2025.05.15 BITCOINWe are the SeoVereign Trading Team.
With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum.
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The formation of the Deep Gartley pattern has been clearly confirmed, suggesting a valid short-term rebound scenario.
Buying pressure is emerging at the current price level, reinforcing the reliability of the pattern.
Short-term target levels are as follows:
1st Target: 102,807
2nd Target: 103,629
3rd Target: 104,567
Risk management is advised upon entry, and price action around each target level should be closely monitored.
As market volatility may increase, it is recommended to confirm signals in conjunction with supplementary indicators.
BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas
BTC LONGBTC is getting ready for 106000 levels in near term.
Consider the Long position only if this breakout is successful and can add on Dips or Retests too.
Stop loss can be kept at 83000 levels on closing basis.
Dislcaimer: We are SEBI & NISM Certified but not registered hence do your own analysis before trading or investing. We are also not responsible for your profits or losses in Crypto markets.
Is Bitcoin 100K the New Normal?We are the SeoVereign Trading Team.
With precision analysis and sharp market insight, we regularly publish Bitcoin and crypto trading ideas based on technical structure and momentum.
🔔 Follow us to never miss a market update.
📈 Bitcoin Reclaims the 100K Narrative — A New Bullish Wave in Motion
The Bitcoin market is showing renewed strength, with price action suggesting the early stages of a major bullish continuation. We're currently observing a well-formed Reverse Deep Crab harmonic pattern, indicating a potential short-term pullback driven by late-entry short positions — but more importantly, it's setting the stage for a strong long-side breakout.
As momentum builds, this retracement could offer a prime long entry opportunity before the next leg up.
🎯 Key Upside Targets:
1st Target: 105,180 — Initial resistance zone
2nd Target: 105,780 — Key structural breakout level
3rd Target: 106,277 — Measured move from harmonic projection
From a positioning standpoint, the market still shows signs of short-side overcrowding, which could trigger a short squeeze and further fuel upside momentum.
🧠 Strategy Insight:
We're looking to position long into weakness, aligning with both technical structure and broader market sentiment. Risk-managed entries with staggered take-profit levels are advised to capitalize on potential volatility and breakout acceleration.
🚀 Now is not the time to fade strength — it’s time to ride the trend.
4H Bitcoin Analysis — All Eyes on the Midline4H BINANCE:BTCUSDT Analysis
🔹 Cycle Structure Overview:
HWC (High Wave Cycle / Long-Term Cycle): Bullish 🔼
MWC (Medium Wave Cycle / Mid-Term Cycle): Bullish 🔼
LWC (Low Wave Cycle / Short-Term Cycle): Bearish 🔽
The market seems to be offering us a better entry opportunity, and since the higher-timeframe cycles (HWC & MWC) are both bullish, they carry more weight. That’s where our focus is. 📈
🔍 Channel Analysis:
We’ve drawn a clear ascending channel, and here are the key takeaways:
4 valid touches on the top of the channel, indicating buyer strength and a bullish bias.
3 confirmed touches on the bottom of the channel, supporting the structure.
What’s more important:
Price increases volume on the way up,
And volume fades during pullbacks — classic signs of bullish momentum. ✅
⏳ Current Situation:
Right now, price is stuck at the midline of the channel — which is a critical decision zone.
⚠️ If we bounce here, there’s a high probability we’ll head toward the channel top, possibly breaking out.
Also, pay close attention to volume behavior during the latest pullbacks — it’s been dropping, suggesting the correction is losing steam and buyers might be stepping back in soon.
🚫 About Short Positions:
While some may consider shorting if the midline breaks, remember:
That’s against the higher-timeframe bullish cycles.
If you still go for it, you need a tight stop-loss and aggressive partial exits.
Personally, I avoid fighting the bigger trend — not worth the trouble.
🎯 Long Setup Idea:
The key resistance at 102951 is our breakout level.
If price closes a 1H or at least a 15-minute candle above it, that’s your signal.
💬 Want a different coin analyzed next?
Drop it in the comments — if I see strong interest, I’ll cover it in the next update. ⚡
Without proper risk management, you're just a ticking time bomb. ⚠️
— PXA 📊
BTC Bulls Must Defend $103K… Or Say Hello to $99K Again Bitcoin completed a clear 5-wave Elliott Impulse and is now forming an ascending wedge (abcde structure), typically hinting at a possible correction.
Key Levels to Watch:
🔴 Key Bull Level: $103,085 – must hold to maintain bullish structure
🟠 Support 1: $99,265 – breach = deeper pullback
🟡 Support 2: $95,965 – last stronghold for bulls
Outlook:
🔼 A breakout above the wedge = continuation toward $110K+
🔽 Breakdown below $103K = expect correction toward lower supports
Strategy:
➡️ Wait for confirmation. A wedge breakdown = potential short trade setup.
➡️ Breakout = bullish continuation. Always manage risk wisely.
Stay sharp, traders!
Bitcoin Technical Analysis: May 10, 2025# Current Price and Market Context
Price: Approximately $103,160, based on chart at posting time.
# Market Sentiment: Bullish, with 78% of technical indicators showing bullish trends and Fear & Greed Index at 73 (Greed).
Recent Performance: Bitcoin remains resilient, trading above key moving averages after a spring correction, with a strong bullish monthly trend. It hit an all-time high of $109,114.88 on January 20, 2025, but has since consolidated.
## My view: If weekly close exceeds $105,600, expect new all-time highs of $123,930–$127,482.
# Chart for reference
XAUUSD Ultimate Bullish TargetsBulls - Assemble!
XAUUSD has recently shown a decent pullback. It opens new doors for all traders having a bullish view on Gold. According to my analysis, Gold is mirroring it's previous bull run moves, with a few extra volume bursts (50-100 pips) here and there.
So, the max upside potential for Gold is 3680 - 3700 which is Approximately 4000 pips from the current price (3300). This would be my absolute last target, after which it should see a decent correction once again because that would be extremely overbought region.
Refer to the chart for key reversal zones.
Let's see what happens.
Trade Safe, Don't overleverage your positions.
Cheers!
Bullish View for BTC! Expecting to break the trendline and continue its moves towards the upside easily till 100k.
However, failing to cross above 85k will invalidate this trade.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is NOT a buy/sell recommendation. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Views are personal. Please, do your due diligence before investing.⚠️
💬 What are your thoughts on this share it in the comments below. ✌️
🔥 Happy Trading!✅🚀
Bitcoin Intraday Bias – Liquidity Sweep & Rejection Setup"Intraday Setup: I anticipate that during the New York open, the market may sweep the liquidity around 97078, reject from the resistance zone, and potentially move lower."
"No trade setup is ever 100% certain. This is a 15-minute timeframe setup intended purely for monitoring and observation purposes."
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The analysis shared is for educational and informational purposes only. Please conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Trading involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors.
Bitcoin OutLook for Next Week BTCUSDT.pMarket Outlook (BTC/USD):
I’m currently observing the ₹94,125 level on the daily timeframe. A daily candle close below this level would significantly increase the probability of Bitcoin retracing toward the imbalance zone around ₹90,000.
However, there is a key demand zone near ₹86,000, which could act as a strong support and potentially push the market back upward. This area will be crucial in determining whether the bearish momentum continues or a reversal is triggered.
Let’s see how the market reacts around the ₹94,125 level. I’ll post the next update after Monday’s daily candle closes.
Thank you for your continued support — it's truly appreciated.
BTC/USD) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Technical(BTC/USDT) analysis outlines a bullish outlook with key technical levels and scenarios. Here's a breakdown of the idea:
Key Observations:
1. Trend Break and CHoCH (Change of Character):
The chart shows a clear break of the downtrend, confirmed by the CHoCH label — a common Smart Money Concept (SMC) signal indicating a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
2. Key Zones Highlighted:
EVC-Buying Zone: Around 86,000 – 88,000 (aligned with EMA 200), marked as a strong accumulation area.
New Support Level: Around 92,000 – 93,000, potentially forming a bullish support after the recent rally.
Resistance Levels: Two major resistance zones near:
99,600 (intermediate resistance and target)
106,400 (final target)
3. RSI Indicator:
RSI is near 64, indicating strong momentum but not yet overbought — a potential sign of further upside.
4. Two Bullish Scenarios:
Scenario 1 (Aggressive Bullish): BTC continues upward from the current level and breaks above resistance toward the 106,447 target.
Scenario 2 (Retracement Bullish): BTC dips to the new support or even into the buying zone (86–88k), then rebounds to reach the same targets.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Idea Summary:
The chart suggests bullish continuation, with potential pullbacks into strong demand zones. It supports both breakout and retracement entries, with targets at 99,632 and 106,447. If price holds above EMA 200 and RSI remains supportive, the upside thesis remains valid.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Bitcoin Wyckoff Distribution pattern Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The following is for educational and informational purposes only.
Based on the current 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin appears to be forming a potential Wyckoff Distribution pattern. If we see a liquidity sweep towards the upside—particularly around the 95,580 to 95,763 levels—and a subsequent bearish confirmation pattern forms on the same timeframe, we could anticipate a possible move down towards the 93,000 support zone.
Should the price fail to hold at that level, a deeper correction towards the 86,000 area could play out in the coming sessions. However, it is important to note that this scenario is valid only if a clear bearish structure forms post-liquidity sweep on the 1-hour chart.
No strategy guarantees 100% accuracy, and market conditions can change rapidly. This is merely a technical outlook and should not be construed as an investment or trading recommendation.
Why did I choose the short (scalping) direction?Why did I choose the short (scalping) direction?
BTC is currently trading in a narrow range, moving up and down. The D1 uptrend has already played out, from 82K to the 95K zone. Now, we’re waiting for a D1 correction to consider going LONG again. During this D1 downtrend, we can scalp SHORT on H4. However, I’m not choosing to BUY above 95K to chase 97K. Instead, I’ll wait to SHORT or, if no SHORT opportunity arises, wait to LONG again on D1.
MARKET ISSUES "SWING SHORT" SIGNAL FOR MAY Before an earthquake, there are always warning signs, as nature consistently signals. Case studies show that before a flood, ants move in droves to higher ground to build nests. Before the tsunami in Phuket, Thailand, animals fled to the mountains. Nature, and those connected to it, sense the tremors in advance.
As a financial market investor, are you connected to the market? I value your quick, intuitive reactions to major events more than post-event damage assessments or rational explanations. If you're still unsure, "take a moment" to calmly connect with the market.
Amid the market's green storm, you're allowed to feel joy, happiness, and optimism, but you must eventually return to reality. The market has hit an all-time high (ATH), and in the short term, over the next few months, no new ATH will be established. Even with inflation and an overflowing M2 money supply flooding the market, it hasn't flowed into BTC yet, for one simple reason: "they" haven't taken profits on GOLD.
Today, I’m sharing a message in advance: a swing short signal for May. Early, it could hit in the first week of May; at the latest, in the last 10 days of May. Enjoy the market—ride the highs with happiness, embrace the lows with enthusiasm, and you’ll find you don’t need to obsess over uptrends, downtrends, or altcoin seasons.
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TOTAL
The total crypto market capitalization hit an all-time high (ATH) at $3,700 billion and has since corrected downward for 14 consecutive weeks, with funds being withdrawn from the market. Do you see the two green weekly candles? This week’s candle is intriguing for the bearish direction—it makes you feel thrilled and ecstatic. After weeks of continuous decline, with $3,700 billion - $2,300 billion = $1,400 billion withdrawn, they took profits and passed that $1,400 billion worth of assets to FOMO investors.
Right after, the market cap climbed back from $2,300 billion to $2,900 billion, meaning $600 billion flowed back into the market. This makes you unbelievably happy, but that’s exactly when “the assets are handed back to you, the FOMO investor.” If the market then withdraws another $1,000 billion, it means after two waves of withdrawals, the market will have taken $2,400 billion from investors, big and small.
In TOTAL, be cautious of the SWING SHORT, targeting the $2,000 billion zone in May.
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BTCUSDT - Absorbing Crypto Capital Flow
Similar to other key components in the crypto market, BTC has been moving upward for two consecutive weeks, pulling its price from $80k to $95k. It’s currently undergoing a slight correction, after which D1 will see further upward moves, waiting for the right and synchronized moment to execute the Swing Short of a lifetime. The GETTEX:97K - $100k zone is a cautious area—stay calm and don’t get overly excited with unconfirmed upward moves like these.
I’ve shared multiple times that BTC’s all-time high (ATH) is projected at $110k. In the short term, there’s no indication that BTC will establish a new ATH, at least not in May. If it happens quickly, we’ll see the swing short in the first week of May; if delayed, it’ll come by the end of May. During this period, we’ll monitor two more weekly candles. They’ll soon give us the results.
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Dolar Index: The U.S. is devaluing its currency. DXY will continue to decline, lose value, and the Fed will lower interest rates.
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GOLD - Yet to Reach ATH
Gold is the focal point right now and will soon surpass $4,000 per ounce. When "they" take profits on gold, the capital will shift to other assets. If we're lucky, BTC could catch this wave when "they" cash out on GOLD. But it’ll take a while, folks.
When gold hits its ATH, BTC will rise in price.
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Summary:
Prepare for a Swing Short scenario on BTC and TOTAL in May.
Altcoins: Buy any, but only those with a bullish structure.
If you DCA aggressively now, you’ll regret it as your assets get diluted and you miss out on crazy gainers.
If you DCA into coins with a SHORT structure, you’ll watch your friends celebrate while you regret holding coins that are already bleeding capital.
Is there still a chance to buy BTC? 100% yes, but not at this range. No need to DCA at current prices or in the $9X range, as it’ll soon drop lower, letting you buy at the same levels as the U.S. government and ride with them to the ATH.
DXY rises, BTC rises, and XAU (gold) hits its ATH.
Bitcoin’s Next Move? I’m Watching These Key Zones 📍 4H,15mTimeframe – BTC
🎯 Market Cycles:
HWC (High timeframe cycle): Bullish 🔼
MWC (Mid timeframe cycle): Bullish 🔼
LWC (Low timeframe cycle): Ranging 🔁 (price is moving sideways, not trending)
🟢 Since both HWC and MWC are bullish, our focus is on looking for long positions only (buying to profit from price increases).
📌 My strategy is breakout-based, meaning I wait for price to break key support or resistance levels to enter a trade.
❗ As long as HWC and MWC are in the same direction, I avoid trading against them — so no shorts for me in this phase.
But... 👀
Right now, price is testing an area where we’ve seen pullbacks and heavy sell-offs in the past. So, if someone wants to take a very low-risk short, it's possible — but expect a high chance of getting stopped out 🚨
🧠 If you take the short, make sure to secure profits quickly 💰 because the price might bounce fast.
📈 For Long:
Wait for a clean breakout above 94452 – that’s your long entry ✅
📉 For Short:
Watch how price reacts to the trendline in the 15-minute timeframe.
If the reaction is weak, that’s your chance to play the breakout.
Around 91950, if price reacts strongly, it’s a great level to take profit ✂️
💬 If you want me to analyze a coin, drop it in the comments!
⚠️ Without risk management, you're just a ticking time bomb.
— PXA 📊
#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #BreakoutStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis
#PriceAction #MarketCycle #LongSetup #ShortSetup #SupportResistance
#Trendline #CryptoTrader #4HChart #TradingView #PXA
Bitcoin Breaks $88K — Eyes on Key Resistance ZoneSurging Momentum:
In the past few hours, Bitcoin has surged by 10%, breaking through the $88,000 resistance and reaching around $94,000. This marks a powerful continuation of bullish momentum.
Key Resistance Ahead:
The $92,000–$95,500 zone, which acted as strong support between November and February, is now expected to serve as major resistance. A rejection from this range could lead to a short-term retracement.
Retracement Zones:
If Bitcoin fails to break through $95,500:
First support: $91,000
Deeper pullback: $85,000–$87,500
Breakout Scenario:
If Bitcoin decisively breaks and holds above $95,500 on higher timeframes, we could see a continuation toward the next resistance between $102,000 and $108,000.
Conclusion:
Bitcoin is at a key inflection point. Whether it confirms a breakout or sees a short-term correction, this range will be crucial in shaping the next phase of the bull cycle. 📈🔥
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #Breakout #Resistance #Support #MarketUpdate #BullRun