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$BTC - Modified Harmonic in the making? Watching a modified harmonic pattern — looks close to a Gartley-type structure, though AB retraces ~0.577 of XA (a bit shallow, but still within harmonic tolerance). PRZ (potential reversal zone): 120–121k, around the 0.786 XA retracement. If 108k gets reclaimed, I’ll start considering a long setup targeting that PRZ zone. On the weekly, RSI is hovering near 50, which often acts as a bullish reset zone in an uptrend — worth watching for continuation strength. Let’s see if BTC can reclaim structure and complete the pattern 👀
by zainmain
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN BEARISH Outlook – October 18, 2025Today, as of October 19, I would like to share my bearish (short) outlook on Bitcoin. First Basis — IR BAT (Invalid Reaction BAT) The core of this analysis lies in the IR BAT pattern, a concept I independently devised. It is an adaptation of the traditional BAT pattern, based on the principle that if no valid rebound occurs within a certain period after entering the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone), the pattern is considered invalid, and the price tends to move strongly beyond the PRZ in that direction. Currently, Bitcoin has entered the PRZ zone of the BAT pattern but is showing sideways and weak movements without any significant buying reaction, which satisfies the typical bearish scenario conditions of an IR BAT. Second Basis — 0.2~0.5 Retracement Zone At present, the chart is positioned within the 0.2–0.5 Fibonacci retracement zone relative to the upper structure. This area is generally interpreted as a sell-dominant zone in the IR BAT (Invalid Reaction BAT) pattern, where short-term rebounds are limited and re-declines tend to emerge. Accordingly, the average target price is set around 102,570 USDT. Depending on future price developments, I will provide further updates regarding any changes to this idea and position management strategies. Thank you for reading.
Short
by SeoVereign
Bonds and Fixed Income Trading in the Indian MarketIntroduction Bonds and fixed-income instruments form the backbone of the debt market, serving as crucial avenues for capital formation and risk management. Unlike equities, which represent ownership in a company, bonds are debt instruments issued by governments, corporations, or financial institutions, providing fixed returns over a predetermined period. In India, the fixed-income market has evolved substantially over the past decades, driven by regulatory reforms, growing investor awareness, and the need for diversified investment options. Understanding bonds and fixed-income trading is essential for investors, fund managers, and institutions aiming to manage interest rate risk, generate income, and balance investment portfolios. Understanding Bonds A bond is essentially a loan made by an investor to an issuer, who promises to pay interest (coupon) at fixed intervals and return the principal amount on maturity. Bonds vary based on several parameters: Issuer Type: Government Bonds: Issued by the Central or State Governments. Examples include Treasury Bills (T-Bills), Government Securities (G-Secs), and State Development Loans (SDLs). Corporate Bonds: Issued by companies to raise capital. These can be investment-grade or high-yield bonds depending on the issuer’s creditworthiness. Municipal Bonds: Issued by urban local bodies for infrastructure projects. Tenure: Bonds can be short-term (less than 1 year), medium-term (1–5 years), or long-term (5 years and above). Coupon Type: Fixed Coupon Bonds: Pay a predetermined interest rate. Floating Rate Bonds: Coupon varies with benchmark rates like MIBOR or RBI repo rates. Zero-Coupon Bonds: Sold at a discount and redeemed at face value; no periodic interest is paid. Credit Rating: Rating agencies like CRISIL, ICRA, CARE, and Fitch assess creditworthiness. Higher-rated bonds carry lower default risk but offer lower yields. Indian Bond Market Structure The Indian bond market can be broadly divided into government securities market and corporate debt market. Government Securities Market The government securities market is the largest segment of the Indian debt market. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is the primary regulator and issuer of government securities. Instruments include: Treasury Bills (T-Bills): Short-term securities issued at a discount with maturities of 91, 182, or 364 days. They are zero-coupon instruments and highly liquid. Government Bonds (G-Secs): Medium- and long-term debt instruments with fixed or floating coupons. They fund fiscal deficits and infrastructure projects. State Development Loans (SDLs): Issued by state governments, these bonds are similar to G-Secs but carry slightly higher yields due to state-specific credit risk. Corporate Debt Market The corporate bond market in India has witnessed significant growth, though it remains smaller than the government securities market. Key features include: Issued by public and private sector companies. Can be listed on exchanges like NSE and BSE or traded over-the-counter (OTC). Includes instruments like non-convertible debentures (NCDs), commercial papers (CPs), and perpetual bonds. The corporate bond market allows companies to raise long-term funds efficiently while offering investors higher yields compared to government securities, albeit with higher risk. Participants in the Indian Bond Market The Indian bond market comprises a variety of participants: Retail Investors: Individuals seeking stable returns, typically investing through government bonds, NCDs, or mutual funds. Institutional Investors: Insurance companies, pension funds, mutual funds, and banks. They dominate the market due to large capital requirements. Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs): Invest in Indian government and corporate bonds, subject to regulatory approvals. Their participation adds liquidity and depth to the market. Brokers and Dealers: Facilitate buying and selling of bonds on exchanges and OTC platforms. Regulatory Authorities: RBI and SEBI regulate issuance, trading, and settlement of bonds to maintain market integrity. Bond Pricing and Yield Understanding bond pricing and yields is fundamental for trading. The price of a bond depends on the present value of its future cash flows discounted at prevailing market interest rates. Key concepts include: Yield to Maturity (YTM): Total return expected if the bond is held until maturity. Current Yield: Annual coupon divided by current market price. Price-Yield Relationship: Bond prices move inversely to interest rates; when rates rise, bond prices fall, and vice versa. In India, yield curves are published regularly by the RBI, showing the relationship between bond yields and maturities. These curves help investors make informed trading decisions. Trading Mechanisms in India Bond trading in India occurs through primary and secondary markets. Primary Market In the primary market, bonds are issued for the first time. Government securities are auctioned by the RBI using competitive and non-competitive bidding. Corporate bonds are issued through private placements or public offerings, often under SEBI regulations. Secondary Market Secondary trading involves buying and selling existing bonds. For government securities, trading occurs on platforms like the NSE NDS-OM (Negotiated Dealing System – Order Matching) and OTC markets. Corporate bonds are traded over-the-counter or on exchanges such as NSE and BSE. The secondary market ensures liquidity, enabling investors to adjust portfolios according to interest rate movements or credit risk perceptions. Risk Factors in Bond Investing Even though bonds are considered safer than equities, they carry certain risks: Interest Rate Risk: Price of bonds fluctuates with changes in market interest rates. Long-term bonds are more sensitive. Credit Risk: Risk of issuer default. High-yield corporate bonds carry higher credit risk. Liquidity Risk: Some bonds, especially corporate and municipal bonds, may be hard to sell quickly without impacting the price. Reinvestment Risk: Risk of reinvesting coupons at lower rates when interest rates fall. Inflation Risk: Inflation erodes real returns, particularly on fixed-coupon instruments. Role of Technology and Exchanges Technology has transformed bond trading in India, improving transparency, efficiency, and accessibility. Key developments include: Electronic Trading Platforms: NSE NDS-OM for government securities and BSE’s bond platform for corporate bonds. Real-Time Price Discovery: Investors can view live bid-ask spreads, yields, and volumes. Settlement Systems: Clearing corporations like CCIL ensure efficient settlement and reduce counterparty risk. These innovations have made trading safer and more efficient, encouraging greater participation from retail and institutional investors. Regulatory Framework The bond market in India is highly regulated to ensure investor protection and market stability. Reserve Bank of India (RBI): Manages issuance and trading of government securities. Implements monetary policy, influencing interest rates and liquidity. Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI): Regulates issuance and trading of corporate bonds. Ensures transparency, disclosure, and fair practices in the market. Credit Rating Agencies: Assess the creditworthiness of issuers to help investors make informed decisions. Regulations have promoted the growth of a more transparent and efficient market over the last two decades. Investment Strategies in Bonds Investors adopt different strategies based on their risk appetite, time horizon, and market outlook: Buy and Hold: Investors purchase bonds and hold them until maturity to earn stable coupon payments. Trading on Yield Movements: Active traders buy bonds when interest rates are high and sell when rates fall. Laddering Strategy: Investing in bonds with staggered maturities to reduce reinvestment and interest rate risks. Credit Diversification: Combining government, corporate, and high-yield bonds to balance risk and return. Bond mutual funds and ETFs are also popular instruments for retail investors seeking diversification and professional management. Challenges and Future Outlook Despite steady growth, the Indian bond market faces certain challenges: Limited Retail Participation: High minimum investment amounts and complexity deter retail investors. Corporate Bond Liquidity: Secondary market liquidity for corporate bonds remains lower than for government securities. Interest Rate Volatility: Rapid policy changes can impact yields and bond prices. However, the outlook is positive due to: Increased FII participation in government and corporate bonds. Growing awareness of fixed-income products among retail investors. Technological innovations improving market access and efficiency. Government initiatives like the Bharat Bond ETF, which allow retail investors to access high-quality corporate bonds. Conclusion Bonds and fixed-income instruments play a vital role in India’s financial ecosystem, providing stable income, risk diversification, and capital market depth. The Indian market has matured over the years, offering a variety of instruments for investors with different risk appetites. While challenges like liquidity constraints and interest rate sensitivity remain, regulatory reforms, technological advancements, and increasing investor awareness are strengthening the market. For both individual and institutional investors, understanding the dynamics of bond pricing, yield, risk factors, and trading mechanisms is essential to effectively navigate the Indian fixed-income market. As India’s economy continues to grow, the fixed-income market is expected to expand further, offering new opportunities for investors seeking stability and returns in a diversified portfolio.
Education
by TechnicalExpress
BTC - S & R levels. Buy some long qty now at support nowBTC is at support and profit booking and weak hands giving up qty. I have not see any big players stopped accumulation..... price is at good or reasonable buy levels for atleast one to 3 months i expect price to see new ATH again. few groups booking profits at every new ATH for buying back at support and safer levels.... Buy now for good investments with atleast 2 weeks to 2 months time period for great profits or else book profits as u wish
Long
by venkatfx
6
BTC SWING PLAY LONGChart Overview and Data • Asset: BITCOIN/TETHERUS PERPETUAL CONTRACT. • Time Frame: The chart shows data up to "16 Oct" (likely the date the screenshot was taken). The primary candles visible span from approximately June to October of the current year, with the x-axis extending into 2026, suggesting a daily (1D) or weekly (WEEK) candlestick view, though the top-left corner indicates "1D - WEEK", which might mean the current view is Daily (1D) within a larger Weekly (WEEK) analysis context. • Price: The current price is approximately $107,705.3, and the asset is down $3,007.6 (-2.72%) for the period shown. • Trading Action: There are prominent SELL and BUY buttons at the top left, with current bid/ask prices of $107,691.3 (SELL) and $107,691.4 (BUY). Technical Analysis Elements Candlestick Pattern • The chart uses candlesticks to represent price action over time. • The recent price action (around August to October) shows a period of consolidation or a slight uptrend that has recently seen a significant drop, as indicated by the large red candlestick currently forming (the one far to the right). Indicators and Lines • Moving Averages: Several moving average lines (blue and purple, and possibly a thinner red line) are overlaid on the candlesticks, typically used to identify trend direction. • Support and Resistance: • Support Zones (Red Boxes/Lines): Several horizontal red lines and a large red-shaded area beneath the current price action indicate potential support levels where traders expect buying interest to emerge. Key price points marked by red lines are around $106,973, $103,204, $101,297, and the "Low" at $98,125.2. Further support is indicated by the lowest red line at $89,076.1. • Resistance/Target Zone (Yellow/Green Box): A prominent yellow horizontal line at $126,220.2 (labeled "High") acts as a significant resistance level or a potential upside target. The large green-shaded area above the current price, extending up to $161,047.0, appears to represent a profit target or a long-term trading objective for a potential long position. Trade Setup Indication • The chart appears to be illustrating a potential short trade setup, or a breakdown scenario, given: • The large red-shaded area below the current price, which could be a projected target zone for a short position. • The significant price drop in the last candle, breaking below recent support. • Small arrows and boxes near the consolidation area (around July/August) also suggest previous or ongoing trade indications. Axis and Additional Information • Y-Axis: Represents the price of BTCUSDT, ranging from approximately $84,800 up to $161,047. • X-Axis: Represents time, spanning from approximately July to April 2026. • Volume: A smaller chart pane at the bottom shows volume data, represented by red and green vertical bars, which helps gauge the strength behind price movements.
Long
by The_Mosess
Part 12 Trading Master Class With Experts Importance of Knowledge and Timing: Successful option trading depends heavily on market knowledge, timing, and strategy selection. Understanding concepts like intrinsic value, time decay (theta), volatility (vega), and interest rate effects (rho) is essential. Mistimed trades or poorly chosen strategies can lead to total loss of the premium. Additionally, options are time-sensitive assets, meaning the value erodes as expiration approaches. Traders must monitor market conditions and adjust positions accordingly. While options can offer high returns, they also carry significant risk, and disciplined analysis, research, and risk management are crucial to navigate the complexity of option markets effectively.
Education
by SkyTradingZone
5
Bitcoin LTF Analysis & Market OutlookBitcoin LTF Analysis & Market Outlook #Bitcoin still doesn’t look strong on LTF, and I’m expecting some more downside movement in the coming days. So if you’re holding high leverage longs, manage them carefully and always use strict stop loss. Here’s the key structure to watch: Resistance 1: $116,000 If CRYPTOCAP:BTC fails to break and hold above this level, momentum stays weak and we could revisit the $100,000 zone again. Resistance 2: $122,500 Only a confirmed breakout above this level can trigger the next leg toward a new ATH around $150,000. Until then, play defense. Avoid emotional trades, don’t gamble with your hard-earned money, and only take entries backed by clear confluence, strategy, and discipline. Remember: The market always rewards patience, not greed. Stay alert, follow structure, and let the setup come to you.
Short
by CryptoPatel
Part 2 Support and Resistance Why Traders Use Options Options are versatile instruments. Traders use them for: Speculation – Betting on price movement to earn profits. Hedging – Protecting existing investments from adverse price moves. Income Generation – Selling options (writing) to earn the premium. For example: A trader may buy a call option expecting prices to rise. A portfolio manager may buy put options to protect their stocks from falling prices. An experienced investor may sell covered calls to earn regular income.
Education
by SkyTradingZone
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN BEARISH Outlook – October 13, 2025As of October 13th, I would like to share my bearish outlook on Bitcoin. The first basis is the Shark pattern within the 1.13–1.414 range. The Shark pattern, established by Scott Carney, is a modified harmonic pattern that defines its PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) within the 1.13–1.414 XA extension range. This zone represents a region where the buying momentum tends to be exhausted after excessive price expansion, and it is typically interpreted as an area where strong reversal pressure tends to emerge. Currently, Bitcoin has entered this 1.13–1.414 range and is repeatedly testing the upper resistance zone. Therefore, I believe the probability of a short-term bearish reversal is gradually increasing. The second basis is that Wave 5 forms a 0.382 length ratio relative to Waves 0–3. This is a Fibonacci-based structural relationship often observed in Elliott Wave Theory. When Wave 5 fails to extend excessively and remains around 0.382 of Waves 0–3, it typically indicates a phase of exhaustion, followed by a corrective or retracement phase. Accordingly, I set the average target price around 111,350 USDT. Depending on the future development of the chart, I will provide updates on position management and any changes to this idea. Thank you for reading.
Short
by SeoVereign
My Analysis Perfect 100%Analysis of the Price Action Based on the image, the market experienced a significant and rapid downward movement, indicated by the long red candle (often called a 'sell-off' or 'wick' depending on how the candle closes) around the area you've highlighted. • Before the Drop: The price was trading in a relatively high range, hovering around the 120,000 to 122,000 USDT mark, following a strong uptrend from late September to early October. • The Drop: The price crashed through multiple key support levels (the horizontal white, yellow, and red lines, as well as the green/red zones you have drawn) in a very short period. • The Volume: This massive price drop was accompanied by a huge spike in selling volume (the very tall red bar in the volume indicator at the bottom), which confirms a strong and sudden selling event. • The Low: The price wick reached a low around 101,668.1 USDT before bouncing slightly. Interpreting "My Target is Done" Since I don't know the specifics of your trading strategy, "My target is done" could mean a few things: 1. Stop-Loss Hit: If you were long (betting on the price going up) and had a stop-loss set somewhere in the zone where the price fell, this sudden move would have triggered your stop-loss, closing your position for a loss (a target for your risk management). 2. Take-Profit Hit (Short Position): If you were shorting (betting on the price going down) and had a take-profit target set in the lower price ranges (perhaps around 110,000 or 105,000 USDT), this drop would have executed your take-profit order for a gain. This is the most common interpretation if you are celebrating a target being done during a crash. 3. Target for Entry: If you were waiting to buy the dip, the price hitting the very low levels (the wick) might have triggered a buy limit order you had placed, meaning your target for a new entry was achieved. Given the nature of the move, if you were short, congratulations! If you were long, this looks like a painful liquidation or stop-loss event.
Short
by The_Mosess
1
BTCUSDT – Possible Bounce Back Zone Ahead?Title: 🚀 BTCUSDT – Possible Bounce Back Zone Ahead? Description / Note: Bitcoin is at a decisive point. If price loses the Bull Market Support Band, the next key area of interest may be the 50-week SMA, currently lining up near the $100K region. Why it matters: 📌 The 50-week SMA has been a reliable dynamic support in past market cycles. 📌 The ongoing bull flag formation suggests potential continuation after consolidation. 📌 Previous trendlines also converge in this area, adding confluence. In short: If BTC fails to hold the Bull Market Support Band, watch the 50-week SMA near $100K as a potential bounce-back zone.
by make_2
1
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN BEARISH Outlook – October 05, 2025Hello everyone. I hope you are all having a peaceful day. Today, I am writing to share my Bitcoin short position view as of October 5th. The first basis is the 1.902 CRAB pattern. In a traditional Crab pattern, the 1.618 extension of the XA leg is regarded as the main PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone), but in practice, it is often observed that additional extension values such as 1.902XA are formed. This zone is an area where the price, after an excessive extension, tends to reverse sharply, and it is one of the regions within harmonic patterns where strong volatility and reversal signals frequently appear. Currently, Bitcoin is encountering resistance around this 1.902XA level, which increases the probability of a short-term bearish reversal. The second basis is that wave N and wave M are forming a 1:1 length ratio. In other words, both waves are proceeding with equal length, which resembles the AB=CD structure—a fundamental form of harmonic patterns. Such wave symmetry indicates that the market is moving in a consistent rhythm, and when two waves complete with the same length, that point often acts as a reversal signal. Accordingly, the average target price is set around 119,168 USDT. As the chart continues to develop, I will provide updates to this idea to inform you about my position management. Thank you for reading.
Short
by SeoVereign
How to Build a Crypto Portfolio for Long-Term Wealth?Hello Traders! The crypto market can look exciting, fast profits, new coins every week, and hype everywhere. But those who build long-term wealth in crypto don’t chase trends; they build structured portfolios with strategy. Let’s understand how to create a crypto portfolio that can grow steadily over time, not just in bull runs. 1. Decide Your Investment Horizon Before buying anything, decide your goal, 3 years, 5 years, or 10 years. Longer horizons allow you to ride out volatility and benefit from compounding. If you’re thinking short term, you’re speculating, not investing. 2. Allocate Wisely – The 60/30/10 Rule 60%: Blue-chip cryptos like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) , the foundation of your portfolio. 30%: Promising large/mid-cap projects (Layer-1s, AI, DeFi leaders). 10%: High-risk, high-reward small-cap or emerging tokens. This keeps your portfolio stable while still giving growth exposure. 3. Diversify Across Categories Don’t just hold coins, diversify across crypto sectors: ~Layer-1 platforms (ETH, SOL, AVAX) ~DeFi (AAVE, UNI) ~Infrastructure (LINK, ARB) ~AI/Metaverse (INJ, RNDR, MATIC) This ensures that if one sector underperforms, others balance your returns. 4. Use SIP or DCA Method Instead of buying everything at once, invest gradually through Systematic Investment Plans (SIP) or Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) . This helps you accumulate more during dips and reduces emotional stress during corrections. 5. Secure and Rebalance Regularly Use hardware wallets for long-term storage. Don’t keep large amounts on exchanges. Review your portfolio every 3–6 months and rebalance to maintain original allocation. Trim profits from overperforming assets and add to undervalued ones. Rahul’s Tip: Crypto investing is not about catching every rally, it’s about staying long enough to see technology grow and adoption rise. Patience is your biggest alpha. Conclusion: A strong crypto portfolio is like a business, diversified, secure, and managed with discipline. If you build it smartly, it can become a powerful wealth creator over time. If this post helped you plan your crypto journey, like it, drop your thoughts in comments, and follow for more practical investment insights!
Education
by TraderRahulPal
Bitcoin Correction = Smart Money Opportunity, ready for 3% move!Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) has been consolidating inside a well-defined descending channel , reflecting a healthy correction phase after the recent rally. While many traders panic in these phases, experienced players know that corrections are temporary, structures define direction. Notice how price is approaching a key zone between 117K–116K, which aligns perfectly with both the lower channel boundary and the prior breakout retest zone. This area acts as a high-probability reversal zone , where strong hands are likely waiting for confirmation candles to re-enter the trend. Psychologically, the 120K round level remains crucial. Expect volatility near this zone, as retail traders get trapped while smart money positions itself quietly before the breakout. Once the breakout sustains above 121K, short-term traders could target levels around 122.5K–123K , while positional traders may aim for much higher structural targets. Rahul’s Tip: Never fear a pullback when structure stays intact, institutions use these dips to accumulate while the public exits too early. Stay patient, let the structure play out. Analysis By @TraderRahulPal (TradingView Moderator) If this breakdown and re-entry logic helped you, don’t forget to like and follow for regular updates. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
Long
by TraderRahulPal
Part 11 Trading Master ClassWhat Is Option Trading? Option trading is a form of derivatives trading, where investors buy or sell contracts that give them the right but not the obligation to buy or sell an underlying asset (such as stocks, indices, or commodities) at a predetermined price before or on a specific date. Unlike stocks, which represent ownership in a company, options represent a financial contract derived from the price movement of another asset — hence, they are part of the derivatives market. There are two main types of options: Call Options: Give the holder the right to buy an asset at a set price. Put Options: Give the holder the right to sell an asset at a set price. Each option contract involves: Strike Price: The agreed-upon price for buying/selling the asset. Expiry Date: The last date the option can be exercised. Premium: The price paid to buy the option.
Education
by SkyTradingZone