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[SeoVereign] BITCOIN Bearish Outlook – July 9, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team. With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum. 🔔 Follow us to never miss a market update. 🚀 Boosts provide strong motivation and drive to the SeoVereign team. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Hello. This is SeoVereign. As of July 9, 2025, I present a bullish outlook on Bitcoin. This idea is an extension of the analysis posted on July 6. Therefore, it will be easier to understand this analysis if you first read the July 6 idea. The position reached the second target price and then showed a downward movement. In this idea, harmonic 0.382 and 1.618 patterns have been additionally identified, and accordingly, I plan to continue holding the long position entered from the July 6 entry point. The average target price has been set around 109,150 KRW. I will continue to track the situation, clarify the rationale, and provide updates through this post. Wishing you continued good fortune. Sincerely, SeoVereign
Long
by SeoVereign
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) Daily & 1H Analysis | Key Levels & Early EntryApologies for the late upload — it’s been a busy day, but let’s jump into the chart. 🔍 Market Overview (Daily): Not much has changed since Monday. BTC had a minor drop accompanied by volume, but it’s difficult to judge that volume clearly, as it may simply reflect the first day of the weekly session. What we should focus on instead is where we currently are in the market — BTC is trading just below a critical resistance zone, which aligns with the previous all-time high. The recent price structure is showing choppy and inconsistent candles, hinting at confusion and lack of direction. Because of this, we may need to consider early entries in BTC to avoid getting caught in sudden volatility when price approaches the 110,221.73 resistance again. 📌 Key Technical Insight: We’re either dealing with a descending channel (not yet broken from above) or a wide consolidation range between 110,221.73 and 101,546.27. Unless BTC cleanly breaks above the range top, or fakes out and reverses, we may continue down to the mid-line or lower boundary of the structure. For now, while the overall structure remains bullish, the current momentum is neutral to slightly bearish, and traders need to be tactical. 📈 Bullish Triggers: Main Long Trigger: 110,221.73 A confirmed break above this resistance opens the door for a bullish continuation. Early Long Trigger (1H chart): 109,365.38 Useful for early positioning, especially if accompanied by strong momentum. 📉 Bearish Triggers: Daily Key Short Level: 105,408.65 If this level breaks with momentum, a short setup becomes valid. 1H Short Opportunity: Watch for price action near 107,388.81. A failed swing or fake-out above this level could provide a short setup — ideally with a stop-loss just above the fakeout. Another entry would be a clear lower high followed by a breakdown below 107,388.81, which could offer tighter risk and better R:R for short trades. 🎯 Execution Plan: If BTC drops, I’ll wait for momentum to slow down and consolidation to form. As long as we remain above 105,275.28, I’ll look for opportunities to long with the market’s bullish bias — keeping risk low (0.25% per trade) until structure confirms direction. For now, the bulls are slightly stronger, so I personally lean toward long setups. ⏰ Final Note: Stay flexible. The current range is messy, but smart entries can still provide solid trades. Be prepared, manage #Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #PriceAction #DayTrading #BTCAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrader #RangeTrading #BreakoutStrategy #RiskManagement #TradingSetup #CryptoMarket #SwingTrading #MarketStructure #TradeSmart #CryptoTA #Altcoins #TradingPlan #VolumeAnalysis #ChartPatterns
by HoldMyTrade
BTC/USDT 4H Analysis – Key Supply Zone Holding Strong📊 BTC/USDT 4H Analysis – Key Supply Zone Holding Strong 🟥🟩 🚀 Chart Summary (July 7, 2025): The BTC/USDT 4-hour chart reveals a clear range-bound market between strong support and resistance levels, with price currently consolidating inside a crucial supply zone. 🔍 Key Technical Highlights: 📌 Supply Zone (Resistance) – $109,500 to $110,800 🔴 Multiple rejections from this area (highlighted with red arrows) show that sellers are active and defending this zone aggressively. 🟡 Next major resistance target: $114,230.34 if breakout occurs. 📌 Demand Zone (Support) – $104,000 to $105,500 🟢 Seen several strong bounces here, indicating buyers stepping in confidently. 💪 Price has tested this support multiple times (green arrows) and maintained strength. ⚖️ Current Price Behavior: 📉 Price is once again pulling back after testing the supply zone. This could either be: A potential short-term retracement within the range Or a build-up before a bullish breakout toward $114K 🎯 🧠 Conclusion & Outlook: 🔄 BTC is still range-bound, with no confirmed breakout. 🔺 Bullish Scenario: Break and close above $110,800 → possible rally to $114,230+. 🔻 Bearish Scenario: Drop below $104,000 → could retest $100K psychological level. 📌 Strategy Tip: Wait for breakout confirmation before entering major positions. Range traders may continue to play between the zones. 📈 Stay patient, follow structure, and manage risk carefully! 🧠💼
Long
by VikingFx-Community
BTCUSDT – Uptrend intactBitcoin continues to trade within a clear upward trend channel, with multiple Fair Value Gaps acting as strong support zones. After rebounding from the 104,960 area, price successfully retested the ascending trendline and returned to the previous accumulation zone. Currently, BTC is consolidating near short-term resistance, but bullish momentum remains dominant. As long as price holds above 104,960, a breakout toward the extended resistance zone at 116,971 remains a likely scenario. Trend: Bullish Support: 104,960 Resistance: 116,971 Strategy: Favor buying on dips as long as price holds above the trendline and FVG. Nearest target around 116,971.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN Bearish Outlook – July 6, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team. With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum. 🔔 Follow us to never miss a market update. 🚀 Boosts provide strong motivation and drive to the SeoVereign team. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Hello, This is SeoVereign. As of July 5, 2025, I present a bullish outlook on Bitcoin. It has been a while since I last shared a long position perspective. Those of you who have consistently followed SeoVereign’s ideas would know that, until now, most of the entry points have been centered around short positions. We have closely tracked the market, identifying opportunities amid the downtrend. However, after comprehensively analyzing the recent overall market atmosphere, we have come to the conclusion that upward pressure is gradually increasing rather than downward pressure. After reviewing technical indicators and wave structures, we have determined that it is reasonable to consider a buy — in other words, a long position — at this stage. The first target for this idea is set at an average of around 109,500 . This figure is based on a comprehensive judgment that includes the current wave structure, previous key support/resistance zones, and momentum trends. Of course, this target may be flexibly adjusted depending on how the market develops, and if necessary, the rationale will be clearly revised accordingly. As always, we will continue to track this idea and refine our logic based on the real-time developments and structures, further solidifying the grounds for the long bet. Wishing you continued good fortune.
Long
by SeoVereign
Bitcoin Price Update – Key Levels in Daily & 1H Charts for StratOn the right side of the image, we have the daily chart of BTC, and on the left, the 1-hour chart. Let’s first break down the current price action in the daily timeframe: 📉 Daily Timeframe (BTCUSDT) We can currently interpret the market in two ways: As part of a descending channel Or as a range-bound movement between $110,221.73 (resistance) and $101,546.27 (support) If we consider the descending channel, it’s important to note that the upper trendline has not been broken yet. If price fails to decisively move above $110,221.73 by tomorrow—or worse, gives a fake breakout and rejects—this would confirm a channel rejection, and we could expect price to move back toward the midline or even the lower boundary of the channel. 📌 Keep in mind: The broader trend is still bullish, but this analysis focuses on the current short-term structure. 🔹 Long trigger: A confirmed breakout above $110,221.73 🔻 Short trigger: A breakdown below $105,408.65 🕐 1-Hour Timeframe (BTCUSDT) The 1H chart allows for more precise and early entries, from both directions. A short-term profit target could be set around $108,353.37, assuming price moves up. However, before that, we need to watch for a failure swing or fakeout near $107,388.81 — this is crucial for determining the validity of any bullish setups. 📌 We need confirmation that buyers are still active before entering longs. For short positions: Since price already rejected from $110,221.73 and is now consolidating in a range, a valid short trigger could also be $107,388.81, especially if we see a minor rally and failure to break above it. For better risk/reward, it would be ideal to see price bounce slightly above the support, then form a lower high below $108,353.37, giving us a tighter stop-loss and potentially RR > 2. 🧠 Important Note: Since shorting goes against the overall bullish trend, any short positions should be taken with reduced risk, tighter stops, and strict risk management. #Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #BTCAnalysis #CryptoStrategy #CryptoTA #PriceAction
by HoldMyTrade
1
BTCUSDT – Accumulation Breakout Setup (30-min Chart)This setup highlights a potential breakout trade on the BTCUSDT perpetual contract, based on clear price action and chart patterns: • Morning Star Pattern: A strong bullish reversal signal formed at the recent low, suggesting the possibility of an upward move. • Accumulation/Distribution Zone: Price has consolidated within a well-defined range, indicating accumulation or distribution and foreshadowing a significant move. Breakout Entry: • Long Position: Enter on a confirmed breakout above the range, targeting a minimum risk-reward ratio of 1:2. The exit aligns with the upper liquidation levels. • Short Position: Enter if price breaks down below the range, also with a 1:2 risk-reward ratio. The exit coincides with the lower liquidation levels. Key Levels: • Long Trigger: Break above 108,544.4 USDT. • Short Trigger: Break below 107,233.4 USDT. Risk Management : Both entries are structured with clear stop-loss and take-profit levels, ensuring disciplined trade management. This setup is ideal for traders watching for volatility expansion after a period of sideways price action, with well-defined risk and reward parameters.
by sachendray
2
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) Weekend 4H Analysis – RSI Fakeouts, VolumeToday is Saturday, and with global markets closed, volume across the crypto space is expected to remain limited. As a result, we shift our focus to the 4-hour timeframe, where more actionable signals may appear. 🔸 Key 4H Observations: The latest pullback was accompanied by rising volume, which is notable — however, it's not yet sufficient for me to open a short position, as it lacks a full confirmation. We are closely watching the support at 105408.65, which could provide a low-risk opportunity to test a long position if respected. 🔸 Important RSI Signal: In uptrends, when RSI briefly dips below the 30 zone and quickly recovers, it often acts as a bullish fakeout — and that's exactly what we saw recently. After this RSI fakeout, BTC bounced off the support near 105408.65 and surged toward 110221.73 — further validating that support. This retest of 105408.65 will be critical. If price reacts again at that level, I’ll consider two possible strategies: A low-risk short if we see a rejection with confirmation. An early-entry long if price fakes below the level and recovers with strength. ⚠️ Weekend Trading Tip: Since it’s the weekend, liquidity is thinner — make sure to adjust your risk accordingly. Keep in mind: Primary long entry remains above 110221.73 (the confirmed breakout zone). Risky short consideration is only valid around 105408.65 and must be supported by volume and structure. ✅ Capital Management Reminder: Whether you're trading potential fakeouts or preparing for breakout setups, be disciplined with your capital. Weekend volatility can give false signals — stay patient and wait for confirmation. #BTCUSDT #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoTrading #4HChart #RSIStrategy #FakeoutSetup #WeekendTrading #CryptoVolume #TechnicalBreakout #TradingViewCrypto
by HoldMyTrade
1
BTC - new ATH will happenIn the month of April, I clearly pointed out BTC will take support and will move upside only and all news are favorable for up move. In less than 3 months we are seeing the expected up move. From July first week I am expecting BTC to make new ATH and T1 is near 118K and T2 is around 130K and BTC could even see 145 K easily in this year 2025. All the news coming from US are only indicating higher levels for BTC. Avoid all other Alt coins and stay long in BTC for few more weeks to see the biggest profits in 2025.
Long
by venkatfx
3
BTCUSDT Update – Testing Major Resistance | Volume Insights & TSince yesterday, Bitcoin hasn’t made any significant moves, but it's now testing a critical resistance level at 110221.73, where price has started to pull back slightly. 🧭 Chart Context: On the left side of the image, we observe the daily timeframe, and on the right side, the 1-hour chart gives us microstructure clarity. On the 1H chart, we can clearly see that volume increased during the move toward resistance, and now, as price consolidates, volume is decreasing — a healthy sign of a bullish pause rather than a reversal. While this detailed volume behavior isn’t visible on the daily chart, what we do notice there is that BTC has formed a higher high and higher low, making this pullback a natural and expected correction within an uptrend. 📌 What We Need Now: As price revisits 110221.73, we need to see renewed volume and momentum on lower timeframes to confirm a valid long entry. Remember: this zone is not just any resistance — it’s a key HWC (Higher Weekly Close) level that holds long-term significance. So price action may look volatile on lower timeframes, but it's perfectly normal from a daily perspective. 🎯 Execution Plan: Personally, I’ll be tracking this setup primarily on the 4H chart, and I’ll consider placing a wider stop-loss to accommodate potential whipsaws near resistance. If my stop is hit, it will likely signal that we’ve entered a deeper correction phase, and I’ll then wait for a fresh long setup aligned with my strategy. This mindset protects me from getting stopped out prematurely during normal pullbacks. 📉 No Short Setup for Now: There is no compelling short scenario at this point. I’ll wait to see if the market delivers a clean rejection with a confirmed leg down before considering any short trades. 📈 Summary: BTC is approaching a critical resistance zone with declining volume during pullback — a healthy sign. A breakout with rising volume will activate a long setup. Until then, it's all about waiting with structure, risk control, and patience. #BTCUSDT #BitcoinUpdate #CryptoAnalysis #ResistanceTest #BreakoutSetup #HWCLevel #VolumeAnalysis #PriceAction #DailyChart #4HStrategy #TradingViewAnalysis #CryptoOutlook #RiskManagement
by HoldMyTrade
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN Bearish Outlook – June 29, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team. With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum. 🔔 Follow us to never miss a market update. 🚀 Boosts provide strong motivation and drive to the SeoVereign team. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Hello, This is Seobeorin, approaching technical analysis not as a result but as a prediction, from a realistic perspective. I am presenting a bearish view on Bitcoin as of June 29, 2025. If you refer to the Ethereum idea from June 27, 2025, you can confirm that I presented a bearish perspective on Ethereum at the time. The basis for that perspective is still valid, and we are currently waiting for the take-profit level to be reached. The reason I selected Ethereum at the time was because I believed that the downward pressure on Ethereum was relatively stronger than that on Bitcoin. However, based on today’s Elliott Wave count on the Bitcoin chart, I now judge that Bitcoin is also likely to experience some short-term downward pressure. Therefore, I am presenting a short position idea on Bitcoin. The first take-profit target is set near $106,056. Depending on future price movements, this take-profit target may be narrowed or expanded. I will continue to track this idea, and as it develops, I will align the reasoning accordingly to organize the thought process more clearly. Thank you.
Short
by SeoVereign
1
Bitcoin: Ready to Break Psychological Resistance?BTC is maintaining its bullish structure with strong rebounds from the trendline since April. The price is now approaching the psychological resistance zone at 119,000 – a level that has been rejected three times before. If support at 104,700 holds and the resistance is broken, BTC could target the 125,000 area. On the other hand, losing this support could interrupt the bullish momentum. Trade Setup: Buy around 104,700–106,000 TP: 119,000 SL: below 103,000 Note: The upcoming NFP report on July 5 may trigger sharp moves if strong data boosts the USD. Do you expect a breakout or another rejection?
Long
by Rocky_trade_
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) Market OutlookBitcoin has lost the minor support level at 106083, marking a short-term weakness. However, I have not opened any short positions, since the primary trend on higher timeframes remains bullish. There is no strong reason yet to take aggressive short positions under current market conditions. 🔸 Key Observations: Yesterday’s downward move was accompanied by rising volume — this could be an early warning of bearish continuation if volume keeps increasing. If the price drops further toward 101546.27, and volume also expands, a low-risk short setup may emerge — but only against key confirmation signals. 🔸 Long Entry Zones: First trigger level for long positions: 108746.08 Main breakout level for continuation: 110221.73 👉 Until one of these two levels is reached with momentum, it’s best to stay out of the market and avoid forced entries. 📦 Range Box Alert: BTC is currently consolidating inside a clear box between 101546.27 and 110221.73. The safest strategy here is to wait for a confirmed breakout above or below the box boundaries before engaging. 📈 Momentum + RSI Notes: Daily RSI is sitting near the 50-level, which often acts as a balance zone. We might see a bounce or rejection soon. Regardless, price remains directionless inside the range, so any trade must be backed by momentum + volume confirmation. 📌 Cautious Trader Tip: If you’re looking for high-probability, low-risk setups, the best approach is to wait for a breakout from the box, then follow the trend in that direction — but only when supported by volume and structure. #BTCUSDT #BitcoinUpdate #CryptoTechnicalAnalysis #BTCOutlook #BreakoutTrading #RangeStrategy #MomentumTrading #VolumeConfirmation #BitcoinForecast #TradingViewAnalysis
by HoldMyTrade
BTCUSDT – Targeting 125,000 if Resistance BreaksBTCUSDT is holding a strong uptrend, with price respecting the ascending trendline and consistently filling fair value gaps. The pair is approaching key resistance around 110,000 and may form a breakout–retest pattern, potentially unlocking a move toward 125,000. On the news front, institutional inflows are returning, spot ETFs continue to attract capital, and the Fed is keeping rates steady — all supporting bullish momentum. As long as price holds above 101,200, the upside scenario remains in play.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
2
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) UpdateBitcoin successfully broke above the resistance level at 108475.34, which served as our early entry trigger. If you entered long positions based on this breakout, you're currently in profit — and this position can still be held while we wait for a cleaner breakout through the main resistance at 110221.73 to open further long opportunities. 🔸 Key Observations: Price has not yet confirmed a break above 110221.73, our major trigger. If the price fails to reach this level and instead forms a lower high, it may signal potential downside or a local trend shift. The market is currently in a wait-and-see phase — patience is key. 🔸 Momentum Indicator Watch: Price is nearing the SMA 7, and its interaction with current candles could signal whether the bullish move will continue or weaken. The High Wave Cycle (HWC) pattern will reactivate above 110221.73, strengthening bullish continuation probabilities. 📌 Cycle & Trend Context: Both the Mid Wave Cycle (MWC) and Low Wave Cycle (LWC) remain bullish. The Primary Trend is also upward, so long setups still offer more favorable risk-to-reward. It’s acceptable to engage more aggressively in long positions under this structure, but shorting should be approached cautiously. 📉 Short Scenario Setup: Only consider short positions if we see a fake breakout above 110221.73, or a new lower high below this key resistance, with proper rejection signals. In that case, a low-risk short could be considered with tight stops. ⏰ Final Note: Stick to the dominant trend. Until we see clear invalidation of the bullish structure, favoring long setups — especially after clean triggers — will likely provide more consistent results. #BTCUSDT #BitcoinUpdate #CryptoAnalysis #TradingView #CryptoOutlook #BitcoinPrice #TechnicalAnalysis #BTCBreakout #SmartTrading
by HoldMyTrade
$BTC 30mins Chart Analysis ⚠️ Rising Wedge Formation Detected! Bitcoin is currently moving within a clearly defined Rising Wedge—typically a bearish reversal pattern indicating possible exhaustion of upward momentum. 🔸 Upper Resistance Zone: ~$108,700 – $109,000 🔸 Lower Support Zone: ~$106,400 – $106,700 🟢 Bullish Scenario: If price breaks upward decisively (high volume above $109K), it can invalidate the wedge and target $110K+. 🔴 Bearish Scenario (more likely): If price loses the lower boundary (~$106.4K), expect accelerated selling pressure with potential downside targets near $105K–$104.5K. Wait for clear breakout/breakdown confirmation before entering trades.
Short
by CryptoSatRed