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Wyckoff Method - Comprehensive Analysis# WYCKOFF METHOD - QUICK REFERENCE CHEAT SHEET ## 🟢 STRONGEST BUY SIGNALS ### 1. SPRING ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ - **What:** False breakdown below support on LOW volume - **Look for:** Quick reversal, close above support - **Entry:** When price closes back in range - **Stop:** Below spring low - **Target:** Top of range minimum ### 2. SOS (Sign of Strength) ⭐⭐⭐⭐ - **What:** Breakout above resistance on HIGH volume - **Look for:** Wide spread up bar, strong close - **Entry:** On breakout or wait for LPS pullback - **Stop:** Below range top - **Target:** Height of range projected up ### 3. SHAKEOUT ⭐⭐⭐⭐ - **What:** Sharp move below support with HIGH volume, immediate reversal - **Look for:** Long lower wick, closes strong - **Entry:** When price reclaims support - **Stop:** Below shakeout low - **Target:** Previous resistance --- ## 🔴 STRONGEST SELL SIGNALS ### 1. UTAD (Upthrust After Distribution) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ - **What:** False breakout above resistance, quick rejection - **Look for:** Spike high, weak close, often high volume - **Entry:** When price closes back in range - **Stop:** Above UTAD high - **Target:** Bottom of range minimum ### 2. SOW (Sign of Weakness) ⭐⭐⭐⭐ - **What:** Breakdown below support on HIGH volume - **Look for:** Wide spread down bar, weak close - **Entry:** On breakdown or wait for LPSY rally - **Stop:** Above range bottom - **Target:** Height of range projected down ### 3. UPTHRUST ⭐⭐⭐⭐ - **What:** Move above resistance on LOW volume, weak close - **Look for:** Long upper wick, closes in lower half - **Entry:** When resistance holds - **Stop:** Above upthrust high - **Target:** Support level --- ## 📊 ACCUMULATION PHASES (Bottom Formation) ``` PHASE A: Stopping the Downtrend ├─ PS (Preliminary Support) - First buying ├─ SC (Selling Climax) - Panic bottom ⚠️ KEY EVENT ├─ AR (Automatic Rally) - Relief bounce └─ ST (Secondary Test) - Retest SC low PHASE B: Building the Cause ├─ Trading range forms ├─ Multiple tests of support ├─ Volume decreasing └─ Absorption occurring PHASE C: The Test ├─ SPRING - False breakdown ⚠️ KEY EVENT └─ TEST - Support holds on low volume PHASE D: Dominance Emerges ├─ SOS - Breakout ⚠️ KEY EVENT ├─ LPS - Last Point of Support (pullback) └─ BU - Backup PHASE E: Markup └─ New uptrend, strong momentum ``` **Background Color:** Blue → Green (getting brighter) **Action:** Buy in Phase C/D, Hold through Phase E --- ## 📊 DISTRIBUTION PHASES (Top Formation) ``` PHASE A: Stopping the Uptrend ├─ PSY (Preliminary Supply) - First selling ├─ BC (Buying Climax) - Euphoric top ⚠️ KEY EVENT ├─ AR (Automatic Reaction) - Sharp drop └─ ST (Secondary Test) - Retest BC high PHASE B: Building the Cause ├─ Trading range forms ├─ Multiple tests of resistance ├─ Demand being absorbed └─ Volume patterns change PHASE C: The Test └─ UTAD - False breakout ⚠️ KEY EVENT PHASE D: Dominance Emerges ├─ SOW - Breakdown ⚠️ KEY EVENT └─ LPSY - Last Point of Supply (rally to exit) PHASE E: Markdown └─ New downtrend, strong selling ``` **Background Color:** Orange → Red (getting darker) **Action:** Sell in Phase C/D, Stay out during Phase E --- ## 💰 VOLUME SPREAD ANALYSIS (VSA) | Signal | Meaning | Color | Implication | |--------|---------|-------|-------------| | **ND** (No Demand) | Up bar, LOW volume | 🟠 Orange | Weakness - uptrend ending | | **NS** (No Supply) | Down bar, LOW volume | 🔵 Blue | Strength - downtrend ending | | **SV** (Stopping Volume) | VERY HIGH volume, narrow spread | 🟣 Purple | Potential reversal | | **UT** (Upthrust) | Above resistance, LOW vol, weak close | 🔴 Red | Sell signal | | **SO** (Shakeout) | Below support, HIGH vol, strong close | 🟢 Green | Buy signal | --- ## 🎯 VOLUME INTERPRETATION | Volume Level | Bar Color | Meaning | |--------------|-----------|---------| | **VERY HIGH** (>2x average) | Dark Green/Red | Climax, potential reversal | | **HIGH** (>1.5x average) | Light Green/Red | Strong interest | | **NORMAL** | Gray | Average trading | | **LOW** (<0.7x average) | Faint Gray | Testing, no interest | --- ## ⚖️ EFFORT vs RESULT | Scenario | Volume | Spread | Meaning | |----------|--------|--------|---------| | **High Effort, Low Result** | HIGH | Narrow | ⚠️ Potential reversal | | **Low Effort, High Result** | LOW | Wide | ⚠️ Trend weakening | | **High Effort, High Result** | HIGH | Wide | ✅ Strong trend | | **Low Effort, Low Result** | LOW | Narrow | 😴 No interest | --- ## 📏 TRADING RULES ### ✅ DO: - ✅ Wait for confirmation before entering - ✅ Trade in direction of higher timeframe - ✅ Use springs and UTAD as primary signals - ✅ Measure trading range for targets - ✅ Place stops outside the range - ✅ Look for volume confirmation - ✅ Check multiple timeframes - ✅ Focus on Phase C and D events ### ❌ DON'T: - ❌ Buy during Phase E Markdown - ❌ Sell during Phase E Markup - ❌ Trade against major trend - ❌ Ignore volume signals - ❌ Enter without clear stop loss - ❌ Trade every signal - ❌ Use on very low timeframes without practice - ❌ Ignore the context --- ## 🎪 COMPOSITE OPERATOR (Smart Money) ### 💰 Green Money Symbol (Bottom) - **Meaning:** Institutions accumulating - **Location:** Demand zones, springs, tests - **Action:** Follow the smart money - buy ### 💰 Red Money Symbol (Top) - **Meaning:** Institutions distributing - **Location:** Supply zones, UTAD, weak rallies - **Action:** Follow the smart money - sell --- ## 📍 SUPPLY & DEMAND ZONES ### 🟢 Demand Zones (Green Boxes) - **Created at:** SC, Spring, Shakeout - **Represents:** Where smart money bought - **Action:** Look for bounces ### 🔴 Supply Zones (Red Boxes) - **Created at:** BC, UTAD, Upthrust - **Represents:** Where smart money sold - **Action:** Look for rejections --- ## 🎯 TARGET CALCULATION ### Measured Move Method ``` 1. Measure trading range height Example: Top at 120, Bottom at 100 = 20 points 2. Add to breakout point (accumulation) Breakout at 120 + 20 = Target: 140 3. Or subtract from breakdown (distribution) Breakdown at 100 - 20 = Target: 80 ``` ### Multiple Targets - **Conservative:** 1x range height (100% probability reached) - **Moderate:** 1.5x range height (70% probability) - **Aggressive:** 2x range height (40% probability) --- ## ⏰ TIMEFRAME GUIDE | Timeframe | Use For | Reliability | Recommended For | |-----------|---------|-------------|-----------------| | **Weekly** | Major trends | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Position traders | | **Daily** | Swing trades | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Most traders | | **4-Hour** | Active swing | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Active traders | | **1-Hour** | Day trading | ⭐⭐⭐ | Experienced only | | **15-Min** | Scalping | ⭐⭐ | Experts only | **Golden Rule:** Always check one timeframe higher for context! --- ## 🚨 ALERT PRIORITY ### 🔔 MUST-HAVE ALERTS 1. Spring 2. UTAD 3. SOS 4. SOW ### 🔔 NICE-TO-HAVE ALERTS 5. Selling Climax (SC) 6. Buying Climax (BC) 7. Smart Money Accumulation 8. Smart Money Distribution ### 🔔 CONFIRMATION ALERTS 9. Phase E Markup 10. Phase E Markdown --- ## 💡 QUICK DECISION TREE ``` Is there a clear trading range? ├─ YES │ ├─ Did price break BELOW support? │ │ ├─ Volume LOW + Quick reversal = SPRING → BUY ✅ │ │ └─ Volume HIGH + Stays down = Breakdown → SELL ⚠️ │ │ │ └─ Did price break ABOVE resistance? │ ├─ Volume LOW + Quick reversal = UTAD → SELL ✅ │ └─ Volume HIGH + Stays up = Breakout → BUY ⚠️ │ └─ NO ├─ Strong uptrend = Wait for re-accumulation └─ Strong downtrend = Wait for re-distribution ``` --- ## 📝 PRE-TRADE CHECKLIST Before entering any trade: - Identified the current Wyckoff phase - Confirmed with volume analysis - Checked higher timeframe trend - Located supply/demand zones - Identified clear entry point - Set stop loss level - Calculated target (risk:reward >1:2) - Verified position size (risk 1-2%) - Have at least 2 confirming signals - Not trading against major trend --- ## 🧠 REMEMBER **The Three Laws:** 1. **Supply & Demand** - Price is determined by imbalance 2. **Cause & Effect** - Range size predicts move size 3. **Effort & Result** - Volume should confirm price movement **The Key Principle:** > "Trade with the Composite Operator (smart money), not against them" **Best Setups:** 1. Spring in accumulation (Phase C) 2. UTAD in distribution (Phase C) 3. SOS breakout (Phase D) 4. SOW breakdown (Phase D) **When in Doubt:** - ❓ Stay out - 📈 Use higher timeframe - 📚 Review the documentation - 🎯 Wait for clearer signal --- ## 📱 INDICATOR SETTINGS QUICK SETUP **For Stocks/Crypto (Good Volume Data):** - Volume MA Length: 20 - High Volume Multiplier: 1.5 - Climax Volume: 2.0 - Swing Length: 5 **For Forex (Limited Volume Data):** - Volume MA Length: 20 - High Volume Multiplier: 1.3 - Climax Volume: 1.8 - Swing Length: 7 - Turn OFF "Volume Confirmation" **For Day Trading:** - Swing Length: 3 - All other settings: Default **For Position Trading:** - Swing Length: 7-10 - Volume MA Length: 30 - Use Daily/Weekly charts --- ## 🎓 SKILL PROGRESSION ### Beginner (Month 1-2) - Focus on: SC, Spring, SOS - Timeframe: Daily only - Goal: Identify phases correctly ### Intermediate (Month 3-6) - Add: All accumulation events - Timeframe: Daily + 4H - Goal: Trade springs profitably ### Advanced (Month 6-12) - Add: Distribution events, VSA - Timeframe: Multiple timeframes - Goal: Trade complete cycles ### Expert (Year 2+) - Master: All events, all timeframes - Combine: With other methodologies - Goal: Consistent profitability --- **Print this sheet and keep it next to your trading desk!** *Remember: Quality over quantity. Wait for the best setups.* # Wyckoff Method - Comprehensive Analysis Indicator ## Complete Implementation Guide for TradingView Pine Script --- ## TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. (#overview) 2. (#installation) 3. (#theory) 4. (#components) 5. (#signals) 6. (#strategies) 7. (#settings) 8. (#alerts) 9. (#patterns) 10. (#troubleshooting) --- ## OVERVIEW This indicator implements Richard Wyckoff's complete trading methodology, including: - **All 5 Phases** of Accumulation and Distribution - **18+ Wyckoff Events** (PS, SC, AR, ST, Spring, SOS, LPS, BC, UTAD, SOW, etc.) - **Volume Spread Analysis (VSA)** principles - **Supply & Demand Zone** detection - **Composite Operator** logic (Smart Money tracking) - **Effort vs Result** analysis - **Three Wyckoff Laws**: Supply/Demand, Cause/Effect, Effort/Result --- ## INSTALLATION ### Step 1: Copy the Code 1. Open the `wyckoff_comprehensive.pine` file 2. Select all code (Ctrl+A / Cmd+A) 3. Copy to clipboard (Ctrl+C / Cmd+C) ### Step 2: Add to TradingView 1. Go to TradingView.com 2. Open any chart 3. Click "Pine Editor" at the bottom of the screen 4. Click "New" or "Open" 5. Paste the entire code 6. Click "Save" and give it a name 7. Click "Add to Chart" ### Step 3: Verify Installation You should see: - Labels on the chart (PS, SC, Spring, SOS, etc.) - Background colors indicating phases - Volume analysis in the lower pane - A table in the top-right corner showing current phase --- ## WYCKOFF METHOD THEORY ### The Three Fundamental Laws #### 1. **Law of Supply and Demand** - Price rises when demand exceeds supply - Price falls when supply exceeds demand - The indicator tracks volume vs price movement to identify imbalances #### 2. **Law of Cause and Effect** - A period of accumulation (cause) leads to markup (effect) - A period of distribution (cause) leads to markdown (effect) - Trading ranges build "cause" for future price movement #### 3. **Law of Effort vs Result** - **Effort** = Volume (energy put into the market) - **Result** = Price movement (spread of the bar) - High effort with low result = potential reversal - Low effort with high result = trend weakness ### The Five Phases #### **ACCUMULATION CYCLE** **Phase A: Stopping the Downtrend** - Preliminary Support (PS): First sign of buying - Selling Climax (SC): Panic selling exhaustion - Automatic Rally (AR): Bounce from SC - Secondary Test (ST): Test of SC low on lower volume **Phase B: Building the Cause** - Trading range develops - Supply being absorbed by composite operator - Multiple tests of support and resistance - Volume generally decreases **Phase C: The Test (Spring)** - False breakdown below support - Traps late sellers - Quick reversal on low volume - Last chance to accumulate before markup **Phase D: Dominance Emerges** - Sign of Strength (SOS): Break above resistance - Last Point of Support (LPS): Pullback opportunity - Backup (BU): Final consolidation - Demand clearly exceeds supply **Phase E: Markup** - New uptrend established - Price moves rapidly higher - Phase E can last months/years - Original trading range becomes support #### **DISTRIBUTION CYCLE** **Phase A: Stopping the Uptrend** - Preliminary Supply (PSY): First sign of selling - Buying Climax (BC): Euphoric buying exhaustion - Automatic Reaction (AR): Sharp selloff from BC - Secondary Test (ST): Test of BC high on lower volume **Phase B: Building the Cause** - Trading range at top - Demand being absorbed by composite operator - Multiple tests of support and resistance **Phase C: The Test (UTAD)** - Upthrust After Distribution - False breakout above resistance - Traps late buyers - Quick reversal **Phase D: Dominance Emerges** - Sign of Weakness (SOW): Break below support - Last Point of Supply (LPSY): Rally opportunity to exit - Supply clearly exceeds demand **Phase E: Markdown** - New downtrend established - Price moves rapidly lower - Original trading range becomes resistance --- ## INDICATOR COMPONENTS ### 1. EVENT LABELS #### Accumulation Events (Green labels) - **PS** = Preliminary Support - **SC** = Selling Climax (largest label, most important) - **AR** = Automatic Rally - **ST** = Secondary Test - **SPRING** = Spring (critical buy signal) - **TEST** = Test of support - **SOS** = Sign of Strength (breakout) - **LPS** = Last Point of Support - **BU** = Backup #### Distribution Events (Red labels) - **PSY** = Preliminary Supply - **BC** = Buying Climax (largest label, most important) - **AR** = Automatic Reaction - **ST** = Secondary Test - **UTAD** = Upthrust After Distribution (critical sell signal) - **SOW** = Sign of Weakness - **LPSY** = Last Point of Supply #### VSA Events (Small colored labels) - **ND** (Orange) = No Demand - weakness - **NS** (Blue) = No Supply - strength - **SV** (Purple) = Stopping Volume - **UT** (Red) = Upthrust - weakness - **SO** (Green) = Shakeout - strength #### Composite Operator (💰 symbols) - Green 💰 at bottom = Smart Money Accumulation - Red 💰 at top = Smart Money Distribution ### 2. BACKGROUND COLORS - **Light Blue** = Phase A (Accumulation) - **Light Orange** = Phase A (Distribution) - **Very Light Green** = Phase C (Accumulation Testing) - **Very Light Red** = Phase C (Distribution Testing) - **Light Green** = Phase D (Accumulation Strength) - **Light Red** = Phase D (Distribution Weakness) - **Green** = Phase E (Markup - Bull trend) - **Red** = Phase E (Markdown - Bear trend) ### 3. SUPPLY & DEMAND ZONES - **Green boxes** = Demand zones (where smart money accumulated) - **Red boxes** = Supply zones (where smart money distributed) - Zones extend 20 bars into the future - Price reactions at these zones are significant ### 4. VOLUME PANEL - **Dark Green/Red bars** = Very High Volume (climax) - **Light Green/Red bars** = High Volume - **Gray bars** = Normal Volume - **Faint Gray bars** = Low Volume - **Blue line** = Volume Moving Average ### 5. INFORMATION TABLE (Top Right) Displays real-time analysis: - **Current Phase** (A, B, C, D, or E) - **Status** (description of what's happening) - **Volume** (Very High, High, Normal, Low) - **Spread** (Wide, Normal, Narrow) - **Effort/Result** (Poor, Normal, Good) - **Range** (YES if in trading range) - **Bias** (BULLISH, BEARISH, or NEUTRAL) --- ## HOW TO READ THE SIGNALS ### STRONG BUY SIGNALS (in order of strength) 1. **SPRING** (strongest) - False breakdown below support - Look for: Low volume, quick reversal, close above support - Entry: When price closes back above support level - Stop: Below the spring low 2. **SOS (Sign of Strength)** - Break above trading range resistance - Look for: High volume, wide spread up bar - Entry: On breakout or pullback to LPS - Stop: Below trading range 3. **Shakeout (SO)** - Similar to spring but more violent - Look for: High volume, penetration of support, strong close - Entry: When price reclaims support - Stop: Below shakeout low 4. **LPS (Last Point of Support)** - Pullback after SOS - Look for: Low volume, shallow pullback - Entry: When support holds - Stop: Below LPS 5. **No Supply (NS)** - Down bar on very low volume - Indicates lack of selling pressure - Confirms accumulation phase ### STRONG SELL SIGNALS (in order of strength) 1. **UTAD (Upthrust After Distribution)** (strongest) - False breakout above resistance - Look for: High volume spike, rejection, close below resistance - Entry: When price closes back below resistance - Stop: Above UTAD high 2. **SOW (Sign of Weakness)** - Break below trading range support - Look for: High volume, wide spread down bar - Entry: On breakdown or rally to LPSY - Stop: Above trading range 3. **Upthrust (UT)** - Move above resistance on low volume, weak close - Look for: Low volume, close in lower half of bar - Entry: When resistance becomes resistance again - Stop: Above upthrust high 4. **LPSY (Last Point of Supply)** - Rally after SOW - Look for: Low volume, weak rally - Entry: When rally fails - Stop: Above LPSY 5. **No Demand (ND)** - Up bar on very low volume - Indicates lack of buying pressure - Confirms distribution phase ### NEUTRAL/WARNING SIGNALS - **High Effort, Low Result** = Potential reversal coming - **Stopping Volume** = Trend may be ending - **Absorption** = Large volume with small movement (accumulation/distribution) --- ## TRADING STRATEGY EXAMPLES ### Strategy 1: Accumulation Range Breakout **Setup:** 1. Identify trading range (blue background in Phase B) 2. Wait for Spring or Test (Phase C) 3. Wait for SOS breakout (Phase D) **Entry:** - Option A: Buy on SOS breakout - Option B: Wait for LPS pullback (better risk/reward) **Stop Loss:** - Below the spring low or trading range bottom **Target:** - Measure height of trading range (cause) - Project upward from breakout point (effect) - Minimum target = range height **Example:** ``` Trading Range: 100 to 120 (20 point range) SOS Breakout at: 120 Target: 120 + 20 = 140 minimum ``` ### Strategy 2: Distribution Range Breakdown **Setup:** 1. Identify trading range after uptrend 2. Wait for UTAD (Phase C) 3. Wait for SOW breakdown (Phase D) **Entry:** - Option A: Sell on SOW breakdown - Option B: Wait for LPSY rally (better risk/reward) **Stop Loss:** - Above the UTAD high or trading range top **Target:** - Measure height of trading range - Project downward from breakdown point - Minimum target = range height ### Strategy 3: Spring Trading **Setup:** 1. Strong downtrend followed by range 2. Price breaks below range bottom 3. Volume is LOW on breakdown 4. Price quickly reverses and closes above support **Entry:** - When candle closes above support level - Or on retest of support **Stop Loss:** - Below spring low (usually tight) **Target:** - Top of trading range - Previous swing high **Risk/Reward:** - Typically 1:3 or better ### Strategy 4: Smart Money Tracking **Setup:** 1. Look for 💰 symbols in demand zones 2. Multiple accumulation signals (PS, SC, ST, Test) 3. Volume decreasing during range **Entry:** - At next demand zone test - On SOS breakout **Confirmation:** - Background turning green (Phase D/E) - Table shows "BULLISH" bias ### Strategy 5: VSA Reversal **Setup:** 1. Strong trend in place 2. Stopping Volume (SV) appears at extreme 3. Followed by No Demand (ND) or No Supply (NS) **Entry:** - When trend breaks down/up - On retest of extreme **Example (Bullish):** ``` Downtrend → Stopping Volume → No Supply → Up bar Entry: Buy when price moves above SV bar ``` --- ## SETTINGS & CUSTOMIZATION ### Volume Analysis Settings **Volume MA Length** (default: 20) - Shorter = More sensitive to volume changes - Longer = Smoother, less noise - Recommended: 15-25 for most timeframes **High Volume Multiplier** (default: 1.5) - Threshold for "high volume" - Lower = More signals - Higher = Only extreme volume - Recommended: 1.3-2.0 **Climax Volume Multiplier** (default: 2.0) - Threshold for climax events (SC, BC) - Should be significantly higher than normal - Recommended: 2.0-3.0 ### Phase Detection Settings **Swing Detection Length** (default: 5) - How many bars to look left/right for swing points - Shorter = More swings detected (more noise) - Longer = Fewer swings (cleaner, might miss some) - Recommended: 3-7 **Range Expansion Threshold** (default: 1.5) - Multiplier for "wide spread" bars - Higher = Only very wide bars qualify - Recommended: 1.3-2.0 **Volume Confirmation** (default: ON) - Requires volume confirmation for events - Turn OFF for very low volume instruments - Keep ON for stocks, forex, crypto ### Display Options Toggle on/off: - ✅ **Show Accumulation/Distribution Phases** - Background colors - ✅ **Show Wyckoff Events** - All labeled events - ✅ **Show Volume Spread Analysis** - VSA labels - ✅ **Show Supply/Demand Zones** - Boxes on chart - ✅ **Show Composite Operator Signals** - 💰 symbols ### Color Customization - **Bullish Color** - All accumulation events - **Bearish Color** - All distribution events - **Neutral Color** - Range/neutral signals --- ## ALERT SETUP ### Available Alerts 1. **Selling Climax (SC)** - Potential bottom forming 2. **Spring** - Strong buy signal 3. **Sign of Strength (SOS)** - Bullish breakout 4. **Buying Climax (BC)** - Potential top forming 5. **UTAD** - Strong sell signal 6. **Sign of Weakness (SOW)** - Bearish breakdown 7. **Phase E Markup** - Uptrend confirmed 8. **Phase E Markdown** - Downtrend confirmed 9. **Smart Money Accumulation** - Institutions buying 10. **Smart Money Distribution** - Institutions selling ### How to Set Up Alerts 1. Click the "⏰" icon on TradingView 2. Select "Create Alert" 3. Condition: Choose the indicator and alert type 4. Example: "Wyckoff Method - Spring" 5. Set notification preferences (popup, email, webhook) 6. Click "Create" ### Recommended Alert Strategy **Conservative Trader:** - Spring - SOS - UTAD - SOW **Aggressive Trader:** - Add: SC, BC, Smart Money signals **Long-term Investor:** - Phase E Markup - Phase E Markdown - Smart Money Accumulation --- ## COMMON PATTERNS ### Pattern 1: Classic Accumulation ``` Phase A: Downtrend → PS → SC → AR → ST Phase B: Range building (4-12 weeks typical) Phase C: Spring (false breakdown) Phase D: SOS → LPS → BU Phase E: Markup (new uptrend) ``` **What to do:** - Mark the range boundaries - Wait for spring - Buy on LPS or SOS - Hold through markup ### Pattern 2: Classic Distribution ``` Phase A: Uptrend → PSY → BC → AR → ST Phase B: Range building (topping process) Phase C: UTAD (false breakout) Phase D: SOW → LPSY Phase E: Markdown (new downtrend) ``` **What to do:** - Mark the range boundaries - Wait for UTAD - Sell on LPSY or SOW - Stay out during markdown ### Pattern 3: Re-Accumulation ``` Uptrend → Trading Range → Spring → Uptrend continues ``` - Occurs during existing uptrend - Shorter accumulation period - Often no clear SC (trend is already up) - Spring is the key signal ### Pattern 4: Re-Distribution ``` Downtrend → Trading Range → UTAD → Downtrend continues ``` - Occurs during existing downtrend - Shorter distribution period - Often no clear BC (trend is already down) - UTAD is the key signal ### Pattern 5: Failed Breakout **Bullish Failed Breakout:** ``` Range → Breakdown → Immediate reversal (Spring) ``` - Price breaks support - Volume is LOW - Immediate strong reversal - Very bullish **Bearish Failed Breakout:** ``` Range → Breakout → Immediate reversal (UTAD) ``` - Price breaks resistance - Volume may be high initially - Quick rejection and reversal - Very bearish --- ## TIMEFRAME RECOMMENDATIONS ### Daily Charts (Most Reliable) - Best for swing trading - Clear phases and events - Less noise - Recommended for beginners ### 4-Hour Charts - Good for active swing traders - Faster signals than daily - Still reliable ### 1-Hour Charts - For day traders - More false signals - Need to filter carefully - Use in conjunction with higher timeframe ### 15-Minute / 5-Minute - Only for experienced traders - High noise level - Many false signals - Use daily chart for context **Golden Rule:** Always check higher timeframe first! --- ## MULTI-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS ### Top-Down Approach (Recommended) 1. **Weekly Chart** - Identify major trend and phase 2. **Daily Chart** - Find current accumulation/distribution 3. **4H Chart** - Identify entry timing 4. **Entry Timeframe** - Execute trade ### Example Analysis: **Weekly:** Phase E Markup (bullish) **Daily:** Phase B Re-accumulation **4-Hour:** Spring detected **Action:** Buy on daily LPS --- ## WYCKOFF + OTHER INDICATORS ### Complementary Tools 1. **Moving Averages** - 20/50 SMA for trend context - Already plotted on indicator 2. **RSI** - Divergences at SC/BC - Confirms overbought/oversold 3. **MACD** - Confirms trend change in Phase D - Divergences support Wyckoff events 4. **Volume Profile** - Identifies value areas - Confirms supply/demand zones 5. **Order Flow / Footprint Charts** - See institutional activity - Confirms smart money signals **Don't Over-Complicate:** - Wyckoff is a complete system - Other indicators are supplementary - When in doubt, trust Wyckoff --- ## TROUBLESHOOTING ### Issue: Too Many Labels **Solution:** - Increase swing length (Settings → 7 or 10) - Increase volume multipliers - Turn off VSA labels if not needed - Focus on major events only (SC, Spring, SOS, BC, UTAD, SOW) ### Issue: Missing Expected Events **Solution:** - Decrease swing length (Settings → 3) - Decrease volume multipliers - Turn OFF volume confirmation - Check timeframe (use daily chart) ### Issue: False Signals **Solution:** - Use higher timeframe - Wait for confirmation - Don't trade against major trend - Look for multiple signal convergence ### Issue: Can't See Background Colors **Solution:** - Check "Show Phases" is enabled - Increase monitor brightness - Colors are subtle by design (not to obscure price) ### Issue: Volume Shows Incorrectly **Solution:** - Ensure volume data is available for your symbol - Some symbols have poor volume data - Forex spot pairs have no real volume - Use futures or stock markets for best results ### Issue: No Trading Range Detected **Solution:** - Market may be trending strongly - Trading range might be too small - Wait for price to consolidate - Not all markets have clear ranges --- ## ADVANCED TIPS ### 1. Count Point & Figure Charts - Wyckoff used P&F to measure "cause" - Width of range × height = minimum move target - Longer accumulation = larger markup ### 2. Watch for Absorption - High volume + narrow spread = someone absorbing - In downtrend = accumulation - In uptrend = distribution ### 3. Multiple Timeframe Springs - Spring on daily + spring on weekly = very strong - Increases probability significantly ### 4. Failed Signals Are Signals Too - Failed spring = weakness, expect lower - Failed UTAD = strength, expect higher ### 5. Context is King - Don't buy during Phase E Markdown - Don't sell during Phase E Markup - Respect the major trend ### 6. Volume Precedes Price - Study volume changes first - Price follows volume - Decreasing volume in range = building energy ### 7. Composite Operator Mindset - Think like institutions - Where would smart money buy/sell? - They need liquidity (retail traders) --- ## RISK MANAGEMENT ### Position Sizing **Conservative:** - Risk 1% per trade - Wider stops at range boundaries **Moderate:** - Risk 1-2% per trade - Stops below spring/above UTAD **Aggressive:** - Risk 2-3% per trade - Tight stops - Higher win rate needed ### Stop Loss Placement **Accumulation:** - Below spring low - Below trading range bottom - Below demand zone **Distribution:** - Above UTAD high - Above trading range top - Above supply zone ### Take Profit Strategy **Method 1: Measured Move** - Range height = minimum target - 2x range height = extended target **Method 2: Fibonacci Extensions** - 1.0 = range height - 1.618 = extended target - 2.618 = maximum target **Method 3: Trail the Stop** - Move stop to breakeven at 1R - Trail under swing lows in markup - Lock in profits progressively --- ## BACKTESTING CHECKLIST Before trading with real money: - Backtest on 50+ historical examples - Record all signals in trading journal - Calculate win rate (aim for >50%) - Calculate average R:R (aim for >1:2) - Test on multiple instruments - Test on multiple timeframes - Test in different market conditions - Verify signal consistency - Practice on demo account - Start small with real money --- ## RECOMMENDED READING ### Books 1. **"Studies in Tape Reading"** - Richard D. Wyckoff 2. **"The Richard D. Wyckoff Method"** - Rubén Villahermosa 3. **"Charting the Stock Market: The Wyckoff Method"** - Jack Hutson 4. **"Master the Markets"** - Tom Williams (VSA) ### Courses 1. Wyckoff Analytics - Official Wyckoff course 2. TradeVSA - Volume Spread Analysis 3. StockCharts - Wyckoff education ### Communities 1. Wyckoff Analytics Forum 2. Reddit r/Wyckoff 3. TradingView Wyckoff ideas section --- ## FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS **Q: Can I use this on crypto?** A: Yes, works well on major cryptocurrencies with good volume. **Q: Does it work on forex?** A: Yes, but use futures volume (like 6E for EUR/USD) for better accuracy. **Q: What's the best timeframe?** A: Daily chart for most traders. 4H for more active trading. **Q: How long does accumulation last?** A: Typically 2-12 weeks. Longer accumulation = bigger markup. **Q: Can I automate this?** A: You can use the alerts, but manual analysis is recommended. **Q: What's the win rate?** A: With proper filtering: 60-70% on major signals (Spring, UTAD, SOS, SOW). **Q: Should I trade every signal?** A: No. Focus on Spring, UTAD, SOS, and SOW in trending markets. **Q: What if I see conflicting signals?** A: Use higher timeframe for context. When in doubt, stay out. **Q: How do I know which phase I'm in?** A: Check the table in top-right corner. Also look at background color. **Q: Can I use this for options trading?** A: Yes, excellent for timing option entries (especially around Spring/UTAD). --- ## FINAL THOUGHTS The Wyckoff Method is: - **A complete trading system** (not just an indicator) - **Based on 100+ years** of market wisdom - **Used by institutions** and professional traders - **Requires practice** and screen time - **Highly effective** when applied correctly **Success Tips:** 1. Start with daily charts 2. Focus on major events (SC, Spring, SOS, BC, UTAD, SOW) 3. Always check higher timeframe context 4. Wait for confirmation before entering 5. Manage risk properly 6. Keep a trading journal 7. Be patient - wait for the best setups **Remember:** - Not every range will have all events - Some phases may be abbreviated - Context and confluence matter most - Practice makes perfect --- ## SUPPORT & UPDATES For questions, improvements, or bug reports: - Check TradingView script comments - Join Wyckoff trading communities - Study historical examples - Practice on demo accounts **Good luck and happy trading!** --- *Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational purposes. Always do your own analysis and risk management. Past performance does not guarantee future results.* # WYCKOFF VISUAL SETUP EXAMPLES ## ACCUMULATION SCHEMATIC #1 (Classic Bottom) ``` Price Chart View: │ PHASE E │ MARKUP │ ╱ │ ╱ ┌─SOS─────┤ ╱ │ │ ╱ ┌───────────┤ ┌LPS │╱ │ PHASE B │ │ │ │ (Cause) └──┴──────┤ ┌AR──┤ │ ┌────┤ │ ┌─Spring │ PHASE D │ └ST──┤ │ │ │ │ │ │ ────SC────────┴─────────┴───────────┴────────── │ PS │ PHASE A │ Downtrend ``` ### PHASE A - Stopping the Downtrend ``` PS: │ High volume down bar ▼ First sign of support ■ Not bottom yet SC: │ VERY HIGH volume ▼ Panic selling exhaustion █ Long lower wick █ This is the low AR: │ Automatic rally ▲ Relief bounce ■ High volume acceptable ST: │ Secondary test ▼ Low volume (KEY!) ■ Tests SC low ``` ### PHASE B - Building the Cause ``` ┌─────────┐ │ ~~~ │ Multiple tests │ ~ ~ │ Volume decreases │~ ~ │ Range gets tighter └─────────┘ Duration: 2-12 weeks typical The longer, the bigger the eventual move ``` ### PHASE C - The Test (SPRING) ``` ║ False breakdown ─────╨───── ▼ Low volume █ Breaks below support ■ █ Quick reversal ▲ Closes ABOVE support CRITICAL: Volume must be LOW Close must be strong Happens quickly (1-3 bars) ``` ### PHASE D - Strength Emerges ``` SOS: ▲ Sign of Strength ────╥──── Break above resistance ║ High volume ║ Wide spread LPS: ▼ Last Point Support ■ Pullback on LOW volume ▲ Great entry point BU: ▲ Backup ■ Final consolidation ▲ Before markup ``` ### PHASE E - Markup ``` ╱ ╱ ╱ Strong uptrend ╱ High momentum ╱ Can last months/years ──╱── ``` --- ## DISTRIBUTION SCHEMATIC #2 (Classic Top) ``` Price Chart View: Uptrend │ PSY │ PHASE A ────BC────────┬─────────┬───────────┬────────── │ │ UTAD │ │ PHASE B │ │ PHASE D ┌AR──┤ ┌LPSY │ │ │ │ │ └───────────┤ │ └──┴──────┐ │╲ └ST──┤ │ │ ╲ │ └───────────┤ ╲ └─SOW─────┤ │ ╲ │ │ ╲ │ PHASE C │ ╲ │ │ PHASE E │ │ MARKDOWN ``` ### PHASE A - Stopping the Uptrend ``` PSY: │ High volume up bar ▲ Preliminary supply ■ Selling starting BC: │ VERY HIGH volume ▲ Buying climax █ Euphoric top █ Long upper wick AR: │ Automatic reaction ▼ Sharp selloff ■ High volume ST: │ Secondary test ▲ Low volume (KEY!) ■ Tests BC high ``` ### PHASE C - The Test (UTAD) ``` ▲ False breakout ────╥──── ║ Breaks ABOVE resistance ║ Often high volume spike ▼ █ Rejection / weak close █ Closes BELOW resistance ▼ CRITICAL: Closes weak Quick rejection Traps buyers ``` ### PHASE D - Weakness Emerges ``` SOW: ▼ Sign of Weakness ────╨──── Break below support ║ High volume ║ Wide spread LPSY: ▲ Last Point Supply ■ Rally on LOW volume ▼ Last chance to exit ``` --- ## VOLUME PATTERNS (Critical to Understanding) ### ACCUMULATION Volume Pattern ``` Volume │ SC █ █ ST ■ ■ Spring ■ ■ ■ SOS LPS ──┴────┴────┴──────█───■────► │ │ │ │ │ │ │ │ │ │ A A C D D Pattern: HIGH → low → low → HIGH → low Key: Volume DECREASES during range INCREASES on breakout ``` ### DISTRIBUTION Volume Pattern ``` Volume │ BC █ █ ST ■ ■ UTAD ■ ■ ■ SOW LPSY ──┴────┴────┴──────█───■────► │ │ │ │ │ │ │ │ │ │ A A C D D Pattern: HIGH → low → varies → HIGH → low Key: Volume MAY increase on UTAD Definitely HIGH on breakdown (SOW) ``` --- ## REAL TRADE SETUPS ### Setup #1: SPRING BUY ``` Entry Conditions: 1. Clear trading range identified 2. Price breaks BELOW support 3. Volume is LOW (critical!) 4. Price reverses QUICKLY 5. Closes ABOVE support level Entry: Next bar or on retest Stop: Below spring low Target: Top of range (minimum) Example: Support: $100 Spring low: $98 (low volume) Close: $101 Entry: $102 Stop: $97.50 Target: $120 (range top) Risk/Reward: 1:4 ``` ### Setup #2: UTAD SELL ``` Entry Conditions: 1. Clear trading range identified (after uptrend) 2. Price breaks ABOVE resistance 3. Often high volume spike 4. Price reverses QUICKLY 5. Closes BELOW resistance level Entry: Next bar or on retest Stop: Above UTAD high Target: Bottom of range (minimum) Example: Resistance: $200 UTAD high: $205 (spike) Close: $198 Entry: $197 Stop: $206 Target: $180 (range bottom) Risk/Reward: 1:2 ``` ### Setup #3: SOS BREAKOUT ``` Entry Conditions: 1. Clear accumulation range 2. Spring already occurred (ideal) 3. Price breaks ABOVE resistance 4. HIGH volume on breakout 5. Wide spread up bar Entry Option A: On breakout ($120) Entry Option B: Wait for LPS pullback ($115) Stop: Below range or LPS Target: Range height projected up Example: Range: $100-$120 (20 points) SOS breakout: $120 Entry A: $120 Stop: $115 Target 1: $140 (100%) Target 2: $150 (150%) ``` --- ## VSA SPECIFIC PATTERNS ### Pattern 1: No Demand (Weakness) ``` ▲ ■ Up bar ■ Low volume ◄── KEY ▲ Small body Context: After uptrend Meaning: Buyers exhausted Action: Prepare to sell ``` ### Pattern 2: No Supply (Strength) ``` ▼ ■ Down bar ■ Low volume ◄── KEY ▼ Small body Context: After downtrend Meaning: Sellers exhausted Action: Prepare to buy ``` ### Pattern 3: Stopping Volume ``` ═ Very high volume █ Narrow spread ◄── KEY ═ Price not moving Context: At extremes Meaning: Absorption Action: Expect reversal ``` --- ## COMMON MISTAKES (What NOT to Do) ### ❌ Mistake 1: Buying Prematurely ``` WRONG: SC ▼ █ ← DON'T BUY HERE CORRECT: Spring ─────╨───── ▼ █ ← BUY HERE ▲ ``` ### ❌ Mistake 2: Ignoring Volume ``` WRONG: "It broke below support, must be spring" ─────╨───── High volume █ This is a BREAKDOWN, not a spring! CORRECT Spring: ─────╨───── LOW volume ✓ ■ Quick reversal ✓ ▲ ``` ### ❌ Mistake 3: Trading Against Trend ``` WRONG: Markdown Phase E ╲ ╲ ← Trying to buy here ╲ ╲ CORRECT: Wait for new accumulation to complete ``` --- ## MULTI-TIMEFRAME EXAMPLE ### Weekly Chart: Phase E Markup (Bullish) ``` ╱ ╱ ╱ Long-term uptrend ╱ ───╱───── ``` ### Daily Chart: Re-Accumulation Phase C ``` ┌─────────┐ │ Spring │ ← We are here │ ▼ │ ─────┴────█────┴───── ▲ ``` ### 4-Hour Chart: Entry Timing ``` Last 48 hours: ─────╨───── Spring occurred █ ▲ ← Enter now ■ ``` **Result:** Triple confirmation across timeframes = High probability trade --- ## PROFIT TARGETS (Visual Guide) ### Method 1: Basic Measured Move ``` Resistance: 120 ┐ ───────── │ │ 20 points │ Support: 100 ┘ ───────── Breakout: 120 Target: 120 + 20 = 140 ╱╱╱ 140 (Target) ╱╱╱ ╱╱╱ ──────◄ 120 (Breakout) │ Range │ 20 │ ──────┘ 100 ``` ### Method 2: Multiple Targets ``` ╱╱╱ 150 (Target 3: 2.5x) - 20% position ╱╱╱ ╱╱╱ 140 (Target 2: 2x) - 30% position ╱╱╱ ─────◄╱ 130 (Target 1: 1x) - 50% position │ 10 │ 120 (Breakout) │ ─────┘ 110 (Support) ``` ### Method 3: Trailing Stop ``` 1. Move stop to breakeven at Target 1 2. Trail stop under swing lows 3. Let winners run ╱╱╱ ╱ ╱╱ ← Trail stop here ╱╱ ╱ ╱ ╱ ← Then here ─────◄──╱ ← Start here (breakeven) ``` --- ## TIMING ENTRIES (Exact Bar Patterns) ### Perfect Spring Entry ``` Bar 1: ▼ Breaks below (Low vol) █ Bar 2: ▲ Reverses (Closes strong) █ ◄─ ENTER HERE Bar 3: ■ Confirms ▲ DON'T WAIT for Bar 3! Enter on Bar 2 close ``` ### Perfect UTAD Entry ``` Bar 1: ▲ Breaks above (Spike vol OK) █ Bar 2: ▼ Reverses (Closes weak) █ ◄─ ENTER HERE Bar 3: ■ Confirms ▼ SHORT on Bar 2 close Don't wait for more confirmation ``` --- ## COMPOSITE OPERATOR PSYCHOLOGY ### What Smart Money Does (Follow Them) **Accumulation:** ``` 1. Create fear (PS, SC) 2. Shake out weak hands (Spring) 3. Absorb supply quietly (Phase B) 4. Test for remaining supply (Test) 5. Mark it up (SOS → Phase E) 💰 They buy LOW when retail panics ``` **Distribution:** ``` 1. Create euphoria (PSY, BC) 2. Trap late buyers (UTAD) 3. Distribute to buyers (Phase B) 4. Test for remaining demand (ST) 5. Mark it down (SOW → Phase E) 💰 They sell HIGH when retail buys ``` ### Where to Look for Smart Money ``` 💰 Buy signals appear at: - Demand zones (green boxes) - Springs and shakeouts - Tests of support - After selling climax 💰 Sell signals appear at: - Supply zones (red boxes) - UTAD and upthrusts - Weak rallies (LPSY) - After buying climax ``` --- ## PRACTICE EXERCISES ### Exercise 1: Identify the Phase Look at any chart and ask: 1. Is there a trading range? (Phase B likely) 2. Did we just stop a trend? (Phase A) 3. Was there a spring/UTAD? (Phase C) 4. Is there a breakout? (Phase D) 5. Is trend running? (Phase E) ### Exercise 2: Volume Analysis For each bar, note: - Volume level (High/Normal/Low) - Spread (Wide/Normal/Narrow) - Effort vs Result (Matching? Diverging?) ### Exercise 3: Find Historical Springs Go back 6 months: - Mark all springs you can find - Note the setup before each - Track what happened after - Calculate win rate --- ## FINAL VISUALIZATION: The Complete Cycle ``` ACCUMULATION → MARKUP → DISTRIBUTION → MARKDOWN → ACCUMULATION... Distribution Accumulation (Top) (Bottom) ┌───────────────┐ ┌───────────────┐ │ BC UTAD │ │ Spring SC │ │ │ │ │ │ │ │ │ ────┴───┴───┴───────┴─╲ ╱────────┴───┴───┴──── ╲ ╱ Markdown ╲ ╱ Markup (Phase E) ╲ ╱ (Phase E) ╲ ╱ ╲ ╱ ╲ ╱ ╲ ╱ V The market cycles endlessly Your job: Identify where you are in the cycle Trade accordingly ``` --- **Remember:** - 📊 Study charts daily - 📝 Journal every setup - 🎯 Wait for the best signals - 💰 Follow smart money - ⏰ Be patient - 🚀 Let winners run **The indicator does the heavy lifting - you make the decisions!**
Pine Script® indicator
by frankieho_92
SMI Trigger System - Lower - NPR21/ChatGPTSMI Trigger System (Lower) — Buy Low / Hrugu (Modified) This indicator is a modified version of the original SMI Trigger System created by Buy Low, with later enhancements by Hrugu, published with permission. The script is a lower-pane Smoothed Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) designed to deliver clear, visually intuitive momentum signals without unnecessary clutter. This version focuses exclusively on SMI behavior and removes auxiliary indicators to keep signals clean, readable, and consistent across timeframes. Key Features Smoothed SMI line with dynamic color changes based on momentum direction Raw SMI line for additional reference Zero-line split cloud shading for quick bullish/bearish momentum identification Upper and lower SMI reference levels for overbought/oversold context Exact-bar SMI color-flip triangle markers for immediate visual confirmation Adjustable triangle size and offset so markers do not overlap the SMI line Fully customizable colors for: Zero line Smoothed SMI (up/down) Raw SMI Cloud above and below zero Upper and lower SMI levels How to Use This indicator is designed to highlight momentum shifts, not to predict price. It works best when combined with price structure, trend context, or higher-timeframe bias. 1. SMI Line & Color Changes The smoothed SMI line changes color based on momentum direction: Up color → momentum strengthening Down color → momentum weakening A color change often signals a potential momentum shift. 2. SMI Color-Flip Triangles Green ▲ triangle below the SMI Appears when the smoothed SMI turns upward (bearish → bullish momentum). Red ▼ triangle above the SMI Appears when the smoothed SMI turns downward (bullish → bearish momentum). Triangles are plotted on the same bar the SMI changes color and are offset so they do not overlap the SMI line. These markers are intended as visual confirmations, not standalone trade signals. 3. Zero Line & Cloud The zero line separates bullish and bearish momentum regimes. Cloud above zero → bullish momentum bias Cloud below zero → bearish momentum bias Stronger signals often occur when SMI flips in the direction of the cloud. 4. Upper & Lower SMI Levels Upper and lower reference levels help identify extended momentum. Momentum flips near or beyond these levels may indicate: Exhaustion Potential pullbacks Trend continuation setups when aligned with higher-timeframe direction 5. Best Practices Use this indicator as a confirmation tool, not a prediction tool. Combine with: Market structure Support and resistance Trend direction Volume or price action Works well on tick charts, intraday timeframes, and higher-timeframe analysis. Additional Notes Triangles do not repaint All visual elements are user-configurable No ADX or Awesome Oscillator components Designed for clarity, speed, and ease of interpretation This script is intended for analytical and educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice.
Pine Script® indicator
by NPR21
Liquidity Sentiment Profile | LUPENIndicator Guide: Liquidity Sentiment Profile (LSP). What is the LSP? The Liquidity Sentiment Profile (LSP) is a "Next-Generation" oscillator designed to look beyond simple price action. While standard indicators (like RSI or MACD) primarily focus on where a candle closes, the LSP analyzes the micro-structure of the entire candle—specifically the relationship between the candle's Body, its Wicks (Shadows), and the Volume. The Core Philosophy: Wicks tell the truth: A long lower wick indicates that sellers pushed the price down, but buyers aggressively absorbed that liquidity and pushed it back up. That is hidden bullish strength. Volume validates intent: A price move with low volume is noise. A price move (or wick rejection) with high volume is a commitment by institutional players. The LSP calculates a "Sentiment Score" between -100 and +100 based on these factors. How to Read the Visuals The Colors (Intensity) color: Light Green - Bullish Acceleration. Buyers are in control, and momentum is increasing. This is the ideal time to be in a Long trade. color: Dark Green - Bullish Deceleration. Buyers are still in control (price is likely rising), but the momentum is fading. This is a warning sign to tighten stop-losses or take profits. color: Light Red - Bearish Acceleration. Sellers are dominating, and panic is increasing. This is the ideal time to be Short. color: Dark Red - Bearish Deceleration. Sellers are still in control, but the downward pressure is exhausted. Be careful with new short positions. The Lines & Fills The Main Line: The actual LSP sentiment value. The Yellow Signal Line: A smoothed average of the sentiment. The Core Fill: The colored area between the Main Line and the Signal Line. When this area "glows", the trend is strong. When it dims (Dark), the trend is weak. Bearish Deceleration. Sellers are still in control, but the downward pressure is exhausted. Be careful with new short positions. The Lines & Fills The Main Line: The actual LSP sentiment value. The Yellow Signal Line: A smoothed average of the sentiment. The Core Fill: The colored area between the Main Line and the Signal Line. When this area "glows" (Neon), the trend is strong. When it dims (Dark), the trend is weak. How to Use It (Trading Strategies) Strategy A: The "Power Cross" (Trend Entry) Use this for entering trends when the market wakes up. Long Entry: Wait for the LSP line to cross ABOVE the Yellow Signal Line. Confirmation: The fill color must turn Neon Green. Short Entry: Wait for the LSP line to cross BELOW the Yellow Signal Line. Confirmation: The fill color must turn Neon Red. Strategy B: The "Absorption" Play (Reversals) This is where the LSP shines. It detects when liquidity is being absorbed before price turns. Bullish Absorption: The Price makes a Lower Low, but the LSP makes a Higher Low. This happens because the LSP detects the Volume on the Lower Wicks (buyers absorbing selling pressure). This is a high-probability reversal signal. Bearish Absorption: The Price makes a Higher High, but the LSP makes a Lower High. The volume on the Upper Wicks suggests sellers are absorbing the buy orders. Strategy C: The "Dimming" Exit (Risk Management) Don't wait for the price to crash to exit a trade. If you are in a Long trade (Neon Green) and the color instantly shifts to Dark Green, it means the "fuel" is running out. Consider taking partial profits or moving your Stop Loss to break even. Standard oscillators (like RSI) often give false signals during strong trends (showing "Overbought" while price keeps going up). The LSP avoids this because it weights Volume and Wicks. If price goes up and volume increases, the LSP stays Neon Green, telling you the move is genuine, not just overextended.
Pine Script® indicator
by Horazio
Session ATR Progression Tracker📊 Session ATR Progression Tracker - SIYL Regression Trading Tool Track how much of your instrument's 7-day Average True Range (ATR) has been covered during the current trading session. This indicator is specifically designed for regression traders who follow the "Stay In Your Lane" (SIYL) methodology, helping you identify when the probability of mean reversion significantly increases. If you are interested in more on that check out Rod Casselli and tradersdevgroup.com. 🎯 Key Features: • Real-time ATR Coverage Percentage - See at a glance what percentage of the 7-day ATR has been covered in the current session • SIYL-Optimized Thresholds - See at a glance when the instrument has achieved 80% and 100% ATR coverage, the proven thresholds where mean reversion probability increases (customizable) • Flexible Session Modes: - Daily: Resets at calendar day change - Session: Uses exchange-defined trading sessions - Custom Session: Set your exact session start/end times (perfect for futures traders and international markets) • Visual Alerts - Color-coded display (gray → orange → red) and optional background highlighting • Repositionable Display - Choose from 9 screen positions to avoid chart clutter • Session Markers - Green triangles mark the start of each new session • Detailed Stats - View current range, ATR value, session high/low, and session status 💡 Why Use This Indicator? This tool is built around a proven concept: regression trading becomes significantly more effective once a session has achieved at least 80% of its 7-day ATR. At this threshold, the probability of price reverting to mean increases substantially, creating higher-probability trade setups for SIYL practitioners. Benefits for regression traders: - Identify optimal entry points when mean reversion probability is highest (≥80% ATR coverage) - Avoid premature regression entries before adequate range has been established - Recognize when daily moves have "earned their range" and are ripe for reversal - Time fade-the-move and counter-trend strategies with statistical backing - Improve win rates by trading only after proven probability thresholds are met ⚙️ Setup Instructions: 1. Add the indicator to your chart 2. Select your preferred "Reset Mode" (recommend "Custom Session" for futures/international markets) 3. If using Custom Session, enter your session times in 24-hour format (e.g., 0930-1600 for US stocks, 1700-1600 for CME futures) 4. Adjust alert thresholds if desired (default: 80% and 100% - proven SIYL thresholds) 5. Position the display where it's most visible on your chart 📈 Works Across All Markets: Stocks • Futures • Forex • Indices • Crypto • Commodities Perfect for regression traders, mean reversion specialists, and SIYL practitioners who want to trade with probability on their side by entering only after the session has "earned its range." --- Tip: For futures contracts with overnight sessions that span calendar days (like MES, MNQ, MYM), use "Custom Session" mode with your exchange's official session times for accurate tracking.
Pine Script® indicator
by jmaybe
UNDETECTED FX - 250 Pip LevelsIndicator Description – UNDETECTED FX: 250-Pip Psychological Levels This indicator automatically plots major 250-pip psychological levels on XAUUSD and highlights the price zones around them. These levels act as strong reaction points where liquidity, reversals, and institutional activity commonly occur. What the Indicator Does ✔ Plots every 250-pip level starting from a user-defined base (e.g., 4050 → 4075 → 4100 → 4125 → …) ✔ Each level is represented by a thick black horizontal line for maximum visual clarity ✔ Around every 250-pip level, the indicator draws a liquidity zone Top of zone: +200 pips Bottom of zone: –200 pips (configured as ± zoneHalf in settings) ✔ Uses extend: both, so levels stretch across the entire chart and stay fixed, no matter how far you scroll ✔ Zones are filled with a customizable color for clear premium/discount visualization ✔ The indicator never repaints and requires no updates after drawing — all levels are fixed on their price coordinates Why It’s Useful 🔹 Helps quickly identify institutional levels where gold often reacts 🔹 Acts as a framework for scalping, intraday trading, and swing bias 🔹 Makes it easy to spot liquidity sweeps, rejections, and premium/discount areas 🔹 Clearly shows market structure breaks around key psychological levels 🔹 Forces discipline by creating predefined, fixed levels for trading decisions Best Use Case XAUUSD scalpers Intraday traders who rely on precision entries Traders who use psychological levels, liquidity grabs, or smart-money concepts Anyone wanting a clean, non-cluttered chart with high-impact levels only
Pine Script® indicator
by Undetectedd
Volatility Targeting: Single Asset [BackQuant]Volatility Targeting: Single Asset An educational example that demonstrates how volatility targeting can scale exposure up or down on one symbol, then applies a simple EMA cross for long or short direction and a higher timeframe style regime filter to gate risk. It builds a synthetic equity curve and compares it to buy and hold and a benchmark. Important disclaimer This script is a concept and education example only . It is not a complete trading system and it is not meant for live execution. It does not model many real world constraints, and its equity curve is only a simplified simulation. If you want to trade any idea like this, you need a proper strategy() implementation, realistic execution assumptions, and robust backtesting with out of sample validation. Single asset vs the full portfolio concept This indicator is the single asset, long short version of the broader volatility targeted momentum portfolio concept. The original multi asset concept and full portfolio implementation is here: That portfolio script is about allocating across multiple assets with a portfolio view. This script is intentionally simpler and focuses on one symbol so you can clearly see how volatility targeting behaves, how the scaling interacts with trend direction, and what an equity curve comparison looks like. What this indicator is trying to demonstrate Volatility targeting is a risk scaling framework. The core idea is simple: If realized volatility is low relative to a target, you can scale position size up so the strategy behaves like it has a stable risk budget. If realized volatility is high relative to a target, you scale down to avoid getting blown around by the market. Instead of always being 1x long or 1x short, exposure becomes dynamic. This is often used in risk parity style systems, trend following overlays, and volatility controlled products. This script combines that risk scaling with a simple trend direction model: Fast and slow EMA cross determines whether the strategy is long or short. A second, longer EMA cross acts as a regime filter that decides whether the system is ACTIVE or effectively in CASH. An equity curve is built from the scaled returns so you can visualize how the framework behaves across regimes. How the logic works step by step 1) Returns and simple momentum The script uses log returns for the base return stream: ret = log(price / price ) It also computes a simple momentum value: mom = price / price - 1 In this version, momentum is mainly informational since the directional signal is the EMA cross. The lookback input is shared with volatility estimation to keep the concept compact. 2) Realized volatility estimation Realized volatility is estimated as the standard deviation of returns over the lookback window, then annualized: vol = stdev(ret, lookback) * sqrt(tradingdays) The Trading Days/Year input controls annualization: 252 is typical for traditional markets. 365 is typical for crypto since it trades daily. 3) Volatility targeting multiplier Once realized vol is estimated, the script computes a scaling factor that tries to push realized volatility toward the target: volMult = targetVol / vol This is then clamped into a reasonable range: Minimum 0.1 so exposure never goes to zero just because vol spikes. Maximum 5.0 so exposure is not allowed to lever infinitely during ultra low volatility periods. This clamp is one of the most important “sanity rails” in any volatility targeted system. Without it, very low volatility regimes can create unrealistic leverage. 4) Scaled return stream The per bar return used for the equity curve is the raw return multiplied by the volatility multiplier: sr = ret * volMult Think of this as the return you would have earned if you scaled exposure to match the volatility budget. 5) Long short direction via EMA cross Direction is determined by a fast and slow EMA cross on price: If fast EMA is above slow EMA, direction is long. If fast EMA is below slow EMA, direction is short. This produces dir as either +1 or -1. The scaled return stream is then signed by direction: avgRet = dir * sr So the strategy return is volatility targeted and directionally flipped depending on trend. 6) Regime filter: ACTIVE vs CASH A second EMA pair acts as a top level regime filter: If fast regime EMA is above slow regime EMA, the system is ACTIVE. If fast regime EMA is below slow regime EMA, the system is considered CASH, meaning it does not compound equity. This is designed to reduce participation in long bear phases or low quality environments, depending on how you set the regime lengths. By default it is a classic 50 and 200 EMA cross structure. Important detail, the script applies regime_filter when compounding equity, meaning it uses the prior bar regime state to avoid ambiguous same bar updates. 7) Equity curve construction The script builds a synthetic equity curve starting from Initial Capital after Start Date . Each bar: If regime was ACTIVE on the previous bar, equity compounds by (1 + netRet). If regime was CASH, equity stays flat. Fees are modeled very simply as a per bar penalty on returns: netRet = avgRet - (fee_rate * avgRet) This is not realistic execution modeling, it is just a simple turnover penalty knob to show how friction can reduce compounded performance. Real backtesting should model trade based costs, spreads, funding, and slippage. Benchmark and buy and hold comparison The script pulls a benchmark symbol via request.security and builds a buy and hold equity curve starting from the same date and initial capital. The buy and hold curve is based on benchmark price appreciation, not the strategy’s asset price, so you can compare: Strategy equity on the chart symbol. Buy and hold equity for the selected benchmark instrument. By default the benchmark is TVC:SPX, but you can set it to anything, for crypto you might set it to BTC, or a sector index, or a dominance proxy depending on your study. What it plots If enabled, the indicator plots: Strategy Equity as a line, colored by recent direction of equity change, using Positive Equity Color and Negative Equity Color . Buy and Hold Equity for the chosen benchmark as a line. Optional labels that tag each curve on the right side of the chart. This makes it easy to visually see when volatility targeting and regime gating change the shape of the equity curve relative to a simple passive hold. Metrics table explained If Show Metrics Table is enabled, a table is built and populated with common performance statistics based on the simulated daily returns of the strategy equity curve after the start date. These include: Net Profit (%) total return relative to initial capital. Max DD (%) maximum drawdown computed from equity peaks, stored over time. Win Rate percent of positive return bars. Annual Mean Returns (% p/y) mean daily return annualized. Annual Stdev Returns (% p/y) volatility of daily returns annualized. Variance of annualized returns. Sortino Ratio annualized return divided by downside deviation, using negative return stdev. Sharpe Ratio risk adjusted return using the risk free rate input. Omega Ratio positive return sum divided by negative return sum. Gain to Pain total return sum divided by absolute loss sum. CAGR (% p/y) compounded annual growth rate based on time since start date. Portfolio Alpha (% p/y) alpha versus benchmark using beta and the benchmark mean. Portfolio Beta covariance of strategy returns with benchmark returns divided by benchmark variance. Skewness of Returns actually the script computes a conditional value based on the lower 5 percent tail of returns, so it behaves more like a simple CVaR style tail loss estimate than classic skewness. Important note, these are calculated from the synthetic equity stream in an indicator context. They are useful for concept exploration, but they are not a substitute for professional backtesting where trade timing, fills, funding, and leverage constraints are accurately represented. How to interpret the system conceptually Vol targeting effect When volatility rises, volMult falls, so the strategy de risks and the equity curve typically becomes smoother. When volatility compresses, volMult rises, so the system takes more exposure and tries to maintain a stable risk budget. This is why volatility targeting is often used as a “risk equalizer”, it can reduce the “biggest drawdowns happen only because vol expanded” problem, at the cost of potentially under participating in explosive upside if volatility rises during a trend. Long short directional effect Because direction is an EMA cross: In strong trends, the direction stays stable and the scaled return stream compounds in that trend direction. In choppy ranges, the EMA cross can flip and create whipsaws, which is where fees and regime filtering matter most. Regime filter effect The 50 and 200 style filter tries to: Keep the system active in sustained up regimes. Reduce exposure during long down regimes or extended weakness. It will always be late at turning points, by design. It is a slow filter meant to reduce deep participation, not to catch bottoms. Common applications This script is mainly for understanding and research, but conceptually, volatility targeting overlays are used for: Risk budgeting normalize risk so your exposure is not accidentally huge in high vol regimes. System comparison see how a simple trend model behaves with and without vol scaling. Parameter exploration test how target volatility, lookback length, and regime lengths change the shape of equity and drawdowns. Framework building as a reference blueprint before implementing a proper strategy() version with trade based execution logic. Tuning guidance Lookback lower values react faster to vol shifts but can create unstable scaling, higher values smooth scaling but react slower to regime changes. Target volatility higher targets increase exposure and drawdown potential, lower targets reduce exposure and usually lower drawdowns, but can under perform in strong trends. Signal EMAs tighter EMAs increase trade frequency, wider EMAs reduce churn but react slower. Regime EMAs slower regime filters reduce false toggles but will miss early trend transitions. Fees if you crank this up you will see how sensitive higher turnover parameter sets are to friction. Final note This is a compact educational demonstration of a volatility targeted, long short single asset framework with a regime gate and a synthetic equity curve. If you want a production ready implementation, the correct next step is to convert this concept into a strategy() script, add realistic execution and cost modeling, test across multiple timeframes and market regimes, and validate out of sample before making any decision based on the results.
Pine Script® indicator
by BackQuant
1
VR Volume Ratio + Divergence (Pro)成交量比率 (Volume Ratio, VR) 是一項通過分析股價上漲與下跌日的成交量，來研判市場資金氣氛的技術指標。本腳本基於傳統 VR 公式進行了優化，增加了**「趨勢變色」與「自動背離偵測」**功能，幫助交易者更精準地捕捉量價轉折點。 Introduction Volume Ratio (VR) is a technical indicator that measures the strength of a trend by comparing the volume on up-days versus down-days. This script enhances the classic VR formula with "Trend Color Coding" and "Auto-Divergence Detection", helping traders identify volume-price reversals more accurately. 核心功能與參數 公式原理： VR = (Qu + Qf/2) / (Qd + Qf/2) * 100 Qu: 上漲日成交量 (Up volume) Qd: 下跌日成交量 (Down volume) Qf: 平盤日成交量 (Flat volume) 參數 (Length)：預設為 26 日，這是市場公認最有效的短中線參數。 關鍵水位線 (Key Levels)： < 40% (底部區)：量縮極致，市場情緒冰點，常對應股價底部，適合尋找買點。 100% (中軸)：多空分界線。 > 260% (多頭警戒)：進入強勢多頭行情，但需注意過熱。 > 450% (頭部區)：成交量過大，市場情緒亢奮，通常為頭部訊號。 視覺優化 (Visuals)： 紅漲綠跌：當 VR 數值大於前一日顯示為紅色（動能增強）；小於前一日顯示為綠色（動能退潮）。 背離訊號 (Divergence)：自動標記量價背離。 ▲ 底背離 (Bullish)：股價創新低，但 VR 指標墊高（主力吸籌）。 ▼ 頂背離 (Bearish)：股價創新高，但 VR 指標走弱（買氣衰竭）。 Features & Settings Formula Logic: Calculated as VR = (Qu + Qf/2) / (Qd + Qf/2) * 100. Default Length: 26, widely regarded as the optimal setting for short-to-medium term analysis. Key Zones: < 40% (Oversold/Bottom): Extreme low volume, often indicating a market bottom and potential buying opportunity. 100% (Neutral): The balance point between bulls and bears. > 260% (Bullish Zone): Strong uptrend, volume is expanding. > 450% (Overbought/Top): Extreme high volume, often indicating a market top and potential reversal. Visual Enhancements: Color Coding: Line turns Red when VR rises (Momentum Up) and Green when VR falls (Momentum Down). Divergence Signals: Automatically marks divergence points on the chart. ▲ Bullish Divergence: Price makes a lower low, but VR makes a higher low (Accumulation). ▼ Bearish Divergence: Price makes a higher high, but VR makes a lower high (Distribution). 應用策略建議 抄底策略：當 VR 跌破 40% 後，指標線由綠翻紅，或出現「▲底背離」訊號時，為極佳的波段進場點。 逃頂策略：當 VR 衝過 450% 進入高檔區，一旦指標線由紅翻綠，或出現「▼頂背離」訊號時，建議分批獲利了結。 Strategy Guide Bottom Fishing: Look for entries when VR drops below 40% and turns red, or when a "▲ Bullish Divergence" label appears. Taking Profit: Consider selling when VR exceeds 450% and turns green, or when a "▼ Bearish Divergence" label appears. Disclaimer: This tool is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. / 本腳本僅供參考，不構成投資建議。
Pine Script® indicator
by jumbozip
Box Theory StrategyHere is an explanation of the Box Theory trading strategy. The Core Philosophy This strategy is based on the idea that the market is a battle between buyers and sellers, and that these groups often defend the same price levels they used previously. Instead of trying to predict every move, this method focuses on trading only at the "extremes" where the probabilities are highest, while avoiding the middle of the chart where price action is random. 1. The Setup: Drawing the Box To use this strategy, you must define the "playing field" for the day before you take any trades. Top of the Box: Draw a line at the Previous Day’s High. Bottom of the Box: Draw a line at the Previous Day’s Low. Center Line: Draw a line roughly in the middle of these two points. This box represents the established range where the market recently found value. 2. The Three Zones & Rules Once the box is drawn, the chart is divided into three zones. Each zone dictates a specific action. Zone 1: The Top (Resistance / Sell Zone) What it represents: This is where sellers previously stepped in and pushed the price down. It is a known area of supply. The Rule: NO BUYING. If the price rallies to this level, you should look for Short/Sell opportunities. Why? Buying here means purchasing at a price that was previously rejected. The probability of a reversal (price going down) is high. Zone 2: The Bottom (Support / Buy Zone) What it represents: This is where buyers previously stepped in and pushed the price up. It is a known area of demand. The Rule: NO SELLING. If the price drops to this level, you should look for Long/Buy opportunities. Why? Selling here means shorting into support. The probability of a bounce (price going up) is high. Zone 3: The Middle (Indecision Zone) What it represents: This is the area of noise and confusion. Neither buyers nor sellers have clear control here. The Rule: DO NOT TRADE. Why? In the middle of the range, the odds of the price going up or down are roughly 50/50. Trading here is considered gambling because you do not have a statistical edge. 3. Execution: How to Trade The Entry Short Setup: Wait for the price to touch or slightly pierce the Top of the Box. Enter a short position when you see the price failing to break out (e.g., leaving a wick and closing back inside the box). Long Setup: Wait for the price to touch or slightly pierce the Bottom of the Box. Enter a long position when you see the price failing to break down (e.g., bouncing off the level). Stop Loss (Risk Management) This strategy offers a very clear invalidation point. For Shorts: Place your Stop Loss just above the box. For Longs: Place your Stop Loss just below the box. Logic: If the price clearly breaks out of the box, the range is broken, and you want to exit the trade immediately with a small loss. Take Profit (Targets) First Target: The Center Line. This is a safe place to take some profit or move your stop loss to breakeven. Main Target: The opposite side of the box (e.g., if you sold at the top, target the bottom). 4. Handling Gaps (The "Cheater Box") If the market opens significantly higher or lower than the previous day's range (a large gap), the original box may be too far away to be useful. Adjustment: In this scenario, you can draw a new box using the highest and lowest price points of the current trading session so far. Once this new range is established, apply the same rules: Sell the high, Buy the low, and avoid the middle.
Pine Script® indicator
by Prospecttrades
SCOTTGO - RVOL Bull/Bear Painter (Real-Time) SCOTTGO - RVOL Bull/Bear Painter (Real-Time Momentum Detection) 📌Overview The RVOL Bull/Bear Painter is a Pine Script indicator designed to instantly highlight high-momentum candles driven by significant Relative Volume (RVOL). It provides a clear visual signal (bar color, shape, and label) when a candle's volume exceeds its average by a user-defined threshold, confirming strong bullish or bearish interest in real-time. This helps traders quickly identify potential institutional accumulation/distribution or breakout/breakdown attempts. ✨ Key Features Relative Volume (RVOL) Calculation: Automatically calculates the ratio of the current bar's volume to its moving average (SMA or EMA) over a customizable lookback period. Momentum Confirmation: Paints the candle green (bullish) or red (bearish) only when both price direction and high RVOL criteria are met. Real-Time Detection: Uses a plotshape method to display the signal triangle as soon as the RVOL and direction conditions are met on the currently forming candle, aiming for faster alerts than bar-close coloring. Customizable Threshold: Easily adjust the RVOL multiplier (e.g., 1.5x, 2.0x, 3.0x) to filter out noise and only focus on truly significant volume events. Labels and Alerts: Displays a volume multiplier label (e.g., BULL 2.55x) and includes pre-configured alert conditions for automated notifications. 🛠️ How to Use It 1. Identify High-Conviction Moves Look for the painted candles and the corresponding labels. A candle painted green with a BULL label (e.g., BULL 2.5x) indicates that buyers stepped in with 2.5 times the typical volume to drive the price higher. 2. Configure Your Sensitivity The power of the script lies in customizing the inputs: RVOL Lookback Period: Determines the length of the volume moving average. Shorter periods (e.g., 9-20) make the indicator more reactive to recent volume changes. Longer periods (e.g., 50-200) require a much larger volume spike to trigger a signal. RVOL Threshold: This is the multiplier. Lower values (e.g., 1.5) will generate more signals. Higher values (e.g., 3.0) will generate fewer, but generally higher-conviction, signals. 3. Set Up Alerts Use the pre-configured alert conditions (Bullish RVOL Signal and Bearish RVOL Signal) in TradingView's alert menu. Crucially, set the alert frequency to "Once per bar" or "Once per minute" to receive notifications as soon as the high RVOL event occurs, without waiting for the bar to close.
Pine Script® indicator
by SCOTTGO
CT Market Fragility & Systemic Risk Monitor v1.0CT ⊕ Market Fragility & Systemic Risk Monitor v1.0 Systemic Stress & Market Regime Monitor OVERVIEW Wall Street-grade structural monitoring now open-source. CT ⊕ Market Fragility & Systemic Risk Monitor v1.0 is a real-time systemic risk tool designed to detect fragility before it hits price. Built by former institutional traders, it delivers structural insight typically reserved for desks inside hedge funds and global macro desks. This isn’t about finding entries or exits, it’s about understanding the environment you're trading in, and recognizing when it's shifting. WHAT IT DOES • Monitors six key market domains: Equities, Rates/Credit, FX (USD stress), Commodities, Crypto, and Macro • Detects volatility stress, cross-domain coupling, and regime synchronization • Classifies market structure into Normal → Fragile → Critical • Shows a live dashboard with scores, coupling levels, and structural state • Plots event markers (T1, T2, T3) for structural transitions • Implements hysteresis logic to model post-stress 'memory • Supports both single-domain ("Local Mode") and system-wide monitoring HOW IT WORKS This engine does not rely on traditional TA. No moving averages. No MACD. No patterns. No guesswork. Instead, it measures how markets are behaving beneath price detecting when stress is: • Building internally • Spreading across domains • Synchronizing into systemic fragility T1 (🟠) — Early instability: acceleration in market coupling T2 (🔵) — Fragile regime: multiple domains simultaneously stressed T3 (🔴) — Critical regime: synchronized, system-wide stress These are not buy/sell signals. They are structural regime alerts, the same kind used by institutions to cut risk before stress cascades. WHY IT MATTERS Most retail tools are reactive. They interpret surface-level patterns after the move. This tool is different. It’s proactive – measuring pressure before it breaks structure. Institutions have used structural fragility models like this for years. This script helps close that gap, giving everyday traders the same early warnings that pros use to reduce exposure and sidestep systemic blowups. It’s not about finding the edge. It’s about not getting crushed when the system breaks. Whether you trade crypto, stocks, FX, or macro, this engine helps answer: • Is the system stable right now? • Are stress levels rising across markets? • Is it time to tighten risk? Institutions don’t wait for breakouts. They monitor structure. Now, you can too. KEY FEATURES • Works on any asset class and any timeframe • Fully customizable domain selection • Three-tier structural alert system (T1–T3) • Real-time dashboard: stress scores, states, and coupling levels • Hysteresis modeling: post-stress “memory” detection • Supports single-domain (local) or multi-domain (systemic) monitoring • PineScript alerts built-in RECOMMENDED USE Active traders - all asset classes Use the dashboard and T1–T3 alerts to stay aware of structural risk in real time. Track multi-timeframe alignment to detect where risk originates and how it spreads across markets. Crypto trader s Monitor upstream domains (Equities, FX, Rates, Macro) to detect pressure before it reaches crypto. Identify reflexive stress before Bitcoin reacts — and stay ahead of contagion events. Macro & systematic traders Use T1–T3 transitions as volatility filters, exposure governors, or dynamic risk overlays. Build regime-aware models that adapt to shifting systemic conditions. Examples & Visuals Question: Would it have helped to know that at 9:30 on October 9th and again at 10:00 on October 10th that critical states were detected in the structural behavior of Bitcoin? Take a look: 30 min chart BTC shows two distinct T3 (critical) regime detections October 9th and 10:30 October 10th 5m BTC chart reveals high frequency instability for the same period, identifying instability, fragility, criticality The 30minute BTC chart at 16:30 Friday October 10th,, a few hours after first detecting critical systemic risk RISK DISCLAIMER This is a structural analysis tool, not a predictive signal. It does not provide financial advice, trade entries, or forecasts. Use at your own risk. Full disclaimer embedded in the script. Complexity Trading - From Wall St to Main St No patterns. No repainting. No mysticism. Just logic, math, science and market structure - now made accessible to everyone. Developer of LPPL Critical Pulse (LPPLCP), the Temporal Phase Model (TPM) and other other advanced structural and attractor based systems inspired by Sornette’s LPPL framework and other differentiated thinkers. Note on Methodology This tool is not predictive, and not designed for academic publication. It is a real-time structural monitoring system inspired by academically established concepts, including LPPL attractor dynamics, cross-asset coupling, reflexivity, and phase regime transitions, implemented within the real-time constraints of PineScript, and intended for visual, exploratory, and diagnostic use.
Pine Script® indicator
by ComplexityTrading
Trend Prediction Meter [PointAlgo]The Trend Prediction Meter & Levels is a composite market-bias and volatility visualization tool designed to summarize trend strength, momentum, price positioning, and volatility into a single normalized score. It provides a structured framework to interpret directional bias and probable price expansion zones during active market conditions. Concept Overview Markets often reflect multiple conditions simultaneously—trend direction, momentum strength, price location within a range, and volatility. This indicator combines these elements into a unified Bullish Score (0–100), displayed as a meter and supported by projected ATR-based levels. Rather than focusing on a single signal, the script aims to present context about current market conditions. Bullish Score Composition (0–100) The meter represents a weighted blend of multiple market factors: 1. Trend Strength (EMA Structure) Uses a fast and slow EMA to assess directional bias. The distance between EMAs is normalized into a trend strength score. Strong separation indicates directional conviction; compression suggests balance. 2. Momentum Strength (RSI Blend) Combines a short-term and mid-term RSI. Helps capture both immediate momentum and broader directional stability. Higher readings indicate sustained bullish pressure, lower readings indicate bearish pressure. 3. Position Within Recent Range Measures where price is trading relative to its recent high–low range. Values near the top of the range reflect strength; values near the bottom reflect weakness. Mid-range positioning indicates equilibrium. 4. Volume Participation Compares current volume against its recent average. Acts as a minor confidence modifier rather than a primary driver. Each component is normalized and combined using fixed weights to produce a final Bullish Score between 0 and 100. Bias Classification The Bullish Score is translated into descriptive market states: Extreme Bullish Very Bullish Bullish Neutral Bearish Very Bearish These labels describe current bias, not future certainty. Meter Visualization The meter plot dynamically changes color based on the score range. A dashed midline at 50 represents balance. Background shading highlights strong bullish or bearish dominance zones. Crossovers of the 50-level indicate shifts in directional control. ATR-Based Projection Levels: To provide volatility context, the indicator calculates ATR-based upside and downside reference levels: Two potential expansion levels (TP1 and TP2) are projected above and below price. The distance of these levels adapts based on current bias strength. These levels are contextual reference zones, not fixed targets. Prediction Dashboard An optional side table summarizes key readings at the most recent bar: Symbol Current bias label Bullish Score Current price ATR value Upside and downside projection levels Directional comment (Upside favoured / Downside favoured / Balanced) This dashboard is designed to provide a quick structural overview without requiring manual calculation. Signals & Alerts Built-in alerts are available for: Bullish bias conditions Bearish bias conditions Bullish Score crossing above 50 Bullish Score crossing below 50 Alerts are informational and reflect internal state changes only. Customization: Users can adjust: RSI lengths EMA lengths Range lookback period ATR parameters Display options for the meter and dashboard This allows adaptation across different instruments and timeframes. Usage Notes Best suited for analytical interpretation rather than standalone decision-making. Designed to complement price action, structure, or other indicators. Works across multiple markets where volume and volatility data are available. Disclaimer : This indicator is intended for educational and analytical purposes only. It does not provide investment, trading, or financial advice. All signals and levels should be validated with independent analysis and appropriate risk management.
Pine Script® indicator
by pointalgo
RMI Valid FVG & IFVGRMI • Valid FVG & iFVG (Smart Money Concept) RMI • Valid FVG & iFVG is a precision-focused Fair Value Gap indicator designed for traders who follow Smart Money Concepts (SMC) / ICT logic and want to filter out low-quality, random gaps. This indicator does not plot every FVG. It highlights only structurally relevant FVGs that form in the direction of the trend and have a high probability of being filled. Core Features Bullish & Bearish Fair Value Gaps Inverse Fair Value Gaps (iFVG) Trend-aligned FVG filtering Automatic invalidation after mitigation Clean background zones for clear visibility Optimized for intraday trading Adjustable settings for scalping, intraday & swing trading Smart Filtering Logic FVGs are validated using market structure context Only FVGs that form within the active trend are displayed Weak or low-probability gaps are ignored Inverse FVGs appear after strong displacement and rejection Zones are visually faded once mitigated This helps reduce chart noise and keeps the focus on high-probability reaction zones. Best Use Cases Entry refinement after BOS / CHoCH Confluence with liquidity grabs Premium / discount zone trading Intraday & session-based trading Works well with ICT, SMC, price action & structure-based strategies Recommended Timeframes Scalping: M1 – M5 Intraday (default): M5 – M15 Swing Trading: M15 – H1 (Default settings are optimized for intraday trading.) Important Notes This is not a signal indicator No repainting No buy/sell arrows Designed as a decision-support tool, not an automated system Always combine with proper risk management and confirmation. RMI • Precision over noise. Trade structure, not randomness.
Pine Script® indicator
by RMI_INVEST
Box Indicator - Auto Draw Previous Day's - High / Midline / LowThis indicator draws a box around the previous day’s high and low, calculates the midline, and displays them on the current day’s chart. It helps visualize key support/resistance levels from the prior trading day. This script gives you a static reference box from the prior day’s trading range, including a midpoint. It’s useful for spotting potential reversal zones, breakout levels, or intraday targets based on yesterday’s price action.
Pine Script® indicator
by alexh1166
Liquidity Vacuum DetectorThis indicator identifies liquidity vacuum zones—price areas where the market previously moved quickly with little resistance. These zones often allow price to travel faster once re-entered, which is favorable for intraday options trading. Vacuum zones are created during strong, clean impulse moves (large range, low overlap, thin participation). When price later enters a stored vacuum zone with volume expansion, the indicator prints a directional triangle to highlight a potential high-speed move. Optional filters include VWAP directional bias and regular trading hours (RTH). Designed as a trade filter and acceleration tool, not a predictive signal. Best used in combination with key levels (PMH/PML, ORH/ORL, VWAP) and volume confirmation.
Pine Script® indicator
by alexcausey9
Market + Direction + Entry + Hold + Exit v1.5 FINALOverview This script is a complete trend-based trading framework designed to filter market conditions, determine directional bias, detect high-quality pullback entries, manage active trades, and identify trend-weakening exit points. It is optimized for NQ futures, Gold (XAUUSD), and Bitcoin, with adaptive parameters for each asset. The logic focuses on trading only when conditions are favorable, aligning entries with the primary trend, and avoiding low-probability setups. 1. Market Condition Filter Before any signal appears, the script checks whether the market is active using three conditions: ATR compared to ATR moving average (volatility condition) Volume compared to average volume (liquidity condition) Price distance from VWAP (suppression of mean-reversion environments) A trade environment is considered active when at least two of these three conditions are positive. 2. Trend Direction Filter Directional bias is defined by: EMA21 relative to EMA55 Price relative to VWAP Heikin-Ashi structure When these conditions align, the script switches into long-only or short-only mode. No counter-trend signals are displayed. 3. Entry Logic (L, L2, L3 and S, S2, S3) The system identifies pullback entries within a confirmed trend. Long entries require: Uptrend confirmation Price dipping toward EMA21 or EMA55 A constructive Heikin-Ashi candle Market environment active Short entries mirror the same structure in bearish conditions. Re-entries (L2, L3, S2, S3) are given only if the trend remains intact after the first entry. 4. Hold Logic A hold signal appears if momentum remains aligned with the trend. Momentum is evaluated using the Stochastic indicator (K and D lines). 5. Exit Logic An exit signal appears when: The recent structural low (for longs) or high (for shorts) is broken, and The EMA slope indicates weakening trend strength This combination identifies high-probability trend exhaustion. How to Use Add the script to your chart. Select an asset preset (NQ, GOLD, BTC). Wait for the market to be active. Follow the entry signals (L, L2, L3 or S, S2, S3). Hold signals help confirm continuation. Exit signals indicate potential trend reversal or weakness. Feature Summary Market environment filter Trend direction filter Pullback-based entry system Multi-stage re-entry framework Momentum-based hold signal Structure-based exit Asset-adaptive parameters Clean chart visualization Disclaimer This script is for research and educational use. It does not constitute financial advice. Always backtest before using in live markets. 개요 이 스크립트는 시장 상태 필터링, 추세 방향 판단, 고품질 눌림목 진입, 보유 판단, 추세 약화 기반 청산까지 모두 포함하는 완전한 트레이딩 프레임워크입니다. NQ, 골드(XAUUSD), 비트코인에 맞게 최적화되어 있습니다. 1. 시장 필터 다음 세 가지 중 두 가지 이상이 충족될 때만 매매 환경을 ‘활성’으로 판단합니다. ATR 기준 변동성 체크 거래량 활성도 체크 가격의 VWAP 거리 체크 2. 방향(추세) 필터 다음 조건을 기반으로 상승·하락 추세를 결정합니다. EMA21 vs EMA55 가격 vs VWAP Heikin-Ashi 구조 이 조건이 일치할 때만 롱 전용 또는 숏 전용 모드로 진입합니다. 3. 진입 로직 추세가 유지되는 상태에서 EMA21 또는 EMA55까지 눌림이 나올 때 L 또는 S 신호를 제공합니다. 추세가 유지되면 L2/L3, S2/S3 재진입 신호가 추가로 발생합니다. 4. 보유(Hold) 모멘텀이 추세 방향과 일치할 때 보유 신호를 제공합니다. 5. 청산(Exit) 다음 두 조건이 동시에 나타날 때 청산 신호가 표시됩니다. 직전 구조(스윙)가 붕괴될 때 EMA 기울기가 약화될 때 사용 방법 차트에 스크립트를 추가합니다. 자산 프리셋(NQ, GOLD, BTC)을 선택합니다. 시장이 활성일 때만 신호를 참고합니다. L/S 진입 신호와 보유/청산 신호를 활용해 매매 흐름을 관리합니다.
Pine Script® indicator
by ninnikuya2294
Tails and WicksTails and Wicks 📊 A clean price action tool that spots strong wick rejection candles and draws semi-transparent colored boxes around their high-to-low range. 🔍 Boxes extend forward to highlight potential S/R zones – perfect for pinbars, hammers, shooting stars & indecision dojis! 🚀 Features: • 🟢 Bullish tails (long lower wick – default green) • 🔴 Bearish tails (long upper wick – default red) • 🟠 Indecision (both long wicks – default orange) • Independent toggles & custom colors 🎨 • Adjustable wick % threshold (default 60%) • Fixed or infinite right extension ➡️ • Limit recent zones per type (default 4) to keep charts tidy 🧹 • Pure visual – no text clutter (disable "Labels on price scale" in indicator Style tab if needed) Lightweight, customizable, and great for clean price action trading! 💹
Pine Script® indicator
by MichaelBalika
3SMA Multi Time FrameThis is a Multi-Time Frame 3 Simple Moving Averages (SMA) indicator, built on Pine Script v6. The indicator is designed to display three SMAs with customizable periods directly on the chart, allowing traders to visualize multiple timeframes and make more informed decisions. Key Features: 3 SMAs (Simple Moving Averages): The script plots three SMAs with different user-defined periods, helping you analyze trends across different timeframes. SMA1 (default period: 7) SMA2 (default period: 25) SMA3 (default period: 99) Customization: All three SMA periods are customizable through the input settings, enabling you to adjust the SMAs according to your trading strategy. Timeframe Flexibility: The indicator uses the timeframe parameter, allowing for multi-timeframe analysis, which helps you view the same indicator across different time periods simultaneously. The three SMAs are displayed in distinct colors for quick identification: SMA1 (7-period) in red. SMA2 (25-period) in yellow. SMA3 (99-period) in purple. What’s New in This Version: Upgraded to Pine Script v6: The script has been updated to use the latest features and optimizations of Pine Script v6, making it faster and more efficient. It now utilizes color.new for better control over transparency, and the plotting is more reliable. Multi-Timeframe Support: The addition of the timeframe parameter provides flexibility, enabling you to apply the same indicator to different timeframes for more comprehensive market analysis. Improved Input Handling: The script now uses input.int for integer inputs, which is more intuitive and aligns with the best practices in Pine Script v6. Special Thanks: A huge thanks to the original creator of this idea, @VictorGrego for the foundational work and inspiration behind this script. This updated version builds on their excellent concept and introduces enhancements with the latest Pine Script updates. And another special thanks to my teacher @tradecitypro for the incredible strategy Key Notes: The script uses Pine Script's built-in functions ta.sma() for calculating the SMAs and color.new() to manage colors and transparency effectively. The updated script has better performance and looks sleeker with updated handling of colors and timeframes.
Pine Script® indicator
by Irongar1
2
Market Regime# MARKET REGIME IDENTIFICATION & TRADING SYSTEM ## Complete User Guide --- ## 📋 TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. (#overview) 2. (#regimes) 3. (#indicator-usage) 4. (#entry-signals) 5. (#exit-signals) 6. (#regime-strategies) 7. (#confluence) 8. (#backtesting) 9. (#optimization) 10. (#examples) --- ## OVERVIEW ### What This System Does This is a **complete market regime identification and trading system** that: 1. **Identifies 6 distinct market regimes** automatically 2. **Adapts trading tactics** to each regime 3. **Provides high-probability entry signals** with confluence scoring 4. **Shows optimal exit points** for each trade 5. **Can be backtested** to validate performance ### Two Components Provided 1. **Indicator** (`market_regime_indicator.pine`) - Visual regime identification - Entry/exit signals on chart - Dynamic support/resistance - Info tables with live data - Use for manual trading 2. **Strategy** (`market_regime_strategy.pine`) - Fully automated backtestable version - Same logic as indicator - Position sizing and risk management - Performance metrics - Use for backtesting and automation --- ## THE 6 MARKET REGIMES ### 1. 🟢 BULL TRENDING **Characteristics:** - Strong uptrend - Price above SMA50 and SMA200 - ADX > 25 (strong trend) - Higher highs and higher lows - DI+ > DI- (bullish momentum) **What It Means:** - Market has clear upward direction - Buyers in control - Pullbacks are buying opportunities - Strongest regime for long positions **How to Trade:** - ✅ **BUY dips to EMA20 or SMA20** - ✅ Enter when RSI < 60 on pullback - ✅ Hold through minor corrections - ❌ Don't short against the trend - ❌ Don't sell too early **Expected Behavior:** - Pullbacks are shallow (5-10%) - Bounces are strong - Support at moving averages holds - Volume increases on rallies --- ### 2. 🔴 BEAR TRENDING **Characteristics:** - Strong downtrend - Price below SMA50 and SMA200 - ADX > 25 (strong trend) - Lower highs and lower lows - DI- > DI+ (bearish momentum) **What It Means:** - Market has clear downward direction - Sellers in control - Rallies are selling opportunities - Strongest regime for short positions **How to Trade:** - ✅ **SELL rallies to EMA20 or SMA20** - ✅ Enter when RSI > 40 on bounce - ✅ Hold through minor bounces - ❌ Don't buy against the trend - ❌ Don't cover shorts too early **Expected Behavior:** - Rallies are weak (5-10%) - Selloffs are strong - Resistance at moving averages holds - Volume increases on declines --- ### 3. 🔵 BULL RANGING **Characteristics:** - Bullish bias but consolidating - Price near or above SMA50 - ADX < 20 (weak trend) - Trading in range - Choppy price action **What It Means:** - Uptrend is pausing - Accumulation phase - Support and resistance zones clear - Lower volatility **How to Trade:** - ✅ **BUY at support zone** - ✅ Enter when RSI < 40 - ✅ Take profits at resistance - ⚠️ Smaller position sizes - ⚠️ Tighter stops **Expected Behavior:** - Range-bound oscillations - Support bounces repeatedly - Resistance rejections common - Eventually breaks higher (usually) --- ### 4. 🟠 BEAR RANGING **Characteristics:** - Bearish bias but consolidating - Price near or below SMA50 - ADX < 20 (weak trend) - Trading in range - Choppy price action **What It Means:** - Downtrend is pausing - Distribution phase - Support and resistance zones clear - Lower volatility **How to Trade:** - ✅ **SELL at resistance zone** - ✅ Enter when RSI > 60 - ✅ Take profits at support - ⚠️ Smaller position sizes - ⚠️ Tighter stops **Expected Behavior:** - Range-bound oscillations - Resistance holds repeatedly - Support bounces are weak - Eventually breaks lower (usually) --- ### 5. ⚪ CONSOLIDATION **Characteristics:** - No clear direction - Range compression - Very low ADX (< 15 often) - Price inside tight range - Neutral sentiment **What It Means:** - Market is coiling - Building energy for next move - Indecision between buyers/sellers - Calm before the storm **How to Trade:** - ✅ **WAIT for breakout direction** - ✅ Enter on high-volume breakout - ✅ Direction becomes clear - ❌ Don't trade inside the range - ❌ Avoid choppy scalping **Expected Behavior:** - Narrow range - Low volume - False breakouts possible - Explosive move when it breaks --- ### 6. 🟣 CHAOS (High Volatility) **Characteristics:** - Extreme volatility - No clear direction - Erratic price swings - ATR > 2x average - Unpredictable **What It Means:** - Market panic or euphoria - News-driven moves - Emotion dominates logic - Highest risk environment **How to Trade:** - ❌ **STAY OUT!** - ❌ No positions - ❌ Wait for stability - ✅ Protect existing positions - ✅ Reduce risk **Expected Behavior:** - Large intraday swings - Gaps up/down - Stop hunts - Whipsaws - Eventually calms down --- ## INDICATOR USAGE ### Visual Elements #### 1. Background Colors - **Light Green** = Bull Trending (go long) - **Light Red** = Bear Trending (go short) - **Light Teal** = Bull Ranging (buy dips) - **Light Orange** = Bear Ranging (sell rallies) - **Light Gray** = Consolidation (wait) - **Purple** = Chaos (stay out!) #### 2. Regime Labels - Appear when regime changes - Show new regime name - Positioned at highs (bullish) or lows (bearish) #### 3. Entry Signals - **Green "LONG"** labels = Buy here - **Red "SHORT"** labels = Sell here - Number shows confluence score (X/5 signals) - Hover for details (stop, target, RSI, etc.) #### 4. Exit Signals - **Orange "EXIT LONG"** = Close long position - **Orange "EXIT SHORT"** = Close short position - Shows exit reason in tooltip #### 5. Support/Resistance Lines - **Green line** = Dynamic support (buy zone) - **Red line** = Dynamic resistance (sell zone) - Adapts to regime automatically #### 6. Moving Averages - **Blue** = SMA 20 (short-term trend) - **Orange** = SMA 50 (medium-term trend) - **Purple** = SMA 200 (long-term trend) ### Information Tables #### Top Right Table (Main Info) Shows real-time market conditions: - **Current Regime** - What regime we're in - **Bias** - Long, Short, Breakout, or Stay Out - **ADX** - Trend strength (>25 = strong) - **Trend** - Strong, Moderate, or Weak - **Volatility** - High or Normal - **Vol Ratio** - Current vs average volatility - **RSI** - Momentum (>70 overbought, <30 oversold) - **vs SMA50/200** - Price position relative to MAs - **Support/Resistance** - Exact price levels - **Long/Short Signals** - Confluence scores (X/5) #### Bottom Right Table (Regime Guide) Quick reference for each regime: - What action to take - What strategy to use - Color-coded for quick identification --- ## ENTRY SIGNALS EXPLAINED ### Confluence Scoring System (5 Factors) Each entry signal is scored 0-5 based on how many factors align: #### For LONG Entries: 1. ✅ **Regime Alignment** - In Bull Trending or Bull Ranging 2. ✅ **RSI Pullback** - RSI between 35-50 (not overbought) 3. ✅ **Near Support** - Price within 2% of dynamic support 4. ✅ **MACD Turning Up** - Momentum shifting bullish 5. ✅ **Volume Confirmation** - Above average volume #### For SHORT Entries: 1. ✅ **Regime Alignment** - In Bear Trending or Bear Ranging 2. ✅ **RSI Rejection** - RSI between 50-65 (not oversold) 3. ✅ **Near Resistance** - Price within 2% of dynamic resistance 4. ✅ **MACD Turning Down** - Momentum shifting bearish 5. ✅ **Volume Confirmation** - Above average volume ### Confluence Requirements **Minimum Confluence** (default = 2): - 2/5 = Entry signal triggered - 3/5 = Good signal - 4/5 = Strong signal - 5/5 = Excellent signal (rare) **Higher confluence = Higher probability = Better trades** ### Specific Entry Patterns #### 1. Bull Trending Entry ``` Requirements: - Regime = Bull Trending - Price pulls back to EMA20 - Close above EMA20 (bounce) - Up candle (close > open) - RSI < 60 - Confluence ≥ 2 ``` #### 2. Bear Trending Entry ``` Requirements: - Regime = Bear Trending - Price rallies to EMA20 - Close below EMA20 (rejection) - Down candle (close < open) - RSI > 40 - Confluence ≥ 2 ``` #### 3. Bull Ranging Entry ``` Requirements: - Regime = Bull Ranging - RSI < 40 (oversold) - Price at or below support - Up candle (reversal) - Confluence ≥ 1 (more lenient) ``` #### 4. Bear Ranging Entry ``` Requirements: - Regime = Bear Ranging - RSI > 60 (overbought) - Price at or above resistance - Down candle (rejection) - Confluence ≥ 1 (more lenient) ``` #### 5. Consolidation Breakout ``` Requirements: - Regime = Consolidation - Price breaks above/below range - Volume > 1.5x average (explosive) - Strong directional candle ``` --- ## EXIT SIGNALS EXPLAINED ### Three Types of Exits #### 1. Regime Change Exits (Automatic) - **Long Exit**: Regime changes to Bear Trending or Chaos - **Short Exit**: Regime changes to Bull Trending or Chaos - **Reason**: Market character changed, strategy no longer valid #### 2. Support/Resistance Break Exits - **Long Exit**: Price breaks below support by 2% - **Short Exit**: Price breaks above resistance by 2% - **Reason**: Key level violated, trend may be reversing #### 3. Momentum Exits - **Long Exit**: RSI > 70 (overbought) AND down candle - **Short Exit**: RSI < 30 (oversold) AND up candle - **Reason**: Overextension, take profits ### Stop Loss & Take Profit **Stop Loss** (Automatic in strategy): - Placed at Entry - (ATR × 2) - Adapts to volatility - Protected from whipsaws - Typically 2-4% for stocks, 5-10% for crypto **Take Profit** (Automatic in strategy): - Placed at Entry + (Stop Distance × R:R Ratio) - Default 2.5:1 reward:risk - Example: $2 risk = $5 reward target - Allows winners to run --- ## TRADING EACH REGIME ### BULL TRENDING - Most Profitable Long Environment **Strategy: Buy Every Dip** **Entry Rules:** 1. Wait for pullback to EMA20 or SMA20 2. Look for RSI < 60 3. Enter when candle closes above MA 4. Confluence should be 2+ **Stop Loss:** - Below the recent swing low - Or 2 × ATR below entry **Take Profit:** - At previous high - Or 2.5:1 R:R minimum **Position Size:** - Can use full size (2% risk) - High win rate regime **Example Trade:** ``` Price: $100, pulls back to $98 (EMA20) Entry: $98.50 (close above EMA) Stop: $96.50 (2 ATR) Target: $103.50 (2.5:1) Risk: $2, Reward: $5 ``` --- ### BEAR TRENDING - Most Profitable Short Environment **Strategy: Sell Every Rally** **Entry Rules:** 1. Wait for bounce to EMA20 or SMA20 2. Look for RSI > 40 3. Enter when candle closes below MA 4. Confluence should be 2+ **Stop Loss:** - Above the recent swing high - Or 2 × ATR above entry **Take Profit:** - At previous low - Or 2.5:1 R:R minimum **Position Size:** - Can use full size (2% risk) - High win rate regime **Example Trade:** ``` Price: $100, rallies to $102 (EMA20) Entry: $101.50 (close below EMA) Stop: $103.50 (2 ATR) Target: $96.50 (2.5:1) Risk: $2, Reward: $5 ``` --- ### BULL RANGING - Buy Low, Sell High **Strategy: Range Trading (Long Bias)** **Entry Rules:** 1. Wait for price at support zone 2. Look for RSI < 40 3. Enter on reversal candle 4. Confluence should be 1-2+ **Stop Loss:** - Below support zone - Tighter than trending (1.5 ATR) **Take Profit:** - At resistance zone - Don't hold through resistance **Position Size:** - Reduce to 1-1.5% risk - Lower win rate than trending **Example Trade:** ``` Range: $95-$105 Entry: $96 (at support, RSI 35) Stop: $94 (below support) Target: $104 (at resistance) Risk: $2, Reward: $8 (4:1) ``` --- ### BEAR RANGING - Sell High, Buy Low **Strategy: Range Trading (Short Bias)** **Entry Rules:** 1. Wait for price at resistance zone 2. Look for RSI > 60 3. Enter on rejection candle 4. Confluence should be 1-2+ **Stop Loss:** - Above resistance zone - Tighter than trending (1.5 ATR) **Take Profit:** - At support zone - Don't hold through support **Position Size:** - Reduce to 1-1.5% risk - Lower win rate than trending **Example Trade:** ``` Range: $95-$105 Entry: $104 (at resistance, RSI 65) Stop: $106 (above resistance) Target: $96 (at support) Risk: $2, Reward: $8 (4:1) ``` --- ### CONSOLIDATION - Wait for Breakout **Strategy: Breakout Trading** **Entry Rules:** 1. Identify consolidation range 2. Wait for VOLUME SURGE (1.5x+ avg) 3. Enter on close outside range 4. Direction must be clear **Stop Loss:** - Opposite side of range - Or 2 ATR **Take Profit:** - Measure range height, project it - Example: $10 range = $10 move expected **Position Size:** - Reduce to 1% risk - 50% false breakout rate **Example Trade:** ``` Consolidation: $98-$102 (4-point range) Breakout: $102.50 (high volume) Entry: $103 Stop: $100 (back in range) Target: $107 (4-point range projected) Risk: $3, Reward: $4 ``` --- ### CHAOS - STAY OUT! **Strategy: Preservation** **What to Do:** - ❌ NO new positions - ✅ Close existing positions if near entry - ✅ Tighten stops on profitable trades - ✅ Reduce position sizes dramatically - ✅ Wait for regime to stabilize **Why It's Dangerous:** - Stop hunts are common - Whipsaws everywhere - News-driven volatility - No technical reliability - Even "perfect" setups fail **When Does It End:** - Volatility ratio drops < 1.5 - ADX starts rising (direction appears) - Price respects support/resistance again - Usually 1-5 days --- ## CONFLUENCE SYSTEM ### How It Works The system scores each potential entry on 5 factors. More factors aligning = higher probability. ### Confluence Requirements by Regime **Trending Regimes** (strictest): - Minimum 2/5 required - 3/5 = Good - 4-5/5 = Excellent **Ranging Regimes** (moderate): - Minimum 1-2/5 required - 2/5 = Good - 3+/5 = Excellent **Consolidation** (breakout only): - Volume is most critical - Direction confirmation - Less confluence needed ### Adjusting Minimum Confluence **If too few signals:** - Lower from 2 to 1 - More trades, lower quality **If too many false signals:** - Raise from 2 to 3 - Fewer trades, higher quality **Recommendation:** - Start at 2 - Adjust based on win rate - Aim for 55-65% win rate --- ## STRATEGY BACKTESTING ### Loading the Strategy 1. Copy `market_regime_strategy.pine` 2. Open Pine Editor in TradingView 3. Paste and "Add to Chart" 4. Strategy Tester tab opens at bottom ### Initial Settings ``` Risk Per Trade: 2% ATR Stop Multiplier: 2.0 Reward:Risk Ratio: 2.5 Trade Longs: ✓ Trade Shorts: ✓ Trade Trending Only: ✗ (test both) Avoid Chaos: ✓ Minimum Confluence: 2 ``` ### What to Look For **Good Results:** - Win Rate: 50-60% - Profit Factor: 1.8-2.5 - Net Profit: Positive - Max Drawdown: <20% - Consistent equity curve **Warning Signs:** - Win Rate: <45% (too many losses) - Profit Factor: <1.5 (barely profitable) - Max Drawdown: >30% (too risky) - Erratic equity curve (unstable) ### Testing Different Regimes **Test 1: Trending Only** ``` Trade Trending Only: ✓ Result: Higher win rate, fewer trades ``` **Test 2: All Regimes** ``` Trade Trending Only: ✗ Result: More trades, potentially lower win rate ``` **Test 3: Long Only** ``` Trade Longs: ✓ Trade Shorts: ✗ Result: Works in bull markets ``` **Test 4: Short Only** ``` Trade Longs: ✗ Trade Shorts: ✓ Result: Works in bear markets ``` --- ## SETTINGS OPTIMIZATION ### Key Parameters to Adjust #### 1. Risk Per Trade (Most Important) - **0.5%** = Very conservative - **1.0%** = Conservative (recommended for beginners) - **2.0%** = Moderate (recommended) - **3.0%** = Aggressive - **5.0%** = Very aggressive (not recommended) **Impact:** Higher risk = higher returns BUT bigger drawdowns #### 2. Reward:Risk Ratio - **2:1** = More wins needed, hit target faster - **2.5:1** = Balanced (recommended) - **3:1** = Fewer wins needed, hold longer - **4:1** = Very patient, best in trending **Impact:** Higher R:R = can have lower win rate #### 3. Minimum Confluence - **1** = More signals, lower quality - **2** = Balanced (recommended) - **3** = Fewer signals, higher quality - **4** = Very selective - **5** = Almost never triggers **Impact:** Higher = fewer but better trades #### 4. ADX Thresholds - **Trending: 20-30** (default 25) - Lower = detect trends earlier - Higher = only strong trends - **Ranging: 15-25** (default 20) - Lower = identify ranging earlier - Higher = only weak trends #### 5. Trend Period (SMA) - **20-50** = Short-term trends - **50** = Medium-term (default, recommended) - **100-200** = Long-term trends **Impact:** Longer period = slower regime changes, more stable ### Optimization Workflow **Step 1: Baseline** - Use all default settings - Test on 3+ years - Record: Win Rate, PF, Drawdown **Step 2: Risk Optimization** - Test 1%, 1.5%, 2%, 2.5% - Find best risk-adjusted return - Balance profit vs drawdown **Step 3: R:R Optimization** - Test 2:1, 2.5:1, 3:1 - Check which maximizes profit factor - Consider holding time **Step 4: Confluence Optimization** - Test 1, 2, 3 - Find sweet spot for win rate - Aim for 55-65% win rate **Step 5: Regime Filter** - Test with/without trend filter - Test with/without chaos filter - Find what works for your asset --- ## REAL TRADING EXAMPLES ### Example 1: Bull Trending - SPY **Setup:** - Regime: BULL TRENDING - Price pulls back from $450 to $445 - EMA20 at $444 - RSI drops to 45 - Confluence: 4/5 **Entry:** - Price closes at $445.50 (above EMA20) - LONG signal appears - Enter at $445.50 **Risk Management:** - Stop: $443 (2 ATR = $2.50) - Target: $451.75 (2.5:1 = $6.25) - Risk: $2.50 per share - Position: 80 shares (2% of $10k = $200 risk) **Outcome:** - Price rallies to $452 in 3 days - Target hit - Profit: $6.50 × 80 = $520 - Return: 2.6 × risk (excellent) --- ### Example 2: Bear Ranging - AAPL **Setup:** - Regime: BEAR RANGING - Range: $165-$175 - Price rallies to $174 - Resistance at $175 - RSI at 68 - Confluence: 3/5 **Entry:** - Rejection candle at $174 - SHORT signal appears - Enter at $173.50 **Risk Management:** - Stop: $176 (above resistance) - Target: $166 (support) - Risk: $2.50 - Position: 80 shares **Outcome:** - Price drops to $167 in 2 days - Target hit - Profit: $6.50 × 80 = $520 - Return: 2.6 × risk --- ### Example 3: Consolidation Breakout - BTC **Setup:** - Regime: CONSOLIDATION - Range: $28,000 - $30,000 - Compressed for 2 weeks - Volume declining **Breakout:** - Price breaks $30,000 - Volume surges 200% - Close at $30,500 - LONG signal **Entry:** - Enter at $30,500 **Risk Management:** - Stop: $29,500 (back in range) - Target: $32,000 (range height = $2k) - Risk: $1,000 - Position: 0.2 BTC ($200 risk on $10k) **Outcome:** - Price runs to $33,000 - Target exceeded - Profit: $2,500 × 0.2 = $500 - Return: 2.5 × risk --- ### Example 4: Avoiding Chaos - Tesla **Setup:** - Regime: BULL TRENDING - LONG position from $240 - Elon tweets something crazy - Regime changes to CHAOS **Action:** - EXIT signal appears - Close position immediately - Current price: $242 (small profit) **Outcome:** - Next 3 days: wild swings - High $255, Low $230 - By staying out, avoided: - Potential stop out - Whipsaw losses - Stress **Result:** - Small profit preserved - Capital protected - Re-enter when regime stabilizes --- ## ALERTS SETUP ### Available Alerts 1. **Bull Trending Regime** - Market goes bullish 2. **Bear Trending Regime** - Market goes bearish 3. **Chaos Regime** - High volatility, stay out 4. **Long Entry Signal** - Buy opportunity 5. **Short Entry Signal** - Sell opportunity 6. **Long Exit Signal** - Close long 7. **Short Exit Signal** - Close short ### How to Set Up 1. Click **⏰ (Alert)** icon in TradingView 2. Select **Condition**: Choose indicator + alert type 3. **Options**: Popup, Email, Webhook, etc. 4. **Message**: Customize notification 5. Click **Create** ### Recommended Alert Strategy **For Active Traders:** - Long Entry Signal - Short Entry Signal - Long Exit Signal - Short Exit Signal **For Position Traders:** - Bull Trending Regime (enter longs) - Bear Trending Regime (enter shorts) - Chaos Regime (exit all) **For Conservative:** - Only regime change alerts - Manually review entries - More selective --- ## TIPS FOR SUCCESS ### 1. Start Small - Paper trade first - Then 0.5% risk - Build to 1-2% over time ### 2. Follow the Regime - Don't fight it - Adapt your style - Different tactics for each ### 3. Trust the Confluence - 4-5/5 = Best trades - 2-3/5 = Good trades - 1/5 = Skip unless desperate ### 4. Respect Exits - Don't hope and hold - Cut losses quickly - Take profits at targets ### 5. Avoid Chaos - Seriously, just stay out - Protect your capital - Wait for clarity ### 6. Keep a Journal - Record every trade - Note regime and confluence - Review weekly - Learn patterns ### 7. Backtest Thoroughly - 3+ years minimum - Multiple market conditions - Different assets - Walk-forward test ### 8. Be Patient - Best setups are rare - 1-3 trades per week is normal - Quality over quantity - Compound over time --- ## COMMON QUESTIONS **Q: How many trades per month should I expect?** A: Depends on timeframe and settings. Daily chart: 5-15 trades/month. 4H chart: 15-30 trades/month. **Q: What's a good win rate?** A: 55-65% is excellent. 50-55% is good. Below 50% needs adjustment. **Q: Should I trade all regimes?** A: Beginners: Only trending. Intermediate: Trending + ranging. Advanced: All except chaos. **Q: Can I use this on any timeframe?** A: Best on Daily and 4H. Works on 1H with more noise. Not recommended <1H. **Q: What if I'm in a trade and regime changes?** A: Exit immediately (if using indicator) or let strategy handle it automatically. **Q: How do I know if I'm over-optimizing?** A: If results are perfect on one period but fail on another. Use walk-forward testing. **Q: Should I always take 5/5 confluence trades?** A: Yes, but they're rare (1-2/month). Don't wait only for these. **Q: Can I combine this with other indicators?** A: Yes, but keep it simple. RSI, MACD already included. Maybe add volume profile. **Q: What assets work best?** A: Liquid stocks, major crypto, futures. Avoid forex spot (use futures), penny stocks. **Q: How long to hold positions?** A: Trending: Days to weeks. Ranging: Hours to days. Breakout: Days. Let the regime guide you. --- ## FINAL THOUGHTS This system gives you: - ✅ Clear market context (regime) - ✅ High-probability entries (confluence) - ✅ Defined exits (automatic signals) - ✅ Adaptable tactics (regime-specific) - ✅ Backtestable results (strategy version) **Success requires:** - 📚 Understanding each regime - 🎯 Following the signals - 💪 Discipline to wait - 🧠 Emotional control - 📊 Proper risk management **Start your journey:** 1. Load the indicator 2. Watch for 1 week (no trading) 3. Identify regime patterns 4. Paper trade for 1 month 5. Go live with small size 6. Scale up as you gain confidence **Remember:** The market will always be here. There's no rush. Master one regime at a time, and you'll be profitable in all conditions! Good luck! 🚀
Pine Script® indicator
by frankieho_92
USD Liquidity Regime IndexTrack global risk regimes with this USD Liquidity Composite — It aims to be a daily macro indicator blending normalised DXY (50%), UUP (20%), 10Y Treasury yields (20%), and VIX (10%). How to read: When the blue index is above its red SMA: Strong USD, tightening liquidity → Risk-Off mode (often bearish for Nasdaq, BTC, and risk assets). When the line is below: Weak USD, abundant liquidity → Risk-On (bullish environment). Example: In 2022's bear market, the index stayed high above SMA most of the year, signalling persistent Risk-Off as USD surged. Features on-chart table, regime background colors, and crossover alerts. Great contextual tool for macro traders IMO. Educational only — not financial advice. Use at your own risk. By @frank_vergaram
Pine Script® indicator
by frank_vergaram