Multi-Timeframe Stochastic Alert [tradeviZion]# Multi-Timeframe Stochastic Alert : Complete User Guide
## 1. Introduction
### What is the Multi-Timeframe Stochastic Alert?
The Multi-Timeframe Stochastic Alert is an advanced technical analysis tool that helps traders identify potential trading opportunities by analyzing momentum across multiple timeframes. It combines the power of the stochastic oscillator with multi-timeframe analysis to provide more reliable trading signals.
### Key Features and Benefits
- Simultaneous analysis of 6 different timeframes
- Advanced alert system with customizable conditions
- Real-time visual feedback with color-coded signals
- Comprehensive data table with instant market insights
- Motivational trading messages for psychological support
- Flexible theme support for comfortable viewing
### How it Can Help Your Trading
- Identify stronger trends by confirming momentum across multiple timeframes
- Reduce false signals through multi-timeframe confirmation
- Stay informed of market changes with customizable alerts
- Make more informed decisions with comprehensive market data
- Maintain trading discipline with clear visual signals
## 2. Understanding the Display
### The Stochastic Chart
The main chart displays three key components:
1. ** K-Line (Fast) **: The primary stochastic line (default color: green)
2. ** D-Line (Slow) **: The signal line (default color: red)
3. ** Reference Lines **:
- Overbought Level (80): Upper dashed line
- Middle Line (50): Center dashed line
- Oversold Level (20): Lower dashed line
### The Information Table
The table provides a comprehensive view of stochastic readings across all timeframes. Here's what each column means:
#### Column Explanations:
1. ** Timeframe **
- Shows the time period for each row
- Example: "5" = 5 minutes, "15" = 15 minutes, etc.
2. ** K Value **
- The fast stochastic line value (0-100)
- Higher values indicate stronger upward momentum
- Lower values indicate stronger downward momentum
3. ** D Value **
- The slow stochastic line value (0-100)
- Helps confirm momentum direction
- Crossovers with K-line can signal potential trades
4. ** Status **
- Shows current momentum with symbols:
- ▲ = Increasing (bullish)
- ▼ = Decreasing (bearish)
- Color matches the trend direction
5. ** Trend **
- Shows the current market condition:
- "Overbought" (above 80)
- "Bullish" (above 50)
- "Bearish" (below 50)
- "Oversold" (below 20)
#### Row Explanations:
1. ** Title Row **
- Shows "🎯 Multi-Timeframe Stochastic"
- Indicates the indicator is active
2. ** Header Row **
- Contains column titles
- Dark blue background for easy reading
3. ** Timeframe Rows **
- Six rows showing different timeframe analyses
- Each row updates independently
- Color-coded for easy trend identification
4. **Message Row**
- Shows rotating motivational messages
- Updates every 5 bars
- Helps maintain trading discipline
### Visual Indicators and Colors
- ** Green Background **: Indicates bullish conditions
- ** Red Background **: Indicates bearish conditions
- ** Color Intensity **: Shows strength of the signal
- ** Background Highlights **: Appear when alert conditions are met
## 3. Core Settings Groups
### Stochastic Settings
These settings control the core calculation of the stochastic oscillator.
1. ** Length (Default: 14) **
- What it does: Determines the lookback period for calculations
- Higher values (e.g., 21): More stable, fewer signals
- Lower values (e.g., 8): More sensitive, more signals
- Recommended:
* Day Trading: 8-14
* Swing Trading: 14-21
* Position Trading: 21-30
2. ** Smooth K (Default: 3) **
- What it does: Smooths the main stochastic line
- Higher values: Smoother line, fewer false signals
- Lower values: More responsive, but more noise
- Recommended:
* Day Trading: 2-3
* Swing Trading: 3-5
* Position Trading: 5-7
3. ** Smooth D (Default: 3) **
- What it does: Smooths the signal line
- Works in conjunction with Smooth K
- Usually kept equal to or slightly higher than Smooth K
- Recommended: Keep same as Smooth K for consistency
4. ** Source (Default: Close) **
- What it does: Determines price data for calculations
- Options: Close, Open, High, Low, HL2, HLC3, OHLC4
- Recommended: Stick with Close for most reliable signals
### Timeframe Settings
Controls the multiple timeframes analyzed by the indicator.
1. ** Main Timeframes (TF1-TF6) **
- TF1 (Default: 10): Shortest timeframe for quick signals
- TF2 (Default: 15): Short-term trend confirmation
- TF3 (Default: 30): Medium-term trend analysis
- TF4 (Default: 30): Additional medium-term confirmation
- TF5 (Default: 60): Longer-term trend analysis
- TF6 (Default: 240): Major trend confirmation
Recommended Combinations:
* Scalping: 1, 3, 5, 15, 30, 60
* Day Trading: 5, 15, 30, 60, 240, D
* Swing Trading: 15, 60, 240, D, W, M
2. ** Wait for Bar Close (Default: true) **
- What it does: Controls when calculations update
- True: More reliable but slightly delayed signals
- False: Faster signals but may change before bar closes
- Recommended: Keep True for more reliable signals
### Alert Settings
#### Main Alert Settings
1. ** Enable Alerts (Default: true) **
- Master switch for all alert notifications
- Toggle this off when you don't want any alerts
- Useful during testing or when you want to focus on visual signals only
2. ** Alert Condition (Options) **
- "Above Middle": Bullish momentum alerts only
- "Below Middle": Bearish momentum alerts only
- "Both": Alerts for both directions
- Recommended:
* Trending Markets: Choose direction matching the trend
* Ranging Markets: Use "Both" to catch reversals
* New Traders: Start with "Both" until you develop a specific strategy
3. ** Alert Frequency **
- "Once Per Bar": Immediate alerts during the bar
- "Once Per Bar Close": Alerts only after bar closes
- Recommended:
* Day Trading: "Once Per Bar" for quick reactions
* Swing Trading: "Once Per Bar Close" for confirmed signals
* Beginners: "Once Per Bar Close" to reduce false signals
#### Timeframe Check Settings
1. ** First Check (TF1) **
- Purpose: Confirms basic trend direction
- Alert Triggers When:
* For Bullish: Stochastic is above middle line (50)
* For Bearish: Stochastic is below middle line (50)
* For Both: Triggers in either direction based on position relative to middle line
- Settings:
* Enable/Disable: Turn first check on/off
* Timeframe: Default 5 minutes
- Best Used For:
* Quick trend confirmation
* Entry timing
* Scalping setups
2. ** Second Check (TF2) **
- Purpose: Confirms both position and momentum
- Alert Triggers When:
* For Bullish: Stochastic is above middle line AND both K&D lines are increasing
* For Bearish: Stochastic is below middle line AND both K&D lines are decreasing
* For Both: Triggers based on position and direction matching current condition
- Settings:
* Enable/Disable: Turn second check on/off
* Timeframe: Default 15 minutes
- Best Used For:
* Trend strength confirmation
* Avoiding false breakouts
* Day trading setups
3. ** Third Check (TF3) **
- Purpose: Confirms overall momentum direction
- Alert Triggers When:
* For Bullish: Both K&D lines are increasing (momentum confirmation)
* For Bearish: Both K&D lines are decreasing (momentum confirmation)
* For Both: Triggers based on matching momentum direction
- Settings:
* Enable/Disable: Turn third check on/off
* Timeframe: Default 30 minutes
- Best Used For:
* Major trend confirmation
* Swing trading setups
* Avoiding trades against the main trend
Note: All three conditions must be met simultaneously for the alert to trigger. This multi-timeframe confirmation helps reduce false signals and provides stronger trade setups.
#### Alert Combinations Examples
1. ** Conservative Setup **
- Enable all three checks
- Use "Once Per Bar Close"
- Timeframe Selection Example:
* First Check: 15 minutes
* Second Check: 1 hour (60 minutes)
* Third Check: 4 hours (240 minutes)
- Wider gaps between timeframes reduce noise and false signals
- Best for: Swing trading, beginners
2. ** Aggressive Setup **
- Enable first two checks only
- Use "Once Per Bar"
- Timeframe Selection Example:
* First Check: 5 minutes
* Second Check: 15 minutes
- Closer timeframes for quicker signals
- Best for: Day trading, experienced traders
3. ** Balanced Setup **
- Enable all checks
- Use "Once Per Bar"
- Timeframe Selection Example:
* First Check: 5 minutes
* Second Check: 15 minutes
* Third Check: 1 hour (60 minutes)
- Balanced spacing between timeframes
- Best for: All-around trading
### Visual Settings
#### Alert Visual Settings
1. ** Show Background Color (Default: true) **
- What it does: Highlights chart background when alerts trigger
- Benefits:
* Makes signals more visible
* Helps spot opportunities quickly
* Provides visual confirmation of alerts
- When to disable:
* If using multiple indicators
* When preferring a cleaner chart
* During manual backtesting
2. ** Background Transparency (Default: 90) **
- Range: 0 (solid) to 100 (invisible)
- Recommended Settings:
* Clean Charts: 90-95
* Multiple Indicators: 85-90
* Single Indicator: 80-85
- Tip: Adjust based on your chart's overall visibility
3. ** Background Colors **
- Bullish Background:
* Default: Green
* Indicates upward momentum
* Customizable to match your theme
- Bearish Background:
* Default: Red
* Indicates downward momentum
* Customizable to match your theme
#### Level Settings
1. ** Oversold Level (Default: 20) **
- Traditional Setting: 20
- Adjustable Range: 0-100
- Usage:
* Lower values (e.g., 10): More conservative
* Higher values (e.g., 30): More aggressive
- Trading Applications:
* Potential bullish reversal zone
* Support level in uptrends
* Entry point for long positions
2. ** Overbought Level (Default: 80) **
- Traditional Setting: 80
- Adjustable Range: 0-100
- Usage:
* Lower values (e.g., 70): More aggressive
* Higher values (e.g., 90): More conservative
- Trading Applications:
* Potential bearish reversal zone
* Resistance level in downtrends
* Exit point for long positions
3. ** Middle Line (Default: 50) **
- Purpose: Trend direction separator
- Applications:
* Above 50: Bullish territory
* Below 50: Bearish territory
* Crossing 50: Potential trend change
- Trading Uses:
* Trend confirmation
* Entry/exit trigger
* Risk management level
#### Color Settings
1. ** Bullish Color (Default: Green) **
- Used for:
* K-Line (Main stochastic line)
* Status symbols when trending up
* Trend labels for bullish conditions
- Customization:
* Choose colors that stand out
* Match your trading platform theme
* Consider color blindness accessibility
2. ** Bearish Color (Default: Red) **
- Used for:
* D-Line (Signal line)
* Status symbols when trending down
* Trend labels for bearish conditions
- Customization:
* Choose contrasting colors
* Ensure visibility on your chart
* Consider monitor settings
3. ** Neutral Color (Default: Gray) **
- Used for:
* Middle line (50 level)
- Customization:
* Should be less prominent
* Easy on the eyes
* Good background contrast
### Theme Settings
1. **Color Theme Options**
- Dark Theme (Default):
* Dark background with white text
* Optimized for dark chart backgrounds
* Reduces eye strain in low light
- Light Theme:
* Light background with black text
* Better visibility in bright conditions
- Custom Theme:
* Use your own color preferences
2. ** Available Theme Colors **
- Table Background
- Table Text
- Table Headers
Note: The theme affects only the table display colors. The stochastic lines and alert backgrounds use their own color settings.
### Table Settings
#### Position and Size
1. ** Table Position **
- Options:
* Top Right (Default)
* Middle Right
* Bottom Right
* Top Left
* Middle Left
* Bottom Left
- Considerations:
* Chart space utilization
* Personal preference
* Multiple monitor setups
2. ** Text Sizes **
- Title Size Options:
* Tiny: Minimal space usage
* Small: Compact but readable
* Normal (Default): Standard visibility
* Large: Enhanced readability
* Huge: Maximum visibility
- Data Size Options:
* Recommended: One size smaller than title
* Adjust based on screen resolution
* Consider viewing distance
3. ** Empowering Messages **
- Purpose:
* Maintain trading discipline
* Provide psychological support
* Remind of best practices
- Rotation:
* Changes every 5 bars
* Categories include:
- Market Wisdom
- Strategy & Discipline
- Mindset & Growth
- Technical Mastery
- Market Philosophy
## 4. Setting Up for Different Trading Styles
### Day Trading Setup
1. **Timeframes**
- Primary: 5, 15, 30 minutes
- Secondary: 1H, 4H
- Alert Settings: "Once Per Bar"
2. ** Stochastic Settings **
- Length: 8-14
- Smooth K/D: 2-3
- Alert Condition: Match market trend
3. ** Visual Settings **
- Background: Enabled
- Transparency: 85-90
- Theme: Based on trading hours
### Swing Trading Setup
1. ** Timeframes **
- Primary: 1H, 4H, Daily
- Secondary: Weekly
- Alert Settings: "Once Per Bar Close"
2. ** Stochastic Settings **
- Length: 14-21
- Smooth K/D: 3-5
- Alert Condition: "Both"
3. ** Visual Settings **
- Background: Optional
- Transparency: 90-95
- Theme: Personal preference
### Position Trading Setup
1. ** Timeframes **
- Primary: Daily, Weekly
- Secondary: Monthly
- Alert Settings: "Once Per Bar Close"
2. ** Stochastic Settings **
- Length: 21-30
- Smooth K/D: 5-7
- Alert Condition: "Both"
3. ** Visual Settings **
- Background: Disabled
- Focus on table data
- Theme: High contrast
## 5. Troubleshooting Guide
### Common Issues and Solutions
1. ** Too Many Alerts **
- Cause: Settings too sensitive
- Solutions:
* Increase timeframe intervals
* Use "Once Per Bar Close"
* Enable fewer timeframe checks
* Adjust stochastic length higher
2. ** Missed Signals **
- Cause: Settings too conservative
- Solutions:
* Decrease timeframe intervals
* Use "Once Per Bar"
* Enable more timeframe checks
* Adjust stochastic length lower
3. ** False Signals **
- Cause: Insufficient confirmation
- Solutions:
* Enable all three timeframe checks
* Use larger timeframe gaps
* Wait for bar close
* Confirm with price action
4. ** Visual Clarity Issues **
- Cause: Poor contrast or overlap
- Solutions:
* Adjust transparency
* Change theme settings
* Reposition table
* Modify color scheme
### Best Practices
1. ** Getting Started **
- Start with default settings
- Use "Both" alert condition
- Enable all timeframe checks
- Wait for bar close
- Monitor for a few days
2. ** Fine-Tuning **
- Adjust one setting at a time
- Document changes and results
- Test in different market conditions
- Find your optimal timeframe combination
- Balance sensitivity with reliability
3. ** Risk Management **
- Don't trade against major trends
- Confirm signals with price action
- Use appropriate position sizing
- Set clear stop losses
- Follow your trading plan
4. ** Regular Maintenance **
- Review settings weekly
- Adjust for market conditions
- Update color scheme for visibility
- Clean up chart regularly
- Maintain trading journal
## 6. Tips for Success
1. ** Entry Strategies **
- Wait for all timeframes to align
- Confirm with price action
- Use proper position sizing
- Consider market conditions
2. ** Exit Strategies **
- Trail stops using indicator levels
- Take partial profits at targets
- Honor your stop losses
- Don't fight the trend
3. ** Psychology **
- Stay disciplined with settings
- Don't override system signals
- Keep emotions in check
- Learn from each trade
4. ** Continuous Improvement **
- Record your trades
- Review performance regularly
- Adjust settings gradually
- Stay educated on markets
Overbought-oversold
Monest Value Indicator (MVI)
Description
The Monest Value Indicator (MVI) is a modern oscillator designed to address common issues in traditional oscillators like RSI or MACD. Unlike classical oscillators, the MVI dynamically adjusts to relative price movements and market volatility, providing a transparent and reliable valuation for short-term trading decisions.
This indicator normalizes price data around a consensus line and accounts for market volatility using the Average True Range (ATR). It highlights overbought and oversold conditions, offering a unique perspective for traders.
Key Features
Dynamic Overbought/Oversold Levels : Highlights significant price extremes for better entry and exit signals. Volatility Normalization : Adapts to market conditions, ensuring consistent readings across various assets. Consensus-Based Valuation : Uses a moving average of the midrange price for baseline calculations. No Lag or Stickiness : Reacts promptly to price movements without getting stuck in extreme zones.
How It Works
Consensus Line :
Calculated as a 5-day moving average of the midrange:
Consensus = SMA((High + Low) / 2, 5) .
Offset OHLC Data :
All prices are adjusted relative to the consensus line:
Offset Price = Price - Consensus .
Volatility Normalization :
Adjusted prices are normalized using a 5-day ATR divided by 5:
Normalized Price = Offset Price / (ATR / 5) .
MVI Calculation :
The normalized closing price is plotted as the MVI.
Overbought/Oversold Levels :
Default levels are set at +8 (overbought) and -8 (oversold).
How to Use
Identifying Overbought/Oversold Conditions :
When the MVI crosses above +8 , the asset is overbought, signaling a potential reversal or pullback.
When the MVI drops below -8 , the asset is oversold, indicating a potential bounce or upward move.
Trend Confirmation :
Use the MVI to confirm trends by observing sustained movements above or below zero.
Combine with other trend indicators (e.g., Moving Averages) for robust analysis.
Alerts :
Set alerts for when the MVI crosses overbought or oversold levels to stay informed about potential trading opportunities.
Inputs
ATR Length : Default is 5. Adjust to modify the sensitivity of volatility normalization. Consensus Length : Default is 5. Change to tweak the baseline calculation.
Example
Overbought Signal : MVI exceeds +8 , indicating the asset may reverse from an overvalued position. Oversold Signal : MVI drops below -8 , suggesting the asset may recover from an undervalued state. Flat Market : MVI hovers near zero, indicating price consolidation.
Dynamic RSI with Overbought/Oversold LinesDynamic RSI with Overbought/Oversold Lines
This indicator enhances the traditional RSI (Relative Strength Index) by dynamically adjusting the overbought and oversold levels based on the highest and lowest RSI values over a user-defined period. The indicator plots these levels as horizontal lines, allowing traders to visually identify when the market is "overbought" or "oversold."
Features:
Dynamic Overbought/Oversold Levels: Automatically adjusts the overbought and oversold levels based on the highest and lowest RSI values within the defined period, ensuring more accurate signals tailored to the current market conditions.
Customizable RSI Period: Choose your preferred RSI period to suit your trading strategy.
Signal Alerts: Visual signals are displayed when the RSI crosses into the overbought or oversold zone, indicating potential reversal points.
Background Color Alerts: The background changes color when the RSI exceeds overbought or oversold levels, making it easier to spot these important zones at a glance.
Clean and Simple: A minimalist design focusing on the key elements, making it suitable for all traders.
How to Use:
Overbought Zone: When the RSI moves above the overbought line (red), it may indicate that the asset is overbought, signaling a potential price reversal or pullback.
Oversold Zone: When the RSI moves below the oversold line (green), it may indicate that the asset is oversold, signaling a potential price bounce or reversal.
This dynamic RSI indicator is perfect for those looking to capture market extremes and improve their trading decisions. It's especially useful for timeframes like 30-minute and 1-hour charts, where market conditions tend to shift more rapidly.
GP - SRSI ChannelGP - SRSI Channel Indicator
The GP - SRSI Channel is a channel indicator derived from the Stochastic RSI (SRSI) oscillator. It combines SRSI data from multiple timeframes to analyze minimum, maximum, and closing values, forming a channel based on these calculations. The goal is to identify overbought and oversold zones with color coding and highlight potential trading opportunities by indicating trend reversal points.
How It Works
SRSI Calculation: The indicator calculates the Stochastic RSI values using open, high, low, and close prices from the selected timeframes.
Channel Creation: Minimum and maximum values derived from these calculations are combined across multiple timeframes. The midpoint is calculated as the average of these values.
Color Coding: Zones within the channel are color-coded with a gradient from red to green based on the ratios. Green zones typically indicate selling opportunities, while red zones suggest buying opportunities.
Visual Elements:
The channel boundaries (min/max) are displayed as lines.
Overbought/oversold regions (95-100 and 0-5) are highlighted with shaded areas.
Additional explanatory labels are placed on key levels to guide users.
How to Use
Trading Strategy: This indicator can be used for both trend following and identifying reversal points. Selling opportunities can be evaluated when the channel reaches the upper green zone, while buying opportunities can be considered in the lower red zone.
Timeframe Selection: Users can analyze multiple timeframes simultaneously to gain a broader perspective.
Customization: RSI and Stochastic RSI parameters are adjustable, allowing users to tailor the indicator to their trading strategies.
Important Note
This indicator is for informational purposes only and should not be used as a sole basis for trading decisions. Please validate the results of the indicator with your own analysis.
ATR and Volume AnalysisHi!
I would like to present an indicator that's meant to measure ratio of Volatility to Volume.
Basically it measures 2 moving averages (14 and 100 period) of ATR and Volume and then compares them. The output is ATR14 / Vol14
Color scheme
Red: Volume and ATR is both below 14 period
Green: Both are above
Yellow: Volume up, volatility down
Purple: Volume down, volatility up
Then there are two lines - 1 and 1.5
That is, in my opinion, the most optimal state to trade, because 1 means that there is some volatility and it's confirmed by volume. Above 1,5 you could see it as overbought (or oversold) zone. If it's above this line, we could expect a retracement since the volatility is not backed by volume. Above 2 it's quite critical and I would suggest closing trades.
(You can use it across all timeframes. In fact it's better if you do so. Longer timeframes are good for spotting tradeable markets while shorter timeframes show overbought / oversold zones)
I have also added option to choose between 4 different moving averages, but in my opinion RMA works the best.
Feel free to share some feedback, I would really appreciate it.
Sincerely,
Beefmaster
Dollar Cost Averaging (YavuzAkbay)The Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) indicator is designed to support long-term investors following a Dollar Cost Averaging strategy. The core aim of this tool is to provide insights into overbought and oversold levels, assisting investors in managing buy and sell decisions with a clear visual cue system. Specifically developed for use in trending or fluctuating markets, this indicator leverages support and resistance levels to give structure to investors' buying strategies. Here’s a detailed breakdown of the indicator’s key features and intended usage:
Key Features and Color Coding
Overbought/Oversold Detection:
The indicator shades candles from light green to dark green when an asset becomes increasingly overbought. Dark green signals indicate a peak, where the asset is overbought, suggesting a potential opportunity to take partial profits.
Conversely, candles turn from light red to dark red when the market is oversold. Dark red signifies a heavily oversold condition, marking an ideal buying window for initiating or adding to a position. This color scheme provides a quick visual reference for investors to manage entries and exits effectively.
Support and Resistance Levels:
To address the risk of assets falling further after an overbought signal, the DCA indicator dynamically calculates support and resistance levels. These levels guide investors on key price areas to watch for potential price reversals, allowing them to make more informed buying or selling decisions.
Support levels help investors assess whether they should divide their capital across multiple buy orders, starting at the current oversold zone and extending to anticipated support zones for maximum flexibility.
Usage Methodology
This indicator is intended for Dollar Cost Averaging, a method where investors gradually add to their position rather than entering all at once. Here’s how it complements the DCA approach:
Buy at Oversold Levels: When the indicator shows a dark red candle, it signals that the asset is oversold, marking an optimal entry point. The presence of support levels can help investors determine if they should fully invest their intended amount or stagger buys at potential lower levels.
Sell at Overbought Levels: When the indicator transitions to dark green, it suggests that the asset is overbought. This is an ideal time to consider selling a portion of holdings to realize gains. The resistance levels, marked by the indicator, offer guidance on where the price may encounter selling pressure, aiding investors in planning partial exits.
Customizable Settings
The DCA indicator offers several user-adjustable parameters:
Pivot Frequency and Source: Define the pivot point frequency and the source (candle wick or body) for more tailored support/resistance detection.
Maximum Pivot Points: Set the maximum number of pivot points to be used in support/resistance calculations, providing flexibility in adapting to different market structures.
Channel Width and Line Width: Adjust the width of the channel for support/resistance levels and the thickness of the lines for easier visual tracking.
Color Intensities for Overbought/Oversold Levels: Customize the shading intensity for each overbought and oversold level to align with your trading preferences.
Sharpe Ratio Z-ScoreThis indicator calculates the Sharpe Ratio and its Z-Score , which are used to evaluate the risk-adjusted return of an asset over a given period. The Sharpe Ratio is computed using the average return and the standard deviation of returns, while the Z-Score standardizes this ratio to assess how far the current Sharpe Ratio deviates from its historical average.
The Sharpe Ratio is a measure of how much return an investment has generated relative to the risk it has taken. In the context of this script, the risk-free rate is assumed to be 0, but in real applications, it would typically be the return on a safe investment, like a Treasury bond. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates that the investment's returns are higher compared to its risk, making it a more favorable investment. Conversely, a lower Sharpe Ratio suggests that the investment may not be worth the risk.
Calculation:
Daily Returns Calculation: The script calculates the daily return of the asset. This measures the percentage change in the asset’s closing price from one period to the next.
Sharpe Ratio Calculation: The Sharpe Ratio is calculated by taking the average daily return and dividing it by the standard deviation of the returns, then multiplying by the square root of the period length.
Usage:
Traders and Investors can use the Sharpe Ratio to evaluate how well the asset is compensating for risk. A high Sharpe Ratio indicates a high return per unit of risk, whereas a low or negative Sharpe Ratio suggests poor risk-adjusted returns. In overbought times, an asset would have high/positive returns per unit of risk. In oversold times, an asset would have low/negative returns per unit of risk.
The Z-Score provides a way to compare the current Sharpe Ratio to its historical distribution, offering a more standardized view of how extreme or typical the current ratio is.
Positive Z-score: Indicates that the asset's return is significantly lower than its risk, suggesting potential oversold conditions.
Negative Z-score: Indicates that the asset's return is significantly higher than its risk, suggesting potential overbought conditions.
Red Zone (-3 to -2): Strong overbought conditions.
Green Zone (2 to 3): Strong oversold conditions.
Sharpe Ratio Limitations:
While the Sharpe Ratio is widely used to evaluate risk-adjusted returns, it has its limitations.
Fat Tails: It assumes that returns are normally distributed and does not account for extreme events or "fat tails" in the return distribution. This can be problematic for assets like cryptocurrencies, which may experience large, sudden price swings that skew the return distribution.
Single Risk Factor: The Sharpe Ratio only considers standard deviation (total volatility) as a measure of risk, ignoring other types of risks like skewness or kurtosis, which may also impact an asset’s performance.
Time Frame Sensitivity: The accuracy of the Sharpe Ratio and its Z-Score is heavily influenced by the time frame chosen for the calculation. A longer period may smooth out short-term fluctuations, while a shorter period might be more sensitive to recent volatility.
Overbought and Oversold Zones: The script marks overbought and oversold conditions based on the Z-Score, but this is not a guarantee of market reversal. It’s important to combine this tool with other technical indicators and fundamental analysis for a more comprehensive market evaluation.
Volatility: The Sharpe Ratio and Z-Score depend on the volatility (standard deviation) of the asset’s returns. For highly volatile assets, such as cryptocurrencies, the Sharpe Ratio may not fully capture the true risk or may be misleading if the volatility is transient.
Doesn't Account for Downside Risk: The Sharpe Ratio treats upside and downside volatility equally, which may not reflect how investors perceive risk. Some investors may be more concerned with downside risk, which the Sharpe Ratio does not distinguish from upside fluctuations.
Important Considerations:
The Sharpe Ratio should not be used in isolation. While it provides valuable insights into risk-adjusted returns, it is important to combine it with other performance and risk indicators to form a more comprehensive market evaluation. Relying solely on the Sharpe Ratio may lead to misleading conclusions, particularly in volatile or non-normally distributed markets.
When integrated into a broader investment strategy, the Sharpe Ratio can help traders and investors better assess the risk-return profile of an asset, identifying periods of potential overperformance or underperformance. However, it should be used alongside other tools to ensure more informed decision-making, especially in highly fluctuating markets.
ATR Adjusted RSIATR Adjusted RSI Indicator
By Nathan Farmer
The ATR Adjusted RSI Indicator is a versatile indicator designed primarily for trend-following strategies, while also offering configurations for overbought/oversold (OB/OS) signals, making it suitable for mean-reversion setups. This tool combines the classic Relative Strength Index (RSI) with a unique Average True Range (ATR)-based smoothing mechanism, allowing traders to adjust their RSI signals according to market volatility for more reliable entries and exits.
Key Features:
ATR Weighted RSI:
At the core of this indicator is the ATR-adjusted RSI line, where the RSI is smoothed based on volatility (measured by the ATR). When volatility increases, the smoothing effect intensifies, resulting in a more stable and reliable RSI reading. This makes the indicator more responsive to market conditions, which is especially useful in trend-following systems.
Multiple Signal Types:
This indicator offers a variety of signal-generation methods, adaptable to different market environments and trading preferences:
RSI MA Crossovers: Generates signals when the RSI crosses above or below its moving average, with the flexibility to choose between different moving average types (SMA, EMA, WMA, etc.).
Midline Crossovers: Provides trend confirmation when either the RSI or its moving average crosses the 50 midline, signaling potential trend reversals.
ATR-Inversely Weighted RSI Variations: Uses the smoothed, ATR-adjusted RSI for a more refined and responsive trend-following signal. There are variations both for the MA crossover and the midline crossover.
Overbought/Oversold Conditions: Ideal for mean reversion setups, where signals are triggered when the RSI or its moving average crosses over overbought or oversold levels.
Flexible Customization:
With a wide range of customizable options, you can tailor the indicator to fit your personal trading style. Choose from various moving average types for the RSI, modify the ATR smoothing length, and adjust overbought/oversold levels to optimize your signals.
Usage:
While this indicator is primarily designed for trend-following, its OB/OS configurations make it highly effective for mean-reverting setups as well. Depending on your selected signal type, the relevant indicator line will change color between green and red to visually signal long or short opportunities. This flexibility allows traders to switch between trending and sideways market strategies seamlessly.
A Versatile Tool:
The ATR Adjusted RSI Indicator is a valuable component of any trading system, offering enhanced signals that adapt to market volatility. However, it is not recommended to rely on this indicator alone, especially without thorough backtesting. Its performance varies across different assets and timeframes, so it’s essential to experiment with the parameters to ensure consistent results before applying it in live trading.
Recommendation:
Before incorporating this indicator into live trading, backtest it extensively. Given its flexibility and wide range of signal-generation methods, backtesting allows you to optimize the settings for your preferred assets and timeframes. Only consider using it on it's own if you are confident in its performance based on your own backtest results, and even then, it is not recommended.
Larry Williams Valuation Index [tradeviZion]Larry Williams Valuation Index
Welcome to the Larry Williams Valuation Index by tradeviZion! This script is an interpretation of Larry Williams' famous WillVal (Valuation) Index, originally developed in 1990 to help traders determine whether a market or asset is overvalued or undervalued. We've extended it to support multiple securities and offer alerts for different valuation levels, helping you make more informed trading decisions.
What is the Valuation Index?
The Valuation Index measures how a security's current price compares to its historical price action. It helps identify whether the security is overvalued (priced too high), undervalued (priced too low), or in a normal range.
This version supports multiple securities and uses valuation parameters to help you assess the relative valuation of three securities simultaneously. It can help you determine the best times to enter (buy) or exit (sell) the market.
Key Features
Multi-Security Analysis: Analyze up to three securities simultaneously to get a broader view of market conditions.
Valuation Levels: Automatically calculate overvaluation and undervaluation levels or set manual levels for consistent analysis.
Custom Alerts: Create custom alerts when securities move between overvalued, undervalued, or normal ranges.
Customizable Table Display: Display a table with valuation values and their status on the chart.
Getting Started
Step 1: Adding the Script to Your Chart
First, add the Larry Williams Valuation Index script to your chart on TradingView. The script is designed to work with any timeframe, but for best results, use weekly or daily timeframes for a longer-term perspective.
Step 2: Configuring Securities
The script allows you to analyze up to three different securities :
Security 1 (Default: DXY)
Security 2 (Default: GC1!)
Security 3 (Default: ZB1!)
You can enable or disable each security individually.
Custom Timeframe Option: You have the option to select a custom timeframe for analysis. This allows you to see whether the security is overvalued or undervalued in lower or higher timeframes. Note that this feature is experimental and has not been extensively tested. Larry Williams originally used the weekly timeframe to determine if a stock was overvalued or undervalued. By default, the indicator compares the current price with the security based on the selected timeframe, except if you choose to use a custom timeframe.
Pro Tip : New users can start with the default securities to understand the concept before using other assets.
Step 3: Valuation Index Settings
Short EMA Length : This is the short-term average used for calculations. A lower value makes it more responsive to recent price changes.
Long EMA Length : This is the long-term average, used to smooth the valuation over time.
Valuation Length (Default: 156) : Represents approximately three years of daily bars (as recommended by Larry Williams).
How is the Valuation Index Calculated?
The valuation calculation is done using a method called WVI (WillVal Index), which compares the current price of a security to the price of another correlated security. Here’s a step-by-step explanation:
1. Data Collection: The script takes the closing price of the security you are analyzing and the closing price of the correlated security.
2. Ratio Calculation : The ratio of the two prices is calculated:
Price Ratio = (Price of your security) / (Price of correlated security) * 100.
This ratio helps determine how expensive or cheap your security is compared to the correlated one.
3. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) : The price ratio is used to calculate short-term and long-term EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages). EMAs are used to create smooth lines that represent the average price of a security over a specific period of time, with more weight given to recent data. By calculating both short-term and long-term EMAs, we can identify the trend direction and how the security is performing compared to its historical averages.
4. Valuation Index Calculation:
The Valuation Index is calculated as the difference between the short-term EMA and the long-term EMA. This difference helps to determine if the security is currently overvalued or undervalued:
A positive value indicates that the price is above its longer-term trend, suggesting potential overvaluation.
A negative value indicates that the price is below its longer-term trend, suggesting potential undervaluation.
5. Normalization:
To make the valuation easier to interpret, the calculated valuation index is then normalized using the highest and lowest values over the selected valuation length (e.g., 156 bars).
This normalization process converts the index into a percentage between 0 and 100, where higher values indicate overvaluation and lower values indicate undervaluation.
Step 4: Understanding Valuation Levels
The valuation levels indicate whether a security is currently undervalued, overvalued, or in a normal range.
Manual Levels : You can manually set the overvaluation and undervaluation thresholds (default is 85 for overvalued and 15 for undervalued).
Auto Levels : The script can automatically calculate these levels based on recent price action, allowing you to adapt to changing market conditions.
Auto Levels Calculation Explained:
The Auto Levels are calculated by taking the average of the valuation indices for all three securities (e.g., index1, index2, and index3).
The script then looks at the highest and lowest values of this average over a selected number of recent bars (e.g., 50 bars).
The overvaluation level is determined by taking the highest value and multiplying it by a multiplier (e.g., 5). Similarly, the undervaluation level is calculated using the lowest value and the multiplier.
These dynamic levels adjust according to recent price action, providing an adaptive approach to identifying overvalued and undervalued conditions.
Step 5: How to Use the Script to Make Trading Decisions
For new users, here's a step-by-step trading strategy you can use with the Valuation Index:
1. Identify Undervalued Opportunities
When two or more securities are in the undervalued range (below 15 for manual or below automatically calculated undervalue levels), wait for at least two of these securities to turn from undervalued to normal .
This transition indicates a potential buy opportunity .
2. Buying Signal
When at least two securities transition from undervalued to normal, you can consider buying the asset.
This indicates that the market may be recovering from undervalued conditions and could be moving into a growth phase.
3. Selling Signal
Exit when the price high closes below the EMA 21 (21-day exponential moving average).
Alternatively, if the valuation index reaches overvalued levels (above 85 manually or auto-calculated), wait for it to drop back to normal . This can be another point to exit the trade .
You can also use any other sell condition based on your r isk management strategy .
Alerts for Valuation Levels
The script includes alerts to notify you of changing market conditions:
To activate these alerts, follow these steps, referring to the provided screenshot with detailed steps:
1. Enable Alerts : Click on the settings gear icon on the script title in your chart. In the settings menu, scroll to the section labeled Alerts Settings .
Enable Alerts by checking the Enable Alerts box.
Set the Required Securities for Alert (default is 2 securities).
Choose the Alert Frequency : Selecting Once Per Bar Close will trigger alerts only at the close of each bar, ensuring you receive confirmed signals rather than potentially noisy intermediate signals.
2. Select Alert Type : Choose the type of alert you want to activate, such as Alert on Overvalued, Alert on Undervalued, Alert on Over to Normal , or Alert on Under to Normal .
3. Save Settings : Click OK to save your alert settings.
4. Add Alert on Indicator : Click the "..." (More button) next to the indicator name on the chart and select " Add alert on tradeviZion - WillVal ".
5. Create Alert : In the Create Alert window:
Set Condition to tradeviZion - WillVal .
Ensure Any alert() function call is selected.
Set the Alert Name and select your Expiration preferences.
6. Set Notification Preferences : Go to the Notifications tab and select how you want to receive notifications, such as via app notification, toast notification, email , or sound alert . Adjust these preferences to best suit your needs.
7. Click Create : Finally, click Create to activate the alert.
These alerts will help you stay informed about key market conditions and take action accordingly, ensuring you do not miss critical trading opportunities.
Understanding the Table Display
The script includes an interactive table on the chart to show the valuation status of each security:
Security : The name of the security being analyzed.
Value : The current valuation index value.
Status : Indicates whether the security is overvalued, undervalued , or in a normal range.
Color: Displays a color code for easy identification of status:
Red for overvalued.
Green for undervalued.
Other colors represent normal valuation levels.
Empowering Messages : Motivational messages are displayed to encourage disciplined trading. These messages will change periodically, helping keep a positive trading mindset.
Acknowledgment
This tool builds upon the foundational work of Larry Williams, who developed the WillVal (Valuation) Index concept. It also incorporates enhancements to extend multi-security analysis, valuation normalization, and advanced alerting features, providing a more versatile and powerful indicator. The Larry Williams Valuation Index [ tradeviZion ] helps traders make informed decisions by assessing overvalued and undervalued conditions for multiple securities simultaneously.
Note : Always practice proper risk management and thoroughly test the indicator to ensure it aligns with your trading strategy. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Trade smarter with TradeVizion—unlock your trading potential today!
DSL Oscillator [BigBeluga]DSL Oscillator BigBeluga
The DSL (Discontinued Signal Lines) Oscillator is an advanced technical analysis tool that combines elements of the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Discontinued Signal Lines, and Zero-Lag Exponential Moving Average (ZLEMA). This versatile indicator is designed to help traders identify trend direction, momentum, and potential reversal points in the market.
What are Discontinued Signal Lines (DSL)?
Discontinued Signal Lines are an extension of the traditional signal line concept used in many indicators. While a standard signal line compares an indicator's value to its smoothed (slightly lagging) state, DSL takes this idea further by using multiple adaptive lines that respond to the indicator's current value. This approach provides a more nuanced view of the indicator's state and momentum, making it easier to determine trends and desired states of the indicator.
🔵 KEY FEATURES
● Discontinued Signal Lines (DSL)
Uses multiple adaptive lines that respond to the indicator's value
Provides a more nuanced view of the indicator's state and momentum
Helps determine trends and desired states of the indicator more effectively
Available in "Fast" and "Slow" modes for different responsiveness
Acts as dynamic support and resistance levels for the oscillator
● DSL Oscillator
Based on a combination of RSI and Discontinued Signal Lines
// Discontinued Signal Lines
dsl_lines(src, length)=>
UP = 0.
DN = 0.
UP := (src > ta.sma(src, length)) ? nz(UP ) + dsl_mode / length * (src - nz(UP )) : nz(UP )
DN := (src < ta.sma(src, length)) ? nz(DN ) + dsl_mode / length * (src - nz(DN )) : nz(DN )
Smoothed using Zero-Lag Exponential Moving Average for reduced lag
// Zero-Lag Exponential Moving Average function
zlema(src, length) =>
lag = math.floor((length - 1) / 2)
ema_data = 2 * src - src
ema2 = ta.ema(ema_data, length)
ema2
Oscillates between 0 and 100
Color-coded for easy interpretation of market conditions
● Signal Generation
Generates buy signals when the oscillator crosses above the lower DSL line below 50
Generates sell signals when the oscillator crosses below the upper DSL line above 50
Signals are visualized on both the oscillator and the main chart
● Visual Cues
Background color changes on signal occurrences for easy identification
Candles on the main chart are colored based on the latest signal
Oscillator line color changes based on its position relative to the DSL lines
🔵 HOW TO USE
● Trend Identification
Use the color and position of the DSL Oscillator relative to its Discontinued Signal Lines to determine the overall market trend
● Entry Signals
Look for buy signals (green circles) when the oscillator crosses above the lower DSL line
Look for sell signals (blue circles) when the oscillator crosses below the upper DSL line
Confirm signals with the triangles on the main chart and background color changes
● Exit Signals
Consider exiting long positions on exit signals and short positions on Entery signals
Watch for the oscillator crossing back between the DSL lines as a potential early exit signal
● Momentum Analysis
Strong momentum is indicated when the oscillator moves rapidly towards extremes and away from the DSL lines
Weakening momentum can be spotted when the oscillator struggles to reach new highs or lows, or starts converging with the DSL lines
The space between the DSL lines can indicate potential momentum strength - wider gaps suggest stronger trends
● Confirmation
Use the DSL lines as dynamic support/resistance levels for the oscillator
Look for convergence between oscillator signals and price action on the main chart
Combine signals with other technical indicators or chart patterns for stronger confirmation
🔵 CUSTOMIZATION
The DSL Oscillator offers several customization options:
Adjust the main calculation length for the DSL lines
Choose between "Fast" and "Slow" modes for the DSL lines calculation
By fine-tuning these settings, traders can adapt the DSL Oscillator to various market conditions and personal trading strategies.
The DSL Oscillator provides a multi-faceted approach to market analysis, combining trend identification, momentum assessment, and signal generation in one comprehensive tool. Its dynamic nature and visual cues make it suitable for both novice and experienced traders across various timeframes and markets. The integration of RSI, Discontinued Signal Lines, and ZLEMA offers traders a sophisticated yet intuitive tool to inform their trading decisions.
The use of Discontinued Signal Lines sets this oscillator apart from traditional indicators by providing a more adaptive and nuanced view of market conditions. This can potentially lead to more accurate trend identification and signal generation, especially in markets with varying volatility.
Traders can use the DSL Oscillator to identify trends, spot potential reversals, and gauge market momentum. The combination of the oscillator, dynamic signal lines, and clear visual signals provides a holistic view of market conditions. As with all technical indicators, it's recommended to use the DSL Oscillator in conjunction with other forms of analysis and within the context of a well-defined trading strategy.
Supply and Demand Zones with Enhanced SignalsThis Pine Script indicator combines supply and demand zone analysis with dynamic buy/sell signals to enhance trading strategies. It provides a robust framework for identifying optimal trading opportunities and managing existing trades.
Key Features:
Supply and Demand Zones: The indicator identifies significant supply and demand zones based on recent price action. These zones are plotted as horizontal lines to help traders visualize potential reversal points.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA): A 21-period EMA is used to determine the prevailing trend and generate buy and sell signals.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The 14-period RSI is utilized to filter buy and sell signals, providing additional context on overbought and oversold conditions.
Signal Generation:
Buy Signal: Triggered when the price crosses above the EMA and RSI indicates that the market is not overbought.
Sell Signal: Triggered when the price crosses below the EMA and RSI indicates that the market is not oversold.
Enhanced Exit Signals:
Exit Buy Signal: Generated if an opposite sell signal occurs or the higher timeframe RSI indicates overbought conditions.
Exit Sell Signal: Generated if an opposite buy signal occurs or the higher timeframe RSI indicates oversold conditions.
Trade Management:
Tracks active trades and provides exit signals based on the occurrence of opposite trading signals. This helps in managing positions more effectively and reducing potential losses.
Usage:
Supply and Demand Zones: Look for price action around these zones to identify potential trading opportunities.
EMA and RSI: Use buy and sell signals in conjunction with EMA and RSI to validate trading decisions.
Higher Timeframe RSI: Utilize this for additional confirmation and exit signals.
Plotting:
Supply Zone: Plotted as a red horizontal line.
Demand Zone: Plotted as a green horizontal line.
EMA: Plotted as a blue line.
Buy and Sell Signals: Indicated by green and red triangle shapes, respectively.
Exit Signals: Indicated by blue and orange X shapes.
This indicator is designed to help traders make informed decisions by combining technical analysis with strategic trade management.
Ultimate Bands [BigBeluga]Ultimate Bands
The Ultimate Bands indicator is an advanced technical analysis tool that combines elements of volatility bands, oscillators, and trend analysis. It provides traders with a comprehensive view of market conditions, including trend direction, momentum, and potential reversal points.
🔵 KEY FEATURES
● Ultimate Bands
Consists of an upper band, lower band, and a smooth middle line
Based on John Ehler's SuperSmoother algorithm for reduced lag
Bands are calculated using Root Mean Square Deviation (RMSD) for adaptive volatility measurement
Helps identify potential support and resistance levels
● Ultimate Oscillator
Derived from the price position relative to the Ultimate Bands
Oscillates between overbought and oversold levels
Provides insights into potential reversals and trend strength
● Trend Signal Line
Based on a Hull Moving Average (HMA) of the Ultimate Oscillator
Helps identify the overall trend direction
Color-coded for easy trend interpretation
● Heatmap Visualization
Displays the current state of the oscillator and trend signal
Provides an intuitive visual representation of market conditions
Shows overbought/oversold status and trend direction at a glance
● Breakout Signals
Optional feature to detect and display breakouts beyond the Ultimate Bands
Helps identify potential trend reversals or continuations
Visualized with arrows on the chart and color-coded candles
🔵 HOW TO USE
● Trend Identification
Use the color and position of the Trend Signal Line to determine the overall market trend
Refer to the heatmap for a quick visual confirmation of trend direction
● Entry Signals
Look for price touches or breaks of the Ultimate Bands for potential entry points
Use oscillator extremes in conjunction with band touches for stronger signals
Consider breakout signals (if enabled) for trend-following entries
● Exit Signals
Use opposite band touches or breakouts as potential exit points
Monitor the oscillator for divergences or extreme readings as exit signals
● Overbought/Oversold Analysis
Use the Ultimate Oscillator and heatmap to identify overbought/oversold conditions
Look for potential reversals when the oscillator reaches extreme levels
● Confirmation
Combine Ultimate Bands, Oscillator, and Trend Signal for stronger trade confirmation
Use the heatmap for quick visual confirmation of market conditions
🔵 CUSTOMIZATION
The Ultimate Bands indicator offers several customization options:
Adjust the main calculation length for bands and oscillator
Modify the number of standard deviations for band calculation
Change the signal line length for trend analysis
Toggle the display of breakout signals and candle coloring
By fine-tuning these settings, traders can adapt the Ultimate Bands indicator to various market conditions and personal trading strategies.
The Ultimate Bands indicator provides a multi-faceted approach to market analysis, combining volatility-based bands, oscillator analysis, and trend identification in one comprehensive tool. Its adaptive nature and visual cues make it suitable for both novice and experienced traders across various timeframes and markets. The integration of multiple analytical elements offers traders a rich set of data points to inform their trading decisions.
Momentum & Squeeze Oscillator [UAlgo]The Momentum & Squeeze Oscillator is a technical analysis tool designed to help traders identify shifts in market momentum and potential squeeze conditions. This oscillator combines multiple timeframes and periods to provide a detailed view of market dynamics. It enhances the decision-making process for both short-term and long-term traders by visualizing momentum with customizable colors and alerts.
🔶 Key Features
Custom Timeframe Selection: Allows users to select a custom timeframe for oscillator calculations, providing flexibility in analyzing different market periods.
Recalculation Option: Enables or disables the recalculation of the indicator, offering more control over real-time data processing.
Squeeze Background Visualization: Highlights potential squeeze conditions with a background color, helping traders quickly spot consolidation periods.
Adjustable Squeeze Sensitivity: Users can modify the sensitivity of the squeeze detection, tailoring the indicator to their specific trading style and market conditions.
Bar Coloring Condition: Option to color the price bars based on momentum conditions, enhancing the visual representation of market trends.
Threshold Bands: Option to fill threshold bands for a clearer visualization of overbought and oversold levels.
Reference Lines: Display reference lines for overbought, oversold, and mid-levels, aiding in quick assessment of momentum extremes.
Multiple Output Modes: Offers different output visualization modes, including:
ALL: Displays all calculated momentum values (fast, medium, slow).
AVG: Shows the average momentum, providing a consolidated view.
STD: Displays the standard deviation of momentum, useful for understanding volatility.
Alerts: Configurable alerts for key momentum events such as crossovers and squeeze conditions, keeping traders informed of important market changes.
🔶 Usage
The Momentum & Squeeze Oscillator can be used for various trading purposes:
Trend Identification: Use the oscillator to determine the direction and strength of market trends. By analyzing the average, fast, medium, and slow momentum lines, traders can gain insights into short-term and long-term market movements.
Squeeze Detection: The indicator highlights periods of low volatility (squeeze conditions) which often precede significant price movements. Traders can use this information to anticipate and prepare for potential breakouts.
Overbought/Oversold Conditions: The oscillator helps identify overbought and oversold conditions, indicating potential reversal points. This is particularly useful for timing entry and exit points in the market.
Momentum Shifts: By monitoring the crossover of momentum lines with key levels (e.g., the 50 level), traders can spot shifts in market momentum, allowing them to adjust their positions accordingly.
🔶 Disclaimer:
Use with Caution: This indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Users should exercise caution and perform their own analysis before making trading decisions based on the indicator's signals.
Not Financial Advice: The information provided by this indicator does not constitute financial advice, and the creator (UAlgo) shall not be held responsible for any trading losses incurred as a result of using this indicator.
Backtesting Recommended: Traders are encouraged to backtest the indicator thoroughly on historical data before using it in live trading to assess its performance and suitability for their trading strategies.
Risk Management: Trading involves inherent risks, and users should implement proper risk management strategies, including but not limited to stop-loss orders and position sizing, to mitigate potential losses.
No Guarantees: The accuracy and reliability of the indicator's signals cannot be guaranteed, as they are based on historical price data and past performance may not be indicative of future results.
Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Buy Sell Strategy [TradeDots]The "Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Buy Sell Strategy" leverages the CMO indicator to identify short-term buy and sell opportunities.
HOW DOES IT WORK
The standard CMO indicator measures the difference between recent gains and losses, divided by the total price movement over the same period. However, this version of the CMO has some limitations.
The primary disadvantage of the original CMO is its responsiveness to short-term volatility, making the signals less smooth and more erratic, especially in fluctuating markets. This instability can lead to misleading buy or sell signals.
To address this, we integrated the concept from the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator. By applying a 9-period exponential moving average (EMA) to the CMO line, we obtained a smoothed signal line. This line acts as a filter, identifying confirmed overbought or oversold states, thereby reducing the number of false signals.
Similar to the MACD histogram, we generate columns representing the difference between the CMO and its signal line, reflecting market momentum. We use this momentum indicator as a criterion for entry and exit points. Trades are executed when there's a convergence of CMO and signal lines during an oversold state, and they are closed when the CMO line diverges from the signal line, indicating increased selling pressure.
APPLICATION
Since the 9-period EMA smooths the CMO line, it's less susceptible to extreme price fluctuations. However, this smoothing also makes it more challenging to breach the original +50 and -50 benchmarks.
To increase trading opportunities, we've tightened the boundary ranges. Users can customize the target benchmark lines in the settings to adjust for the volatility of the underlying asset.
The 'cool down period' is essentially the number of bars that await before the next signal generation. This feature is employed to dodge the occurrence of multiple signals in a short period.
DEFAULT SETUP
Commission: 0.01%
Initial Capital: $10,000
Equity per Trade: 80%
Signal Cool Down Period: 5
RISK DISCLAIMER
Trading entails substantial risk, and most day traders incur losses. All content, tools, scripts, articles, and education provided by TradeDots serve purely informational and educational purposes. Past performances are not definitive predictors of future results.
Fusion MFI RSIHello fellas,
This superb indicator summons two monsters called Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Money Flow Index (MFI) and plays the Yu-Gi-Oh! card "Polymerization" to combine them.
Overview
The Fusion MFI RSI Indicator is an advanced analytical tool designed to provide a nuanced understanding of market dynamics by combining the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Money Flow Index (MFI). Enhanced with sophisticated smoothing techniques and the Inverse Fisher Transform (IFT), this indicator excels in identifying key market conditions such as overbought and oversold states, trends, and potential reversal points.
Key Features (Brief Overview)
Fusion of RSI and MFI: Integrates momentum and volume for a comprehensive market analysis.
Advanced Smoothing Techniques: Employs Hann Window, Jurik Moving Average (JMA), T3 Smoothing, and Super Smoother to refine signals.
Inverse Fisher Transform (IFT) Enhances the clarity and distinctiveness of indicator outputs.
Detailed Feature Analysis
Fusion of RSI and MFI
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Developed by J. Welles Wilder Jr., the RSI measures the speed and magnitude of directional price movements. Wilder recommended using a 14-day period and identified overbought conditions above 70 and oversold conditions below 30.
MFI (Money Flow Index): Created by Gene Quong and Avrum Soudack, the MFI combines price and volume to measure trading pressure. It is typically calculated using a 14-day period, with over 80 considered overbought and under 20 as oversold.
Application in Fusion: By combining RSI and MFI, the indicator leverages RSI's sensitivity to price changes with MFI's volume-weighted confirmation, providing a robust analysis tool. This combination is particularly effective in confirming the strength behind price movements, making the signals more reliable.
Advanced Smoothing Techniques
Hann Window: Traditionally used to reduce the abrupt data discontinuities at the edges of a sample, it is applied here to smooth the price data.
Jurik Moving Average (JMA): Known for preserving the timing and smoothness of the data, JMA reduces market noise effectively without significant lag.
T3 Smoothing: Developed to respond quickly to market changes, T3 provides a smoother response to price fluctuations.
Super Smoother: Filters out high-frequency noise while retaining important trends.
Application in Fusion: These techniques are chosen to refine the output of the combined RSI and MFI values, ensuring the indicator remains responsive yet stable, providing clearer and more actionable signals.
Inverse Fisher Transform (IFT):
Developed by John Ehlers, the IFT transforms oscillator outputs to enhance the clarity of extreme values. This is particularly useful in this fusion indicator to make critical turning points more distinct and actionable.
Mathematical Calculations for the Fusion MFI RSI Indicator
RSI (Relative Strength Index)
The RSI is calculated using the following steps:
Average Gain and Average Loss: First, determine the average gain and average loss over the specified period (typically 14 days). This is done by summing all the gains and losses over the period and then dividing each by the period.
Average Gain = (Sum of Gains over the past 14 periods) / 14
Average Loss = (Sum of Losses over the past 14 periods) / 14
Relative Strength (RS): This is the ratio of average gain to average loss.
RS = Average Gain / Average Loss
RSI: Finally, the RSI is calculated using the RS value:
RSI = 100 - (100 / (1 + RS))
MFI (Money Flow Index)
The MFI is calculated using several steps that incorporate both price and volume:
Typical Price: Calculate the typical price for each period.
Typical Price = (High + Low + Close) / 3
Raw Money Flow: Multiply the typical price by the volume for the period.
Raw Money Flow = Typical Price * Volume
Positive and Negative Money Flow: Compare the typical price of the current period to the previous period to determine if the money flow is positive or negative.
If today's Typical Price > Yesterday's Typical Price, then Positive Money Flow = Raw Money Flow; Negative Money Flow = 0
If today's Typical Price < Yesterday's Typical Price, then Negative Money Flow = Raw Money Flow; Positive Money Flow = 0
Money Flow Ratio: Calculate the ratio of the sum of Positive Money Flows to the sum of Negative Money Flows over the past 14 periods.
Money Flow Ratio = (Sum of Positive Money Flows over 14 periods) / (Sum of Negative Money Flows over 14 periods)
MFI: Finally, calculate the MFI using the Money Flow Ratio.
MFI = 100 - (100 / (1 + Money Flow Ratio))
Fusion of RSI and MFI
The final Fusion MFI RSI value could be calculated by averaging the IFT-transformed values of RSI and MFI, providing a single oscillator value that reflects both momentum and volume-weighted price action:
Fusion MFI RSI = (MFI weight * MFI) + (RSI weight * RSI)
Suggested Settings and Trading Rules
Original Usage
RSI: Wilder suggested buying when the RSI moves above 30 from below (enter long) and selling when the RSI moves below 70 from above (enter short). He recommended exiting long positions when the RSI reaches 70 or higher and exiting short positions when the RSI falls below 30.
MFI: Quong and Soudack recommended buying when the MFI is below 20 and starts rising (enter long), and selling when it is above 80 and starts declining (enter short). They suggested exiting long positions when the MFI reaches 80 or higher and exiting short positions when the MFI falls below 20.
Fusion Application
Settings: Use a 14-day period for this indicator's calculations to maintain consistency with the original settings suggested by the inventors.
Trading Rules:
Enter Long Signal: Consider entering a long position when both RSI and MFI are below their respective oversold levels and begin to rise. This indicates strong buying pressure supported by both price momentum and volume.
Exit Long Signal: Exit the long position when either RSI or MFI reaches its respective overbought threshold, suggesting a potential reversal or decrease in buying pressure.
Enter Short Signal: Consider entering a short position when both indicators are above their respective overbought levels and begin to decline, suggesting that selling pressure is mounting.
Exit Short Signal: Exit the short position when either RSI or MFI falls below its respective oversold threshold, indicating diminishing selling pressure and a potential upward reversal.
How to Use the Indicator
Select Source and Timeframe: Choose the data source and the timeframe for analysis.
Configure Fusion Settings: Adjust the weights for RSI and MFI.
Choose Smoothing Technique: Select and configure the desired smoothing method to suit the market conditions and personal preference.
Enable Fisherization: Optionally apply the Inverse Fisher Transform to enhance signal clarity.
Customize Visualization: Set up gradient coloring, background plots, and bands according to your preferences.
Interpret the Indicator: Use the Fusion value and visual cues to identify market conditions and potential trading opportunities.
Conclusion
The Fusion MFI RSI Indicator integrates classical and modern technical analysis concepts to provide a comprehensive tool for market analysis. By combining RSI and MFI with advanced smoothing techniques and the Inverse Fisher Transform, this indicator offers enhanced insights, aiding traders in making more informed and timely trading decisions. Customize the settings to align with your trading strategy and leverage this powerful tool to navigate financial markets effectively.
Best regards,
simwai
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Credits to:
@loxx – T3
@everget – JMA
@cheatcountry – Hann Window
Linear Regression Oscillator [ChartPrime]Linear Regression Oscillator Indicator
Overview:
The Linear Regression Oscillator is a custom TradingView indicator designed to provide insights into potential mean reversion and trend conditions. By calculating a linear regression on the closing prices over a user-defined period, this oscillator helps identify overbought and oversold levels and highlights trend changes. The indicator also offers visual cues and color-coded price bars to aid in quick decision-making.
Key Features:
◆ Customizable Look-Back Period:
Input: Length
Default: 20
Description: Determines the period over which the linear regression is calculated. A longer period smooths the oscillator but may lag, while a shorter period is more responsive but may be noisier.
◆ Overbought and Oversold Thresholds:
Inputs: Upper Threshold and Lower Threshold
Default: 1.5 and -1.5 respectively
Description: Define the upper and lower bounds for identifying overbought and oversold conditions. Values outside these thresholds suggest potential reversals.
◆ Candlestick Color Plotting:
Input: Plot Bar Color
Default: false
Description: Option to color the price bars based on the oscillator's value, providing a visual representation of market conditions. Bars turn cyan for positive oscillator values and blue for negative.
◆ Mean Reversion and Trend Signals:
Visual markers and labels indicate when the oscillator suggests mean reversion or trend changes, aiding in identifying key market turning points.
◆ Invalidation Levels:
Tracks the highest and lowest prices over a recent period to set levels where the current trend signal would be considered invalidated.
◆ Gradient Color Coding:
Utilizes gradient color coding to enhance the visualization of oscillator values, making it easier to interpret overbought and oversold conditions.
◆ Usage Notes:
Setting the Look-Back Period:
Adjust the "Length" input based on the timeframe and the type of trading you are conducting. Shorter periods are more suited for intraday trading, while longer periods can be used for swing trading.
Interpreting Thresholds:
Use the upper and lower threshold inputs to fine-tune the sensitivity of the overbought and oversold signals. Higher absolute values reduce the number of signals but increase their reliability.
Candlestick Coloring:
Enabling the "Plot Bar Color" option can help quickly identify the current state of the oscillator in relation to the zero line. This visual aid can be particularly useful in fast-moving markets.
Mean Reversion and Trend Signals:
Pay attention to the symbols and labels on the chart indicating mean reversion and trend changes. These signals are designed to highlight potential entry and exit points.
Invalidation Levels:
Use the plotted invalidation levels as stop-loss or signal invalidation points. If the price moves beyond these levels, the current trend signal is likely invalid.
This indicator helps traders identify overbought and oversold conditions, potential mean reversions, and trend changes based on the linear regression of the closing prices over a specified look-back period.
Price Ratio Indicator [ChartPrime]The Price Ratio Indicator is a versatile tool designed to analyze the relationship between the price of an asset and its moving average. It helps traders identify overbought and oversold conditions in the market, as well as potential trend reversals.
◈ User Inputs:
MA Length: Specifies the length of the moving average used in the calculation.
MA Type Fast: Allows users to choose from various types of moving averages such as Exponential Moving Average (EMA), Simple Moving Average (SMA), Weighted Moving Average (WMA), Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA), Relative Moving Average (RMA), Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA), Triple Exponential Moving Average (TEMA), Zero-Lag Exponential Moving Average (ZLEMA), and Hull Moving Average (HMA).
Upper Level and Lower Level: Define the threshold levels for identifying overbought and oversold conditions.
Signal Line Length: Determines the length of the signal line used for smoothing the indicator's values.
◈ Indicator Calculation:
The indicator calculates the ratio between the price of the asset and the selected moving average, subtracts 1 from the ratio, and then smooths the result using the chosen signal line length.
// 𝙄𝙉𝘿𝙄𝘾𝘼𝙏𝙊𝙍 𝘾𝘼𝙇𝘾𝙐𝙇𝘼𝙏𝙄𝙊𝙉𝙎
//@ Moving Average's Function
ma(src, ma_period, ma_type) =>
ma =
ma_type == 'EMA' ? ta.ema(src, ma_period) :
ma_type == 'SMA' ? ta.sma(src, ma_period) :
ma_type == 'WMA' ? ta.wma(src, ma_period) :
ma_type == 'VWMA' ? ta.vwma(src, ma_period) :
ma_type == 'RMA' ? ta.rma(src, ma_period) :
ma_type == 'DEMA' ? ta.ema(ta.ema(src, ma_period), ma_period) :
ma_type == 'TEMA' ? ta.ema(ta.ema(ta.ema(src, ma_period), ma_period), ma_period) :
ma_type == 'ZLEMA' ? ta.ema(src + src - src , ma_period) :
ma_type == 'HMA' ? ta.hma(src, ma_period)
: na
ma
//@ Smooth of Source
src = math.sum(source, 5)/5
//@ Ratio Price / MA's
p_ratio = src / ma(src, ma_period, ma_type) - 1
◈ Visualization:
The main plot displays the price ratio, with color gradients indicating the strength and direction of the ratio.
The bar color changes dynamically based on the ratio, providing a visual representation of market conditions.
Invisible Horizontal lines indicate the upper and lower threshold levels for overbought and oversold conditions.
A signal line, smoothed using the specified length, helps identify trends and potential reversal points.
High and low value regions are filled with color gradients, enhancing visualization of extreme price movements.
MA type HMA gives faster changes of the indicator (Each MA has its own specifics):
MA type TEMA:
◈ Additional Features:
A symbol displayed at the bottom right corner of the chart provides a quick visual reference to the current state of the indicator, with color intensity indicating the strength of the ratio.
Overall, the Price Ratio Indicator offers traders valuable insights into price dynamics and helps them make informed trading decisions based on the relationship between price and moving averages. Adjusting the input parameters allows for customization according to individual trading preferences and market conditions.
Hybrid Overbought/Oversold OverlayIntroduction
This is a new representation of my well-known oscillator Hybrid Overbought/Oversold Detector overlaid on the chart. The script utilizes the following 12 different oscillators to bring forth a new indicator which I call it Hybrid OB/OS .
Utilized Oscillators
The utilized oscillators here are:
Bollinger Bands %B
Chaikin Money Flow (CMF)
Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO)
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
Disparity Index (DIX)
Keltner Channel %K
Money Flow Index (MFI)
Rate Of Change (ROC)
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Relative Vigor Index (RVI/RVGI)
Stochastic
Twiggs Money Flow (TMF)
The challenging part of utilizing mentioned oscillators was that some of their formulas range are not similar and some of them does not have a mathematical range at all. So I used a normalization function to normalize all their output values to (0, 100) interval.
Overbought/Oversold Levels Calculation
I noticed that the levels which considered as OB/OS level by various traders for each of the utilized oscillators are so different, e.g., many traders consider 30 as OS level and 70 as OB level for RSI and some others take 20 and 80 as the levels, or some traders consider 20 and 80 as OS/OB levels for Stochastic oscillator. Also these levels could be different on different assets, e.g., OB/OS levels for CCI on EURUSD chart might be 80 and 20 while the levels on BTCUSDT chart might be 75 and 25, and so on.
So I decided to make a routine to automate the calculation of these levels using historical data. By this feature, my indicator would calculate the corresponding levels for the oscillators on current chart and then decide about the overbought/oversold situation of each one, which leads to a more accurate Hybrid OB/OS indication.
As the result, if all 12 individual oscillators say it's overbought/oversold, the Hybrid OB/OS shows 100% overbought/oversold, vice versa, if none of them say it's overbought/oversold, the Hybrid OB/OS shows 0, and so on.
The Overlaying Oscillator Problem!
A programming-related challenge here was that Pine Script assigns two separate spaces to the oscillators and the overlaid indicators, and the programmers are limited to use just one of them in each of their codes.
Knowing this, I was forced to simulate the oscillator space on the chart and display my oscillator as a diagram somehow. Of course it won't be as nice as the oscillator itself, because the relation between the main chart bars and the oscillator bars could not be obtained, but it's better than nothing!
Settings and Usage
The indicator settings contain some options about the calculations, the diagram display and the signals appearance. By default they are fine, but you could change them as you prefer.
This indicator is better to be used alongside other indicators as a confirmation (specially in counter-trend strategies I believe). Also it generates an external signal which you could use it in your own designed indicators as well.
Feel free to test it and also the former form of the Hybrid OB/OS . Good Luck!
Trend Tide Oscillator [UAlgo]🔶 Description:
The "Trend Tide Oscillator " is a technical analysis tool designed to identify potential trend reversals and overbought/oversold conditions in the market. It calculates an oscillator based on the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) and then applies smoothing techniques to provide a clearer view of market momentum.
🔶 Key Features:
Oscillator Calculation : The indicator calculates an oscillator based on the Commodity Channel Index (CCI), which is a momentum-based oscillator used to identify overbought and oversold conditions.
Smoothing : Smoothing techniques are applied to the oscillator to reduce noise and provide a clearer view of market momentum. This helps traders in identifying trends more effectively.
Support and Resistance Zones : The indicator plots support and resistance zones based on the highest and lowest values of the oscillator over a specified lookback (default 50) period. These zones can help traders identify potential areas of price reversal. The indicator considers volatility when plotting the support and resistance zones. This aims to create more adaptable levels that account for fluctuating market conditions.
Visualization : The indicator visually represents overbought and oversold conditions with shapes (⚠️), aiding traders in quickly identifying potential entry or exit points.
Customization : Users can adjust parameters such as oscillator length, smoothing, and overbought/oversold levels, support and resistance lookbacks according to their trading preferences.
🔶 Disclaimer :
This indicator is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in the financial markets involves risk, and users should conduct their own research and analysis before making any investment decisions.
RSI AcceleratorThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) is like a fitness tracker for the underlying time series. It measures how overbought or oversold an asset is, which is kinda like saying how tired or energized it is.
When the RSI goes too high, it suggests the asset might be tired and due for a rest, so it could be a sign it's gonna drop. On the flip side, when the RSI goes too low, it's like the asset is pumped up and ready to go, so it might be a sign it's gonna bounce back up. Basically, it helps traders figure out if a stock is worn out or revved up, which can be handy for making decisions about buying or selling.
The RSI Accelerator takes the difference between a short-term RSI(5) and a longer-term RSI(14) to detect short-term movements. When the short-term RSI rises more than the long-term RSI, it typically refers to a short-term upside acceleration.
The conditions of the signals through the RSI Accelerator are as follows:
* A bullish signal is generated whenever the Accelerator surpasses -20 after having been below it.
* A bearish signal is generated whenever the Accelerator breaks 20 after having been above it.
RSI Order Blocks [UAlgo]The "RSI Order Blocks " identifies and visualizes potential order blocks based on the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator. These zones may indicating potential support or resistance levels.
🔶 Key Features :
RSI-based Order Block Identification: The script utilizes the RSI indicator to identify potential order blocks. It detects pivot highs and lows in the RSI, which are indicative of potential reversal points, and marks these areas as potential order blocks.
Order Block Visualization: Identified order blocks are visually represented on the chart, making it easy for traders to recognize and interpret these significant price zones. Both bullish and bearish order blocks are differentiated by color, enhancing clarity and ease of analysis. Additionally, within each order block, the RSI value of that block is also shown.
RSI Overbought/Oversold Filter: Optionally, users can apply a filter based on RSI levels to refine the detection of order blocks. This filter prevents the creation of order blocks when the RSI is within specified overbought or oversold conditions (default between 30 and 70), helping traders focus on areas of potentially significant price action.
An Example with the OB/OS Filter Feature Turned Off:
An Example with the OB/OS Filter Feature Turned On:
Mitigation of Broken Order Blocks: Provides flexibility in selecting the mitigation method (based on close or wick) for determining order block breaches.
Customizable Parameters: The script offers a range of customizable parameters to tailor the detection and visualization of order blocks to suit individual trading preferences. Users can adjust parameters such as RSI Length, Order Block Detection Sensitivity, Mitigation Method, and order block style to fine-tune the analysis according to their trading strategy.
🔶 Disclaimer :
Not Financial Advice: This indicator is intended for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Use at Own Risk: Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Users of this indicator should exercise caution and conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.
Performance Not Guaranteed: Past performance is not indicative of future results. While the indicator aims to assist traders in analyzing market trends, there is no guarantee of accuracy or success in trading operations.
Fair Value Gaps Mitigation Oscillator [LuxAlgo]The Fair Value Gaps Mitigation Oscillator is an oscillator based on the traditional Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) imbalances. The oscillator displays the current total un-mitigated values for the number of FVGs chosen by the user.
The indicator also displays each New FVG as a bar representing the current ratio of the New FVG in relation to the current un-mitigated total for its direction.
🔶 USAGE
When an FVG forms, it is often interpreted as strong market sentiment in the direction of the gap. For example, an upward FVG during an uptrend is typically seen as a confirmation of the strength and continuation of the trend, as it indicates that buyers are willing to purchase at higher prices without much resistance, suggesting strong demand and positive sentiment.
By analyzing the mitigation (or lack thereof), we can visualize the increase of directional strength in a trend. This is where the proposed oscillator is useful.
🔶 DETAILS
The oscillator's values are expressed as Percentages (%). Each FVG is allocated 100% of the total of its width with a max potential value of 100 and minimum potential value of 0.
Based on the "FVG Lookback" Input, the FVGs are scaled to fit within the range of +1 to -1. Using a higher "FVG Lookback" value will allow you to get indications of longer-term trends.
A higher value of the normalized bullish FVG areas suggest a stronger and cleaner uptrend, while lower values of the bearish the normalized bullish FVG areas suggest a stronger and cleaner downtrend.
+1 or -1 indicates that there is a Full Lookback of FVGs, and each one is fully un-mitigated, and the opposite direction of FVGs is entirely Mitigated.
When the price closes over/under or within an FVG it begins to get mitigated, when this happens the % of mitigation is subtracted from the total.
When a New FVG is formed, a Histogram bar is created representing the ratio of the current FVG's width to the total width off all un-mitigated FVGs.
The entire bar represents 100% of total un-mitigated FVG Width.
The filled area represents the current FVG's width relative to the whole.
A 50% hash mark is also displayed for reference.
🔶 SETTINGS
FVG Lookback - Determines the number of FVGs (Bullish and Bearish Pairs) to keep in memory for analysis.
Neural Network Synthesis: Trend and Valuation [QuantraSystems]Neural Network Synthesis - Trend and Valuation
Introduction
The Neural Network Synthesis (𝓝𝓝𝒮𝔂𝓷𝓽𝓱) indicator is an innovative technical analysis tool which leverages neural network concepts to synthesize market trend and valuation insights.
This indicator uses a bespoke neural network model to process various technical indicator inputs, providing an improved view of market momentum and perceived value.
Legend
The main visual component of the 𝓝𝓝𝒮𝔂𝓷𝓽𝓱 indicator is the Neural Synthesis Line , which dynamically oscillates within the valuation chart, categorizing market conditions as both under or overvalued and trending up or down.
The synthesis line coloring can be set to trend analysis or valuation modes , which can be reflected in the bar coloring.
The sine wave valuation chart oscillates around a central, volatility normalized ‘fair value’ line, visually conveying the natural rhythm and cyclical nature of asset markets.
The positioning of the sine wave in relation to the central line can help traders to visualize transitions from one market phase to another - such as from an undervalued phase to fair value or an overvalued phase.
Case Study 1
The asset in question experiences a sharp, inefficient move upwards. Such movements suggest an overextension of price, and mean reversion is typically expected.
Here, a short position was initiated, but only after the Neural Synthesis line confirmed a negative trend - to mitigate the risk of shorting into a continuing uptrend.
Two take-profit levels were set:
The midline or ‘fair value’ line.
The lower boundary of the 𝓝𝓝𝒮𝔂𝓷𝓽𝓱 indicators valuation chart.
Although mean-reversion trades are typically closed when price returns to the mean, under circumstances of extreme overextension price often overcorrects from an overbought condition to an oversold condition.
Case Study 2
In the above study, the 𝓝𝓝𝒮𝔂𝓷𝓽𝓱 indicator is applied to the 1 Week Bitcoin chart in order to inform long term investment decisions.
Accumulation Zones - Investors can choose to dollar cost average (DCA) into long term positions when the 𝓝𝓝𝒮𝔂𝓷𝓽𝓱 indicates undervaluation
Distribution Zones - Conversely, when overvalued conditions are indicated, investors are able to incrementally sell holdings expecting the market peak to form around the distribution phase.
Note - It is prudent to pay close attention to any change in trend conditions when the market is in an accumulation/distribution phase, as this can increase the likelihood of a full-cycle market peak forming.
In summary, the 𝓝𝓝𝒮𝔂𝓷𝓽𝓱 indicator is also an effective tool for long term investing, especially for assets like Bitcoin which exhibit prolonged bull and bear cycles.
Special Note
It is prudent to note that because markets often undergo phases of extreme speculation, an asset's price can remain over or undervalued for long periods of time, defying mean-reversion expectations. In these scenarios it is important to use other forms of analysis in confluence, such as the trending component of the 𝓝𝓝𝒮𝔂𝓷𝓽𝓱 indicator to help inform trading decisions.
A special feature of Quantra’s indicators is that they are probabilistically built - therefore they work well as confluence and can easily be stacked to increase signal accuracy.
Example Settings
As used above.
Swing Trading
Smooth Length = 150
Timeframe = 12h
Long Term Investing
Smooth Length = 30
Timeframe = 1W
Methodology
The 𝓝𝓝𝒮𝔂𝓷𝓽𝓱 indicator draws upon the foundational principles of Neural Networks, particularly the concept of using a network of ‘neurons’ (in this case, various technical indicators). It uses their outputs as features, preprocesses this input data, runs an activation function and in the following creates a dynamic output.
The following features/inputs are used as ‘neurons’:
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Moving Average Convergence-Divergence (MACD)
Bollinger Bands
Stochastic Momentum
Average True Range (ATR)
These base indicators were chosen for their diverse methodologies for capturing market momentum, volatility and trend strength - mirroring how neurons in a Neural Network capture and process varied aspects of the input data.
Preprocessing:
Each technical indicator’s output is normalized to remove bias. Normalization is a standard practice to preprocess data for Neural Networks, to scale input data and allow the model to train more effectively.
Activation Function:
The hyperbolic tangent function serves as the activation function for the neurons. In general, for complete neural networks, activation functions introduce non-linear properties to the models and enable them to learn complex patterns. The tanh() function specifically maps the inputs to a range between -1 and 1.
Dynamic Smoothing:
The composite signal is dynamically smoothed using the Arnaud Legoux Moving Average, which adjusts faster to recent price changes - enhancing the indicator's responsiveness. It mimics the learning rate in neural networks - in this case for the output in a single layer approach - which controls how much new information influences the model, or in this case, our output.
Signal Processing:
The signal line also undergoes processing to adapt to the selected assets volatility. This step ensures the indicator’s flexibility across assets which exhibit different behaviors - similar to how a Neural Network adjusts to various data distributions.
Notes:
While the indicator synthesizes complex market information using methods inspired by neural networks, it is important to note that it does not engage in predictive modeling through the use of backpropagation. Instead, it applies methodologies of neural networks for real-time market analysis that is both dynamic and adaptable to changing market conditions.
