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BTC vs DXY – Critical Support Retest as Dollar StrengthensBitcoin is currently testing a key weekly support zone while the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) continues to show strength. This is a classic inverse-correlation moment in the market.
🔹 BTC Analysis
Price has pulled back into a major support zone highlighted on the chart.
The ascending long-term trendline has also been touched.
This zone is a crucial decision area:
Hold → potential continuation toward 100k–120k
Break → deeper drop toward the red support zone below (70k–75k)
The market is reacting sharply here, indicating large-player interest.
🔹 DXY Analysis
The Dollar Index is showing renewed bullish momentum.
Price is moving up from its recent lows and pressing into a resistance/liquidity zone.
Historically, a rising dollar puts pressure on Bitcoin and risk assets.
🔹 Correlation Outlook
If DXY continues upward → BTC may struggle or retrace deeper.
If DXY gets rejected at resistance → BTC may bounce strongly from current support.
🔹 My Outlook
At the moment, BTC is at a make-or-break level.
I'm watching:
Support around the trendline
Reaction to the red zone below
DXY’s continuation or rejection at resistance
A confirmed bounce from here could send BTC toward new highs, but a break below this support would open the door for a larger correction.
Let the price action decide — this zone is where big moves begin.
a small bye side tread on btc a quick scalp BTC/USDT – 15M | Catching the Knife or Buying the Fear?
Heavy sell-off on BTC pushed price straight into my marked demand zone.
Waited for liquidity sweep + wick rejection before entering a long position.
✔️ Entry: After liquidity grab
✔️ TP Hit: +$1,055
✔️ SL Below Sweep Zone
✔️ RR Maintained
The move shows how liquidity hunts + demand zones can still give clean reversals even during strong bearish momentum.
Always trust the plan, not the emotions.
What’s your bias for BTC next — relief bounce or continuation down? 📉📈
CRYPTO MARKET ANALYSIS ETH/BTCWassup everyone, Crypto is in a very clear down trend, it would seem foolish to buy from here.
Right now what I see is we are in a monthly fvg and we also have a potential smt with ETH. So what I would be looking right now is for price to form, if I want to look for a buy position -
A. A swing point on weekly time frame
Or
B. A swing point on daily Time frame with a fair Value Gap, and have it close over 96000
If none of this happens keep looking for sells.
Thank you 🙏
Part 4 Learn Institutional Trading Call Option
A call option gives you the right to buy the underlying asset at the strike price.
Traders buy calls when they expect prices to go up.
Example: You buy a call option on Reliance at ₹2,500. If the stock jumps to ₹2,700, your call becomes profitable.
2. Put Option
A put option gives you the right to sell the underlying asset at the strike price.
Traders buy puts when they expect prices to go down.
Example: You buy a put on TCS at ₹3,600. If the stock falls to ₹3,300, your put gains value.
Both call and put options derive their value from the underlying asset, which is why they are called derivatives.
Vibe Thinker Says BTC ATM Long Straddle.
Got a New AI model, Vibe Thinker, my prompt is
Find any Major, high-impact news events and market conditions that could indicate high volatility
for Bitcoin from today or yesterday.
Focus on factors that would make a long or short straddle strategy appropriate:
short straddle is Selling both the ATM call and ATM put,
long straddle is Buying Both the ATM call and ATM put,
Price moves when more people buys btc or more people sells btc .
people will buy or sell based on news and on market timings in their countries
i live in india ,my exchange time is different to other global exchanges .
Even if siginificant news is there , people may not ready to trade at this time or in next 3 hours .
1. NEWS EVENTS:
- Regulatory announcements, decisions, government statements
- Major institutional adoption news
- Significant partnership announcements
- Upcoming economic events or Fed meetings that could affect crypto
- Geopolitical events affecting markets
- Major exchange or protocol updates
2. MARKET CONDITIONS:
- Current BTCUSDT candlestick patterns showing consolidation
- Volume patterns suggesting accumulation or distribution
- Support and resistance levels being tested
- Options implied volatility levels
3.TIMING:
Focus you thinking on next 3 hours for long straddle, immediate move is required to gain .
Candlestick data timestamp in IST Indian Time and compare to overlapping high-activity sessions (London open, US open, Asia close)
Time left until major events (economic reports, exchange maintenance, etc.)
Analyze 3-hour volatility potential — is a 2500+ point move realistic within that window?
Evaluate historical intraday volatility cycles — is BTC showing a lull before a surge?
Consider funding rate resets or options expiries near the current time that might cause volatility spikes
If time-based catalysts align with price compression → favor LONG STRADDLE
If volatility is already high or decaying with no clear catalyst → favor SHORT STRADDLE
4. DECISION OUTPUT:
Based on all inputs (news, market structure, volatility, and time factors), clearly recommend:
"Recommend LONG STRADDLE" (if breakout probability and volatility expansion expected)
or
"Recommend SHORT STRADDLE" (if consolidation or volatility decay expected)
or Hold the current positions
94298.5
96606.0
94009.5
2596.5
79104.64583333333
...more candle data
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94454.0
94009.5
94337.0
180885.0
94295.5
94465.5
94252.5
94298.5
22745.0
Satoshi Associate Ends Speculations About Quantum Threat to Bitcoin: Details
Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 09:40:00 PM IST
Bitcoin Indicator Sounds Buy Alarm For The First Time Since March — Return To $110K Soon?
Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 08:30:31 PM IST
Tom Lee Reveals Why Bitcoin, Ethereum And XRP Are Still Crashing
Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 08:10:24 PM IST
Scaramucci Family Pours $100M Into Trump Sons’ Bitcoin Mining Firm
Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 07:08:43 PM IST
Bitcoin To Eclipse Gold, Eric Trump Says—Calling BTC The ‘Greatest Asset’ Ever
Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 06:30:58 PM IST
Ripple CTO Ends Debate Over Legal Claims Pushed by Self-Proclaimed Satoshi Craig Wright
Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 06:27:00 PM IST
Bitcoin to Crash to $60,000? Top Analyst Highlights Grim Scenario
Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 05:06:00 PM IST
Bitcoin Hits Death Cross, and There Are Only 2 Scenarios by Top Analyst
Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 04:40:00 PM IST
US Bitcoin ETFs Post $1.1B Outflows As BTC Price Struggles Below $100K
Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 04:30:37 PM IST
Upbit operator Dunamu posts $165M in profit in Q3, up over 300% YoY
Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 03:36:33 PM IST
Answer:-
**Recommendation**:
**"Recommend LONG STRADDLE"**
### Strategy Details
- **Entry**: Buy call at ~$95,853 (midpoint + $15) and sell put at ~$95,823 (midpoint – $15) at 10:30 AM IST.
- **Target Move**: Price should break above $98,000 (gaining profit from the call) or fall below $95,000 (protecting against the put).
- **Hold Period**: Until price breaks out of the midpoint or falls below the put level.
### Why Not Short Straddle?
A short straddle would lose value if the price continues to move upward, which aligns with the expected trend. The long-straddle position captures gains from upward movement while protecting against potential downward moves.
### Action Steps for the User (India):
- **Monitor for Catalysts**: Watch for events like Dunamu’s Q3 profit or Scaramucci updates that might push prices higher.
- **Trade Timing**: Enter at 10:30 AM IST and hold until 1:30 PM IST, during the 3-hour window.
- **Exchange Note**: Use your Indian exchange (e.g., LBS, OANDA) for time-zone alignment. Markets open at 9:00 CEST (20:00 IST), matchinng the start time.
**Conclusion**: The combination of high volatility, upward trend, and uncertain direction makes a long straddle the most appropriate strategy. The current price is above the crash floor, and the upward movement aligns with long-straddle profitability.
BTC - Turned Bearish ?This unexpected longer US shutdown followed by another un expected temporary solution till Jan 2026 is causing panic in US market. These days Trump and his network moving the market as they want. And anything are possible these days by him. BTC has very strong Buyer network including ETFs, Strategy and other non stop accumulators. Its Golden time to buy Bitcoin at every dips since they have non stop flow of funds. But price drop un stoppable since margin issues cause weak hands to get liquidated. when 25X group gets liquidated then its huge sell off and it will take time to buy back the liquidity so SL kills all weak hands. But where is the Bottom. Cant predict because US shutdown has not got solution atleast for a year. Upcoming US data all expected to be slightly negative putting pressure on markets to be on sell side. Its all in the hands of Trump and his network or other banks who planned all these. I never seen a temporary solution for US shutdown in the past. At sending markets to the levels they want first big players will accumulate and then make policy move to move markets to up again.... Its sure bad news for Bitcoin Bulls planning for 130+ levels... It will come in 2026 but need to be loving and money management in SIP into Bitcoin will give rich returns in 2026
Part 9 Trading Master ClassChoosing the Right Strategy
Selecting the right options strategy depends on three factors:
Market Outlook:
Bullish → Long Call, Bull Call Spread, Short Put
Bearish → Long Put, Bear Put Spread, Covered Call
Neutral → Iron Condor, Butterfly, Short Straddle
Volatility:
High volatility → Buy options (Straddle, Strangle)
Low volatility → Sell options (Condor, Credit spreads)
Risk Appetite:
Low-risk → Spreads
Medium-risk → Covered/Protective positions
High-risk → Naked calls/puts
BTC/USDT Timeframe (4-hour)BTC/USDT Timeframe (4-hour)
Current price: ≈ $105,845
My drawn:
A descending trendline (showing previous resistance)
Ichimoku Cloud, and
Two target points marked with green arrows.
---
🔍 Chart Interpretation
From my image:
Price has broken above the descending trendline.
It’s also moving into/above the Ichimoku Cloud, a sign of a potential trend reversal.
My first target appears around $113,000 – $114,000, which aligns with the upper boundary of the drawn arrow.
The second target (higher arrow) points near $117,000 – $118,000, representing the extended bullish target zone.
---
🎯 Possible Targets Based on my Chart
1. Target 1: $113,000 – $114,000
(Short-term resistance / first profit zone)
2. Target 2: $117,000 – $118,000
(Next key resistance / full breakout target)
---
⚠ Risk Note
Watch for retests near $104,000 – $105,000 (the breakout zone).
If BTC closes back below the trendline or Ichimoku cloud, bullish momentum weakens.
BTCUSDT SHORT I was sitting in Short after a good bearish candle formed at resistance with very good volume, i just took 1:2 and i was out of the trade.
Logic :- Price was too stretched and bears were gaining control, bulls were trapped
But still the trend is bullish for me, lets see 🚀
Happy profits 🥂 enjoy guys, sorry i didn’t posted this trade earlier
LIKE AND FOLLOW FOR MORE TRADE IDEAS
As posted earlier 1:2 done As posted earlier i was sitting long in Btcusdt, 1:2 is done and i am out of the trade with 70% qunatity.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Like and follow for these types of trade ideas !!
And Join me with my journey so you can make yours 👍
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Bitcoin_Short Elliot WaveBitcoin appears to be completing an ABC pattern, potentially reaching up to 106,000. I anticipate a downside move below 99,000 once it tests resistance around 106,000. A short position could be considered near that level with a tight stop-loss.Please do your own research before taking any trade decisions.
#BITCOIN TECH UPDATE: BEARISH IN CONTROL#BITCOIN TECH UPDATE: BEARISH IN CONTROL
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is down 14% from $115K retest, clean rejection.
Trend remains bearish, structure forming lower highs & lower lows.
Key Zones:
Relief zone: $105K–$108K (short setup area).
Major support: $94K → break below = $76K next.
Momentum:
Selling pressure dominates; no bullish divergence yet.
Invalidation:
Only a close above $111.5K flips bias bullish toward $150K. ( Super Bullish Above $116.5K)
Plan:
Sell rallies. Manage risk. Avoid FOMO longs.
NFA & DYOR
BTCUSDT Outlook 08/11/2025So right now, what I’m seeing on crypto today — honestly, it’s the weekend, and that’s never the best time to look for high-probability setups. But if we ignore the timing for a second and just focus on structure, I’m leaning bearish.
On the daily, the flow’s clearly bearish. ETH already cleared the daily FVG and showed SMT divergence with BTC, while Bitcoin couldn’t even take out the highs — basically an SMT sell setup between the two.
On the H4, you can spot the second stage of SMT divergence — one up at the top, and another with the previous candle.
Price looks like it wants to pull back and roll over from here.
So yeah, I’m kinda expecting a red weekend for BTC, as long as this structure keeps holding






















