DXY Weekly analysisThe 4-hour chart of Dollar index has completed an (1-5) Elliot wave. It is due for an ABC corrective wave.
The price action indicates that it has broken the support of 94.18.
A small pullback up to the support level is expected.
Once the the support has been re-tested the index will move towards the next support level placed at 93.22.
Trade ideas
DXY Technical analysisThe daily chart of the dollar index has formed a Full Elliot Wave.
It is due for a correctio n in the form of ABC Wave.
Also there is a possible double top pattern forming in the counter.
The pair has also formed a evening sta r pattern in the candlestick.
So as per the above analysis,we can expect a strong a downside in the Dollar index.
DXY Elliot wave analysisThe 15-minute chart of Dollar Index is currently is downtrend and formed a Elliott Wave as indicated by us in the chart.
The 5th wave has almost completed its rally and we expect the counter to form a corrective ABC wave.
It is also in the strong support zone and so we can expect the dollar index to be bullish up to the corrective wave pattern C
which may extends up to the resistance@94.93.
DXY Technical analysisThe daily chart of Dollar index has formed a cup and handle pattern.
Although, it’s a continuation pattern many analysts now use it to predict a trend reversal also.
It has also formed a handle by taking a retracement of 25%.
As per our analysis, we expect a major bullish move in the counter if the index can sustain above the value of 95.03 .
On the contrary,if the index moves below the value 93(the lowest point of handle), the index can turn bearish.
DXY 4HRIt will touch 92.55 and once a confirmation breakout happens, then it will be a trendline movement. Big bearish engulfing candle pops up in this chart and no price action happens until now.
IMPORTANT : Since this week all USD pairs are in major support/resistance, be careful. Don't enter so early.
Contra Trade: Short the Dollar Index at CMP 92.7, SL93.5 ,TGT 91So Dollar Index has met with its old friend - a downtrendline - after a long time. We can expect an interim fall in the index from current levels of 92.7 to levels of around 91.
Its a contra position to market sentiments, hence extreme caution is adviced, however the gains will be sweet!
The RSI is also dropping from overbought levels to 68 levels, look poised to cool down further.
DXY heading for 90.50As expected, DXY continued to gain strength and move south on the chart. DXY stands at the moment at 89.70 area and is heading for 90.50 move. DXY strength may be temporary, as a retracement of the longer term downtrend, and if DXY reaches levels of 90.50 but does not manage to break above this structure, we may expect a stronger move downwards.
DXY will turn into bullish if head and shoulder bottom formedYou can see two head&shoulder in the chart. For the frist pattern, it's the beginning bearlish trend of DXY.
Now, the price is out of the decline channnel,it means that the decline trend has already change ! And the MACD is above the 0 zone.
If the head&shoulder bottom is formed ( it has not been formed yet!), the trend of USD will competely change! 94.25 will be the key point!