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DXY - 4H ANALYSIS What is Wyckoff Distribution Cycle? An accumulation cycle is typically followed by what is known as Wyckoff Distribution. Wyckoff Distribution Schematic - After the dominant traders have increased their position during the Wyckoff Accumulation cycle, they will sell off their positions when the asset’s price is high. The Wyckoff Distribution cycle will happen across five phases. 1. Preliminary Supply (PSY) - This phase typically occurs after a prominent price rise. Dominant traders will sell off large portions of their positions resulting in an increase in the trading volume. 2. Buying Climax (BC) - The increased supply causes retail traders to begin taking up positions. This demand causes the price to continue rising. Dominant traders can sell off th eir positions at a premium price. However, this phase relies on high demand from retail traders so that the selling off by dominant traders does not bring down the asset’s price. 3. Automatic Reaction (AR) - The end of the BC phase is marked by a price drop. This happens as fewer traders are buying up positions even though there is still a large supply available. The increased number of sell orders or supply causes the price to drop. It will eventually reach the AR level which is the lower price boundary of the Wyckoff Distribution Cycle. 4. Secondary Test (ST) - In this phase, the price rises back to the BC range. This is where traders are testing the balance of supply and demand. The top price of this test occurs when there is more supply than demand. As the price reaches the BC price range, less trading will occur. 5. Sign of Weakness, Last Point of Supply, Upthrust After Distribution (SOW, LPSY, UTAD) - The SOW occurs when the asset’s price falls near or below the initial boundaries of the respective Wyckoff Distribution Cycle. This occurs when there is more supply than demand and signals price weakness. Following the SOW is the LPSY. In this phase, traders are testing the support of the asset’s price at these lower levels. There may be a small rally, but any rallies will be difficult as the result of either too much supply or too little demand. The last possible phase is the UTAD, which is just what it sounds like. This phase of the Wyckoff Distribution Cycle is not guaranteed to occur, but if it does, it will typically occur near the end of the overall cycle. The asset’s price will increase as a result of increased demand and push the upper price boundary of the entire cycle. Conclusion - The Wyckoff Market cycle is hotly debated in crypto circles. Some claim that the signs involved in a Wyckoff Accumulation can be seen in the market changes for certain crypto assets, and others disagree. Regardless, understanding the potential causes occurring in the market is helpful. Learning about methodologies that other traders use can prepare you for making your own trading decisions
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by PAFXLTD
4
DXY near a make or break zone!TVC:DXY As we can see in the chart, DXY has broken the most recent low which is an early indication of a downtrend. If DXY takes support in this region, we could see a good support being formed. The question is, how does it affect affect the stock market and economy as a whole. Firstly, we need to understand the correlation between DXY and the stock market. Generally, when DXY moves down, the stock market goes up and vice versa. Considering the markets are at an important juncture, I will wait for some confirmation on the trend. If DXY breaks down, my bias will change from bearish to bullish on the stock market. To trade this bias, we need another confirmation on the Nifty50 chart. You can find the Nifty 50 analysis on my next post. With the inversion in 10Y-2Y bond yields( Indication of recession), DXY falling and stock markets going up- there isn't any clear direction for me. I will wait for a couple of days to get my confirmation and then enter trades. It is always better to sit on cash and protect your capital if the markets aren't making sense to you! Follow AVZ_Trades for more such content on trading and finance! #trading #forex #dxy #recession #economy #avz #avztrades
TVC:DXY
by AVZ_Trades
DXY set for Decisive MoveOn Daily Basis: US Dollar Index (DXY) is correcting after it achieved the target of 109.29 as predicted in earlier published idea. 105.50 is a near term support level which is a test of DXY for further next decisive move. The trend is bullish right now and it should take the support of 105.50 with next probable target of 112 to 114. RSI on weekly basis has come down and on monthly basis it has scope to go to extreme overbought position which means it will be a final up leg. Usually it is volatile top. August or September may prove to be a blow off top in DXY. The ultimate target of 120 may not be ruled out. Warning and Disclaimer: Above prediction should not be taken as financial advise, it is a personal opinion. Consult your financial advisor. Investment is subject to market risks. Past performance is not the guarantee for future performance. It is for educational purpose only.
TVC:DXYLong
by AnkurSharda3