Book some profitsRadico Khaitan CMP 2822
Fibs - the box method is telling me this rally is done. Since the box has been made from the swing lows a bigger correction is on the horizon.
Candlestick - the key reversal on the highs is a reversal signal.
Oscillators - divergence on the detrend and the composite is confirming the reversal.
Conclusion - booking some profits will be prudent.
RADICO trade ideas
Radico Price ActionRadico Khaitan’s stock is trading around ₹2,840 as of early August 2025, having climbed sharply from about ₹2,700 in July and near ₹2,050 back in February. The share price hit an all-time high at the start of August and has more than doubled over the past 12 months, outperforming its peers in the spirit and beverages sector.
Recent price momentum has been driven by strong financial results: for the quarter ending June 2025, Radico reported net sales of over ₹1,500 crore, a year-on-year increase of more than 32%. Market capitalization is robust and the stock is actively traded, with volumes surging during rally periods. However, valuation is elevated: the price-to-book ratio is around 14 and price-to-earnings is at the high end for its segment, reflecting rich investor expectations.
Operationally, Radico maintains steady margins and has shown above-average revenue growth, consistently launching new premium products and expanding distribution. The company’s return on equity averages about 11–12% over three years, slightly below top FMCG performers but stable.
Technically, the stock is in a strong uptrend, trading well above major moving averages, but may be considered overbought in the very short term after recent rapid gains. Liquidity remains healthy, supporting continued volatility and trading opportunities.
In summary, Radico Khaitan is a high-growth, well-established spirits company with strong recent sales and a share price at historic highs. While fundamentals support continued strength, caution is warranted given expensive valuations and the potential for short-term corrections following such a swift rally.
Radico Khaitan Ltd. (RADICO)## 📊 TradingView – Radico Khaitan Ltd. (RADICO)
**1. Fundamental Snapshot**
* **Q1 FY26 Performance (YoY growth):**
* Sales: ₹1,506 Cr (+33%)
* EBITDA: ₹232 Cr (+56%)
* Net Profit: ₹133 Cr (+82%)
* EPS: ₹9.96 vs ₹5.71 last year (+74%)
* **Valuation:**
Market Cap \~₹36,578 Cr, trading at a high P/E of \~89.8, which reflects premium valuations often given to consumer staples and brand‑driven liquor companies.
* **Takeaway:** The company delivered strong double‑digit top‑line and bottom‑line growth, highlighting demand resilience and margin expansion despite a competitive environment.
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**2. Technical View**
* **Trend:** The stock has been consolidating within a rising channel for months, now testing the breakout zone near ₹2,730–2,750.
* **Breakout Signal:** A sustained move above this level could trigger a fresh leg up towards ₹3,000 (approx. 10% upside).
* **Support Zones:** ₹2,600 remains key support; below that, momentum may weaken.
* **Resistance Zones:** Immediate resistance \~₹2,900–3,000.
**Chart Tone:** The ascending trendline breakout attempt shows buyers accumulating at higher levels. If volume confirms, a clear bullish continuation pattern emerges.
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**3. Trading Plan (Momentum View)**
* **Entry:** On breakout above ₹2,750–2,770
* **Target:** ₹3,000+
* **Stop Loss:** ₹2,600
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### ✅ Disclaimer
*This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not investment advice. Please DYOR and consult a SEBI‑registered advisor before making any trading or investment decision. I am not SEBI registered.*
Why RADICO KHAITAN’S Moves Against the Industry TrendStrong Financial Performance and Premiumization Strategy:
Q4 FY25 Results: Radico reported a robust 70.78% increase in net profit to ₹92.07 crore and a 20.90% rise in sales to ₹1,304.08 crore for the quarter ended March 2025, compared to the previous year. For the full year, net profit grew 31.83% to ₹345.61 crore, and sales rose 17.79% to ₹4,851.15 crore. This strong financial performance, particularly in the Prestige & Above (P&A) category (14% volume growth and 19% value growth in Q1 FY25), indicates successful premiumization, setting Radico apart from competitors facing slower growth.
Luxury Brand Focus: Radico’s strategic pivot toward luxury and premium segments, with launches like Ankahi Zaffran Spiced Liqueur at ProWein 2025 and brands like Rampur Asava and Jaisalmer Gold Edition, positions it to capture the growing demand for high-end spirits in India and globally. This focus on premiumization contrasts with regional players focusing on lower-margin segments, giving Radico a competitive edge.
Global Ambitions: The company’s efforts to establish Indian Single Malts as a global standard and its partnership with Saregama for innovative marketing (e.g., Magic Moments Music Studio) enhance brand visibility, potentially driving market share gains despite industry challenges.
Stock Price Volatility and Market Trends:
Short-Term Declines: Despite strong fundamentals, Radico experienced stock price declines in February 2025, with losses ranging from 3.03% to 3.52% on specific days, underperforming the sector on occasions (e.g., -0.81% vs. sector on Feb 28). These declines align with broader market volatility and sector-specific challenges, such as rising input costs (food grain inflation) and delayed excise policies during elections, which impacted industry volumes by 3-4%.
Rebounds and Outperformance: Radico also showed resilience, with notable rebounds like a 3.3% gain on Feb 27 and a 3.02% gain on Feb 19, outperforming the sector by 4.91% and 0.78%, respectively. These recoveries suggest market recognition of Radico’s strong fundamentals, even amidst sector downturns.
Moving Averages: The stock’s position below short-term moving averages (5-day, 20-day) but above longer-term ones (100-day, 200-day) during parts of 2025 indicates mixed sentiment—short-term bearish trends due to market volatility but longer-term bullishness driven by fundamentals.
Analyst Optimism and Market Sentiment:
Analyst Ratings: Analysts remain bullish, with 14 analysts rating RADICO as a “buy” and a 1-year price target of ₹2,733.64 (max ₹3,000, min ₹2,483) as of June 2025. Motilal Oswal initiated coverage with a “Buy” call and a ₹3,000 target, reflecting confidence in Radico’s growth trajectory.
Stock Price Targets: Forecasts suggest significant upside, with a potential increase to ₹2,920.34 in one year (+15.21%) and ₹4,787.14 by 2030 (+88.86%), driven by Radico’s strong brand portfolio and market positioning. This contrasts with the sector’s mixed performance, where competitors may not have similar growth prospects.
Industry-Specific Challenges:
Sector Volatility: The Breweries & Distilleries sector faced challenges in 2025, including a 3.61% sector decline on Feb 12 and broader market fluctuations. Radico’s underperformance on certain days (e.g., -3.11% on Feb 11) reflects these industry headwinds, but its ability to outperform on others (e.g., +0.65% vs. sector on Jan 1) highlights its relative strength.
Input Cost Pressures: Food grain inflation and volatile commodity prices slightly reduced gross margins (41.5% in Q1 FY25 vs. 43.6% prior year). However, Radico’s leadership expects stabilization, supported by government management of rice stocks, which may mitigate sector-wide cost pressures more effectively for Radico due to its backward integration efforts.
Competitive Landscape:
Regional vs. National Players: Radico faces competition in the P&A and luxury segments from organized players, but its leadership believes it is ahead due to innovative marketing and product quality. Regional players are more active in lower segments, not directly competing with Radico’s premium focus.
Market Positioning: Radico’s extensive distribution network and brands like Magic Moments Vodka (1.9 million cases sold in Q1 FY25, sixth largest vodka brand globally) provide a competitive moat, allowing it to navigate industry challenges better than smaller or less diversified peers.
Why RADICO Moves Against the Industry Trend:
Outperformance: Radico’s focus on premium and luxury segments, strong financial growth (e.g., 31.83% net profit increase in FY25), and global brand-building efforts drive periods of outperformance, as seen in its 55.57% stock price increase over the past year (vs. Sensex’s 8.14%) and all-time high of ₹2,665 on May 7, 2025.
Underperformance: Short-term declines (e.g., -15.21% in Feb 2025 vs. Sensex’s -0.74%) reflect broader market volatility, sector-specific challenges like input cost inflation, and election-related excise policy delays, which temporarily align Radico with or exaggerate industry downturns.
Resilience: Radico’s ability to rebound (e.g., +3.3% on Feb 27) and maintain analyst confidence (strong buy ratings) suggests that its strategic focus on premiumization and operational efficiencies (e.g., near debt-free target by FY26) allows it to recover faster than the sector average.
Conclusion:
Radico Khaitan’s movement against the industry trend in 2025 stems from its strategic focus on premium and luxury segments, robust financial performance, and strong analyst backing, which drive outperformance during bullish periods. However, short-term declines reflect sector-wide challenges like market volatility, input cost pressures, and regulatory hurdles, where Radico occasionally underperforms due to its high valuation (noted as an “Expensive Performer”). Its long-term outlook remains positive, with analysts forecasting significant growth, supported by premiumization and global expansion efforts.
RADICO - Cup & Handle Breakout | Daily Chart📊 RADICO KHAITAN LTD (RADICO) – Cup & Handle Breakout | Daily Chart
📅 Chart Date: June 4, 2025
📈 CMP: ₹2,670.80 (+4.78%)
📍 Ticker: NSE:RADICO
🔍 Technical Breakdown
☕ Cup & Handle Breakout Confirmed
A classic Cup & Handle formation has played out with a bullish breakout above the neckline near ₹2,640–₹2,670. The pattern is well-structured, showing clear accumulation followed by a rounded bottom and brief consolidation.
📏 Measured Target:
The height of the cup (~₹620) projects an initial target near ₹3,129, aligning closely with the 161.80% Fibonacci Extension level.
⚙️ Indicators Used
🔹 Chart Pattern: Cup & Handle
📐 Fibonacci Retracement & Extension
📊 Volume Spike: Strong breakout volume
📈 EMA Cluster: 20/50/100/200-day — bullish alignment
🟢 EMA Support: Price sustaining well above EMAs; 200 EMA ~₹2,000
📍 Key Price Levels
✅ Breakout Zone: ₹2,640–₹2,670
🚀 Upside Targets:
📈 127.20% – ₹2,853
📈 161.80% – ₹3,129
📈 200% – ₹3,352 (extended swing target)
🛡️ Support Levels:
₹2,467 – 78.6% Fibo
₹2,333 – 61.8%
₹2,145 – 38.2%
₹2,029 – 23.6%
🔻 Invalidation/Stop: Closing below ₹2,467 (strong Fibo + EMA support zone)
💼 Trading Strategy
Entry: On breakout retest or strong close above ₹2,670
Stop Loss: ₹2,467
Target Range: ₹2,853 – ₹3,129 – ₹3,350+
Timeframe: Short to medium term swing
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before making trading/investment decisions.
Radico Khaitan at a Crossroads: Support, Resistance & MomentumThe stock is in a bullish trend and is forming a box consolidation and break outs.
On the weekly charts the stock is trading around the resistance zone and there are chance of either breaking out or retesting to the lower levels.
Stock seems strong bullish on the charts but indicators are suggesting a bearish move as the stock is around the resistance zone.
Short sell can be initiated in the stock with a strict SL.
On the bullish side the stock is respecting the monthly 20 EMA and has retested it thrice. Radico if turns bearish can be entered around the moving average as Good R:R in the trade can be seen.
Even on the weekly charts, the stock is trading above the moving averages chance of a retest are there but short sell the stock once the support zone in taken out.
Watch the stock a good ROI can be generated in the stock after the break out the stock will be forming new ATHs.
Wait for a pattern near the resistance either for a bearish or bullish move as it is trading around the crucial recent high levels of 2600-2680.
Stochastic indicator on the Monthly TF is trading in overbought zone while on the weekly TF its showing some bearish divergence. Even the monthly RSI is showing a bearish divergence.
Wait for the price action and trade accordingly.
#RADICO - Potential Breakout Keep in WL📊 Script: RADICO
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 Roiunding Bottom Pattern / VCP Set up in Daily Time Frame.
📈 Wait for price consolidating near Resistance.
📈 Can Enter on BO with Volume spike or Wait for Pullback
📈 MACD Nutral
📈 One can go for Swing Trade.
BUY ONLY ABOVE NA DCB
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 2589
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 – NA%
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 – NA%
️⚠️ Important: Market conditions are Okish, Position size 50% per Trade. Protect Capital Always
⚠️ Important: Always Exit the trade before any Event.
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk:Reward Ratio as 1:2, with this RR, you only need a 33% win rate to Breakeven.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Happy learning with MMT. Cheers!🥂
Radico Looking Great NSE:RADICO Made Beautiful Chart Structure today before Results tomorrow.
Keep in the Watchlist.
NO RECO. For Buy/Sell.
Disclaimer: "I am not SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
RADICO – Cup Base Forming | Testing Waters, No Diving Yet📈 RADICO – Cup Base Forming | Testing Waters, No Diving Yet
RADICO is forming a classic cup base on the weekly chart, trading above key DMAS with improving structure and RSI strength. A pilot entry to test the strength of the setup — not a full position.
🔍 Technical Overview
🟢 Structure: Well-formed cup attempting a neckline test
⚠️ Volume: Currently drying up — wait for breakout + volume spike
📍 Entry: Early Pilot Entry t at ₹2,552.45
✅ Add only if ATH breaks (₹2,638.95) with a clean weekly candle and volume confirmation
⚖️ Risk Management
❌ SL is deep (~15%) — manage position sizing carefully
💡 Expect shakeouts — volatility remains elevated
🧠 This is a positional pick, not a short-term play
🔄 Risk: Reward planned near 1:2, but no hard target in the current market volatility
⚠️ Macro Context
Nifty 500 is still below its 200 DMA
The market is not fully out of danger
Be nimble, not aggressive
🧠 Final Thoughts
Test the setup, don’t commit fully yet
Let volume confirm — breakout without power = trap risk
Trade as per your style
Risk management isn’t optional — it’s survival
📉 Disclaimer:
This is not investment advice. For educational purposes only. Do your own research and manage capital based on your strategy.
ready for cheers RADICO KHAITANStock Overview:
Stock Name: Radico Khaitan Ltd, Exchange: NSE
Company Business Profile: Radico Khaitan Ltd is a leading Indian company specializing in the manufacturing and distribution of alcoholic beverages, including spirits and liquors.
Key Levels:
Support (Yellow Zone): ₹1,688.35 - ₹1,891.25
Swing Zone (Green Zone): ₹2,032.45 - ₹2,148.10
Technical Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently at 53.69, indicating neutral momentum. RSI values above 70 suggest overbought conditions, while below 30 indicate oversold conditions.
Volume: 410.85K shares traded, reflecting moderate activity. Higher volume often signals increased interest in the stock.
MA (Moving Averages): The stock price is above the 200-day moving average (₹1,437.52), suggesting a long-term uptrend.
Sector and Market Context: Radico Khaitan Ltd operates within the alcoholic beverages sector, which is influenced by regulatory changes, consumer trends, and economic conditions. The sector shows resilience, and the stock's position above its long-term moving average aligns with the broader bullish market sentiment.
Risk Considerations: Potential risks include regulatory changes impacting the alcoholic beverages industry, fluctuations in raw material costs, and shifts in consumer preferences. Broader market conditions, such as economic downturns or geopolitical events, could also affect the stock's performance.
Analysis Summary: Radico Khaitan Ltd demonstrates a strong upward trend, supported by key technical levels and indicators. While the long-term outlook appears positive, investors should remain cautious of potential risks and market conditions. This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
Radico KhaitanIncorporated in the year 1943, Radico Khaitan is one of the most recognised IMFL (Indian Made Foreign Liquor) brands in India.
The company was initially known as Rampur Distillery Company and was focussed on distillation and bottling for branded players and canteen stores of armed forces.
Later on in the year 1997, Radico Khaitan ventured into its own branded IMFL products and launched its first brand 8PM whisky which became its millionarie brand within a year of its launch.
The company is one of the oldest and largest manufacturers of Indian Made Foreign Liquor (IMFL), a leading supplier of branded IMFL to the Canteen Stores Department (CSD) in India, and the country's oldest and largest malt distiller. It is also one of the largest exporters of Alcoholic beverages from India to 102+ countries.
Long Trade Idea: NSE:RADICO🚀 Long Trade Idea: NSE:RADICO (Radico Khaitan Ltd) 🚀
📌 Current Price: ₹2,111.20
📌 Analyst Target Range (1-Year Forecast): ₹2,380 - ₹2,996
📌 Analyst Consensus: Strong Buy
📊 Technical Analysis Highlights:
1️⃣ Liquidity Sweep:
- Today's daily candle has swept the liquidity from 22nd October 2024, signaling a possible bottom formation and potential reversal.
2️⃣ Nen Star Harmonic Pattern (27.01.2025):
- This harmonic pattern is a strong reversal signal, suggesting the end of the ongoing downtrend and a shift towards bullish momentum.
3️⃣ Relative Strength vs. NSE:NIFTY:
- The 123-period Relative Strength (RS) of RADICO compared to NSE:NIFTY is positive, indicating outperformance and potential upside in the coming sessions.
4️⃣ Chart Pattern - Falling Wedge:
- The stock is forming a falling wedge, which is a bullish breakout pattern. A breakout above resistance could trigger a strong upside move.
5️⃣ Discounted Price Opportunity:
- The stock is trading at a heavy discount relative to analyst price forecasts and fundamental valuation, making it an attractive buy for traders and investors.
- Revenue Growth: Consistent increase in revenue driven by premiumization of products.
- Profit Margins: Healthy margins indicate strong pricing power.
- Industry Outlook: Alcoholic beverages sector remains resilient with growing demand in India.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
*This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Stock market investments involve risk. Please do your own research or consult a certified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. I am not a certified financial analyst.*
Radico Khaitan near Support ZoneRadico khaitan currently trading near support zone.
Multiple resistance point near 2477 now acting as support.
One can place stoploss near recent swing low (recent higher high area) for long position.
Disclaimer : Chart shared is for educational purpose only, no any buy or sell recommendation for stock.
Radico Khaitan Ltd – Resistance Breakout Setup📊 Analysis:
The stock is consolidating just below a key resistance zone near ₹2,457, forming higher lows and indicating bullish pressure. Supported by the 21-EMA and 50-EMA, the price is preparing for a potential breakout with increasing momentum.
📈 Trading Plan:
Entry: Buy above ₹2,460 (on breakout confirmation with strong volume).
Target 1: ₹2,600
Target 2: ₹2,665
Stop-Loss: ₹2,372 (below recent support and EMAs for risk management).
🛑 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:2
💡 Note: Look for a decisive candle above ₹2,460 with high volume to confirm the breakout. Stay cautious if the stock fails to sustain above resistance.
Radico Khaitan Ltd is showing strong bullish momentum.Radico Khaitan Ltd is showing strong bullish momentum and is trading near its all-time highs, presenting a potential breakout opportunity.
Ascending Trendline Support:
The stock has been consistently supported by an ascending trendline since mid-year 2024, indicating a strong uptrend. Multiple tests of the trendline (as shown by the green arrows) confirm its reliability as a support zone.
Current Pattern: V-shape recovery with positive momentum.
Breakout Level:
Daily close above ₹2,450 is significant, indicating readiness for the next leg up.
A successful breakout above this zone could propel the stock toward ₹2,620+
Support Levels:
Immediate support lies near ₹2,350 aligning with a recent low and the ascending trendline.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
The RSI is near 67, which is below overbought levels, leaving room for further upside momentum before hitting overbought territory.
Key Levels and Strategy:
Entry Trigger: Place buy orders above Friday's high of ₹2,480 to confirm breakout continuation.
Target 1: ₹2,620 Target 2: ₹2,700+ if momentum sustains.
Stop Loss: ₹2,400 to manage downside risk.
Position Sizing: Ensure position size aligns with your risk tolerance. The trade offers a good 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio.
Considerations:
Volume Confirmation: Look for high trading volumes as the stock approaches breakout levels to validate the move.
Market Sentiment: Monitor broader market conditions and sector trends for alignment.
Risk Management: Stick to the defined stop-loss levels to safeguard against unexpected reversals.
Disclaimer -
The information provided herein is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any financial decisions.
We are not liable for any monetary loss, that may arise directly or indirectly from the use of information provided.
Is Radio Khaitan Forming a Double Top?NSE:RADICO
The charts suggest Radico Khaitan might be forming a Double Top pattern, indicating potential resistance ahead. Currently, it’s trading near the resistance level of 2425, but there's a good chance it could retrace back to the support zone around 2321 before attempting to break higher.
Interestingly, the stock is still making higher highs, maintaining its upward trend, and has not breached its previous higher low of 2200, established during the last reversal. This highlights a degree of strength in its price action, even amidst market fluctuations.
Given the current market sentiment, Radico Khaitan might remain in a consolidation phase, oscillating within the 2200 to 2500 range in the near term. However, one notable aspect is its valuation—it seems on the pricier side. Radico Khaitan has been the darling of multi-bagger hunters for a while now, which explains the premium investors are willing to pay.
For now, keeping a close eye on the 2200 support and 2425 resistance levels will be crucial to understand its next move. A breakout above 2425 might signal renewed bullish momentum, while a breakdown below 2200 could trigger a deeper correction.