Nifty 50 spot 24565.35 by the Daily Chart view - Weekly update*Nifty 50 spot 24565.35 by the Daily Chart view - Weekly update*
- Resistance Zone 24900 to 25100 of Nifty Index Level
- Support Zone 24450 to 24700 of Nifty Index level still seen sustained
- Bearish Rounding Bottom after ATH level seen repeated at current week closure
- Practical Bottom of *Bearish Rounding Bottom* from ATH 26277.35 came to 21,870.45 for Nifty index
- Practically Nifty 50 Index later took an upside reversal from 21964.60, which is a diff of just 94.15 points
- Practical Bottom of *Repeated Bearish Rounding Bottom* from recent high of 25669.35 on 30th June comes to 24473
- Should we anticipate the same behavior to see history repeat for Nifty to go down until 23276 and then take the reversal
INDIA50CFD trade ideas
Inflation Nightmare Introduction: What Is the Inflation Nightmare?
Inflation is often described as a slow-burning fire in the economy, but when it accelerates uncontrollably, it becomes a nightmare — distorting prices, eroding purchasing power, and triggering unpredictable market reactions. Traders, investors, and policymakers all dread this scenario, as inflation doesn't just change the numbers — it reshapes the economic landscape. From commodity spikes and interest rate hikes to sector rotations and recession fears, inflation is a force no one can ignore.
This article explores the anatomy of an inflation nightmare, its impact on various asset classes, central bank responses, and how traders can navigate this storm.
1. The Anatomy of Inflation
Inflation refers to the general rise in the price level of goods and services over time. While moderate inflation is considered normal in a growing economy, hyperinflation or sustained high inflation poses significant threats.
Types of Inflation:
Demand-pull inflation: Too much money chasing too few goods.
Cost-push inflation: Rising input costs (e.g., oil, labor) drive up prices.
Built-in inflation: Wage-price spiral — workers demand higher wages to keep up with inflation, causing costs to rise further.
Stagflation: A toxic mix of high inflation and stagnant growth (e.g., 1970s U.S. economy).
2. Causes of the Modern Inflation Nightmare
a. Supply Chain Disruptions
The COVID-19 pandemic and geopolitical conflicts (e.g., Russia-Ukraine war) created bottlenecks in supply chains, leading to shortages and surging prices for essential goods like semiconductors, food, and energy.
b. Monetary Policy & Stimulus
Central banks flooded economies with easy money and stimulus packages, particularly in 2020–2021. Low interest rates and quantitative easing increased liquidity — but once demand returned, supply couldn’t keep up.
c. Energy & Commodity Spikes
Natural gas, oil, wheat, and metals saw explosive price rallies due to global shortages, sanctions, and war-related disruptions, feeding directly into CPI inflation.
d. Wage Pressures & Labor Shortages
Post-pandemic labor shortages pushed wages higher in developed economies, particularly in service and logistics sectors, adding fuel to inflation.
3. How Inflation Distorts Financial Markets
a. Equity Markets: Sector Rotation & Volatility
Growth stocks (especially tech) suffer due to rising interest rates lowering the present value of future earnings.
Value stocks (e.g., banks, energy, industrials) gain favor as they often benefit from higher rates or pricing power.
Consumer discretionary gets hit hard; consumers cut spending on non-essentials as prices rise.
b. Fixed Income: Bond Yields Surge
Inflation erodes the real returns of fixed-income securities.
Investors demand higher yields → bond prices fall.
Central banks raise benchmark interest rates, making existing bonds less attractive.
c. Commodities: Inflation Hedges
Gold, silver, oil, wheat, and copper surge during inflationary periods.
Traders flock to commodities as real assets that hold value when fiat currencies weaken.
d. Currency Markets: Dollar Dominance or Decline
Inflation differentials between countries impact currency strength.
A hawkish U.S. Fed can cause dollar appreciation, pressuring emerging market currencies and debt.
4. Central Banks vs. Inflation: A Battle of Credibility
When inflation surges, central banks become market movers. Their policies have enormous implications for all asset classes.
Key Tools:
Interest rate hikes: Make borrowing costlier → reduce demand.
Quantitative tightening (QT): Reduces liquidity in the system.
Forward guidance: Sets expectations for future policy moves.
Inflation Targeting & Credibility
Central banks like the U.S. Federal Reserve, ECB, and RBI aim for 2% inflation targets. When inflation consistently overshoots, credibility is at risk, potentially unanchoring expectations and accelerating inflation further.
Soft Landing vs. Hard Landing
Soft landing: Cooling inflation without triggering a recession.
Hard landing: Aggressive tightening causes economic contraction, job losses, and market crashes.
5. Inflation's Psychological Impact on Trading
a. Uncertainty & Volatility
Unpredictable inflation leads to whipsaw price action. A single CPI or PPI print can send indices soaring or crashing.
b. Changing Correlations
Traditional correlations (e.g., stocks up when bonds up) break down.
Traders must adapt quickly to new inter-market relationships.
c. Fear vs. Greed
Inflation triggers fear-driven trading, especially in leveraged positions like options or futures. This fuels intraday volatility and wider bid-ask spreads.
6. How Traders Can Survive the Inflation Nightmare
a. Watch the Data Closely
Key indicators:
CPI & Core CPI
PPI (Producer Price Index)
Wage growth
Commodity indices
PMIs & Retail Sales
Economic calendars become vital. “Macro data trading” becomes the norm, with markets swinging based on even minor surprises.
b. Focus on Inflation-Resistant Assets
Commodities: Gold, oil, agricultural products
TIPS: Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities
Dividend stocks with pricing power
Real estate/REITs in inflation-tolerant regions
c. Sector Rotation Strategy
Shift from rate-sensitive growth stocks to:
Energy
Basic materials
Industrial goods
Financials
d. Use Derivatives Strategically
Options allow hedging against downside volatility.
Commodity and bond futures help in speculating or hedging inflation trends.
Volatility products (e.g., VIX futures) can offer short-term profits during CPI days.
e. Position Sizing & Risk Management
High volatility demands tight stops, smaller positions, and more disciplined exits.
Leverage must be managed conservatively — inflation-driven moves can be fast and brutal.
7. Real-World Examples: Historical Inflation Nightmares
a. The 1970s U.S. Stagflation
Oil embargo + policy missteps = soaring inflation and unemployment.
Fed eventually raised interest rates to 20% under Paul Volcker, causing a recession but taming inflation.
b. Zimbabwe (2000s)
Hyperinflation reached 79.6 billion percent per month.
Currency collapsed, barter and USD became alternatives.
c. Turkey & Argentina (2018–2024)
Currency depreciation and loose monetary policy led to double- and triple-digit inflation.
Savings wiped out; capital flight intensified.
8. Inflation & Geopolitics: A Dangerous Mix
Inflation can topple governments. Rising food and fuel prices have historically triggered protests and revolutions.
It increases global inequality, disproportionately hurting the poor.
Inflation linked to war and sanctions becomes even harder to control, as seen in energy and grain prices during the Ukraine conflict.
Conclusion: Turning Nightmare into Opportunity
Inflation may be a nightmare for governments and central banks, but for savvy traders and investors, it can also present unique opportunities. The key is to stay informed, flexible, and disciplined. Understanding macroeconomic indicators, adjusting asset allocation, rotating sectors, and using hedging instruments are critical.
nifty index below major resisstance next support marked below Nifty Technical Outlook – August
The Nifty has broken below the key support level of 24,689, indicating potential weakness in the near term. The next significant support is seen at 24,357, which could be tested during the month of August if bearish momentum continues.
On the flip side, if the index reclaims and sustains above 24,689, it may trigger a major upswing, opening the path for a bullish reversal. Traders should closely monitor price action near this resistance zone for possible breakout opportunities.
Tough Times ahead for Nifty. 26277 Top for some years?Nifty has been in Bull run for some Years now.
2008 to 2020 - Wave 1 Impulse
2020 Crash - Wave 2 Correction
2020 to 2025 - Wave 3 Impulse
2025 to 2026 - Wave 4 Correction
2026 2027 Onwards - Wave 5 Impulse
Let's Break Wave 4
It may take place in Double or Triple wave Combo.
The Corrective Wave ends in 3 or more Legs.
Wave A - 26k to 22k.
Wave B - 22k to 25.5k
Wave C - 25.5k to 21k
Next Set of Legs - to Follow in New idea.
This would be the 1st of the Corrective Combo that is expected to end around 19k By 2026 2027.
Now could be the Time for Wave C with rejection from 0.854 of Fib retracement of Wave A.
It looks like Wave C is about to begin.. Let's meet at 21k 🫣
RSI - Circled - to be noted.
All The Best🥲
Short Trade Activates below 24750.
Part4 Institution Trading How Options Work
Example of a Call Option
Suppose a stock is trading at ₹100. You buy a call option with a ₹110 strike price, expiring in 1 month, and pay a ₹5 premium.
If the stock rises to ₹120: Your profit is ₹120 - ₹110 = ₹10. Net gain = ₹10 - ₹5 = ₹5.
If the stock stays at ₹100: The option expires worthless. Your loss = ₹5 (premium).
Example of a Put Option
Suppose the same stock is ₹100, and you buy a put option with a ₹90 strike price for ₹5.
If the stock drops to ₹80: Your profit = ₹90 - ₹80 = ₹10. Net gain = ₹10 - ₹5 = ₹5.
If the stock stays above ₹90: The option expires worthless. Your loss = ₹5.
Nifty 50 at a Turning Point? Key Levels & Market Outlook AheadThe Nifty 50 ended the week at 24,565.35, registering a decline of -1.09%.
🔹 Key Levels for the Upcoming Week
📌 Price Action Pivot Zone:
24,487 to 24,644 – This range is crucial for identifying potential trend continuation or reversal. A move outside this zone could set the directional tone for the coming sessions.
🔻 Support Levels
Support 1 (S1): 24,254
Support 2 (S2): 23,942
Support 3 (S3): 23,680
🔺 Resistance Levels
Resistance 1 (R1): 24,880
Resistance 2 (R2): 25,196
Resistance 3 (R3): 25,502
📈 Market Outlook
✅ Bullish Scenario:
A sustained move above 24,644 (top of the pivot zone) may attract buying interest. If this momentum builds, the index could test R1 (24,880), and potentially advance towards R2 (25,196) and R3 (25,502).
❌ Bearish Scenario:
Failure to hold above 24,487 (bottom of the pivot zone) may lead to further downside pressure. In such a case, Nifty may move towards S1 (24,254), and deeper support levels like S2 (23,942) and S3 (23,680).
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
How We saw Nifty Move todayNifty 24565 - In our trend direction yesterday's post we had mentioned Nifty bullish move . Today Market open was clueless about direction and we expected a choppy move and it do so till 10:45 and then bearish momentum set. We traded with the wave which we have shared as intraday posts and gained profits. Please find how we saw the today's nifty move which helped us to keep in trend.
Can Nifty fall to fill the gap of 12th May ?Market is falling since last 5 weeks. Five weeks closing weak. Now today's weekly closing at fib level 0.618. If it break that it may fall till fib 0.5 and thats the same level when the market open 900 points gap up. Can market fall to fill that gap or it will continue to rise ATH ? Whats your view ?
Nifty 50 market structure & Trade plan: 4th August📊 Market Structure (Nifty 50)
🔹 4H Chart
Trend: Bearish bias continues with lower highs and lower lows.
Break of Structure (BOS): Recently confirmed around the 24,800 zone, strengthening downside bias.
Key Zones:
Resistance (Supply):
24,880 – 24,950 → Recent rejection zone.
25,050 – 25,120 → FVG + Order Block supply cluster.
Support (Demand):
24,520 – 24,560 → Current demand/FVG fill area.
24,440 – 24,460 → HTF demand and liquidity sweep zone.
🔹 1H Chart
Price Action: Clean MSS → BOS → retest pattern.
Bearish FVG: Around 24,820 – 24,880 acting as overhead resistance.
Liquidity: Sell-side liquidity taken near 24,540 before small bounce.
🔹 15M Chart
Micro-structure: Pullback attempt into 24,600 – 24,650 but capped below 24,750.
Current Bias: Sideways to weak unless retest of 24,800 – 24,850 supply zone fails again.
🎯 Trade Plan for 4th August (Monday)
🟥 Short (Sell) Scenarios
Primary Setup:
If price retests 24,820 – 24,880 (FVG + OB) → Look for rejection candles to short.
Target → 24,550, extended to 24,460.
Aggressive Entry:
On breakdown below 24,540, ride momentum towards 24,460.
Stop-Loss: Above 24,900 zone (to avoid OB fakeouts).
🟩 Long (Buy) Scenarios (Counter-trend only)
If price respects 24,520 – 24,560 demand zone
Look for bullish reversal candles.
Target → 24,780 – 24,820.
Stop-Loss: Below 24,440.
🚫 No-Trade Zones
24,560 – 24,720: High noise zone (between demand and minor supply).
Avoid initiating fresh trades here; wait for a clear breakout/rejection.
📌 Bias for Monday
Bearish-to-sideways bias unless price reclaims 24,900+.
Best risk-reward → Shorting into 24,820 – 24,880 zone if retested.
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 01st August 2025NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 24950 – 25000 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 25200 – 25250 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 24600 – 24550 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 24400 – 24350 range.
Volatility expected due to implementation of escalated tariff and any further development to the tariff war.
Nifty Trading near to support zone, reversal setup in nifty!Hello Traders!
After opening weak and testing previous support zones, Nifty is now showing signs of intraday recovery. The zone around 24,660–24,620 has acted as demand earlier, and once again buyers seem to be stepping in from the same level.
If this recovery sustains, there’s a good opportunity on the call side.
Here’s the exact trade setup I’m following today.
Trade Setup:
Instrument: Nifty 24600 CE – 7th August Expiry
Current Price: 175
Add More: Around 150–155
Stop Loss: 130
Targets: 200 / 228 / 260++
Risk Management Notes:
Position Sizing: Avoid large positions, this is an intraday recovery trade
SL Discipline: Follow stop loss strictly if price fails to hold
Disclaimer:
This is not a buy or sell recommendation. Trade shared for educational purpose only. Please follow your own analysis and risk management before taking any trade.
Nifty50-Macro Risk Update - shows Overheating - Correction Alert📊 Market Observation | August 1, 2025
This Nifty 50 daily chart highlights potential macro risks that may influence investor behavior.
🧠 Key Insights:
- Valuations appear stretched on multiple metrics.
- Price structure has formed lower highs post-peak.
- Macro indicators suggest possible correction ahead.
🟡 Educational Note:
If you're holding long-term positions, this may be a good time to revisit portfolio allocations with a focus on capital preservation.
📌 Risk Management Reminder:
Capital protection often outweighs return chasing near potential tops.
All observations are structure-based and educational. This is not financial advice.
India’s SME IPO Boom: High-Risk, High-Reward TradingIntroduction
India’s Small and Medium Enterprise (SME) IPO market has exploded in popularity over the past few years, particularly post-2022. With rapid digitization, increasing retail investor participation, favorable government policies, and rising entrepreneurial spirit, SME IPOs are now a major talking point in the stock market world.
But investing or trading in SME IPOs isn't all sunshine and rainbows—it comes with unique risks, potential for high returns, and several nuances retail traders need to understand. In this detailed piece, we’ll break down India’s SME IPO boom, the reasons behind its rise, the high-risk-high-reward nature of such trades, and the trading strategies one might consider.
What is an SME IPO?
An SME IPO is an initial public offering by a small or medium-sized company listed on platforms like the NSE Emerge or BSE SME. These platforms were created to provide growth-stage businesses easier access to public markets, with relaxed compliance norms compared to mainboard listings.
Key characteristics of SME IPOs:
Lower issue size (as small as ₹5–₹50 crores).
Book-building or fixed-price offerings.
Limited number of investors (min. application size is often ₹1–₹2 lakhs).
100% underwriting is often mandatory.
Restricted liquidity (traded in lot sizes initially).
India’s SME IPO Boom: Timeline & Stats
Let’s look at the momentum:
2021-22: ~60 SME IPOs were listed.
2023: Over 100 SME IPOs hit the market, raising more than ₹2,300 crores.
H1 2024: Over 70 SME IPOs launched, with many multibagger returns.
Q2 2025 (est.): Continuing the pace, 100+ expected by year-end.
Many IPOs gave listing gains of 100% to 300%, fueling further retail interest. But this excitement comes with elevated volatility and lower institutional oversight, increasing risk.
Why the SME IPO Boom in India?
1. Ease of Listing
BSE and NSE have made it easier for small companies to list through relaxed eligibility norms:
Minimum post-issue capital as low as ₹3 crores.
3-year operational track record.
Simplified IPO documentation.
2. Retail Investor Participation
Platforms like Zerodha, Upstox, and Groww have democratized market access. A younger investor base is more open to taking risks, especially in high-return SME IPOs.
3. High Returns from Previous IPOs
Investors have seen mind-blowing returns from certain SME stocks. For example:
Sah Polymers: ~150% listing gain.
Drone Destination: >200% returns in 6 months.
Essen Speciality Films: 300% returns post-listing.
This has triggered a "gold rush" mentality among new traders.
4. Government Push
Initiatives like Startup India, Make in India, and Digital India have nurtured the SME ecosystem.
5. FOMO + Social Media Hype
Telegram, Twitter, and YouTube influencers regularly hype up SME IPOs, sometimes without transparency—drawing in less-informed retail traders looking to get rich quick.
The High-Reward Side: Multibagger Stories
Many SME stocks have turned ₹1 lakh into ₹3–5 lakhs within months. The reasons:
1. Undervalued Pricing
Small companies often price their IPOs modestly to ensure full subscription. This creates room for listing gains.
2. Growth Potential
Many SMEs operate in niche or emerging sectors—like drones, EV, renewable energy, tech manufacturing—where growth can be exponential.
3. Low Float, High Demand
Limited number of shares in SME IPOs means demand-supply imbalance can spike prices dramatically.
4. Thin Liquidity = Large Swings
With fewer buyers and sellers, any institutional or HNI interest can skyrocket prices.
Example:
Baweja Studios IPO (2024): Issue price ₹82 → hit ₹400+ within weeks.
Net Avenue IPO (2023): Listed at ₹18 → touched ₹150+ within 6 months.
But every multibagger comes with dozens of flat or failed IPOs—this brings us to the risk side.
Trading Strategies for SME IPOs
A. Pre-IPO Allotment Strategy
Apply in IPOs with strong fundamentals (look at net profit growth, debt/equity ratio, sector tailwinds).
Monitor subscription data—especially QIB and HNI categories.
Exit on listing day, especially if GMP (Grey Market Premium) is high.
Avoid chasing after listing unless there is sustained delivery volume.
B. Post-Listing Momentum Trading
Watch for delivery percentage, not just price movement.
Use tools like Volume Shockers or SME IPO Watchlists on NSE/BSE.
Only enter if you see sustained buying across multiple sessions.
Use stop-loss, even if it’s wide (due to volatility).
C. Breakout/Technical Trade
Once SME stocks are moved to mainboard after 2–3 years, they may see institutional coverage.
Use chart patterns like breakout above recent swing highs or support on major moving averages (20EMA/50EMA).
Indicators: RSI >60 and MACD crossovers work decently in low-float stocks.
Future of SME IPOs in India
The segment is likely to grow, but with caveats:
Positive Outlook
Government push for startups and MSMEs.
Rising investor awareness.
Many SMEs shifting to mainboard after performance proof.
Challenges
Quality dilution as more companies rush to list.
Potential scams/manipulations if oversight is weak.
Oversaturation could reduce listing gains.
Conclusion
The SME IPO boom in India represents both an opportunity and a cautionary tale.
For informed traders and investors, it offers multibagger potential and early access to India's rising business stars. But for the uninformed or emotionally driven, it can quickly turn into a nightmare of locked capital, manipulation, and losses.
In a high-risk-high-reward setup like SME IPOs, education, research, and discipline matter far more than hype. The Indian market is giving small businesses a big stage—just make sure you’re not caught in the spotlight for the wrong reasons.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 01.08.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 01.08.2025
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
Nifty May Slide to 22000 — Here’s the Technical BreakdownNSE:NIFTY
Why Nifty May Slide to 22000 – A Comprehensive Technical and Macro-Economic Analysis
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🔹Summary:
The Indian stock market, led by the Nifty 50, appears to be entering a corrective phase. Based on a comprehensive multi-timeframe technical analysis, combined with deteriorating global cues and domestic economic pressure points, there is a high probability that the Nifty index could fall to the 22000 zone in the coming weeks or months.
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📊 1. Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis
🔴 Daily Chart Insights:
Nifty has broken below the 20-day and 50-day EMAs.
MACD has shown a fresh bearish crossover, and the histogram is increasing in negative territory.
Lower highs and breakdown candles indicate short-term weakness.
Immediate support zones: 22800 and 22100.
🔵 Weekly Chart Insights:
After forming a lower high, Nifty has started forming red candles.
MACD on the weekly chart has recently given a bearish crossover.
Price is nearing the 50-week EMA; a breakdown may accelerate the fall to 21084.
200 EMA stands near 20618 – strong medium-term support.
🔶 Monthly Chart Insights:
Long-term uptrend is weakening.
MACD histogram is red, with the MACD line diverging downward.
Historical resistance around 25,000 held strong.
Monthly supports at 23401, 22805, and major zone at 21084.
Extreme correction support zone: 18250.
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🌎 2. Global Macroeconomic Factors
✉️ Hawkish US Federal Reserve:
Fed remains reluctant to cut rates due to sticky core inflation.
High US yields attract capital back to the US, triggering FII outflows.
⛽ Rising Crude Oil Prices:
Brent crude consistently around \$70+/barrel.
India, a net importer, faces rising import bills, widening the current account deficit.
Higher oil = pressure on inflation + input cost rise for manufacturing and transport sectors.
🇨🇳 China’s Slowdown:
Real estate crisis, deflation risk, and declining exports in China.
Global growth slowdown impacting Indian export-heavy sectors (IT, Pharma).
📈 FII Data:
* FIIs have turned net sellers in recent weeks in both equities and index futures.
* Weak INR (trading near 84) adds pressure to FII outflows.
---
📊 3. Domestic Economic Concerns
📉 Valuation Concerns:
Nifty PE > 22x, above historical mean of 18x.
Many large caps are seeing **EPS downgrades** or flat YoY growth.
Risk of further de-rating if earnings disappoint.
👐 Weakening Sectors:
IT: Margin pressures and delayed tech spending.
Banking: Credit growth tapering, NIM compression.
Auto & FMCG: Rising input cost and subdued rural demand.
🪖 INR Weakness:
A weak rupee leads to expensive imports and inflation.
RBI may have limited ability to control INR due to global currency war.
✈️ Pre-Election Volatility:
Upcoming general elections (2026) cause policy overhang.
Historically, markets correct 6-9 months prior to national elections.
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🔹 4. Conclusion: Levels to Watch
| 22805 | First technical support / swing low zone
| 22105 | Confluence of horizontal support and Fibs
| 21085 | Weekly structure support
| 20618 | 200 EMA on weekly chart
| 18277 | Worst-case scenario support (panic zone)
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🔎 Final View:
While the long-term bullish structure of Nifty is not completely broken, signs of a **multi-month correction are strong and building**. The alignment of technical breakdowns with global and economic headwinds suggests a high-probability move toward 22000 or lower. Caution is advised for investors and traders holding long positions.
Actionable Advice: Wait for confirmation reversal signals before entering fresh longs. Maintain strict risk management and monitor key levels closely.
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⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only.
We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors.
This is our personal view based on available data and market trends.
Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content.
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Trade Secrets By Pratik
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NIFTY MONTHLY ANALYSIS AUGUST 2025 @ 24764LTP: 24766
Supports: 24473/24377
Resistances: 24955/25021/25670
If 24377 holds support and a break of 24955, I expect to see 25555 first and further 26540, 27Km 27400, 700, 28500.
Break below 24377, we can see more downside towards, 24100, 23400, 23500, 22900.
As of now the market is trading in a range between 24350-25670. Need a break of these levels for trending move.
But, as per seasonality, I am still bullish for 27K+ in the coming months. And I am BULLISH. Buy on Dips is my view.
Thanks.
NIFTY Analysis 1 AUGUEST, 2025 ,Morning update at 9 amIF YO LIKE THESE LEVEL SAY THANK YOU
Expected Scenarios:
Gap-Down Open Possibility:
Likely around 24700.
May test lower levels quickly: 24662, 24600, or even 24483.
Bearish Setup to Watch:
On the 5-min chart, watch near 24650:
If a Bearish Bottleneck Pattern forms Nifty may slip towards:
24602, and even 24500.
Recovery Watch:
If Nifty holds above 24760 then chances of:
Short covering towards 24851 and potentially 24940 increase.
Critical Levels (Exclusive Support & Resistance):
Support 24661 , 24600 ,24483
Resistance. 24851,24940,25108
Nifty opens below 24700 Wait for 24662 or 24600 test
Bearish bottleneck at 24650 Go short for 24602 24500
Nifty holds above 24760 Look for long towards 24851 24940
Nifty reclaims 24851 with strength Possibility of rally to 25108