Bitcoin at Risk: $115.7K Is the Line Between Bounce or BreakdownBitcoin at Risk: $115.7K Is the Line Between Bounce or Breakdown
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is trading below key resistance ($115.7K–$118.9K) and rejected cleanly at the trendline.
As long as price holds below $115,700, bearish bias remains.
⚠️ Failure to reclaim = high risk of breakdown toward $107K and even sub-$100K levels.
Bearish invalidation only above $119K
NFA & DYOR
BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas
FOLLOW: BTC As for altcoin, the nowadays news has created few fluctuations in the market during the past days.
However BTC is following the path.
The downtrend continues, leaving high liquidity area at 122K, and recovering the inefficiency, as btc uses to do.
The ultimate target are still within the buy zone range, with POI at 111K and 104K.
This next drawdown will close the cup shape on daily tf, and follow the bearish altcoin forecasted trend.
Similar to cryptos, it satisfys the sellers and start a new cycle.
Patter-wise, it is similar to the btc's past ones: strong and consisted monthly flag pattern, made by head shoulders or cup shapes on shorter Time Frames.
Psychologically, i think this indicates a pursuing hope in investors behaviour followed by a partial satisfaticion, and so general exit from the maket due to the high price, which drown the price and makes an entry for big whales and institutionals to buy more. And then, price up, hope up...and again new cycle...
Hope has to be meant as a positive social acceptance and public curiosity which led traditional investors to explore this market.
Volumes sings for a high liquid zone at 111K on daily. At the same time the high amount in OI and liquidations at upper levels can led think of a bounce on ranging levels, 111K, and get the upper last targets, ≈122K, ≈135K, ≈154K.
Following the path.
Thanks for reading,
M
BTC - will the history repeat now ? 6th Aug 2025 viewIn Bitcoin previous patterns repeat and many people refer to previous year or earlier pattern.
The price at which price took support and moving up now is similar to the move in below levels in chart as shown and explained. only difference now is in the below pattern wave 3 was much earlier and very aggressive but right now its much lower level tested and yet to move up and show signs of wave 3 to confirm whether history will repeat or not. price action this week is crucial for Bitcoin
BTC LONG SETUP📈 BTC/USD Long Setup – Eyes on the Rebound
Currently observing a potential bounce opportunity on Bitcoin from the 113,500 zone, which has been showing signs of acting as a near-term support.
🟢 Entry: 113,500
🔻 Stop Loss: 113,000 (conservative) / 112,900 (aggressive buffer)
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 114,000
TP2: 114,500
TP3: 115,000
TP4: 115,600++ (trail if momentum confirms)
Context:
Price is reacting off a micro support after a brief consolidation. RSI shows mild recovery from oversold territory, and we're seeing early signs of a potential short squeeze brewing. If bulls hold this level, we could see a clean rally into the mid-115K range.
⏳ Risk-Reward looks favorable here if BTC maintains above 113K. Manage sizing and consider scaling out at key resistance levels.
BTCUSDT – Bullish trend remains intactBitcoin is still trading within a long-term ascending channel. After a mild pullback to the FVG zone around 112,100 USDT, the price rebounded and is now consolidating above the ascending trendline support. If this level holds, BTC is likely to continue toward the upper channel target at 122,500 USDT.
Recent news supporting the uptrend:
Fidelity and BlackRock have continued accumulating Bitcoin-related ETF shares.
Weak US jobs data has fueled expectations of a Fed rate cut, drawing capital back into crypto.
Ethereum's upcoming hard fork upgrade is boosting overall market sentiment.
With both technical structure and fundamentals aligned, BTC remains bullish as long as it stays above 112,100.
BITCOIN PRICE UPDATE - JULY 1, 2025🔴 BITCOIN PRICE UPDATE - JULY 1, 2025
👋 Wrapping up the first half of 2025, BTC has closed the monthly candle around the ~$107,200 zone! Looking closely at Image 1 — BTC’s Monthly Candle Chart — we can see that June ended with a bullish green candle, forming a Pinbar ➡️ This indicates positive signals from the market.
📊 Personal Insights:
➡️ The primary trend of BTC remains bullish. Long positions are still the priority.
❓ However, in the short term, some correction phases may occur. Reasons include:
Price is currently approaching the previous peak area
On the D1 timeframe, there are clear signals: Triple Top + Divergence in Volume ➡️ This shows the overall market sentiment is cautious, waiting for a breakout around this price zone.
📌 At the current price zone of ~$107,000, I see two possible scenarios:
Scenario 1: Price retraces in the short term to collect liquidity, moves sideways within a ~$10,000 range, then gathers momentum for the next upward move
Scenario 2: Price breaks out sharply, creating a new all-time high, pulling the entire market upward
➡️ Personally, I lean more towards Scenario 1!
What do you guys think? Drop your opinions below so we can discuss together 👇👇
BTC Long-Term Outlook Update – August 4, 2025🔴 BTC Long-Term Outlook Update – August 4, 2025
Last week, BTC closed with a bearish engulfing candle and ended at the 114.2k price zone. The current primary trend is still upward.
There wouldn't be much to say if we look back at the two previous ATH (All-Time High) formations on March 11, 2024 and December 16, 2024. After reaching a new peak, BTC experienced a correction of around 30% from the ATH each time. Of course, the price didn’t drop immediately — it often retested the previous high to sweep liquidity.
But if this time the price really dumps 30%, altcoins could very well hit new lows again —b —b —b 😓
Stay cautious, everyone!
Short-term trading strategy details will be updated later today!
BTC - revised TP is 130K - Logic explainedI agree two times support for completion of wave 4 got broken but due to news flow other wise logic given in previous charts are based on confirmation of support. Now this may not go wrong. First resistance is at 116K and mean revision level is 118, once we cross these two level every analyst agree we will make new ATH and that level is 130 as per my calculations for wave 5. This is minimum level and it can be more higher as well like 150 , 180K which many people talking with their logics which i agree too. I am saying 130 is minimum we will see this year 2025 by sooner for sure.
Bitcoin Breakdown or Bull Trap? $100K or $131KAs previously shared CRYPTOCAP:BTC had a potential to tap $114K when it was around $120K.
But now, $114K support has broken, and price is currently trading in the bearish retest zone post-breakdown.
Bearish Targets: $107,000/$101,000
Important Note:
Watch $115,700 zone closely- This could be a liquidity sweep trap.
If any HTF candle (4H/D) closes strongly above $115,700, it invalidates the bearish structure and may flip into a bull flag breakout.
Key Levels:
Bullish Flip Zone: $115,700 (Close Above HTF = Exit Shorts)
Trend Reversal Trigger: HTF close above $119,000 → Can open door to $131,000
Remember:
Trade with confirmation, not assumption.
Always respect key levels and adapt if market structure shifts.
NFA & DYOR
BTCUSDT update 08.2025Last week analysis shows two main interesting zone to look up :
1. inefficiency left from 10th July leg up
2. base point of cup shape from july bullrun
The first one, its just a recovery due to a strong momentum. This pair in particular tends to recovers these "empty" zones within the same cycle.
The second one is a pattern, kinda Cup Shape, not perfect, but a strong body candle as starter, a range and strong bearish candle to end the pattern (Daily).
The inefficiency recover arrived in few days, the reaction at the inefficiency zone signs the satisfaction of sellers. I expected a return to 120k before this recover but probably we will have this bounce now. I don't think we are going to bearish, not even recovery. I expect a consolidation in these areas, even if my old limit orders below 110k are still active.
I am waiting for the last 124k target, before a drawdown which will bring down the btc price, satisfy demand and sellers, and start a new cycle.
Urgent Bitcoin Update: BTC Must Hold $110K🚨 Urgent Bitcoin Update: BTC Must Hold $110K – Or Risk Dropping Below $100K
BTC is trading near $113,900, sitting right on key support at $112K–$110K.
This zone is crucial- Holding it could lead to a rally toward $150K ATH.
But if BTC breaks below $110K, expect downside pressure with possible moves to: $100K / $93K / $83K
Price has also broken below the ascending trendline- a bearish sign unless bulls step in.
I mentioned exiting around $122K–$123K: Hope you booked profits ✅
Now, just observe how BTC reacts between $110K–$112K.
Note: NFA & DYOR
BTCUSDT – Bitcoin consolidates amid silent institutional buying Bitcoin is fluctuating between 114K and 116K USDT within a long-term ascending channel, supported by a wave of positive news. Weaker-than-expected U.S. labor data has fueled hopes that the Fed may pause its rate hikes — boosting sentiment for risk assets like BTC.
At the same time, major regulatory developments such as the SEC’s “Project Crypto” and the GENIUS Act by the CFTC are laying the groundwork for legalizing the crypto market. Notably, over 30,000 BTC were accumulated by MicroStrategy and institutional funds within just 48 hours — signaling strong capital inflows.
On the daily chart, BTC is forming an inverse cup-and-handle pattern, with 107,280 acting as key support. If the price holds and breaks above 120,872 USDT, a rally toward 130K may follow. However, if inflows weaken, a short-term pullback toward 112K could occur before the next upward move.
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN BULLISH Outlook – August 1, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team.
With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum.
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Hello.
This is SeoVereign.
My fundamental view on Bitcoin, as mentioned in the previous idea, is that I am anticipating an overall downward trend. In the mid- to long-term, I believe the downward pressure will gradually increase, and this is partially confirmed by various indicators and the overall market sentiment.
However, before we fully enter this downward phase, I have been judging that one more upward wave is likely to remain. I have focused my strategy on capturing this upward segment, and I have recently reached a point where I can specifically predict the development of that particular wave.
If this upward move unfolds successfully, I plan to set my take-profit range conservatively. The reason is simple: I still believe there is a high possibility that the market will shift back into a downtrend afterward. The core of this strategy is to minimize risk while realizing profits as efficiently as possible toward the tail end of the wave.
The relevant pattern and structure have been marked in detail on the chart, so please refer to it for a clearer understanding.
In summary, I view this rise as a limited rebound that could represent the last opportunity before a downturn, and I believe this idea marks the beginning of that move.
I will continue to monitor the movement and update this idea with additional evidence. Thank you.
BTC - 1st Aug view - 4th wave revised and new TP - 133KBig players played a false move to shake weak hands when US data, trade deals, crypto policy etc etc favoring continuation of impulsive move. But its big players deliberate move to generate liquidations and get bigger qty of bitcoins.
Now
As per revised 4th wave shown in green line and black was earlier given wave counts.
There is no 100% accurate levels and its based on demand and supply when ever big players and algo wants to move the price either side.
In case price move above 116030 then i wish to consider 4th wave is done and we move towards 133K even if its not going to happen then also mean revision or rejection comes above 118K only and risk to reward Favours buying this dip or hold with money management.
Tariff news is not at all a impacting factor for economy as US customers going to choose the better deals and move on. every day importers and exporters compete with each other. countries compete with each other. why BTC which gets higher price due to fiat money printing get impacted now. its all big player games i think
$BTC Update – Crucial Support Test Ongoing!
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
📉 CRYPTOCAP:BTC Update – Crucial Support Test Ongoing!
#Bitcoin just tapped the MA200 (4H TF) near $114.6K, a make-or-break level in the current structure. This zone historically acts as bulls' last defense during corrections.
🔹MA200 support (green line) is currently holding the price around $115.3K
🔸A clean 4H close below MA200 may open doors for a deeper move toward $110K–$108K
🔺Bullish Scenario: Price reclaims MA99 (~$118K) with strong bounce = potential trend reversal
🔻Bearish Scenario: If CRYPTOCAP:BTC closes below MA200 and fails to reclaim it quickly, we may test $113K, followed by $109K–$108K zone
⚠️ This is a key battleground zone for bulls. Losing MA200 could shift sentiment fast. Eyes on the next few candles.