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Bitcoin Analysis: Path to Resistance Breakdowns Across Multiple Bitcoin Analysis: Path to Resistance Breakdowns Across Multiple Timeframes Abstract: Bitcoin (BTC) continues its price journey, displaying resilience as it approaches key resistance levels on various timeframes. This analysis revisits BTC's recent movements, highlighting its confirmation of support and subsequent challenges at critical resistance points. Insights are provided for potential scenarios upon breaching these resistance levels. Introduction: BTC's recent price dynamics have attracted significant attention among traders and investors. Building upon previous analysis, this report examines BTC's current state, emphasizing the confirmation of support and the potential scenarios upon approaching and surpassing notable resistance levels. Analysis: 4-Hour Timeframe: BTC successfully confirmed support around $59,980 and has shown a bullish trajectory towards the $59,980 resistance level. A break above this resistance could signify further upward momentum, potentially setting the stage for challenging higher resistance barriers. Daily Timeframe: Upon breaching the $59,980 resistance, BTC faces a significant hurdle at $63,398 on the daily timeframe. This level has historically acted as a formidable resistance, often leading to price retracements or consolidations. Traders should closely monitor BTC's price action for signs of strength or weakness around this critical level. Weekly Timeframe: On a broader scale, BTC encounters a substantial resistance zone around $65,632 on the weekly timeframe. This level represents a culmination of long-term trends and market sentiments, making it a pivotal point for BTC's price trajectory. A successful breakout above this resistance could signal a bullish trend continuation, while failure to do so might invite prolonged consolidation or corrective moves. Conclusion: Bitcoin's price analysis reveals an intriguing setup across multiple timeframes, with emphasis on key support and resistance levels. Traders should remain vigilant as BTC approaches critical resistance barriers at $59,980, $63,398, and $65,632. Breakouts above these levels could pave the way for further upside potential, whereas failure to breach them might lead to consolidation or retracement. As always, risk management and strategic decision-making are paramount in navigating the dynamic cryptocurrency markets.
by nawaab001
Bitcoin, 225000 USDT , March and May 2024Long article about Bitcoin (This is not investment advice, just a trend analysis article to evaluate the market) Bitcoin is taking the first steps of wave 3 on frame D of the Elliott wave. In February, the price target is estimated to reach over 61,000 to 64,000 USD. Let's predict Bitcoin's price targets for the next 3 months: 1. Currently in the H4 frame, Bitcoin has grown at the 100% Fibonacci level, reaching $61,000. The price target in this area could reach the 127.2% Fib, estimated at $64,000 or lower. In this area you can consider selling a part. No fomo to jump ship 2. March may have a correction of 50%, estimated to decrease to the area of ​​49,000 - 53,000 USD. This wave zone could be even higher because the fomo wave is too strong in Bitcoin's growth area. The bottom of 49400 is very difficult to break and can be considered an extremely strong pump area for Bitcoin to reach a new peak. 3. Also in March, or at the latest in April, we predict that Bitcoin can reach a new peak with the Fibonacci level growing due to the wave extending 3 times, touching 2 new fibonacci levels at the $100,000 mark and then reaching the all-time high at $220,000. I repeat, $220,000, $225,000 to be exact. You may consider this prediction crazy, but we measure it purely by technical factors, Fibonacci and corresponding growth milestones. We predict that in the first half of this year, in March or April Bitcoin will peak at $225,000 and then turn down, at least below $200,000. Let's follow the next developments of Bitcoin, we hope you will enjoy this analysis and consider it as a guide to participate in the trading market. Again: This is not investment advice, just a trend analysis so you can have a more comprehensive view of the current market. All analysis is subjective, based on analysis and evaluation using technical factors and measurements. Thank you!
Long
by Seedian
Bitcoin (BTC) technical and fundamental analysis📈 Technical analysis BTC/USDT Bitcoin price has reached all targets from our previous review and set a new local high at $57,400. The driving force behind this growth impulse was the record inflow of funds into spot Bitcoin ETFs. Additionally, fundamental factors such as the upcoming halving and the rise of the US stock market in anticipation of the Fed's move to lower the key interest rate also contributed to this. Thus, the BTC price has consolidated above the key level of $50,000 and broken above the resistance trendline. Currently, we anticipate a local correction and trading within the 4-hour Imbalance zone to fill in the gaps at horizontal levels of trading volumes. In this zone, a retest of the dynamic support line EMA 50 4H should occur, which will determine the direction of further price movement. If the price consolidates above it, we expect a test of the $60,000 level. However, considering that the RSI indicator is in extreme overbought territory, there is a high probability of further correction continuation and a retest of the psychological level of $50,000. The next correction targets could be the mirror level of $48,000 and the trendline at the $44,000 level, which are within the range of 0.61 - 0.78 Fibonacci levels, respectively. 📉 Bitcoin market global analysis On a global scale, the price of BTC has reached exactly the 0.78 Fibonacci correction level from the entire decline since 2021. If it manages to consolidate above it, it would indicate that it's not just a correction anymore, but Bitcoin's price has transitioned to a full-fledged pre-halving bull rally. However, historically, Bitcoin has experienced a correction before each halving. RSI indicator readings are again in the strong overbought zone, and the fear and greed index is in the extreme greed zone. Considering that we haven't had any serious correction since October 2023, all conditions are now forming for its onset. If Bitcoin can maintain its growth momentum until the halving, then after it, we can expect a global correction of all growth since 2023. The halving itself could be a signal to sell, based on the cryptocurrency reaching a local peak, similar to what happened following the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US in January 2024. In this case, we would expect a correction in the range of 0.5-0.68 Fibonacci levels and a retest of the 200-week moving average. Also, in this area lies the Imbalance 1W zone of 34,000-31,000, where it is necessary to fill gaps at horizontal levels of trading volumes. 💠 Analysis of liquidity zones The Fear and Greed Index is in the extreme greed zone at 79. The total market capitalization of the cryptocurrency market has increased to 2,087 billion dollars, and the Bitcoin dominance index has risen to 53.65. According to the analysis of the accumulation of large order blocks in exchange order books, demand and supply zones are located at the following levels: 🟢 Demand Zone: 30000 - 40000 🔴 Supply Zone: 60000 - 68000 Levels for long positions: 50,000 - Retest of the key psychological level 48,000 - Significant support block 44,000-45,000 - Potential retest zone of the trendline Levels for short positions: 60,000 - Test of key psychological resistance level 62,000 - 64,000: Major resistance block 68,000 - 70,000: Test of Bitcoin's historical maximum 📊 Fundamental analysis The current rise in the price of Bitcoin has been supported by the deadline for settlements on BTC futures contracts. Additionally, there are several fundamental reasons: Increase in the inflow of funds into cryptocurrency funds: Trading volume of spot Bitcoin ETFs hit a record $2.4 billion. Nine new spot Bitcoin ETFs set a new record for total daily volume. Bullish rally ahead of the Bitcoin halving, which is 50 days away. Rise in the US stock market, driven by expectations of the Fed's transition to lowering the key interest rate. This also sparks interest from large investors in digital assets. The S&P500 index of the largest US companies has again hit its historical maximum, while the DXY dollar index continues its local correction. 🌐 Upcoming Events in the Global Economy The following dates are expected to bring increased volatility in both the stock and cryptocurrency markets: ➤ 28.02, 16:30 - US GDP data. ➤ 8.03, 16:30 - Data on the unemployment rate in the USA. ➤ 12.03, 16:30 - Consumer inflation index in the USA (CPI). ➤ 20.03, 21:00 - New decision on the Fed interest rate. 📈 Results of signals from our AI trading indicator: Our trading AI Indicator, as always in advance, predicted the current price action and gave the most profitable entry points into long positions with minimal risk. Thanks to the latest updates, maximum take profit levels have already been taken, and the price movement according to the latest signals on the spot was: BTC +10.80% ETH +10.34% LTC +10.15% In addition, I would like to share the forecast of the latest Bitcoin price action by our AI, which not only indicates the direction, but also builds the trajectory of further price movement:
by TradeINEX
What Is Bitcoin Halving? Here's All You Need to KnowWhat Is Bitcoin Halving? Here's All You Need to Know. Halving is the event of slashing Bitcoin's mining rewards every 210,000 blocks, or roughly every four years. Read all about it here. Table of Contents Overview What Is Bitcoin Halving? When Is the Next Bitcoin Halving? Deep Dive into Blockchain How Are Miners Rewarded? Why Halving Matters? The Big Picture What About Bitcoin’s Price? Halving and the Way Forward Overview Bitcoin’s halving is a milestone event for the crypto space. Essentially, halving pushes back the moment we see all 21 million BTC tokens pulled out of their cryptographic hash puzzles. Satoshi Nakamoto, the individual or group who created Bitcoin , programmed it to a fixed amount of 21 million coins. In other words, the total amount of Bitcoin can never exceed 21 million. Presently, miners have picked up just over 19 million through a process called Bitcoin mining. This amount is over 90% of the total supply with mining having started with the creation of Bitcoin 15 years ago. That leaves just about 2 million tokens to be unearthed before the final Bitcoin enters our dimension. How long should we wait until this mammoth of a milestone happens? More than a century, or around the year 2140 , according to forecasting wizards. The logic behind this peculiar mechanism lies in the so-called halving and this guide will help you understand all about it. What Is Bitcoin Halving? Halving, in its simplest form, is the process of gradually reducing the rewards of Bitcoin mining. As we mentioned, Satoshi Nakamoto originally hard-coded Bitcoin to a fixed supply of 21 million. All of them will come to life at an increasingly slower rate. More precisely, the pace at which Bitcoin is created is “halved” every 210,000 blocks. The current block reward is 6.25 Bitcoin as the last halving occurred on May 11th, 2020. When's the Next Bitcoin Halving? In April 2024, miners will add the next batch of 210,000 blocks. And that only means one thing - they will have their revenue immediately slashed in half to 3.125 Bitcoin. All halvings are evenly spread out approximately every four years, consistent with Bitcoin’s hard-coded design. This way, supply will keep increasing, just at a slower clip. The reason is simple - the Bitcoin halving rewards will continue to reduce. Deep Dive into Blockchain In order for new Bitcoin to come into circulation, miners need to create blocks in a chain, hence the term ‘blockchain’. Network operators—the hardworking miners—uncover blocks through computer-powered mining operations. These crypto diggers compute hashes as quickly as possible. What they do is search for the successful fixed-length output that they add to the block. The more hashes per second (hashrate), the more chances for hacking out new blocks and adding them to the blockchain. How Are Miners Rewarded? Generally, miners have two ways to reward themselves for the effort. The first one is to earn revenue from transaction fees of users who send and receive Bitcoin. That’s when they act as decentralized network operators and validate transactions without a central authority. At their height during the crypto boom in April 2021, the Bitcoin network fees reached as much as $60 per transaction and took hours to complete. After all, the network can only handle 4-7 transactions per second. To compare, payment giant Visa can validate 24,000 transactions per second. Average transaction fee of Bitcoin, USD Timeframe: April, 2021 Source: bitinfocharts.com/co...transactionfees.html The other way to reward Bitcoin miners is to let them pocket the newly-minted Bitcoin contained in the block. Halving is basically a reward system for miners. But more broadly, halving is part of the proof-of-work model associated with high levels of energy consumption. Millions of mining rigs soak up that energy and crank out new Bitcoin. Why Halving Matters? Halving the block reward for mining Bitcoin is a way to protect its integrity. This immutable feature of the OG crypto makes it stand out as a unique asset class. In this light, it is also an alternative to inflation-prone national currencies, also known as fiat money. With that in mind, in a world that craves disruptive innovation, a technology that’s rewiring the global financial system has progressively moved into the limelight. The growing role of Bitcoin as a new investment vehicle is apparent, factoring in the elevated investor appetite . Bitcoin transacts tens of billions of dollars of daily volumes, with a peak of more than $126 billion on May 19, 2021. The figure is sufficient to prove it has piqued the interest of enough crowds to form a market around it. Before we revisit Bitcoin as an investable asset, let’s take a breather and trace the original crypto back to its origins where halving was introduced. The Big Picture Just over 15 years ago, the mysterious Satoshi Nakamoto mined the initial “genesis” block . For the effort, the clandestine developer(s) earned a hefty reward of 50 Bitcoin. And also bothered to leave a message hooked to the chunk of transactions. The message read: "The Times 03/Jan/2009 Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks." Since then, the Bitcoin network has witnessed three halving events: On November 28, 2012, Bitcoin’s block reward was cut from 50 BTC to 25 BTC. On July 9, 2016, Bitcoin’s block reward was slashed from 25 per block to 12.5 BTC. The last one occurred on May 11, 2020, when the reward was axed to 6.25 BTC. The next Bitcoin halving event is on deck for April 19, 2024. Rewards will fall to 3.125 BTC. The Bitcoin halving dates may vary and we're yet to get a confirmation over the next one. Estimations indicate that every 10 minutes or so all network operators add a new block to the Bitcoin blockchain. With the current reward of 6.25 Bitcoin per block, miners dig out around 900 new Bitcoin a day. At today’s prices , this is equal to around $50 million worth of Bitcoin extracted daily. This is where the halving becomes interesting not just to the geeks among us. Halving events play a key part in shaping up supply and demand and weigh on the price of Bitcoin. Speaking of price movement, how does the rate at which new Bitcoin is churned out affect valuations? What About Bitcoin's Price? Bitcoin, as the world’s first cryptocurrency in a sea of many , is the quintessence of scarcity premium. Investment professionals are quick to say that Bitcoin carries a unique glamor as the only large tradeable asset with a predictable emission leading to a hard cap. In that light, analysts consider Bitcoin to be the newest entrant in the store-of-value category. An investment product that holds its purchasing power over time. Ideally coming with consistent price increases. This is possible thanks to halving - the brilliant mechanism hard-wired into the Bitcoin protocol. The minds behind the original digital currency conceived it as deflationary. A concept alien to the present financial system, flooded with central-bank cash and government stimulus. The reason is that, contrary to fiat currencies that inflate over time, Bitcoin should not be debased by inflation. Satoshi Nakamoto explained this inflation-rate flaw in an online forum around the time of Bitcoin’s inception. "The root problem with conventional currency is all the trust that’s required to make it work. The central bank must be trusted not to debase the currency, but the history of fiat currencies is full of breaches of that trust.” Halving and the Way Forward If there’s a need to draw broad conclusions, here are some of the more salient points to make a compelling argument. Bitcoin’s purchasing power is likely to avoid debasement thanks to the halving mechanism. With less than 10% of Bitcoin still to come to the surface, it will take more than 100 years for the last unmined Bitcoin to pop out. Once all the 21 million Bitcoin spring to life, miners will no longer stake their livelihood on uncovering new tokens. Instead, they will earn revenue from network fees for their work on validating transactions. But that’s only if the network sticks to the plan. FAQ ❔ "What is the purpose of halving?" ► Halving maintains a decreasing pace of block rewards, which emphasizes on the idea of scarcity in Bitcoin. ❔"When is the next Bitcoin halving?" ► The next Bitcoin halving event is scheduled to occur on April 19, 2024. This date is approximate, and the actual date may be different, depending on the time it takes to complete one full batch of 210,000 blocks. ❔"Is halving related to price increase?" ► Technically, when the supply of new Bitcoin is cut in half, and demand remains the same, prices may go up. But the price discovery of Bitcoin does not obey archetype models of economics. ❔"When will the last Bitcoin be mined?" ► Estimates point that the last available Bitcoin will be mined in the year 2140.
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Education
by TradingView
3
BTC Analysis: Daily Time Frame with Weekly Support at $42,828 anBTC Analysis: Daily Time Frame with Weekly Support at $42,828 and Weekly Resistance at $52,223 1. Current Price Action: BTC is currently trading within a range between the weekly support at $42,828 and the weekly resistance at $52,223. Within this range, the daily support is identified at $46,901, providing an additional level for traders to monitor. 2. Importance of Weekly Levels: Weekly support and resistance levels play a significant role in identifying broader market sentiments and potential turning points. Traders often look for confirmation of trend continuation or reversal around these levels. 3. Daily Support and Resistance: The daily support at $46,901 and the daily resistance levels can provide intraday trading opportunities and finer entry and exit points within the broader weekly range. 4. 4-Hour Time Frame Support: On the 4-hour time frame, additional support is observed at $50,288, further strengthening the significance of this level. 5. Trend Identification: In the absence of a clear trend, BTC is likely experiencing consolidation within the broader range. Traders should monitor price action for potential breakouts or breakdowns from the range to identify the next directional bias. 6. Trading Strategies: Range Trading: Traders may consider buying near the weekly support of $42,828 and selling near the weekly resistance of $52,223 until a breakout or breakdown occurs. Breakout Trading: A decisive breakout above $52,223 could signal a bullish continuation, while a breakdown below $42,828 could indicate further downside momentum. Intraday Trading: Utilize the daily and 4-hour support and resistance levels for intraday trading strategies, such as scalping or swing trading. 7. Risk Management: Implement strict risk management techniques, including stop-loss orders, to protect capital in case of adverse price movements. Adjust position sizes according to the distance between entry and stop-loss levels relative to account size and risk tolerance. 8. Monitoring Catalysts: Stay informed about fundamental and macroeconomic events, regulatory developments, and market sentiment surrounding BTC, as these factors can influence price action and trigger significant movements. 9. Summary: BTC is currently trading within a range defined by the weekly support at $42,828 and the weekly resistance at $52,223. Traders should monitor intraday support and resistance levels, such as the daily support at $46,901 and the 4-hour support at $50,288, for potential trading opportunities. Utilize appropriate risk management strategies and stay informed about market catalysts to navigate the market effectively.
by nawaab001
Sell position detected !Certainly! Here's the prepared text with the signal incorporated: Trade Signal: #BTC Sell Position Entry: Sell at 52,400 Take Profit (TP): 50,600 Reasoning: In this trade, the decision to take a selling position is based on the declining value of Bitcoin (BTC). Several logical reasons support this decision: Technical Analysis: Analysis of the Bitcoin price chart may indicate a bearish market sentiment, suggesting a potential continuation of the downtrend. For instance, chart patterns such as a head and shoulders reversal pattern or a swift decline in moving averages (MA) could be observed. Fundamental Analysis: News or events that could negatively impact Bitcoin's value might be influencing this decision. This could include negative government statements or regulatory constraints in digital asset markets. Combined Analysis: Utilizing a combination of technical and fundamental analysis can provide a more robust entry point. For example, if a negative chart pattern coincides with unfavorable news regarding Bitcoin, it could serve as confirmation for the selling decision. Considering these factors, taking a selling position can be a logical decision. However, it's essential to remember that trading in financial markets carries inherent risks, so always conduct thorough research and consider implementing proper risk management strategies.
Short
by PatFin
1
Bitcoin Crash Alert: Ready for $22k as per Past Fractal AnalysisPotential Bitcoin Price Movement Based on Previous Cycles Greetings crypto community! I wanted to share an interesting observation about potential bitcoin price movement based on fractals from past market cycles. - In 2019, BTC was 42% below its previous all-time high (ATH). Currently, in 2024, it is 41% below the 2021 ATH. - In 2019, BTC dumped 73% from the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. It is currently trading at the 0.786 level. - In 2020, BTC was 73% down 322 days before the 3rd halving. Currently, it is 100% up 322 days before the upcoming 4th halving. - There are similar price "boxes" between 2019 and 2024 - GETTEX:13K - GETTEX:14K back then versus $50k- GETTEX:52K now, and $4k-$5k versus FWB:21K -$23k. If these fractals play out similarly, we could potentially see BTC in the $22k- GETTEX:25K range soon. Please Like Share and Follow me for more quality analysis
Short
by CryptoPatel
4