Market Sell-Off GaugeOVERVIEW
The Market Sell‑Off Gauge identifies high‑conviction, risk‑off entry opportunities by detecting broad market sell‑off behavior and rising stablecoin dominance, then confirming risk‑off sentiment via NDX weakness, VIX spikes, and elevated volume. It uses fuzzy logic and sigmoid scaling to convert raw signals into a smooth, bounded metric.
FEATURES
Sell‑Off Detection - calculates percentage drops in the primary asset over a user‑defined lookback.
Stablecoin Dominance Surge - tracks combined USDT/USDC dominance rises as a proxy for on‑chain “flight to safety.”
Macro Confirmation
NDX Weakness (NASDAQ‑100)
VIX Spikes (CBOE Volatility Index)
Elevated Volume on declining bars
Fuzzy Logic & Scaling - component values feed into a fuzzy‑logic membership scor and are passed through a sigmoid compressor (–1 to +1). Weighted aggregation derives the final result of the gauge (or metric).
VISUALISATION
Continuous line plot - Smoothed metric (–1 to +1), colored cold‑to‑warm.
Entry circles - Highlighted when all conditions (fuzzy or crisp) are met after the time offset.
Time‑Offset marker - Vertical line/label showing the user‑specified “start” bar.
Component table - Displays real‑time % changes & volume multiples in the lower right of the indicator.
USAGE
Asset drop % - The threshold percent decline to register a sell‑off.
Stables rise % - The threshold percent increase in stablecoin dominance to qualify as a “flight to safety.”
NDX drop % - The threshold percent decline in the NASDAQ‑100 for macro confirmation.
VIX rise % - The threshold percent increase in VIX. Contributes to risk‑off validation.
Volume Multiplier - Defines how many times above SMA volume must rise to confirm conviction.
Lookback Period - Controls the number of bars over which % changes are measured.
Time Offset - Point in time beyond which bars to “fade” historical signals, enables focus on recent data only.
Fuzzy Logic Settings - Enables fuzzy scoring and set membership threshold & sensitivity.
Weights - allows for adjusting the relative importance of each component (Asset, Stables, NDX, VIX, Volume).
Sigmoid Steepness (k) - Controls curve steepness for compression (0.1 = very flat → 5.0 = very sharp S‑curve).
Chart & settings
Best applied on 4H or Daily BTCUSD (or similar) charts to capture meaningful sell‑off events.
Combine with broader trend filters (e.g., moving averages) for trend‑aligned entries.
Adjust Sigmoid Steepness and Membership Sensitivity to fine‑tune signal crispness vs. smoothness. Refer to tooltips.
Disclaimer
This indicator is intended for educational purposes only. Always perform your own due diligence before making financial decisions.
OFF
Anchored VWAP Pinch & Handoff, Intervals, and Signals"Anchored VWAP Pinch & Handoff, Intervals, and Signals" is an AVWAP toolbox for those who like to use various VWAP trading techniques. The indicator is currently comprised of the following three sections:
• The Pinch & Handoff section (shown above on chart) allows manually setting an upper and lower AVWAP (Pinch) along with an additional AVWAP (Handoff) by entering dates or by dragging the vertical anchor lines to the desired significant events on chart. Each of these three AVWAPs can also be set to show zones above and/or below by a percentage or standard deviation amount. The theory behind this method is that the upper and lower AVWAPs may act as dynamic support and resistance levels, effectively creating a price range or channel. As price moves between these two VWAP levels, it becomes squeezed or consolidated within that range. Further conjecture is that the longer the price remains within the range of the two anchored VWAP values, the higher the potential for an explosive breakout. Traders using this strategy may interpret the prolonged consolidation as a period of price compression, with the expectation that a significant move in either direction is likely to occur. Traders employing the AVWAP Pinch strategy might look for specific chart patterns or additional confirmation signals to enter a trade. For example, a breakout above the upper anchored VWAP level could trigger a long trade, while a breakdown below the lower anchored VWAP level could signal a short trade. Stop-loss orders and profit targets are typically set based on the trader's risk tolerance and the volatility of the asset. The third AVWAP (Handoff) is typically set after price has broken through the Pinch, and is used as a new level of support or resistance. The "Pinch & Handoff" phrase is believed to have been coined by Brian Shannon, who has popularized this method.
• The Intervals section (shown above on chart) is comprised of six periodic AVWAPs which cyclically reset. Their default settings are 1 Day, 2 Days, 1 Week, 1 Month, 1 Quarter, and 1 Year. They each may be set to desired period and when they are enabled the VWAPs whose periods are lower than the current chart timeframe are automatically hidden. For example a 1 Day AVWAP is not useful on a 1 Week chart so it would be hidden from that timeframe. When using AVWAPs from higher timeframes it may be helpful to set your chart to "Scale price chart only". This can be enabled by right clicking on your chart's price column and then left clicking "Scale price chart only" to enable that option.
• The Auto section (shown above on chart) is comprised of two automatic Anchored VWAPs. There are choices for setting anchors automatically based upon Highest Source, Highest Volume, Lowest Source, Lowest Volume, Pivot High, and Pivot Low. Because these two VWAPs work retroactively they are drawn with lines instead of plots. There is currently a limitation of 500 lines that may be drawn at any given time and the logic within this indicator uses a line for every bar of VWAP that is drawn, so if the combined length of both of these VWAPs exceeds 500 bars the earliest lines would disappear. For typical use of looking for the highest high in the last 50 bars or the last fractal this limitation should not be an issue.
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All of the plots have been titled including hidden plots that are generated for the AVWAP line drawings. All of the various types of AVWAP within the indicator should be available as choices within the Alert creation dialog if use of alerts is desired.
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NOTICE: This is an example script and not meant to be used as an actual strategy. By using this script or any portion thereof, you acknowledge that you have read and understood that this is for research purposes only and I am not responsible for any financial losses you may incur by using this script!
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