Smart Money Accumulating BDL — Are You Watching This Setup?Hello Traders!
Today’s analysis is on Bharat Dynamics Ltd. (BDL) where a clear Reversal from Bottom Setup is developing. After weeks of sideways consolidation, the stock has formed a clean Rectangle Accumulation Pattern right above a strong demand zone. The latest Hammer candle appearing inside this zone adds strong confirmation that buyers are stepping in again.
Why this setup is special?
Multiple rejections from supply and repeated buying from demand create a classic accumulation range.
The recent hammer candle shows rejection of lower prices and signals potential reversal strength.
Sideways accumulation after a downtrend often leads to strong breakout rallies when demand overpowers supply.
Levels to Track:
The best entry zone lies between 1425–1410, aligning perfectly with demand. As long as price stays above 1360, the structure remains intact. On the upside, the first target sits near 1492, followed by 1560, and finally a breakout extension target around 1635, where previous supply reacts strongly.
Rahul’s Tip:
Every strong rally begins with silent accumulation. Patterns like this look slow at first, but once the breakout hits, momentum often surprises traders who were waiting too long.
(Analysis By @TraderRahulPal | More analysis & educational content on my profile. If this helped you, don’t forget to like and follow for regular updates.)
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
Community ideas
USD/CHF in Daily time frameBy Wave Analysis, Initial move to little upside for the target1 mentioned in the chart. Once the "E" wave of Triangle pattern completed, then strong impulse of downside to Target 2 is expected.
Technically the pattern is ready for big move, but fundamentally ADP and Federal fund's rate will decide the direction. If both are in alignment then perfect move of downside is expected. Or else change in structure is possible.
IGL – Structure & Pattern Breakdown🔻 1. Long Rising Trendline Breakdown
Price respected a multi-touch rising trendline, but recently:- Trendline support is broken.
Breakdown candle closed below the line Indicates shift from bullish accumulation → bearish pressure
Pattern Name: Rising Trendline Breakdown
Breakdown Level: ₹192.
🔻 2. Multi-Month Symmetrical Triangle Failed Breakout
There was a symmetrical triangle on the upper side:- Lower highs, Higher lows, Squeeze structure.
Price attempted breakout but failed, rejecting near the 200-EMA zone.
This failed breakout usually leads to opposite direction sharp move, which is visible now.
Rejection Zone: ₹205 – ₹210.
🔻 3. Major Resistance Ceiling Still Intact
The long horizontal resistance around:- ₹220
…has rejected price multiple times, forming a strong supply zone. Only a close above 220 can start a major trend reversal. As long as price stays below 220, structure remains bearish-to-sideways.
🔻 4. Current Bias: Bearish Below 192
Breakdown below the rising trendline + EMA rejection = bearish bias.
Immediate Supports:- ₹185, ₹176, ₹168.
If these levels break, move toward ₹150 zone is possible.
NALCO (W) - Strongly Bullish - Fundamentally-Driven BreakoutTimeframe: Weekly | Scale: Linear
The stock has confirmed a major structural breakout, shattering a 2-year consolidation ceiling. This move is supported by a "trifecta" of bullish factors: a technical breakout to new ATHs, rising volume, and stellar quarterly earnings.
🚀 1. The Fundamental Catalyst (The "Why")
The breakout is fueled by strong business performance, which gives the technical move high conviction:
- Stellar Earnings: The company recently reported a ~35% surge in Net Profit (YoY) for Q2 FY26, driven by higher aluminum prices and operational efficiency.
- Dividend Yield: The announcement of a ₹4/share interim dividend has attracted yield-seeking investors.
- Expansion: A massive ₹30,000 Crore investment plan for smelter expansion and lithium acquisition is driving long-term re-rating.
📈 2. The Long-Term Structure
> The "Box" Breakout:
- Range: Between ₹137 (Support) and ₹263 (Resistance) .
- Consolidation: The stock spent 4 weeks coiling just below ₹263. This "buildup" right under resistance is a classic bullish sign—it shows buyers were absorbing all supply before the breakout.
> The Breakout: This week’s 5.07% surge with 54.78 Million volume is the "Ignition." By closing at a new ATH, the stock has entered "price discovery" mode.
⚠️ 3. Technical Correction: The "Double Top" Myth
- Current Status: Since the stock has broken and closed above the previous high (₹263), the Double Top pattern is invalidated (or "busted"). A busted bearish pattern is actually a powerful bullish signal, as it forces short-sellers to cover their positions, adding fuel to the rally.
📊 4. Technical Indicators
- EMAs: The PCO (Positive Crossover) state across Monthly, Weekly, and Daily timeframes confirms the trend is synchronized.
- RSI: Rising across all timeframes. Importantly, in a strong uptrend, an RSI above 60 is a sign of strength, not necessarily "overbought."
🎯 5. Future Scenarios & Key Levels
The stock is now in Blue Sky territory.
> 🐂 Bullish Case (Continuation):
- Trigger: Sustained trading above ₹263 .
- Target: ₹330 . This aligns with the technical extension of the consolidation range height added to the breakout point.
> 🛡️ Support (The Re-test):
- Immediate Support: ₹263. The previous "ceiling" is now the "floor." Any pullback to ₹263-265 is a high-probability buying opportunity.
- Stop Loss: A close below ₹240 would imply the breakout was a "fakeout" (Bull Trap) and invalidate the thesis.
Conclusion
This is a Grade A Setup . The "Double Top" fear is gone; the resistance is broken. Backed by record profits and heavy volume, the path of least resistance is toward ₹330 . Watch for the stock to hold the ₹263 level on any dips.
HINDCOPPER – Support at 38.2% Retracement With Reversal SignalHIHINDCOPPER has respected the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, indicating that buyers are active at this key support zone. The formation of a reversal candle (DOJI) at this level strengthens the probability of a reversal from the recent corrective decline.
Technical Highlights
Price retraced to the 38.2% Fib level, which is a commonly watched support during strong uptrends.
Reversal candle at support suggests selling pressure is getting absorbed.
Indicates renewed buying interest and potential continuation of the primary uptrend.
If momentum sustains, price may attempt to retest:
Immediate resistance: Recent swing high
Next resistance zones: Trendline / supply zones (depending on chart structure)
Technical Signals
✅ 1. Fibonacci Confluence
Price halted exactly at the 38.2% retracement, indicating the pullback is shallow.
Shallow retracements often occur in strong bullish phases.
✅ 2. Reversal Candle at Support
The reversal candle (hammer / bullish engulfing / pin bar depending on chart) shows:
Strong buying interest
Absorption of selling pressure
Start of upward momentum shift
✅ 3. Trend Structure
Higher-highs and higher-lows still intact.
Price holding above short-term moving averages
Trading Plan
📌 Entry
Two entry methods depending on your trading style:
Aggressive Entry:
Enter near the current market price after the reversal candle confirmation.
Conservative Entry:
Enter above the high of the reversal candle to avoid false signals.
📌 Targets
Target 1:
Retest of recent swing high
➡ Short-term target
ASTER - what going to happen?📊 ASTER/USDT Update
🔎 Technical Observation:
- The pair is trading within a descending channel/falling wedge pattern, indicating a period of consolidation after a sharp decline.
- Price action shows compression near the apex of this wedge, suggesting imminent volatility.
- The chart explicitly notes that the "Higher timeframe is still bearish," implying the current structure is a pause within a larger downtrend.
⚠️ Key Levels:
- Support: 0.8891, 0.8540
- Resistance: 1.2842, 1.3872
📉 Market Outlook:
- Neutral to Bearish bias technically, but the falling wedge is often a bullish reversal pattern if validated.
- Scenarios: A breakout above the red wedge resistance could trigger a relief rally toward 1.2842. Conversely, rejection here keeps the bearish trend intact, likely testing 0.8891.
💡 Trade Idea:
- The market is at a decisive bifurcation point. The high-probability setup awaits a confirmed candle close outside the wedge. A clean break above the wedge upper trendline validates a long position targeting the imbalance at 1.2842. However, if price fails to break out and loses the wedge bottom, the bearish continuation will swiftly target 0.6000 levels as indicated by the lower projection arrow.
✅ Closing Note:
Wait for the breakout confirmation to avoid chop; manage risk tightly as volatility expands.
Hikal: Trend Shift and Key LevelsThe stock of Hikal Ltd . experienced a significant breakdown below its major support level of ₹331 in July, marking a continuation of its bearish phase. After testing the discount zone which is now major support zone, the stock rebounded sharply with high trading volume, signaling renewed buying interest and possible accumulation.
A CHOCH pattern has been observed, which often suggests a shift from bearish to bullish structure when confirmed by price and volume behaviour. The stock has managed to close and sustain above the 50-day EMA, a key indicator of short-term trend strength and potential continuation of the uptrend.
The RSI is currently above 65, indicating strong bullish momentum and approaching overbought territory. A MACD bullish crossover along with a positive histogram further reinforces the upward bias.
Nearest Resistance: Around ₹280 (marked supply zone where selling pressure may emerge)
Support Zone: Below ₹217 (critical level for trend validation)
Intermediate Demand Zone: Recent breakout area near the 50-DEMA
Disclaimer: This analysis is intended for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instrument. Traders and investors should conduct independent research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any decisions.
Jubilant Foodworks Near Long Term SupportJubilant Foodworks swiftly moving in a Parallel Channel since it got listed in the secondary market. Stock respected the channel's boundaries on several occasions. Now it is very near to its support on both log & linear (caption image) charts. Support zone range from 570 to 525 for double to four times returns probably in 1 to 1.5 years’ time duration.
Trade wisely, slow market movement can test trader/investor's patience and can lead to wrong decision. Always apply logical stop-loss for capital protection.
Disclaimer: I was allotted shares in the Jubilant Foodworks IPO (~2010) and sold them prematurely at nearly 2x, lacking wisdom back then. Holding till today would have delivered ~35x returns
Maruti: Rising Flag, Dropping ProbabilityStructure
The decline into Wave W is complete as a Regular Flat.
The rebound is a corrective Wave X, fully overlapping and contained within a rising channel.
Bias remains bearish as long as price trades inside this channel.
Wave Y Setup
Trigger: Breakdown below the channel near 16000.
Entry: Preferable after a break and retest of the lower channel line.
Target: Toward 15,260 to complete Wave Y.
Invalidation: A decisive close above 16,549 invalidates the bearish view.
Summary
The current rise is a corrective phase, not a trend reversal. The higher-probability outcome is a continuation lower into Wave Y unless the channel breaks to the upside.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Longs be cautious in M&MTF: Daily
CMP: 3645
The upmove from 2020 lows is at the maturing zone (as we are now trading in the 5th wave)
The upmove from April 2025 lows is also at the final leg and this impulse could end soon.
In simple price action terms, price has broken down from the sideways range (3660-3780) and the breakdown target for this range is 3540
Price is also trading inside the wedge/leading diagonal, a signature mark of the trend completion. Yet to breakdown from the wedge though.
Cloud Set up:
Price is above the cloud - Bullish
price is at the Base line Support
EMA:
Price has been constantly bouncing off from 50 DEMA. For now, it is placed at 3600 levels
Counts on Weekly TF
My Take:
Definitely not a place to go long.. but we should wait for a week or two for confirmation of the trend termination and good RR set up for short entry.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered Analyst and this is not a trading advise. Views are personal and for educational purpose only. Please consult your Financial Advisor for any investment decisions. Please consider my views only to get a different perspective (FOR or AGAINST your views). Please don't trade FNO based on my views. If you like my analysis and learnt something from it, please give a BOOST. Feel free to express your thoughts and questions in the comments section.
Breakout Setup Emerging in Strides Pharma Science Ltd#STRIDES
📈Pattern & Setup:
Strides Pharma is exhibiting a structural shakeout followed by a dry-volume pullback — a powerful combination often seen before a fresh breakout.
The stock recently shook out weak hands near 830–850, reclaimed the trendline, and is now trading above it with a strong bullish candle. Volume on the pullback was notably low, implying a lack of supply — a bullish sign of re-accumulation.
A decisive move above 940 could trigger a momentum breakout targeting the 1075–1080 zone.
📝 Trade Plan:
Entry: Fresh entry above 940–945 on volume confirmation.
🚩Stop-Loss: 880 (below recent structural low).
🎯Targets:
Target 1 → 1000 (minor resistance).
Target 2 → 1079 (pattern projection, ~18–19% upside).
💡Pyramiding Strategy:
Enter first lot above 940–945.
Add above 975 continuation breakout, trail SL to 905.
Add final lot above 1020, trail SL to 950.
🧠Logic Behind Selecting this Trade:
This setup captures a reaccumulation phase after a shakeout — where smart money reenters post a temporary liquidity flush. The dry-volume pullback and structural recovery hint at a bullish continuation pattern building up, with strong reward-to-risk potential.
Keep Learning. Keep Earning.
Let’s grow together 📚🎯
🔴Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own due diligence before making any investment or trading decisions.
#BreakoutStock #Stocks #Nifty #StridesPharma
Reliance Industries Ltd. - Stock AnalysisDate : 30-Nov-2025
LTP : Rs. 1,567.50
Technical View:
• NSE:RELIANCE is in primary uptrend since Apr 2025 and currently trading through it's secondary uptrend since 16-Oct-2025.
• After touching the high of 1,551 on 9-Jul-2025, it has retraced 14% to 1,340.60 level.
• NSE:RELIANCE has formed a Rounding Bottom Pattern and has breakout from it's neckline with higher than average volume on 26-Nov-2025. The Rounding Bottom Neckline is marked as 1st Resistance (R1) in chart and is placed at 1,551.
• NSE:RELIANCE is trading above 20 DEMA and 50 DEMA since last few weeks.
• MACD is trading at 30.91 and RSI is trading at 72.71.
• NSE:RELIANCE is looking bullish from here onwards.
• Resistance Levels: (R2) Rs. 1,608 --> (R3) Rs. 1,680 --> (R4) Rs. 1760
• Support Level: Rs. 1,461
If you have liked this analysis, please Like/Boost this idea and follow me for more ideas.
Disclaimer : I am not a SEBI registered analyst/consultant and not recommending anyone to take any BUY or SELL position in stock market. Investing in stock market is risky and one should do a self analysis and validation before investing in stock market. My ideas are published for learning purpose only and are available to everyone at no cost/charge.
Deepak Nitrite: Support Breakdown Signals Caution🔍 Technical Analysis
Deepak Nitrite Limited has experienced a super bullish rally over the past decade, transforming from below ₹100 to reaching ₹3,000 by October 2021 - representing an impressive 30x growth in just 10 years. However, the stock has since entered a prolonged consolidation and correction phase.
The ₹3,000-₹3,200 zone acted as formidable resistance twice, while the ₹1,700-₹1,800 zone provided strong support multiple times over the past few years. This created a well-defined trading range that held for an extended period.
Critical Development: The stock has now broken below the crucial ₹1,700-₹1,800 support zone and is currently trading at ₹1,625. This breakdown is technically significant and suggests the market has entered bearish sentiment.
Analyzing the Profit & Loss statements over the past 4 years reveals a concerning trend - while sales show positive year-on-year growth, EPS has been declining consistently (from ₹62.47 in FY23 to ₹51.12 in FY25), indicating margin compression and profitability challenges.
Current Recommendation: No buying opportunities at current levels. Wait for the stock to reclaim and sustain above ₹2,000 before considering long positions.
💰 FY25 Financial Highlights (vs FY24 & FY23)
Total Income: ₹8,282 Cr (↑ +8% YoY from ₹7,682 Cr; ↑ +4% from FY23 ₹7,972 Cr)
Total Expenses: ₹7,187 Cr (↑ +10% YoY from ₹6,555 Cr; ↑ +8% from FY23 ₹6,680 Cr)
Financial Profit: ₹1,095 Cr (↓ -3% YoY from ₹1,127 Cr; ↓ -15% from FY23 ₹1,292 Cr)
Profit Before Tax: ₹953 Cr (↓ -14% YoY from ₹1,102 Cr; ↓ -17% from FY23 ₹1,146 Cr)
Profit After Tax: ₹697 Cr (↓ -14% YoY from ₹811 Cr; ↓ -18% from FY23 ₹852 Cr)
Diluted EPS: ₹51.12 (↓ -14% YoY from ₹59.45; ↓ -18% from FY23 ₹62.47)
🧠 Fundamental Highlights
Deepak Nitrite faces significant headwinds despite strategic capacity expansion initiatives. The company reported Q4 FY25 PAT of ₹202 crore (down 20% YoY) with full-year FY25 PAT at ₹697 crore, reflecting a 14% decline from FY24's ₹811 crore. Revenue grew modestly by 8% to ₹8,282 crore, but profitability deteriorated due to persistent margin pressures.
The challenging Q3 FY25 witnessed PAT plummeting 51.5% YoY to ₹98 crore as the company faced a "perfect storm" of idled plants due to deferred demand, elevated raw material costs, and lower realizations. EBITDA margins contracted sharply to 7% in Q3 from 12.8% in Q2 FY25, indicating severe profitability challenges.
Market cap has declined 42.8% in one year to ₹21,258 crore, with the stock falling from 52-week high of ₹3,168.60 (August 2024) to 52-week low of ₹1,962.50 (February 2025). Prabhudas Lilladher downgraded the stock with 'Reduce' rating and ₹2,582 target price, citing commodity-driven business challenges.
Despite headwinds, the company is investing heavily in capacity expansion with ₹2,000 crore capex in FY25 for MIBK, MIBC, nitric acid, and enhanced nitration capabilities. Additionally, ₹8,500 crore investment is planned for polycarbonate resin production, positioning for long-term growth in material sciences.
Management expects profitability rebound from Q4 FY25 onwards with new projects commissioning and backward-forward integration providing operational resilience. The company has entered medium-term supply agreements aligning with expanded capacity and completed cost improvement initiatives for agrochemicals and dye intermediates.
✅ Conclusion
Deepak Nitrite's decade-long bull run from sub-₹100 to ₹3,000 faces significant reversal with support breakdown to ₹1,625. Declining EPS trend (₹62.47 in FY23 to ₹51.12 in FY25) despite revenue growth signals persistent margin compression from elevated input costs and competitive pressures. The 42.8% market cap decline and analyst downgrades reflect bearish sentiment. While ₹2,000 crore FY25 capex and ₹8,500 crore polycarbonate investment provide long-term visibility, near-term challenges persist. Technical breakdown below ₹1,700-₹1,800 support suggests avoiding fresh positions until stock reclaims ₹2,000 level with sustained volume confirmation.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions. Stock markets are subject to risks.
VARROC 1 Day Time Frame 📈 Where VARROC stands now
Recent quotes put VARROC around ₹ 659 – ₹ 692 per share.
On a 1‑day / very short‑term basis, the stock recently showed a jump of ~4‑5%.
The 52‑week range for the stock has been roughly ₹ 374 – ₹ 674–689 — so current levels are near the upper end of that band.
⚠️ What to keep in mind / Risks in 1‑day frame
The stock remains relatively volatile — intraday swings (highs/lows) have been wide in recent sessions.
Short‑term moves may be driven more by news/event‑driven sentiment (like EV contract wins) than by underlying long‑term fundamentals; such moves can reverse quickly if news is not sustained.
✅ My take (for a 1‑day horizon)
If you are looking at a 1‑day trade: VARROC could still have some upside — especially if momentum continues, given recent positive news + technical breakout. But treat it as a high‑risk, high‑reward speculative trade.
SILVER (XAGUSD) – Weekly Elliott Wave Analysis - DEC 2025Wave 3 nearing completion | Wave 4 correction possible | Major Wave 5 rally ahead
Silver is currently trading near $57.50, forming a strong impulsive structure and approaching the final phase of Wave (3).
🎯 Upside Targets (Wave 3 & Wave 5)
Wave (3) Potential Resistance / Target Zone
$59.89
$65.25
$67.77
$72.25 – Major Wave (3) Completion Zone
A final push toward $65–$72 before correction is possible.
🔄 Wave (4) Correction Levels
A healthy pullback expected once Wave 3 completes.
Ideal Wave 4 Retracement Levels:
$54.49
$50.00
$45.55 (major support)
This would set up a strong base before the final Wave (5) rally.
🚀 Long-term Wave (5) Target Zones
Target Zone
Wave 5 First Zone $72 – $83
Extended Wave 5 Zone $86 – $94.55
(Highlighted as long-term future breakout target region)
📍 Momentum Indicator
Weekly RSI = 80.89 (extremely overbought)
Indicates potential cool-off or short-term correction before continuation
📈 Trend Summary
Parameter Status
Long-Term Trend Super Bullish
Structure Impulse progressing to Wave (4) soon
Ideal Strategy Buy on dip / accumulate on corrections
Trend Invalid If breaks below $45.55
🧠 Trading Plan
✔ Long-term investors prepare to accumulate in $54–$50–$45 zone
✔ Traders avoid chasing strength at the top
⚠ RSI signals overextension — caution on fresh longs
💬 Your Opinion?
Do you expect:
A short spike to $65–$72 before correction
OR
Immediate correction from current levels?
Comment your views 👇
Like & Follow for more Elliott Wave updates 🔔
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 01st December 2025NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 26400 – 26450 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 26600 – 26650 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 26000 – 25950 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 25800 – 25750 range.
The uptrend is intact on expectation of rate cup by RBI in the scheduled MPC meet during 03-05 December 2025.
KAZIA THERAPEUTICS LTD SPONSORED ADRKZIA made double bottom with divergence with good volume and breakout at $4.45 with first target of $22.5, if and second target of $41.7 and with can expect strong resistance at $41.7 and reverse might happen. If KZIA did breakout at this level we can expect rally till $79.
Analysis is made on weekly time fame for long term view
It is just my chart analysis upto best of my knowledge. As it is share market anything happen because market effects on many things happen in the world.
Thank you
Crude is ready for CRAZY upsideCurrently Crude is at 58/59
Crude is making Diametric pattern on a weekly timeframe, Where we can see crude has made 2 complex pattern which is (ABCDE-XYZ-ABCDE)
This is the last wave of Diametric pattern, so if Crude gives breakout around 72 which is very liekly
we can see 91/92 levels in coming months to come
Dont miss Crude at current price...
Crude is ready for upside !!
Thank You !!
ICICIBANK - Inverted Head & Shoulder suggests 1450ICICI Bank has completed a clean Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern on the 4H chart, signalling a possible trend reversal after the recent downtrend. The left shoulder formed near 1360 , the head at 1317 , and the right shoulder at 1354 . All three points reflect stronger structure and consistent buying interest on dips. The stock has now crossed the neckline around 1387–1390 , a zone where it faced repeated rejection earlier. This breakout shows that buyers have finally taken control.
If the price continues to hold above the neckline, momentum is likely to push it toward the projected target of 1440–1450 , which matches the “final destination” zone shown on your chart. The breakout would lose strength only if the price falls back below 1387 , but unless that happens, the pattern suggests the move still has room to extend higher.
LUMAXTECH & MUTHOOTMF - Breakout Stocks to Watch This Week!1️⃣ Lumax Auto Technologies NSE:LUMAXTECH — Fresh Breakout Alert
Lumax is riding a strong uptrend and has cleanly broken above the upper boundary of its ascending parallel channel.
If this breakout sustains, the stock could see a sharp upside rally ahead.
Rising volumes are confirming strong buyer interest, giving this move an extra edge.
2️⃣ Muthoot Microfin NSE:MUTHOOTMF — Failed Rising Wedge, Strong Reversal Setup
A failed rising wedge pattern is playing out as the price has broken above the trendline resistance, flipping the structure into a bullish signal.
Even better — heavy volume buildup is reinforcing the strength of this emerging reversal.
⚡Both counters show early signs of momentum — watch for follow-through!






















