BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas
BITCOIN IN TROUBLEBitcoin has closed below critical support zone of 88-90k on the monthly with a massive bearish engulfing. This lead to the break of the uptrend and trend line(green line) that was holding markets since the 70k breakout from downward trend line(red line). Bitcoin also clearly rejected the upward cyclic trend line (pink line) to perfection marking the pico top of this cycle.
The markets have now tested the broken support forming a lower high and heading down.The target for price in this bearish continuation is 68-72k BTC where lies critical support and is most likely a good area of interest for long positions.
Bitcoin (BTC): technical and fundamental analysis.📈 Technical analysis BTC/USDT
After the correction in the cryptocurrency market, a rebound occurred following Donald Trump's post about including not only Bitcoin but also altcoins in the U.S. national reserve. During this rebound, Bitcoin's price retested the key $95,000 level from below—a level that previously served as strong support but has now turned into resistance. However, buyers have not yet gained enough strength to break through it. The main reason for the current decline is the final approval of tariffs on goods from Canada, Mexico, and China.
If the correction continues and sellers manage to push through the $78,000 support level, we expect a further decline toward the 0.78 Fibonacci level and a retest of the support trendline in the $70,000–$75,000 range. Within the Imbalance 1W zone at $70,000–$73,000, there are significant gaps in horizontal trading volumes that need to be filled through consolidations.
For BTC to resume its upward trend, the price needs to reclaim the 200 EMA and consolidate above the $95,000 resistance level. In this case, we expect further growth, with a retest of the psychological $100,000 level, a major resistance block at $105,000–$110,000, and a potential new all-time high.
📉 Bitcoin market global analysis.
On the daily logarithmic chart, Bitcoin’s price has fallen back below the 200-day moving average. As a result, a candlestick pattern of bearish engulfing of the last upward move has formed. If the daily candle closes below the 200 EMA, this would indicate a continuation of the correction and a potential retest of the global support trendline.
During Bitcoin’s rapid rally in November 2024, an Imbalance 1W zone formed in the $70,000–$75,000 range, featuring significant gaps in horizontal trading volumes that need to be filled through consolidations. This zone aligns with the 0.61–0.78 Fibonacci retracement levels.
Once the correction is complete, Bitcoin’s next growth target could be the global trendline, drawn based on the two peaks of the previous growth cycle. A test of this trendline may occur around $120,000, as confirmed by the analysis of large order blocks in exchange order books.
💠 Analysis of liquidity zones and levels
The Fear and Greed Index is in the extreme fear zone - 15.
The total cryptocurrency market capitalization has dropped to $2.71 billion, and the Bitcoin Dominance Index has risen to 61.39.
According to the analysis of the accumulation of large order blocks in the order books, the supply and demand zones are located at the following levels:
🟢 Demand zone: 70,000 - 80,000
🔴 Supply zone: 100,000 - 120,000
Levels for long positions:
78,000 - large support block
72,000 - downward trend line of support
70,000 - large support block
Levels for short positions:
100,000 - psychological resistance level
105,000 - large resistance block
110,000 - largest resistance block
120,000 - upward trend line of resistance
📊 Fundamental analysis
The stock and crypto markets experienced a sharp decline after U.S. President Donald Trump threatened to impose a 25% tariff on all Canadian and Mexican goods. Yesterday, Trump officially approved new trade tariffs for Canada, Mexico, and China, causing another wave of sell-offs in the U.S. stock market. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 both fell by approximately 2% during the day.
However, on March 2, 2025, a post appeared on TruthSocial, where Trump revealed details about the formation of a U.S. Bitcoin reserve. According to him, the initiative will not be limited to BTC but will also include several altcoins: ETH, XRP, SOL, and ADA. Experts anticipate that additional assets, such as LINK, ONDO, and Litecoin (LTC), may be added in the future. The administration plans to freeze the acquired cryptocurrencies for 20 years. Supporters of this initiative argue that over this period, Bitcoin’s price appreciation could help the U.S. pay off its national debt.
Additionally, the White House is preparing to host its first major cryptocurrency summit on March 7, bringing together industry giants and political figures from Trump’s administration. However, critics argue that including altcoins in the crypto reserve raises concerns about potential insider trading by U.S. authorities. Moreover, there are currently not enough votes in Congress to pass these controversial laws.
Bitcoin’s further growth will also depend on Federal Reserve monetary policy and U.S. regulatory decisions. If the government adopts a crypto-friendly stance, BTC’s price could rise. Otherwise, regulatory resistance may lead to a correction.
🌐 Upcoming Events in the Global Economy
We expect increased volatility in both stock and cryptocurrency markets on the following dates:
➤ 7.03, 16:30 - US Cryptocurrency Summit at the White House.
➤ 07.03, 16:30 - U.S. Unemployment Rate (Jan).
➤ 10.03-14.03 - Senate Banking Committee to Vote on Stablecoin Bill.
➤ 12.03, 16:30 - U.S. Core Consumer Price Index (CPI).
➤ 19.03, 22:00 - New Fed Interest Rate Decision.
➤ 21.03 - SEC to hold first of five roundtables on cryptocurrency issues.
🚀 Statistics of signals from our AI trading indicator:
📈 In February 2025, the price of Bitcoin was in a sideways movement for a long time, then a sharp correction began. Our trading indicator gave 5 signals with the most profitable entry points and minimal risk. Thanks to the latest updates, all signals became profitable, and the built-in anti-flat protection prevented losses from manipulative market movements.
- Total price movement for all signals for the month: + 35.92%
- Maximum price movement for one signal: + 17.89%
- Average price movement for signals: + 7.18%
In addition, I would like to share the forecast of the latest Bitcoin price action by our AI, which not only indicates the direction, but also builds the trajectory of further price movement:
Bitcoin will dump to $76,000 area soonBitcoin is in a falling wedge channel in 4 hr time frame. it is likely to fall to $76,000 area very soon. 📉📉📉
BTC - Buy again for Target of 98-100KThis correction is excellent re test of support of Support and once again expecting bounce for target of 98 or 100K. RSI is over sold at the breakout level indicating a good buy level. having 7th march - Bitcoin summit as double support I only expect price to rise again ....
BTC#19: “Cryptocurrency Reserves” and trading plants💎 💎 💎 After Trump posted about his plan to put BTC into the national cryptocurrency reserve, BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSD had a meteoric rise back to 93~95x. Let's plan to trade BTC: 💎 💎 💎
1️⃣ **Fundamental Analysis:**
📊 The current market is dominated by “US crypto assets”.
🚀 Trump: Will put BTC into the national reserve, this will help the crypto sector break out. However, it is also important to note that the US lacks budget support and crypto reserves are just empty words at present.
📌 The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 93%.
It can be seen that the current cash flow injected into the market is not really significant because interest rates have not yet decreased and the US tariff policy is still waiting to cause an economic war. Current news plays a role in restraining the downward momentum and fear in the recent past.
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **Frame D**: it can be seen that the price is looking for an important resistance area. Note that the current price structure is decreasing, so the price can still turn around at any time when it touches the diagonal resistance zone.
🔹 **Frame H4**: It is clear that yesterday's increase has not yet had any technical recovery to be able to break through the current resistance zone.
🔹 **Frame H1**: Temporarily, the price is still in an upward trend influenced by yesterday's positive news. The previously broken trendline will act as an important support for the price to break out in the near future
3️⃣ **Trading plan:*
⛔ The current area is no longer ideal for establishing a trading position, if the price still has no recovery, we can consider looking for a SELL position when the price reaches the diagonal resistance area when a price structure appears on a smaller time frame. BUY should only be made if the price recovers and accumulates in the old resistance area and an increasing price structure appears on a smaller time frame.
✅ On the D and H4 time frames, the price structure is still bearish, besides, H1 has increased strongly without any technical recovery due to the influence of positive news. So we can completely wait for a trading opportunity when the price finds an important resistance and support zone.
💪 **Wishing you success in achieving profits!**
BTCUSDT TRADING POINT UPDATE >READ THE CHPATIANBuddy'S dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ crypto Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for BTC USDT signals 🚀. BTC list 3 months. Drop 💧. moment close below 👇 big support level now. See tow Big support level. One said close that expect it buying or selling position. 80k close below 1D candle that expect more selling position 49k. ) if not close below 1D back up trand close above 82k 83k expect it more Bullish trend 📈 📈
Key Resistance level 104k
Key Support level 80k 49k
Mr SMC Trading point
Plaes support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
BTC Technical Reversal Signals EmergeFrom the supply and demand structure analysis of VSH (volume spread histogram), the current technical side of the BTC market has initially shown a reversal signal. The core logic of VSH is to identify the direction of intervention of the main funds through the relationship between price fluctuations and trading volume, and the recent K-line structure has shown typical supply contraction and demand-led transformation characteristics.
At the daily level, when BTC tested the key support band below many times before, the trading volume showed a step-by-step decay, indicating that the short selling pressure was gradually exhausted. During the price drop, the K-line entity narrowed and was accompanied by a long lower shadow, reflecting the continued strengthening of the low-level carrying power. Especially in the recent narrow range shock stage, there have been many single-day large-volume positive lines that broke through local resistance, and the trading volume shrank rapidly during the callback, forming a classic reversal structure of "high demand and low supply". This phenomenon of volume-price divergence verifies that the market chips are shifting from weak hands to strong hands.
What is more noteworthy is that the weekly VSH histogram shows that the current price range has shown a "supply test failure" signal for three consecutive weeks: when the shorts tried to suppress the price, they encountered a strong counterattack from the buyers, but the trading volume did not increase simultaneously, indicating that the main funds did not actively distribute at this position. At the same time, the price volatility index has been compressed to the lowest point of the year, and the market has formed a compact bottom structure after sufficient turnover, which usually indicates that the medium- and long-term change window is approaching.
From the perspective of supply and demand balance, the current market has entered the "re-accumulation stage". The main funds cleaned up the floating chips through repeated shocks, and the green demand column of VSH began to appear densely below the key price center, while the red supply column showed a discrete distribution and decreasing momentum. This structural transformation of supply and demand forces means that the market has gradually digested the pressure of the upper locked-in disk, laying a technical foundation for the trend reversal. When the demand expansion finally breaks through the supply critical point, a new round of trend market may officially start
Bitcoin IN CME Gap after Fib circle encounter - what now ?
As mentioned in a previous post, PA got "hit" by the same Fib circle that rejected the 2021 Cycle ATH - the difference being that PA got THROUGH the Fib circle Before turning down and so now, we slide down the outside, in a position of strength to be able to move higher when wanted.
As can be seen on the Daily chart below
This has also brought PA into the CME Gap as expected
Currently, PA is recovering having filled only HALF the gap.
I fully expect PA to return and complete the fill at some point.
Also note the rising line of support that we are heading towards. If we carry on like this, we intersect with it on 3rd March, Next Wednesday at a price around 77400
We will have to wait and see what happens there but this is also where the 50 week SMA will be and so, as said previously, I am expecting PA to bounce strongly
But this is Bitcoin....We have to wait and see what happens and react accordingly.
A Drop Lower would take us out of the Mid 20% Drops we have been having this cycle as can be seen on main chart.
The Next line of rising support on this chart is around -40% and is around the 100 week SMA
I am not to sure we will go there..... But.................
MACD divergence tradingMACD divergence trading helps identify trend reversals using Bullish and Bearish divergences. Bullish divergence occurs when the price makes lower lows, but MACD makes higher lows, signaling a potential uptrend. Bearish divergence happens when the price makes higher highs, but MACD makes lower highs, indicating weakness. Combining MACD divergence with support-resistance and volume analysis increases trade accuracy.
Bitcoin - Targets 116K 126K 148KIn chart i have shown why price is holding at 83K and may not fall further now. Price height from Point of Control to ATH is all most equal to the price range from POC to low of 83 K . IT could have been taken support at 87 or above 83 but due to fear it has seen 83. True some selling came from various sources and little frauds too. But still price is acting technically now. And in wave theory its completion of 4th wave and once support seems to be taking at 83K and move in 5th wave then targets are coming as 116, 126 and 148 K. Serious. These are 5th wave levels as per wave theory. BTC is sure Bullish and soon +ve news are expected and price will follow the Bullish trend. Time duration is not sure up price will march up and up only
Bitcoin Daily just landed on the 200 SMA - what now ?Many people are expecting Bitcoin to Bounce off the 200 day SMA ( yellow & Arrowed)
But I just want to point out what happened last time we tanged for a long time.
We did NOT bounce of it untill PA was ready to
In fact, er fell below numerous times.
So, SORRY, don;t get your hopes up BUT we can watch and react.......
It may bounce but I doubt for long.....
Time will tell
BTC#18: BTC plunges, destination and trading opportunities at th🔥 So BTC has corrected. However, how much it has decreased, we will analyze it right away: 🔥
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊 Widespread Pessimism, Cryptocurrency Market Plunges Sharply
————
⚫Bitcoin and altcoins plunge: Bitcoin drops nearly 5% to $90,000, Ethereum loses more than 10% in two days, Solana drops 15%, Dogecoin drops 13%.
⚫The market is still affected by the $1.4 billion hack last week. Bybit announces compensation but Ethereum is still under pressure.
⚫Weak market sentiment: Many meme coins collapse, limited capital flows cause altcoins to lose value sharply. Solana under selling pressure as it prepares to unlock $1.72 billion in tokens on March 1.
⚫Crypto-related stocks also plunge: Coinbase down for six consecutive sessions, MicroStrategy down 5.7%, BTC mining stocks fall sharply.
🚀 MicroStrategy continues to buy BTC: The company bought another 20,356 BTC worth $1.99 billion, bringing its total BTC holdings to 499,096 VND (~$33.1 billion).
🛫Forecast: The downtrend may continue if market sentiment does not improve and cash flow does not return to altcoins.
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **Frame D**: the bullish structure has been broken and turned bearish. Pessimistic sentiment covers the entire market so it will be difficult to see an immediate recovery
🔹 **H4 frame**: the bearish price structure is more clearly shown. The nearest resistance zone is 93x
🔹 **H1 frame**: the price line is still quite far from the horizontal or diagonal resistance zone, the current price has recovered a bit but the market sentiment is still hesitant about the Fibo 23.6 area as you can see on the chart
3️⃣ **Trading plan:*
⛔The current time is not suitable to catch the bottom of BTC, not only the market sentiment is pessimistic but the basic information has not seen any positive news for BTC. We will need to patiently wait for confirmation from the price line
✅ Priority at the moment. Currently is looking for a SELL position following the main trend. The sharp price drop will have a recovery adjustment but pay attention to stick to the price structure and do not be greedy.
💪 **Good luck trading!**