SCE GANN PredictionsThis is a script designed to give an insight on price direction from being above or below a GANN Value.
What Are GANN Waves?
The SCE GANN Predictions indicator is inspired by the work of W.D. Gann, a renowned trader who believed that price movements follow geometric and mathematical patterns. GANN waves use past price behavior—specifically momentum or "velocity"—to forecast where prices might head next.
How Does the Indicator Work?
Calculating Velocity
The script starts by measuring the "velocity" of price movement over a user-defined lookback period (denoted as n). This velocity is the average difference between the close and open prices over n bars. Think of it as the market’s speed in a given direction.
Predicting the Future Price
Using this velocity, the indicator estimates a future price after a specific time horizon—calculated as n + n*2 bars into the future (e.g., if n = 15, it predicts 45 bars ahead). It scales the velocity by a ratio (Gr) to determine the "end price." This is the raw GANN prediction.
Optimizing the Ratio (Gr)
The key to a good prediction is finding the right Gr. The script tests a range of Gr values (from Gr_min to Gr_max, stepping by Gr_step) and evaluates each one by calculating the sum of squared errors (SSE) between the predicted prices and the actual historical close prices. The Gr with the lowest SSE is deemed "optimal" and used for the final prediction.
Smoothing with an SMA
The raw GANN prediction is then smoothed using a simple moving average (SMA) over the lookback period (n). This SMA is plotted on your chart, serving as a dynamic trend line. The plot’s color changes based on the current price: teal if the close is above the SMA (bullish), and red if below (bearish).
Visuals
This example shows how the value explains price strength and changes color. When the price is above the line, and it’s green, we’re showing an up trend. The opposite is when the price is below the line, and it’s red, showing a down trend.
We can see that there may be moments where price drops under the value for just that one bar.
In scenarios with sideways price action, even though the price crosses, there is no follow through. This is a shortcoming of the overall concept.
Customizable Inputs
Timeframe: Choose the timeframe for analysis (default is 2 minutes).
Show GANN Wave: Toggle the GANN SMA plot on or off (default is true).
Lookback Period (Gn): Set the number of bars for velocity and SMA calculations (default is 15).
Min Ratio (Gr_min): The lower bound for the Gr optimization (default is 0.05).
Max Ratio (Gr_max): The upper bound for Gr (default is 0.2).
Step for Gr (Gr_step): The increment for testing Gr values (default is 0.01).
How to Use SCE GANN Predictions
Trend Direction
The colored SMA provides a quick visual cue. Teal suggests an uptrend, while red hints at a downtrend. Use this to align your trades with the broader momentum.
Crossover Signals
Watch for the close price crossing the GANN SMA. A move above could signal a buy opportunity, while a drop below might indicate a sell. Combine this with other indicators for confirmation.
Fine-Tuning
Experiment with the lookback period (Gn) and Gr range to optimize for your market. Shorter lookbacks might suit fast-moving assets, while longer ones could work for slower trends.
Like any technical tool, SCE GANN Predictions isn’t a crystal ball. It’s based on historical data and mathematical assumptions, so it won’t always be spot-on.
Search in scripts for "one一季度财报"
External Signals Strategy TesterExternal Signals Strategy Tester
This strategy is designed to help you backtest external buy/sell signals coming from another indicator on your chart. It is a flexible and powerful tool that allows you to simulate real trading based on signals generated by any indicator, using input.source connections.
🔧 How It Works
Instead of generating signals internally, this strategy listens to two external input sources:
One for buy signals
One for sell signals
These sources can be connected to the plots from another indicator (for example, custom indicators, signal lines, or logic-based plots).
To use this:
Add your indicator to the chart (it must be visible on the same pane as this strategy).
Open the settings of the strategy.
In the fields Buy Signal and Sell Signal, select the appropriate plot (line, value, etc.) from the indicator that represents the buy/sell logic.
The strategy will open positions when the selected buy signal crosses above 0, and sell signal crosses above 0.
This logic can be easily adapted by modifying the crossover rule inside the script if your signal style is different.
⚙️ Features Included
✅ Configurable trade direction:
You can choose whether to allow long trades, short trades, or both.
✅ Optional close on opposite signal:
When enabled, the strategy will exit the current position if an opposite signal appears.
✅ Optional full position reversal:
When enabled, the strategy will close the current position and immediately open an opposite one on the reverse signal.
✅ Risk Management Tools:
You can define:
Take Profit (TP): Position will be closed once the specified profit (in %) is reached.
Stop Loss (SL): Position will be closed if the price drops to the specified loss level (in %).
BreakEven (BE): Once the specified profit threshold is reached, the strategy will move the stop-loss to the entry price.
📌 If any of these values (TP, SL, BE) are set to 0, the feature is disabled and will not be applied.
🧪 Best Use Cases
Backtesting signals from custom indicators, without rewriting the logic into a strategy.
Comparing the performance of different signal sources.
Testing external indicators with optional position management logic.
Validating strategies using external filters, oscillators, or trend signals.
📌 Final Notes
You can visualize where the strategy detected buy/sell signals using green/red markers on the chart.
All parameters are customizable through the strategy settings panel.
This strategy does not repaint, and it processes signals in real-time only (no lookahead bias).
Chop ZonesThis indicator plots two "zones" in the form of shaded boxes, one between PMH and PML and one between PDH and PDL, the area that is shaded more has the highest probability of price action to be "choppy", the lesser shaded area has less probability for "choppy" action whilst outside the shaded areas there is high probability of a trend.
This indicator can be used to determine one of the three types of day:
Chop day
Bullish trend day
Bearish trend day
Chop day example today on AMEX:SPY
Bullish trend day example on NASDAQ:DLTR
Bearish trend day example on NASDAQ:UAL
Bitcoin Polynomial Regression ModelThis is the main version of the script. Click here for the Oscillator part of the script.
💡Why this model was created:
One of the key issues with most existing models, including our own Bitcoin Log Growth Curve Model , is that they often fail to realistically account for diminishing returns. As a result, they may present overly optimistic bull cycle targets (hence, we introduced alternative settings in our previous Bitcoin Log Growth Curve Model).
This new model however, has been built from the ground up with a primary focus on incorporating the principle of diminishing returns. It directly responds to this concept, which has been briefly explored here .
📉The theory of diminishing returns:
This theory suggests that as each four-year market cycle unfolds, volatility gradually decreases, leading to more tempered price movements. It also implies that the price increase from one cycle peak to the next will decrease over time as the asset matures. The same pattern applies to cycle lows and the relationship between tops and bottoms. In essence, these price movements are interconnected and should generally follow a consistent pattern. We believe this model provides a more realistic outlook on bull and bear market cycles.
To better understand this theory, the relationships between cycle tops and bottoms are outlined below:https://www.tradingview.com/x/7Hldzsf2/
🔧Creation of the model:
For those interested in how this model was created, the process is explained here. Otherwise, feel free to skip this section.
This model is based on two separate cubic polynomial regression lines. One for the top price trend and another for the bottom. Both follow the general cubic polynomial function:
ax^3 +bx^2 + cx + d.
In this equation, x represents the weekly bar index minus an offset, while a, b, c, and d are determined through polynomial regression analysis. The input (x, y) values used for the polynomial regression analysis are as follows:
Top regression line (x, y) values:
113, 18.6
240, 1004
451, 19128
655, 65502
Bottom regression line (x, y) values:
103, 2.5
267, 211
471, 3193
676, 16255
The values above correspond to historical Bitcoin cycle tops and bottoms, where x is the weekly bar index and y is the weekly closing price of Bitcoin. The best fit is determined using metrics such as R-squared values, residual error analysis, and visual inspection. While the exact details of this evaluation are beyond the scope of this post, the following optimal parameters were found:
Top regression line parameter values:
a: 0.000202798
b: 0.0872922
c: -30.88805
d: 1827.14113
Bottom regression line parameter values:
a: 0.000138314
b: -0.0768236
c: 13.90555
d: -765.8892
📊Polynomial Regression Oscillator:
This publication also includes the oscillator version of the this model which is displayed at the bottom of the screen. The oscillator applies a logarithmic transformation to the price and the regression lines using the formula log10(x) .
The log-transformed price is then normalized using min-max normalization relative to the log-transformed top and bottom regression line with the formula:
normalized price = log(close) - log(bottom regression line) / log(top regression line) - log(bottom regression line)
This transformation results in a price value between 0 and 1 between both the regression lines. The Oscillator version can be found here.
🔍Interpretation of the Model:
In general, the red area represents a caution zone, as historically, the price has often been near its cycle market top within this range. On the other hand, the green area is considered an area of opportunity, as historically, it has corresponded to the market bottom.
The top regression line serves as a signal for the absolute market cycle peak, while the bottom regression line indicates the absolute market cycle bottom.
Additionally, this model provides a predicted range for Bitcoin's future price movements, which can be used to make extrapolated predictions. We will explore this further below.
🔮Future Predictions:
Finally, let's discuss what this model actually predicts for the potential upcoming market cycle top and the corresponding market cycle bottom. In our previous post here , a cycle interval analysis was performed to predict a likely time window for the next cycle top and bottom:
In the image, it is predicted that the next top-to-top cycle interval will be 208 weeks, which translates to November 3rd, 2025. It is also predicted that the bottom-to-top cycle interval will be 152 weeks, which corresponds to October 13th, 2025. On the macro level, these two dates align quite well. For our prediction, we take the average of these two dates: October 24th 2025. This will be our target date for the bull cycle top.
Now, let's do the same for the upcoming cycle bottom. The bottom-to-bottom cycle interval is predicted to be 205 weeks, which translates to October 19th, 2026, and the top-to-bottom cycle interval is predicted to be 259 weeks, which corresponds to October 26th, 2026. We then take the average of these two dates, predicting a bear cycle bottom date target of October 19th, 2026.
Now that we have our predicted top and bottom cycle date targets, we can simply reference these two dates to our model, giving us the Bitcoin top price prediction in the range of 152,000 in Q4 2025 and a subsequent bottom price prediction in the range of 46,500 in Q4 2026.
For those interested in understanding what this specifically means for the predicted diminishing return top and bottom cycle values, the image below displays these predicted values. The new values are highlighted in yellow:
And of course, keep in mind that these targets are just rough estimates. While we've done our best to estimate these targets through a data-driven approach, markets will always remain unpredictable in nature. What are your targets? Feel free to share them in the comment section below.
Bitcoin Polynomial Regression OscillatorThis is the oscillator version of the script. Click here for the other part of the script.
💡Why this model was created:
One of the key issues with most existing models, including our own Bitcoin Log Growth Curve Model , is that they often fail to realistically account for diminishing returns. As a result, they may present overly optimistic bull cycle targets (hence, we introduced alternative settings in our previous Bitcoin Log Growth Curve Model).
This new model however, has been built from the ground up with a primary focus on incorporating the principle of diminishing returns. It directly responds to this concept, which has been briefly explored here .
📉The theory of diminishing returns:
This theory suggests that as each four-year market cycle unfolds, volatility gradually decreases, leading to more tempered price movements. It also implies that the price increase from one cycle peak to the next will decrease over time as the asset matures. The same pattern applies to cycle lows and the relationship between tops and bottoms. In essence, these price movements are interconnected and should generally follow a consistent pattern. We believe this model provides a more realistic outlook on bull and bear market cycles.
To better understand this theory, the relationships between cycle tops and bottoms are outlined below:https://www.tradingview.com/x/7Hldzsf2/
🔧Creation of the model:
For those interested in how this model was created, the process is explained here. Otherwise, feel free to skip this section.
This model is based on two separate cubic polynomial regression lines. One for the top price trend and another for the bottom. Both follow the general cubic polynomial function:
ax^3 +bx^2 + cx + d.
In this equation, x represents the weekly bar index minus an offset, while a, b, c, and d are determined through polynomial regression analysis. The input (x, y) values used for the polynomial regression analysis are as follows:
Top regression line (x, y) values:
113, 18.6
240, 1004
451, 19128
655, 65502
Bottom regression line (x, y) values:
103, 2.5
267, 211
471, 3193
676, 16255
The values above correspond to historical Bitcoin cycle tops and bottoms, where x is the weekly bar index and y is the weekly closing price of Bitcoin. The best fit is determined using metrics such as R-squared values, residual error analysis, and visual inspection. While the exact details of this evaluation are beyond the scope of this post, the following optimal parameters were found:
Top regression line parameter values:
a: 0.000202798
b: 0.0872922
c: -30.88805
d: 1827.14113
Bottom regression line parameter values:
a: 0.000138314
b: -0.0768236
c: 13.90555
d: -765.8892
📊Polynomial Regression Oscillator:
This publication also includes the oscillator version of the this model which is displayed at the bottom of the screen. The oscillator applies a logarithmic transformation to the price and the regression lines using the formula log10(x) .
The log-transformed price is then normalized using min-max normalization relative to the log-transformed top and bottom regression line with the formula:
normalized price = log(close) - log(bottom regression line) / log(top regression line) - log(bottom regression line)
This transformation results in a price value between 0 and 1 between both the regression lines.
🔍Interpretation of the Model:
In general, the red area represents a caution zone, as historically, the price has often been near its cycle market top within this range. On the other hand, the green area is considered an area of opportunity, as historically, it has corresponded to the market bottom.
The top regression line serves as a signal for the absolute market cycle peak, while the bottom regression line indicates the absolute market cycle bottom.
Additionally, this model provides a predicted range for Bitcoin's future price movements, which can be used to make extrapolated predictions. We will explore this further below.
🔮Future Predictions:
Finally, let's discuss what this model actually predicts for the potential upcoming market cycle top and the corresponding market cycle bottom. In our previous post here , a cycle interval analysis was performed to predict a likely time window for the next cycle top and bottom:
In the image, it is predicted that the next top-to-top cycle interval will be 208 weeks, which translates to November 3rd, 2025. It is also predicted that the bottom-to-top cycle interval will be 152 weeks, which corresponds to October 13th, 2025. On the macro level, these two dates align quite well. For our prediction, we take the average of these two dates: October 24th 2025. This will be our target date for the bull cycle top.
Now, let's do the same for the upcoming cycle bottom. The bottom-to-bottom cycle interval is predicted to be 205 weeks, which translates to October 19th, 2026, and the top-to-bottom cycle interval is predicted to be 259 weeks, which corresponds to October 26th, 2026. We then take the average of these two dates, predicting a bear cycle bottom date target of October 19th, 2026.
Now that we have our predicted top and bottom cycle date targets, we can simply reference these two dates to our model, giving us the Bitcoin top price prediction in the range of 152,000 in Q4 2025 and a subsequent bottom price prediction in the range of 46,500 in Q4 2026.
For those interested in understanding what this specifically means for the predicted diminishing return top and bottom cycle values, the image below displays these predicted values. The new values are highlighted in yellow:
And of course, keep in mind that these targets are just rough estimates. While we've done our best to estimate these targets through a data-driven approach, markets will always remain unpredictable in nature. What are your targets? Feel free to share them in the comment section below.
TimeMapTimeMap is a visual price-reference indicator designed to help traders rapidly visualize how current price levels relate to significant historical closing prices. It overlays your chart with reference lines representing past weekly, monthly, quarterly (3-month), semi-annual (6-month), and annual closing prices. By clearly plotting these historical price references, TimeMap helps traders quickly gauge price position relative to historical market structure, aiding in the identification of trends, support/resistance levels, and potential reversals.
How it Works:
The indicator calculates the precise number of historical bars corresponding to weekly, monthly, quarterly, semi-annual, and annual intervals, dynamically adjusting according to your chart’s timeframe (intraday, daily, weekly, monthly) and chosen market type (Stocks US, Crypto, Forex, or Futures). Historical closing prices from these periods are plotted directly on your chart as horizontal reference lines.
For intraday traders, the script accurately calculates historical offsets considering regular and extended trading sessions (e.g., pre-market and after-hours sessions for US stocks), ensuring correct positioning of historical lines.
User-Configurable Inputs Explained in Detail:
Market Type:
Allows you to specify your trading instrument type, automatically adjusting calculations for:
- Stocks US (default): 390 minutes per regular session (780 minutes if extended hours enabled), 5 trading days/week.
- Crypto: 1440 minutes/day, 7 trading days/week.
- Forex: 1440 minutes/day, 5 trading days/week.
- Futures: 1320 minutes/day, 5 trading days/week.
Show Weekly Close:
When enabled, plots a line at the exact closing price from one week ago. Provides short-term context and helps identify recent price momentum.
Show Monthly Close:
When enabled, plots a line at the exact closing price from one month ago. Helpful for evaluating medium-term price positioning and monthly trend strength.
Show 3-Month Close:
When enabled, plots a line at the exact closing price from three months ago. Useful for assessing quarterly market shifts, intermediate trend changes, and broader market sentiment.
Show 6-Month Close:
When enabled, plots a line at the exact closing price from six months ago. Useful for identifying semi-annual trends, significant price pivots, and longer-term support/resistance levels.
Show 1-Year Close:
When enabled, plots a line at the exact closing price from one year ago. Excellent for assessing long-term market direction and key annual price levels.
Enable Smoothing:
Activates a Simple Moving Average (SMA) smoothing of historical reference lines, reducing volatility and providing clearer visual references. Recommended for traders preferring less volatile reference levels.
Smoothing Length:
Determines the number of bars used in calculating the SMA smoothing of historical lines. Higher values result in smoother but slightly delayed reference lines; lower values offer more immediate yet more volatile levels.
Use Extended Hours (Intraday Only):
When enabled (only applicable for Stocks US), it accounts for pre-market and after-hours trading sessions, providing accurate intraday historical line calculations based on extended sessions (typically 780 minutes/day total).
Important Notes and Compliance:
- This indicator does not provide trading signals, recommendations, or predictions. It serves purely as a visual analytical tool to supplement traders’ existing methods.
- Historical lines plotted are strictly based on past available price data; the indicator never accesses future data or data outside the scope of Pine Script’s standard capabilities.
- The script incorporates built-in logic to avoid runtime errors if insufficient historical data exists for a selected timeframe, ensuring robustness even with limited historical bars.
- TimeMap is original work developed exclusively by Julien Eche (@Julien_Eche). It does not reuse or replicate third-party or existing open-source scripts.
Recommended Best Practices:
- Use TimeMap as a complementary analytical reference, not as a standalone strategy or trade decision-making tool.
- Adapt displayed historical periods and smoothing settings based on your trading style and market approach.
- Default plot colors are optimized for readability on dark-background charts; adjust as necessary according to your preference and chart color scheme.
This script is published open-source to benefit the entire TradingView community and fully complies with all TradingView script publishing rules and guidelines.
Trend Catcher SwiftEdgeTrend Catcher SwiftEdge
Overview
The Trend Catcher SwiftEdge is a simple yet effective tool designed to help traders identify potential trend directions using two Simple Moving Averages (SMAs). It plots two SMAs based on the high and low prices of the chart, visually highlights trend conditions, and provides buy/sell labels to assist with trade entries. This indicator is best used as part of a broader trading strategy and should not be relied upon as a standalone signal generator.
How It Works
Two SMAs: The indicator calculates two SMAs: one based on the lowest price (Low) and one based on the highest price (High) over a user-defined period (default: 20).
Dynamic Colors:
Green: When the price is above both SMAs (indicating a potential uptrend).
Red: When the price is below both SMAs (indicating a potential downtrend).
Purple: When the price is between the SMAs (indicating consolidation).
The SMAs and the background between them change color dynamically to reflect the current trend condition.
Buy/Sell Labels:
A "Buy" label appears when an entire candlestick (including its low) crosses above both SMAs, marking the start of a potential uptrend.
A "Sell" label appears when an entire candlestick (including its high) crosses below both SMAs, marking the start of a potential downtrend.
To reduce noise, only one label is shown per trend direction. The indicator resets when the price enters the consolidation zone (purple), allowing for a new signal when the next trend begins.
Settings
SMA Length: Adjust the period of the SMAs (default: 20). A longer period smooths the SMAs and focuses on larger trends, while a shorter period makes the indicator more sensitive to price changes.
How to Use
Add the indicator to your chart.
Look for "Buy" labels to consider potential long entries during uptrends (green zone).
Look for "Sell" labels to consider potential short entries during downtrends (red zone).
Use the purple consolidation zone to prepare for potential breakouts.
Always combine this indicator with other forms of analysis (e.g., support/resistance, volume, or other indicators) to confirm signals.
Important Notes
This indicator is a tool to assist with identifying trend directions and potential entry points. It does not guarantee profits and should be used as part of a comprehensive trading strategy.
False signals can occur, especially in choppy or ranging markets. Consider using additional filters or confirmations to improve reliability.
Backtest the indicator on your chosen market and timeframe to understand its behavior before using it in live trading.
Feedback
If you have suggestions or feedback, feel free to leave a comment. Happy trading!
Quarterly Theory ICT 03 [TradingFinder] Precision Swing Points🔵 Introduction
Precision Swing Point (PSP) is a divergence pattern in the closing of candles between two correlated assets, which can indicate a potential trend reversal. This structure appears at market turning points and highlights discrepancies between the price behavior of two related assets.
PSP typically forms in key timeframes such as 5-minute, 15-minute, and 90-minute charts, and is often used in combination with Smart Money Concepts (SMT) to confirm trade entries.
PSP is categorized into Bearish PSP and Bullish PSP :
Bearish PSP : Occurs when an asset breaks its previous high, and its middle candle closes bullish, while the correlated asset closes bearish at the same level. This divergence signals weakness in the uptrend and a potential price reversal downward.
Bullish PSP : Occurs when an asset breaks its previous low, and its middle candle closes bearish, while the correlated asset closes bullish at the same level. This suggests weakness in the downtrend and a potential price increase.
🟣 Trading Strategies Using Precision Swing Point (PSP)
PSP can be integrated into various trading strategies to improve entry accuracy and filter out false signals. One common method is combining PSP with SMT (divergence between correlated assets), where traders identify divergence and enter a trade only after PSP confirms the move.
Additionally, PSP can act as a liquidity gap, meaning that price tends to react to the wick of the PSP candle, making it a favorable entry point with a tight stop-loss and high risk-to-reward ratio. Furthermore, PSP combined with Order Blocks and Fair Value Gaps in higher timeframes allows traders to identify stronger reversal zones.
In lower timeframes, such as 5-minute or 15-minute charts, PSP can serve as a confirmation for more precise entries in the direction of the higher timeframe trend. This is particularly useful in scalping and intraday trading, helping traders execute smarter entries while minimizing unnecessary stop-outs.
🔵 How to Use
PSP is a trading pattern based on divergence in candle closures between two correlated assets. This divergence signals a difference in trend strength and can be used to identify precise market turning points. PSP is divided into Bullish PSP and Bearish PSP, each applicable for long and short trades.
🟣 Bullish PSP
A Bullish PSP forms when, at a market turning point, the middle candle of one asset closes bearish while the correlated asset closes bullish. This discrepancy indicates weakness in the downtrend and a potential price reversal upward.
Traders can use this as a signal for long (buy) trades. The best approach is to wait for price to return to the wick of the PSP candle, as this area typically acts as a liquidity level.
f PSP forms within an Order Block or Fair Value Gap in a higher timeframe, its reliability increases, allowing for entries with tight stop-loss and optimal risk-to-reward ratios.
🟣 Bearish PSP
A Bearish PSP forms when, at a market turning point, the middle candle of one asset closes bullish while the correlated asset closes bearish. This indicates weakness in the uptrend and a potential price decline.
Traders use this pattern to enter short (sell) trades. The best entry occurs when price retests the wick of the PSP candle, as this level often acts as a resistance zone, pushing price lower.
If PSP aligns with a significant liquidity area or Order Block in a higher timeframe, traders can enter with greater confidence and place their stop-loss just above the PSP wick.
Overall, PSP is a highly effective tool for filtering false signals and improving trade entry precision. Combining PSP with SMT, Order Blocks, and Fair Value Gaps across multiple timeframes allows traders to execute higher-accuracy trades with lower risk.
🔵 Settings
Mode :
2 Symbol : Identifies PSP and PCP between two correlated assets.
3 Symbol : Compares three assets to detect more complex divergences and stronger confirmation signals.
Second Symbol : The second asset used in PSP and correlation calculations.
Third Symbol : Used in three-symbol mode for deeper PSP and PCP analysis.
Filter Precision X Point : Enables or disables filtering for more precise PSP and PCP detection. This filter only identifies PSP and PCP when the base asset's candle qualifies as a Pin Bar.
Trend Effect : By changing the Trend Effect status to "Off," all Pin bars, whether bullish or bearish, are displayed regardless of the current market trend. If the status remains "On," only Pin bars in the direction of the main market trend are shown.
Bullish Pin Bar Setting : Using the "Ratio Lower Shadow to Body" and "Ratio Lower Shadow to Higher Shadow" settings, you can customize your bullish Pin bar candles. Larger numbers impose stricter conditions for identifying bullish Pin bars.
Bearish Pin Bar Setting : Using the "Ratio Higher Shadow to Body" and "Ratio Higher Shadow to Lower Shadow" settings, you can customize your bearish Pin bar candles. Larger numbers impose stricter conditions for identifying bearish Pin bars.
🔵 Conclusion
Precision Swing Point (PSP) is a powerful analytical tool in Smart Money trading strategies, helping traders identify precise market turning points by detecting divergences in candle closures between correlated assets. PSP is classified into Bullish PSP and Bearish PSP, each playing a crucial role in detecting trend weaknesses and determining optimal entry points for long and short trades.
Using the PSP wick as a key liquidity level, integrating it with SMT, Order Blocks, and Fair Value Gaps, and analyzing higher timeframes are effective techniques to enhance trade entries. Ultimately, PSP serves as a complementary tool for improving entry accuracy and reducing unnecessary stop-outs, making it a valuable addition to Smart Money trading methodologies.
Premarket Gap MomoTrader(SC)🚀 Pre-Market Momentum Trader | Dynamic Position Sizing 🔥
📈 Trade explosive pre-market breakouts with confidence! This algorithmic strategy automatically detects high-momentum setups, dynamically adjusts position size, and ensures risk control with a one-trade-per-day rule.
⸻
🎯 Key Features
✅ Pre-Market Trading (4:00 - 9:30 AM EST) – Only trades during the most volatile session for early breakouts.
✅ Dynamic Position Sizing – Adapts trade size based on candle strength:
• ≥90% body → 100% position
• ≥85% body → 50% position
• ≥75% body → 25% position
✅ 1 Trade Per Day – Avoids overtrading by allowing only one high-quality trade daily.
✅ Momentum Protection – Stays in the trade as long as:
• Every candle remains green (no red candles).
• Each new candle has increasing volume (confirming strong buying).
✅ Automated Exit – Closes position if:
• A red candle appears.
• Volume fails to increase on a green candle.
⸻
🔍 How It Works
📌 Entry Conditions:
✔️ Candle gains ≥5% from previous close.
✔️ Candle is green & body size ≥75% of total range.
✔️ Volume >15K (confirming liquidity).
✔️ Occurs within pre-market session (4:00 - 9:30 AM EST).
✔️ Only the first valid trade of the day is taken.
📌 Exit Conditions:
❌ First red candle after entry → Exit trade.
❌ First green candle with lower volume → Exit trade.
⸻
🏆 Why Use This?
🔹 Eliminates Fake Breakouts – No trade unless volume & momentum confirm.
🔹 Prevents Overtrading – Restricts to one quality trade per day.
🔹 Adaptable to Any Market – Works on stocks, crypto, or forex.
🔹 Hands-Free Execution – No manual chart watching required!
⸻
🚨 Important Notes
📢 Not financial advice. Trading involves risk—always backtest & practice on paper trading before using real money.
📢 Enable pre-market data in your TradingView settings for accurate results.
📢 Optimized for 1-minute & 5-minute timeframes.
🔔 Like this strategy? Leave a comment, share your results, and don’t forget to hit Follow for more strategies! 🚀🔥
DTFX Algo Zones [SamuraiJack Mod]CME_MINI:NQ1!
Credits
This indicator is a modified version of an open-source tool originally developed by Lux Algo. I literally modded their indicator to create the DTFX Algo Zones version, incorporating additional features and refinements. Special thanks to Lux Algo for their original work and for providing the open-source code that made this development possible.
Introduction
DTFX Algo Zones is a technical analysis indicator designed to automatically identify key supply and demand zones on your chart using market structure and Fibonacci retracements. It helps traders spot high-probability reversal areas and important support/resistance levels at a glance. By detecting shifts in market structure (such as Break of Structure and Change of Character) and highlighting bullish or bearish zones dynamically, this tool provides an intuitive framework for planning trades. The goal is to save traders time and improve decision-making by focusing attention on the most critical price zones where market bias may confirm or reverse.
Logic & Features
• Market Structure Shift Detection (BOS & CHoCH): The indicator continuously monitors price swings and marks significant structure shifts. A Break of Structure (BOS) occurs when price breaks above a previous swing high or below a swing low, indicating a continuation of the current trend. A Change of Character (ChoCH) is detected when price breaks in the opposite direction of the prior trend, often signaling an early trend reversal. These moments are visually marked on the chart, serving as anchor points for new zones. By identifying BOS and ChoCH in real-time, the DTFX Algo Zones indicator ensures you’re aware of key trend changes as they happen.
• Auto-Drawn Fibonacci Supply/Demand Zones: Upon a valid structure shift, the indicator plots a Fibonacci-based zone between the breakout point and the preceding swing high/low (the source of the move). This creates a shaded area or band of Fibonacci retracement levels (for example 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, etc.) representing a potential support zone in an uptrend or resistance zone in a downtrend. These supply/demand zones are derived from the natural retracement of the breakout move, highlighting where price is likely to pull back. Each zone is essentially an auto-generated Fibonacci retracement region tied to a market structure event, which traders can use to anticipate where the next pullback or bounce might occur.
• Dynamic Bullish and Bearish Zones: The DTFX Algo Zones indicator distinguishes bullish vs. bearish zones and updates them dynamically as new price action unfolds. Bullish zones (formed after bullish BOS/ChoCH) are typically highlighted in one color (e.g. green or blue) to indicate areas of demand/support where price may bounce upward. Bearish zones (formed after bearish BOS/ChoCH) are shown in another color (e.g. red/orange) to mark supply/resistance where price may stall or reverse downward. This color-coding and real-time updating allow traders to instantly recognize the market bias: for instance, a series of bullish zones implies an uptrend with multiple support levels on pullbacks, while consecutive bearish zones indicate a downtrend with resistance overhead. As old zones get invalidated or new ones appear, the chart remains current with the latest key levels, eliminating clutter from outdated levels.
• Flexible Customization: The indicator comes with several options to tailor the zones to your trading style. You can filter which zones to display – for example, show only the most recent N zones or limit to only bullish or only bearish zones – helping declutter the chart and focus on recent, relevant levels. There are settings to control zone extension (how far into the future the zones are drawn) and to automatically invalidate zones once they’re no longer relevant (for instance, if price fully breaks through a zone or a new structure shift occurs that supersedes it). Additionally, the Fibonacci retracement levels within each zone are customizable: you can choose which retracement percentages to plot, adjust their colors or line styles, and decide whether to fill the zone area for visibility. This flexibility ensures the DTFX Algo Zones can be tuned for different markets and strategies, whether you want a clean minimalist look or detailed zones with multiple internal levels.
Best Use Cases
DTFX Algo Zones is a versatile indicator that can enhance various trading strategies. Some of its best use cases include:
• Identifying High-Probability Reversal Zones: Each zone marks an area where price has a higher likelihood of stalling or reversing because it reflects a significant prior swing and Fibonacci retracement. Traders can watch these zones for entry opportunities when the market approaches them, as they often coincide with order block or strong supply/demand areas. This is especially useful for catching trend reversals or pullbacks at points where risk is lower and potential reward is higher.
• Spotting Key Support and Resistance: The automatically drawn zones act as dynamic support (below price) and resistance (above price) levels. Instead of manually drawing Fibonacci retracements or support/resistance lines, you get an instant map of the key levels derived from recent price action. This helps in quickly identifying where the next bounce (support) or rejection (resistance) might occur. Swing traders and intraday traders alike can use these zones to set alerts or anticipate reaction areas as the market moves.
• Trend-Following Entries: In a trending market, the indicator’s zones provide ideal areas to join the trend on pullbacks. For example, in an uptrend, when a new bullish zone is drawn after a BOS, it indicates a fresh demand zone – buying near the lower end of that zone on a pullback can offer a low-risk entry to ride the next leg up. Similarly, in a downtrend, selling rallies into the highlighted supply zones can position you in the direction of the prevailing trend. The zones effectively serve as a roadmap of the trend’s structure, allowing trend traders to buy dips and sell rallies with greater confidence.
• Mean-Reversion and Range Trading: Even in choppy or range-bound markets, DTFX Algo Zones can help find mean-reversion trades. If price is oscillating sideways, the zones at extremes of the range might mark where momentum is shifting (ChoCH) and price could swing back toward the mean. A trader might fade an extended move when it reaches a strong zone, anticipating a reversion. Additionally, if multiple zones cluster in an area across time (creating a zone overlap), it often signifies a particularly robust support/resistance level ideal for range trading strategies.
In all these use cases, the indicator’s ability to filter out noise and highlight structurally important levels means traders can focus on higher-probability setups and make more informed trading decisions.
Strategy – Pullback Trading with DTFX Algo Zones
One of the most effective ways to use the DTFX Algo Zones indicator is trading pullbacks in the direction of the trend. Below is a step-by-step strategy to capitalize on pullbacks using the zones, combining the indicator’s signals with sound price action analysis and risk management:
1. Identify a Market Structure Shift and Trend Bias: First, observe the chart for a recent BOS or ChoCH signal from the indicator. This will tell you the current trend bias. For instance, a bullish BOS/ChoCH means the market momentum has shifted upward (bullish bias), and a new demand zone will be drawn. A bearish structure break indicates downward momentum and creates a supply zone. Make sure the broader context supports the bias (e.g., if multiple higher timeframe zones are bullish, focus on long trades).
2. Wait for the Pullback into the Zone: Once a new zone appears, don’t chase the price immediately. Instead, wait for price to retrace back into that highlighted zone. Patience is key – let the market come to you. For a bullish setup, allow price to dip into the Fibonacci retracement zone (demand area); for a bearish setup, watch for a rally into the supply zone. Often, the middle of the zone (around the 50% retracement level) can be an optimal area where price might slow down and pivot, but it’s wise to observe price behavior across the entire zone.
3. Confirm the Entry with Price Action & Confluence: As price tests the zone, look for confirmation signals before entering the trade. This can include bullish reversal candlestick patterns (for longs) or bearish patterns (for shorts) such as engulfing candles, hammers/shooting stars, or doji indicating indecision turning to reversal. Additionally, incorporate confluence factors to strengthen the setup: for example, check if the zone overlaps with a key moving average, a round number price level, or an old support/resistance line from a higher timeframe. You might also use an oscillator (like RSI or Stochastic) to see if the pullback has reached oversold conditions in a bullish zone (or overbought in a bearish zone), suggesting a bounce is likely. The more factors aligning at the zone, the more confidence you can have in the trade. Only proceed with an entry once you see clear evidence of buyers defending a demand zone or sellers defending a supply zone.
4. Enter the Trade and Manage Risk: When you’re satisfied with the confirmation (e.g., price starts to react positively off a demand zone or shows rejection wicks in a supply zone), execute your entry in the direction of the original trend. Immediately set a stop-loss order to control risk: for a long trade, a common placement is just below the demand zone (a few ticks/pips under the swing low that formed the zone); for a short trade, place the stop just above the supply zone’s high. This way, if the zone fails and price continues beyond it, your loss is limited. Position size the trade so that this stop-loss distance corresponds to a risk you are comfortable with (for example, 1-2% of your trading capital).
5. Take Profit Strategically: Plan your take-profit targets in advance. A conservative approach is to target the origin of the move – for instance, in a long trade, you might take profit as price moves back up to the swing high (the 0% Fibonacci level of the zone) or the next significant zone or resistance level above. This often yields at least a 1:1 reward-to-risk ratio if you entered around mid-zone. More aggressive trend-following traders may leave a portion of the position running beyond the initial target, aiming for a larger move in line with the trend (for example, new higher highs in an uptrend). You can also trail your stop-loss upward behind new higher lows (for longs) or lower highs (for shorts) as the trend progresses, locking in profit while allowing for further gains.
6. Monitor Zone Invalidation: Even after entering, keep an eye on the behavior around the zone and any new zones that may form. If price fails to bounce and instead breaks decisively through the entire zone, respect that as an invalidation – the market may be signaling a deeper reversal or that the signal was false. In such a case, it’s better to exit early or stick to your stop-loss than to hold onto a losing position. The indicator will often mark or no longer highlight zones that have been invalidated by price, guiding you to shift focus to the next opportunity.
Risk Management Tips:
• Always use a stop-loss and don’t move it farther out in hope. Placing the stop just beyond the zone’s far end (the swing point) helps protect you if the pullback turns into a larger reversal.
• Aim for a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. With pullback entries near the middle or far end of a zone, you can often achieve a reward that equals or exceeds your risk. For example, risking 20 pips to make 20+ pips (1:1 or better) is a prudent starting point. Adjust targets based on market structure – if the next resistance is 50 pips away, consider that upside against your risk.
• Use confluence and context: Don’t take every zone signal in isolation. The highest probability trades come when the DTFX Algo Zone aligns with other analysis (trend direction, chart patterns, higher timeframe support/resistance, etc.). This filtered approach will reduce trades taken in weak zones or counter-trend traps.
• Embrace patience and selectivity: Not all zones are equal. It can be wise to skip very narrow or insignificant zones and wait for those that form after a strong BOS/ChoCH (indicating a powerful move). Larger zones or zones formed during high-volume times tend to produce more reliable pullback opportunities.
• Review and adapt: After each trade, note how price behaved around the zone. If you notice certain Fib levels (like 50% or 61.8%) within the zone consistently provide the best entries, you can refine your approach to focus on those. Similarly, adjust the indicator’s settings if needed – for example, if too many minor zones are cluttering your screen, limit to the last few or increase the structure length parameter to capture only more significant swings.
⸻
By combining the DTFX Algo Zones indicator with disciplined confirmation and risk management, traders can improve their timing on pullback entries and avoid chasing moves. This indicator shines in helping you trade what you see, not what you feel – the clearly marked zones and structure shifts keep you grounded in price action reality. Whether you’re a trend trader looking to buy the dip/sell the rally, or a reversal trader hunting for exhaustion points, DTFX Algo Zones provides a robust visual aid to elevate your trading decisions. Use it as a complementary tool in your analysis to stay on the right side of the market’s structure and enhance your trading performance.
PSP - NQ ES YMThe PSP - NQ ES YM indicator tracks the price movements of the NQ, ES, and YM futures to identify correlation and divergence between them.
🔸 Orange dot (above candle) → When NQ and ES have opposite trends (one up, one down).
🔹 Blue dot (below candle) → When YM differs from either NQ or ES, but NQ and ES are aligned.
🟠🔹 Both dots on the same candle → When NQ and ES differ, and one of them also differs from YM.
🟢 Green dot (above candle at 12 AM NY time) → Marks the daily open at 12 AM New York time.
This helps traders spot market divergence patterns between major indices and potential trading opportunities. 🚀
Clustering & Divergences (RSI-Stoch-CCI) [Sam SDF-Solutions]The Clustering & Divergences (RSI-Stoch-CCI) indicator is a comprehensive technical analysis tool that consolidates three popular oscillators—Relative Strength Index (RSI), Stochastic, and Commodity Channel Index (CCI)—into one unified metric called the Score. This Score offers traders an aggregated view of market conditions, allowing them to quickly identify whether the market is oversold, balanced, or overbought.
Functionality:
Oscillator Clustering: The indicator calculates the values of RSI, Stochastic, and CCI using user-defined periods. These oscillator values are then normalized using one of three available methods: MinMax, Z-Score, or Z-Bins.
Score Calculation: Each normalized oscillator value is multiplied by its respective weight (which the user can adjust), and the weighted values are summed to generate an overall Score. This Score serves as a single, interpretable metric representing the combined oscillator behavior.
Market Clustering: The indicator performs clustering on the Score over a configurable window. By dividing the Score range into a set number of clusters (also configurable), the tool visually represents the market’s state. Each cluster is assigned a unique color so that traders can quickly see if the market is trending toward oversold, balanced, or overbought conditions.
Divergence Detection: The script automatically identifies both Regular and Hidden divergences between the price action and the Score. By using pivot detection on both price and Score data, the indicator marks potential reversal signals on the chart with labels and connecting lines. This helps in pinpointing moments when the price and the underlying oscillator dynamics diverge.
Customization Options: Users have full control over the indicator’s behavior. They can adjust:
The periods for each oscillator (RSI, Stochastic, CCI).
The weights applied to each oscillator in the Score calculation.
The normalization method and its manual boundaries.
The number of clusters and whether to invert the cluster order.
Parameters for divergence detection (such as pivot sensitivity and the minimum/maximum bar distance between pivots).
Visual Enhancements:
Depending on the user’s preference, either the Score or the Cluster Index (derived from the clustering process) is plotted on the chart. Additionally, the script changes the color of the price bars based on the identified cluster, providing an at-a-glance visual cue of the current market regime.
Logic & Methodology:
Input Parameters: The script starts by accepting user inputs for clustering settings, oscillator periods, weights, divergence detection, and manual boundary definitions for normalization.
Oscillator Calculation & Normalization: It computes RSI, Stochastic, and CCI values from the price data. These values are then normalized using either the MinMax method (scaling between a lower and upper band) or the Z-Score method (standardizing based on mean and standard deviation), or using Z-Bins for an alternative scaling approach.
Score Computation: Each normalized oscillator is multiplied by its corresponding weight. The sum of these products results in the overall Score that represents the combined oscillator behavior.
Clustering Algorithm: The Score is evaluated over a moving window to determine its minimum and maximum values. Using these values, the script calculates a cluster index that divides the Score into a predefined number of clusters. An option to invert the cluster calculation is provided to adjust the interpretation of the clustering.
Divergence Analysis: The indicator employs pivot detection (using left and right bar parameters) on both the price and the Score. It then compares recent pivot values to detect regular and hidden divergences. When a divergence is found, the script plots labels and optional connecting lines to highlight these key moments on the chart.
Plotting: Finally, based on the user’s selection, the indicator plots either the Score or the Cluster Index. It also overlays manual boundary lines (for the chosen normalization method) and adjusts the bar colors according to the cluster to provide clear visual feedback on market conditions.
_________
By integrating multiple oscillator signals into one cohesive tool, the Clustering & Divergences (RSI-Stoch-CCI) indicator helps traders minimize subjective analysis. Its dynamic clustering and automated divergence detection provide a streamlined method for assessing market conditions and potentially enhancing the accuracy of trading decisions.
For further details on using this indicator, please refer to the guide available at:
Liquidations Levels [RunRox]📈 Liquidation Levels is an indicator designed to visualize key price levels on the chart, highlighting potential reversal points where liquidity may trigger significant price movements.
Liquidity is essential in trading - price action consistently moves from one liquidity area to another. We’ve created this free indicator to help traders easily identify and visualize these liquidity zones on their charts.
📌 HOW IT WORKS
The indicator works by marking visible highs and lows, points widely recognized by traders. Because many traders commonly place their stop-loss orders beyond these visible extremes, significant liquidity accumulates behind these points. By analyzing trading volume and visible extremes, the indicator estimates areas where clusters of stop-loss orders (liquidity pools) are likely positioned, giving traders valuable insights into potential market moves.
As shown in the screenshot above, the price aggressively moved toward Sell-Side liquidity. After sweeping this liquidity level for the second time, it reversed and began targeting Buy-Side liquidity. This clearly demonstrates how price moves from one liquidity pool to another, continually seeking out liquidity to fuel its next directional move.
As shown in the screenshot, price levels with fewer anticipated trader stop-losses are indicated by less vibrant, faded colors. When the lines become more saturated and vivid, it signals that sufficient liquidity - in the form of clustered stop-losses has accumulated, potentially attracting price movement toward these areas.
⚙️ SETTINGS
🔹 Period – Increasing this setting makes the marked highs and lows more significant, filtering out minor price swings.
🔹 Low Volume – Select the color displayed for low-liquidity levels.
🔹 High Volume – Select the color displayed for high-liquidity levels.
🔹 Levels to Display – Choose between 1 and 15 nearest liquidity levels to be shown on the chart.
🔹 Volume Sensitivity – Adjust the sensitivity of the indicator to volume data on the chart.
🔹 Show Volume – Enable or disable the display of volume values next to each liquidity level.
🔹 Max Age – Limits displayed liquidity levels to those not older than the specified number of bars.
✅ HOW TO USE
One method of using this indicator is demonstrated in the screenshot above.
Price reached a high-liquidity level and showed an initial reaction. We then waited for a second confirmation - a liquidity sweep followed by a clear market structure break - to enter the trade.
Our target is set at the liquidity accumulated below, with the stop-loss placed behind the manipulation high responsible for the liquidity sweep.
By following this approach, you can effectively identify trading opportunities using this indicator.
🔶 We’ve made every effort to create an indicator that’s as simple and user-friendly as possible. We’ll continue to improve and enhance it based on your feedback and suggestions in the future.
Tri-Fold BB(Trend-Strength)*indicator isn't preset to look as displayed, do so accordingly*
"Tri-Fold BB" is an indicator that utilizes three Bollinger Bands, each of different length as a way to represent trend strength. This allows one to see the trend strength relative to multiple timeframes: short, mid, and long term trend strength. This is helpful because it provides the user with a holistic view of the asset.
How it Works
The indicator is preset to utilizing three different Bollinger Bands with length: 20, 50, and 100. This indicator simply plots the price of an asset relative to its specified Bollinger Band. For an example, if the price of the asset were to surpass its 20BB standard deviations, it would display so accordingly, though from the perspective of lets say... the 100, it may have looked like it barely moved up a standard deviation relative to 100BB because the standard deviations of a 100BB are more spread out.
Its important to view the trend strength from multiple lengths because it allows one to gauge whether the short term trend strength is likely to hold or not. A better way to speculate on asset behavior.
Another way to view this indicator is similar to that of the BB% indicator, except this indicator allows us to view price relative to standard deviations, across multiple timeframes. More holistic, more utility provided.
Basic Understanding:
Each line = Standard Deviation (3 upper, 3 lower)
Mid-Line = Basis relative to BB(20sma, 50sma, 100sma)
If price goes under Basis, that means it crossed below their specified sma(significant bull or bear signal)
I've also added HMA's relative to each BB incase one were to decide in creating some sort of trading strategy with it. I personally don't use them but I understand that it could be helpful to some so I left it in there. If you don't like them then simply deselect them and then save your desired setup as default.
In regard to regular indications of bullish or bearishness, i'd like to add that I use this indicator for the sole purpose of providing an idea of trend strength. I personally am unsure to state that cross overs directly indicate that there is a bull or bear move because I've seen instances where the price of an asset went in a direction contrary to what it 'should' have if we were to use that cross over strategy. Though of course, feel free to use this indicator as desired.
Highs&Lows by HourHighs & Lows by Hour
Description:
Highs & Lows by Hour is a TradingView indicator that helps traders identify the most frequent hours at which daily high and low price points occur. By analyzing historical price data directly from the TradingView chart, this tool provides valuable insights into market timing, allowing traders to optimize their strategies around key price movements.
This indicator is specifically designed for the one-hour (H1) timeframe . It does not display any data on other timeframes , as it relies on analyzing daily highs and lows within hourly periods.
This indicator processes the available data based on the number of historical bars loaded in the TradingView chart. The number of analyzed bars depends on the TradingView subscription plan , which determines how much historical data is accessible.
Key Features:
Works exclusively on the H1 timeframe , ensuring accurate analysis of daily highs and lows
Hourly highs and lows analysis to identify the most frequent hours when the market reaches its daily high and low
Sorted by frequency, displaying the most significant trading hours in descending order based on their recurrence
Customizable table and colors to fit the chart theme and trading style
Useful for scalpers, day traders, and swing traders to anticipate potential price reversals and breakouts
How It Works:
The indicator scans historical price data directly from the TradingView chart to detect the hour at which daily highs and daily lows occur.
It counts the frequency of highs and lows for each hour of the trading day based on the number of available bars in the TradingView chart.
The recorded data is displayed in a structured table, sorted by frequency from highest to lowest.
Users can customize colors to enhance readability and seamlessly integrate the indicator into their analysis.
Why Use This Indicator?
Identify key market patterns by recognizing the most critical hours when price extremes tend to form
Improve timing for trades by aligning entries and exits with high-probability time windows
Enhance market awareness by understanding when market volatility is likely to peak based on historical trends
Important Notes:
This indicator works only on the one-hour (H1) timeframe . It will not display any data on other timeframes
Works well on Forex, stocks, crypto, and futures , especially for intraday traders
The indicator analyzes only the historical bars available on the TradingView chart, which varies depending on the TradingView subscription plan (Free, Pro, Pro+, Premium)
This indicator does not generate buy or sell signals but serves as a data-driven tool for market analysis
How to Use:
Apply the Highs & Lows by Hour indicator to a one-hour (H1) chart on TradingView
Review the table displaying the most frequent hours for daily highs and lows
Adjust colors and settings for better visualization
Use the data to refine trading decisions and align strategy with historical price behavior
HTF Candle Range Box (Fixed to HTF Bars)### **Higher Timeframe Candle Range Box (HTF Box Indicator)**
This indicator visually highlights the price range of the most recently closed higher-timeframe (HTF) candle, directly on a lower-timeframe chart. It dynamically adjusts based on the user-selected HTF setting (e.g., 15-minute, 1-hour) and ensures that the box is displayed only on the bars that correspond to that specific HTF candle’s duration.
For instance, if a trader is on a **1-minute chart** with the **HTF set to 15 minutes**, the indicator will draw a box spanning exactly 15 one-minute candles, corresponding to the previous 15-minute HTF candle. The box updates only when a new HTF candle completes, ensuring that it does not change mid-formation.
---
### **How It Works:**
1. **Retrieves Higher Timeframe Data**
The script uses TradingView’s `request.security` function to pull **high, low, open, and close** values from the **previously completed HTF candle** (using ` ` to avoid repainting). It also fetches the **high and low of the candle before that** (using ` `) for comparison.
2. **Determines Breakout Behavior**
It compares the **last closed HTF candle** to the **one before it** to determine whether:
- It **broke above** the previous high.
- It **broke below** the previous low.
- It **broke both** the high and low.
- It **stayed within the previous candle’s range** (no breakout).
3. **Classifies the Candle & Assigns Color**
- **Green (Bullish)**
- Closes above the previous candle’s high.
- Breaks below the previous candle’s low but closes back inside the previous range **if it opened above** the previous high.
- **Red (Bearish)**
- Closes below the previous candle’s low.
- Breaks above the previous candle’s high but closes back inside the previous range **if it opened below** the previous low.
- **Orange (Neutral/Indecisive)**
- Stays within the previous candle’s range.
- Breaks both the high and low but closes inside the previous range without a clear bias.
4. **Box Placement on the Lower Timeframe**
- The script tracks the **bar index** where each HTF candle starts on the lower timeframe (e.g., every 15 bars on a 1-minute chart if HTF = 15 minutes).
- It **only displays the box on those bars**, ensuring that the range is accurately reflected for that time period.
- The box **resets and updates** only when a new HTF candle completes.
---
### **Key Features & Advantages:**
✅ **Clear Higher Timeframe Context:**
- The indicator provides a structured way to analyze HTF price action while trading in a lower timeframe.
- It helps traders identify **HTF support and resistance zones**, potential **breakouts**, and **failed breakouts**.
✅ **Fixed Box Display (No Mid-Candle Repainting):**
- The box is drawn **only after the HTF candle closes**, avoiding misleading fluctuations.
- Unlike other indicators that update live, this one ensures the trader is looking at **confirmed data** only.
✅ **Flexible Timeframe Selection:**
- The user can set **any HTF resolution** (e.g., 5min, 15min, 1hr, 4hr), making it adaptable for different strategies.
✅ **Dynamic Color Coding for Quick Analysis:**
- The **color of the box reflects the market sentiment**, making it easier to spot trends, reversals, and fake-outs.
✅ **No Clutter – Only Applies to the Relevant Bars:**
- Instead of spanning across the whole chart, the range box is **only visible on the bars belonging to the last HTF period**, keeping the chart clean and focused.
---
### **Example Use Case:**
💡 Imagine a trader is scalping on the **1-minute chart** but wants to factor in **HTF 15-minute structure** to avoid getting caught in bad trades. With this indicator:
- They can see whether the last **15-minute candle** was bullish, bearish, or indecisive.
- If it was **bullish (green)**, they may look for **buying opportunities** at lower timeframes.
- If it was **bearish (red)**, they might anticipate **a potential pullback or continuation down**.
- If the **HTF candle failed to break out**, they know the market is **ranging**, avoiding unnecessary trades.
---
### **Final Thoughts:**
This indicator is a **powerful addition for traders who combine multiple timeframes** in their analysis. It provides a **clean and structured way to track HTF price movements** without cluttering the chart or requiring constant manual switching between timeframes. Whether used for **intraday trading, swing trading, or scalping**, it adds an extra layer of confirmation for trade entries and exits.
🔹 **Best for traders who:**
- Want **HTF structure awareness while trading lower timeframes**.
- Need **confirmation of breakouts, failed breakouts, or indecision zones**.
- Prefer a **non-repainting tool that only updates after confirmed HTF closes**.
Let me know if you want any adjustments or additional features! 🚀
Candle Range Theory StrategyCandle Range Theory StrategyCandle Range Theory Strategy delves into the intricacies of price action analysis, focusing on the behavior of candlestick patterns within specific ranges. Traders employing this strategy aim to identify key support and resistance levels by analyzing the high and low points of significant candlesticks. The core principle lies in understanding that the range of a candle—defined by its opening, closing, high, and low prices—provides valuable insight into market sentiment and potential future movements.
To implement the Candle Range Theory Strategy effectively, one must first recognize the importance of different candle sizes. A long-bodied candle suggests strong momentum, pointing to a bullish or bearish bias, while a small-bodied candle indicates indecision or consolidation, often signaling potential reversals or breakouts. By plotting these candlesticks over a defined time frame, traders can ascertain whether the market is trending or range-bound.
Additionally, traders should consider the context in which these candles form. Analysis of the preceding price action can reveal whether current ranges are extensions of existing trends or indications of market fatigue. In particular, look for patterns such as engulfing candles, pin bars, or inside bars, as they often foreshadow forthcoming price fluctuations.
Moreover, combining the Candle Range Theory with other technical indicators, like moving averages or Fibonacci retracements, can offer a more comprehensive view of potential entry and exit points. By aligning candle patterns with broader market dynamics, traders can optimize their strategies, enhancing their probability of success while minimizing risk.
Lastly, maintaining a disciplined approach is crucial. Setting precise stop-loss and take-profit levels grounded in candle ranges can safeguard one's capital. Adhering to this framework allows traders to navigate the complexities of the market with greater confidence, ultimately leading to more informed and successful trading decisions. Embracing the nuances of Candle Range Theory not only sharpens analytical skills but also enriches one’s trading repertoire, paving the way for sustained profitability in the dynamic world of forex and equities.
Reversal rehersal v1This indicator was designed to identify potential market reversal zones using a combination of RSI thresholds (shooting range/falling range), candlestick patterns, and Fair Value Gaps (FVGs). By combining all these elements into one indicator, it allow for outputting high probability buy/sell signals for use by scalpers on low timeframes like 1-15 mins, for quick but small profits.
Note: that this has been mainly tested on DE40 index on the 1 min timeframe, and need to be adjusted to whichever timeframe and symbol you intend to use. Refer to the backtester feature for checking if this indicator may work for you.
The indicator use RSI ranges from two timeframes to highlight where momentum is building up. During these areas, it will look for certain candlestick patterns (Sweeps as the primary one) and check for existance of fair value gaps to further enhance the hitrate of the signal.
The logic for FVG detection was based on ©pmk07's work with MTF FVG tiny indicator. Several major changes was implemented though and incorporated into this indicator. Among these are:
Automatically adjustments of FVG boxes when mitigated partially and options to extend/cull boxes for performance and clarity.
Backtesting Table (Experimental):
This indicator also features an optional simplified table to review historical theoretical performance of signals, including win rate, profit/loss, and trade statistics. This does not take commision or slippage into consideration.
Usage Notes:
Setup:
1. Add the indicator to your chart.
2. Decide if you want to use Long or Short (or both).
3. If you're scalping on ie. 1 min time frame, make sure to set FVG's to higher timeframes (ie. 5, 15, 60).
4. Enable the 'Show backtest results' and adjust the 'Signals' og 'Take profit' and 'Stop loss' values until you are satisfied with the results.
Use:
1. Setup an alert based on either of the 'BullishShooting range' or 'BearishFalling range' alerts. This will draw your attention to watch for the possible setups.
2. Verify if there's a significant imbalance prior to the signal before taking the trade. Otherwise this may invalidate the setup.
3. Once a signal is shown on the graph (either Green arrow up for buys/Red arrow down for sells) - you should enter a trade with the given 'Take profit' and 'Stop loss' values.
4. (optional) Setup an alert for either the Strong/Weak signals. Which corresponds to when one of the arrows are printed.
Important: This is the way I use it myself, but use at own risk and remember to combine with other indicators for further confluence. Remember this is no crystal ball and I do not guarantee profitable results. The indicator merely show signals with high probability setups for scalping.
Next level scolilay swing timerThe "Next Level Scolilay Swing Timer" is an advanced TradingView indicator designed to help traders navigate trends, reversals, and swing opportunities with ease. It's built around several key concepts like ATR filtering, ZigZag analysis, and momentum-based trend detection, making it a powerful tool for identifying market direction and key trading opportunities.
One of the standout features is its ability to filter candles using the Average True Range (ATR). This ensures that the indicator focuses on meaningful price movements rather than noise. You can tweak the ATR settings to suit your trading style, deciding how much historical data to consider or even turning the filter off completely if you prefer.
The script also integrates a ZigZag algorithm to detect pivot points, which it uses to evaluate swings in price action. This feature comes with customizable settings for depth and sensitivity, allowing you to adjust how the script reacts to price fluctuations. By analyzing these swings, the indicator identifies key highs and lows, which play a big role in determining whether the market is trending up or down.
When it comes to trends, the script is smart and flexible. It doesn't just look for higher highs or lower lows; it also considers momentum and retracement levels to decide if a trend is gaining strength or reversing. For example, it uses one-third retracement logic to spot sudden shifts in market direction, which can be critical for catching reversals early. You can also enable features like fast trend switching, which reacts to single-candle events that might signal a trend break.
Visualization is another area where this script shines. It marks uptrends and downtrends directly on the chart with clear labels, so you can instantly see when a new trend starts. Pink arrows appear above candles to signal potential downtrends, while yellow arrows below candles indicate possible uptrends. These signals combine multiple layers of analysis, like swing validation, ATR filtering, and trend confirmation, to give you reliable insights.
What makes the Swing Timer especially useful is its flexibility. Whether you’re a trend trader looking to ride major market moves, a swing trader focused on pivot points, or someone hunting for reversals, you can customize the settings to fit your needs. You can adjust everything from ZigZag and ATR parameters to how trends are labeled and filtered. The result is a tool that adapts to your trading style while still providing clear and actionable signals.
In short, this script brings together a range of advanced trading concepts into one user-friendly package. It’s perfect for traders who want to see market trends clearly, identify opportunities with confidence, and stay ahead of sudden reversals—all without getting bogged down in unnecessary complexity.
Uptrick Signal Density Cloud🟪 Introduction
The Uptrick Signal Density Cloud is designed to track market direction and highlight potential reversals or shifts in momentum. It plots two smoothed lines on the chart and fills the space between them (often called a “cloud”). The bars on the chart change color depending on bullish or bearish conditions, and small triangles appear when certain reversal criteria are met. A metrics table displays real-time values for easy reference.
🟩 Why These Features Have Been Linked Together
1) Dual-Line Structure
Two separate lines represent shorter- and longer-term market tendencies. Linking them in one tool allows traders to view both near-term changes and the broader directional bias in a single glance.
2) Smoothed Averages
The script offers multiple smoothing methods—exponential, simple, hull, and an optimized approach—to reduce noise. Using more than one type of moving average can help balance responsiveness with stability.
3) Density Cloud Concept
Shading the region between the two lines highlights the gap or “thickness.” A wider gap typically signals stronger momentum, while a narrower gap could indicate a weakening trend or potential market indecision. When the cloud is too wide and crosses a certain threshold defined by the user, it indicates a possible reversal. When the cloud is too narrow it may indicate a potential breakout.
🟪 Why Use This Indicator
• Trend Visibility: The color-coded lines and bars make it easier to distinguish bullish from bearish conditions.
• Momentum Tracking: Thicker cloud regions suggest stronger separation between the faster and slower lines, potentially indicating robust momentum.
• Possible Reversal Alerts: Small triangles appear within thick zones when the indicator detects a crossover, drawing attention to key moments of potential trend change.
• Quick Reference Table: A metrics table shows line values, bullish or bearish status, and cloud thickness without needing to hover over chart elements.
🟩 Inputs
1) First Smoothing Length (length1)
Default: 14
Defines the lookback period for the faster line. Lower values make the line respond more quickly to price changes.
2) Second Smoothing Length (length2)
Default: 28
Defines the lookback period for the slower line or one of the moving averages in optimized mode. It generally responds more slowly than the faster line.
3) Extra Smoothing Length (extraLength)
Default: 50
A medium-term period commonly seen in technical analysis. In optimized mode, it helps add broader perspective to the combined lines.
4) Source (source)
Default: close
Specifies the price data (for example, open, high, low, or a custom source) used in the calculations.
5) Cloud Type (cloudType)
Options: Optimized, EMA, SMA, HMA
Determines the smoothing method used for the lines. “Optimized” blends multiple exponential averages at different lengths.
6) Cloud Thickness Threshold (thicknessThreshold)
Default: 0.5
Sets the minimum separation between the two lines to qualify as a “thick” zone, indicating potentially stronger momentum.
🟪 Core Components
1) Faster and Slower Lines
Each line is smoothed according to user preferences or the optimized technique. The faster line typically reacts more quickly, while the slower line provides a broader overview.
2) Filled Density Cloud
The space between the two lines is filled to visualize in which direction the market is trending.
3) Color-Coded Bars
Price bars adopt bullish or bearish colors based on which line is on top, providing an immediate sense of trend direction.
4) Reversal Triangles
When the cloud is thick (exceeding the threshold) and the lines cross in the opposite direction, small triangles appear, signaling a possible market shift.
5) Metrics Table
A compact table shows the current values of both lines, their bullish/bearish statuses, the cloud thickness, and whether the cloud is in a “reversal zone.”
🟩 Calculation Process
1) Raw Averages
Depending on the mode, standard exponential, simple, hull, or “optimized” exponential blends are calculated.
2) Optimized Averages (if selected)
The faster line is the average of three exponential moving averages using length1, length2, and extraLength.
The slower line similarly uses those same lengths multiplied by 1.5, then averages them together for broader smoothing.
3) Difference and Threshold
The absolute gap between the two lines is measured. When it exceeds thicknessThreshold, the cloud is considered thick.
4) Bullish or Bearish Determination
If sma1 (the faster line) is above sma2 (the slower line), conditions are deemed bullish; otherwise, they are bearish. This distinction is reflected in both bar colors and cloud shading.
5) Reversal Markers
In thick zones, a crossover triggers a triangle at the point of potential reversal, alerting traders to a possible trend change.
🟪 Smoothing Methods
1) Exponential (EMA)
Prioritizes recent data for quicker responsiveness.
2) Simple (SMA)
Takes a straightforward average of the chosen period, smoothing price action but often lagging more in volatile markets.
3) Hull (HMA)
Employs a specialized formula to reduce lag while maintaining smoothness.
4) Optimized (Blended Exponential)
Combines multiple EMA calculations to strike a balance between responsiveness and noise reduction.
🟩 Cloud Logic and Reversal Zones
Cloud thickness above the defined threshold typically signals exceeding momentum and can lead to a quick reversal. During these thick periods, if the width exceeds the defined threshold, small triangles mark potential reversal points. In order for the reversal shape to show, the color of the cloud has to be the opposite. So, for example, if the cloud is bearish, and exceeds momentum, defined by the user, a bullish signal appears. The opposite conditions for a bullish signal. This approach can help traders focus on notable changes rather than minor oscillations.
🟪 Bar Coloring and Layered Lines
Bars take on bullish or bearish tints, matching the faster line’s position relative to the slower line. The lines themselves are plotted multiple times with varying opacities, creating a layered, glowing look that enhances visibility without affecting calculations.
🟩 The Metrics Table
Located in the top-right corner of the chart, this table displays:
• SMA1 and SMA2 current values.
• Bullish or bearish alignment for each line.
• Cloud thickness.
• Reversal zone status (in or out of zone).
This numeric readout allows for a quick data check without hovering over the chart.
🟪 Why These Specific Moving Average Lengths Are Used
Default lengths of 14, 28, and 50 are common in technical analysis. Fourteen captures near-term price movement without overreacting. Twenty-eight, roughly double 14, provides a moderate smoothing level. Fifty is widely regarded as a medium-term benchmark. Multiplying each length by 1.5 for the slower line enhances separation when combined with the faster line.
🟩 Originality and Usefulness
• Multi-Layered Smoothing. The user can select from several moving average modes, including a unique “optimized” blend, possibly reducing random fluctuations in the market data.
• Combined Visual and Numeric Clarity. Bars, clouds, and a real-time table merge into a single interface, enabling efficient trend analysis.
• Focus on Significant Shifts. Thick cloud zones and triangles draw attention to potentially stronger momentum changes and plausible reversals.
• Flexible Across Markets. The adjustable lengths and threshold can be tuned to different asset classes (stocks, forex, commodities, crypto) and timeframes.
By integrating multiple technical concepts—cloud-based trend detection, color coding, reversal markers, and an immediate reference table—the Uptrick Signal Density Cloud aims to streamline chart reading and decision-making.
🟪 Additional Considerations
• Timeframes. Intraday, daily, and weekly charts each yield different signals. Adjust the smoothing lengths and threshold to suit specific trading horizons.
• Market Types. Though applicable across asset classes, parameters might need tweaking to address the volatility of commodities, forex pairs, or cryptocurrencies.
• Confirmation Tools. Pairing this indicator with volume studies or support/resistance analysis can improve the reliability of signals.
• Potential Limitations. No indicator is foolproof; sudden market shifts or choppy conditions may reduce accuracy. Cautious position sizing and risk management remain essential.
🟩 Disclaimers
The Uptrick Signal Density Cloud relies on historical price data and may lag sudden moves or provide false positives in ranging conditions. Always combine it with other analytical techniques and sound risk management. This script is offered for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
🟪 Conclusion
The Uptrick Signal Density Cloud blends trend identification, momentum assessment, and potential reversal alerts in a single, user-friendly tool. With customizable smoothing methods and a focus on cloud thickness, it visually highlights important market conditions. While it cannot guarantee predictive accuracy, it can serve as a comprehensive reference for traders seeking both a quick snapshot of the current trend and deeper insights into market dynamics.
Dynamic Customizable 50% Line & Daily High/Low + True Day OpenA Unique Indicator for Precise Market-Level Analysis
This indicator is a fully integrated solution that automates complex market-level calculations and visualizations, offering traders a tool that goes beyond the functionality of existing open-source alternatives. By seamlessly combining several trading concepts into a single script, it delivers efficiency, accuracy, and customization that cater to both novice and professional traders.
Key Features: A Breakdown of What Makes It Unique
1. Adaptive Daily Highs and Lows
Automatically detects and plots daily high and low levels based on the selected time frame, dynamically updating in real time.
Features session-based adjustments, allowing traders to focus on levels that matter for specific trading sessions (e.g., London, New York).
Fully customizable styling, visibility, and alerts tailored to each trader’s preferences.
How It Works:
The indicator calculates daily high and low levels directly from price data, integrating session-specific time offsets to account for global trading hours. These levels provide traders with clear visual markers for key liquidity zones.
2. Automated ICT 50% Range Line
A pioneering implementation of ICT’s mid-range concept, this feature dynamically calculates and displays the midpoint of the daily range.
Offers traders a visual guide to identify premium and discount zones, aiding in determining market bias and potential trade setups.
How It Works:
The script calculates the range between the day’s high and low, dividing it by two to generate the midline. This line updates in real-time, ensuring that traders always see the most current premium and discount levels as price action evolves.
3. Dynamic Market Open Levels
Plots session opens (e.g., Asia, London, New York) and the True Day Open to provide actionable reference points for intra-day trading strategies.
Enhances precision in identifying liquidity shifts and aligning trades with institutional price movements.
How It Works:
The indicator uses predefined session times to calculate and display the opening levels for key trading sessions. It dynamically adjusts for time zones, ensuring accuracy regardless of the trader’s location.
4. Custom Watermark for Enhanced Visualization
Includes an optional watermark feature that allows users to display custom text on their charts.
Ideal for personalization, branding, or highlighting session notes without disrupting the clarity of the chart.
Why This Indicator Stands Out
First-to-Market Automation:
While the ICT 50% range line is a widely recognized concept, this is the first script to automate its calculation, combining it with other pivotal trading levels in a single tool.
All-in-One Functionality:
Unlike open-source alternatives that focus on individual features, this script integrates daily highs/lows, mid-range levels, session opens, and customizable watermarks into one cohesive system. The consolidation reduces the need for multiple indicators and ensures a clean, efficient chart setup.
Dynamic Customization:
Every feature can be adjusted to align with a trader’s strategy, time zone, or aesthetic preferences. This level of adaptability is unmatched in existing tools.
Proprietary Logic:
The indicator’s underlying calculations are built from scratch, leveraging advanced programming techniques to ensure accuracy and reliability. These proprietary methods differentiate it from similar open-source scripts.
How to Use This Indicator
Apply the Indicator:
Add it to your TradingView chart from the library.
Configure Settings:
Use the intuitive settings panel to adjust plotted levels, colors, styles, and visibility. Tailor the indicator to your trading strategy.
Incorporate into Analysis:
Combine the plotted levels with your preferred trading approach to identify liquidity zones, establish market bias, and pinpoint potential reversals or entries.
Stay Focused:
With all key levels automated and updated in real time, traders can focus on execution rather than manual plotting.
Originality and Justification for Closed Source
This script is closed-source due to its unique combination of features and proprietary logic that automates complex trading concepts like the ICT 50% range line and session-specific levels. Open-source alternatives lack this level of integration and customization, making this indicator a valuable and original contribution to the TradingView ecosystem.
What Sets It Apart from Open-Source Scripts?
Unlike open-source tools, this indicator doesn’t just replicate individual features—it enhances and integrates them into a seamless, all-in-one solution that offers traders a more efficient and effective way to analyze the market.
Adaptive Momentum Reversion StrategyThe Adaptive Momentum Reversion Strategy: An Empirical Approach to Market Behavior
The Adaptive Momentum Reversion Strategy seeks to capitalize on market price dynamics by combining concepts from momentum and mean reversion theories. This hybrid approach leverages a Rate of Change (ROC) indicator along with Bollinger Bands to identify overbought and oversold conditions, triggering trades based on the crossing of specific thresholds. The strategy aims to detect momentum shifts and exploit price reversions to their mean.
Theoretical Framework
Momentum and Mean Reversion: Momentum trading assumes that assets with a recent history of strong performance will continue in that direction, while mean reversion suggests that assets tend to return to their historical average over time (Fama & French, 1988; Poterba & Summers, 1988). This strategy incorporates elements of both, looking for periods when momentum is either overextended (and likely to revert) or when the asset’s price is temporarily underpriced relative to its historical trend.
Rate of Change (ROC): The ROC is a straightforward momentum indicator that measures the percentage change in price over a specified period (Wilder, 1978). The strategy calculates the ROC over a 2-period window, making it responsive to short-term price changes. By using ROC, the strategy aims to detect price acceleration and deceleration.
Bollinger Bands: Bollinger Bands are used to identify volatility and potential price extremes, often signaling overbought or oversold conditions. The bands consist of a moving average and two standard deviation bounds that adjust dynamically with price volatility (Bollinger, 2002).
The strategy employs two sets of Bollinger Bands: one for short-term volatility (lower band) and another for longer-term trends (upper band), with different lengths and standard deviation multipliers.
Strategy Construction
Indicator Inputs:
ROC Period: The rate of change is computed over a 2-period window, which provides sensitivity to short-term price fluctuations.
Bollinger Bands:
Lower Band: Calculated with a 18-period length and a standard deviation of 1.7.
Upper Band: Calculated with a 21-period length and a standard deviation of 2.1.
Calculations:
ROC Calculation: The ROC is computed by comparing the current close price to the close price from rocPeriod days ago, expressing it as a percentage.
Bollinger Bands: The strategy calculates both upper and lower Bollinger Bands around the ROC, using a simple moving average as the central basis. The lower Bollinger Band is used as a reference for identifying potential long entry points when the ROC crosses above it, while the upper Bollinger Band serves as a reference for exits, when the ROC crosses below it.
Trading Conditions:
Long Entry: A long position is initiated when the ROC crosses above the lower Bollinger Band, signaling a potential shift from a period of low momentum to an increase in price movement.
Exit Condition: A position is closed when the ROC crosses under the upper Bollinger Band, or when the ROC drops below the lower band again, indicating a reversal or weakening of momentum.
Visual Indicators:
ROC Plot: The ROC is plotted as a line to visualize the momentum direction.
Bollinger Bands: The upper and lower bands, along with their basis (simple moving averages), are plotted to delineate the expected range for the ROC.
Background Color: To enhance decision-making, the strategy colors the background when extreme conditions are detected—green for oversold (ROC below the lower band) and red for overbought (ROC above the upper band), indicating potential reversal zones.
Strategy Performance Considerations
The use of Bollinger Bands in this strategy provides an adaptive framework that adjusts to changing market volatility. When volatility increases, the bands widen, allowing for larger price movements, while during quieter periods, the bands contract, reducing trade signals. This adaptiveness is critical in maintaining strategy effectiveness across different market conditions.
The strategy’s pyramiding setting is disabled (pyramiding=0), ensuring that only one position is taken at a time, which is a conservative risk management approach. Additionally, the strategy includes transaction costs and slippage parameters to account for real-world trading conditions.
Empirical Evidence and Relevance
The combination of momentum and mean reversion has been widely studied and shown to provide profitable opportunities under certain market conditions. Studies such as Jegadeesh and Titman (1993) confirm that momentum strategies tend to work well in trending markets, while mean reversion strategies have been effective during periods of high volatility or after sharp price movements (De Bondt & Thaler, 1985). By integrating both strategies into one system, the Adaptive Momentum Reversion Strategy may be able to capitalize on both trending and reverting market behavior.
Furthermore, research by Chan (1996) on momentum-based trading systems demonstrates that adaptive strategies, which adjust to changes in market volatility, often outperform static strategies, providing a compelling rationale for the use of Bollinger Bands in this context.
Conclusion
The Adaptive Momentum Reversion Strategy provides a robust framework for trading based on the dual concepts of momentum and mean reversion. By using ROC in combination with Bollinger Bands, the strategy is capable of identifying overbought and oversold conditions while adapting to changing market conditions. The use of adaptive indicators ensures that the strategy remains flexible and can perform across different market environments, potentially offering a competitive edge for traders who seek to balance risk and reward in their trading approaches.
References
Bollinger, J. (2002). Bollinger on Bollinger Bands. McGraw-Hill Professional.
Chan, L. K. C. (1996). Momentum, Mean Reversion, and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns. Journal of Finance, 51(5), 1681-1713.
De Bondt, W. F., & Thaler, R. H. (1985). Does the Stock Market Overreact? Journal of Finance, 40(3), 793-805.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1988). Permanent and Temporary Components of Stock Prices. Journal of Political Economy, 96(2), 246-273.
Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65-91.
Poterba, J. M., & Summers, L. H. (1988). Mean Reversion in Stock Prices: Evidence and Implications. Journal of Financial Economics, 22(1), 27-59.
Wilder, J. W. (1978). New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems. Trend Research.
VPSA-VTDDear Sir/Madam,
I am pleased to present the next iteration of my indicator concept, which, in my opinion, serves as a highly useful tool for analyzing markets using the Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) method or the Wyckoff methodology.
The VPSA (Volume-Price Spread Analysis), the latest version in the family of scripts I’ve developed, appears to perform its task effectively. The combination of visualizing normalized data alongside their significance, achieved through the application of Z-Score standardization, proved to be a sound solution. Therefore, I decided to take it a step further and expand my project with a complementary approach to the existing one.
Theory
At the outset, I want to acknowledge that I’m aware of the existence of other probabilistic models used in financial markets, which may describe these phenomena more accurately. However, in line with Occam's Razor, I aimed to maintain simplicity in the analysis and interpretation of the concepts below. For this reason, I focused on describing the data using the Gaussian distribution.
The data I read from the chart — primarily the closing price, the high-low price difference (spread), and volume — exhibit cyclical patterns. These cycles are described by Wyckoff's methodology, while VSA complements and presents them from a different perspective. I will refrain from explaining these methods in depth due to their complexity and broad scope. What matters is that within these cycles, various events occur, described by candles or bars in distinct ways, characterized by different spreads and volumes. When observing the chart, I notice periods of lower volatility, often accompanied by lower volumes, as well as periods of high volatility and significant volumes. It’s important to find harmony within this apparent chaos. I think that chart interpretation cannot happen without considering the broader context, but the more variables I include in the analytical process, the more challenges arise. For instance, how can I determine if something is large (wide) or small (narrow)? For elements like volume or spread, my script provides a partial answer to this question. Now, let’s get to the point.
Technical Overview
The first technique I applied is Min-Max Normalization. With its help, the script adjusts volume and spread values to a range between 0 and 1. This allows for a comparable bar chart, where a wide bar represents volume, and a narrow one represents spread. Without normalization, visually comparing values that differ by several orders of magnitude would be inconvenient. If the indicator shows that one bar has a unit spread value while another has half that value, it means the first bar is twice as large. The ratio is preserved.
The second technique I used is Z-Score Standardization. This concept is based on the normal distribution, characterized by variables such as the mean and standard deviation, which measures data dispersion around the mean. The Z-Score indicates how many standard deviations a given value deviates from the population mean. The higher the Z-Score, the more the examined object deviates from the mean. If an object has a Z-Score of 3, it falls within 0.1% of the population, making it a rare occurrence or even an anomaly. In the context of chart analysis, such strong deviations are events like climaxes, which often signal the end of a trend, though not always. In my script, I assigned specific colors to frequently occurring Z-Score values:
Below 1 – Blue
Above 1 – Green
Above 2 – Red
Above 3 – Fuchsia
These colors are applied to both spread and volume, allowing for quick visual interpretation of data.
Volume Trend Detector (VTD)
The above forms the foundation of VPSA. However, I have extended the script with a Volume Trend Detector (VTD). The idea is that when I consider market structure - by market structure, I mean the overall chart, support and resistance levels, candles, and patterns typical of spread and volume analysis as well as Wyckoff patterns - I look for price ranges where there is a lack of supply, demand, or clues left behind by Smart Money or the market's enigmatic identity known as the Composite Man. This is essential because, as these clues and behaviors of market participants — expressed through the chart’s dynamics - reflect the actions, decisions, and emotions of all players. These behaviors can help interpret the bull-bear battle and estimate the probability of their next moves, which is one of the key factors for a trader relying on technical analysis to make a trade decision.
I enhanced the script with a Volume Trend Detector, which operates in two modes:
Step-by-Step Logic
The detector identifies expected volume dynamics. For instance, when looking for signs of a lack of bullish interest, I focus on setups with decreasing volatility and volume, particularly for bullish candles. These setups are referred to as No Demand patterns, according to Tom Williams' methodology.
Simple Moving Average (SMA)
The detector can also operate based on a simple moving average, helping to identify systematic trends in declining volume, indicating potential imbalances in market forces.
I’ve designed the program to allow the selection of candle types and volume characteristics to which the script will pay particular attention and notify me of specific market conditions.
Advantages and Disadvantages
Advantages:
Unified visualization of normalized spread and volume, saving time and improving efficiency.
The use of Z-Score as a consistent and repeatable relative mechanism for marking examined values.
The use of colors in visualization as a reference to Z-Score values.
The possibility to set up a continuous alert system that monitors the market in real time.
The use of EMA (Exponential Moving Average) as a moving average for Z-Score.
The goal of these features is to save my time, which is the only truly invaluable resource.
Disadvantages:
The assumption that the data follows a normal distribution, which may lead to inaccurate interpretations.
A fixed analysis period, which may not be perfectly suited to changing market conditions.
The use of EMA as a moving average for Z-Score, listed both as an advantage and a disadvantage depending on market context.
I have included comments within the code to explain the logic behind each part. For those who seek detailed mathematical formulas, I invite you to explore the code itself.
Defining Program Parameters:
Numerical Conditions:
VPSA Period for Analysis – The number of candles analyzed.
Normalized Spread Alert Threshold – The expected normalized spread value; defines how large or small the spread should be, with a range of 0-1.00.
Normalized Volume Alert Threshold – The expected normalized volume value; defines how large or small the volume should be, with a range of 0-1.00.
Spread Z-SCORE Alert Threshold – The Z-SCORE value for the spread; determines how much the spread deviates from the average, with a range of 0-4 (a higher value can be entered, but from a logical standpoint, exceeding 4 is unnecessary).
Volume Z-SCORE Alert Threshold – The Z-SCORE value for volume; determines how much the volume deviates from the average, with a range of 0-4 (the same logical note as above applies).
Logical Conditions:
Logical conditions describe whether the expected value should be less than or equal to or greater than or equal to the numerical condition.
All four parameters accept two possibilities and are analogous to the numerical conditions.
Volume Trend Detector:
Volume Trend Detector Period for Analysis – The analysis period, indicating the number of candles examined.
Method of Trend Determination – The method used to determine the trend. Possible values: Step by Step or SMA.
Trend Direction – The expected trend direction. Possible values: Upward or Downward.
Candle Type – The type of candle taken into account. Possible values: Bullish, Bearish, or Any.
The last available setting is the option to enable a joint alert for VPSA and VTD.
When enabled, VPSA will trigger on the last closed candle, regardless of the VTD analysis period.
Example Use Cases (Labels Visible in the Script Window Indicate Triggered Alerts):
The provided labels in the chart window mark where specific conditions were met and alerts were triggered.
Summary and Reflections
The program I present is a strong tool in the ongoing "game" with the Composite Man.
However, it requires familiarity and understanding of the underlying methodologies to fully utilize its potential.
Of course, like any technical analysis tool, it is not without flaws. There is no indicator that serves as a perfect Grail, accurately signaling Buy or Sell in every case.
I would like to thank those who have read through my thoughts to the end and are willing to take a closer look at my work by using this script.
If you encounter any errors or have suggestions for improvement, please feel free to contact me.
I wish you good health and accurately interpreted market structures, leading to successful trades!
CatTheTrader
