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BTCUST.P trade ideas

BTCUSDT Elliott Wave Analysis (2H Chart)Currently tracking a 5-wave Elliott structure: Wave (1) initiated the bullish impulse. Wave (2) retraced back with healthy correction. Wave (3) extended strongly, showing momentum. Wave (4) completed with a corrective pullback. Wave (5) is in progress, approaching the liquidity zone between 117,000 – 119,500. ⚡ Price is now pushing towards the upper liquidity zone where potential supply and profit-taking may occur. ⚠️ Watch for possible reversal or consolidation around this area after Wave (5) completes. Key Levels to Watch: Support: 110,700 Resistance / Liquidity: 117,000 – 119,500 This zone could decide whether BTC continues higher or begins a corrective ABC structure.
Short
by Dinesh_Kryptonian
2
Bitcoin Market Update – September 15, 2025🔴 Bitcoin Market Update – September 15, 2025 📈 The main trend is still UP 💹 Last week, Bitcoin closed the trading session around 115k2 and is currently hovering near 115k4. The weekly (W) candle of Bitcoin is showing quite a good signal, closing as a green candle with a short wick. 📊 Volume is at an average level, but this gives the market a positive outlook as the price just successfully retested the 20 EMA. Most of this volume comes from traditional inflows via BTC ETFs (as I analyzed in last week’s LIVE session). 📰 News: This week, the Federal Reserve Interest Rate decision is an important event, scheduled at 1 AM on Thursday. ⚡ Short-term strategy: ✅ The current market condition is favorable for altcoins. ✅ Focus on trading altcoins. ✅ Only do scalping trades and prioritize LONG (BUY) positions. ⚠️ Current disadvantage for Bitcoin: 🔻 MACD has shown a bearish divergence at the top. 🔻 The current price zone may form a consolidation range on the W timeframe (Gray box zone). 🛡️ Nearest support: 108k 🚀 Nearest resistance: 123k 🍀 Wishing everyone an efficient trading week ahead!
Long
by Trendformal
Timeframes Change EverythingInfluential educators often spread erroneous ideas that end up costing the community money. One of the most harmful opinions, sadly accepted by most investors, is that all timeframes are equal for practical purposes, since the market is fractal. With this article, I aim to shed light on this phenomenon and demonstrate that timeframes are more than just a matter of preference. Mass Psychology and Historical Record Shorter timeframes, such as intraday charts, offer a price record and a more limited context compared to longer timeframes—daily, weekly, or monthly—which can make it difficult to identify clear and reliable patterns. Additionally, another relevant aspect is that the duration of a market phenomenon is often an indicator of its consistency: trends that persist over time tend to reflect more stable and predictable behavior. For this reason, investors prefer to base their decisions on an analysis that considers a greater amount of historical data, such as that provided by longer timeframes. The lack of a complete history limits the ability to detect solid and consistent patterns, increasing the risk of less informed decisions. News, Events, and Rumors The appearance of a surprise announcement about interest rates or a geopolitical event can trigger panic or euphoria among investors, leading them to buy or sell assets without a clear strategy. Even a simple rumor can cause chaos in price charts, highlighting how unpredictable humans are in the face of new circumstances. This instability is generally clearly reflected in 5-, 15-, or 60-minute charts, where volatility increases dramatically. The historical record of this irrationality rarely affects trends in longer timeframes, which offer a more stable and consistent perspective. On this, the renowned investor and author, Dirk du Toit , has said the following: "The smaller your timeframe, the greater the randomness of what you're observing. If you're watching price changes every five or fifteen minutes, the degree of randomness is very high, and your probability of anticipating the next correct price movement, or series of price movements, is very low." Manipulation: Higher timeframes require a greater volume of money to be manipulated, as the interests that form the price action have matured over a longer period (increasing their reliability). Generally, higher timeframes are operated by more capitalized participants who trade with long-term objectives. High-frequency trading (HFT) is a form of automated trading that uses advanced algorithms, high-speed computer systems, and low-latency connections to execute a large number of trades in fractions of a second. This type of trading is characterized by exploiting small market inefficiencies, operating with large volumes, and holding positions open for extremely short periods. In lower timeframes, price movements can appear random or "noisy" due to HFT activity, which makes traditional technical analysis difficult for manual traders.Technical patterns (such as supports, resistances, or breakouts) can break quickly due to algorithmic action, which does not operate based on classical patterns, but on high-frequency data like order flow or statistical correlations. Randomness increases with shorter timeframes. An example of this is the reduction in the success rate of trading systems as we move to lower timeframes. Profitable systems (documented) on daily charts can become unusable on timeframes like 4-hour or 1-hour. Additional Ideas: -All classic indicators (MACD, RSI, Bollinger Bands, Keltner Channels, Donchian Channels, Williams Alligator, Ichimoku Cloud, Parabolic SAR, DMI, etc.) have been created based on timeframes higher than intraday. -All known classic methodologies (Dow Theory, Chartism, Elliott Theory, Harmonic Patterns, Wyckoff Method, Gann Theories, Hurst Cycles, Japanese Candlestick Patterns, etc.) were created with a focus on timeframes higher than intraday. -All great classic analysts, and most great current investors, apply an investment approach higher than the intraday timeframe. On Some Authors: -Richard W. Schabacker in his book “Technical Analysis and Stock Market Profits” (1932) structured market fluctuations into Major Movements (monthly chart or higher), Intermediate Movements (weekly chart), and Minor Movements (daily chart). His analyses were based on the study of these timeframes. "The more time it takes for the chart to form the image of any formation, the greater the predictive significance of that pattern and the longer the subsequent movement, the length, size, and strength of our formation." - Dirk du Toit in his book titled “Bird Watching in Lion Country” comments: "The smaller your timeframe, the greater the randomness of what you're observing. If you're watching price changes every five or fifteen minutes, the degree of randomness is very high, and your probability of anticipating the next correct price movement, or series of price movements, is very low." "A coin, just like a five-minute chart, has no memory. Just because it has come up heads eight times in a row, it doesn't start to 'adjust' to provide the required probability balance of a 50/50 ratio in a given number of tosses. Five- or fifteen-minute charts are the same. Trying to predict whether the next five-minute period will end up or down is exactly like flipping a coin." Conclusions: I do not intend to dismiss methodologies that take advantage of fluctuations in shorter timeframes. My goal is to warn retail investors about the risks of intraday trading: randomness, manipulation, and limited information turn these timeframes into dangerous terrain. Even effective systems proven on daily charts tend to suffer statistical wear. In contrast, higher timeframes offer clarity and consistency, backed by mass psychology, historical record, and trading volume.
Education
by Especulador96
BTC Buy Zone Forming – Potential Bullish Breakout AheadAnalysis: Trend Structure: After a corrective decline from the $124K resistance area, BTC has rebounded strongly, forming a rising channel (highlighted in blue). Support Levels: Strong demand observed near $107,200, aligning with the 0.868 Fibonacci retracement, making it a crucial support zone. Buy Zone: Chart highlights the $114K–$116K range as a buy zone before continuation of the upward trend. Resistance Levels: Key resistance remains around $124K–$126K, which is the next major target if the bullish momentum sustains. Outlook: As long as BTC stays above $114K support, the bias remains bullish, with a potential rally towards $120K–$124K. A breakdown below $112K would invalidate the bullish scenario. ✅ Bias: Bullish continuation 🎯 Targets: $120,000 → $124,000 🛑 Invalidation: Break below $112,000
Long
by Pipshunter27
Bitcoin Correction or Trap? What’s Next for BTCBitcoin Correction or Trap? What’s Next for BTC 📊 Bitcoin Market Analysis (BTC/USDT) 🔹 Fundamental Outlook Macro Environment Global liquidity conditions remain a key driver for Bitcoin. With central banks signaling slower tightening and some economies leaning toward easing, risk assets like crypto gain renewed interest. This keeps institutional flows active, even amid volatility. Investor Sentiment Market confidence has been mixed—recent ETF inflows show strong long-term positioning, while short-term traders are exiting positions due to price uncertainty. This dual behavior creates volatility but underscores Bitcoin’s sustained appeal as a hedge against inflation and monetary instability. Adoption & Regulation Ongoing regulatory clarity in major regions (U.S., EU, Asia) adds both challenges and opportunities. While restrictions dampen speculative activity in some markets, clearer frameworks are encouraging institutional adoption. 🔹 Technical Outlook Trend Observation The chart shows a prior bullish impulse followed by a sustained corrective phase. Momentum has clearly shifted from strong upward pressure to a controlled decline, suggesting a cycle rotation is in play. Market Structure Recent price action highlights break-of-structure events on the downside, reflecting that sellers temporarily dominate. However, consolidation phases are appearing, often precursors to volatility expansion. Momentum & Volume Declining volume on the latest drops suggests that selling pressure may be losing strength. This opens the probability for accumulation at lower price zones before the next directional move. Possible Scenarios Short-term weakness: Further decline is possible as the market continues to seek liquidity. Medium-term recovery: If macro tailwinds (liquidity injections, ETF demand, weaker USD) persist, Bitcoin may reattempt a bullish cycle once accumulation is complete.
Long
by XAU_EMPIRE
1
BTC Weekly Analysis: Correction Phase with Rebound PotentialBTC Weekly Analysis: Correction Phase with Rebound Potential Weekly BTCUSDT Fundamental–Technical Report Bitcoin has entered a consolidation-to-correction phase after failing to hold momentum above the resistance zone. From a fundamental perspective, global liquidity conditions and Fed rate expectations remain the primary drivers, while institutional demand provides medium-term support. On-chain activity shows stable network usage but weaker whale accumulation, signaling reduced aggressive buying in the near term. From a technical perspective, the chart reflects a sequence of market structure shifts (MSS) and breaks of structure (BOS) on the 4H timeframe, highlighting a transition from bullish momentum into a controlled correction. Current price action suggests pressure toward the 106k–107k demand zone, where market reaction will be decisive. A strong defense at this level could trigger a rebound toward 114k–120k, while a breakdown below 106k would expose Bitcoin to deeper downside risk around 104k. Weekly Bias: Short-term corrective bearish trend, medium-term neutral with a potential bullish recovery if demand zones hold.
Long
by XAU_EMPIRE
“BTC/USDT at Crossroads | Key Levels to Watch🔎 Chart Analysis – BTC/USDT (45m) Resistance Zone: Around 112,586 – 113,200 USDT. Price has tested this area multiple times but failed to break out, confirming strong selling pressure. Support Zone: Around 107,529 – 108,400 USDT. Buyers have consistently defended this zone, making it a key demand area. Current Price: 110,720 USDT, sitting in the middle of support and resistance. 📌 Scenarios: Bullish Case 🟢🚀 – If BTC breaks above 112,586 USDT, momentum could push toward 113,500+ USDT. Bearish Case 🔴📉 – If BTC fails to hold 109,349 USDT, price may retest the deeper support around 107,500 USDT. ⚖️ Trading Plan Idea: Long Entry: Above 112,600 breakout ✅ Short Entry: Below 109,300 breakdown ❌ Target Zones: Upside 🎯 → 113,500+ Downside 🎯 → 107,500
Long
by Pipshunter27
Part 2 Master Candlestick PatternTypes of Options and Market Participants 1. Call Options (Right to Buy) A Call Option gives the holder the right to buy an asset at a strike price. Investors use calls when they expect prices to rise. Example: Buying a TCS ₹3,000 Call at ₹100 premium means you profit if TCS rises above ₹3,100 before expiry. 2. Put Options (Right to Sell) A Put Option gives the holder the right to sell at a strike price. Used when expecting prices to fall. Example: Buying Infosys ₹1,500 Put at ₹50 premium pays off if Infosys drops below ₹1,450. 3. Option Market Participants Hedgers: Reduce risk by using options as insurance. (e.g., farmer hedging crop price, or investor protecting stock portfolio). Speculators: Bet on price movements to earn profits. Arbitrageurs: Exploit price differences across markets. Writers (Sellers): Earn premium by selling options but take on higher risks. Psychology & Discipline in Option Trading Trading is not just math. It’s mindset. Fear of Missing Out (FOMO): Leads to impulsive trades. Over-Leverage: Options tempt traders with small premiums, causing overtrading. Discipline: Setting stop-loss, position sizing, and risk management is crucial. Patience: Most successful option traders focus on probability, not prediction.
Education
by SkyTradingZone
2
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN BEARISH Outlook – September 03, 2025Let me first take a look at the situation of Bitcoin. Currently, the situation of Bitcoin is not very good. These days, it has been continuing to decline, based on 124,400. Unfortunately, I expect there will be a little more decline this time as well. The first is the double top. If you check around 111,760, you can see that a double top has formed. Accordingly, we can expect a downward trend, and since the bottom trigger in between has also broken downward, I believe this has been clearly confirmed. The second is that the arbitrary wave M wave is forming a length ratio of 1.618 of the N wave. This part could be carefully counted by attaching names according to Elliott Wave theory, but as those who have been reading my articles for a long time would know, I consciously do not count waves in detail. I judge that focusing only on the length ratio is better. The third is the downward break of the trendline. The trendline refers to the trendline that can be found when connecting 108,400 and 110,240. Since this trendline has been broken downward, I think Bitcoin could see a short-term decline. Lastly, although it is not certain so it is a bit ambiguous to say, the movement that has been forming since August 29 at 21:30 could be seen as a Shark pattern. This part is somewhat ambiguous to define as a harmonic because the range is formed ambiguously, but I thought it would be better to write it down, so I am informing you. By comprehensively judging the above matters, I estimated the final TP to be around 107,778. All the grounds in this article have been carefully drawn on the chart, so I think there will be no significant difficulty in reading. I will continue to track this idea, and as the movement develops, I will deliver additional information to you through updates of this idea. Thank you for reading.
Short
by SeoVereign
Inflation and Its Impact on Markets1. Understanding Inflation 1.1 Definition Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services rises, eroding the purchasing power of money. If the inflation rate is 6% annually, an item costing ₹100 this year will cost ₹106 the next year, assuming all else remains equal. 1.2 Causes of Inflation Economists generally classify inflation into two broad categories: Demand-Pull Inflation – Occurs when aggregate demand in an economy outpaces aggregate supply. Example: rising consumer spending, government expenditure, or investment that pushes up prices. Cost-Push Inflation – Triggered when production costs rise (e.g., due to higher wages, raw material costs, or supply chain disruptions), and businesses pass these costs onto consumers. Other causes include monetary expansion (too much money chasing too few goods), structural bottlenecks, taxation policies, or geopolitical crises that disrupt supply chains. 1.3 Types of Inflation Creeping Inflation: Mild (1–3% annually), often seen as healthy for growth. Walking Inflation: Moderate (3–10% annually), may start hurting purchasing power. Galloping Inflation: Double-digit inflation, destabilizes economies. Hyperinflation: Prices rise uncontrollably (e.g., Zimbabwe, Venezuela). Stagflation: Inflation combined with stagnation in economic growth and high unemployment (1970s U.S. example). Deflation: Persistent fall in prices, often damaging as it discourages spending and investment. 1.4 Measuring Inflation Common indicators include: Consumer Price Index (CPI): Tracks retail prices of a basket of goods and services. Wholesale Price Index (WPI): Measures price changes at the wholesale level. Producer Price Index (PPI): Monitors prices from the producer’s perspective. GDP Deflator: Broader measure of inflation in an economy. 2. Inflation and Its Impact on Financial Markets Inflation has a multi-dimensional impact on different segments of financial markets. Let’s examine them one by one. 2.1 Impact on Stock Markets Stocks represent ownership in companies, and inflation affects corporate earnings, investor sentiment, and valuation multiples. Corporate Profits: Rising inflation increases costs of raw materials, wages, and borrowing. If companies cannot pass these costs to consumers, their profit margins shrink. Valuation Multiples: Higher inflation leads to higher interest rates (central banks hike rates to control inflation). As rates rise, the present value of future cash flows declines, leading to lower stock valuations (P/E ratios fall). Sectoral Impact: Winners: Commodity producers (oil, metals, agriculture), energy firms, FMCG companies with strong pricing power. Losers: Consumer discretionary, technology, and financials (due to margin pressure and higher cost of capital). Investor Sentiment: Inflation creates uncertainty. Equity markets often turn volatile during inflationary phases as investors reassess growth prospects. Example: In the 1970s U.S., inflation was extremely high due to oil shocks, and stock markets delivered poor real returns. 2.2 Impact on Bond Markets Bonds are highly sensitive to inflation because they provide fixed income. Interest Rates and Yields: When inflation rises, central banks raise policy rates. This pushes bond yields up, causing bond prices to fall. Real Returns: Inflation erodes the real return of fixed-income instruments. For example, if a bond yields 5% but inflation is 7%, the real return is –2%. Inflation-Indexed Bonds: Governments issue instruments like TIPS (Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities) in the U.S. or Inflation-Indexed Bonds in India to protect investors. Conclusion: High inflation is generally negative for bondholders, except for inflation-linked securities. 2.3 Impact on Currency Markets Inflation has direct implications for currency values in the forex market. Currency Depreciation: High inflation erodes purchasing power and often leads to depreciation of a country’s currency. Interest Rate Differential: Central banks raise rates to curb inflation, which can temporarily strengthen a currency due to higher returns on domestic assets. Trade Balance: Inflation makes exports costlier and imports cheaper, widening trade deficits, further pressuring the currency. Example: Turkish lira has depreciated sharply in recent years due to persistently high inflation. 2.4 Impact on Commodity Markets Commodities as Hedge: Commodities like gold, oil, and agricultural goods often perform well during inflationary periods, as they are tangible assets. Input Cost Pressures: Rising commodity prices themselves fuel inflation, creating a feedback loop. Energy Prices: Oil price shocks are among the most common triggers of global inflation. 2.5 Impact on Real Estate Real estate is often seen as a hedge against inflation. Positive Effects: Property values and rental incomes tend to rise with inflation, protecting investors. Negative Effects: High interest rates increase mortgage costs, reducing affordability and slowing demand. Commercial Real Estate: Long-term leases may lag inflation, impacting yields for landlords. 3. Inflation and Central Bank Policies Central banks, such as the Federal Reserve (U.S.), European Central Bank (ECB), and Reserve Bank of India (RBI), play a pivotal role in managing inflation. 3.1 Tools of Monetary Policy Interest Rate Hikes: To cool demand. Open Market Operations: Controlling money supply. Cash Reserve Ratio / Statutory Liquidity Ratio: Used by RBI to regulate liquidity. Forward Guidance: Communicating policy stance to manage expectations. 3.2 Inflation Targeting Many central banks adopt formal inflation targets (e.g., 2% in the U.S. and Eurozone, 4% in India) to maintain price stability. 3.3 Dilemma for Policymakers Too Aggressive Tightening: Risks slowing growth or causing recession. Too Soft: Risks runaway inflation. 4. Historical and Global Case Studies 4.1 The U.S. in the 1970s – Stagflation Oil price shocks triggered high inflation + low growth. Stock markets stagnated, bonds suffered, commodities soared. 4.2 Zimbabwe (2000s) – Hyperinflation Prices doubled every few hours. Currency lost value, people resorted to barter trade. Financial markets collapsed. 4.3 India (2010–2013) – High Inflation Phase CPI and WPI inflation soared due to food and fuel prices. RBI raised rates multiple times, slowing growth. Equity markets remained volatile, bond yields spiked. 4.4 Pandemic & Post-Pandemic (2020–2023) Global supply chain disruptions + fiscal stimulus led to inflation surge. Central banks responded with aggressive rate hikes. Stock markets turned volatile, real estate demand shifted, commodity prices spiked. 5. Inflation and Investor Strategies Investors cannot control inflation, but they can adapt strategies to protect their wealth. 5.1 Hedging Against Inflation Commodities: Gold, silver, oil, agricultural products. Real Assets: Real estate, infrastructure. Equities: Companies with strong pricing power, dividend-paying stocks. Inflation-Protected Bonds: TIPS, index-linked government securities. 5.2 Portfolio Diversification Balancing equities, bonds, commodities, and alternative assets reduces the risk of inflation eroding overall portfolio value. 5.3 Sector Rotation Moving investments into inflation-friendly sectors (energy, utilities, consumer staples) during high inflationary phases. 6. Broader Economic and Social Implications Purchasing Power: Consumers struggle as essential goods (food, fuel) become costlier. Wage-Price Spiral: Workers demand higher wages → businesses increase prices → further inflation. Inequality: Inflation hurts low-income households more, as they spend a larger share of income on essentials. Political Instability: Persistent inflation can lead to social unrest, protests, and government changes. 7. Conclusion Inflation is a double-edged sword. Controlled inflation is a sign of a healthy, growing economy, ensuring that demand is strong and businesses are profitable. But when inflation becomes excessive or unpredictable, it erodes purchasing power, distorts investment decisions, destabilizes financial markets, and undermines trust in economic management. Its impact on markets is wide-ranging: Stocks face pressure due to higher costs and lower valuations. Bonds lose value as yields rise. Currencies depreciate if inflation is uncontrolled. Commodities and real estate often benefit, acting as hedges. For policymakers, investors, and ordinary citizens, understanding inflation is essential. It is not merely an economic indicator but a force that shapes market dynamics, business strategies, and household decisions. In an interconnected global economy, inflation in one part of the world can ripple across continents, influencing global capital flows and market stability.
Education
by TechnicalExpress
7
BTC LONG AND HAVING SUPPORT OVER THE CHANNEL Chart Overview • Pair/Timeframe: BTC/USDT – 4H • Exchange: Bitget • Pattern: Breakout from a falling wedge / descending channel, shifting momentum bullish. • Indicators: • EMA 9 (yellow) and EMA 20 (blue) are crossing bullishly. • Volume spike supports the breakout. ⸻ Price Action • BTC broke out of the descending trendline (blue) and retested support before moving higher. • Currently trading at 110,780 USDT (+1.46%). • Strong bullish momentum is visible with higher lows forming since Aug 31. ⸻ Trade Setup • Entry: Around breakout zone (near 110,000 – 110,500). • Stop Loss (SL): Below 108,500 zone (highlighted red zone). • Targets: • TP1: 114,658 USDT • TP2: 115,980 USDT ⸻ Key Levels • Immediate Support: 109,383 – 108,534 • Major Support Zone: 107,200 – 107,386 • Immediate Resistance: 111,998 – 113,217 • Target Resistance: 114,658 (TP1) and 115,980 (TP2) • High Reference: 117,340 – 117,345 ⸻ ✅ Summary: BTC has broken out of a falling wedge on the 4H chart with strong bullish confirmation. If price sustains above 110k, it could move toward 114.6k (TP1) and 116k (TP2). Losing 108.5k support would invalidate this bullish setup.
Long
by The_Mosess
BTC/USDT – Elliott Wave Structure with BOS ConfirmationBTC/USDT – Elliott Wave Structure with BOS Confirmation On the 2H timeframe, Bitcoin is showing a clear Elliott Wave corrective pattern: Wave A → B → C → D completed BOS (Break of Structure) confirms a potential shift towards a bullish reversal. Price is consolidating near the $108,800 level, preparing for a possible move towards the Wave E target zone. Key Observations: Momentum indicators showing a potential bullish divergence. Holding above the $108,000 support zone strengthens the bullish outlook. Next resistance levels are at $110,000 – $112,000. Trade Idea: Entry: Around $108,800 (confirmation on bullish candle close) Target Levels: TP1: $110,500 TP2: $112,000 Stop Loss: Below $107,500 to manage risk. Bias: Bullish as long as price sustains above the recent Wave D low. Would you like me to include Fibonacci retracement levels in this description for more technical depth? ChatGPT can make mistakes. Check important info. See Cookie
Long
by Dinesh_Kryptonian
Btc long 1H TimeframeKey Observations: 1. Chart Type & Indicators: • Timeframe: 1 Hour (1H) • Indicators: EMA 9 (yellow), EMA 20 (blue) for short-term trend tracking. 2. Price Action: • Current Price: 109,260 USDT • Recently bounced sharply after a strong dip, showing bullish recovery. 3. Pattern: • There’s a visible ascending triangle (orange lines), which usually indicates bullish continuation if price breaks upward. • Price has broken out of the small ascending trendline with momentum. 4. Trade Setup (Long): • Entry Zone: Around 109,260 USDT • Target (TP): • First resistance near 111,998 USDT • Next major resistance around 113,217–113,431 USDT • Stop Loss (SL): Around 107,200–107,386 USDT 5. Volume: • Noticeable increase in buy volume at the breakout, confirming bullish pressure. ⸻ ✅ Summary: This is a long position setup based on breakout from an ascending structure. If BTC holds above the 109,000–108,500 support zone, it has potential to test 112k–113k levels. Stop loss is placed below the recent swing low (~107.2k).
Long
by The_Mosess
Warning: A possible “crash” incoming?! 🔴 Warning: A possible “crash” incoming?! The key factor will be revealed at the end of this post Bitcoin Market Update – 09/01/2025 👇 On the monthly timeframe, Bitcoin has surged ~647% from the wave bottom in January 2023 up to now. The long-term trend is still bullish. This current bull wave looks healthy, with strong upswings followed by short-term corrections. However, here’s the factor I want to warn you about: 1️⃣ The Bitcoin monthly candle closed red this morning, almost engulfing the previous one, and more importantly, it just made a liquidity sweep at the top. History (see orange-marked zones) shows that whenever the monthly candle sweeps the high, a correction usually follows—sometimes small, sometimes very deep. ⚠️ Especially note October 2021: after Bitcoin swept the high, it went on to lose 70% of its value, dragging the whole market into a downtrend. 2️⃣ Looking at the current conditions: if the MACD on the monthly timeframe makes just one bearish cross, a downtrend could begin immediately. Of course, timing, liquidity flow, and macro cycles all differ. Personally, I remain extremely bullish on the market long term. Corrections are necessary to set up the next massive wave. No one can predict the future with certainty. But we can prepare defensive strategies for the worst-case scenarios. 🌱 Wishing everyone a green and refreshing new week ✅ Short-term trading strategies will be updated later today. 👉 Stay tuned everyone!
Short
by Trendformal
BTC/USDT 1 Hour View1-Hour Technical Snapshot Key Levels Support Zones: ~$110,000–$110,600 — viewed as a critical short-term support / demand area. It’s where BTC could stabilize if the current slide continues ~$108,666 — a deeper support level; a break below this risks a pullback toward $101,000, near the 200-day moving average Resistance Zones: ~$112,000–$112,500 — a key resistance or supply area, with potential selling pressure around this range ~$124,474 — the recent monthly closing high and psychologically significant level; clearing this would be a strong bullish confirmation Market Sentiment & Setup Bullish Case: BTC sitting near $111,600 is seen by some analysts as a potential entry zone for a bullish continuation pattern (like a bull flag). A break above $115,544 (20-day SMA) could fuel a push toward $125,000 Bearish Risk: If $108,666 support fails, the risk is for a deeper drop toward $101,000, negating the bullish setup Other indicator-based technical analysis tools (like TradingView’s technical summary) reflect a neutral bias on 1H charts, while longer-term timeframes lean more bullish
Long
by TechnicalExpress
6
BTC - 29th Aug - collect more qty on every dipswe have monthly expiry and max pain at the top around 117K not sure exactly as it keeps changing some times. I expect any of the mentioned support levels to hold since it went up with demand followed by good data from US and positive equity... long BTC with required enough enough margins so no one can liquidate even during sleeping... weak hands loose btc to whales during dips... collect btc qty on dips... take care, cant predict the exact support levels big players thinking .... But every big players buy every dip when good volume seen for sure
Long
by venkatfx
BTCUSDT Bearish Pattern with Key Support RetestAnalysis: The chart shows Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) forming a harmonic pattern that signals potential bearish continuation. Price is currently retesting a critical support and resistance level around the 113,000–114,000 zone. If this level fails to hold, further downside movement is expected. Pattern Formation: The harmonic structure (XABCD) suggests a bearish setup. Support Zone: Around 110,900–111,000, a crucial level to watch. Downside Target: If support breaks, the price could move toward the 99,000–100,000 strong supply zone. Volume: A noticeable volume build-up supports potential continuation to the downside. 📉 Outlook: Bearish bias. A breakdown from current retest levels may accelerate selling pressure toward the 100k psychological zone.
by Pipshunter27
BTCUSDT.P MEXC H1This BTC/USDT analysis dives into the order flow using Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) to gauge the real strength behind recent price movements. CVD provides a crucial look "under the hood" by tracking the net difference between aggressive market buys and sells. Currently, we're observing a potential divergence between price action and CVD. While the price may be showing one thing, the CVD indicates whether conviction from buyers or sellers supports the move. This discrepancy can often be a leading indicator for a potential reversal or trend exhaustion. Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
by anshulmtrading