AUDUSD long tradeaudusd long side trade.
The AUD/USD currency pair is often traded by forex traders due to its liquidity and volatility. Recently, there have been opportunities to take long positions on this pair,
AUDUSD.P trade ideas
AUDUSD portrays “fakeout” on RBA’s status quoOn Tuesday, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept its monetary policy unchanged, as expected, and dragged the AUDUSD pair back from an intraday high. With this, the Aussie pair defies Friday’s breakout of a four-month-old descending resistance line, terming it the “false breakout” or “fakeout”. In addition to the fakeout, the RSI’s retreat from the overbought territory and an impending bear cross on the MACD also tease the sellers. However, a clear downside break of the aforementioned resistance-turned-support line surrounding 0.6600 and RBA Governor Michele Bullock's dovish remarks are needed for the bears to retake control. In that case, the pair’s quick fall toward 0.6570 and the 200-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) level near 0.6530 can’t be ruled out. It’s worth mentioning that the seller’s dominance past 0.6530 depends on the ability to break a three-week-old rising support line, close to 0.6515 at the latest.
Meanwhile, an area comprising multiple levels marked since early January, near 0.6645-40, guards the immediate upside of the AUDUSD pair. Following that, March’s peak of 0.6667 and the 0.6700 threshold will challenge the buyers. If the Aussie pair remains firmer beyond the 0.6700 hurdle, 0.6730, 0.6780 and the 0.6800 round figure could test the upside momentum before directing the bulls toward the late 2023 high of 0.6871.
Overall, the AUDUSD pair signals a pullback price move, but the bearish momentum will likely remain tepid unless fundamental support is gained.
AUDUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
200-EMA tests AUDUSD bulls as Fed-NFP week beginsAUDUSD remains on the front foot at the highest level in nearly a fortnight, after jumping the most on a week since December 2023, during the early hours of the key week comprising the monetary policy meeting of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and the US monthly employment report. In doing so, the risk-barometer pair justifies the upside break of the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), bullish MACD signals, and upbeat RSI (14) conditions. Given the US Dollar’s preparations for top-tier data/events, coupled with the bullish technical details, the Aussie pair is likely to overcome the immediate upside hurdle, namely the 200-EMA level surrounding 0.6570. However, a downward-sloping resistance line from early January, close to 0.6615 at the latest, will precede a 3.5-month-old horizontal resistance zone of 0.6640-50 to challenge the bulls.
Meanwhile, AUDUSD sellers remain off the table unless the quote stays beyond the 100-EMA immediate support of 0.6542. Even if the quote slips beneath the nearly EMA support, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of October-December upside, close to 0.6500, and February’s low of 0.6442 will stop the bears from taking control. In a case where the Aussie pair remains bearish past 0.6442, the yearly low marked on April 19 around 0.6360 will be in the spotlight.
Overall, the AUDUSD pair gains upside traction ahead of the key US catalysts but the bulls should remain cautious beneath 0.6650.
AUDUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
AUDUSD approaches 200-SMA hurdle on strong Australia inflationAUDUSD rises to the highest level in a week, up for the third consecutive day, as Australia Inflation numbers for March defend hawkish bias about the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and underpin the Australian Dollar (AUD) strength. However, the overbought RSI could join the 200-SMA hurdle of 0.6535 to cap short-term upside of the Aussie pair. Following that, a downward-sloping resistance line from early January, close to 0.6615 by the press time, will precede a 15-week-old horizontal resistance area surrounding 0.6640-45 to challenge the buyers. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 0.6645, the previous monthly high of near 0.6670 will act as the final defense of the bears.
Meanwhile, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s downturn from December 2023, close to 0.6480, put a short-term floor under the AUDUSD prices. Also acting as an immediate downside support is a one-week-long rising support line near 0.6460. It should be noted that February’s bottom of 0.6440 will act as an intermediate halt during the quote’s weakness past 0.6460 before targeting the yearly low marked the last week around 0.6360.
Overall, AUDUSD justifies upbeat Australia inflation but the pair’s further upside appears challenging.
AudusdThe Australian Dollar traded around 0.6440 on Thursday. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests a bearish sentiment for the AUD/USD pair as it remains below the 50 level. Key resistance for the pair is anticipated at the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of 0.6449, coinciding with the significant level of 0.6450. A breach above this level could strengthen the pair's momentum, potentially testing the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.6475, followed by the psychological barrier of 0.6500. On the downside, notable support is identified at the psychological level of 0.6400. A breach below this level might increase downward pressure on the AUD/USD pair, potentially leading it towards the major support level at 0.6350.
AUDUSDThe Australian Dollar traded around 0.6440 on Thursday. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests a bearish sentiment for the AUD/USD pair as it remains below the 50 level. Key resistance for the pair is anticipated at the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of 0.6449, coinciding with the significant level of 0.6450. A breach above this level could strengthen the pair's momentum, potentially testing the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.6475, followed by the psychological barrier of 0.6500. On the downside, notable support is identified at the psychological level of 0.6400. A breach below this level might increase downward pressure on the AUD/USD pair, potentially leading it towards the major support level at 0.6350.
AUDUSD extends recovery on mixed data but stays on bear's radarAUDUSD prints mild gains around mid-0.6400s despite mixed outcomes of the Aussie employment report and the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) quarterly Bulletin. In doing so, the risk-barometer pair also cheers the US Dollar’s pullback, as well as cautious optimism in the market, while defending the previous day’s rebound from 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of October 2022 to February 2023 upside. It’s worth noting, however, that bearish MACD signals and the quote’s sustained trading beneath the support-turned-line stretched from early November, close to 0.6510 at the latest, challenge the buyers. Even if the pair manages to remain firmer past 0.6510, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 0.6550 and a 3.5-month-old horizontal resistance zone surrounding 0.6640-50 will be crucial for the bulls to cross before retaking control.
Meanwhile, the AUDUSD pair’s fresh selling could aim for the retest of 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level surrounding 0.6380. Following that, the nearly oversold RSI (14) and an ascending support trend line stretched from late 2022, around 0.6350 at the latest, will be the key test for the bears. Should the quote remain weak past 0.6350, the odds of witnessing a slower grind toward the previous yearly low of 0.6270 and the year 2022 bottom of 0.6170 can’t be ruled out.
Overall, the AUDUSD pair’s latest rebound could be considered an opportunity for fresh selling. However, the fundamentals need to be watched carefully before taking positions.
Price analysis of USDAUD Focus on Chart....
I done my analysis on this pair of currency and gave results in this image .
AUD/USD Elliottwave analysis Monthly analysis of AUD/USD suggests we may see around 2000-3000 points of 3rd wave in coming years.
3rd of the 3rd is under progress if the low will not break the downside. If everything is as planned then we may see 0.86 soon .
AUDUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
AUDUSD rebound remains elusive below 0.6500AUDUSD portrays a corrective bounce from the lowest level in a month, snapping a three-day downtrend, amid mixed data/events from Australia. Also allowing the Aussie pair to consolidate recent losses is the market’s reaction to the upbeat data from China, Australia’s biggest customer, as well as the below 50 levels of the RSI line. However, the bearish MACD signals and the quote’s sustained trading beneath the 0.6500 support confluence, comprising an ascending trend line from early November and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the quote’s late 2023 moves, challenge the bullish bias. Even if the quote manages to cross the 0.6500 support-turned-resistance, a convergence of the 50-SMA and the 200-SMA near 0.6545-50 will be a tough nut to crack for the buyers. Following that, the 0.6600 threshold and a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since January, near 0.6635-40, will be the last defenses of the pair sellers before giving control to the bulls.
On the contrary, a two-month-old horizontal support around 0.6475 restricts the immediate downside of the AUDUSD pair ahead of the yearly low marked in February around 0.6445. In a case where the Aussie pair remains bearish past 0.6445, the early November swing lows surrounding 0.6340 and 0.6320 could test the sellers before directing them to the previous yearly low of 0.6270. It’s worth noting that the quote’s weakness past 0.6270 will make it vulnerable to slump toward the year 2022 bottom around 0.6170.
Overall, the AUDUSD pair is likely to remain bearish and the latest recovery appears less convincing.
200-SMA tests AUDUSD rebound from six-week-old supportAUDUSD struggles to defend the week-start recovery from an ascending support line stretched from early February as traders await the key US Durable Goods Orders and the Aussie inflation data, scheduled for Tuesday and Wednesday respectively. In doing so, the risk-barometer pair jostles with the 200-SMA hurdle surrounding 0.6555. It’s worth noting that the market’s cautious mood joins the sluggish MACD and steady RSI (14) line to raise doubts about the quote’s further upside. Even if the buyers manage to cross the key SMA hurdle, an 11-week-old horizontal resistance surrounding 0.6635-40 will be a tough nut to crack for them before retaking control.
Meanwhile, AUDUSD sellers should wait for the aforementioned data, as well as the pair’s daily closing beneath the multi-day-old support line, close to 0.6515 by the press time, before entering. Even so, the monthly low of 0.6477 and February’s bottom of 0.6442 will challenge the quote’s downside. Following that, the bears could gain a free hand in targeting the 0.6400 round figure and the late 2023 swing low of near 0.6270.
Overall, AUDUSD pares recent losses ahead of the key data/events but the recovery appears less convincing.
"Analyzing Bearish Momentum: AUDUSD on the Daily Time Frame"AUDUSD is forming a bearish flag pattern on the daily time frame.
The bearish flag pattern suggests a temporary pause in a downtrend before a potential continuation of downward momentum.
Traders should anticipate further bearish pressure in the coming weeks based on this pattern.
The bearish sentiment is strengthened by the inverse correlation between AUDUSD and the USDX (US Dollar Index).
The USDX is currently displaying bullish momentum, indicating a strengthening US dollar.
As the USD strengthens, it is expected to apply additional downward pressure on AUDUSD.
It's crucial for traders and investors to monitor key support and resistance levels, as well as any potential market catalysts that could influence the currency pair's movement.
AUD/USD: A Third Wave "...Wonders to Behold..."Prices advanced in five waves from 0.6477 to 0.6667. This wave pattern is significant because impulse waves identify the direction of the larger trend. Thus, the five-wave advance in AUDUSD implies further buying to come that would push prices above 0.6667 as wave (iii).
The subsequent decline that is developing in three waves supports this analysis. Counter trend price action typically consists of three waves, so we expect another move up. Moreover, the three-wave decline travels to 0.6550 to retrace 61.8% of the previous impulsive advance. 61.8% is a common retracement for corrective waves especially when they occur as wave 2 of an impulse or wave B of a zigzag correction.
Also nearby is 0.6558, the price level at which wave c equaled wave a, which is a common Fibonacci relationship between wave C and A of zigzag correction.
Also adjacent is 0.6560, the end of the fourth wave of one lesser degree. As a guideline, corrections tend to end upon reaching the end of the previous fourth wave of one lesser degree.
Besides, the correction is unfolding as a Zigzag A-B-C with a triangle characteristic in the b wave position as is common. Also, the correction neatly adheres to the parallel channel with wave c hugging the lower boundary of the channel.
These cluster of evidence suggests that prices are approaching an important juncture and a reversal to the upside is on the horizon. If so, then a break above 0.6629 would virtually indicate the correction ended and the next significant move is to the upside.
Trading Plan
Entry : Buy at market.
Protective Stop : 0.6477; in an impulse wave 2 can NEVER retrace 100% of wave 1.
Target : 307 pips i.e ((0.6667-0.6477) X 1.618)
In an impulse, the third wave commonly travels 1.618 times the length of the
first.
Risk-to-Reward : 1:3
AUDUSD sellers should keep eyes on 0.6510 and Fed talksAUDUSD stays on the way to posting a second consecutive weekly loss while reversing the post-FOMC rally. In doing so, the Aussie pair portrays a U-turn from an 11-week-old horizontal resistance surrounding 0.6640 amid a pullback in the RSI (14) line from overbought territory and a looming bear cross on the MACD. Also keeping the pair sellers hopeful is the clear downside break of the 200-SMA, close to 0.6545 at the latest. It’s worth noting, however, that an upward-sloping support line from mid-February, near 0.6510 at the latest, appears a tough nut to crack for the bears. Following that, the yearly bottom surrounding 0.6440 and the previous yearly trough surrounding 0.6270 will lure the pair sellers.
Meanwhile, AUDUSD buyers remain off the grid below 0.6640 but an intermediate recovery can’t be ruled out if the quote manages to stay beyond the 200-SMA level of 0.6545. That said, the pair’s successful trading above 0.6640 allows it to cross the 0.6700 round figure while 0.6730 and 0.6780 could challenge the bulls afterward. In a case where the buyers keep the reins past 0.6780, the late 2023 swing high of near 0.6870 seems a welcome level for them.
Overall, AUDUSD is likely to witness further downside but the room toward the south appears limited.
AUDUSD Trade Idea [Pre FOMC]Potential AUDUSD Sell ahead of the FOMC meeting. Potential TP levels are +2.5R and +4.2R.
AUDUSD PRICE WILL BE DOWN FALL TILL AT 0.06562 TAKE A SHORT AUDUSD PRICE will be DOWN FALL TILL AT 0.06562 take A SHORT ENTRY as shown in the picture
AUDUSDTrade logic
1- daily bearish
2-retest at 15m done downside
3-break of previous day low wig.
4-rejection fib level0.5 at h TF
Manage your risk properly.
let see where it goes .
target to the lower side liq.
AUDUSD upward movement would be anticipated from the zone below which corresponds with the lower green line
caution : this week is the time for both central banks for rate meeting mind their effect
#triggerpriceaction
AUDUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
AUDUSD sellers attack 200-SMA to revisit 0.6525 key supportAUDUSD appears well-set for biggest weekly loss in seven while extending the previous week’s U-turn from a 3.5-month-old horizontal resistance area surrounding 0.6675-80. The Aussie pair currently pokes the 200-SMA support near 0.6565 amid an impending bear cross on the MACD and a retreat in the RSI (14) line, which in turn suggests slower grind toward the south. Hence, the quote is likely to break the adjacent SMA support of 0.6565 and aim for an upward-sloping support line from mid-February, close to 0.6525 at the latest. In a case where the bears keep the reins past 0.6525, the monthly bottom of 0.6477 and the yearly trough surrounding 0.6442 will be in the spotlight.
Meanwhile, AUDUSD rebound needs validation from late February swing high of 0.6595, as well as the 0.6600 round figure. Following that, multiple swing highs marked so far during 2024 near 0.6625-30 could test the buyers. It’s worth noting, however, that the Aussie pair’s further advances remain elusive unless the quote offer a daily closing beyond the aforementioned multi-month-old horizontal resistance zone near 0.6675-80. Should the bulls manage to keep the reins past 0.6680, the 0.6700 and 0.6750 might entertain them before highlighting the late 2023 swing high of 0.6871.
Overall, the AUDUSD pair is likely to decline further and can challenge the key support line as traders await a few more US consumer-centric data ahead of the next week’s FOMC monetary policy meeting.
