NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 31.07.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 31.07.2025
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
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I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
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INDIA50CFD trade ideas
NIFTY Analysis – 31 july 2025 ,Morning update at 9 amExpected Market Behavior
Nifty may open gap down near 24757
May slip towards 24620 and then 24481
Around 24620, expect sideways or consolidation
If a Bearish Bottleneck Pattern forms near 24620 (5-min chart), then Nifty may fall further toward 24450 to 24500
If Nifty sustains above 24922, it may trigger short covering toward 24995 and possibly 25097
Support
24757
24620
24481
Resistance
24922
24995
25097
Tariff news increases volatility
Causes gap-down openings or weak recovery
Top Sectors Affected by U.S. Tariffs on India
1. Pharmaceuticals
India is one of the largest exporters of generic drugs to the U.S.
Impact: U.S. tariffs can reduce competitiveness and margins
Key Stocks Affected:
Sun Pharma
Cipla
Dr. Reddy’s Labs
Lupin
Aurobindo Pharma
2. Textiles & Apparel
A large chunk of India’s textile exports (clothing, home textiles) go to the U.S.
Impact: High price due to tariffs = loss to competitors like Bangladesh, Vietnam
Key Stocks Affected:
Welspun India
Arvind
Raymond
Vardhman Textiles
KPR Mill
3. 💻 Information Technology (IT) Services
Though services usually aren’t taxed directly like goods, indirect restrictions (like visa issues or regulatory controls) can affect business.
Impact: If IT services are restricted, contract flow from U.S. reduces
Key Stocks Affected:
TCS
Infosys
Wipro
HCL Tech
Tech Mahindra
4. Steel & Metal Exports
U.S. often imposes duties on Indian steel and aluminum for protectionism.
Impact: Steel exports drop, prices fall
Key Stocks Affected:
Tata Steel
JSW Steel
Jindal Steel & Power
5. Auto Components
India exports automotive parts to U.S. automakers.
Impact: Higher cost for U.S. buyers may reduce demand
Key Stocks Affected:
Motherson Sumi
Bharat Forge
Sundaram Fasteners
6. Chemical & Specialty Chemical
India is a big player in specialty chemicals, also impacted by tariff or import restrictions.
Key Stocks Affected:
SRF
PI Industries
Aarti Industries
Navin Fluorine
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 31/07/2025Today, Nifty is expected to open with a gap-down below the 24,700 level, signaling potential early weakness in the session. The market is hovering around a critical support zone, and price action near the opening will set the tone for intraday moves.
If Nifty sustains below the 24,700–24,750 zone, it may trigger a short opportunity. A break and close below this level can lead to a downside move towards 24,600, 24,550, and possibly 24,500. Continued pressure could further drag the index toward 24,450, and if that breaks, we may see deeper levels near 24,350, 24,300, or even 24,250.
On the flip side, if the index shows a reversal from the 24,700–24,750 zone and sustains above 24,750, a reversal long setup may activate. This could push the index higher toward 24,850, 24,900, and 24,950+, where it may face significant resistance.
NIFTY- Intraday Levels - 31st July 2025
Monthly expiry day .. high volatility can be expected. is it a black Thursday?
Please check the levels on chart
Consider some buffer points in above levels.
Please do your due diligence before trading or investment.
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Trade setup for NIFTY on 31/07/25Nifty may open gap down with 170 points lower due to 25% tariffs and penalties imposed by trump on yesterday later night. All global markets are traded in red by jitters of trump tariffs. I am expecting this tariffs are not impacting much more on indian markets so investors can added fundamental stocks and good earnings stocks at support levels to their portfolios. The tariff's impact focused mainly IT, TEXTILES, AUTOCOMPONENTS, STEEL, ALUMINUM,PHARMA sectors which have major exports to U. S so investors keep watch these sectors before investing.
Support levels : 24665,24590
Resistance levels : 24728,24823
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Nifty Trading Strategy for 31st July 2025📊 NIFTY Trading Plan
🟢 Buy Setup:
✅ Buy above the High of the 15-min candle that closes above 24,990
🎯 Targets:
1️⃣ 25,030
2️⃣ 25,055
3️⃣ 25,085
🔰 Keep a suitable Stop Loss below the 15-min candle low
🔻 Sell Setup:
✅ Sell below the Low of the 15-min candle that closes below 24,735
🎯 Targets:
1️⃣ 24,700
2️⃣ 24,670
3️⃣ 24,645
🔰 Keep a suitable Stop Loss above the 15-min candle high
⚠️ Disclaimer:
📌 I am not SEBI registered.
📌 This content is for educational purposes only.
📌 This is not a buy/sell recommendation.
📌 Trade at your own risk with proper risk management.
📌 Consult your financial advisor before investing.
Nifty will fall to its 200 WMA at 20,308Nifty's Impulse Wave started in June 2022 at 15,123 and completed Wave 5 in September 2024 at 26,269 (Orange lines and levels on chart). The chart is perfect with Wave 3 hitting 1.618 fib and Wave 5 hitting 2.618 fib. Note that Wave 4 was exceptionally quick.
It then started an ABC correction wave (Blue on chart). Wave A completed in April at 21,712 (038 fib) and Wave B in June 2025 at 24,854. What's next? Wave C, of course! Wave Cs typically trace back to 0.5 fib to 0.68 fib and the 200 WMA is conveniently sitting right between them at 20,308 (red line) - and that's a solid support for the ABC correction to end.
Will 25 percent TARIFF put NIFTY under pressure!!??As we can see NIFTY remained sideways which was well anticipated as it is in a tight range. Now that POTUS TRUMP has announced 25 percent tariff with penalty that will be effective from AUG 1 can put NIFTY under pressure as much like CHINA's delay of tariff implementation, it was anticipated that INDIA's tariff might be delayed but its implemetation can create havoc in the market and that very havoc can give buying opportunity to many. IF NIFTY opens very weak, it is likely that it would start recovering from important demand zones. It would be better to stay away and watch market for tomorrow as it can decide further move so keep watching cautiously.
Bullish but volatile - Nifty and Banknifty Setup So as anticipated, the dip was bought and the market moved just the way I mapped it. When price action aligns with planning, it creates the perfect environment for my trading system to thrive.
NSE:NIFTY Pivot has now shifted to 24843. Support is right below at 24830, below that 24700 and the important resistance remains at 25000.
What’s more interesting is that Pivot Percentile has dropped to just 0.05%. Such tight compression often leads to an explosive move — and we need to be ready for it.
While intraday structure looks bullish, there's a red flag on the daily chart — sellers have outnumbered buyers by 40 million in volume.
So what we’re looking at is:
Price Action: Bullish
Volume: Bearish
And that = a highly volatile environment.
Again, sticking to my Earnings Pivot strategy is proving to be the most effective and safest approach in this kind of market.
Over to NSE:BANKNIFTY — Pivot is at 56178, support is near 56000, and resistance lies at 56700. Structure here is also shaping up bullish.
Sectors that are heating up include:
NSE:CNXFINANCE , #FERTILIZER, and #AGROCHEMICAL — all showing signs of strong rotational momentum.
Now to today’s trade performance — another solid day of execution:
1. NSE:HIRECT – up 13.96%
2. NSE:MBAPL – added 7.26%
3. NSE:KRN – closed 5.82% higher
4. #SCODATUBES – gained 4.88%
5. #LT – moved 4.85%
That wraps it up for the day. Stay focused, stay disciplined, and may tomorrow bring more greenery in your account. Take care and trade safe.
Nifty 50 Heading Toward 24,150 – Tariff News Adds Fuel to BearisNifty 50 remains under bearish pressure, and the recent tariff-related news has added further downside risk to an already weak market structure. The index has failed to hold above key resistance zones, and price action continues to form lower highs.
With sentiment turning more cautious, 24,150 emerges as the immediate downside target. The tariff development acts as a potential trigger, aligning with the ongoing technical weakness.
Key Highlights:
Bearish structure already in play
Negative sentiment reinforced by tariff news
Next key support zone: 24,150
Resistance to watch: 24,600 / 24,750
📉 Bias: Bearish below 24,600
📌 Watch for breakdown confirmation and volume spikes near key zones.
#Nifty50 #BearishTrend #TariffEffect #IndianStockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #NSE
I sense Positive Consolidation. Nifty May go higherPrice action displayed by nifty today can be considered as positive consolidation. Positive consolidation is where after consolidation price will give a breakout, not breakdown.
Why do i say it is Positive consolidation?
Price action interpretation says that if after breakout, price consolidates within the length of resistance candle, more importantly in upper wick of the candle if its an inverted hammer, then it means that price is not giving up the seller's territory. If price is not giving up seller's territory, then it signifies buyer's strength, thus potentially the trend will be won by buyers,
This is my interpretation. I am though new to the study of this price action. Tomorrow we will see if it works.
Market structure and trade plan: 31st July 2025🔎 Nifty Analysis for 31st July
4H Chart
Trend: Still in a corrective phase after a strong rebound from the 24,640–24,660 demand zone.
Key Resistance:
24,880–24,920 (current supply zone; price rejected here today)
25,000–25,040 (FVG + supply)
25,100–25,130 (strong order block; sellers likely to defend)
Support Levels:
24,760–24,780 (fresh demand formed today)
24,640–24,660 (previous swing demand and liquidity zone)
Bias: Cautiously bearish unless price decisively breaks and sustains above 24,920.
1H Chart
Structure: Price is consolidating just below the 24,880–24,920 resistance.
Liquidity Zones:
Buyside liquidity resting above 24,900 — potential liquidity grab before reversal.
Sellside liquidity lies near 24,780 and deeper at 24,650.
Observation: The 1H candles show exhaustion near resistance, suggesting sellers may attempt to push down.
15M Chart
Intraday Context:
Price is forming a range between 24,800 support and 24,880 resistance.
Multiple equal highs near 24,880–24,890 → a liquidity pool.
A sharp rejection candle seen, indicating short-term supply in play.
Plan: Look for liquidity sweep above 24,880–24,900 and rejection patterns for shorts.
📌 Trade Plan for 31st July
🔻 Bearish Scenario (High Probability)
Entry: Short between 24,880–24,920 if rejection confirmed.
Stop Loss: Above 25,000.
Targets:
T1 → 24,760
T2 → 24,640
Extended → 24,460 if momentum builds.
🔺 Bullish Contingency
Trigger: Only if price sustains above 24,920 with volume.
Entry: Buy on retest of 24,920.
Targets:
T1 → 25,040
T2 → 25,130
Stop Loss: Below 24,860.
✅ Summary: Nifty is currently at a major resistance cluster (24,880–24,920). Unless it breaks out with strength, shorting near this zone with a tight SL is the preferred plan. First support to watch on the downside is 24,760.
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 30th July 2025NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 25000 – 25050 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 25200 – 25250 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 24650 – 24600 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 24450 – 24400 range.
Nifty - Monthly Expiry Analysis July 31Price is facing resistance at 24900 zone. If price sustains above it, the next resistance is at 25000 psychological zone. 24900 to 25000 can be choppy if price can not gain strength to move up.
Buy above 24920 with the stop loss of 24870 for the targets 24960, 25000, 25060, 25120 and 25200.
Sell below 24800 with the stop loss of 24850 for the targets 24760, 24720, 24660, 24620 and 24560.
Always do your own analysis before taking any trade.
Nifty 50 at Crucial Juncture – Bounce Likely, But Downside Stillifty 50 witnessed a short-term bounce from the 24,600 level, largely supported by DII buying activity, indicating temporary strength in the market. This bounce led to the filling of the first upside gap imbalance (volume imbalance) at 24,823, completing one key price objective.
Now, the market stands at a decision point with two possible scenarios:
Upside Extension: If momentum continues, Nifty may target the next volume imbalance zone at 25,043.
Downside Move: If resistance holds, the index could resume its decline toward the 24,150 support zone.
Currently, there is a 70% probability of another bounce, supported by a potential three-candle bullish formation on the daily chart, suggesting the bulls might attempt another leg higher before any major correction.
Key Levels:
Support: 24,600 / 24,150
Resistance: 24,823 (filled) / 25,043
Bias: Neutral to Bullish with caution
📌 Watch for price action confirmation near 24,823–25,043 before positioning.
#Nifty50 #NiftyAnalysis #VolumeImbalance #DIIBuying #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #IndianStockMarket
Macro Trading / Global Market TrendsIntroduction
In the complex and dynamic world of finance, macro trading has emerged as one of the most influential strategies for investors seeking to profit from large-scale economic shifts. This investment style, deeply rooted in macroeconomic analysis, aims to capitalize on changes in global economic indicators, political developments, central bank policies, and geopolitical events. Macro trading operates across asset classes—equities, bonds, currencies, commodities, and derivatives—enabling investors to position themselves in anticipation of, or in response to, global macroeconomic trends.
In recent decades, the convergence of globalization, technological innovation, and interconnected financial systems has intensified the relevance of macro trading. Understanding the mechanisms and implications of macro trading within the context of global market trends provides not only a strategic edge to investors but also insights into how capital flows influence world economies.
Understanding Macro Trading
1. Definition and Core Principles
Macro trading is a strategy based on the analysis of broad economic and political factors affecting markets on a national or global scale. Traders analyze variables like:
GDP growth
Inflation
Interest rates
Trade balances
Central bank policies
Geopolitical risk
Unlike traditional bottom-up investing, which focuses on company fundamentals, macro trading takes a top-down view—starting from macroeconomic data and drilling down to specific investment opportunities.
2. Instruments and Markets
Macro traders typically operate across a wide range of financial instruments:
Currencies (Forex): Betting on relative strength or weakness of national currencies.
Interest Rate Instruments: Bonds, futures, and swaps linked to changes in rate policies.
Commodities: Energy, metals, agriculture based on global demand/supply and inflation trends.
Equities and Indices: Long or short positions based on sectoral or regional performance.
Derivatives: Options and futures are frequently used for leverage and hedging.
Evolution of Macro Trading
1. Early Origins
Macro trading began to take shape in the 1970s with the collapse of the Bretton Woods system, which introduced floating exchange rates and enabled speculation on currencies. Traders like George Soros and Stanley Druckenmiller gained prominence by making massive profits on macro bets—famously, Soros “broke the Bank of England” by shorting the pound in 1992.
2. Rise of Hedge Funds
The 1980s and 1990s saw the rise of macro-focused hedge funds. Firms like Bridgewater Associates, Moore Capital, and Brevan Howard institutionalized macro investing, managing billions and influencing policy through market signals.
3. Technological and Data Revolution
In the 21st century, real-time data, algorithmic tools, and machine learning have transformed macro trading. Traders now use AI models to parse economic indicators, sentiment, and even satellite imagery to forecast trends.
Macro Trading Strategies
1. Directional Trades
Traders take long or short positions based on anticipated macroeconomic trends. For example:
Long U.S. dollar during tightening cycles
Short Chinese equities amid economic slowdown fears
2. Relative Value Trades
These involve taking offsetting positions in related instruments to exploit discrepancies. Examples:
Long German Bunds, short U.S. Treasuries on divergent rate paths
Long Brazilian Real, short Argentine Peso based on relative macro strength
3. Event-Driven Trades
Profiting from specific events such as:
Elections
Referendums
Central bank meetings
Trade agreement announcements
4. Thematic Investing
Aligning with long-term macro themes such as:
Energy transition (e.g., long clean energy, short fossil fuel producers)
Demographics (e.g., aging populations and healthcare demand)
Technological disruption (e.g., AI and productivity trends)
Conclusion
Macro trading offers an expansive, intellectually challenging, and potentially lucrative approach to investing. By interpreting the movements of economies, governments, and global markets, macro traders can position themselves ahead of systemic shifts. However, the strategy also carries significant risks—from poor timing and model error to sudden geopolitical shocks.
As global market trends evolve—with themes like technological disruption, climate change, and geopolitical realignment—macro trading remains a vital lens through which to understand and navigate financial markets. For investors and policymakers alike, it provides a unique window into the pulse of the global economy and the forces shaping our collective financial future.
Momentum, Swing & Day Trading StrategiesTrading in financial markets offers a variety of strategies suited to different timeframes, risk appetites, and goals. Among the most popular trading methodologies are Momentum Trading, Swing Trading, and Day Trading. These strategies, while overlapping in some aspects, are distinct in their approach to capitalizing on market opportunities. Each appeals to a particular type of trader and requires different skills, tools, and psychological traits.
This guide provides a deep dive into these three trading styles, helping aspiring traders understand how they work, what tools are needed, and how to determine which might be the best fit for their goals.
1. Momentum Trading
Definition
Momentum trading is a strategy that seeks to capitalize on the strength of existing market trends. Momentum traders aim to buy securities that are moving up and sell them when they show signs of reversing—or go short on securities that are moving down.
The underlying belief is that stocks which are already trending strongly will continue to do so in the short term, as more traders jump on the bandwagon.
Core Principles
Trend Continuation: Assets that exhibit high momentum will likely continue in their direction for a while.
Volume Confirmation: High volume typically confirms the strength of momentum.
Short-term holding: Positions are held for a few minutes to several days.
Relative Strength: Comparing the performance of securities to identify leaders and laggards.
Example Strategy
Identify stocks with high relative volume (5x or more average volume).
Look for breakouts above recent resistance with strong volume.
Enter the trade once confirmation occurs (price closes above resistance).
Use a trailing stop-loss to ride the trend while locking in gains.
2. Swing Trading
Definition
Swing trading involves taking trades that last from a few days to a few weeks in order to capture short- to medium-term gains in a stock (or any financial instrument). Swing traders primarily use technical analysis due to the short-term nature of the trades but may also use fundamental analysis.
This strategy bridges the gap between day trading and long-term investing.
Core Principles
Trend Identification: Traders look for mini-trends within larger trends.
Support & Resistance: Entry and exit points are often based on technical levels.
Risk-to-Reward Ratios: Focus on setups with favorable risk/reward profiles (typically 1:2 or better).
Market Timing: Entry and exit are more strategic and less frequent than day trading.
Example Strategy
Scan for stocks in a clear uptrend or downtrend.
Wait for a pullback to a key moving average or support zone.
Enter on a bullish/bearish reversal candlestick pattern.
Set stop-loss just below support or recent swing low.
Set target profit at next resistance level or use a trailing stop.
3. Day Trading
Definition
Day trading is a strategy that involves buying and selling financial instruments within the same trading day. Traders aim to exploit intraday price movements and typically close all positions before the market closes to avoid overnight risks.
This strategy demands intense focus, fast decision-making, and a strong grasp of technical analysis.
Core Principles
Speed: Executing trades rapidly and precisely.
Volume & Liquidity: Only liquid assets are traded to ensure quick execution.
Leverage: Often used to increase potential profits (and losses).
Volatility: The more a stock moves, the better for day trading.
Example Setup
Identify a high-volume stock with a news catalyst.
Wait for an opening range breakout.
Enter long/short based on breakout with tight stop-loss.
Set profit targets based on support/resistance or risk-reward ratio.
Tools Commonly Used Across All Strategies
Regardless of the strategy, traders typically use the following tools:
Charting Platforms: TradingView, ThinkorSwim, MetaTrader, NinjaTrader.
Screeners: Finviz, Trade Ideas, MarketSmith.
News Feed Services: Benzinga Pro, Bloomberg, CNBC, Twitter/X.
Brokerage Platforms: Interactive Brokers, TD Ameritrade, E*TRADE, Fidelity.
Risk Management Software: Used to calculate position sizing, stop losses.
Risk Management: The Cornerstone of All Strategies
No matter the strategy, risk management is essential. Key practices include:
Position Sizing: Never risk more than 1–2% of capital per trade.
Stop-Loss Orders: Automatically exits a losing trade at a predefined level.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Most successful traders seek at least a 1:2 ratio.
Diversification: Avoid overexposing to one sector or asset.
Conclusion: Which Strategy is Right for You?
Choosing the right trading strategy depends on your:
Time availability: Can you watch the markets all day?
Capital: Can you meet margin and liquidity requirements?
Personality: Are you calm under pressure, or do you prefer slower decision-making?
Experience level: Some strategies are more forgiving and suitable for beginners.