INDIA50CFD trade ideas
Now is not a good idea to short the market! Sometimes, the best trade is no trade at all. Even if you spot further downside from here, avoid shorting the market — especially if we open with a gap down tomorrow. In fact, a gap-down open might just set the stage for a better opportunity on the upside.
NSE:NIFTY has formed a clear supply candle and closed below the key support of 24710. With this break, 24500 now becomes the next immediate support.
Interestingly, the pivot has shifted slightly higher — from 24845 to 24885 — and the Pivot Percentile remains steady at 0.19%. That’s a sign we may get another directional move tomorrow.
From a technical standpoint:
First key support sits at 24590
Immediate resistance is near 24800
A breakout above this resistance can trigger short covering and push Nifty toward 25000 levels.
Among all sectors, NSE:CNXPHARMA remains the only one showing resilience. So, if a relief rally is to happen, my bet is it will start from the Pharma space.
On the personal front, I took just one trade today — NSE:STLTECH — and it delivered beautifully, closing over 8% higher. A perfect example of quality over quantity.
I continue to rely solely on my Earnings Pivot Strategy — and days like this validate the discipline.
That’s all for now. Stay focused. Protect your capital. And as always, trade smart.
Wishing you a profitable tomorrow.
NIFTY- Intraday Levels - 29th July 2025Is nifty oversold ? Will it give some relief bounce or continue to fall more ?
If NIFTY sustain above 24710 above this bullish then 24740 then 24770 then 24801 to 24807 or 24813 strong level above this more bullish then 24837 to 24867 then wait
If NIFTY sustain below 24661 below this bearish then around 24650 then 24635/31 strong level below this more bearish then 24622 to 24611 then 24564 to 24534 very strong level then wait
Consider some buffer points in above levels.
Please do your due diligence before trading or investment.
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Nifty 50 Market Structure & Trade Plan for 29th July🔵 Nifty 50 Analysis
Timeframes Used: 4H, 1H, 15M
Current Price: ~24,674
🧠 Market Context
Price has continued its downward move, breaking below the 24,800 zone, confirming short-term bearish control.
Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) observed on 1H and 15M, signaling trend continuation to the downside.
The market is currently hovering around an important support band (24,660–24,700).
Liquidity sweep seen in lower timeframes with wicks below, suggesting caution for shorts right at CMP.
📌 Market Structure (Higher TF)
4H Chart:
Clear lower highs and lower lows → Bearish structure intact.
Key supply zone overhead: 24,880–25,000.
Immediate support: 24,640–24,670; next major demand at 24,410–24,450.
1H Chart:
Multiple failed attempts to reclaim 24,880.
Consolidating in a bearish channel with FVGs left above.
Any pullback to 24,750–24,800 is likely to be sold into.
🗺️ Key Zones
Immediate Resistance (Supply):
24,750–24,800 (intraday supply with FVG + OB alignment)
24,880–25,000 (major supply; strong rejection zone)
Immediate Support (Demand):
24,640–24,670 (CMP support; watch for breakdown)
24,410–24,450 (major HTF demand if support breaks)
📈 Trade Plan (29th July)
🔻 Scenario 1 – Sell on Pullback (Preferred Bias)
Entry: 24,750–24,800 (if price pulls back intraday)
SL: Above 24,880
Targets: 24,640 → 24,500 → 24,420
🔻 Scenario 2 – Breakdown Short
If price sustains below 24,640 with volume:
Entry: Below 24,630
SL: Above 24,720
Targets: 24,500 → 24,420
🔺 Scenario 3 – Countertrend Buy (Only for Aggressive Traders)
If price shows strong bullish rejection w/ engulfing candle at 24,640–24,670 zone:
Entry: Near 24,660
SL: Below 24,600
Targets: 24,750 → 24,800
🚫 No-Trade Zone
24,680–24,730: Choppy zone with liquidity wicks, avoid taking fresh positions until a clear rejection or breakout occurs.
✅ Bias: Bearish, prefer sell on rallies.
⚠️ Caution: If 24,640 demand holds with strength, a short-covering rally to 24,800 is possible.
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 28th July 2025NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 25000 – 25050 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 25250 – 25300 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 24700 – 24650 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 24500 – 24450 range.
#Nifty Weekly Analysis 27-07-25 to 01-08-25#Nifty Weekly Analysis 27-07-25 to 01-08-25
25030-25080 is the Resistance for next week.
ABCD activated below 24880 in last trading session.
Short level 1: If Nifty slips below 24780 on monday,
more downside possible and targets are 24650/24520.
Short level 2: If Nifty gives a pull back and tests 25080 levels,
short from those levels for the targets of 24980/24880.
Our Downside view gets invalidated above than 25100,
which is also a long level for the target of 25250.
View: Sideways to bearish.
Go long on Nifty
Refer to my earlier publication on Nifty Trajectory wherein I had mentioned that Nifty is undergoing a correction in the form of a Flat and had correctly predicted that wave C got completed at little over 1 x of Wave A and that one may consider going long on Nifty (May - June consolidation).
Further to this, Nifty completed its first order impulse wave on 1 July and has been undergoing correction in the form of a zigzag. Wave C in all probability is complete at 0.618 fibo extention of wave 0-3 to 4 as given in the charts.
One may consider long position on Nifty with stop loss below today's low.
Technical Analysist and fundamental analysist What is Technical Analysis?
Technical Analysis involves studying historical price charts, volume data, and market indicators to forecast future price movements. It operates on the belief that "price reflects all known information." Hence, instead of looking at a company's balance sheet, a technical analyst focuses on patterns, trends, and momentum.
🔹 Key Principles of Technical Analysis
Market Discounts Everything: All news, earnings, and fundamentals are already reflected in the price.
Price Moves in Trends: Markets move in trends – uptrend, downtrend, or sideways – and tend to persist over time.
History Repeats Itself: Human behavior in markets follows patterns that tend to repeat, which technical analysis aims to exploit.
Strengths of Technical Analysis
Ideal for short-term traders and scalpers.
Uses real-time data, not delayed financial reports.
Visual, intuitive, and good for identifying precise entry/exit levels.
Applies universally across asset classes.
What is Fundamental Analysis?
Fundamental Analysis seeks to evaluate the intrinsic value of a security by analyzing financial statements, economic factors, industry conditions, and management performance. It’s more common among long-term investors, like Warren Buffett, who believe in buying undervalued stocks and holding them for years.
🔹 Key Principles of Fundamental Analysis
Every stock has an intrinsic value – a “true” value based on fundamentals.
The market may misprice stocks temporarily – creating opportunities.
Strong financials lead to long-term success – even if the short-term market fluctuates.
Strengths of Fundamental Analysis
Helps identify long-term investment opportunities.
Less volatile and emotional than technical trading.
Supports strategic investing based on actual business performance.
Useful for determining the true value of a stock.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 28.07.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 28.07.2025
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
If the range is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
NIFTY Analysis – 28 july 2025 ,Morning update at 9 amExpected Opening & Movement Zones
Likely Opening Flat near 24800.
Immediate Downside Target (if weak)
First: 24756 important support.
Then: 246721– next support.
Upside if bounce or consolidation
First short-cover target: 24870.
Next: 24915 – minor resistance.
24756,Near today's flat open 1st crucial support
24671 If bottleneck confirmed –test this zone
24608 Extended weakness zone
Resistance Levels
24915 Short covering resistance
25,006 Important psychological and swing resistance
25076 Breakout confirmation only above this
the sideways range is likely between
24756 to 24915
Nifty may consolidate in this zone before giving any big move.
NIFTY Levels for TodayHere are the today's NIFTY Levels for intraday (in the image below). Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both.
Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level.
Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose.
Your likes and boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.
Nifty trades and Targets for - 28/7/25Hello Everyone. The market was bearish but gave opposite moves to take SL few times today. Previous support has turned to resistance now and vise versa. Let the resistance or support range break with 15-minute candle before going for any trade book profits every 30 points. If it opens gap up then we need to see the resistance level to break before looking for CE trades. If it opens gap down then look for PE trades after support zone is broken.
Nifty call for Monday Nifty may open on a plat note as per SGX NIFTY. A large red candle was formed on fridays trading with above average volumes which is indicated the bearish momentum existing in the market. Market may turn into positive around 24800 levels by supporting asian indices like nikkie and hangseng.
Support levels : 24800,24750
Resistance levels : 24950,25020
Disclimer : I AM NOT A SEBI RESEARCH ANALYST OR FINANCIAL ADVISOR, these recommendations are only for education purpose, not for trading and investment purpose please take an advise from your financial advisor before investing on my recommendations.
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TARIFF delayed! Another temporary relief!!?As we can see NIFTY breached and closed below our demand zone hitting our SL. The downfall was potentially because of the forthcoming implementation of tariff from august which has now been delayed for another 90 days could give some relief to indian markets but we must wait for signs of REVERSAL for making new entry and no new entry should be made unless NIFTY manages to sustain itself above the demand zone. Hence as long as we are below the demand zone, NIFTY tends to be negative to volatile so can be avoided unless strong signs that confirms the direction is seen. So, plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
Nifty volatality range expanded - check the levels The market pulled back more than I expected, and now it’s starting to look like a proper correction. But there’s nothing surprising about it — that’s the market’s nature, to surprise you every time.
Nifty has dropped more than 400 points from its recent high this week. On the intraday chart, it closed below the 24839 support on a weekly basis.
With that, Nifty has formed its Decision Range (DR) at 24845 for tomorrow, and the Pivot percentile is 0.19%, which clearly suggests we might see a trending move tomorrow.
Two possible scenarios for tomorrow:
1. If Nifty opens above 24845 and breaks 24908, we might see a bounce due to short covering. However, the probability of this scenario seems low as the market is heavily bearish.
2. If Nifty opens below 24845, trades below it for the first hour, and breaks 24860, it can fall further towards 24710. The final support for this week, as per the chart, should be around 24502. But remember — the market won’t do what you want; it will do what it has to.
Talking about Friday’s session — the candle broke its range, and sellers’ volume was 43 million higher than buyers. Clearly, sellers are still dominating.
For the coming week, the volatility range on the chart is 25047 to 24502.
BankNifty levels:
- Decision Range: 56713
- Weekly Support: 55899
- Resistance: 56791
On the sectoral side, agriculture proxy stocks are showing some excellent setups. One of them, NSE:SHARDACROP , which I traded, gave a solid 19.63% move on Friday.
I am also holding another one from this sector.
And of course, I'm not ignoring my Earnings Pivot setups — because in this kind of market, that’s the only reliable way to generate consistent income.
And when Agri + Earnings Pivot come together — you know how explosive that can be!
That’s all for today.
Take care.
Have a profitable week ahead.
You Don’t Trust Your Own Setup – That’s Why You Panic Exit!Hello Traders!
Have you ever found yourself in a trade that’s working well, but you still exit too early? Not because your stop loss hit. Not because the chart broke your setup. Just a gut feeling… anxiety… fear that maybe it will reverse. That feeling isn’t from the market. It’s from inside you. And most of the time, it means just one thing — you don’t fully trust your own setup.
What Really Causes Premature Exits?
Many traders blame the market for shaking them out. But in reality, the problem is internal. When you don’t believe in your strategy, even a small red candle feels like a threat. A normal pullback starts looking like a trend reversal. And in panic, you close the trade — only to watch it hit your target later. This cycle keeps repeating until you fix the root problem: lack of belief in your system.
Signs That You Don’t Trust Your Setup
You exit early even though rules are not broken
You check the chart every few minutes after entering
You feel nervous holding any open trade
You keep switching setups after 1-2 bad trades
Where Real Confidence Comes From
Confidence isn’t something you switch on. It comes from data, clarity, and repetition. When you’ve backtested your system, forward-tested it, and defined clear rules — you build trust. That trust helps you sit through drawdowns without losing your mind. It also helps you stick with a trade long enough to actually let it work. Without that trust, even the best strategy won’t save you.
Rahul Tip:
You don’t need a new setup. You need stronger belief in the one you already have. Next time you feel like exiting early, pause and ask: “Did my system actually fail? Or am I just scared?” If your answer is fear, then hold the line. Real trading edge is not just about entry. It’s about staying in the trade.
Conclusion:
Panic exits are not market problems. They’re mindset problems. And the fix is simple: believe in your setup, follow your rules, and let the market do its job. Your trade needs space to perform — give it that.
Have you ever exited early out of fear and regretted it later? Share your experience in the comments — we’ve all been there.