverse H&S near recent lows, this pattern could indicate a rebound if resistances are cleared, making it valuable for positional traders.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^________________^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
💡 If You LOOKING any CHART, You want me to ANALYZE?
Share your desired stock names in the comments below! I will try to analyze the chart patterns and share my technical view (so far my Knowledge).
If Viewers think It can identify meaningful setups. Looking forward to hearing from all of you — let's keep this discussion going and help each other make better trading decisions.
Catostrophic time aheadDear Humans,
I have a strange finding about the coming time which is going to be tougher than 2008, yes its 100years cycle and we are going to see repeat of 1929-1931, I have marked the fall in RED in WXYXZ style move, market always gives you one chance and we are still adamant on on upward direction and investing at top levels where smart money is selling quiet Easily....
Nifty doesn't have any charts or exchange was not there during this time while we can see in Dow john's chart.
the current scenario at ground levels is that even a Lower and medium class is suffering because of the money scarcity in the market..
I can see that we are going to fall around 78%(precisely 76.4%) from highs by may 2027 in just one and half years time as we are in era of social media where movements are very fast ,,1929-1931 was 2.5 years time great depression.. " what name the market will it be given to this Catastrophic fall" ..
those who were mongeringfall of 12500 levels pre covid high levels at 16000/18000/20000/23500, its time to see those levels again, yes by May/June 2026 . unfortunately they all became bulls now and talking of 28000-30000 levels. well the investor has to hold on for 6 years or more to see these levels again, as history suggest that once such brutal fall happens then time takes its own course to rise again.
even Astro is suggesting Jupiter in 6/8 axis and malific ketu during this 6 years so the journey will be tough to rise from 6000 levels .. so its a time and price fall this time, both together..
Great Depression / Recession/ stagflation/WW3 god knows what all we see ? but
chart is showing a horrific picture..
Its a bigger time frame fall ( weekly, monthly & Yearly) so post this destruction we will not see these brutal levels for next bigger cycle atleast.. may God gives energy & courage to face the tough time coming ahead..
Yes after this fall we will enter into big time bull ERA, Prosperity, growth and growth only..
This post will really help next to next generations to see this interesting finding, if this software pertains that time..
* disclaimer:
its my personal finding for education purpose only and don't take any trade on basis of this.
gold spot or silver spot update belowsilver spot abv 80$ sustain than u will see new high today till closing 83-85$ in spot gold stya abv 4520 u will see boom-mm new high 4600$++++ in mcx given already and see the positional report given
yes eyes on these level and sustain can see heavy short covering .mcx gold above 139150 will see 139700--140000+++ silver mcx 252000 above looks no worry for bulls
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Resistance Breakout in MTARTECH
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
BTCUSD 1H Trend Shift Highlights Key Support and Recovery ZoneBitcoin on the 1H timeframe shows a complete cycle of trend development and correction based on clean price action. The market initially respected a bullish structure, forming higher highs and higher lows along an ascending trendline. Strong buying pressure pushed price above previous resistance, confirming bullish continuation and a clear Break of Structure . This impulsive move created a Fair Value Gap in the 91,200–91,700 area, which acted as a demand zone and supported further upside.
As price approached the 94,000–94,500 region, bullish momentum weakened and selling pressure increased. A lower high formed, followed by a decisive break below the rising trendline, signaling a short-term trend reversal. Price then respected a descending trendline, confirming a bearish intraday structure with lower highs and lower lows.
Current price is reacting near the 90,000–89,800 zone, which acts as key support. This area also represents a potential demand zone where buyers may attempt a recovery. A sustained hold above this level can lead to a corrective rebound toward 91,200 and 92,000. Resistance remains at 92,800–93,200, followed by major resistance near 94,000.
Overall, the market is in a corrective bearish phase after a strong rally. Bullish continuation is possible only if support holds and structure shifts again. This analysis is educational and based solely on technical price behavior.
ITC - WyckoffITC – Weekly Wyckoff Distribution (Schematic #2) in Play
ITC’s weekly structure appears to be unfolding as a Wyckoff Distribution – Schematic #2, suggesting a transition from demand dominance to supply control.
Key observations from the chart :
Preliminary Supply (PSY) marked the first sign of large supply entering after a strong uptrend.
Buying Climax (BC) followed by an Automatic Reaction (AR) confirmed the start of a trading range.
Secondary Test (ST) failed to make new highs, indicating weakening demand.
Upthrust (UT) and subsequent Lower Highs (LPSY) signal repeated absorption of demand by smart money.
Recent breakdown below the range indicates Sign of Weakness (SOW) and confirms Phase D/E behavior.
📉 Implication:
The structure favors distribution completion, with risk skewed to the downside unless price reclaims the prior range convincingly.
📌 Key levels to watch:
Breakdown area as resistance
Major demand zone near ₹277–₹262 (weekly support)
This is a reminder that time spent at the top often precedes the move down.
Best Knowledge of Chart Patterns CHART PATTERNS
Chart patterns are visual formations that appear on price charts. These patterns are formed when price creates recognizable shapes due to repeated market behavior. Chart patterns reveal market psychology, liquidity placement, stop-loss positions, and future direction of price.
1. Reversal Patterns
These patterns signal that the ongoing trend is likely coming to an end. A reversal pattern at the top of an uptrend signals bearish move; at the bottom of a downtrend, it signals bullish move.
Examples:
Head and Shoulders
Inverse Head and Shoulders
Double Top
Double Bottom
Rounding Top
Rounding Bottom
Falling Wedge
Rising Wedge
2. Continuation Patterns
These patterns show that the trend is taking a pause before continuing in the same direction.
Examples:
Bullish Flag
Bearish Flag
Bullish Pennant
Bearish Pennant
Ascending Triangle
Descending Triangle
Symmetrical Triangle
Cup and Handle
3. Bilateral Patterns
These patterns signal indecision — price can break either up or down.
Examples:
Symmetrical Triangle
Diamond Pattern
Very Short Term View for NiftyWrap up:-
Currently, Nifty is in final wave 5 which was started from 24337 on 08.08.2025. In the pattern of wave 5, Nifty is forming a wxy pattern. Wave w has been completed at 25448 and wave x at 25318 and wave y is expected to be completed in the range of 26630-26868.
In wave y, wave a is completed at 26325 and b is expected to be completed in the range of 25740- 25591; once Nifty breaks and sustains above 25909. Thereafter, Nifty will head towards wave c.
What I’m Watching for 🔍
Buy Nifty in the range of 25740-25591 or on safer side Buy Nifty when it breaks and sustains above 25909 sl 25508 (daily closing basis) for a target of 26630-26868.
Disclaimer: Sharing my personal market view — only for educational purpose not financial advice.
"Don't predict the market. Decode them."
How does today’s gold top compare to the 1980 and 2011 peaks?Gold is not just at a nominal high — it is trading at the highest real (inflation-adjusted) price in modern history.
How does today’s gold top compare to the 1980 and 2011 peaks?
1️⃣ GOLD MAJOR TOPS — NOMINAL vs REAL (TODAY’S MONEY)
🔴 1980 GOLD TOP (true panic peak)
Nominal price (1980): ~$850/oz
Inflation-adjusted to today: ~$3,200–3,400/oz
What the world looked like:
Double-digit inflation
Oil crisis
Cold War escalation
Dollar confidence collapse
Real rates deeply negative
Monetary panic
Meaning: This was a once-in-a-generation monetary crisis peak.
🟠 2011 GOLD TOP (QE / crisis fear)
Nominal price (2011) : ~$1,920/oz
Inflation-adjusted to today : ~$2,600–2,700/oz
What the world looked like:
Global Financial Crisis aftermath
QE everywhere
Eurozone debt crisis
Fear of currency debasement
Inflation still relatively controlled
Meaning: This was a financial-system fear peak, not a currency collapse.
🟡 TODAY (2025–26) GOLD ~ $4,584
Nominal price : ~$4,584/oz (new high)
Inflation-adjusted: $4,584 (today’s dollars by definition)
Compared to past real peaks:
~35–45% above the 1980 real peak (~$3,300 mid-range)
~70–75% above the 2011 real peak (~$2,650 mid-range)
This is extremely important : today’s gold price is already the highest real gold price in modern history.
2️⃣ TABLE SUMMARY
| Gold Peak | Nominal Then | Real Value Today |
| 1980 panic | ~$850 | ~$3,200–3,400 |
| 2011 QE | ~$1,920 | ~$2,600–2,700 |
| Today | ~$4,584 | $4,584 |
3️⃣ WHAT MAKES TODAY DIFFERENT FROM 1980 & 2011
Today:
Inflation already happened
Debt far higher than 1980 or 2011
Central banks trapped
Geopolitical fragmentation
De-dollarization pressure
Central banks buying gold aggressively
Takeaway: Today’s price reflects structural distrust , not just panic.
4️⃣ WHAT A REAL GOLD TOP USUALLY MEANS NEXT
Historically, after gold peaks in real terms:
Nominal price may still go higher briefly
Then:
Long consolidation
Sharp correction
Or years of underperformance vs inflation
Gold doesn’t crash like silver — it bleeds purchasing power over time . That’s how tops resolve.
Disclaimer:
This post is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Readers should conduct their own research or consult a professional before making any financial decisions.






















