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Bitcoin (BTC) technical and fundamental analysis📈 Technical analysis BTC/USDT The price of Bitcoin has hit an all-time high amid expectations of the halving and capital inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs. Currently, it is approaching a test of the local resistance trendline, which will determine the direction of further price movement. If the BTC price fails to overcome it immediately, we can expect a correction of the last upward impulse towards the dynamic support line EMA 50 4H. There is also an important psychological level at 70,000 above which the price needs to hold. However, if they cannot withstand selling pressure, there is a chance of seeing a correction to the Imbalance 4H zone between 55,000 and 60,000, where it is necessary to close the gaps in trading volumes at horizontal levels. The need for a correction is also indicated by the emerging bearish divergence on the RSI indicator. In the next section, we will consider Bitcoin targets if, due to fundamental factors, its price continues its relentless rise. 📉 Bitcoin market global analysis After consolidating above the 0.78 Fibonacci level and reaching a new all-time high, the price of BTC has transitioned into a full-fledged bullish trend. With no historical resistance levels above the ATH, we will utilize trendlines, Fibonacci extension levels, and analysis of significant order blocks in exchange order books to determine growth targets. For the continuation of the uptrend, Bitcoin's price first needs to establish itself above the 70,000 level on a weekly candlestick basis. Currently, it is approaching a test of the local ascending trendline, which has been relevant since November 2023. This test may occur around the 75,000 level, supported by a significant block of pending orders. Beyond that, around the 90,000 mark, lies the global trendline based on the peaks of the two previous Bitcoin cycles. Additionally, the 1.38 Fibonacci extension level aligns in this area. The highest trendline sits within the 1.61 to 1.78 Fibonacci extension range, with a potential test starting from the 100,000 level. Bitcoin's price is entering the pre-halving bull rally phase. However, historically, Bitcoin halvings have been preceded by corrections. The RSI indicator is once again in the overbought zone, forming a bearish divergence. Moreover, the fear and greed index has been in extreme greed territory for quite some time, typically signaling a trend reversal. Considering the absence of a significant correction since October 2023, conditions are ripe for one to begin. If Bitcoin can maintain its upward momentum until the halving, we may anticipate a global correction of the entire 2023 uptrend afterward. The halving itself could serve as a selling signal, based on the idea that the cryptocurrency has reached a local peak, similar to what happened following the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US in January 2024. In that scenario, we would expect a correction in the 0.5 to 0.68 Fibonacci level range and a retest of the 200-week moving average. Additionally, there lies the Imbalance 1W zone between 54,000 and 60,000, where it is crucial to close gaps in horizontal trading volume levels. 💠 Analysis of zones and levels for making trading decisions The Fear and Greed Index is in the extreme greed zone at 82. The total market capitalization of the cryptocurrency market has increased to 2,638 billion dollars, and the Bitcoin dominance index has risen to 53.92. According to the analysis of the accumulation of large order blocks in exchange order books, demand and supply zones are located at the following levels: 🟢 Demand Zone: 55000 - 62000 🔴 Supply Zone: 75000 - 100000 Levels for long positions: 60,000: Retest of the local trendline support 50,000: Point of Control (POC) level in the value area 46,000-48,000: Retest of the global trendline support Levels for short positions: 75,000: Test of the local trendline 85,000 - 90,000: Test of the global trendline 100,000: Psychological resistance level 📊 Fundamental analysis The uninterrupted rise of Bitcoin is occurring as the halving event approaches. This event is scheduled for April 2024 and will halve the rate of new BTC entering the market. The previous three halvings, which took place in 2012, 2016, and 2020, triggered cycles of cryptocurrency growth due to the formation of its scarcity. In 2024, the scarcity of Bitcoin may become more acute due to the adoption of spot Bitcoin ETFs and the influx of large capital into the market. The growing interest of investors in spot Bitcoin ETFs forces issuers to buy cryptocurrency from the market. The volume of BTC assets held by BlackRock has increased to 196,065 bitcoins, surpassing MicroStrategy by 3,065 coins. 🌐 Upcoming Events in the Global Economy The following dates are expected to bring increased volatility in both the stock and cryptocurrency markets: ➤ 12.03, 16:30 - Consumer inflation index in the USA (CPI). ➤ 20.03, 21:00 - New decision on the Fed interest rate. 📈 Statistics of signals from our AI trading indicator: In February 2024, the price of BTC continued to rise amid expectations of halving and an influx of capital into spot Bitcoin ETFs. Our trading indicator, as always, warned about this in advance! And even during the flat period it gave good entry points. Thanks to the latest updates, all signals have become profitable, and built-in Anti-Flat System prevented losses from manipulative market movements. Total price movement by all signals: + 47.28% Maximum price movement: + 23.96% Average price movement: + 15.76% In addition, I would like to share the forecast of the latest Bitcoin price action by our AI, which not only indicates the direction, but also builds the trajectory of further price movement:
by TradeINEX
1
BTCUSDT Trading Strategy for BTCUSDT: BTCUSDT continues to show notable stability, maintaining a high price above $66,000 this Thursday. In the short term, BTCUSDT is trending sideways, with significant resistance levels identified at $67,500 and $68,700. Clear support levels are marked, and the 34 and 89 EMA lines are displaying a strong upward trajectory in the near future. As long as the crucial support level of $60,000 remains intact, the bullish camp is prepared to maintain its advantage during this phase.
Long
by RKarina
BTC Bitcoin Sell-Off and COIN Coinbase potential HackIf you haven`t bought BTC before the rally: Then you need to know that today Coinbase's trading engine experienced a disruption during ETF trading hours, causing a significant impact on individuals actively trading Bitcoin on the platform and leading to a substantial drop in its price. The aftermath of the incident saw the price recovery after ETFs purchased actual Bitcoin for the next trading day (T+1). However, questions arose regarding the cause of the price decline. While Coinbase's outage played a role, suspicions arose about other exchanges possibly exerting considerable selling pressure. The speculation was whether Coinbase was the main stabilizing force and if there were other irregularities in play. Concerns escalated, leading to speculation about a potential Hack on Coinbase. Users reported missing assets, and both phone and chat support were inaccessible during a critical market moment. The situation highlighted the vulnerability of relying on centralized exchanges, emphasizing the importance of having control over one's private keys to ensure ownership and security of crypto assets. The overall consequence was a market downturn, signaling a potential local top. My Price Target for Bitcoin is $51K.
Short
by TopgOptions
1
Bitcoin Analysis: Path to Resistance Breakdowns Across Multiple Bitcoin Analysis: Path to Resistance Breakdowns Across Multiple Timeframes Abstract: Bitcoin (BTC) continues its price journey, displaying resilience as it approaches key resistance levels on various timeframes. This analysis revisits BTC's recent movements, highlighting its confirmation of support and subsequent challenges at critical resistance points. Insights are provided for potential scenarios upon breaching these resistance levels. Introduction: BTC's recent price dynamics have attracted significant attention among traders and investors. Building upon previous analysis, this report examines BTC's current state, emphasizing the confirmation of support and the potential scenarios upon approaching and surpassing notable resistance levels. Analysis: 4-Hour Timeframe: BTC successfully confirmed support around $59,980 and has shown a bullish trajectory towards the $59,980 resistance level. A break above this resistance could signify further upward momentum, potentially setting the stage for challenging higher resistance barriers. Daily Timeframe: Upon breaching the $59,980 resistance, BTC faces a significant hurdle at $63,398 on the daily timeframe. This level has historically acted as a formidable resistance, often leading to price retracements or consolidations. Traders should closely monitor BTC's price action for signs of strength or weakness around this critical level. Weekly Timeframe: On a broader scale, BTC encounters a substantial resistance zone around $65,632 on the weekly timeframe. This level represents a culmination of long-term trends and market sentiments, making it a pivotal point for BTC's price trajectory. A successful breakout above this resistance could signal a bullish trend continuation, while failure to do so might invite prolonged consolidation or corrective moves. Conclusion: Bitcoin's price analysis reveals an intriguing setup across multiple timeframes, with emphasis on key support and resistance levels. Traders should remain vigilant as BTC approaches critical resistance barriers at $59,980, $63,398, and $65,632. Breakouts above these levels could pave the way for further upside potential, whereas failure to breach them might lead to consolidation or retracement. As always, risk management and strategic decision-making are paramount in navigating the dynamic cryptocurrency markets.
by nawaab001