Nifty Trend directionNifty 24631 - Though Price has moved up, Increase in Volume (effort )doesn't match with Price bar (result). In bears move price bar increases with Volume increase. FII's have bought 203 contracts with low CALL and heavy PUT derivatives suggest last session could be a trap for sellers and shall expect some downside in Nifty.
Resistance at 596-734 zone.
Support is at 24552 and close below would take to 462 which is critical support.
Blood Bath then,
INDIA50CFD trade ideas
Psychology of Trading in the AI EraIntroduction
Trading has always been a game of numbers, patterns, and probabilities—but at its heart, it has always been a game of human psychology. From the floor traders of the 1980s to the retail traders of today clicking buy and sell on their mobile apps, emotions like fear, greed, hope, and regret have consistently shaped market behavior.
However, we are now living in an era where artificial intelligence (AI) is no longer just an experimental tool but a daily companion in the trading world. Advanced algorithms, neural networks, sentiment analysis engines, and automated bots can scan millions of data points, process global news in milliseconds, and predict price movements with uncanny accuracy.
This raises critical questions:
How does the presence of AI change human trading psychology?
Do traders still rely on instincts, or are they surrendering to machines?
What emotional challenges arise when humans compete against algorithms?
In this essay, we will explore these dimensions in depth, examining how trading psychology is being reshaped by AI, what new biases are emerging, and how traders can adapt their mindset to thrive in this new era.
1. The Foundations of Trading Psychology
Before diving into AI’s impact, let us revisit the basics of trading psychology. Historically, traders have always battled with three core emotions:
Fear – The fear of losing money, missing out on opportunities (FOMO), or getting left behind.
Greed – The desire for outsized gains, which often pushes traders to take irrational risks.
Hope & Regret – Holding onto losing trades out of hope they’ll recover, or regretting missed opportunities.
These emotions create well-known cognitive biases:
Confirmation bias (seeking data that supports an existing view).
Overconfidence bias (believing one’s strategy is infallible).
Loss aversion (feeling losses more intensely than equivalent gains).
Herd mentality (following what the majority is doing).
The battle against these psychological forces defined much of traditional trading education: building discipline, sticking to rules, and detaching emotionally.
2. How AI is Changing the Trading Landscape
With AI, trading is no longer just human versus human—it’s human versus machine or sometimes human alongside machine. Some key shifts AI has introduced include:
Algorithmic trading: High-frequency trading (HFT) algorithms execute thousands of trades in microseconds, leaving humans behind in speed and efficiency.
AI-powered analysis: Machine learning models now forecast trends using complex data like satellite imagery, social media sentiment, or even weather patterns.
Robo-advisors & bots: Retail traders use AI-driven bots to automate their strategies, removing much of the manual decision-making.
Predictive analytics: Platforms suggest when to enter or exit trades, almost acting as "psychological crutches" for traders.
This technological revolution is not just changing markets—it’s fundamentally altering the psychological environment of trading.
3. New Psychological Challenges in the AI Era
a) The “Human vs. Machine” Anxiety
Traders often feel they are competing against soulless algorithms that can predict moves faster than they can blink. This creates a psychological inferiority complex, leading some to second-guess their strategies, abandon intuition, or feel powerless.
b) Over-Reliance on AI
Paradoxically, some traders swing to the opposite extreme: they blindly trust AI recommendations. This leads to automation bias, where traders follow machine-generated signals without applying critical thinking. When the AI is wrong, it can result in catastrophic losses.
c) Information Overload
AI tools generate massive amounts of insights—charts, predictions, probability scores. Traders often become overwhelmed by data, leading to analysis paralysis, where fear of making the wrong choice prevents timely action.
d) Emotional Detachment vs. Overconfidence
On one hand, automation can help remove emotions from decision-making. On the other, traders may become overconfident, believing that access to AI gives them a guaranteed edge, only to be humbled by market uncertainty.
e) Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) on Tech
Many traders worry: “If I’m not using AI, I’ll be left behind.” This tech-driven FOMO fuels constant subscription purchases of new tools, often without mastering them.
4. The Double-Edged Sword of AI in Trading Psychology
AI is neither a pure blessing nor a curse—it’s a double-edged sword.
Benefits for Trading Psychology:
Reduced emotional bias: Automated execution can prevent impulsive trades.
Increased discipline: AI-enforced rules help traders stick to strategies.
Faster learning: AI backtesting and simulations accelerate experience-gathering.
Confidence boost: Access to predictive models reduces uncertainty.
Risks for Trading Psychology:
Dependency risk: Traders may lose the ability to make independent decisions.
Blame-shifting: Traders might avoid responsibility, blaming AI for losses.
Skill erosion: Over time, traders may neglect learning fundamentals.
Complacency: Believing AI always wins can dull risk management instincts.
Thus, AI reshapes psychology in both empowering and weakening ways, depending on how it is used.
5. Case Studies: Psychological Shifts in AI Trading
Case 1: Retail Trader with AI Bots
A beginner trader using a pre-built AI bot on their brokerage platform may feel confident and relaxed—until the bot hits a losing streak. At that point, panic sets in, and the trader either over-tweaks the system or abandons it entirely, exposing their underlying lack of psychological resilience.
Case 2: Professional Trader in AI-Dominated Markets
Institutional traders face the constant stress of competing with AI-powered hedge funds. This creates performance pressure, leading to burnout and decision fatigue, even when the trader’s strategy is fundamentally sound.
Case 3: Hybrid Human-AI Collaboration
Some traders use AI purely for signal generation but maintain human discretion for execution. This balance tends to foster psychological confidence, as traders feel supported but not fully dependent on AI.
6. Emerging Cognitive Biases in the AI Era
Beyond traditional biases, new AI-driven psychological traps are emerging:
Automation bias – Blind trust in AI recommendations.
Algorithm aversion – Distrust of AI after seeing a single failure.
Techno-FOMO – Constantly chasing the latest AI tool.
Data illusion – Believing more data = better decisions, even if irrelevant.
Delegated responsibility bias – Blaming AI instead of accepting accountability.
Traders must recognize these new biases to navigate the modern environment effectively.
7. Building a Healthy Trading Psychology in the AI Era
a) Use AI as a Tool, Not a Master
AI should augment, not replace, human judgment. Think of it as a co-pilot, not the pilot.
b) Maintain Emotional Awareness
Even with automation, emotions still influence decision-making (e.g., when to override AI, when to switch tools). Traders must practice mindfulness, journaling, or stress-management techniques.
c) Focus on Process, Not Just Outcomes
AI can make mistakes. Traders who anchor their psychology on process discipline (risk management, journaling, position sizing) rather than profits remain more stable.
d) Embrace Continuous Learning
Instead of blindly trusting AI, traders should understand at least the basics of how their tools work. Knowledge reduces both overconfidence and fear of failure.
e) Develop “AI Literacy”
The psychological edge in the AI era comes from understanding both the strengths and weaknesses of AI models, such as overfitting, reliance on historical data, and vulnerability to black swan events.
8. The Future: Psychology of AI-Integrated Markets
As AI continues to evolve, the psychology of trading will move in three directions:
Greater Human-AI Synergy – Traders who adapt psychologically to work with AI, not against it, will thrive.
New Emotional Battles – Future challenges may include fear of AI dominance, distrust after algorithmic crashes, and identity crises for human traders.
Shift in Market Behavior – If most trades are AI-driven, human psychology may play out more in meta-layers (how humans react to AI-driven moves, rather than direct price action).
Conclusion
The psychology of trading in the AI era is not about eliminating human emotions—it is about redefining the relationship between human psychology and machine intelligence.
AI is a powerful ally that can reduce emotional mistakes, enforce discipline, and accelerate learning. Yet it also introduces new psychological challenges: dependency, overconfidence, data overload, and fear of irrelevance.
Ultimately, successful traders in the AI era will be those who cultivate self-awareness, emotional discipline, and AI literacy, striking the right balance between human intuition and machine precision.
Trading has always been 80% psychology and 20% strategy. In the AI era, that ratio still holds true—only now, the psychology involves not just markets, but our relationship with intelligent machines.
NIFTY Levels for Today
Here are the NIFTY's Levels for intraday (in the image below) today. Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both.
Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level.
Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose.
Your likes and boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 18/08/2025Nifty is likely to open with a gap-up above the 24,750 level, indicating bullish momentum at the start of the session. If the index sustains above this level, further upside movement towards 24,850, 24,900, and 24,950+ can be expected. A strong breakout above 25,000 could extend the rally towards 25,150, 25,200, and 25,250+.
On the downside, immediate support lies near 24,700, and a break below 24,700 may lead to some profit booking, dragging the index towards 24,650, 24,600, and 24,500-. However, as long as Nifty trades above 24,750, the bias remains positive with dips likely to be bought into.
Overall, the sentiment is bullish, and traders should trail their stop losses while riding the upside move.
NIFTY MATHEMATICAL LEVELS These Levels are based on purely mathematical calculations.
Validity of levels are upto expiry of current week.
How to use these levels :-
* Mark these levels on your chart.
* Safe players Can use 15 min Time Frame
* Risky Traders Can use 5 min. Time Frame
* When Candle give Breakout / Breakdown to any level we have to enter with High/Low of that breaking candle.
* Targets will be another level marked on chart
* Stop Loss will be Low/High of that Breaking Candle.
* Trail your SL with every candle.
* Avoid Big Candles as SL will be high then.
* This is one of the Best Risk Reward Setup.
For Educational purpose only
Call on nifty for today Nifty may open on a gapup note due to SGX NIfty around 24800 where is strong resistance level in the short term for nifty. The level 24800 is where exist descending triangle upper neck line if nifty closed decisively above the neckline on daily charts it will move further upside upto 25200 levels. The investors may shift their focus from individual stocks to geopolitical news which are announced in coming week.
The news flows this from around the globe are FED MINUTES AND TRUMP AND JELENSKY MEET. Market may received signls from those things.
Support levels : 24731,24629
Resistance levels : 24802,24832
Stock of the day : INFOSYS
BUY PRICE : 1440
Target price : 1525
Stop loss : 1416
Disclimer : I AM NOT A SEBI RESEARCH ANALYST OR FINANCIAL ADVISOR, these recommendations are only for education purpose, not for trading and investment purpose please take an advise from your financial advisor before investing on my recommendations.
🙏 : If you liked my content please suggest to your friends follow my trading channel. Your likes and comments provide boosting to me to update more financial information.
Thanking you for supporting me
NIFTY yet to decide its TREND !!AS we can see NIFTY is still trading in a range and being sideways as expected and analysed. Hence we can expect NIFTY remain sideways throughout this range and we can expect a directional move on the break of either side so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
A dip will be buying opportunity in Nifty So on Thursday I was expecting a sharp move, but NSE:NIFTY just gave a small bounce and stopped. Still, it managed an upmove which was good to see.
Because of this, Nifty’s pivot shifted slightly higher to 24634 and the pivot percentile has tightened a lot – now at just 0.1%.
In such a setup, the market can open with a strong gap up, or if it opens above the pivot point, then a sharp move can be expected.
But there is a concern – on Thursday sellers were heavy with 22 million volume against buyers. This can reflect tomorrow and we might see a shakeout.
Support is placed at 24533 and resistance at 24700.
My view – bullish. If there’s any dip within this support-resistance range, I’ll consider it as a buying opportunity.
NSE:BANKNIFTY also looks ready with support at 55011.
Talking about sectors, #Financial stocks should be on the radar.
I'm holding NSE:UNOMINDA , NSE:CAPLIPOINT NSE:ATHERENERG , AND NSE:RELIANCE
That’s all for today. Take care. Have a profitable week ahead.
Nifty Trading Strategy for 18th August 2025💡 Nifty Intraday Trade Setup (15-Minute Strategy)
This strategy is based on the breakout of the first 15-minute candle.
📈 Buy Setup
Wait for the first 15-minute candle to close above 24,705.
If a 15-minute candle closes above 24,705, plan a BUY entry above the high of that candle.
Targets for the long trade:
🎯 Target 1 – 24,730
🎯 Target 2 – 24,765
🎯 Target 3 – 24,795
A trailing stop-loss or strict stop-loss can be kept below the low of the breakout candle.
📉 Sell Setup
Wait for the first 15-minute candle to close below 24,600.
If a 15-minute candle closes below 24,600, plan a SELL entry below the low of that candle.
Targets for the short trade:
🎯 Target 1 – 24,570
🎯 Target 2 – 24,535
🎯 Target 3 – 24,502
A stop-loss can be placed above the high of the breakdown candle.
⚠️ Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI registered analyst. This information is shared only for educational and learning purpose. Please do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any trade. I will not be responsible for any profit or loss arising out of any decisions based on this content.
Nifty trades and Targets for - 18/7/25Hello Everyone. The market was in a very tight range previous day.
1. If you look at the trend for the week it uptrend so look for CE trades. Buy on dip is mantra.
2. If we go above 24680 then look for CE If we go below 24580 then only look for PE.
3. If we open flat then let a candle close above the trendline (5minutes candle) you can go for Ce. If the market opens gap down then wait for the gap to be filled first, then look for CE trades only. If we open gap up then also wait for the gap to filled and then look for CE trades.
4. We only look for PE trades if a 15 minutes candle closes below 20 EMA then only we will trade with less quantity only.
Nifty weekly review Aug 18 - Aug 22The price was consolidating in a narrow range over the past two days. The range of 24600 to 24700 has become a zone of resistance. A decisive move is needed to form a trend. Price has formed a bull flag pattern, and below 24500, this pattern becomes invalid.
Buy above 24720 with the stop loss of 24670 for the targets 24760, 24820, 24860, 24900, 24960, 25000, and 25080.
Sell below 24480 with the stop loss of 24530 for the targets 24440, 24400, 24340, 24280, 24200, and 24120.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
Nifty50 Weekly Analysis - 18th Aug 2025Weekly Analysis: #Nifty50
Date: 18th Aug 2025
Firstly huge apologies.. I understand that I'm sharing the weekly report after 2 months.. At this point it feels more like a quarterly analysis rather than a weekly one.
As per that last weekly analysis published on 9th June 2025 #Nifty was at 25,000 and now it's trading at 24, 631.. basically there was nothing much happening or going at that time going to happen. Hence, I stayed quiet.. and it has panned out in the same way. If you remember reading the analysis from Nov 2024 to June 2025, I had mentioned that I will only be taking fresh entry, once Nifty closes above 25,800 and sustains due to the gap. And recently Nifty has been rejected from the same zone. Also, in my last post published on 23rd July there were indications that market may correct and it has indeed.
24,400 is strong support and a break-down below this with a red confirmation candle will take us further down. Nifty was moving in an upward channel from March 2023 and is now being rejected from the bottom of this upward channel (as we can see in the chart). The 3 gaps on the downside have yet to be filled and they will fill in the following months. We may experience a small bullish move toward 25000-25200 in the short-term, but this will only be a bulltrap. 20,200 to 19,500 is a support I still see being tested before we start the next bull-run. Remember! this is on-going Wave 4 (since Covid-Crash) and in the last Wave, which is Wave 5 people have the most optimism view of the market. But, this is the phase where all big players cash-out at high valuations selling everything to retail-traders. In fact retails traders are already giving huge exits to FIIs through their SIPs (DII buying).
I'm still holding cash and my entry in new stocks will either be above 25,800 levels or around 20,000 levels.. May start adding below 21,000. But, will keep y'all posted.
Chart - Remains the same, will update new information once mentioned levels are achieved on either side.
Mid/Long term view - More pain expected in next few moths.
#USDINR #DXY - #DollarIndex is loosing momentum but so is #Rupee.. not at all good for the overall economy and the markets. USDINR is forming a cup and handle, the target for which is coming to 92/USD.. When this happens brace yourself and sit tight, it will seem that everything is coming to an end but it wont.. this is where the market will most likely bottom out.
#Gold - If you remember reading analysis for Gold.. 3,300-3,400 was my exit target. Yes, it did go till 3,511. But mostly has been in the exit range.. Again this seems like distribution to me.
#CrudeOil #BrentCrude - Extremely weak now.. As I had mentioned in one of my older posts, that if Oil ETF was available I would have purchased it. And during the #iranisraelwar it would have made us good money. But sadly such an instrument is not available for
us.
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Trading Master Class With ExpertsRisks in Options Trading
Time decay eats premium if direction isn’t quick.
Volatility crush reduces premium post-events (like RBI policy).
Unlimited risk for sellers if market moves sharply.
Liquidity issues in some stock options.
Options Trading Psychology
Requires discipline & patience—most beginners lose by overtrading.
Emotions like fear of missing out (FOMO) or greed destroy capital.
Successful option traders often specialize in 1–2 instruments (e.g., Bank Nifty weekly options).
Role of Retail vs Institutional Traders
Retail traders mostly buy options (lottery-ticket approach).
Institutions & HNIs dominate selling (because they can hold margins).
Data shows: retail traders lose premium, institutions earn it—but smart retail traders can also make money by following disciplined strategies.
Nifty & BankNifty: Elliott Wave Roadmap - Aug / Sep 2025We saw an ending diagonal (wedge) in BankNifty at 47702 lows back in March 2025. The idea was published, can 47702 be the bottom? Indeed, BankNifty unfolded in impulsive fashion, flying up to 57669 highs. Wow.
Now the question: do we see a similar structure in Nifty? An ending diagonal forming in the corrections, building a base near 24325–24350? Or will it struggle?
All that in this video. Market Whispers! Can you hear them?
WaveTalks Profile
in.tradingview.com
Exciting video idea from WaveTalks.
Analysis by Abhishek
Intraday Scalping1. Introduction to Intraday Scalping
Trading in financial markets has evolved into many styles—long-term investing, swing trading, positional trading, and intraday trading. Among these, scalping is one of the most intense and fast-paced strategies.
Scalping refers to a method where traders aim to capture small price movements within seconds or minutes. Unlike swing or positional traders who hold positions for days or months, scalpers aim to enter and exit quickly, sometimes executing dozens or even hundreds of trades a day.
In Indian stock markets, where NSE and BSE see high liquidity, scalping is a popular strategy in indices (like Nifty, Bank Nifty), liquid stocks (Reliance, HDFC Bank, TCS), and even commodities (gold, crude oil).
Scalping is best suited for traders who:
Can stay focused for long hours.
Handle pressure and speed well.
Prefer small but consistent gains.
2. Core Principles of Scalping
Before diving into strategies, it’s important to understand the fundamentals of scalping:
Liquidity is King – Scalpers need high-volume stocks or indices to enter and exit trades instantly without slippage.
Speed Matters – Since targets are small (0.1% to 0.3% per trade), execution speed is critical.
Risk Management – A single large loss can wipe out the gains from many small trades.
Consistency Over Jackpot – Scalpers don’t wait for “big moves.” Instead, they profit from many small moves.
Discipline – Sticking to pre-defined stop-loss and target levels is crucial.
3. Scalping vs. Other Trading Styles
Feature Scalping Intraday Trading Swing Trading Investing
Holding Time Seconds to Minutes Few Hours Days to Weeks Months to Years
Profit per Trade Very Small (0.1%-0.5%) Moderate Larger Long-term growth
Number of Trades Dozens to Hundreds Few trades daily Few trades monthly Very few
Tools Used Level 2 data, tick charts Candlestick charts Technical + Fundamental Fundamental
Psychology Fast, disciplined Patient, tactical Balanced Long-term vision
Scalping is the most active and demanding form of trading, but it also offers the most immediate results.
4. Psychology of a Scalper
Scalping requires a unique psychological edge:
Patience for small wins: Many traders struggle because they seek “big moves.” A scalper must be satisfied with tiny but frequent gains.
Emotional control: Fear and greed must be controlled at a micro level. One wrong emotional trade can ruin the day.
Focus & speed: Scalping is like a high-speed chess game; hesitation means missed opportunities.
Discipline: Pre-defined rules must be followed strictly—no chasing trades.
5. Tools & Setup for Scalping
Scalping success depends heavily on the trader’s setup:
a. Hardware Requirements
A fast computer with at least 8GB RAM.
Dual monitor setup for watching charts and order books simultaneously.
High-speed internet (fiber or 5G).
b. Trading Platform & Broker
A broker offering low transaction costs and fast execution (e.g., Zerodha, Upstox, ICICI Direct Neo).
Access to Level 2 market depth (bid/ask book).
c. Indicators & Charts
1-min and tick charts.
Indicators commonly used:
VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price)
EMA (Exponential Moving Average) – 9 & 20 period
MACD (for momentum shifts)
RSI (for overbought/oversold)
Volume Profile
6. Scalping Strategies
Here are the most popular scalping strategies used in Indian markets:
a. VWAP Strategy
VWAP acts as a magnet for intraday price action.
Buy when price crosses above VWAP with strong volume.
Sell when price falls below VWAP.
Example: Reliance trading at ₹2500; price bounces above VWAP at ₹2496 → scalper buys with ₹4 target and ₹2 stop-loss.
b. Moving Average Crossover (EMA 9 & 20)
When EMA 9 crosses above EMA 20, buy.
When EMA 9 crosses below EMA 20, sell.
Works best in trending markets.
c. Breakout Scalping
Identify support & resistance zones on 5-min charts.
Enter when price breaks with volume.
Exit quickly with small profit before reversal.
Example: Nifty at 22,000 resistance → breaks to 22,015 with volume → scalper buys for 15–20 point move.
d. Range Scalping
Works in sideways markets.
Buy near support, sell near resistance.
Keep very tight stop-loss.
e. Order Book Scalping
Watch Level 2 bid/ask orders.
If strong buy orders keep absorbing sellers, scalp long.
If sell orders dominate, scalp short.
7. Risk Management in Scalping
Since profits per trade are small, risk management is everything:
Stop-Loss Rule – Always use fixed stop-loss (e.g., ₹2-3 in stocks, 5-10 points in Nifty).
Position Sizing – Keep lot size small initially; scale up only when consistent.
Daily Loss Limit – Stop trading after reaching max daily loss (e.g., 2% of capital).
Risk/Reward Ratio – At least 1:1 (better 1:2).
Avoid Overtrading – Don’t trade just to recover losses.
8. Advantages of Scalping
Quick Profits – No overnight risk.
Many Opportunities – Even in flat markets, scalpers can profit.
Low exposure – Minimal time in the market reduces big event risks.
Compounding Effect – Small gains add up.
9. Disadvantages of Scalping
High Stress – Demands total concentration.
Brokerage Costs – Frequent trades mean high charges.
Slippage – Sudden moves may hit stop-loss before exit.
Not for Everyone – Requires speed and mental stamina.
10. Scalping in Indian Markets
Best Instruments for Scalping
Indices: Nifty 50, Bank Nifty.
High-volume stocks: Reliance, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, TCS, Infosys.
Commodities: Crude oil, Gold.
Market Timings for Scalping
9:15 – 11:00 AM: Best volatility, fresh moves.
1:30 – 2:30 PM: Post-lunch breakouts.
Avoid last 15 minutes (too erratic).
11. Common Mistakes by Scalpers
Overtrading after a loss.
Ignoring transaction costs (brokerage, STT, GST).
Trading illiquid stocks → slippage.
No fixed stop-loss → one big loss wipes gains.
Chasing trades late instead of waiting for setup.
12. Conclusion
Scalping is like Formula 1 racing in trading: high speed, high skill, high risk. It demands:
Focus on liquidity and small profits.
Discipline in following stop-loss.
Consistent practice with risk management.
For Indian traders, Nifty and Bank Nifty offer the best playground for scalping. While challenging, a disciplined scalper can grow wealth consistently, turning small daily gains into a powerful compounding engine.
Fibonacci Retracement Explained: Smarter Entries & Exit Zones🔹 Intro / Overview
Fibonacci retracement highlights potential support and resistance zones during pullbacks. By mapping ratios between swing highs and lows, traders can structure trades, plan entries, and manage risk — not predict the market.
📖 How to Use
1️⃣ Identify Swing Points – Draw from recent swing low ➝ swing high (or reverse for downtrend)
2️⃣ Watch Key Levels – 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6%
3️⃣ Confirm with Price Action – Candle closes above/below key levels = stronger signal
4️⃣ Plan Stops & Targets – Use Fibonacci zones or swing points
5️⃣ Enhance Reliability – Combine with trendlines, moving averages, or candlestick patterns
📊 Chart Explanation (Step-by-Step)
The chart demonstrates a possible long setup using Fibonacci retracement:
Point A (Swing Low) : Starting point of the retracement
Point B (Swing High) : Endpoint establishing Fibonacci ratios
Point C (Chart Confirmation) : Swing low confirming levels are relevant
Point D (Potential Invalidation) : Price dips near 38.2%–61.8%; closes below could invalidate
Point E (Entry Zone) : Successive closes above 78.6% confirm entry
🔍 Observations
Price respected multiple Fibonacci zones (38.2%, 50%, 61.8%)
Swing highs/lows defined the structure
Yellow path = past trend movement
Blue path = potential reaction for illustration only
📌 Trade Management
Stops : Just beyond Fibonacci zones or swing points
Targets : Next Fibonacci level or previous swing high/low
Reliability increases when combined with other confirmations
✨ Key Takeaways
✔ Fibonacci is a guide, not a prediction
✔ Candle closes near levels strengthen entries
✔ Stops & targets can flex with Fibonacci or swing structure
✔ Always use confluence for decision-making
✅ Conclusion
Fibonacci retracement is a visual framework to time entries and exits with discipline. Combine it with other tools for stronger setups.
⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Nifty Market Structure Analysis & Trade Plan : 18th August🔎 Market Structure Analysis
4H Chart (Higher Timeframe Bias)
Trend: Price is still in a broader downtrend channel, though it recently attempted a bounce.
Key Resistance Zone: 24,650 – 24,700 (current rejection zone).
Support Zone: 24,350 – 24,400 (green demand zone).
Observation: Price has tested resistance and is struggling to break above. Sellers are defending this supply area strongly.
1H Chart (Intermediate View)
Trend: Recent up-move has stalled at 24,650–24,700 supply.
Structure: Multiple wicks into the supply zone showing rejection.
Support: 24,400 remains crucial. If broken, momentum may extend downside.
Bias: Sideways to bearish until a clear breakout.
15M Chart (Execution View)
Current Action: Price consolidating within the 24,600–24,700 range.
Intraday Resistance: 24,680–24,700 (supply overhead).
Intraday Support: 24,500–24,550 minor zone, then 24,400 major zone.
Setup: Small range-bound moves, awaiting breakout for momentum.
📌 Trade Plan for 18th August (Monday)
1. Bullish Scenario
Trigger: Sustained breakout above 24,700 with volume.
Upside Targets:
24,850 (first target)
25,000 (next target, major supply)
Stop-Loss: Below 24,600 (re-entry into range invalidates breakout).
2. Bearish Scenario
Trigger: Rejection from 24,650–24,700 supply and breakdown below 24,500.
Downside Targets:
24,400 (first support)
24,300–24,250 (extended target, demand zone)
Stop-Loss: Above 24,700 (if shorting from supply zone).
3. Range-Bound / Neutral Scenario
If price remains between 24,500–24,700, avoid over-trading.
Focus on quick scalps inside the range until a clean breakout confirms direction.
🎯 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance Zones: 24,650 – 24,700 | 24,850 | 25,000
Support Zones: 24,500 | 24,400 | 24,300
✅ Summary:
Nifty is at a make-or-break zone. Monday’s plan is simple:
Above 24,700 → look for longs targeting 24,850–25,000.
Below 24,500 → look for shorts targeting 24,400–24,300.
Stay neutral if trapped inside 24,500–24,700 range.