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Moon Phases in 2025: New Moons and Full Moons (NIFTY)Gann Relevance: ** As a New Moon or a Full Moon eclipse near the equinox, expect market volatility ±3 days. Moon phases occur approximately every 29.5 days, with New Moons marking the start of a lunar cycle (when the Moon is between Earth and the Sun, invisible from Earth) and Full Moons at the midpoint (when the Moon is fully illuminated opposite the Sun). Dates below are in UTC for consistency, though local times vary by timezone (e.g., subtract 8 hours for PT). These are based on astronomical calculations from reliable sources like Time and Date and Astro-Seek. Note: 2025 features a total lunar eclipse during the March Full Moon. Month, New Moon Date (UTC), Full Moon Date (UTC) January, January 29, January 13 February, February 27, February 12 March, March 29, March 14 April, April 27, April 13 May, May 26, May 12 June, June 25, June 11 July, July 24, July 10 August, August 23, August 9 September, September 21, September 7 October, October 21, October 7 November, November 20, November 5 December, December 20, December 4 2025-Equinox Dates March 20 June 21 September 22 December 21
NSE:NIFTY
by askbiswanath2025
How to plot Time Cycle (Nifty_50)Earth's Annual Orbit and major Dates: (Static Dates) 21 March -Spring Equinox (Equal Sun & Earth Equator) 22 June - Summer Solstice (Lowest Earth Point) 23 September - Autumn Equinox (Equal Again) 22 December - Winter Sostice (Highest Earth Point) Next Cycle :- ( Dynamic Dates) 30 to 45 days (short-term Cycle) 90 Days (Quarterly Cycle) 120 Days (Four- Months Cycle) 144 Days (Fib. Time Cycle) or 12X12=144 its a Jupiter Cycle also 180 Days (Six Months Cycle ) 240 Days (Two- Thirds Cycle) 270 Days (Nine Months cycle ) 360 Days Annual Cycle Gann believed the solar year (365.256 days) divided into 360° creates key time intervals for market reversals. Each degree ≈ 1.0146 days. (play with Price number) Gann Pressure Dates or New Moon /Full Moon Cycle 12 Feb 27feb 13 March 29 March 12 April 27 April 12 May 26 May 10 June 25 June 10 July 24 July 8 Aug 22 Aug 7 Sept 21 Sept 6 Oct 20 Oct 5 Nov 19 Nov 4 Dec 19 Dec
NSE:NIFTY
by askbiswanath2025
1
Nifty broken Swing support NSE:NIFTY has broken the support I was holding on to. For me, that makes it clear – this is not my trading environment. Now there should be a bounce. Not a dead-cat bounce, but one that sustains above the previous pivot. Only then will I be back in the game of index trading – on either side. The pivot has now shifted to 24717. The PP is 0.25%, which signals there may be another sharp fall even after a bounce. The pullback isn’t over yet. I know I mentioned earlier that sellers’ volume is going less and less. But that doesn’t mean buyers are here. Buyers will only step in when I see buyers’ volume exceeding sellers’ by at least 5 million. The next buyable support is near 24400. Intraday resistance lies at 24777. If that breaks, we could see short covering up to 24910. As Friday’s sellers’ volume was still higher than buyers by 17 million, I’ll be looking for shorting opportunities on a bounce rather than going long. I’m an index trader, and I must listen to the volume more than anything else. For the overall market, the environment is not good. The retail index has been sliding, and we need to wait until it catches momentum. Even for the short term, I won’t be picking any stocks right now. I’ll wait for sellers’ volume to be absorbed first. So in short – the coming week will be more of a wait-and-watch period for me. A professional trader doesn’t trade every day anyway. No position is also a position in trading. That’s it. Have a profitable week ahead. Take care. --- 📊 Levels at a glance: Pivot: 24717 Support 1: 24400 (buyable support) Resistance 1: 24777 (intraday) Resistance 2: 24910 (short covering zone) Pivot Percentile: 0.25% (risk of sharp fall even after bounce) Bias: Wait-and-watch, shorting on bounces until buyers’ volume exceeds sellers’ by 5M+ Market environment: Weak, retail index sliding
NSE:NIFTY
by Trendxinc
Nifty - Weekly review Sep 29 to Oct 3Price has been falling continuously for a few days. Nearby support levels are 24500 and 24350-24400 zone. We can expect more fall if the price breaks this level. As per the daily chart, the price is nearing the trend line support. Buy above 24720 with the stop loss of 24670 for the targets 24760, 24800, 24860, 24920, and 24980. Sell below 24600 with the stop loss of 24650 for the targets 24560, 24510, 24460, 24400, 24340, 24300, and 24260. Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
NSE:NIFTY
by vanathi
5
Nifty 50 spot 24654.70 by Daily Chart view - Weekly updateNifty 50 spot 24654.70 by Daily Chart view - Weekly update - Support Zone 24325 to 24500 for Nifty Index - Rising Support Channel broken down from its supportive role - Earlier Support Zone now acting Resistance Zone 24875 to 25135 - Falling Resistance Trendline and Resistance Channel are strongly active - Strong rejection observed at 25430 to 25670 Resistance Zone for Nifty Index - Bearish Rounding Top is seen in the making process with Support Zone neckline
NSE:NIFTY
by PIYUSHCHAVDA
Nifty Weekly Analysis, Retailers Trapped, Bearish Momentum AheadWeekly View As expected, the market has started falling exactly from the trendline resistance, confirming the sell-off point. Previously, I highlighted how this was a case of manipulation to trap retailers at higher levels, and now the price action is proving that right. Nifty is still in bearish mode . The so-called double bottom pattern has failed, which strengthens the bearish outlook. Downside looks easy till 24000 in the near term. Daily View For the last 6 trading sessions, Nifty has sold off continuously. Expect a pullback upside till 25000. Resistance remains strong near 24900 - 25000 (also the zone where fresh selling pressure may resume). Monthly Closing Outlook Only 2 sessions left for the monthly expiry and closing. Expecting closing levels near last month's opening price - 24730. If Monday opens gap down → I will wait for a pullback (short covering is likely due to expiry). If Monday opens gap up → Expect volatility, but upside will be limited to 24900 - 25000 zone. Trading Plan & Targets Buy plan only above the falling trendline (not before). Till then, it's Sell on Rise Market. Immediate downside targets: 24000 (Gap Fill & Round Number) 23250 (Major Support & Confluence Zone) before year-end. Very high chance Monday may open a gap up → go higher → then volatility + selling pressure resumes.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by TradingBaniya
Nifty updated levels next week 150-200 points bounce then sell Nifty updated levels given on chart short term 150-200 points bounce possible then. Again fall from 24950-25050 How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below : Recent High or Low : D-0% is our recent low or high Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 12.3% -D 16.1 % is range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and . Are our Target zone Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active. Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start. If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate 1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels. 30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
NSE:NIFTYShort
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Nifty Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 29th SeptemberThe market's performance on Friday, September 26, the Nifty has continued its sharp decline, breaking multiple support levels. The market is now in a strong bearish trend, with a clear downward channel across all timeframes. Detailed Market Structure Breakdown 4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend) Structure: The Nifty is in a deep corrective phase, having broken the critical 25,050 - 25,100 zone and continued its fall. The price closed right at the strong macro demand zone of 24,650 - 24,700, which is a prior accumulation area. This area is the key "line in the sand" for the medium-term bullish structure that started in early September. Key Levels: Major Supply (Resistance): 24,800 - 24,850. This area is now a strong overhead resistance, aligning with the broken lower channel line from the previous week. Major Demand (Support): 24,600 - 24,650. This is the immediate and most critical support zone. A sustained breakdown below 24,600 would suggest the correction is far from over, with the next target at 24,400. Outlook: The trend is strongly bearish, but the index is sitting on a major support level. A bounce is highly probable from this zone, but the overall bias remains "sell on rise." 1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View) Structure: The 1H chart is strongly bearish, trading in a well-defined descending channel. The market is making lower lows and lower highs, and the latest move penetrated the strong 24,650 support zone before a slight bounce. Key Levels: Immediate Resistance: The upper trendline of the descending channel, currently near 24,780. Immediate Support: 24,600. This is the level that bulls must defend at the open. 15-Minute Chart (Intraday View) Structure: The 15M chart confirms the steep bearish momentum. The index is trading at the bottom of its descending channel. Any opening below 24,650 will invite further selling. Key Levels: Intraday Supply: 24,750 - 24,800. This is the high of the recent small consolidation and the immediate resistance. Intraday Demand: 24,600. The crucial level to watch for Monday. Outlook: The primary strategy is to sell into strength or on a breakdown, as the overall trend is down. Trade Plan (Monday, 29th September) Market Outlook: The Nifty is bearish, but located at a major support zone. The strategy is centered on whether 24,600 holds. Bearish Scenario (Primary Plan) Justification: The breakdown below the macro support at 24,600 would confirm the continuation of the strong bearish trend toward the next accumulation zone. Entry: Short entry on a decisive break and 15-minute candle close below 24,600. Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss above 24,700. Targets: T1: 24,500 (Minor psychological support). T2: 24,400 (Next major support zone). Bullish Scenario (Counter-Trend/Reversal Plan) Justification: This is a high-risk, counter-trend plan. It relies on the strong demand zone at 24,600 holding firm. Trigger: A reversal from the 24,600 - 24,650 zone (e.g., a hammer or bullish engulfing candle) or a sustained move and close above 24,800. Entry: Long entry on a confirmed bounce from 24,600 - 24,650 with a bullish pattern, or on a break above 24,800. Stop Loss (SL): Below 24,580 (for a bounce trade) or 24,700 (for a breakout trade). Targets: T1: 24,850 (Upper channel resistance). T2: 25,000 (Psychological resistance). Key Levels for Observation: Immediate Decision Point: The 24,600 - 24,700 zone. Bearish Confirmation: A break and sustained move below 24,600. Bullish Confirmation: A recapture of the 24,800 level. Line in the Sand: 24,600. The overall market structure will weaken significantly below this level.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by BhardwajVipin
“Nifty 50 Key Levels & Trade Zones – 29th Sept 2025”“Follow me and like this post for more learning tips!” 24,870 → Above 10m closing Shot Cover Level 24,870 → Below 10m hold PE By Safe Zone 24,778 → Above 10m hold CE By Entry Level 24,770 → Below 10m hold PE By Risky Zone 24,718 → Above 10m hold Positive Trade View 24,718 → Below 10m hold Negative Trade View 24,620 → Above Opening S1 10m hold CE By Level 24,620 → Below Opening R1 10m hold PE By Level 24,520 → Above 10m hold CE By Level 24,520 → Below 10m hold PE By Level 24,418 → Above 10m hold CE By Safe Zone Level 24,418 → Below 10m hold Unwinding Level
NSE:NIFTYLong
by mayuraj_820
Are Indian Stock Markets Heading Into a Bear Market?A potential bear market signal is emerging in the Indian stock market due to divergence between market breadth and the NIFTY 50 index. 1. Divergence Between Breadth and Index NIFTY 50 line is trending upward, showing resilience. However, major stocks are moving in a downtrend, and the percentage of stocks trading above their 200-day moving average (DMA) is falling. This divergence indicates that while the index appears healthy, broader participation is weak — a classic warning sign of distribution. 2. Market Breadth as a Warning Indicator Breadth above 50% (more than half of stocks above 200DMA) usually supports a sustainable uptrend. When breadth falls below 50%, the market enters a fragile state — an early stage of a bear trend despite index strength. If breadth slips to below 30% while divergence persists, this historically signals brutal market phases, where corrections deepen and selling pressure accelerates. 3. Bear Market Probability Divergence + weak breadth often precedes distribution phases where institutions gradually exit. While the NIFTY may still rise short-term, lack of participation suggests the rally is narrow and unhealthy. Crossing below the 30% breadth threshold can act as a confirmation trigger for a potential bear market. 🔑 Core Insight: A bear market does not begin when the NIFTY starts falling, but when breadth weakens while the index diverges upward. If breadth falls below 30%, brace for a brutal phase of correction
NSE:NIFTY
by PARANITHARAN
2
Nifty 50: Monthly Supply Zone Rejection Signals Bearish Momentum📊 Monthly Timeframe Analysis 📊 Nifty 50 and Nifty 500 have both respected their monthly supply zones, taking a clear rejection from these levels. Interestingly, despite the difference in the number of stocks (50 vs. 500), both indices are showing identical patterns, which the market is currently reflecting as a strong bearish bias. 📉 Weekly Timeframe Analysis The weekly chart shows a proper rejection from a sloping downtrend line, confirming sellers’ dominance. This week’s candle has formed a Bearish Marubozu – a long body with tiny wicks – indicating strong selling pressure. Structurally, this candle aligns with an Evening Star type reversal, reinforcing the bearish bias. Key takeaway: Weekly chart clearly favors the bears until price sustains above the supply zone. 📉 Daily Timeframe Analysis On the daily chart, selling pressure has been continuing for the past few sessions. Today’s candle is a Gap Down Bearish Candle, forming part of a Three Black Crows pattern on Nifty 500. This confirms a short-term trend reversal and strong bearish momentum. The next major support lies around the demand zone Nifty (~24475). If price tests this zone and reverses, we may see a bounce. However, if the daily close is below this demand zone in upcoming sessions, expect further downside. ✅ Final Outlook ✅ Monthly supply zone has triggered a bearish reversal, coinciding with the Weekly Downtrend line. Strong Bearish Marubozu on weekly close signals a shift in trend toward sellers. Daily Three Black Crows + Gap Down candle confirms strong selling pressure in the short term. Overall bias remains bearish until support near the demand zone shows a potential reversal. “Patience and discipline are your best allies in trading; let the charts guide you, not emotions.” Lastly, thank you for your support, your likes & comments. 📈 Keep analyzing, keep learning, and let the charts teach you every day! This analysis is purely for educational purposes and is not a trading or investment recommendation. I am not a SEBI registered analyst.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by AfnanTAjuddin
2
Introduction to Sector Rotation Strategies in Trading1. Understanding Sector Rotation Sector rotation is a trading strategy used by investors and traders to capitalize on the cyclical movements of different sectors of the economy. The concept stems from the observation that economic conditions, business cycles, and market sentiment affect various sectors differently at different stages of the cycle. By identifying which sectors are likely to outperform in a given phase, traders can allocate capital strategically to maximize returns. The financial markets are influenced by macroeconomic factors such as interest rates, inflation, consumer spending, corporate earnings, and geopolitical events. These factors create patterns of performance among different sectors—technology, healthcare, financials, energy, consumer discretionary, consumer staples, industrials, materials, utilities, and real estate. Sector rotation involves moving investments from one sector to another based on expected performance changes due to these macroeconomic shifts. 2. The Conceptual Basis of Sector Rotation 2.1 Economic Cycles and Sector Performance Economic cycles consist of expansion, peak, contraction, and trough phases. Each phase favors certain sectors over others: Expansion: During periods of economic growth, cyclical sectors such as technology, consumer discretionary, and industrials tend to outperform. Peak: At the peak of economic activity, investors may rotate toward sectors with stable earnings and dividends, like utilities and consumer staples. Contraction: Defensive sectors such as healthcare, utilities, and consumer staples often outperform as the economy slows. Trough: At the bottom of the cycle, early cyclicals like financials and industrials start to recover, signaling the beginning of the next rotation cycle. This cyclical nature forms the theoretical foundation for sector rotation strategies. 2.2 Market Sentiment and Behavioral Economics Market sentiment, influenced by investor psychology, can drive sector rotation independently of the fundamental economic cycle. For example, bullish investor sentiment often drives funds into growth sectors like technology, while bearish sentiment increases the appeal of defensive sectors. Understanding behavioral tendencies, including fear and greed, is essential for timing sector rotations. 2.3 Relative Strength and Momentum Indicators Technical analysts often use relative strength (RS) and momentum indicators to identify sectors with potential for outperformance. Relative strength compares the performance of one sector to another or to the broader market index. Momentum indicators, such as the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) or the Relative Strength Index (RSI), provide signals for trend reversals and optimal entry points. 3. Key Sectors and Their Roles in Rotation To implement a sector rotation strategy, traders must understand the characteristics of each sector: Technology: High growth, highly sensitive to economic expansion, driven by innovation and corporate earnings. Healthcare: Defensive, stable cash flows, less sensitive to economic cycles. Financials: Sensitive to interest rates, economic growth, and credit demand. Energy: Influenced by commodity prices and global economic demand. Consumer Discretionary: Cyclical, benefits from higher consumer spending. Consumer Staples: Defensive, maintains stable performance during downturns. Industrials: Cyclical, tied to economic growth, manufacturing, and infrastructure investment. Materials: Tied to commodity prices and industrial demand. Utilities: Defensive, steady dividends, low growth, preferred during economic uncertainty. Real Estate: Sensitive to interest rates and economic cycles. Understanding the sensitivity of each sector to macroeconomic variables is crucial for timing rotations effectively. 4. Tools and Techniques for Sector Rotation 4.1 Fundamental Analysis Traders use fundamental analysis to assess sector health, focusing on factors like GDP growth, interest rates, inflation, and corporate earnings. Key indicators include: Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) Inflation and CPI reports Central bank monetary policies Employment and consumer spending data These indicators help predict which sectors are likely to outperform in upcoming phases of the economic cycle. 4.2 Technical Analysis Technical tools assist in identifying the right timing for sector rotations: Sector ETFs: Exchange-traded funds provide exposure to specific sectors and allow for easy rotation. Moving Averages: Indicate trend direction and momentum for sector indices. Relative Strength Charts: Compare performance of sectors against the market benchmark. MACD and RSI: Detect overbought or oversold conditions, signaling potential rotation points. 4.3 Quantitative Models Quantitative models, including factor-based investing and algorithmic strategies, allow traders to systematically rotate sectors based on data-driven signals. Factors such as valuation ratios, growth metrics, momentum, and volatility can be incorporated into sector rotation models. 5. Benefits of Sector Rotation Strategies Enhanced Returns: Capturing sector outperformance can generate alpha beyond broad market gains. Risk Management: Rotating into defensive sectors during downturns reduces portfolio volatility. Diversification: Moving across sectors balances exposure and mitigates sector-specific risks. Flexibility: Can be applied in both long-only and long-short portfolios. Data-Driven Decision Making: Combines fundamental, technical, and macroeconomic analysis for strategic investment. 6. Challenges in Sector Rotation While sector rotation can be profitable, it comes with challenges: Timing Risks: Entering or exiting a sector too early can reduce returns or create losses. Transaction Costs: Frequent rotation may increase brokerage fees and slippage. Complex Analysis: Requires constant monitoring of economic indicators, earnings reports, and technical trends. Market Volatility: Unexpected events can disrupt rotation patterns. Behavioral Biases: Traders may react emotionally, missing optimal rotation opportunities. Successful sector rotation demands discipline, research, and a systematic approach. 7. Practical Implementation of Sector Rotation 7.1 Using Sector ETFs Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) tracking sector indices provide an easy method for implementing rotation strategies. For example: Technology ETF: QQQ or XLK Healthcare ETF: XLV Financial ETF: XLF Investors can allocate capital dynamically based on economic signals and technical indicators. 7.2 Rotating Across Industry Sub-Sectors Advanced traders rotate within sectors to capture micro-trends. For example, within the technology sector, semiconductors may outperform software during one cycle, while cloud computing leads in another. 7.3 Integrating with Broader Portfolio Strategy Sector rotation can complement broader portfolio strategies like: Value investing Growth investing Momentum trading Dividend investing Integrating sector rotation helps enhance returns and manage risks across market cycles. 8. Case Studies and Historical Examples 8.1 The 2008 Financial Crisis During the 2008 financial crisis, defensive sectors like consumer staples, healthcare, and utilities outperformed, while cyclical sectors like financials and industrials suffered. Traders who rotated into defensive sectors preserved capital and captured relative outperformance. 8.2 Post-COVID-19 Recovery (2020–2021) Technology and consumer discretionary sectors led the recovery due to shifts in consumer behavior and digital adoption. Investors who rotated into these growth sectors early benefited from significant gains. 8.3 Commodity Price Cycles Energy and materials sectors often experience rotations based on commodity cycles. Traders tracking oil, gas, and metals prices can anticipate sector performance to adjust portfolio allocations accordingly. 9. Sector Rotation and Global Markets Sector rotation is not limited to domestic markets. International investors can apply rotation strategies to: Emerging markets Developed markets Regional ETFs Global macroeconomic factors, such as interest rate differentials, trade policies, and geopolitical tensions, create opportunities for cross-border sector rotation. 10. The Future of Sector Rotation With the rise of technology, artificial intelligence, and data analytics, sector rotation strategies are becoming more sophisticated. AI-driven models can: Analyze vast economic datasets Predict sector performance with machine learning Automate rotation decisions Reduce human bias Furthermore, thematic investing and ESG (Environmental, Social, Governance) trends are influencing sector performance, providing new dimensions for rotation strategies. 11. Conclusion Sector rotation is a dynamic and nuanced trading strategy that leverages economic cycles, market sentiment, and technical analysis to maximize portfolio performance. By understanding sector behavior, monitoring macroeconomic indicators, and applying disciplined entry and exit strategies, traders can enhance returns while managing risks. Though complex, sector rotation remains a powerful tool for both institutional and individual investors seeking to navigate the ever-changing landscape of financial markets.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TechnicalExpress
1