D’Mart (Consumption) Possible Throwback to breakout levelD’Mart (Consumption)
Chart Context:
D’Mart after its breakout near ₹4524 with EMAs aligned bullishly d'Mart Start Weakening and possible throwback to the breakout level. RSI is above 69, indicating strength. Fib levels highlight potential upside to ₹4,885 → ₹5,145.
Post Caption:
"D’Mart sustaining above ₹4,524 breakout zone.
Upside levels: ₹4,885 → ₹5,145.
Stop near ₹4,540.
🛒 Consumption theme continues to show leadership."
DMART trade ideas
AVENUE SUPERMARTS LTD#STOCK : # Avenue Supermarts
#Chart Time Frame : #Daily
#Structure : #Symmetrical Triangle BO on daily basis
On #Daily Time Frame the stock has given a good BO of Symmetrical Triangle Pattern with increasing volumes
So it looks good for long as per the levels mentioned below :
#CMP : 4558 or BoD 4400
#Target 1 - 4690
#Target 2 - 4925
#Target 3 - 5160
#SL - 4100
#Holding Time Frame - #Medium Term
All Charts & Studies posted here are only for #EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE
DMART – A Clean Case Study in Patience & Price Action________________________________________
Ticker: NSE: DMART
Sector: Retail – Supermarkets & Hypermarkets
Market Cap: ≈ ₹2.78 lakh crore (approx as of July 30, 2025)
Current Price: ₹4,281.40 (up ~7% on July 30, 2025)
Technical Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
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📢 DMart (Avenue Supermarts) Update – July 30, 2025:
If you’re a new investor tracking India’s retail space, DMart just gave us a masterclass in how market sentiment can flip fast — and why fundamentals still matter.
In its Q1 FY26 results, DMart reported a modest 2% profit growth (₹830 cr), despite a solid 16% jump in revenue. This raised concerns among analysts about tight margins and intensifying competition, especially from fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) and quick-commerce players. Not surprisingly, the stock dipped around 2.6% post-results.
But fast-forward to late July, and the narrative flipped.
On July 30, DMart shares surged 7–8% intraday, marking their biggest rally since March, after announcing the opening of its 426th store and laying out a bold expansion plan. The market cheered the company’s strong growth visibility and confidence in its value-retail model. CEO Neville Noronha emphasized the importance of store additions, digital scaling via DMart Ready, and the company’s resilience in a competitive landscape.
On the digital front, online grocery sales grew 21% YoY to ₹3,502 cr in FY25 — a good sign of consumer shift — though losses widened as DMart expanded into new cities.
What’s the takeaway? For learners, this is a great example of how stocks don’t move just on earnings, but on future guidance, strategy, and investor confidence. DMart may not have wowed with profits this quarter, but its long-term vision still packs a punch.
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📉 Technical Analysis | Chart Pattern: Potential Breakout Brewing:
DMART has been consolidating in a symmetrical triangle pattern on the daily chart since April 2025 — a classic setup that often signals a big move ahead. On July 30, the stock showed signs of life with a strong 7% gain and a 5× volume spike, which usually reflects institutional accumulation and rising trader interest.
🔍 But here’s the key insight:
Despite the surge in volume, the price has not yet convincingly broken above the triangle’s upper trendline. This means there’s no valid price breakout yet — only a volume-based alert. For newer traders, this is a great example of why volume alone isn't enough. A true breakout needs a strong candle closing above the pattern, preferably with follow-through buying.
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🔼 Key Resistance Levels to Watch:
₹4,403 – Recent swing high and immediate target if breakout confirms
₹4,526 – April top and near-term bullish milestone
₹4,728 – Long-term resistance if momentum builds up post-breakout
🔽 Important Support Levels:
₹4,078 – Breakout support zone and first pullback entry area
₹3,876 – Base of the triangle, also a structural support
₹3,753 – Deeper support, invalidation point if breached
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🧭 Strategy Insight for New Traders:
This is a textbook case of a "breakout watchlist" setup. With strong bullish indicators — RSI > 60, MACD crossover, Supertrend flip, and a BB Squeeze breakout setup — the chart is preparing for a move. But confirmation is key.
✅ Wait for a clear breakout above the trendline with sustained volume
✅ Avoid chasing the move too early — breakout traps are common
✅ If the breakout confirms, ₹4,403 and ₹4,526 become logical targets
✅ A retest toward ₹4,080 could offer a low-risk long entry if supported by volume
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🧠 Pro Note for Beginners: A breakout isn’t just about price jumping — it’s about structure, confirmation, and follow-through. Think of volume spikes as the "whispers" before the market makes a bold statement.
________________________________________
🔍 Fundamental Analysis:
If you’re just starting out in stock market investing, DMART offers an interesting case study—a well-run retail company with strong fundamentals and a clear growth story. As of July 2025, DMART has shown solid performance, especially in revenue growth, while keeping debt levels incredibly low.
In Q1 FY26, the company posted standalone revenues of ₹15,932 crore—up 16.2% YoY—highlighting strong consumer demand and steady growth momentum. Over the full FY25, consolidated revenue rose nearly 17% YoY, reflecting DMART’s consistent top-line performance. However, while revenues are rising fast, margins have seen slight compression. PAT (net profit) for FY25 stood at ₹2,707 crore with a PAT margin of 4.6%, down from 5% a year earlier.
DMART’s earnings per share (EPS) is growing steadily too—₹41.61 in FY25, up ~7% from last year. But with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of ~96x, the stock trades at a steep premium compared to peers, signaling that the market has high expectations for its future growth.
One of DMART’s biggest strengths is its minimal debt—the company operates with almost zero leverage, giving it exceptional financial flexibility. It also generates healthy free cash flows from its core retail operations, though its online grocery venture (DMart Ready) is still in the investment phase, posting losses as it expands.
From a valuation standpoint, DMART is expensive, no doubt. But investors are paying for its scalability, low-risk model, and disciplined management. With 415 stores across India and consistent quarterly additions, the company continues to grow organically while maintaining a lean balance sheet.
🔔 Bottom Line for Beginners: DMART is a financially strong and well-managed company with proven business fundamentals. But with a very high valuation and slowing profit growth, new investors should be cautious. It may be wise to watch for better entry points or wait for earnings to catch up with the price. For long-term investors with patience and a high-quality bias, it could still be a worthy contender—especially if margins and digital growth improve.
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📈 DMART Chart Study – Educational Swing Trade Example:
Disclaimer: This is an educational post intended to help new traders understand breakout setups. This is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any stock or security. Always consult your registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
If you're learning how swing trades work, this DMART daily chart setup from July 30, 2025, offers a great example of how price action, volume, and key levels can come together. It’s a practical case study to understand the breakout trading concept.
________________________________________
🛠️ Trade Structure (For Educational Purposes)
Reference Entry Price: ₹4,324.00
Reference Stop Loss: ₹3,925.85
Risk-Reward Scenario: Approx. 1:1, with potential extension to 1:2+ (based on hypothetical higher target)
________________________________________
🔍 Key Chart Observations:
✅ Breakout Candle Formation: A strong bullish candle closed near its high — a typical sign of price strength.
✅ Volume Confirmation: Volume surged to 3.39 million shares, which is over 4× the daily average — often seen in breakout moves.
✅ Price Range Context:
• Support/Base Zone: Around ₹3,340
• Initial Target Zone: ₹4,557.70
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📘 Educational Insights:
🔴 Risk-Reward Perspective: At the observed entry level, the risk-to-reward ratio was near 1:1 — not ideal for most strategies. A more efficient trade setup might occur on a pullback or with a more distant target.
🔄 Retest Possibility: If the price retraces to ₹4,150–₹4,200 with lower volume, that zone could serve as a reference for learners exploring re-entry setups (purely for study).
🧠 Capital Risk Planning: Risk management is crucial. Avoid risking more than 2–3% of total trading capital on any single idea, no matter how strong the pattern looks.
________________________________________
📌 Beginner Learning Point:
Breakout trading is more than just chasing big candles. A proper breakout setup usually involves volume surge, clear consolidation range, and defined risk management. Learning to combine these elements is key to developing trading discipline.
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🧾 Why I’m Watching DMART — A STWP Perspective for Beginner Investors:
One of the best lessons I’ve learned in my investing journey is this: It’s better to buy a great business at a fair price than a fair business at a great price. And when I look at DMART (Avenue Supermarts Ltd.), I see the foundation of a truly great business — even if the price isn’t quite right just yet.
________________________________________
🛒 A Business Anyone Can Understand:
DMART isn’t chasing trends or building flashy tech. It’s focused on something much simpler — and far more reliable: selling everyday essentials. Groceries, home goods, basics — the things people need no matter what. And they do it efficiently, consistently, and affordably. That simplicity, when executed well, is a major strength.
________________________________________
🧱 A Strong, Repeatable Model:
What really impresses me is their cost discipline. DMART owns many of its stores, keeping rental costs low. They avoid unnecessary frills and instead focus on efficiency and tight operations. The result? A cost advantage that’s tough for others to beat. Even though retail has thin margins, DMART’s model is scalable, profitable, and built for the long haul.
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👨💼 Led by a Trusted Name:
The company is backed by Radhakishan Damani — a man known for his patience, clarity, and capital discipline. He’s not in a rush to make headlines. He’s building something durable. And when you find great leadership combined with a focused business model, that’s a rare combo worth watching.
________________________________________
📉 Why This Stock Is on My Watchlist?
In one word: Valuation.
DMART often trades at 80–100 times earnings — which is expensive, even for a wonderful business. As an investor, I’d rather wait for a better deal than rush in and overpay. Great businesses can still turn into poor investments if you don’t get the price right. So for now, I’m staying patient.
________________________________________
📈 If the Price Comes Down…
If the market turns pessimistic or earnings grow into the valuation, DMART will be high on my buy list. Here’s why:
✅ A clean, debt-light balance sheet
✅ A brand people trust
✅ A scalable, cost-efficient model
✅ A long growth runway in India’s retail sector
✅ And thoughtful, no-drama leadership
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🪙 Final Thought for New Investors:
As Warren Buffett says, “Time is the friend of the wonderful company and the enemy of the mediocre.”
DMART, in my view, is a wonderful company. I’d love to own it — but only when the price is right. Until then, I’ll keep watching, learning, and staying patient.
(Of course, one could consider buying a small quantity now and adding more on dips — a strategy that balances quality with prudence.)
________________________________________
⚠️ Disclaimer (Please Read Carefully):
This content is shared strictly for educational and research purposes only.
I am not a SEBI-registered investment advisor, and no buy or sell recommendations are being made.
All views expressed are based on personal market analysis and experience. They are not intended as financial advice.
Trading — especially in derivatives like options — involves significant financial risk. Losses can exceed your initial investment.
👉 Always do your own research and consult a certified SEBI-registered advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
👉 Use proper risk management and only trade with capital you can afford to lose.
The author assumes no responsibility or liability for any trading losses incurred from acting on this content.
By engaging with this material, you agree to these terms.
________________________________________
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Drop your thoughts, questions, or insights in the comments below ⬇️ — let’s learn together!
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🚀 Trade with patience. Trust your charts. Stay clear-headed.
Because the goal is not just to trade — it's to trade better.
Be Self-Reliant | Trade with Patience | Learn with Charts & Zones 📊
DMART – Earnings Incoming________________________________________________________________________________📈 DMART – Earnings Incoming: What’s the Right Time to Enter an Options Trade?
📆 Result Date: 11th July 2025 (Friday)
🕒 Strategy Style: Beginner + STWP HNI Learning Setup
🔍 For Educational Purposes Only
________________________________________________________________________________
🧠 What's the Setup?
DMART is announcing results on Friday, 11th July. We’re expecting a strong move — either up or down — because of mixed expectations around revenue and margins.
When you trade options around results, timing your entry is just as important as selecting the right strikes.
Let’s simplify it ⬇️ ________________________________________________________________________________✅ Option 1: Enter on 10th July (Thursday, After 2 PM)
💡 This is the ideal time for most traders.
🟢 Better option prices (not too inflated yet)
🟢 Good liquidity for smooth entry
🟢 Gives you overnight time to plan
🟢 You avoid the Friday panic crowd
🎯 STWP Suggested Strategy:
Buy 4300 CE + 4100 PE = ~₹180 total premium
This is called a Long Strangle – You win if the stock moves sharply up or down after results.
________________________________________________________________________________⚠️ Option 2: Enter on 11th July (Friday, Before 2 PM)
🔸 You might think, "Let me wait till Friday to get more clarity" — but there’s a catch:
❌ Option prices become expensive (high IV)
❌ Bid-ask spreads get wide (hard to enter)
❌ No time to react if results come intraday
❌ You’re stuck with weekend gap risk without prep
Unless you're experienced or scalping early, it’s not ideal for beginners.
________________________________________________________________________________🎯 Best Timing Rule – STWP Style:
📌 Enter on 10th July between 2:00 PM – 3:15 PM
Why?
You’ll lock in a clean setup with decent pricing and avoid stress.
📆 Exit Plan:
Hold through the weekend → Exit on Monday (14th July) if stock moves sharply 🔥
________________________________________________________________________________🧠 Alert:
Set alerts at:
₹4450 (Upside)
₹3950 (Downside)
If either hits on Monday, trail the winning side and exit the losing leg.
________________________________________________________________________________
📚 This is a learning example – not a trade recommendation.
Options carry risk. Please manage your capital and don’t trade blindly.
________________________________________________________________________________⚠️ Disclaimer (Please Read):
• This chart is shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
• I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
• The information provided here is based on personal market observation.
• No buy/sell recommendations are being made.
• Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
• Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management.
________________________________________________________________________________
DMART – Mixed Signals with Option Chain Clues________________________________________________________________________________📈 DMART – Mixed Signals with Option Chain Clues | Option Chain + Price Action Analysis
🕒 Chart Type: 15-Minute
📆 Date: July 3, 2025
________________________________________________________________________________
🔍 What’s Catching Our Eye:
DMART is displaying notable volatility near its technical range. While the option chain reveals contrasting setups across strikes—with several Calls showing short build-ups and some Puts indicating long build-ups—the overall price action remains undecided. The current equity price (spot at 4348.70) is being carefully watched in relation to its normalized chart range.
________________________________________________________________________________
📌 What We’re Watching For:
We’re monitoring for a decisive move beyond the established range. A sustained move above the Top Range of 2464.4 (normalized chart level) could validate a bullish reversal; conversely, a breakdown below the Bottom Range of 2326.1 might trigger a bearish slide. Given the option chain dynamics, any clear directional breakout—supported by volume—will be key to shaping our view.
________________________________________________________________________________
📊 Volume Footprint:
Today’s volume is recorded at 1.83M, significantly higher than the previous 836.47k, indicating an active session. A continued high volume reading on a breakout or breakdown from our range will be critical for confirmation.
________________________________________________________________________________
📈 Option Chain Highlights:
• On the Call side, the 4,500 CE and 4,300 CE are showing strong short build-ups, while the 4,400 CE stands out with a long build-up—hinting at an emerging bullish bias if the price rallies. Additionally, the 4,600 CE continues to exhibit short build-up pressure.
• On the Put side, the 4,200 PE displays a strong long build-up, suggesting downside protection, and the 4,000 PE also shows long build-up. A notable short covering is observed in the 4,300 PE and the 4,250 PE shows additional long build-up.
These option-chain cues—combined with the volatility in the underlying—highlight the market’s mixed expectations.
________________________________________________________________________________
🔁 Trend Bias:
The bias remains directionally dependent—bullish if a reversal above the top range is confirmed, or bearish if the price falls below the bottom range.
________________________________________________________________________________
🧠 Trade Logic / Reasoning:
DMART’s price action is teetering near its critical range. The normalized technical levels (Top Range: 2464.4, Bottom Range: 2326.1) serve as key decision zones. On the options side, the presence of long build-up in the 4,400 CE suggests that, if the price reverses, buyers could step in. In contrast, the strong long build-up on the 4,200 PE underlines the protective positions if the price breaks lower. With a higher session volume amplifying the move’s significance, caution is warranted until a clear breakout or breakdown occurs.
________________________________________________________________________________
📍 Important Levels to Mark:
🔺 Top Range: 2464.4 – Look for a breakout or a reversal candlestick pattern with confirmatory volume
🔻 Bottom Range: 2326.1 – Watch for a breakdown or a bullish reversal pattern with volume support
________________________________________________________________________________
🎯 Trade Plan (Educational Purpose Only):
✅ Best Buy (Equity): Enter long on DMART if a robust bullish reversal is confirmed—ideally when the price reclaims above the top range (2464.4) with strong volume and supportive candlestick action.
✅ Best Sell (Equity): Take short positions if the price decisively breaks and holds below the bottom range (2326.1) on high volume.
✅ Best CE to Long: Opt for the 4,400 CE when the reversal is underway; its long build-up in the option chain signals the initiation of bullish interest.
✅ Best PE to Long: In a bearish scenario, consider the 4,200 PE—its long build-up indicates traders are positioning for a downside move.
🟢 Demand Zone: NA
🔴 Supply Zone: NA
⚠️ Invalidation Below:
Any bullish setup becomes invalid if DMART breaks and holds below the bottom range of 2326.1 (normalized level) with strong volume.
________________________________________________________________________________
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This post is for educational purposes only.
STWP is not a SEBI-registered advisor.
This is not a buy/sell recommendation.
Please consult your financial advisor before trading.
STWP is not responsible for any trading outcomes.
________________________________________________________________________________
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Drop your thoughts in the comments ⬇️
🔁 Share with fellow traders
✅ Follow STWP for zone-based price action & option chain insights
🚀 Let’s boost awareness of smart & patient trading!
________________________________________________________________________________
Avenue Supermarts Showing Strength – Golden Crossover & BreakoutAvenue Supermarts Ltd is currently displaying a bullish technical structure:
✅ Golden Crossover: A recent crossover of the 50 EMA above the 200 EMA, often considered a strong bullish signal.
✅ RSI at 65.53 is in the comfortable zone – not overbought, indicating room for further upside.
✅ Volume Spike: Today’s volume is significantly higher than the average, confirming buying interest.
✅ Breakout Zone: The stock has broken out of a consolidation zone between ₹4066 and ₹4095, supported by a strong trendline.
🟢 Support: Strong support seen at ₹3340 (multiple touchpoints).
🎯 Target: Potential to reach ₹5900 within the next year if momentum sustains.
Analysis By Mayur Jayant Takalikar --For
LEARNING & OBSERVATIONAL USE ONLY.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered advisor. This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Please do your own research or consult a qualified advisor before making any investment decisions.
DMART | ascending triangle -Consolidation Breakout**Avenue Supermarts Ltd. (D-Mart)**
> **D-Mart (NSE)** approaching breakout zone in ascending triangle 🧱📈
> Key level: ₹4,300.30 — clean structure since April
> RSI 58.95 → bullish momentum building
> Strong base between ₹3,267–₹3,340
> Rising wedge breakout earlier = trend confirmation
> Above ₹4,545.65, next leg toward ₹4,800–₹5,000+ in play
> #DMart #BreakoutStocks #TechnicalAnalysis #NSEIndia
Avenue Supermarts Ltd. (DMART)OBR BASED STRATEGY...
WITH VOLUME based I WILL BUY ABOVE THE BLUE LINE CLOSE OR TRADING TOMORROW EOD
its just a view ,educational purpose only,,
simple candlestick ORB strategy with volume based,
i will buy above the blue line tomorrow EOD may be (3:25PM) for TARGET CHECK THE CHART. my SL BELOW THE RED LINE CLOSE PRICE I WILL COME OUT
SHORT TERM SWING STOCK
I'M NOT SEBI REGISTER ANALYSIST THIS VIDEOS PURELY EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY
DMART: Technical Breakout Signals Major Rally AheadNSE:DMART Technical Breakout Signals Major Rally Ahead after news of its Entry in Uttar Pradesh as the First Store Opened in Agra.
Price Action:
• Current Price: ₹4,228.40 (up 4.17% or ₹169.30)
• 52-Week Range: ₹3,340 (Low) to ₹5,484.85 (High)
• Stock is trading in the upper half of its annual range, showing strong momentum
• Recent price action indicates a successful breakout from the consolidation phase
Volume Spread Analysis:
• Volume spike visible during recent breakout sessions
• Above-average volume of 585.8K shares traded, confirming institutional participation
• Volume pattern supports the bullish price movement
• Higher volume on green candles indicates genuine buying interest
Key Technical Levels:
Support Levels:
• Primary Support: ₹4,100-4,150 (recent breakout level)
• Secondary Support: ₹3,900-3,950 (previous resistance turned support)
• Major Support: ₹3,600-3,700 (demand zone from March-April consolidation)
• Critical Support: ₹3,400-3,450 (psychological level and volume-based support)
Resistance Levels:
• Immediate Resistance: ₹4,400-4,450 (supply zone marked on chart)
• Major Resistance: ₹4,600-4,700 (previous swing high area)
• Target Resistance: ₹5,200-5,300 (approaching 52-week high zone)
• Ultimate Target: ₹5,484 (52-week high)
Base Formation:
• Stock formed a strong accumulation base between December 2024 and April 2025
• Base depth: Approximately 25-30% from peak to trough
• Duration: A 5-month consolidation period indicates institutional accumulation
• Base breakout occurred with strong volume confirmation in May 2025
Technical Patterns:
• Cup and Handle formation visible from October 2024 to May 2025
• Ascending triangle pattern during the consolidation phase
• Higher lows formation indicating strong underlying demand
• Breakout from falling wedge pattern in early May 2025
Trend Analysis:
• Primary Trend: Bullish (upward sloping trendline from December lows)
• Intermediate Trend: Bullish breakout from consolidation
• Short-term Trend: Strong upward momentum with minor pullback potential
Trade Setup:
Bull Case Scenario:
• Entry Strategy: Buy on dips approach recommended
• Momentum continues toward ₹4,600-4,800 levels
• Volume expansion supports further upside
• Sector rotation favouring retail stocks
Entry Levels:
• Aggressive Entry: ₹4,200-4,250 (current market price area)
• Conservative Entry: ₹4,050-4,100 (on pullback to support)
• Ideal Entry: ₹4,000-4,050 (strong support retest)
Exit Levels:
• Partial Profit Booking: ₹4,500-4,600 (book 30-40% position)
• Second Target: ₹4,800-4,900 (book another 30-40%)
• Final Target: ₹5,200-5,300 (ride remaining 20-30% position)
Stop-Loss Strategy:
• Initial Stop-Loss: ₹3,950 (below recent support)
• Trailing Stop-Loss: Trail stops by ₹150-200 as price advances
• Final Stop-Loss: ₹3,800 (if major support breaks)
Risk Management:
Position Sizing:
• Conservative Allocation: 2-3% of total portfolio
• Moderate Allocation: 3-5% of total portfolio
• Aggressive Allocation: 5-7% of total portfolio (only for high-conviction traders)
Risk Factors:
• Market volatility during the quarterly results season
• Retail sector sensitivity to economic cycles
• High valuations may limit upside potential
• Profit booking pressure near previous highs
Risk Mitigation:
• Diversify across multiple retail stocks
• Use a staggered entry approach
• Maintain strict stop-loss discipline
• Monitor sector rotation trends
Sectoral Backdrop:
Retail Sector Overview:
• The Indian retail sector is following the "Everyday Low Cost - Everyday Low Price" strategy
• Strong, organised retail penetration growth expected
• Consumer spending recovery supporting sector growth
• E-commerce competition intensifying, but offline retail remains resilient
Sector Catalysts:
• Festival season approaching (positive for retail)
• Rural consumption recovery expected
• Urban consumption remains steady
• Government policies supporting organised retail
Fundamental Backdrop:
Company Overview:
• Avenue Supermarts follows a competitive procurement, operational efficiency, and cost-effective distribution strategy
• Market Cap: ₹2,75,237 Crores with almost debt-free status
• Leading hypermarket chain with strong brand presence
Financial Performance:
• Q4 FY25: Sales of ₹14,872 crore (16.9% YoY growth)
• Revenue projected to grow 15% to ₹68,000 to ₹70,000 crore
Business Strengths:
• Strong operational efficiency and supply chain management
• Consistent store expansion strategy
• High customer loyalty and repeat business
• Strong cash generation and a debt-free balance sheet
Growth Drivers:
• New store openings in Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities
• Same-store sales growth improvement
• Category expansion and private label growth
• Digital initiatives and omnichannel presence
My Take:
NSE:DMART presents a compelling technical setup with strong fundamental backing. The stock has successfully broken out from a 5-month consolidation base with volume confirmation. Risk-reward ratio favours bulls with proper position sizing and stop-loss management. Traders should consider entering on minor pullbacks, while investors can accumulate on any meaningful corrections toward support levels.
Keep in the Watchlist.
NO RECO. For Buy/Sell.
📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable.
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Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
AVENUE SUPERMART AN INTERESTING MOVEMENT.DMART Stock came into notice after a strong bullish candle with above average volume.
The stock is taking support at 4112 multiple times which makes the level even more strong support.
A close above 4248-4250 level will give a confirmation on upside momentum on daily time frame which can push the stock towards 4346 which is next resistnce level.
The 50 day SMA is also evelving and the driection of the moving average is moving upwards. A more confidence can be seen in momentum when 21 day EMA (blue colour) and 9 day EMA (red colour) crosses above 50 day SMA.
Resistance :
1) 4248-4250
2) 4346
Support :
1) 4134
2) 3987
Discaimer & Disclosure : I am not a SEBI regitered reserch Analyst. This is purely for Educational purpose only.
DEMAND ZONE TRADE SETUP📈 AVENUE SUPERMARTS (DMART) – DEMAND ZONE TRADE SETUP
📆 Date: June 5, 2025
🔍 Timeframe: 15-Minute Chart
Chart Overview:
DMART witnessed a sharp breakout supported by rising volume and faced resistance near 4240. After this move, the price is retracing, offering a possible re-entry near a fresh demand zone.
Wait for price action confirmation inside the zone
Volume analysis adds confidence to the reversal
Risk management is key – always use SL
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DMART : Wait to leap up the 25-28% quick gainHi friends,
Target & Stoploss are mentioned on the self explanatory chart .
DMART is a large cap & profitable company for quite a long .
Please feel free to comment or share your views on my analysis .
Note : I am not SEBI registered advisor . Please consider my analysis for education purpose only .
DMART – Bounced from Demand Zone with Breakout! 🔍 Chart Insights (Weekly View):
✅ Demand Zone Respect: Price rebounded strongly off the key ₹3,200–₹3,500 demand zone, which has acted as a solid base since 2021.
✅ Cup & Handle Pattern Forming: Smooth rounded bottom suggests potential for a long-term bullish breakout.
✅ Breakout on Daily & Weekly Charts: Structure looks bullish across timeframes.
✅ Relative Strength (RS) Flipping Positive: After prolonged underperformance, RS is breaking a downtrend, indicating outperformance potential.
✅ Volume Note: Daily volume confirms the move. Weekly volume is lower due to holiday-shortened week — not a concern unless it persists.
Dmart - Avenue Supermarkets cmp 4238.50 by Weekly Chart viewDmart - Avenue Supermarkets cmp 4238.50 by Weekly Chart view
* Support Zone 3275 to 3375 Price Band
* Resistance Zone 4300 to 4425 Price Band
* Falling Resistance and Rising Support Trendlines are respected by the ongoing momentum
* Basis Resistance Zone breakout one may anticipate for higher price levels on this stock counter
DMart (Avenue Supermarts) Key Takeaways & Investment Framework Bearish Risks : High Valuations: Nifty 50 P/E ~22x (above 10year avg. of 20x).
Global Macro Risks: US Fed rate cuts delayed, geopolitical tensions (China, Middle East).
Sector Specific Pressures: IT (slow growth), FMCG (Rural demand lag).
1. Growth Guidance & PLI Scheme
Revenue Growth (FY25–27E): 15–18% CAGR (store expansion + SSSG).
EBITDA Margin: Stable at 8–9% (cost control, private label focus).
PLI Scheme: No direct benefit (FMCG PLI schemes help suppliers, not retailers).
2. New Products
Private Labels: Expanding "DMart Brands" (staples, snacks, personal care).
Premium FMCG: Imported cheeses, organic foods (higher margins).
ECommerce: "DMart Ready" (express delivery in 15 cities).
3. What’s Different About DMart?
Owned Stores: No franchise model → better cost control.
Private Labels: 20% of revenue (~₹5,000 Cr annually).
High Inventory Turns: 12–14x (vs. industry avg. 8–10x).
No Debt: Zero leverage (unlike Reliance Retail’s capexheavy model).
4. Capex Plan & Sector Analysis
# Capex (FY25–27E)
₹2,500–3,000 Cr/year (50–60 new stores annually).
Focus: Tier 2/3 cities (lower real estate costs).
5. Competition in the Industry
| Competitor | Key Strength | Weakness |
| Reliance Retail | Omni channel, Jio integration | Lower margins (high capex) |
| Big Bazaar | Legacy brand, discounts | Debt issues (Future Group crisis)|
| More Retail | Aditya Birla backing | Limited scale vs. DMart |
| Amazon/Flipkart | Online dominance | Low profitability in grocery |
DMart’s Edge: Low cost model, high inventory turnover, and private labels.
6.Management’s Confidence
Store Expansion: Confident in 50+ stores/year rollout.
Margins: Believe 8–9% EBITDA sustainable (cost efficiency).
ECommerce: "DMart Ready" scaling cautiously (no burn like quick commerce).
The defensive stocks are no more safeDmart CMP 4003
The stock has corrected 40% from the highs. Is it a good buy??
Elliott- the rally is corrective pattern and is compete, which means more correction is on the way.
Fibs- the rally halted at Fib confluence at 4200. This zone is just 38.2% from a lower high. What it means is loads of weakness.
RSI - the oscillator is also indicating weakness.
Conclusion - we may buy certain stocks assuming that they have had a healthy correction and hence is an opportunity. But technical analysis is telling me otherwise, the correction is not done yet. So if u bought it exit it now as a much deeper correction is on the way.