Why did I choose the short (scalping) direction?Why did I choose the short (scalping) direction?
BTC is currently trading in a narrow range, moving up and down. The D1 uptrend has already played out, from 82K to the 95K zone. Now, we’re waiting for a D1 correction to consider going LONG again. During this D1 downtrend, we can scalp SHORT on H4. However, I’m not choosing to BUY above 95K to chase 97K. Instead, I’ll wait to SHORT or, if no SHORT opportunity arises, wait to LONG again on D1.
BTCUSDT.5S trade ideas
MARKET ISSUES "SWING SHORT" SIGNAL FOR MAY Before an earthquake, there are always warning signs, as nature consistently signals. Case studies show that before a flood, ants move in droves to higher ground to build nests. Before the tsunami in Phuket, Thailand, animals fled to the mountains. Nature, and those connected to it, sense the tremors in advance.
As a financial market investor, are you connected to the market? I value your quick, intuitive reactions to major events more than post-event damage assessments or rational explanations. If you're still unsure, "take a moment" to calmly connect with the market.
Amid the market's green storm, you're allowed to feel joy, happiness, and optimism, but you must eventually return to reality. The market has hit an all-time high (ATH), and in the short term, over the next few months, no new ATH will be established. Even with inflation and an overflowing M2 money supply flooding the market, it hasn't flowed into BTC yet, for one simple reason: "they" haven't taken profits on GOLD.
Today, I’m sharing a message in advance: a swing short signal for May. Early, it could hit in the first week of May; at the latest, in the last 10 days of May. Enjoy the market—ride the highs with happiness, embrace the lows with enthusiasm, and you’ll find you don’t need to obsess over uptrends, downtrends, or altcoin seasons.
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TOTAL
The total crypto market capitalization hit an all-time high (ATH) at $3,700 billion and has since corrected downward for 14 consecutive weeks, with funds being withdrawn from the market. Do you see the two green weekly candles? This week’s candle is intriguing for the bearish direction—it makes you feel thrilled and ecstatic. After weeks of continuous decline, with $3,700 billion - $2,300 billion = $1,400 billion withdrawn, they took profits and passed that $1,400 billion worth of assets to FOMO investors.
Right after, the market cap climbed back from $2,300 billion to $2,900 billion, meaning $600 billion flowed back into the market. This makes you unbelievably happy, but that’s exactly when “the assets are handed back to you, the FOMO investor.” If the market then withdraws another $1,000 billion, it means after two waves of withdrawals, the market will have taken $2,400 billion from investors, big and small.
In TOTAL, be cautious of the SWING SHORT, targeting the $2,000 billion zone in May.
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BTCUSDT - Absorbing Crypto Capital Flow
Similar to other key components in the crypto market, BTC has been moving upward for two consecutive weeks, pulling its price from $80k to $95k. It’s currently undergoing a slight correction, after which D1 will see further upward moves, waiting for the right and synchronized moment to execute the Swing Short of a lifetime. The GETTEX:97K - $100k zone is a cautious area—stay calm and don’t get overly excited with unconfirmed upward moves like these.
I’ve shared multiple times that BTC’s all-time high (ATH) is projected at $110k. In the short term, there’s no indication that BTC will establish a new ATH, at least not in May. If it happens quickly, we’ll see the swing short in the first week of May; if delayed, it’ll come by the end of May. During this period, we’ll monitor two more weekly candles. They’ll soon give us the results.
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Dolar Index: The U.S. is devaluing its currency. DXY will continue to decline, lose value, and the Fed will lower interest rates.
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GOLD - Yet to Reach ATH
Gold is the focal point right now and will soon surpass $4,000 per ounce. When "they" take profits on gold, the capital will shift to other assets. If we're lucky, BTC could catch this wave when "they" cash out on GOLD. But it’ll take a while, folks.
When gold hits its ATH, BTC will rise in price.
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Summary:
Prepare for a Swing Short scenario on BTC and TOTAL in May.
Altcoins: Buy any, but only those with a bullish structure.
If you DCA aggressively now, you’ll regret it as your assets get diluted and you miss out on crazy gainers.
If you DCA into coins with a SHORT structure, you’ll watch your friends celebrate while you regret holding coins that are already bleeding capital.
Is there still a chance to buy BTC? 100% yes, but not at this range. No need to DCA at current prices or in the $9X range, as it’ll soon drop lower, letting you buy at the same levels as the U.S. government and ride with them to the ATH.
DXY rises, BTC rises, and XAU (gold) hits its ATH.
Bitcoin’s Next Move? I’m Watching These Key Zones 📍 4H,15mTimeframe – BTC
🎯 Market Cycles:
HWC (High timeframe cycle): Bullish 🔼
MWC (Mid timeframe cycle): Bullish 🔼
LWC (Low timeframe cycle): Ranging 🔁 (price is moving sideways, not trending)
🟢 Since both HWC and MWC are bullish, our focus is on looking for long positions only (buying to profit from price increases).
📌 My strategy is breakout-based, meaning I wait for price to break key support or resistance levels to enter a trade.
❗ As long as HWC and MWC are in the same direction, I avoid trading against them — so no shorts for me in this phase.
But... 👀
Right now, price is testing an area where we’ve seen pullbacks and heavy sell-offs in the past. So, if someone wants to take a very low-risk short, it's possible — but expect a high chance of getting stopped out 🚨
🧠 If you take the short, make sure to secure profits quickly 💰 because the price might bounce fast.
📈 For Long:
Wait for a clean breakout above 94452 – that’s your long entry ✅
📉 For Short:
Watch how price reacts to the trendline in the 15-minute timeframe.
If the reaction is weak, that’s your chance to play the breakout.
Around 91950, if price reacts strongly, it’s a great level to take profit ✂️
💬 If you want me to analyze a coin, drop it in the comments!
⚠️ Without risk management, you're just a ticking time bomb.
— PXA 📊
#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #BreakoutStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis
#PriceAction #MarketCycle #LongSetup #ShortSetup #SupportResistance
#Trendline #CryptoTrader #4HChart #TradingView #PXA
Bitcoin Breaks $88K — Eyes on Key Resistance ZoneSurging Momentum:
In the past few hours, Bitcoin has surged by 10%, breaking through the $88,000 resistance and reaching around $94,000. This marks a powerful continuation of bullish momentum.
Key Resistance Ahead:
The $92,000–$95,500 zone, which acted as strong support between November and February, is now expected to serve as major resistance. A rejection from this range could lead to a short-term retracement.
Retracement Zones:
If Bitcoin fails to break through $95,500:
First support: $91,000
Deeper pullback: $85,000–$87,500
Breakout Scenario:
If Bitcoin decisively breaks and holds above $95,500 on higher timeframes, we could see a continuation toward the next resistance between $102,000 and $108,000.
Conclusion:
Bitcoin is at a key inflection point. Whether it confirms a breakout or sees a short-term correction, this range will be crucial in shaping the next phase of the bull cycle. 📈🔥
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #Breakout #Resistance #Support #MarketUpdate #BullRun
DeGRAM | BTCUSD Flipped the Resistance Zone📊 Technical Analysis
BTC holds the reclaimed 90-91k zone; staying > $91 500 keeps 98k then 108k in view.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
• Spot ETFs drew $381 M (21 Apr), $936 M (22 Apr) and $912 M (23 Apr) net inflows.
• Network hashrate hovers near the 1 000 EH/s ATH
• MicroStrategy lifted its stack to 461k BTC after a fresh 11k buy.
✨ Summary
Strong, accelerating ETF demand, shrinking liquid supply and ongoing corporate accumulation reinforce the bullish breakout, favouring a climb to 98-100 k while BTC holds above $91 500.
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Waiting for bitcoin to fill this FVGI’m currently watching Bitcoin closely as it approaches a fair value gap. I’m waiting for that gap to get filled to find a high-probability long entry.
If the setup aligns, I’ll enter and aim to hold the trade until the next liquidity zone — targeting a solid move with patience.
However, if the price fails to fill the gap and hits the liquidity area first, I’ll shift my bias and look for a potential short setup, depending on the next price action that forms.
Staying flexible, disciplined, and letting the market come to me.
BITCOIN PRICE UPDATE – April 21, 2025🔴 BITCOIN PRICE UPDATE – April 21, 2025
💰The D1 chart of
BTC
is currently showing a pretty solid buying signal. From the 78k support zone, we can see that buyers have stepped in. Although the price has broken the downtrend line and there are positive signals from the MACD, I have the following observations that you should pay close attention to before making any trading strategy decisions during this period:
1. The trendline breakout signal doesn’t necessarily indicate that the market is entering an uptrend. It could simply mean that the downtrend has temporarily ended.
2. There is a divergence signal on the MACD; however, I don’t place much weight on this, because the two lines are wrapped tightly around each other. From my experience, this signal shows more of a “PROBING” move rather than strong buyer commitment.
3. I also checked the momentum indicator, and it doesn’t show any clear bullish signals yet. This phase still doesn’t give a high-confidence indication that the market is about to reverse.
Based on these three reasons, I have two potential views for this phase:
✔️View 1: The ideal scenario is that
BTC
continues to rise toward the nearest liquidity peak (around 93k), but it would still need to pull back afterward to retest the support zone—it’s unlikely to just skyrocket without correction.
✔️View 2:
BTC
reverses at this point and forms a consolidation zone within the gray box, with price fluctuating in an 8k–10k range for the next 3 to 6 months, before making a decisive move in Q4/2025.
Personally, I lean more toward **View 2**! Because the market still lacks a clear bullish signal at this stage.
What do you think about these two scenarios? Drop a comment and let’s discuss!
Bitcoin Weakly Technical (21 To 27 Apr-2025)
As of the most recent data point on April 15, 2025, Bitcoin was trading at approximately $85,123.23, with a slight decline to $84,165.79 later that day. For today, April 20, 2025, forecasts suggest #Bitcoin could reach $85,502.80, reflecting a modest increase of 0.61% from the prior day. The #cryptocurrency appears to be in a consolidation phase, balancing between key support and resistance levels, with mixed technical signals and external influences shaping its trajectory.
#Chart for your reference
BTC: Quiet... but Ready to Explode?Bitcoin’s sideways grind has tested everyone’s patience — but don’t let the silence fool you. Tight consolidation like this often leads to powerful breakouts. And right now, BTC looks like it’s charging up.
📊 Technical Outlook:
BTC is sitting on strong support at 81K–83K, a level that’s sparked multiple rebounds before.
Price action has broken out of the downtrend channel and is now forming a classic accumulation box — textbook setup for an upside move.
EMAs (34 & 89) are tightening, signaling incoming volatility.
Breakout above resistance could open the door to 94K, a key untested zone.
🌐 Macro & Sentiment:
Big money is on standby after the recent crypto shakeout.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs are seeing renewed inflows after weeks of outflows.
With global interest rates cooling off, risk-on assets like BTC are back on the radar.
Trade Plan to Consider:
Look for long setups around 81K–83K support if strong bullish candles confirm
🎯 Targets: 87K → 94K
❌ Stop loss below 79K to protect your position
The breakout may not be loud — but it’s coming. The only question is… will you catch it?
"Bitcoin Short Setup: Eyeing 1:3 Risk-Reward in Next 48 Hours"Bitcoin is showing signs of exhaustion near key resistance levels, with bearish divergence on the 4H RSI and potential rejection from a major supply zone. If price confirms a breakdown below immediate support, a short position targeting a 1:3 risk-reward ratio could materialize within the next two days. Key levels, entry/exit points, and stop-loss zones detailed in the analysis.
#Bitcoin 30 Minutes Chart Scalp profit Update:#Bitcoin 30 Minutes Chart Scalp Profit Update:
That quick scalp move delivered a clean +3.60% — just as planned. Scalp trades are meant for small, fast targets, and this one hit perfectly. ✅
But If Still holding?
🔹 Move SL to Break Even to protect capital
🔹 Structure looks fine for now, but don’t get greedy — manage your risk.
Always trade with a plan.
BTC/USDT 1DAY CHART UPDATE50-day moving average (red line):
This is a short-term trend indicator. It reacts more quickly to price changes and is often used to identify short-term trends.
When the price is above this moving average, it usually indicates bullish momentum; when it is below, it may signal bearish momentum.
200-day moving average (green line):
This is a long-term trend indicator. It provides a smooth moving average that helps identify the overall trend over a long period.
A price above this line indicates a long-term bullish trend, while a price below it indicates a potentially bearish market.
Current Analysis
Price Action: As of the current date, the price is hovering around the 80,000 USDT, just below the 50-day MA, which may indicate a potential resistance area.
Convergence of MAs: The behavior of both the 50-day and 200-day MAs can provide insight:
If the 50-day MA crosses above the 200-day MA (a “golden cross”), this typically indicates a bullish signal.
Conversely, if it crosses below (a “death cross”), this can indicate a bearish sentiment.
Support and Resistance: The chart also shows areas of support (horizontal green lines) around 76,000 to 80,000 USDT. If the price breaks this resistance, it may have room to move towards the next levels indicated.
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
BTC/USDT – 30-Min Chart Technical BreakdownBTC/USDT – 30-Min Chart Technical Breakdown
🔺 Pattern Formation:
Price action is currently developing a rising wedge, generally considered a bearish continuation pattern. However, the ongoing Higher High (HH) and Higher Low (HL) structure suggests short-term bullish momentum is still intact.
Key Resistance Levels:
* $84,700 – Major horizontal resistance
* $83,600 – Local supply zone / recent rejection point
Key Support Levels:
* $81,200 – Trendline + structure support (wedge base)
* $78,400 – Secondary structural support
* $74,900 – High-confluence demand zone
Long Setup (High-Risk Trade – Counter to Pattern Bias):
* Entry Zone: $82,500 – $83,000 (wedge support retest zone)
* TP1: $83,900
* TP2: $85,200
* TP3: $87,000 (upper wedge boundary)
* SL: Below $81,100 (wedge break + structural invalidation)
Confirmation Needed:
Watch for bullish engulfing or a strong bounce from the wedge support (red dashed trendline) with solid volume influx.
Risk Note:
Despite current bullish flow, wedge patterns often resolve bearishly. If price breaches below $81,100, invalidate longs and reassess for possible shorting opportunity.
BTC/USDT – Major Breakout Imminent? 🔍 Chart Breakdown:
After weeks of consolidation and lower highs, Bitcoin has finally broken out of a falling wedge – a classic bullish reversal pattern! 🐂 The volume spike confirms the breakout, suggesting strong momentum backing this move.
🔹 Breakout Zone: Around $81,000
🔹 Retest & Bounce: Price respected the previous resistance, now flipped to support.
🔹 Target: 🎯 $108,819
🔹 Stop Loss: 🛑 $78,220
🔹 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: A juicy 4.5R setup!
📈 Technical Confluences:
Falling wedge breakout ✅
Strong horizontal support zone below ✅
High volume breakout ✅
Bullish engulfing candle forming ✅
💬 What’s Your Bias?
Are we seeing the beginning of Bitcoin's next impulsive wave? Or is this just a bull trap? Share your thoughts in the comments! 🧠👇
📢 Smash that Boost button if you caught this breakout early or if you're learning something new! Let’s grow as a trading community 📊❤️
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoTrading #BreakoutStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingSetup #VolumeConfirmation #CryptoCommunity #PriceAction #FallingWedge
BTCUSDTBitcoin seems poised for a notable shift following the completion of a classic technical setup.
The price has recently pushed above a critical level and appears to be testing this threshold again, a move that often hints at further momentum.
Should this pattern hold, we might see a robust climb toward higher targets, potentially well beyond current levels.
Keep an eye out for signs confirming this direction.
Market Turning Point? Watch 87,533.05 for a Bullish BreakoutThese 3 candle wicks indicate that the bears are no longer in strong control of the market. However, for the market to turn bullish, it is essential to close above the 87,533.05 level on the daily chart. Only after that can the market become bullish in the short term, with potential targets of 96,000 or even 102,682. But sustaining above the 87,533.05 level on a daily basis is crucial.
BITCOIN BULLISH POTENTIALPrice has entered the discount zone near a weak low, signaling a potential reversal as smart money may be accumulating after a liquidity sweep. This area often serves as a launchpad for bullish moves, especially when sell-side liquidity has been taken.
Short-term sentiment is shifting bullish, suggesting momentum could be building for a move upward. With key bearish targets already met, the downward pressure may be fading, setting the stage for a corrective move or full reversal.
If bullish structure forms—such as a break of structure or a bullish order block holding—price could begin climbing toward equilibrium and possibly into premium territory. Look for confirmation through price action and volume shifts.
BITCOIN MAY DROP TO 74K - BEARISH STRUCTURE INTACTSymbol - BTCUSD
CMP - 84600
BTCUSD is undergoing a shift in market structure, transitioning into a bearish phase following the breakdown at 90K. A deeper correction is currently developing, which, in my view, represents a logical and technically sound progression for a healthy market. It is concerning when the market only experiences upward movement driven solely by buying pressure, such as in the case of large-scale injections of funds into high-yield investment programs (HYIPs).
A correction in Bitcoin’s price or even a trend reversal could inject vitality back into the market. From a fundamental perspective, traders have not seen the expected active support for cryptocurrencies from the US, which was previously suggested during Trump's election campaign. Additionally, issues such as crypto exchange hacks, fraudulent coins, and Bitcoin's dominance are exerting negative pressure on altcoins.
Bitcoin’s current downturn, with the possibility of a further drop to the 75K-73K range, could present an opportunity for fundamentally strong altcoins, assuming the declining Bitcoin dominance index also continues to trend downward. The simultaneous reallocation of funds from Bitcoin to altcoins, along with a rebound in Bitcoin from a strong support level, could rejuvenate the prospects for an altcoin season.
Resistance levels: 88150, 90700
Support levels: 75000, 73570, 66830
A modest retracement towards the 88100 to 90700 range is possible before the price begins its descent. While Bitcoin may attempt a deeper pullback, the current market imbalance, coupled with the absence of a clear driving force or supportive factors, suggests that the price may continue to fall in the medium term, potentially reaching the liquidity zone between 75K and 73K