Custom Strategy: ETH Martingale 2.0Strategic characteristics
ETH Little Martin 2.0 is a self-developed trading strategy based on the Martingale strategy, mainly used for trading ETH (Ethereum). The core idea of this strategy is to place orders in the same direction at a fixed price interval, and then use Martin's multiple investment principle to reduce losses, but this is also the main source of losses.
Parameter description:
1 Interval: The minimum spacing for taking profit, stop loss, and opening/closing of orders. Different targets have different spacing. Taking ETH as an example, it is generally recommended to have a spacing of 2% for fluctuations in the target.
2 Base Price: This is the price at which you triggered the first order. Similarly, I am using ETH as an example. If you have other targets, I suggest using the initial value of a price that can be backtesting. The Base Price is only an initial order price and has no impact on subsequent orders.
3 Initial Order Amount: Users can set an initial order amount to control the risk of each transaction. If the stop loss is reached, we will double the amount based on this value. This refers to the value of the position held, not the number of positions held.
4 Loss Multiplier: The strategy will increase the next order amount based on the set multiple after the stop loss, in order to make up for the previous losses through a larger position. Note that after taking profit, it will be reset to 1 times the Initial Order Amount.
5. Long Short Operation: The first order of the strategy is a multiple entry, and in subsequent orders, if the stop loss is reached, a reverse order will be opened. The position value of a one-way order is based on the Loss Multiplier multiple investment, so it is generally recommended that the Loss Multiplier default to 2.
Improvement direction
Although this strategy already has a certain trading logic, there are still some improvement directions that can be considered:
1. Dynamic adjustment of spacing: Currently, the spacing is fixed, and it can be considered to dynamically adjust the spacing based on market volatility to improve the adaptability of the strategy. Try using dynamic spacing, which may be more suitable for the actual market situation.
2. Filtering criteria: Orders and no orders can be optimized separately. The biggest problem with this strategy is that it will result in continuous losses during fluctuations, and eventually increase the investment amount. You can consider filtering out some fluctuations or only focusing on trend trends.
3. Risk management: Add more risk management measures, such as setting a maximum loss limit to avoid huge losses caused by continuous stop loss.
4. Optimize the stop loss multiple: Currently, the stop loss multiple is fixed, and it can be considered to dynamically adjust the multiple according to market conditions to reduce risk.
Regressions
Chande Momentum Oscillator StrategyThe Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Trading Strategy is based on the momentum oscillator developed by Tushar Chande in 1994. The CMO measures the momentum of a security by calculating the difference between the sum of recent gains and losses over a defined period. The indicator offers a means to identify overbought and oversold conditions, making it suitable for developing mean-reversion trading strategies (Chande, 1997).
Strategy Overview:
Calculation of the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO):
The CMO formula considers both positive and negative price changes over a defined period (commonly set to 9 days) and computes the net momentum as a percentage.
The formula is as follows:
CMO=100×(Sum of Gains−Sum of Losses)(Sum of Gains+Sum of Losses)
CMO=100×(Sum of Gains+Sum of Losses)(Sum of Gains−Sum of Losses)
This approach distinguishes the CMO from other oscillators like the RSI by using both price gains and losses in the numerator, providing a more symmetrical measurement of momentum (Chande, 1997).
Entry Condition:
The strategy opens a long position when the CMO value falls below -50, signaling an oversold condition where the price may revert to the mean. Research in mean-reversion, such as by Poterba and Summers (1988), supports this approach, highlighting that prices often revert after sharp movements due to overreaction in the markets.
Exit Conditions:
The strategy closes the long position when:
The CMO rises above 50, indicating that the price may have become overbought and may not provide further upside potential.
Alternatively, the position is closed 5 days after the buy signal is triggered, regardless of the CMO value, to ensure a timely exit even if the momentum signal does not reach the predefined level.
This exit strategy aligns with the concept of time-based exits, reducing the risk of prolonged exposure to adverse price movements (Fama, 1970).
Scientific Basis and Rationale:
Momentum and Mean-Reversion:
The strategy leverages the well-known phenomenon of mean-reversion in financial markets. According to research by Jegadeesh and Titman (1993), prices tend to revert to their mean over short periods following strong movements, creating opportunities for traders to profit from temporary deviations.
The CMO captures this mean-reversion behavior by monitoring extreme price conditions. When the CMO reaches oversold levels (below -50), it signals potential buying opportunities, whereas crossing overbought levels (above 50) indicates conditions for selling.
Market Efficiency and Overreaction:
The strategy takes advantage of behavioral inefficiencies and overreactions, which are often the drivers behind sharp price movements (Shiller, 2003). By identifying these extreme conditions with the CMO, the strategy aims to capitalize on the market’s tendency to correct itself when price deviations become too large.
Optimization and Parameter Selection:
The 9-day period used for the CMO calculation is a widely accepted timeframe that balances responsiveness and noise reduction, making it suitable for capturing short-term price fluctuations. Studies in technical analysis suggest that oscillators optimized over such periods are effective in detecting reversals (Murphy, 1999).
Performance and Backtesting:
The strategy's effectiveness is confirmed through backtesting, which shows that using the CMO as a mean-reversion tool yields profitable opportunities. The use of time-based exits alongside momentum-based signals enhances the reliability of the strategy by ensuring that trades are closed even when the momentum signal alone does not materialize.
Conclusion:
The Chande Momentum Oscillator Trading Strategy combines the principles of momentum measurement and mean-reversion to identify and capitalize on short-term price fluctuations. By using a widely tested oscillator like the CMO and integrating a systematic exit approach, the strategy effectively addresses both entry and exit conditions, providing a robust method for trading in diverse market environments.
References:
Chande, T. S. (1997). The New Technical Trader: Boost Your Profit by Plugging into the Latest Indicators. John Wiley & Sons.
Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work. The Journal of Finance, 25(2), 383-417.
Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. The Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65-91.
Murphy, J. J. (1999). Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets: A Comprehensive Guide to Trading Methods and Applications. New York Institute of Finance.
Poterba, J. M., & Summers, L. H. (1988). Mean Reversion in Stock Prices: Evidence and Implications. Journal of Financial Economics, 22(1), 27-59.
Shiller, R. J. (2003). From Efficient Markets Theory to Behavioral Finance. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 17(1), 83-104.
Ultimate Oscillator Trading StrategyThe Ultimate Oscillator Trading Strategy implemented in Pine Script™ is based on the Ultimate Oscillator (UO), a momentum indicator developed by Larry Williams in 1976. The UO is designed to measure price momentum over multiple timeframes, providing a more comprehensive view of market conditions by considering short-term, medium-term, and long-term trends simultaneously. This strategy applies the UO as a mean-reversion tool, seeking to capitalize on temporary deviations from the mean price level in the asset’s movement (Williams, 1976).
Strategy Overview:
Calculation of the Ultimate Oscillator (UO):
The UO combines price action over three different periods (short-term, medium-term, and long-term) to generate a weighted momentum measure. The default settings used in this strategy are:
Short-term: 6 periods (adjustable between 2 and 10).
Medium-term: 14 periods (adjustable between 6 and 14).
Long-term: 20 periods (adjustable between 10 and 20).
The UO is calculated as a weighted average of buying pressure and true range across these periods. The weights are designed to give more emphasis to short-term momentum, reflecting the short-term mean-reversion behavior observed in financial markets (Murphy, 1999).
Entry Conditions:
A long position is opened when the UO value falls below 30, indicating that the asset is potentially oversold. The value of 30 is a common threshold that suggests the price may have deviated significantly from its mean and could be due for a reversal, consistent with mean-reversion theory (Jegadeesh & Titman, 1993).
Exit Conditions:
The long position is closed when the current close price exceeds the previous day’s high. This rule captures the reversal and price recovery, providing a defined point to take profits.
The use of previous highs as exit points aligns with breakout and momentum strategies, as it indicates sufficient strength for a price recovery (Fama, 1970).
Scientific Basis and Rationale:
Momentum and Mean-Reversion:
The strategy leverages two well-established phenomena in financial markets: momentum and mean-reversion. Momentum, identified in earlier studies like those by Jegadeesh and Titman (1993), describes the tendency of assets to continue in their direction of movement over short periods. Mean-reversion, as discussed by Poterba and Summers (1988), indicates that asset prices tend to revert to their mean over time after short-term deviations. This dual approach aims to buy assets when they are temporarily oversold and capitalize on their return to the mean.
Multi-timeframe Analysis:
The UO’s incorporation of multiple timeframes (short, medium, and long) provides a holistic view of momentum, unlike single-period oscillators such as the RSI. By combining data across different timeframes, the UO offers a more robust signal and reduces the risk of false entries often associated with single-period momentum indicators (Murphy, 1999).
Trading and Market Efficiency:
Studies in behavioral finance, such as those by Shiller (2003), show that short-term inefficiencies and behavioral biases can lead to overreactions in the market, resulting in price deviations. This strategy seeks to exploit these temporary inefficiencies, using the UO as a signal to identify potential entry points when the market sentiment may have overly pushed the price away from its average.
Strategy Performance:
Backtests of this strategy show promising results, with profit factors exceeding 2.5 when the default settings are optimized. These results are consistent with other studies on short-term trading strategies that capitalize on mean-reversion patterns (Jegadeesh & Titman, 1993). The use of a dynamic, multi-period indicator like the UO enhances the strategy’s adaptability, making it effective across different market conditions and timeframes.
Conclusion:
The Ultimate Oscillator Trading Strategy effectively combines momentum and mean-reversion principles to trade on temporary market inefficiencies. By utilizing multiple periods in its calculation, the UO provides a more reliable and comprehensive measure of momentum, reducing the likelihood of false signals and increasing the profitability of trades. This aligns with modern financial research, showing that strategies based on mean-reversion and multi-timeframe analysis can be effective in capturing short-term price movements.
References:
Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work. The Journal of Finance, 25(2), 383-417.
Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. The Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65-91.
Murphy, J. J. (1999). Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets: A Comprehensive Guide to Trading Methods and Applications. New York Institute of Finance.
Poterba, J. M., & Summers, L. H. (1988). Mean Reversion in Stock Prices: Evidence and Implications. Journal of Financial Economics, 22(1), 27-59.
Shiller, R. J. (2003). From Efficient Markets Theory to Behavioral Finance. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 17(1), 83-104.
Williams, L. (1976). Ultimate Oscillator. Market research and technical trading analysis.
Larry Conners SMTP StrategyThe Spent Market Trading Pattern is a strategy developed by Larry Connors, typically used for short-term mean reversion trading. This strategy takes advantage of the exhaustion in market momentum by entering trades when the market is perceived as "spent" after extended trends or extreme moves, expecting a short-term reversal. Connors uses indicators like RSI (Relative Strength Index) and price action patterns to identify these opportunities.
Key Elements of the Strategy:
Overbought/Oversold Conditions: The strategy looks for extreme overbought or oversold conditions, often indicated by low RSI values (below 30 for oversold and above 70 for overbought).
Mean Reversion: Connors believed that markets, especially in short-term scenarios, tend to revert to the mean after periods of strong momentum. The "spent" market is assumed to have expended its energy, making a reversal likely.
Entry Signals:
In an uptrend, a stock or market index making a significant number of consecutive up days (e.g., 5-7 consecutive days with higher closes) indicates overbought conditions.
In a downtrend, a similar number of consecutive down days indicates oversold conditions.
Reversal Anticipation: Once an extreme in price movement is identified (such as consecutive gains or losses), the strategy places trades anticipating a reversion to the mean, which is usually the 5-day or 10-day moving average.
Exit Points: Trades are exited when prices move back toward their mean or when the extreme conditions dissipate, usually based on RSI or moving average thresholds.
Why the Strategy Works:
Human Psychology: The strategy capitalizes on the fact that markets, in the short term, often behave irrationally due to the emotions of traders—fear and greed lead to overextended moves.
Mean Reversion Tendency: Financial markets often exhibit mean-reverting behavior, where prices temporarily deviate from their historical norms but eventually return. Short-term exhaustion after a strong rally or sell-off offers opportunities for quick profits.
Overextended Moves: Markets that rise or fall too quickly tend to become overextended, as buyers or sellers get exhausted, making reversals more probable. Connors’ approach identifies these moments when the market is "spent" and ripe for a reversal.
Risks of the Spent Market Trading Pattern Strategy:
Trend Continuation: One of the key risks is that the market may not revert as expected and instead continues in the same direction. In trending markets, mean-reversion strategies can suffer because strong trends can last longer than anticipated.
False Signals: The strategy relies heavily on technical indicators like RSI, which can produce false signals in volatile or choppy markets. There can be times when a market appears "spent" but continues in its current direction.
Market Timing: Mean reversion strategies often require precise market timing. If the entry or exit points are mistimed, it can lead to losses, especially in short-term trades where small price movements can significantly impact profitability.
High Transaction Costs: This strategy requires frequent trades, which can lead to higher transaction costs, especially in markets with wide bid-ask spreads or high commissions.
Conclusion:
Larry Connors’ Spent Market Trading Pattern strategy is built on the principle of mean reversion, leveraging the concept that markets tend to revert to a mean after extreme moves. While effective in certain conditions, such as range-bound markets, it carries risks—especially during strong trends—where price momentum may not reverse as quickly as expected.
For a more in-depth explanation, Larry Connors’ books such as "Short-Term Trading Strategies That Work" provide a comprehensive guide to this and other strategies .
Connors VIX Reversal III invented by Dave LandryThis strategy is based on trading signals derived from the behavior of the Volatility Index (VIX) relative to its 10-day moving average. The rules are split into buying and selling conditions:
Buy Conditions:
The VIX low must be above its 10-day moving average.
The VIX must close at least 10% above its 10-day moving average.
If both conditions are met, a buy signal is generated at the market's close.
Sell Conditions:
The VIX high must be below its 10-day moving average.
The VIX must close at least 10% below its 10-day moving average.
If both conditions are met, a sell signal is generated at the market's close.
Exit Conditions:
For long positions, the strategy exits when the VIX trades intraday below its previous day’s 10-day moving average.
For short positions, the strategy exits when the VIX trades intraday above its previous day’s 10-day moving average.
This strategy is primarily a mean-reversion strategy, where the market is expected to revert to a more normal state after the VIX exhibits extreme behavior (i.e., large deviations from its moving average).
About Dave Landry
Dave Landry is a well-known figure in the world of trading, particularly in technical analysis. He is an author, trader, and educator, best known for his work on swing trading strategies. Landry focuses on trend-following and momentum-based techniques, teaching traders how to capitalize on shorter-term price swings in the market. He has written books like "Dave Landry on Swing Trading" and "The Layman's Guide to Trading Stocks," which emphasize practical, actionable trading strategies.
About Connors Research
Connors Research is a financial research firm known for its quantitative research in financial markets. Founded by Larry Connors, the firm specializes in developing high-probability trading systems based on historical market behavior. Connors’ work is widely respected for its data-driven approach, including systems like the RSI(2) strategy, which focuses on short-term mean reversion. The firm also provides trading education and tools for institutional and retail traders alike, emphasizing strategies that can be backtested and quantified.
Risks of the Strategy
While this strategy may appear to offer promising opportunities to exploit extreme VIX movements, it carries several risks:
Market Volatility: The VIX itself is a measure of market volatility, meaning the strategy can be exposed to sudden and unpredictable market swings. This can result in whipsaws, where positions are opened and closed in rapid succession due to sharp reversals in the VIX.
Overfitting: Strategies based on specific conditions like the VIX closing 10% above or below its moving average can be subject to overfitting, meaning they work well in historical tests but may underperform in live markets. This is a common issue in quantitative trading systems that are not adaptable to changing market conditions .
Mean-Reversion Assumption: The core assumption behind this strategy is that markets will revert to their mean after extreme movements. However, during periods of sustained trends (e.g., market crashes or rallies), this assumption may break down, leading to prolonged drawdowns.
Liquidity and Slippage: Depending on the asset being traded (e.g., S&P 500 futures, ETFs), liquidity issues or slippage could occur when executing trades at market close, particularly in volatile conditions. This could increase costs or worsen trade execution.
Scientific Explanation of the Strategy
The VIX is often referred to as the "fear gauge" because it measures the market's expectations of volatility based on options prices. Research has shown that the VIX tends to spike during periods of market stress and revert to lower levels when conditions stabilize . Mean reversion strategies like this one assume that extreme VIX levels are unsustainable in the long run, which aligns with findings from academic literature on volatility and market behavior.
Studies have found that the VIX is inversely correlated with stock market returns, meaning that higher VIX levels often correspond to lower stock prices and vice versa . By using the VIX’s relationship with its 10-day moving average, this strategy aims to capture reversals in market sentiment. The 10% threshold is designed to identify moments when the VIX is significantly deviating from its norm, signaling a potential reversal.
However, academic research also highlights the limitations of relying on the VIX alone for trading signals. The VIX does not predict market direction, only volatility, meaning that it cannot indicate the magnitude of price movements . Furthermore, extreme VIX levels can persist longer than expected, particularly during financial crises.
In conclusion, while the strategy is grounded in well-established financial principles (e.g., mean reversion and the relationship between volatility and market performance), it carries inherent risks and should be used with caution. Backtesting and careful risk management are essential before applying this strategy in live markets.
Larry Conners Vix Reversal II Strategy (approx.)This Pine Script™ strategy is a modified version of the original Larry Connors VIX Reversal II Strategy, designed for short-term trading in market indices like the S&P 500. The strategy utilizes the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of the VIX (Volatility Index) to identify potential overbought or oversold market conditions. The logic is based on the assumption that extreme levels of market volatility often precede reversals in price.
How the Strategy Works
The strategy calculates the RSI of the VIX using a 25-period lookback window. The RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It ranges from 0 to 100 and is often used to identify overbought and oversold conditions in assets.
Overbought Signal: When the RSI of the VIX rises above 61, it signals a potential overbought condition in the market. The strategy looks for a RSI downtick (i.e., when RSI starts to fall after reaching this level) as a trigger to enter a long position.
Oversold Signal: Conversely, when the RSI of the VIX drops below 42, the market is considered oversold. A RSI uptick (i.e., when RSI starts to rise after hitting this level) serves as a signal to enter a short position.
The strategy holds the position for a minimum of 7 days and a maximum of 12 days, after which it exits automatically.
Larry Connors: Background
Larry Connors is a prominent figure in quantitative trading, specializing in short-term market strategies. He is the co-author of several influential books on trading, such as Street Smarts (1995), co-written with Linda Raschke, and How Markets Really Work. Connors' work focuses on developing rules-based systems using volatility indicators like the VIX and oscillators such as RSI to exploit mean-reversion patterns in financial markets.
Risks of the Strategy
While the Larry Connors VIX Reversal II Strategy can capture reversals in volatile market environments, it also carries significant risks:
Over-Optimization: This modified version adjusts RSI levels and holding periods to fit recent market data. If market conditions change, the strategy might no longer be effective, leading to false signals.
Drawdowns in Trending Markets: This is a mean-reversion strategy, designed to profit when markets return to a previous mean. However, in strongly trending markets, especially during extended bull or bear phases, the strategy might generate losses due to early entries or exits.
Volatility Risk: Since this strategy is linked to the VIX, an instrument that reflects market volatility, large spikes in volatility can lead to unexpected, fast-moving market conditions, potentially leading to larger-than-expected losses.
Scientific Literature and Supporting Research
The use of RSI and VIX in trading strategies has been widely discussed in academic research. RSI is one of the most studied momentum oscillators, and numerous studies show that it can capture mean-reversion effects in various markets, including equities and derivatives.
Wong et al. (2003) investigated the effectiveness of technical trading rules such as RSI, finding that it has predictive power in certain market conditions, particularly in mean-reverting markets .
The VIX, often referred to as the “fear index,” reflects market expectations of volatility and has been a focal point in research exploring volatility-based strategies. Whaley (2000) extensively reviewed the predictive power of VIX, noting that extreme VIX readings often correlate with turning points in the stock market .
Modified Version of Original Strategy
This script is a modified version of Larry Connors' original VIX Reversal II strategy. The key differences include:
Adjusted RSI period to 25 (instead of 2 or 4 commonly used in Connors’ other work).
Overbought and oversold levels modified to 61 and 42, respectively.
Specific holding period (7 to 12 days) is predefined to reduce holding risk.
These modifications aim to adapt the strategy to different market environments, potentially enhancing performance under specific volatility conditions. However, as with any system, constant evaluation and testing in live markets are crucial.
References
Wong, W. K., Manzur, M., & Chew, B. K. (2003). How rewarding is technical analysis? Evidence from Singapore stock market. Applied Financial Economics, 13(7), 543-551.
Whaley, R. E. (2000). The investor fear gauge. Journal of Portfolio Management, 26(3), 12-17.
Tian Di Grid Merge Version 6.0
Strategy Introduction:
1. We know that the exchange can only set a maximum of 100 grids. However, our grid strategy can set a maximum of 350 grids.
2. We have added the modes of proportional and differential warehousing.
3. It should be noted that we have not set any filtering conditions, which means that when the price falls below the grid, we will execute a buy action at the closing price, and when the price falls above the grid, we will execute a sell action;
4. We suggest limiting the trading time cycle to 5 meters, as sometimes errors may appear on TV due to the dense grid or the inability to draw so many grids;
5. Please ensure that the minimum spacing between each grid is not less than 0.1%, as this is extremely difficult to profit from, and on the other hand, it may not function due to excessively dense spacing;
6. The maximum number of grids is 350, and the minimum number is currently 3;
matters needing attention:
Don't choose to go long or short together, and don't choose to go even short or short;
Closing position setting: It is recommended to select it to avoid order accumulation;
Unable to trade: If unable to trade normally, switch to a 1m cycle;
Number of cells: Calculate it yourself, 350 is just the maximum number of cells that can be adjusted;
Grid spacing: minimum 0.1%, below which no profit can be made;
Position value: default is 100u, which is the amount already leveraged;
Multiple investment: The order amount for each order is the same, and there is no need for multiple investment;
Open both long and short positions: You can open multiple positions for one account and open one position for one account. Do not open both long and short positions for the same target at the same time
Multi-Regression StrategyIntroducing the "Multi-Regression Strategy" (MRS) , an advanced technical analysis tool designed to provide flexible and robust market analysis across various financial instruments.
This strategy offers users the ability to select from multiple regression techniques and risk management measures, allowing for customized analysis tailored to specific market conditions and trading styles.
Core Components:
Regression Techniques:
Users can choose one of three regression methods:
1 - Linear Regression: Provides a straightforward trend line, suitable for steady markets.
2 - Ridge Regression: Offers a more stable trend estimation in volatile markets by introducing a regularization parameter (lambda).
3 - LOESS (Locally Estimated Scatterplot Smoothing): Adapts to non-linear trends, useful for complex market behaviors.
Each regression method calculates a trend line that serves as the basis for trading decisions.
Risk Management Measures:
The strategy includes nine different volatility and trend strength measures. Users select one to define the trading bands:
1 - ATR (Average True Range)
2 - Standard Deviation
3 - Bollinger Bands Width
4 - Keltner Channel Width
5 - Chaikin Volatility
6 - Historical Volatility
7 - Ulcer Index
8 - ATRP (ATR Percentage)
9 - KAMA Efficiency Ratio
The chosen measure determines the width of the bands around the regression line, adapting to market volatility.
How It Works:
Regression Calculation:
The selected regression method (Linear, Ridge, or LOESS) calculates the main trend line.
For Ridge Regression, users can adjust the lambda parameter for regularization.
LOESS allows customization of the point span, adaptiveness, and exponent for local weighting.
Risk Band Calculation:
The chosen risk measure is calculated and normalized.
A user-defined risk multiplier is applied to adjust the sensitivity.
Upper and lower bounds are created around the regression line based on this risk measure.
Trading Signals:
Long entries are triggered when the price crosses above the regression line.
Short entries occur when the price crosses below the regression line.
Optional stop-loss and take-profit mechanisms use the calculated risk bands.
Customization and Flexibility:
Users can switch between regression methods to adapt to different market trends (linear, regularized, or non-linear).
The choice of risk measure allows adaptation to various market volatility conditions.
Adjustable parameters (e.g., regression length, risk multiplier) enable fine-tuning of the strategy.
Unique Aspects:
Comprehensive Regression Options:
Unlike many indicators that rely on a single regression method, MRS offers three distinct techniques, each suitable for different market conditions.
Diverse Risk Measures: The strategy incorporates a wide range of volatility and trend strength measures, going beyond traditional indicators to provide a more nuanced view of market dynamics.
Unified Framework:
By combining advanced regression techniques with various risk measures, MRS offers a cohesive approach to trend identification and risk management.
Adaptability:
The strategy can be easily adjusted to suit different trading styles, timeframes, and market conditions through its various input options.
How to Use:
Select a regression method based on your analysis of the current market trend (linear, need for regularization, or non-linear).
Choose a risk measure that aligns with your trading style and the market's current volatility characteristics.
Adjust the length parameter to match your preferred timeframe for analysis.
Fine-tune the risk multiplier to set the desired sensitivity of the trading bands.
Optionally enable stop-loss and take-profit mechanisms using the calculated risk bands.
Monitor the regression line for potential trend changes and the risk bands for entry/exit signals.
By offering this level of customization within a unified framework, the Multi-Regression Strategy provides traders with a powerful tool for market analysis and trading decision support. It combines the robustness of regression analysis with the adaptability of various risk measures, allowing for a more comprehensive and flexible approach to technical trading.
Volume-Supported Linear Regression Trend Modified StrategyHi everyone, this will be my first published script on Tradingview, maybe more to come.
For quite some time I have been looking for a script that performs no matter if price goes up or down or sideways. I believe this strategy comes pretty close to that. Although nowhere near the so called "buy&hold equity" of BTC, it has produced consistent profits even when price goes down.
It is a strategy which seems to work best on the 1H timeframe for cryptocurrencies.
Just by testing different settings for SL and TP you can customize it for each pair.
THE STRATEGY:
Basically, I used the Volume Supported Linear Regression Trend Model that LonesomeTheBlue has created and modified a few things such as entry and exit conditions. So all credits go to him!
LONG ENTRY: When there is a bullish cross of the short term trend (the histogram/columns), while the long term trend is above 0 and rising.
SHORT ENTRY: When there is a bearish cross (green to red) of the short-term trend (the histogram/columns), while the long term trend is beneath 0 and decreasing.
LONG EXIT: Bearish crossover of short-term trend while long term trend is below 0
SHORT EXIT: Bullish crossover of short-term trend while long term trend is above 0
Combining this with e.g. a SL of 2% and a TP of 20% (as used in my backtesting), combined with pyramiding and correct risk management, it gives pretty consistent results.
Be aware, this is only for educational purpose and in no means financial advise. Past results do not guarantee future results. This strategy can lose money!
Enjoy :)
PS: It works not only on BTC of course, works even better on some other major crypto pairs. I'll leave it to you to find out which ones ;)
TrippleMACDCryptocurrency Scalping Strategy for 1m Timeframe
Introduction:
Welcome to our cutting-edge cryptocurrency scalping strategy tailored specifically for the 1-minute timeframe. By combining three MACD indicators with different parameters and averaging them, along with applying RSI, we've developed a highly effective strategy for maximizing profits in the cryptocurrency market. This strategy is designed for automated trading through our bot, which executes trades using hooks. All trades are calculated for long positions only, ensuring optimal performance in a fast-paced market.
Key Components:
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
We've utilized three MACD indicators with varying parameters to capture different aspects of market momentum.
Averaging these MACD indicators helps smooth out noise and provides a more reliable signal for trading decisions.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI serves as a complementary indicator, providing insights into the strength of bullish trends.
By incorporating RSI, we enhance the accuracy of our entry and exit points, ensuring timely execution of trades.
Strategy Overview:
Long Position Entries:
Initiate long positions when all three MACD indicators signal bullish momentum and the RSI confirms bullish strength.
This combination of indicators increases the probability of successful trades, allowing us to capitalize on uptrends effectively.
Utilizing Linear Regression:
Linear regression is employed to identify consolidation phases in the market.
Recognizing consolidation periods helps us avoid trading during choppy price action, ensuring optimal performance.
Suitability for Grid Trading Bots:
Our strategy is well-suited for grid trading bots due to frequent price fluctuations and opportunities for grid activation.
The strategy's design accounts for price breakthroughs, which are advantageous for grid trading strategies.
Benefits of the Strategy:
Consistent Performance Across Cryptocurrencies:
Through rigorous testing on various cryptocurrency futures contracts, our strategy has demonstrated favorable results across different coins.
Its adaptability makes it a versatile tool for traders seeking consistent profits in the cryptocurrency market.
Integration of Advanced Techniques:
By integrating multiple indicators and employing linear regression, our strategy leverages advanced techniques to enhance trading performance.
This strategic approach ensures a comprehensive analysis of market conditions, leading to well-informed trading decisions.
Conclusion:
Our cryptocurrency scalping strategy offers a sophisticated yet user-friendly approach to trading in the fast-paced environment of the 1-minute timeframe. With its emphasis on automation, accuracy, and adaptability, our strategy empowers traders to navigate the complexities of the cryptocurrency market with confidence. Whether you're a seasoned trader or a novice investor, our strategy provides a reliable framework for achieving consistent profits and maximizing returns on your investment.
COSTAR Strategy [SS]A little late posting this but here it is, as promised!
This is the companion to the COSTAR indicator.
What it does:
It creates a co-integration paired relationship with a separate, cointegrated ticker. It then plots out the expected range based on the value of the cointegrated pair. When the current ticker is below the value of its co-integrated partner, it becomes a "Buy" and should be longed. When it becomes overvalued in comparison, it becomes a "Sell" and should be shorted.
The example above is with BA and USO, which have a strong inverse relationship.
How it works:
I made the strategy version a bit more intuitive. Instead of you selecting the parameters for your model, it will autoselect the ideal parameters based on your desired co-integrated pair. You simply enter the ticker you want to compare against, and it will sort through the values at various lags to find significance and stationarity. It will then create a model and plot the model out for you on your chart, as you can see above.
The premise of the strategy:
The premise of the strategy is as stated before. You long when the ticker is undervalued in comparison to its co-integrated pair, and short when it is overvalued. The conditions for entry are simply a co-integrated pair being over the expected range (short) or below the expected range (long).
The condition to exit is a "re-integration", or a crossover of the expected value of the ticker (the centreline).
What if it can't find a relationship?
In some instances, the indicator will not be able to determine a co-integrated relationship, owning to a lack of stationarity between the data. When this happens, you will get the following error:
The indicator provides you with prompts, such as switching the timeframe or trying an alternative ticker. In the case displayed above, if we simply switch to the 1 hour timeframe, we have a viable model with great backtest results:
You can toggle in the settings menu the various parameters, such as timeframe, fills and displays.
And that is the strategy in a nutshell, be sure to check out its partner indicator, COSTAR, for more information on the premise of using co-integrated models for trading. And let me know your questions below!
Safe trades everyone!
Linear On MACDUnlocking the Magic of Linear Regression in TradingView
In the ever-evolving world of financial markets, traders and investors seek effective tools to gauge price movements, make informed decisions, and achieve their financial goals. One such tool that has proven its worth over time is linear regression, a mathematical concept that has found its way into technical analysis and trading strategies. In this blog post, we will explore the magic behind linear regression, delve into its history, and understand how it's widely used as a technical indicator.
The Birth of Linear Regression: From Mathematics to Trading
Linear regression is a statistical method that aims to model the relationship between two variables by fitting a linear equation to observed data. The formula for a linear regression line is typically expressed as y = a + bx, where y is the dependent variable, x is the independent variable, a is the intercept, and b is the slope.
While the roots of linear regression trace back to the field of statistics, it didn't take long for traders and investors to recognize its potential in the financial world. By applying linear regression to historical price data, traders can identify trends, assess the relationship between variables, and even predict potential future price levels.
The Linear On MACD Strategy
Let's take a closer look at a powerful example of how linear regression is employed in a trading strategy right within TradingView. The "Linear On MACD" strategy harnesses the potential of linear regression in conjunction with the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator. The goal of this strategy is to generate buy and sell signals based on the interactions between the predicted stock price and the MACD indicator.
Here's a breakdown of the strategy's components:
Calculation of Linear Regression: The strategy begins by calculating linear regression coefficients for the historical stock price based on volume. This helps predict potential future price levels.
Predicted Stock Price: The linear regression results are then used to plot the predicted stock price on the chart. This provides a visual representation of where the price could trend based on historical data.
Buy and Sell Signals: The strategy generates buy signals when certain conditions are met. These conditions include the predicted stock price being between the open and close prices, a rising MACD, and other factors that suggest a potential bullish trend. On the other hand, sell signals are generated based on MACD trends and predicted price levels.
Risk Management: The strategy also incorporates risk tolerance levels to determine entry and exit points. This ensures that traders take into account their risk appetite when making trading decisions.
Embracing the Magic of Linear Regression
As we explore the "Linear On MACD" strategy, we uncover the power of linear regression in aiding traders and investors. Linear regression, a mathematical marvel, seamlessly merges with technical analysis to provide insights into potential price movements. Its historical significance in statistics blends perfectly with the demands of modern financial markets.
Whether you're a seasoned trader or a curious investor, the Linear On MACD strategy exemplifies how a robust mathematical concept can be harnessed to make informed trading decisions. By embracing the magic of linear regression, you're tapping into a tool that continues to evolve alongside the financial world it empowers.
Disclaimer: The information provided in this blog post is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading and investing carry risks, and it's important to conduct thorough research and consider seeking professional advice before making any trading decisions.
Hobbiecode - SP500 IBS + HigherThis is a simple strategy that is working well on SPY but also well performing on Mini Futures SP500. The strategy is composed by the followin rules:
1. Today is Monday.
2. The close must be lower than the close on Friday.
3. The IBS must be below 0.5.
4. If 1-3 are true, then enter at the close.
5. Sell 5 trading days later (at the close).
If you backtest it on Mini Futures SP500 you will be able to track data from 1993. It is important to select D1 as timeframe.
Please share any comment or idea below.
Have a good trading,
Ramón.
MACD TrueLevel StrategyThis strategy uses the MACD indicator to determine buy and sell signals. In addition, the strategy employs the use of "TrueLevel Bands," which are essentially envelope bands that are calculated based on the linear regression and standard deviation of the price data over various lengths.
The TrueLevel Bands are calculated for 14 different lengths and are plotted on the chart as lines. The bands are filled with a specified color to make them more visible. The highest upper band and lowest lower band values are stored in variables for easy access.
The user can input the lengths for the TrueLevel Bands and adjust the multiplier for the standard deviation. They can also select the bands they want to use for entry and exit, and enable long and short positions.
The entry conditions for a long position are either a crossover of the MACD line over the signal line or a crossover of the price over the selected entry lower band. The entry conditions for a short position are either a crossunder of the MACD line under the signal line or a crossunder of the price under the selected exit upper band.
The exit conditions for both long and short positions are not specified in the code and are left to the user to define.
Overall, the strategy aims to capture trends by entering long or short positions based on the MACD and TrueLevel Bands, and exiting those positions when the trend reverses.
RSI TrueLevel StrategyThis strategy is a momentum-based strategy that uses the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator and a TrueLevel envelope to generate trade signals.
The strategy uses user-defined input parameters to calculate TrueLevel envelopes for 14 different lengths. The TrueLevel envelope is a volatility-based technical indicator that consists of upper and lower bands. The upper band is calculated by adding a multiple of the standard deviation to a linear regression line of the price data, while the lower band is calculated by subtracting a multiple of the standard deviation from the same regression line.
The strategy generates long signals when the RSI crosses above the oversold level or when the price crosses above the selected lower band of the TrueLevel envelope. It generates short signals when the RSI crosses below the overbought level or when the price crosses below the selected upper band of the TrueLevel envelope.
The strategy allows for long and short trades and sets the trade size as a percentage of the account equity. The colors of the bands and fills are also customizable through user-defined input parameters.
In this strategy, the 12th TrueLevel band was chosen due to its ability to capture significant price movements while still providing a reasonable level of noise reduction. The strategy utilizes a total of 14 TrueLevel bands, each with varying lengths. The 12th band, with a length of 2646, strikes a balance between sensitivity to market changes and reducing false signals, making it a suitable choice for this strategy.
RSI Parameters:
In this strategy, the RSI overbought and oversold levels are set at 65 and 40, respectively. These values were chosen to filter out more noise in the market and focus on stronger trends. Traditional RSI overbought and oversold levels are set at 70 and 30, respectively. By raising the oversold level and lowering the overbought level, the strategy aims to identify more significant trend reversals and potential trade opportunities.
Of course, the parameters can be adjusted to suit individual preferences.
Investments/swing trading strategy for different assetsStop worrying about catching the lowest price, it's almost impossible!: with this trend-following strategy and protection from bearish phases, you will know how to enter the market properly to obtain benefits in the long term.
Backtesting context: 1899-11-01 to 2023-02-16 of SPX by Tvc. Commissions: 0.05% for each entry, 0.05% for each exit. Risk per trade: 2.5% of the total account
For this strategy, 5 indicators are used:
One Ema of 200 periods
Atr Stop loss indicator from Gatherio
Squeeze momentum indicator from LazyBear
Moving average convergence/divergence or Macd
Relative strength index or Rsi
Trade conditions:
There are three type of entries, one of them depends if we want to trade against a bearish trend or not.
---If we keep Against trend option deactivated, the rules for two type of entries are:---
First type of entry:
With the next rules, we will be able to entry in a pull back situation:
Squeeze momentum is under 0 line (red)
Close is above 200 Ema and close is higher than the past close
Histogram from macd is under 0 line and is higher than the past one
Once these rules are met, we enter into a buy position. Stop loss will be determined by atr stop loss (white point) and break even(blue point) by a risk/reward ratio of 1:1.
For closing this position: Squeeze momentum crosses over 0 and, until squeeze momentum crosses under 0, we close the position. Otherwise, we would have closed the position due to break even or stop loss.
Second type of entry:
With the next rules, we will not lose a possible bullish movement:
Close is above 200 Ema
Squeeze momentum crosses under 0 line
Once these rules are met, we enter into a buy position. Stop loss will be determined by atr stop loss (white point) and break even(blue point) by a risk/reward ratio of 1:1.
Like in the past type of entry, for closing this position: Squeeze momentum crosses over 0 and, until squeeze momentum crosses under 0, we close the position. Otherwise, we would have closed the position due to break even or stop loss.
---If we keep Against trend option activated, the rules are the same as the ones above, but with one more type of entry. This is more useful in weekly timeframes, but could also be used in daily time frame:---
Third type of entry:
Close is under 200 Ema
Squeeze momentum crosses under 0 line
Once these rules are met, we enter into a buy position. Stop loss will be determined by atr stop loss (white point) and break even(blue point) by a risk/reward ratio of 1:1.
Like in the past type of entries, for closing this position: Squeeze momentum crosses over 0 and, until squeeze momentum crosses under 0, we close the position. Otherwise, we would have closed the position due to break even or stop loss.
Risk management
For calculating the amount of the position you will use just a small percent of your initial capital for the strategy and you will use the atr stop loss for this.
Example: You have 1000 usd and you just want to risk 2,5% of your account, there is a buy signal at price of 4,000 usd. The stop loss price from atr stop loss is 3,900. You calculate the distance in percent between 4,000 and 3,900. In this case, that distance would be of 2.50%. Then, you calculate your position by this way: (initial or current capital * risk per trade of your account) / (stop loss distance).
Using these values on the formula: (1000*2,5%)/(2,5%) = 1000usd. It means, you have to use 1000 usd for risking 2.5% of your account.
We will use this risk management for applying compound interest.
In settings, with position amount calculator, you can enter the amount in usd of your account and the amount in percentage for risking per trade of the account. You will see this value in green color in the upper left corner that shows the amount in usd to use for risking the specific percentage of your account.
Script functions
Inside of settings, you will find some utilities for display atr stop loss, break evens, positions, signals, indicators, etc.
You will find the settings for risk management at the end of the script if you want to change something. But rebember, do not change values from indicators, the idea is to not over optimize the strategy.
If you want to change the initial capital for backtest the strategy, go to properties, and also enter the commisions of your exchange and slippage for more realistic results.
If you activate break even using rsi, when rsi crosses under overbought zone break even will be activated. This can work in some assets.
---Important: In risk managment you can find an option called "Use leverage ?", activate this if you want to backtest using leverage, which means that in case of not having enough money for risking the % determined by you of your account using your initial capital, you will use leverage for using the enough amount for risking that % of your acount in a buy position. Otherwise, the amount will be limited by your initial/current capital---
Some things to consider
USE UNDER YOUR OWN RISK. PAST RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT THE FUTURE.
DEPENDING OF % ACCOUNT RISK PER TRADE, YOU COULD REQUIRE LEVERAGE FOR OPEN SOME POSITIONS, SO PLEASE, BE CAREFULL AND USE CORRECTLY THE RISK MANAGEMENT
Do not forget to change commissions and other parameters related with back testing results!
Some assets and timeframes where the strategy has also worked:
BTCUSD : 4H, 1D, W
SPX (US500) : 4H, 1D, W
GOLD : 1D, W
SILVER : 1D, W
ETHUSD : 4H, 1D
DXY : 1D
AAPL : 4H, 1D, W
AMZN : 4H, 1D, W
META : 4H, 1D, W
(and others stocks)
BANKNIFTY : 4H, 1D, W
DAX : 1D, W
RUT : 1D, W
HSI : 1D, W
NI225 : 1D, W
USDCOP : 1D, W
Multi Trend Cross Strategy TemplateToday I am sharing with the community trend cross strategy template that incorporates any combination of over 20 built in indicators. Some of these indicators are in the Pine library, and some have been custom coded and contributed over time by the beloved Pine Coder community. Identifying a trend cross is a common trend following strategy and a common custom-code request from the community. Using this template, users can now select from over 400 different potential trend combinations and setup alerts without any custom coding required. This Multi-Trend cross template has a very inclusive library of trend calculations/indicators built-in, and will plot any of the 20+ indicators/trends that you can select in the settings.
How it works : Simple trend cross strategies go long when the fast trend crosses over the slow trend, and/or go short when the fast trend crosses under the slow trend. Options for either trend direction are built-in to this strategy template. The script is also coded in a way that allows you to enable/modify pyramid settings and scale into a position over time after a trend has crossed.
Use cases : These types of strategies can reduce the volatility of returns and can help avoid large market downswings. For instance, those running a longer term trend-cross strategy may have not realized half the down swing of the bear markets or crashes in 02', 08', 20', etc. However, in other years, they may have exited the market from time to time at unfavorable points that didn't end up being a down turn, or at times the market was ranging sideways. Some also use them to reduce volatility and then add leverage to attempt to beat buy/hold of the underlying asset within an acceptable drawdown threshold.
Special thanks to @Duyck, @everget, @KivancOzbilgic and @LazyBear for coding and contributing earlier versions of some of these custom indicators in Pine.
This script incorporates all of the following indicators. Each of them can be selected and modified from within the indicator settings:
ALMA - Arnaud Legoux Moving Average
DEMA - Double Exponential Moving Average
DSMA - Deviation Scaled Moving Average - Contributed by Everget
EMA - Exponential Moving Average
HMA - Hull Moving Average
JMA - Jurik Moving Average - Contributed by Everget
KAMA - Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average - Contributed by Everget
LSMA - Linear Regression , Least Squares Moving Average
RMA - Relative Moving Average
SMA - Simple Moving Average
SMMA - Smoothed Moving Average
Price Source - Plotted based on source selection
TEMA - Triple Exponential Moving Average
TMA - Triangular Moving Average
VAMA - Volume Adjusted Moving Average - Contributed by Duyck
VIDYA - Variable Index Dynamic Average - Contributed by KivancOzbilgic
VMA - Variable Moving Average - Contributed by LazyBear
VWMA - Volume Weighted Moving Average
WMA - Weighted Moving Average
WWMA - Welles Wilder's Moving Average
ZLEMA - Zero Lag Exponential Moving Average - Contributed by KivancOzbilgic
Disclaimer : This is not financial advice. Open-source scripts I publish in the community are largely meant to spark ideas that can be used as building blocks for part of a more robust trade management strategy. If you would like to implement a version of any script, I would recommend making significant additions/modifications to the strategy & risk management functions. If you don’t know how to program in Pine, then hire a Pine-coder. We can help!
Faytterro Estimator StrategyWhat is "Faytterro Estimator Strategy"?
"Faytterro Estimator Strategy" is strategy of faytterro estimator. if you want to know more about faytterro estimator:
What it does?
It trades according to the signals given by faytterro estimator and some additional restrictions.
How it does it?
Using the faytterro estimator and the following variables, it gives buy and sell signals in different sizes at ideal points.
How to use it?
The "source" part is used to change the source of faytterro estimator.
The "length" is the length of the fayterro estimator.
"Minimum entry-close gap" is the minimum distance between two transactions opened in opposite directions. For example, if you opened long at 20 500 and "Minimum entry-close gap" is 400, you will not receive a sell signal before the price goes above 20900.
If "minimum entry-entry gap" is the minimum difference between two transactions opened in the same direction. For example, if you open long at 20500 level and the "minimum entry-entry gap" is 400, you will not receive a "buy" signal before the price goes below the 20100 level.
"strong entry size" determines the size of strong signals. The size of ordinary signals is always 1.
note: default values for btc/usdt 1 hour timeframe.
Oscillating SSL Channel Strategy - 3m & 5m Time FramesThis script is pretty self-explanatory. I will suggest trying some different exits to get that win rate above 20% (I'd start with Take Profit and Stop Loss percentages).
Enjoy!
Compound strategyIn this strategy, I looked at how to manage the crypto I bought. Once we have a little understanding of how cryptocurrency is valued, we can manage the coins we have. For example, the most valuable coin in a coin is to sell when it is overvalued and re-buy when it is undervalued. Furthermore, I realised that buying from the right place and selling at the right time is very important to make a good profit. When it says sell, it's divided into several parts.
1. When the major uptrend is over and we are able to make the desired profit, we will sell our holdings outright.
2. Selling in the middle of a down trend and buying less than that amount again
3. When a small uptrend is over, sell the ones you bought at a lower price and make a small profit.
The other important thing is that the average cost is gradually reduced. Also, those who sell at a loss will reduce their profit (winning rate), so knowing that we will have a chance to calculate our loss and recover it. I used this to write a strategy in Trading View. I have put the link below it. From that we can see how this idea works. What I did was I made the signal by taking some technical indicators as I did in the previous one (all the indicators I got in this case were directional indicators, then I was able to get a good correlation and a standard deviation. I multiplied the correlation and the standard deviation by both and I took the signal as the time when the graph went through zero, and I connected it to the volume so that I could see some of the volume supported by it.)
Now let me tell you a little bit about what I see in this strategy. In this I used the compound effect. That is, the strategy, the profit he takes to reinvest. On the other hand, the strategy itself can put a separate stop loss value on each trade and avoid any major loss from that trade. I also added to this strategy the ability to do swing trading. That means we can take the small profits that come with going on a big up trend or a big down trend. Combined with Compound Effect, Stop Loss and Swing Trading, I was able to make a profit of 894% per annum (1,117.62% for 15 months) with a winning rate of 80%. Winning rate dropped to 80% because I added stop loss and swing trading. The other thing is that I applied DCA to this in both the up trend and the down trend (both). That was another reason for me to make a good profit. The orange line shows how to reduction of costly trade. The yellow line shows the profit and you can see that the profit line does not go down during the loss trades. That's because I want to absorb the loss from that trade.
Strategy LinReg ST@RLStrategy LinReg ST@RL
Strategy LinReg ST@RL is a visual trend following indicator.
It is compiled in PINE Script Version V5 language.
This indicator/strategy, based on Linear Regression Calculation, is intended to help beginners (and also the more experienced ones) to trade in the right direction of the market trend and test strategy. It allows you to avoid the mistakes of always trading against the trend.
Strategy based on an original idea of @KivancOzbilgic (SuperTrend) and DevLucem (@LucemAnb) (Lin Reg ++)
A special credit goes to - KivancOzbilgic and @LucemAnb which inspired me a lot to improve this indicator/Strategy.
This indicator can be configured to your liking,according to your needs or your tastes.
The indicator/Strategy works in multi time frame.
The settings (length, offset, deviation, smoothing) are identical for all time frames if “Conf Auto” is not checked.
In this case the default settings (time frame=H1 settings) apply for all time frames.
The choice of source setting is common for all time frames.
If “Auto Conf” is checked,
then the settings will be optimized for each selected time frame (1m-3m H2 H3 H1 H4 & Daily). Time frames, other than 1m-3m H2 H3 H1 H4 & Daily will be affected with the default settings corresponding to the H1 time frame and will therefore not be optimized! The default setting values of each time frame (1m-3m H2 H3 H1 H4 & Daily) can be configured differently and optimized by you.
REVERSAL mode: Signal Buy=Sell and Signal Sell=Buy.
This option may be better than the regular strategy. Default mode is Reversal option.
Note that only for 1m (1 minute) Time frame, the option REVERSAL is opposite as default choice in configuration. (If reversal option is checked, then option for time frame 1m is not reversal!)
Trend indications (potential sell or buy areas) are displayed as a background color (bullish: green or bearish: red), assume that the market is moving in one direction.
You can tune the input, style and visibility settings to match your own preferences or habits.
Label Info (Simple or Full) gives trend info for each Exit (or current trade)
The choice of indicator colors is suitable for a graph with a "dark" theme, which you will probably need to modify for visual comfort, if you are using a "Light" mode or a custom mode.
This script is an indicator that you can run on standard chart types. It also works on non-standard chart types but the results will be skewed and different.
Non-standard charts are:
• Heikin Ashi (HA)
• Renko
• Kagi
• Point & Figure
• Range
As a reminder: No indicator is capable of providing accurate signals 100% of the time. Every now and then, even the best will fail, leaving you with a losing deal. Whichever indicator you base yourself on, remember to follow the basic rules of risk management and capital allocation.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
! Français !
Strategy LinReg ST@RL
Stratégie LinReg ST@RL est un indicateur visuel de suivi de tendance.
Il est compilé en langage PINE Script Version V5.
Stratégie basée sur une idée originale de @KivancOzbilgic (SuperTrend) et DevLucem (@LucemAnb) (Lin Reg ++) Un crédit spécial va à - KivancOzbilgic et @LucemAnb qui m'ont beaucoup inspiré pour améliorer cet indicateur/stratégie.
Cet indicateur/strategie, basé sur le calcul de régression linéaire, est destiné à aider les débutants (et aussi les plus expérimentés) à trader dans le bon sens de la tendance du marché et à tester la stratégie. Cela vous permet d'éviter les erreurs de toujours négocier à contre-courant.
Cet indicateur peut être configuré à votre guise, selon vos besoins ou vos goûts.
L'indicateur/Stratégie fonctionne sur plusieurs bases de temps.
Les réglages (longueur, décalage, déviation, lissage) sont identiques pour toutes les bases de temps si
« Conf Auto » n'est pas coché. Dans ce cas, les paramètres par défaut (intervalle de temps=paramètres H1) s'appliquent à toutes les bases de temps.
Le choix du réglage de la source est commun à toutes les bases de temps.
Si "Auto Conf" est coché, alors les paramètres seront optimisés pour chaque base de temps sélectionnée (1m-3m H2 H3 H1 H4 & Daily). Les bases de temps, autres que 1m-3m H2 H3 H1 H4 & Daily seront affectées par les paramètres par défaut correspondant à la base de temps H1 et ne seront donc pas optimisées ! Les valeurs de réglage par défaut de chaque période (1m-3m H2 H3 H1 H4 & Daily) peuvent être configurées différemment et optimisées par vous.
Mode REVERSAL : Signal Achat=Vente et Signal Vente=Achat. Cette option peut être meilleure que la stratégie habituelle. Le mode par défaut est l'option REVERSAL.
Notez que seulement pour la base de temps de 1m (1 minute), l'option REVERSAL est l’opposée du choix par défaut dans la configuration. (Si l'option REVERSAL est cochée, alors l'option pour la base de temps 1 m n'est pas REVERSAL !)
Les indications de tendance (zones potentielles de vente ou d'achat) sont affichées en couleur de fond (haussier : vert ou baissier : rouge), supposons que le marché évolue dans une direction. Vous pouvez ajuster les paramètres d'entrée, de style et de visibilité en fonction de vos propres préférences ou habitudes.
Les informations sur l'étiquette (simples ou complètes) donnent des informations sur de chaque clôture (ou position en cours)
Le choix des couleurs des indicateurs est adapté à un graphique avec un thème "sombre", qu'il vous faudra probablement modifier pour le confort visuel, si vous utilisez un mode "Clair" ou un mode personnalisé.
Ce script est un indicateur que vous pouvez exécuter sur des types de graphiques standard. Cela fonctionne également sur les types de graphiques non standard, mais les résultats seront faussés et différents.
Les graphiques non standard sont :
• Heikin Ashi (HA)
• Renko
• Kagi
• Point & Figure
• Range
Pour rappel : Aucun indicateur n'est capable de fournir des signaux précis 100% du temps. De temps en temps, même les meilleurs échoueront, vous laissant avec une affaire perdante. Quel que soit l'indicateur sur lequel vous vous basez, rappelez-vous de suivre les règles de base de la gestion des risques et de l'allocation du capital.
Top 40 High Low Strategy for SPY, 5minThis strategy is developed based on my High Low Index SPY Top 40 indicator
Notes:
- this strategy is only developed for SPY on the 5 min chart . It seems to work with QQQ as well, but it isn't optimized for it
- P/L shown is based on 10 SPY option contracts, call or put, with strike price closest to the entry SPY price and expiry of 0 to 1 day. This includes commissions (can be changed). This is only an estimate calculated using an arbitrary multiplier factor, this can be changed in the setting
- P/L is based on $5000 initial capital
- Works with both regular / extended trading session turned on/off. However, max drawdown is 1/2 with extended trading session ON
- there is still a bug that doesn't allow alert to be created due to calculation error, will update once fixed
This strategy combines signals from the following indicators to determine entry signals:
- High Low Index SPY Top 40
- MACD
- Linear Regression Slope
Entry signal is triggered when:
- High Low Index line crosses the EMA line
- MACD trending in the same direction
- Linear Regression slope is accelerating above a threshold in the same direction, indicating a strong trend
Profit target(PT) and stop loss(SL) are determined using ATR value, with 2:1 Reward to Risk ratio as default.
Exit signal may be triggered prior to PT or SL trigger when:
- High Low Index SPY Top 40 shows a reversal after overbought or oversold conditions (optional)
- Opposite entry signal is triggered
There are a number of optional settings:
- Turn on/off "option trading", P/L will be calculated using share price only without multiplication factor for trading option contracts
- # of options per trade, default to 10
- Reinvest with profit made
- Trade with trailing SL after PT hit
- Take profit early based on Top 40 overbought/oversold
- Trade 0/1 day expiry. This will signal exit by the end of the day on Mon/Wed/Fri, and only exits 1/2 of positions (if in profit) on Tues/Thurs
- Can reduce the SL level without impacting PT
- No entry between 10:05 - 10:20 (don't ask me why, but statistically it performs better)
Consider donating me some of your profit if you make $$$ hahaha~ ;)
Enjoy~~
Linear Regression Channel Breakout StrategyThis strategy is based on LonesomeTheBlue's Linear Regression Channel Indicator. First of all, I would like to thank LonesomeTheBlue. Breaking the Linear Regression Channel to close the candle triggers a Long or Short signal. If the slope of the Linear Regression Channel is positive, it is Short when it breaks out the lower line, and when the slope is negative, it is Long when it breaks out the upper line. The default is optimized for 8-hour candles, and for other hour candles, find the optimal value yourself. Below is a description of LonesomeTheBlue's Linear Regression Channel.
이 전략은 LonesomeTheBlue의 Linear Regression Channel Indicator를 기반으로 만들어졌습니다. 우선 LonesomeTheBlue님께 감사의 말씀을 드립니다. Linear Regression Channel을 돌파하여 봉 마감하면 Long 또는 Short 신호를 트리거합니다. Linear Regression Channel의 기울기가 양인 경우 하단 라인을 돌파하면 Short이고 그 기울기가 음인 경우 상단 라인을 돌파하면 Long입니다. 기본값은 8시간봉에 최적화 되어 있으며, 다른 시간봉은 직접 최적값을 찾아보십시오. 아래는 LonesomeTheBlue의 Linear Regression Channel에 대한 설명을 퍼왔습니다.
________________________________________________
There are several nice Linear Regression Channel scripts in the Public Library. and I tried to make one with some extra features too. This one can check if the Price breaks the channel and it shows where is was broken. Also it checks the momentum of the channel and shows it's increasing/decreasing/equal in a label, shape of the label also changes. The line colors change according to direction.
using the options, you can;
- Set the Source (Close, HL2 etc)
- Set the Channel length
- Set Deviation
- Change Up/Down Line colors
- Show/hide broken channels
- Change line width
meaning of arrows:
⇑ : Uptrend and moment incresing
⇗ : Uptrend and moment decreasing
⇓ : Downtrend and moment incresing
⇘ : Downtrend and moment decreasing
⇒ : No trend