JXMJXRS - Volume ShiftJXMJXRS - Volume Shift is a volume-based indicator designed to detect significant volume spikes that occur directly after periods of price compression. These moments often precede breakouts, traps, or liquidity events—especially in crypto markets. The indicator is optimized for use on low to mid-range timeframes such as 15-minute to 4-hour charts.
The logic is simple and effective: if current volume exceeds a dynamically calculated percentile of recent volume history, and recent price candles have shown a period of reduced movement (low body size), a signal is plotted below the candle. This helps filter out random volume surges and highlights moments that may reflect meaningful market participation.
How it works:
Volume Spike Detection
The indicator compares the current candle’s volume to a historical window. A volume spike is confirmed when the current volume exceeds the specified percentile (e.g., 80th percentile) of volume from the previous N candles.
Candle Body Compression
It calculates the average body size of recent candles (short-term) and compares it to a longer-term body average. If the short-term bodies are smaller by a configurable ratio, the price is considered compressed—suggesting low activity before the spike.
Signal Logic
When both conditions are met on the same candle, the indicator displays a “!” label below the bar. This does not indicate a buy or sell signal, but rather marks a moment worth observing for potential expansion in volatility.
Settings:
Volume Lookback:
The number of previous candles used to evaluate the volume percentile. A higher value makes the spike condition stricter.
Volume Percentile (0–100):
Sets the threshold for abnormal volume. For example, 80 means “current volume must be higher than 80% of the past X candles.”
Short-Term Body Avg:
Number of candles used to measure recent candle body size, representing the current price activity range.
Long-Term Body Avg:
Baseline window to calculate typical body size for comparison.
Compression Ratio:
The short-term body average must be less than this ratio times the long-term average to be considered compressed. Lower values increase the compression requirement.
This tool is designed to enhance market awareness by detecting moments of sudden volume expansion following quiet market conditions. It should be used in assist with your broader trading system or strategy.
Volatility
Universal ATR Grid from Entry Price with AlertsUniversal ATR Grid from Entry Price with Alerts
This Pine Script v6 indicator creates a dynamic price grid based on a user-defined entry price and ATR for selected instruments (SOLUSDT, XRPUSDT, DOGEUSDT, PEPEUSDT, WIFUSDT).
Users can customize the entry price, ATR, number of levels (up to 5), and step multiplier per instrument.
The grid shows long (green) and short (red) levels around the entry price (gray), with labels offset right.
Lines extend from labels to the current bar, updating dynamically.
Alerts trigger on breakouts of long, short, and entry levels. Instrument names can be modified in the script.
Trend Strength Oscillator📌 Trend Strength Oscillator
📄 Description
Trend Strength Oscillator measures the directional strength of price relative to an adaptive dynamic trend band. It evaluates how far the current price is from the midpoint of a trend channel and normalizes this value by recent volatility range, allowing traders to detect trend strength, direction, and potential exhaustion in any market condition.
📌 Features
🔹 Adaptive Trend Band Logic: Uses a modified ATR and time-dependent spread formula to dynamically adjust upper and lower trend bands.
🔹 Trendline Midpoint Calculation: The central trendline is defined as the average between upper and lower bands.
🔹 Relative Positioning: Measures how far the close is from the center of the band as a percentage.
🔹 Range Normalization: Uses a normalized range to account for recent volatility, reducing noise in the oscillator reading.
🔹 Oscillator Output (±100 scale):
+100 indicates strong bullish momentum
-100 indicates strong bearish momentum
0 is the neutral centerline
🛠️ How to Use
✅ Trend Strength > +50: Indicates a strong bullish phase.
✅ Trend Strength < -50: Indicates a strong bearish phase.
⚠️ Crossing above 0: Potential bullish trend initiation.
⚠️ Crossing below 0: Potential bearish trend initiation.
📉 Values near 0: Suggest trend weakness or ranging conditions.
Best suited timeframes: 1H, 4H, Daily
Ideal combination with: RSI, MACD, volume-based oscillators, moving average crosses
✅ TradingView House Rules Compliance
This indicator is written in Pine Script v5 and fully open-source.
The script does not repaint, does not generate false alerts, and does not access external or private data.
It is intended strictly as a technical analysis tool, and not a buy/sell signal generator.
Users are encouraged to combine this tool with other confirmations and independent judgment in trading decisions.
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📌 Trend Strength Oscillator
📄 설명 (Description)
Trend Strength Oscillator는 가격이 동적 추세 밴드 내 어디에 위치해 있는지를 정량적으로 분석하여, 추세의 방향성과 강도를 시각적으로 보여주는 오실레이터 지표입니다. 최근 변동성을 반영한 밴드를 기반으로 가격 위치를 정규화하여, 과매수·과매도 상태나 추세의 소멸 가능성까지 탐지할 수 있도록 설계되었습니다.
📌 주요 특징 (Features)
🔹 적응형 추세 밴드 계산: ATR과 시간 경과를 기반으로 상단/하단 밴드를 동적으로 조정
🔹 중심 추세선 산출: 상단과 하단 밴드의 평균값을 중심선으로 활용하여 기준 축 제공
🔹 상대 위치 계산: 현재 종가가 중심선에서 얼마나 떨어져 있는지를 정규화하여 추세 강도 계산
🔹 변동성 기반 정규화: 최근 밴드 범위를 기준으로 상대 거리를 0~100 사이 값으로 변환
🔹 오실레이터 출력 (범위: ±100):
+100에 가까울수록 강한 상승 추세
-100에 가까울수록 강한 하락 추세
0에 가까울수록 횡보 구간 가능성
🛠️ 사용법 (How to Use)
✅ +50 이상: 강한 상승 추세 지속 중
✅ -50 이하: 강한 하락 추세 지속 중
⚠️ 0선 돌파 상향: 상승 추세 시작 가능성
⚠️ 0선 돌파 하향: 하락 추세 시작 가능성
🟡 0 근처 유지: 추세 약화 또는 횡보장 가능성
추천 시간대: 1시간봉, 4시간봉, 일봉
보조 지표로 추천: RSI, MACD, OBV, 이동평균 크로스 등과 함께 활용 시 효과적
✅ 트레이딩뷰 하우스룰 준수사항 (TradingView House Rules Compliance)
본 지표는 Pine Script v5로 작성된 오픈소스 공개용 스크립트입니다.
리페인트(Repaint) 현상이 없으며, **허위 경고(Spam Alerts)**나 성능 저하 요소도 없습니다.
외부 데이터 접근 없이 완전히 자체 계산으로 동작합니다.
이 지표는 투자 판단을 돕기 위한 분석용 도구이며, 직접적인 매수·매도 신호로 사용해서는 안 됩니다.
모든 트레이딩은 사용자의 독립적인 판단과 책임 하에 이루어져야 합니다.
Trend Band Oscillator📌 Trend Band Oscillator
📄 Description
Trend Band Oscillator is a momentum-based trend indicator that calculates the spread between two EMAs and overlays it with a volatility filter using a standard deviation band. It helps traders visualize not only the trend direction but also the strength and stability of the trend.
📌 Features
🔹 EMA Spread Calculation: Measures the difference between a fast and slow EMA to quantify short-term vs mid-term trend dynamics.
🔹 Volatility Band Overlay: Applies an EMA of standard deviation to the spread to filter noise and highlight valid momentum shifts.
🔹 Color-Based Visualization: Positive spread values are shown in lime (bullish), negative values in fuchsia (bearish) for quick directional insight.
🔹 Upper/Lower Bands: Help detect potential overbought/oversold conditions or strong trend continuation.
🔹 Zero Line Reference: A horizontal baseline at zero helps identify trend reversals and neutral zones.
🛠️ How to Use
✅ Spread > 0: Indicates a bullish trend. Consider maintaining or entering long positions.
✅ Spread < 0: Indicates a bearish trend. Consider maintaining or entering short positions.
⚠️ Spread exceeds bands: May signal overextension or strong momentum; consider using with additional confirmation indicators.
🔄 Band convergence: Suggests weakening trend and potential transition to a ranging market.
Recommended timeframes: 1H, 4H, Daily
Suggested complementary indicators: RSI, MACD, OBV, SuperTrend
✅ TradingView House Rules Compliance
This script is open-source and published under Pine Script v5.
It does not repaint, spam alerts, or cause performance issues.
It is designed as an analytical aid only and should not be considered financial advice.
All calculations are transparent, and no external data sources or insecure functions are used.
====================================================================
📌 Trend Band Oscillator
📄 설명 (Description)
Trend Band Oscillator는 두 개의 EMA 간 스프레드(차이)를 기반으로 한 모멘텀 중심의 추세 오실레이터입니다. 여기에 표준편차 기반의 변동성 밴드를 적용하여, 추세의 방향뿐 아니라 강도와 안정성까지 시각적으로 분석할 수 있도록 설계되었습니다.
📌 주요 특징 (Features)
🔹 EMA 기반 스프레드 계산: Fast EMA와 Slow EMA의 차이를 활용해 시장 추세를 정량적으로 표현합니다.
🔹 표준편차 필터링: Spread에 대해 EMA 및 표준편차 기반의 밴드를 적용해 노이즈를 줄이고 유효한 추세를 강조합니다.
🔹 컬러 기반 시각화: 오실레이터 값이 양수일 경우 초록색, 음수일 경우 마젠타 색으로 추세 방향을 직관적으로 파악할 수 있습니다.
🔹 밴드 범위 시각화: 상·하위 밴드를 통해 스프레드의 평균 편차 범위를 보여주며, 추세의 강약과 포화 여부를 진단할 수 있습니다.
🔹 제로 라인 표시: 추세 전환 가능 지점을 시각적으로 확인할 수 있도록 중심선(0선)을 제공합니다.
🛠️ 사용법 (How to Use)
✅ 오실레이터가 0 이상 유지: 상승 추세 구간이며, 롱 포지션 유지 또는 진입 검토
✅ 오실레이터가 0 이하 유지: 하락 추세 구간이며, 숏 포지션 유지 또는 진입 검토
⚠️ 상·하위 밴드를 이탈: 일시적인 과매수/과매도 혹은 강한 추세 발현 가능성 있음 → 다른 보조지표와 함께 필터링 권장
🔄 밴드 수렴: 추세가 약해지고 있음을 나타냄 → 변동성 하락 또는 방향성 상실 가능성 있음
권장 적용 시간대: 1시간봉, 4시간봉, 일봉
보조 적용 지표: RSI, MACD, OBV, SuperTrend 등과 함께 사용 시 신호 필터링에 유리
✅ 트레이딩뷰 하우스룰 준수사항 (TV House Rules Compliance)
이 지표는 **무료 공개용(Open-Source)**이며, Pine Script Version 5로 작성되어 있습니다.
과도한 리페인트, 비정상적 반복 경고(alert spam), 실시간 성능 저하 등의 요소는 포함되어 있지 않습니다.
사용자는 본 지표를 투자 결정의 참고용 보조 도구로 활용해야 하며, 독립적인 매매 판단이 필요합니다.
데이터 소스 및 계산 방식은 완전히 공개되어 있으며, 외부 API나 보안 취약점을 유발하는 구성 요소는 없습니다.
Volume-Confirmed Price Momentum# **Volume-Confirmed Price Momentum (VCPM) Indicator**
## **🔍 Overview**
Introducing the **Volume-Confirmed Price Momentum (VCPM)**, a sophisticated dual-metric indicator designed to identify high-probability momentum moves by analyzing the relationship between price action and volume dynamics. This indicator combines correlation analysis with volume strength validation to filter out weak signals and highlight institutional-backed movements.
---
## **⚙️ Core Mechanics**
**Price-Volume Correlation Engine:**
- Calculates real-time correlation between price movements and volume
- Configurable lookback period (default: 8 bars)
- Option to use price changes or absolute values
- Correlation range: -1.0 (perfect negative) to +1.0 (perfect positive)
**Volume Strength Analyzer:**
- Compares current volume against its moving average (default: 128 periods)
- Normalizes volume ratio to 0-1 scale for consistent interpretation
- Identifies when volume significantly exceeds historical norms
---
## **📊 Signal Generation**
### **🟢 Bullish Confirmation Signal**
**Trigger:** Positive correlation > 0.6 + Volume ratio > 0.5
- Price and volume moving in harmony upward
- Above-average volume confirms the move
- Indicates strong institutional buying interest
### **🔴 Bearish Confirmation Signal**
**Trigger:** Negative correlation < -0.6 + Volume ratio > 0.5
- Price declining with increasing volume
- Suggests distribution or institutional selling
- High-confidence bearish momentum
---
## **🎯 Trading Applications**
**Breakout Validation:**
Filter false breakouts by requiring volume confirmation before entering positions.
**Trend Continuation:**
Identify when existing trends have strong volume backing for continuation plays.
**Distribution Detection:**
Spot potential tops when price struggles despite high volume (negative correlation).
**Entry Timing:**
Built-in alert system notifies when both conditions align for optimal entry points.
---
## **🔧 Customization Features**
- **Correlation Period:** Adjust sensitivity (2-500 bars)
- **Volume Averaging:** Modify volume comparison timeframe
- **Alert Thresholds:** Fine-tune correlation and volume ratio triggers
- **Visual Options:** Toggle volume histogram display
- **Price Source:** Choose from OHLC or custom sources
---
## **💡 Why VCPM Works**
Traditional momentum indicators often generate false signals during low-volume periods. VCPM solves this by requiring **dual confirmation**: price momentum must be supported by corresponding volume activity. This approach:
- Reduces whipsaws and false breakouts
- Identifies institutional participation
- Provides higher conviction trade setups
- Works across all timeframes and markets
---
## **📈 Best Use Cases**
✅ **Crypto markets** (high volatility, volume-driven)
✅ **Stock breakouts** (earnings, news events)
✅ **Forex majors** (during high-impact news)
✅ **Futures trading** (momentum confirmation)
---
## **⚠️ Important Notes**
- Works best in liquid markets with consistent volume data
- Combine with support/resistance levels for enhanced accuracy
- Consider market context (trending vs. ranging conditions)
- Not recommended for extremely low-volume periods
---
## **🚀 Getting Started**
1. Add VCPM to your chart as a sub-panel indicator
2. Configure correlation threshold (start with 0.6)
3. Set volume ratio threshold (start with 0.5)
4. Enable alerts for automated signal detection
5. Backtest on your preferred timeframe and instrument
---
**Ready to enhance your momentum trading with volume confirmation? Try VCPM and experience the difference institutional-backed signals can make in your trading results.**
*Available in Pine Script v6 - Compatible with all TradingView accounts*
JXMJXRS - Anchor Bias ToolThe Anchor Bias Tool is a precision-based market structure tool designed to help traders visually quantify bias from any significant market event. Rather than relying on subjective trendlines or reactive signals, this tool lets you define a specific candle. Typically tied to a news event, breakout, or key swing point and then monitor how price behaves from that point forward.
You set an anchor candle using a specific date and time (UTC). The tool draws a horizontal anchor line at the closing price of that candle, calculates real-time price deviation from that level as a percentage, and then identifies whether price is in a bullish, bearish, or neutral zone based on how far it has moved from the anchor. This creates a clear, objective method for assessing whether the market is following through on an event or fading it.
Anchor Time (UTC) -
Define the exact candle you want to anchor from typically a reaction to a news event, breakout, or structural shift. All bias calculations begin from this candle’s closing price.
Bias Threshold (%) -
Sets how far price must move away from the anchor to be considered a valid directional bias. For example, 2.0% means price must be at least 2% above or below the anchor to enter bullish or bearish territory.
Show Bias Zones -
Toggles visual background shading on the chart. Green represents bullish bias, red for bearish. Helping you quickly identify where the market stands relative to the anchor.
Show Bias Labels -
Enables or disables the live label showing current bias (Bullish, Bearish, or Neutral) along with the real-time % deviation from the anchor level
Signalgo XSignalgo X
Signalgo X is a sophisticated indicator crafted for traders who demand a disciplined, multi-layered approach to market analysis and trade management. This overview will help you understand its capabilities, logic, and how it can elevate your trading.
Core Concept
Signalgo X is built to:
Scan multiple timeframes simultaneously for price, volume, and volatility patterns.
Filter out unreliable signals during periods of market hype or manipulation.
Automate trade management with dynamic take-profit (TP), stop-loss (SL), and trailing logic.
Deliver actionable, visual signals and alerts for timely, confident decisions.
Inputs & Controls
Preset System Parameters:
News Sensitivity: Determines how responsive the indicator is to price moves.
Hype Filter Strength: Sets how aggressively the system avoids volatile, manipulated, or news-driven periods.
User-Configurable:
Show TP/SL Logic: Turn on/off the display of take-profit and stop-loss levels directly on your chart.
How Signalgo X Works
1. Multi-Timeframe Market Analysis
Signalgo X continuously monitors:
Closing price
Trading volume
Volatility (ATR)
across six distinct timeframes, from 1 hour to 3 months. This layered approach ensures that signals are validated by both short-term momentum and long-term trends.
2. Price, Volume, and Volatility Synthesis
Price Change: The system tracks percentage changes over each timeframe to gauge momentum.
Volume Ratio: By comparing current volume to a moving average, it detects unusual spikes that may signal institutional activity or manipulation.
Volatility: Measures the intensity of price movements relative to average ranges, helping to identify breakout or exhaustion scenarios.
3. Proprietary Anti-Hype Filter
A unique scoring mechanism evaluates:
Volume spikes without corresponding price action
Sudden jumps in volatility
Conflicting signals across timeframes
Social hype proxies (e.g., sharp moves on low volume)
If the market is deemed “hyped,” all trading signals are suppressed and a clear warning is shown, keeping you out of unpredictable conditions.
4. Signal Classification & Mapping
Significant Moves: Only price actions that exceed a sensitivity threshold and are confirmed by volume/volatility are considered.
Bullish/Bearish Signals: Generated for each timeframe.
Signal Strength: Categorized as regular, or strong based on multi-timeframe agreement.
Entry & Exit Strategy
Entry Logic
Long (Buy) Entry: Triggered when bullish signals are detected (of any strength) and no hype is present.
Short (Sell) Entry: Triggered when bearish signals are detected and no hype is present.
Exit & Trade Management
Stop Loss (SL): Placed at a calculated distance from entry, adapting to recent volatility.
Take Profits (TP1, TP2, TP3): Three profit targets, each at a greater reward multiple.
Trailing Stop: After the first take-profit is hit, the stop-loss moves to breakeven and a trailing stop is activated to protect further gains.
Event Tracking: The indicator visually marks when each TP or SL is hit, providing real-time feedback.
Chart Plots: All relevant SL, TP, and trailing stop levels are clearly marked for both long and short trades.
Labels: Entry, exit, and signal strength events are color-coded and visually prominent.
Alerts: Built-in alert conditions allow you to set up TradingView notifications for strong/regular buy/sell signals and hype warnings.
Trading Strategy Application
Multi-Timeframe Confirmation: Only strong signals confirmed by several timeframes are acted upon, reducing false positives.
Volume & Volatility Awareness: The indicator avoids low-quality, “fakeout” signals by requiring confirmation from both price and volume/volatility.
Hype Avoidance: Keeps you out of the market during news-driven or manipulated periods, helping to protect your capital.
Automated Discipline: The TP/SL logic enforces a rules-based exit strategy, helping you lock in profits and limit losses without emotional interference.
Who Should Use Signalgo X?
Signalgo X is ideal for traders who want:
Systematic, high-confidence signals
Automated and disciplined trade management
Protection against unpredictable market events
Clear, actionable visuals and alerts
ATR > VXN Alert (5m)ATR > VXN Volatility Divergence Indicator
This custom TradingView indicator monitors real-time volatility divergence between realized volatility (via Average True Range, ATR) and implied volatility (via the CBOE NASDAQ Volatility Index, VXN). It is inspired by the GJR-GARCH (Glosten-Jagannathan-Runkle Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) model, which captures asymmetric volatility dynamics—particularly how markets respond more sharply to negative shocks than to positive ones.
Core Logic:
Chart on NQ (5 minute timeframe)
ATR (5-min) reflects realized intraday volatility of the Nasdaq 100 futures (NQ).
VXN (5-min, delayed) represents forward-looking implied volatility.
The indicator highlights regime shifts in volatility:
ATR < VXN: Volatility compression → potential energy building up (market coiling).
ATR > VXN: Volatility expansion → real movement exceeds expectations → potential breakout zone.
Visuals & Alerts:
Background turns green when ATR crosses above VXN, signaling a bullish expansion regime.
Background turns red when ATR drops below VXN, signaling compression or risk-off environment.
Custom alerts trigger on volatility regime shifts for breakout traders.
Application (Manual GJR-GARCH Strategy):
Similar to how the GJR-GARCH model captures volatility clustering and asymmetry, this indicator identifies when actual price volatility (ATR) begins to spike beyond implied forecasts (VXN), often after periods of contraction—mirroring a conditional variance shock in the GARCH framework.
Traders can align with directional bias using technical confluence (order flow, structure breaks, liquidity zones) once expansion is confirmed.
Fundig Rate OI# 🚀 Bitcoin Funding Rate + Open Interest Indicator - PineScript v6
## 📋 Summary
I've developed a **Bitcoin-specific** indicator that combines **Funding Rate** with **normalized Open Interest** for advanced futures analysis. After months of testing exclusively on BTC, the results have been excellent for identifying reversal points and confirming trends.
---
## 🎯 Why Bitcoin Only?
**Technical reasons:**
- BTC has the highest volume and liquidity in futures
- More consistent and reliable data
- Less manipulation than altcoins
- More stable correlation between FR and OI
**Problem it solves:**
- Traditional indicators only show one metric
- Difficult to correlate FR with BTC market volume/interest
- Lack of normalization makes OI hard to interpret
- Need for a tool specific to the king of cryptos
**Solution:**
✅ **Dynamic Funding Rate** optimized for BTC
✅ **Normalized Open Interest** (3 different methods)
✅ **Binance BTCUSDTPERP data** exclusively
✅ **Alert system** calibrated for BTC volatility
✅ **Real-time info table**
---
## 🔧 Technical Features
### Main Configurations:
- **Fixed symbol:** BTCUSDTPERP (Binance)
- **Lower timeframe:** 1m, 5m, 15m for precise calculations
- **OI normalization methods:**
- Min-Max (0-1 range)
- RSI (momentum-based)
- Z-Score (statistical distribution)
- **Optimized lookback:** 100 bars (ideal for BTC)
- **Alert system:** Thresholds calibrated for BTC
### Data Sources:
🔸 **Premium Index:** BINANCE:BTCUSDT_PREMIUM
🔸 **Open Interest:** BINANCE:BTCUSDTPERP_OI
🔸 **Timeframes:** From 1m to Daily
🔸 **Precision:** 4 decimals for FR
---
## 📊 How to Interpret Bitcoin Signals
### Funding Rate (Histogram):
- **FR > 0.1%:** BTC longs paying high → Possible short
- **FR < -0.1%:** BTC shorts paying high → Possible long
- **FR extreme (>0.5%):** High probability of BTC reversal
- **FR neutral (±0.05%):** Balanced market
### Open Interest (Blue line):
- **OI > 0.8 + high FR:** Many BTC longs trapped → Bearish
- **OI < 0.2 + low FR:** Short capitulation → Bullish
- **OI divergence:** BTC trend weakening
### Bitcoin-Specific Combinations:
1. **FR > 0.3% + OI > 0.85:** Imminent bearish reversal
2. **FR < -0.2% + OI < 0.15:** Probable bullish reversal
3. **FR oscillating + OI growing:** Accumulation before move
---
## 💡 Real Bitcoin Use Cases
**Example 1 - Bullish Reversal (March 2024):**
```
Situation: BTC falling from 73k to 60k
FR: -0.18% (shorts paying high premium)
OI: 0.12 (very low, short capitulation)
Result: Bounce to 67k (+11%)
```
**Example 2 - Local Top (February 2024):**
```
Situation: BTC at ATH 73.8k
FR: +0.42% (desperate longs paying)
OI: 0.91 (extremely high)
Result: Correction to 60k (-18%)
```
**Example 3 - Bullish Continuation:**
```
Situation: BTC consolidating at 45k
FR: +0.05% (neutral)
OI: 0.65 (steadily growing)
Result: Breakout to 52k (+15%)
```
---
## 🚨 Bitcoin-Calibrated Alert System
The indicator includes Bitcoin-specific alerts:
1. **BTC FR Spike Up:** FR > 0.15% (adjusted to BTC volatility)
2. **BTC FR Spike Down:** FR < -0.15%
3. **BTC OI Extreme High:** Normalized OI > 0.88
4. **BTC OI Extreme Low:** Normalized OI < 0.12
**Recommended BTC configuration:**
- **Scalping:** 5m and 15m
- **Swing Trading:** 1h and 4h
- **Position Trading:** Daily
- Always combine with BTC support/resistance
---
## 📈 Bitcoin Backtesting Results
**Testing period:** 12 months (July 2023 - July 2024)
**Exclusive pair:** BTCUSDTPERP
**Timeframes:** 15m, 1h, 4h, 1D
**BTC-specific results:**
- **Reversal accuracy:** ~78% (better than altcoins)
- **False signals:** Reduced 45% vs FR alone
- **Best timeframe:** 1h for swing, 15m for scalping
- **Worst period:** Sideways market (Nov-Dec 2023)
- **Best period:** Strong trends (Oct 2023, Mar 2024)
**Key statistics:**
- **23 major reversal signals:** 18 successful
- **Average gain:** +8.3% per successful trade
- **Average loss:** -2.1% per failed trade
- **Risk/reward ratio:** 1:3.9
Angular Volatility📘 Angular Volatility – Technical Indicator for Trend Intensity Analysis
Angular Volatility is an advanced technical analysis tool developed specifically for cryptocurrency markets on the Binance platform. Its primary objective is to detect structural shifts in price dynamics with greater precision by analyzing the combined behavior of market volume and the angular slope of a customizable moving average.
Unlike conventional indicators that operate directly over the price chart, this script displays all of its metrics within a dedicated secondary window, allowing a cleaner and more isolated view of critical movements such as acceleration, pause, or potential reversals. In addition, it includes a robust system for volatility intensity classification, automated alerts, and a live technical info table that summarizes key real-time values.
🎯 What does Angular Volatility analyze?
Angular Volatility measures the interaction between traded volume and the angle of a moving average selected by the user from six types (SMA, EMA, WMA, HMA, ALMA, and SWMA). From these variables, the system generates:
- Angular Volatility Index: A composite value representing the product of volume and angular slope, reflecting the true strength behind a move.
- Angular Oscillator: A standalone line that displays the directional angle (in degrees) of the selected moving average, limited between ±90°.
- Volatility Intensity Levels: Automatic classification of peaks into four levels—moderate, elevated, high, and extreme—displayed with distinct colors and geometric shapes.
- Technical Data Table: A real-time panel showing both the current angle of the moving average and the current value of the Angular Volatility Index in a compact, user-friendly format.
- Custom Alerts System: Five built-in alert conditions allow users to monitor key volatility events without needing to watch the chart constantly.
⚙️ Configuration Parameters
The script includes multiple configuration sections that allow users to fine-tune both its analytical precision and visual appearance:
- High Volume Detection: Adjustable historical depth and sensitivity to identify significant volume spikes.
- Initial Moving Average Settings: Selection of MA type, length, offset, and dynamic coloring based on slope angle.
- Volatility Index Options: Fully customizable visuals, synced with the angle values set in the moving average section.
- Volatile Intensity Styling: Choose which levels to display, customize their colors and icons, and optionally color the main chart candles for quick interpretation.
- Information Table: Options to show/hide the table, adjust size and position, and customize background/text colors.
🧠 Compatibility and Technical Recommendations
This indicator was developed to operate exclusively on Binance using the following timeframes only: 1m – 5m – 15m – 30m – 1h – 4h – 1D.
This restriction is deliberate, ensuring consistency in the mathematical model used to calculate angular data. Using this script on other platforms or timeframes may result in inaccurate readings or logic errors, as asset types like stocks, forex, or indices behave differently in terms of volume structure and slope normalization.
If applied to unsupported markets or timeframes, the script will automatically display a warning message without calculating or drawing technical values.
🔬 Practical Example
The following case study—applied to the BTC chart on a 1-hour timeframe—demonstrates how volatility intensity levels behave in structured scenarios such as channel breakdowns, rebound phases, false breakouts, and high-energy consolidation zones:
🔻 Letter A: Downward breakout and full intensity sequence
- The price was moving within a fairly uniform descending channel, which ends with a false breakout to the upside—quickly invalidated as a market trap.
- The true breakout occurs to the downside through a strong red candle, categorized by the system as moderate intensity (gray).
- This candle is followed by a Doji, then a smaller red candle also marked as moderate intensity, followed by a larger red candle showing high intensity (white), and finally a stronger red candle painted yellow, indicating extreme intensity.
- This full sequence (moderate → moderate → high → extreme) marks a technical climax, after which the price begins a progressive reversal.
- Although the drop unfolds over five red candles, the subsequent recovery takes place over 18 candles, mostly green and smaller in size, forming a “V” shape: sharp decline followed by a steady upward climb.
- This entire section is enclosed within an oval labeled A, with the four intensity levels clearly reflected on both the main chart and the Angular Volatility panel.
🔼 Letter B: Ascending channel and breakout with increasing bullish pressure
- After the rebound described in section A, the price begins forming a new ascending channel, marked with the letter B. This channel starts right where the previous range ends, with a very slight upward offset—nearly indistinguishable.
- In the final stage of this channel, a green candle classified as moderate intensity (gray) attempts a breakout. It is followed by a stronger green candle, painted brown, indicating elevated intensity and confirming bullish acceleration.
- Both candles and the corresponding peak on the Angular Volatility indicator are enclosed in an oval labeled B, representing a second wave of directional energy.
⛓️ Letter C: Resistance zone and consolidation following extreme volatility
- The upward movement continues until it reaches a resistance level, where a large green candle emerges, painted yellow to denote extreme intensity.
- Unlike the previous case in section A, this movement does not trigger a sharp reversal, but rather a technical pause followed by sideways consolidation, forming a horizontal range.
- This zone is marked on the chart with an oval labeled C, representing a classic case of stopping volume and range formation.
Fear and Greed Indicator [DunesIsland]The Fear and Greed Indicator is a TradingView indicator that measures market sentiment using five metrics. It displays:
Tiny green circles below candles when the market is in "Extreme Fear" (index ≤ 25), signalling potential buys.
Tiny red circles above candles when the market is in "Greed" (index > 75), indicating potential sells.
Purpose: Helps traders spot market extremes for contrarian trading opportunities.Components (each weighted 20%):
Market Momentum: S&P 500 (SPX) vs. its 125-day SMA, normalized over 252 days.
Stock Price Strength: Net NYSE 52-week highs (INDEX:HIGN) minus lows (INDEX:LOWN), normalized.
Put/Call Ratio: 5-day SMA of Put/Call Ratio (USI:PC).
Market Volatility: VIX (VIX), inverted and normalized.
Stochastic RSI: 14-period RSI on SPX with 3-period Stochastic SMA.
Alerts:
Buy: Index ≤ 25 ("Extreme Fear - Potential Buy").
Sell: Index > 75 ("Greed - Potential Sell").
Funding Ratio BinanceThis advanced indicator is designed for perpetual futures traders looking for an edge by understanding market dynamics on Binance. It provides key insights into the Premium Rate and Estimated Funding Rate, helping you make informed decisions about your trades.
What does this indicator offer you?
Premium Rate (4H): Displays the real-time difference between the perpetual futures price and the spot price on Binance. A positive premium can indicate bullish demand from futures buyers, while a negative premium suggests bearish demand. This data updates every 4 hours.
Estimated Funding Rate (4H): Calculates an estimate of the upcoming funding rate to be applied on Binance. This rate is crucial, as it determines payments between long and short positions. A positive rate means longs pay shorts, and vice versa. Knowing this estimate can help you anticipate market movements and manage your positions.
Suggested Position: Based on the current Premium Rate, the indicator provides a suggested position ("Long", "Short", or "Neutral"). This is a helpful guide for evaluating the overall sentiment of the perpetual futures market relative to the spot price.
Key Features:
Real-time Data: Obtains information directly from Binance (via TradingView) to ensure maximum accuracy.
Fixed Timeframe: Premium and funding calculations are performed on a fixed 4-hour timeframe, regardless of your current chart's timeframe.
Configurable: You can adjust the fixed Binance interest rate used in the Estimated Funding Rate calculation, as well as clamping limits to fine-tune its relevance. You can also customize the table's position on your chart to suit your preferred layout.
Automatic Pair Detection: For the Premium Rate, the indicator automatically detects the cryptocurrency pair you are currently viewing, ensuring relevant data without extra configuration.
HL/OL Histogram + (Close-Open)🧠 Core Concept
This indicator is designed to detect meaningful directional intent in price action using a combination of:
Intrabar candle structure (high - open, open - low)
Net price momentum (close - open)
Timed trigger levels (frozen buy/sell prices based on selected timeframe closes)
The core idea is to visually separate bullish and bearish energy in the current bar, and to mark the price at which momentum flips from down to up or vice versa, based on a change in the close - open differential.
🔍 Components Breakdown
1. Histogram Bars
Green Bars (high - open): Represent bullish upper wicks, showing intrabar strength above the open.
Red Bars (open - low): Represent bearish lower wicks, showing pressure below the open.
Plotted as histograms above and below the zero line.
2. Close–Open Line (White)
Plots the difference between close and open for each bar.
Helps you visually track when momentum flips from negative to positive, or vice versa.
A bold black zero line provides clear reference for these flips.
3. Buy/Sell Signal Logic
A Buy Trigger is generated when close - open crosses above zero
A Sell Trigger occurs when close - open crosses below zero
These trigger events are one-shot, meaning they’re only registered once per signal direction. No retriggers occur until the opposite condition is met.
📈 Trigger Price Table (Static)
On a signal trigger, the close price from a lower timeframe (15S, 30S, 1, 2, 3, or 5 min) is captured.
This price is frozen and displayed in a table at the top-right of the pane.
The price remains fixed until the opposite trigger condition fires, at which point it is replaced.
Why close price?
Using the close from the lower timeframe gives a precise, decisive reference point — ideal for planning limit entries or confirming breakout commitment.
🛠️ Use Cases
Momentum traders can use the histogram and line to time entries after strong open rejection or close breakouts.
Scalpers can quickly gauge intrabar sentiment reversals and react to new momentum without waiting for candle closes.
Algo builders can use the frozen price logic as precise entry or confirmation points in automated strategies.
VIX-Price Covariance MonitorThe VIX-Price Covariance Monitor is a statistical tool that measures the evolving relationship between a security's price and volatility indices such as the VIX (or VVIX).
It can give indication of potential market reversal, as typically, volatility and the VIX increase before markets turn red,
This indicator calculates the Pearson correlation coefficient using the formula:
ρ(X,Y) = cov(X,Y) / (σₓ × σᵧ)
Where:
ρ is the correlation coefficient
cov(X,Y) is the covariance between price and the volatility index
σₓ and σᵧ are the standard deviations of price and the volatility index
Enjoy!
Features
Dual Correlation Periods: Analyze both short-term and long-term correlation trends simultaneously
Adaptive Color Coding: Correlation strength is visually represented through color intensity
Market Condition Assessment: Automatic interpretation of correlation values into actionable market insights
Leading/Lagging Analysis: Optional time-shift analysis to detect predictive relationships
Detailed Information Panel: Real-time statistics including current correlation values, historical averages, and trading implications
Interpretation
Positive Correlation (Red): Typically bearish for price, as rising VIX correlates with falling markets. This is what traders should be looking for.
Negative Correlation (Green): Typically bullish for price, as falling VIX correlates with rising markets
How to use it
Apply the indicator to any chart to see its correlation with the default VIX index
Adjust the correlation length to match your trading timeframe (shorter for day trading, longer for swing trading)
Enable the secondary correlation period to compare different timeframes simultaneously
For advanced analysis, enable the Leading/Lagging feature to detect if VIX changes precede or follow price movements
Use the information panel to quickly assess the current market condition and potential trading implications
Time-Specific Volume AverageA volume indicator based on historic volume.
Checks for the average volume in the past few days at the same time of day. This helps you determine when there is truly volume in the markets.
We will see often see sustained volume above the average during a clear trend. If you see spikes in volume without it being sustained above the average, it is very likely that the trend will die off quickly.
This is very helpful in determining whether to trade based on a trend following system, or a range based system.
Settings are below:
Days to average: Number of days to look back(tradingview has limits depending on your plan)
SMA Length: Number of "volume averages" to look at. Keep this at 1 if you want the average volume at the exact moment in the day. If you increase it, will also average in the past few candles of "volume averages".
SMA Multiplier: Multiplies the SMA by this amount(helps to get higher quality trends)
Dynamic Ray BandsAbout Dynamic Ray Bands
Dynamic Ray Bands is a volatility-adaptive envelope indicator that adjusts in real time to evolving market conditions. It uses a Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA) as its central trend reference, with upper and lower bands scaled according to current volatility measured by the Average True Range (ATR).
This creates a dynamic structure that visually frames price action, helping traders identify areas of potential trend continuation, overextension, or mean reversion.
How It Works
🟡 Centerline (DEMA)
The central yellow line is a Double Exponential Moving Average, which offers a smoother, less laggy trend signal than traditional moving averages. It represents the market’s short- to medium-term “equilibrium.”
🔵 Outer Bands
Plotted at:
Upper Band = DEMA + (ATR × outerMultiplier)
Lower Band = DEMA - (ATR × outerMultiplier)
These bands define the extreme bounds of current volatility. When price breaks above or below them, it can signal strong directional momentum or overbought/oversold conditions, depending on context. They're often used as trend breakout zones or to time exits after extended runs.
🟣 Inner Bands
Plotted closer to the DEMA:
Inner Upper = DEMA + (ATR × innerMultiplier)
Inner Lower = DEMA - (ATR × innerMultiplier)
These are preliminary volatility thresholds, offering early cues for potential expansion or reversal. They may be used for scalping, tight stop zones, or pre-breakout positioning.
🔁 Dynamic Width (Bands are Dynamically Adjusted Per Tick)
The width of both inner and outer bands is based on ATR (Average True Range), which is recalculated in real time. This means:
During high volatility, the bands expand, allowing for wider price fluctuations.
During low volatility, the bands contract, tightening range expectations.
Unlike fixed-width channels or standard Bollinger Bands (which use standard deviation), this per-tick adjustment via ATR enables Dynamic Ray Bands to reduce false signals in choppy markets and remain more reactive during trending conditions.
⚙️ Inputs
DMA Length — Period for the central DEMA.
ATR Length — Lookback used for ATR volatility calculations.
Outer Band Multiplier — Controls sensitivity of extreme bands.
Inner Band Multiplier — Controls proximity of inner bands.
Show Inner Bands — Toggle for plotting the inner zone.
🔔 Alerts
Alert conditions are included for:
Price closing above/below the outer bands (trend momentum or overextension)
Price closing above/below the inner bands (early signs of strength/weakness)
🧭 Use Cases
Breakout detection — Catch price continuation beyond the outer bands.
Volatility filtering — Adjust trade logic based on band width.
Mean reversion — Monitor for snapbacks toward the DEMA after price stretches too far.
Trend guidance — Use band slope and price position to confirm direction.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This script is intended for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to trade any specific market or security. Always test indicators thoroughly before using them in live trading.
Adaptive Causal Wavelet Trend FilterThe Adaptive Causal Wavelet Trend Filter is a technical indicator implementing causal approximations of wavelet transform properties for better trend detection with adaptive volatility response.
The Adaptive Causal Wavelet Trend Filter (ACWTF) applies mathematical principles derived from wavelet analysis to financial time series, providing robust trend identification with minimal lag. Unlike conventional moving averages, it preserves significant price movements while filtering market noise through signal processing that i describe below.
I was inspired to build this indicator after reading " Wavelet-Based Trend Identification in Financial Time Series " by In, F., & Kim, S. 2013 and reading about Mexican Hat wavelet filters.
The ACWTF maintains optimal performance across varying market regimes without requiring parameter adjustments by adapting filter characteristics to current volatility conditions.
Mathematical Foundation
Inspired by the Mexican Hat wavelet (Ricker wavelet), this indicator implements causal approximations of wavelet filters optimized for real-time financial analysis. The multi-resolution approach identifies features at different scales and the adaptive component dynamically adjusts filtering characteristics based on local volatility measurements.
Key mathematical properties include:
Non-linear frequency response adaptation
Edge-preserving signal extraction
Scale-space analysis through dual filter implementation
Volatility-dependent coefficient adjustment, which I love
Filter Methods
Adaptive: Implements a volatility-weighted combination of multiple filter types to optimize the time-frequency resolution trade-off
Hull: Provides a causal approximation of wavelet edge detection properties with forward-projection characteristics
VWMA: Incorporates volume information into the filtering process for enhanced signal detection
EMA Cascade: Creates a multi-pole filter structure that approximates certain wavelet scaling properties
Suggestion: try all as they will provide slightly different signals. Try also different time-frames.
Practical Applications
Trend Direction Identification: Clear visual trend direction with reduced noise and lag
Regime Change Detection: Early identification of significant trend reversals
Market Condition Analysis: Integrated volatility metrics provide context for current market behavior
Multi-timeframe Confirmation: Alignment between primary and secondary filters offers additional confirmation
Entry/Exit Timing: Filter crossovers and trend changes provide potential trading signals
The comprehensive information panel provides:
Current filter method and trend state
Trend alignment between timeframes
Real-time volatility assessment
Price position relative to filter
Overall trading bias based on multiple factors
Implementation Notes
Log returns option provides improved statistical properties for financial time series
Primary and secondary filter lengths can be adjusted to optimize for specific instruments and timeframes
The indicator performs particularly well during trend transitions and regime changes
The indicator reduces the need for using additional indicators to check trend reversion
FVG Candle TYHE42This indicator highlights potential Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) directly on the relevant candle by changing its body color.
The logic is simple yet effective:
A bullish FVG is detected when the current low is above the high from two candles back.
A bearish FVG is detected when the current high is below the low from two candles back.
When such a gap is detected, the previous candle is colored (default: yellow) to provide a clean, unobtrusive visual cue. This helps traders quickly identify price imbalances without cluttering the chart with shapes or labels.
Users can customize the highlight color from the settings to better suit their chart theme or personal preference.
This indicator is especially useful for traders using Smart Money Concepts (SMC), ICT, or other price imbalance-based strategies.
Capital Risk OptimizerCapital Risk Optimizer 🛡️
The Capital Risk Optimizer is an educational tool designed to help traders study capital efficiency, risk management, and scaling strategies when using leverage.
This script calculates and visualizes essential metrics for managing leveraged positions, including:
Entry Price – The current market price.
Stop Loss Level – Automatically derived using the 30-bar lowest low minus 1 ATR (default: 14-period ATR), an approach designed to create a dynamic, volatility-adjusted stop loss.
Stop Loss Distance (%) – The percentage distance between entry and stop.
Maximum Safe Leverage – The highest leverage allowable without risking liquidation before your stop is reached.
Margin Required – The amount of collateral necessary to support the desired position size at the calculated leverage.
Position Size – The configurable notional value of your trade.
These outputs are presented in a clean, customizable table overlay so you can quickly understand how position sizing, volatility, and leverage interact.
By default, the script uses a 14-period ATR combined with the lowest low of the past 30 bars, providing an optimal balance between sensitivity and noise for defining stop placement. This methodology helps traders account for market volatility in a systematic way.
The Capital Risk Optimizer is particularly useful as a portfolio management tool, supporting traders who want to study how to scale into positions using risk-adjusted sizing and capital efficiency principles. It pairs best with backtested strategies, and does not directly produce signals of any kind.
How to Use:
Set your desired position size.
Adjust the ATR and lookback settings to fine-tune stop loss placement.
Study the resulting leverage and margin requirements in real time.
Use this information to simulate and visualize potential trade scenarios and capital allocation models.
Disclaimer:
This script is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice and should not be relied upon for live trading decisions. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified professional before making any trading or investment decisions.
AMV Impulse AssistantThe AMV Impulse Assistant is a custom momentum tool designed to assess how aggressively price is moving relative to recent volatility. It combines Bollinger-based range analysis and fast-moving average behavior to generate a dynamic impulse score. This score helps identify when price action is potentially overextended or showing signs of unusual momentum — useful for pullback traders, breakout traders, and anyone managing entries during trending conditions.
What it does:
Tracks the relationship between a short WMA and Bollinger basis to gauge directional strength.
Measures price movement compression/expansion with a normalized Bollinger Width Percentile.
Combines both into a smoothed Impulse Score (from -10 to +10) that reflects how aggressively price is pushing in either direction.
Colors the score line and highlights background zones when momentum enters extreme ranges.
📈 Use case:
This tool is especially effective for day traders who need to quickly identify when price is moving abnormally fast — either as an exhaustion signal or confirmation of an aggressive continuation. It can be used to:
Confirm the end of a pullback.
Spot overly aggressive moves that may revert.
Avoid entries during neutral chop or volatility compression.
It is best used alongside your primary trend filters and execution tools as a supplementary confirmation.
K Bands v2.2K Bands v2 - Settings Breakdown (Timeframe Agnostic)
K Bands v2 is an adaptive volatility envelope tool designed for flexibility across different trading
styles and timeframes.
The settings below allow complete control over how the bands are constructed, smoothed, and how
they respond to market volatility.
1. Upstream MA Type
Controls the core smoothing applied to price before calculating the bands.
Options:
- EMA: Fast, responsive, reacts quickly to price changes.
- SMA: Classic moving average, slower but provides stability.
- Hull: Ultra smooth, reduces noise significantly but may react differently to choppy conditions.
- GeoMean: Geometric mean smoothing, creates a unique, slightly smoother line.
- SMMA: Wilder-style smoothing, balances noise reduction and responsiveness.
- WMA: Weighted Moving Average, emphasizes recent price action for sharper responsiveness.
2. Smoothing Length
Lookback period for the upstream moving average.
- Lower values: Faster reaction, captures short-term shifts.
- Higher values: Smoother trend depiction, filters out noise.
3. Multiplier
Determines the width of the bands relative to calculated volatility.
- Lower multiplier: Tighter bands, more signals, but increased false breakouts.
- Higher multiplier: Wider bands, fewer false signals, more conservative.
4. Downstream MA Type
Applies final smoothing to the band plots after initial calculation.
Same options as Upstream MA.
5. Downstream Smoothing Length
Lookback period for downstream smoothing.
- Lower: More responsive bands.
- Higher: Smoother, visually cleaner bands.
6. Band Width Source
Selects the method used to calculate band width based on market volatility.
Options:
- ATR (Average True Range): Smooth, stable bands based on price range expansion.
- Stdev (Standard Deviation): More reactive bands highlighting short-term volatility spikes.
7. ATR Smoothing Type
Controls how the ATR or Stdev value is smoothed before applying to band width.
Options:
- Wilder: Classic, stable smoothing.
- SMA: Simple moving average smoothing.
- EMA: Faster, more reactive smoothing.
- Hull: Ultra-smooth, noise-reducing smoothing.
- GeoMean: Geometric mean smoothing.
8. ATR Length
Lookback period for smoothing the volatility measurement (ATR or Stdev).
- Lower: More reactive bands, captures quick shifts.
- Higher: Smoother, more stable bands.
9. Dynamic Multiplier Based on Volatility
Allows the band multiplier to adapt automatically to changes in market volatility.
- ON: Bands expand during high volatility and contract during low volatility.
- OFF: Bands remain fixed based on the set multiplier.
10. Dynamic Multiplier Sensitivity
Controls how aggressively the dynamic multiplier responds to volatility changes.
- Lower values: Subtle adjustments.
- Higher values: More aggressive band expansion/contraction.
K Bands v2 is designed to be adaptable across any market or timeframe, helping visualize price
structure, trend, and volatility behavior.
Kelly Optimal Leverage IndicatorThe Kelly Optimal Leverage Indicator mathematically applies Kelly Criterion to determine optimal position sizing based on market conditions.
This indicator helps traders answer the critical question: "How much capital should I allocate to this trade?"
Note that "optimal position sizing" does not equal the position sizing that you should have. The Optima position sizing given by the indicator is based on historical data and cannot predict a crash, in which case, high leverage could be devastating.
Originally developed for gambling scenarios with known probabilities, the Kelly formula has been adapted here for financial markets to dynamically calculate the optimal leverage ratio that maximizes long-term capital growth while managing risk.
Key Features
Kelly Position Sizing: Uses historical returns and volatility to calculate mathematically optimal position sizes
Multiple Risk Profiles: Displays Full Kelly (aggressive), 3/4 Kelly (moderate), 1/2 Kelly (conservative), and 1/4 Kelly (very conservative) leverage levels
Volatility Adjustment: Automatically recommends appropriate Kelly fraction based on current market volatility
Return Smoothing: Option to use log returns and smoothed calculations for more stable signals
Comprehensive Table: Displays key metrics including annualized return, volatility, and recommended exposure levels
How to Use
Interpret the Lines: Each colored line represents a different Kelly fraction (risk tolerance level). When above zero, positive exposure is suggested; when below zero, reduce exposure. Note that this is based on historical returns. I personally like to increase my exposure during market downturns, but this is hard to illustrate in the indicator.
Monitor the Table: The information panel provides precise leverage recommendations and exposure guidance based on current market conditions.
Follow Recommended Position: Use the "Recommended Position" guidance in the table to determine appropriate exposure level.
Select Your Risk Profile: Conservative traders should follow the Half Kelly or Quarter Kelly lines, while more aggressive traders might consider the Three-Quarter or Full Kelly lines.
Adjust with Volatility: During high volatility periods, consider using more conservative Kelly fractions as recommended by the indicator.
Mathematical Foundation
The indicator calculates the optimal leverage (f*) using the formula:
f* = μ/σ²
Where:
μ is the annualized expected return
σ² is the annualized variance of returns
This approach balances potential gains against risk of ruin, offering a scientific framework for position sizing that maximizes long-term growth rate.
Notes
The Full Kelly is theoretically optimal for maximizing long-term growth but can experience significant drawdowns. You should almost never use full kelly.
Most practitioners use fractional Kelly strategies (1/2 or 1/4 Kelly) to reduce volatility while capturing most of the growth benefits
This indicator works best on daily timeframes but can be applied to any timeframe
Negative Kelly values suggest reducing or eliminating market exposure
The indicator should be used as part of a complete trading system, not in isolation
Enjoy the indicator! :)
P.S. If you are really geeky about the Kelly Criterion, I recommend the book The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion by Edward O. Thorp and others.
THE HISTORY By [VXN]
THE HISTORY By - Monthly Seasonal Analysis Indicator
Development Status: This indicator is currently in the development phase and is not yet finished. Features and functionality may change as development continues.
Overview:
This indicator provides comprehensive historical analysis of monthly price patterns, designed to help traders identify recurring seasonal behaviors and market tendencies for the current month across multiple years of data.
Key Features:
Historical Data Analysis:
- Analyzes up to 10 years of historical performance for the current month
- Calculates monthly returns, win rates, and statistical metrics
- Tracks maximum drawdowns and runups for risk assessment
- Requires daily timeframe for accurate monthly calculations
Pattern Recognition:
- Implements a three-period classification system that breaks each month into segments
- Uses visual indicators (🟢🔴🟡) to represent bullish, bearish, and neutral periods
- Helps identify recurring intra-month behavior patterns
Statistical Display:
- Presents historical data in an organized table format
- Shows year-by-year performance comparisons
- Calculates average returns, best/worst performance, and confidence levels
- Displays overall market bias (bullish/bearish tendency) for the current month
Dynamic Zone Overlays:
- Projects Fibonacci-based support/resistance levels based on historical volatility
- Adjusts zone positioning based on the month's historical bias
- Provides visual reference points for potential price targets or reversal areas
Practical Applications:
- Seasonal trading strategy development
- Risk management through historical context
- Understanding market cyclicality and recurring patterns
- Educational tool for studying price behavior over time
Note: This indicator is designed for analysis and education purposes, helping traders understand historical market patterns rather than providing direct trading signals. The data should be used in conjunction with other forms of analysis and proper risk management. As this is still under development, please expect updates and refinements to functionality.
