BTCUSDT.5S trade ideas
BITCOIN PRICE UPDATE - JULY 1, 2025🔴 BITCOIN PRICE UPDATE - JULY 1, 2025
👋 Wrapping up the first half of 2025, BTC has closed the monthly candle around the ~$107,200 zone! Looking closely at Image 1 — BTC’s Monthly Candle Chart — we can see that June ended with a bullish green candle, forming a Pinbar ➡️ This indicates positive signals from the market.
📊 Personal Insights:
➡️ The primary trend of BTC remains bullish. Long positions are still the priority.
❓ However, in the short term, some correction phases may occur. Reasons include:
Price is currently approaching the previous peak area
On the D1 timeframe, there are clear signals: Triple Top + Divergence in Volume ➡️ This shows the overall market sentiment is cautious, waiting for a breakout around this price zone.
📌 At the current price zone of ~$107,000, I see two possible scenarios:
Scenario 1: Price retraces in the short term to collect liquidity, moves sideways within a ~$10,000 range, then gathers momentum for the next upward move
Scenario 2: Price breaks out sharply, creating a new all-time high, pulling the entire market upward
➡️ Personally, I lean more towards Scenario 1!
What do you guys think? Drop your opinions below so we can discuss together 👇👇
BTC Long-Term Outlook Update – August 4, 2025🔴 BTC Long-Term Outlook Update – August 4, 2025
Last week, BTC closed with a bearish engulfing candle and ended at the 114.2k price zone. The current primary trend is still upward.
There wouldn't be much to say if we look back at the two previous ATH (All-Time High) formations on March 11, 2024 and December 16, 2024. After reaching a new peak, BTC experienced a correction of around 30% from the ATH each time. Of course, the price didn’t drop immediately — it often retested the previous high to sweep liquidity.
But if this time the price really dumps 30%, altcoins could very well hit new lows again —b —b —b 😓
Stay cautious, everyone!
Short-term trading strategy details will be updated later today!
BTC - revised TP is 130K - Logic explainedI agree two times support for completion of wave 4 got broken but due to news flow other wise logic given in previous charts are based on confirmation of support. Now this may not go wrong. First resistance is at 116K and mean revision level is 118, once we cross these two level every analyst agree we will make new ATH and that level is 130 as per my calculations for wave 5. This is minimum level and it can be more higher as well like 150 , 180K which many people talking with their logics which i agree too. I am saying 130 is minimum we will see this year 2025 by sooner for sure.
Bitcoin Breakdown or Bull Trap? $100K or $131KAs previously shared CRYPTOCAP:BTC had a potential to tap $114K when it was around $120K.
But now, $114K support has broken, and price is currently trading in the bearish retest zone post-breakdown.
Bearish Targets: $107,000/$101,000
Important Note:
Watch $115,700 zone closely- This could be a liquidity sweep trap.
If any HTF candle (4H/D) closes strongly above $115,700, it invalidates the bearish structure and may flip into a bull flag breakout.
Key Levels:
Bullish Flip Zone: $115,700 (Close Above HTF = Exit Shorts)
Trend Reversal Trigger: HTF close above $119,000 → Can open door to $131,000
Remember:
Trade with confirmation, not assumption.
Always respect key levels and adapt if market structure shifts.
NFA & DYOR
BTCUSDT update 08.2025Last week analysis shows two main interesting zone to look up :
1. inefficiency left from 10th July leg up
2. base point of cup shape from july bullrun
The first one, its just a recovery due to a strong momentum. This pair in particular tends to recovers these "empty" zones within the same cycle.
The second one is a pattern, kinda Cup Shape, not perfect, but a strong body candle as starter, a range and strong bearish candle to end the pattern (Daily).
The inefficiency recover arrived in few days, the reaction at the inefficiency zone signs the satisfaction of sellers. I expected a return to 120k before this recover but probably we will have this bounce now. I don't think we are going to bearish, not even recovery. I expect a consolidation in these areas, even if my old limit orders below 110k are still active.
I am waiting for the last 124k target, before a drawdown which will bring down the btc price, satisfy demand and sellers, and start a new cycle.
Urgent Bitcoin Update: BTC Must Hold $110K🚨 Urgent Bitcoin Update: BTC Must Hold $110K – Or Risk Dropping Below $100K
BTC is trading near $113,900, sitting right on key support at $112K–$110K.
This zone is crucial- Holding it could lead to a rally toward $150K ATH.
But if BTC breaks below $110K, expect downside pressure with possible moves to: $100K / $93K / $83K
Price has also broken below the ascending trendline- a bearish sign unless bulls step in.
I mentioned exiting around $122K–$123K: Hope you booked profits ✅
Now, just observe how BTC reacts between $110K–$112K.
Note: NFA & DYOR
BTCUSDT – Bitcoin consolidates amid silent institutional buying Bitcoin is fluctuating between 114K and 116K USDT within a long-term ascending channel, supported by a wave of positive news. Weaker-than-expected U.S. labor data has fueled hopes that the Fed may pause its rate hikes — boosting sentiment for risk assets like BTC.
At the same time, major regulatory developments such as the SEC’s “Project Crypto” and the GENIUS Act by the CFTC are laying the groundwork for legalizing the crypto market. Notably, over 30,000 BTC were accumulated by MicroStrategy and institutional funds within just 48 hours — signaling strong capital inflows.
On the daily chart, BTC is forming an inverse cup-and-handle pattern, with 107,280 acting as key support. If the price holds and breaks above 120,872 USDT, a rally toward 130K may follow. However, if inflows weaken, a short-term pullback toward 112K could occur before the next upward move.
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN BULLISH Outlook – August 1, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team.
With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum.
🔔 Follow us to never miss a market update.
🚀 Boosts provide strong motivation and drive to the SeoVereign team.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hello.
This is SeoVereign.
My fundamental view on Bitcoin, as mentioned in the previous idea, is that I am anticipating an overall downward trend. In the mid- to long-term, I believe the downward pressure will gradually increase, and this is partially confirmed by various indicators and the overall market sentiment.
However, before we fully enter this downward phase, I have been judging that one more upward wave is likely to remain. I have focused my strategy on capturing this upward segment, and I have recently reached a point where I can specifically predict the development of that particular wave.
If this upward move unfolds successfully, I plan to set my take-profit range conservatively. The reason is simple: I still believe there is a high possibility that the market will shift back into a downtrend afterward. The core of this strategy is to minimize risk while realizing profits as efficiently as possible toward the tail end of the wave.
The relevant pattern and structure have been marked in detail on the chart, so please refer to it for a clearer understanding.
In summary, I view this rise as a limited rebound that could represent the last opportunity before a downturn, and I believe this idea marks the beginning of that move.
I will continue to monitor the movement and update this idea with additional evidence. Thank you.
BTC - 1st Aug view - 4th wave revised and new TP - 133KBig players played a false move to shake weak hands when US data, trade deals, crypto policy etc etc favoring continuation of impulsive move. But its big players deliberate move to generate liquidations and get bigger qty of bitcoins.
Now
As per revised 4th wave shown in green line and black was earlier given wave counts.
There is no 100% accurate levels and its based on demand and supply when ever big players and algo wants to move the price either side.
In case price move above 116030 then i wish to consider 4th wave is done and we move towards 133K even if its not going to happen then also mean revision or rejection comes above 118K only and risk to reward Favours buying this dip or hold with money management.
Tariff news is not at all a impacting factor for economy as US customers going to choose the better deals and move on. every day importers and exporters compete with each other. countries compete with each other. why BTC which gets higher price due to fiat money printing get impacted now. its all big player games i think
$BTC Update – Crucial Support Test Ongoing!
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
📉 CRYPTOCAP:BTC Update – Crucial Support Test Ongoing!
#Bitcoin just tapped the MA200 (4H TF) near $114.6K, a make-or-break level in the current structure. This zone historically acts as bulls' last defense during corrections.
🔹MA200 support (green line) is currently holding the price around $115.3K
🔸A clean 4H close below MA200 may open doors for a deeper move toward $110K–$108K
🔺Bullish Scenario: Price reclaims MA99 (~$118K) with strong bounce = potential trend reversal
🔻Bearish Scenario: If CRYPTOCAP:BTC closes below MA200 and fails to reclaim it quickly, we may test $113K, followed by $109K–$108K zone
⚠️ This is a key battleground zone for bulls. Losing MA200 could shift sentiment fast. Eyes on the next few candles.
$BTC – 1Hr Triangle Squeeze in Progress
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin is compressing inside a well-defined symmetrical triangle on the 1-hour chart — a classic volatility squeeze setup🔺
• Triangle range: ~$120,800 (high) → $114,700 (low)
• Current price: ~$117,800
• Price nearing apex – breakout likely imminent within next few candles
• Lower highs + higher lows = indecision building
Probable Scenarios
🔹 Bullish Breakout
• Price must reclaim $118,500–$119,000 with strong volume
• Breakout above triangle top can lead to $120,800 retest
• Continuation supported by broader bullish structure
🔹 Bearish Breakdown
• Watch for clean rejection near $118,500 followed by a break below $117,000
• Losing the triangle bottom may open up $116,000 → $114,700 zone
Support: $117,000 / $116,000 / $114,700
Resistance: $118,500 / $120,000
🔁 Confirmation Needed:
• Watch for breakout + volume surge
• Sideways chop likely if price stays trapped
BTC - TP 127200 confirmed coming !!! 29th july viewEveryone are in same page with respect to wave 5 is in progress and we will be seeing new high.
Inner waves of 5th wave is clear now with support formed and ABC corrective move of 2nd wave seems to be completed price moving up. when price respect fib levels and align with wave theory then we can predict the targets. 3rd, 4th and 5th are plotted based on the first 2 move and this will happen for minimum possibilities. so with this data points I am predicting TP of 127200 for BTC very soon in short term.
BTC - TP 120600 based on Cup & Handle - 29th July 2025price seems to have completed minor second wave of the major 5th wave up move now.
and chart clearly showing cup and shoulder pattern and once price sustain above neck line and start moving price will hit and may move above 120600 level as per this pattern which mostly work.
BTCUSDT – short-term pullback before heading higherBTCUSDT remains within a clear ascending channel. On the H8 timeframe, price is facing resistance and may pull back toward lower support before continuing its upward move. Several Fair Value Gaps below act as strong backing zones for buyers.
On the news side, market sentiment is improving as investors anticipate the upcoming PCE report and renewed interest in Bitcoin ETFs. Although the Fed holds its hawkish tone, rising recession risks are fueling expectations of a rate cut later this year.
Strategy: Consider BUY setups if price pulls back into support and shows strong reaction. Trend remains bullish unless the ascending structure is broken.
BTC Long Outlook – Grand Supercycle Perspective (2025.05.21)Hello everyone,
This is SeoVereign, the operator of the SeoVereign team.
It's been nearly a month since I returned to TradingView and started posting ideas again.
During that time, I’ve frequently shared short-term ideas based on minute charts.
However, since real-time responses are crucial in short timeframes,
there are practical limitations in explaining all the reasoning behind our analysis in detail each time.
But when it comes to larger timeframes like the daily chart,
we have a bit more flexibility.
So I see this as a valuable opportunity to explain our thought process and key reasoning more thoroughly.
Now, let’s get into the Bitcoin daily chart briefing.
Please refer to the following link first.
This is a post I made on April 18, 2025:
🔗
At the time, I shared the view that the upward wave starting near 75K
had the potential to extend to 88K and even 96K.
However, it was difficult to determine exactly how far the wave would extend at that point.
Now, I want to make one thing very clear.
If someone uses wave theory to say something like
"Bitcoin will definitely go to X price,"
that person is either a scammer or someone who fundamentally misunderstands wave theory.
Elliott Wave Theory can be somewhat useful in anticipating short-term moves,
but it has clear limitations when applied to long-term predictions.
After many years of studying Elliott Wave Theory in depth,
I've come to a simple but important conclusion:
"You cannot predict the distant future with technical analysis alone."
That said, there is one exception:
very short-term movements — the immediate price action right in front of us —
can often be approached with some confidence using technical analysis.
Here’s an example.
If someone bought Bitcoin at 10K and says,
“I’m going to sell at 100K,”
while it hasn’t even broken past 50K,
that’s just reckless optimism.
But if Bitcoin has already approached 100K,
and several bearish signals are starting to emerge and become confirmed,
that’s when we can begin considering short positions.
The key is to make decisions based on the data right now — not based on hopes or assumptions.
That was a long introduction.
Now, let me explain why I believe Bitcoin could break to new all-time highs
and possibly reach as high as 130K.
As I mentioned in the April 18 post,
I believe an Ending Diagonal was completed around the 74K region,
and I anticipated an upward impulse wave to follow.
In my view, the current market structure clearly suggests we are in an uptrend.
Many of you have reached out via private messages asking,
“What kind of wave are we in right now?”
But in this case, that question doesn’t hold much value.
Whether this current move is part of an impulse wave or a corrective structure,
what matters is that the price is going up.
If, for instance, the A-wave has completed — as confirmed by Fibonacci —
then the B-wave would follow, and we can plan accordingly with long positions.
Or, if the ABC correction is already over,
then a new impulse wave could be starting.
Either way, the key takeaway is that we’re likely in an upward phase.
Back to the main point:
A Deep Crab harmonic pattern formed near 74K,
and that zone concluded with an Ending Diagonal,
which is now leading to a bullish reversal.
I've studied harmonic patterns for years,
and in the case of the Deep Crab,
the upper boundary of the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ)
is typically around the 2.24 Fibonacci extension.
As long as this level is not broken,
the pattern remains valid.
And when a reversal happens near the 1.618 or 1.902 zones,
it’s often a highly reliable bullish signal.
So, what are our targets in this current rally?
🎯 SeoVereign’s Target Strategy
1st Target: 109,000
2nd Target: 118,600
3rd Target: 128,100
Right now, before the market enters a full-scale bullish breakout,
we’re seeing unusually high volatility.
In times like this, staying calm and grounded is more important than ever.
I sincerely wish all of you the best of luck in navigating this volatility,
and may a wave of growth come to your accounts as well.
🍀 I genuinely hope great fortune finds its way to all of you.
See you in the next daily briefing.
Thank you.
— SeoVereign