Fibonacci Retracement Explained: Smarter Entries & Exit Zones🔹 Intro / Overview
Fibonacci retracement highlights potential support and resistance zones during pullbacks. By mapping ratios between swing highs and lows, traders can structure trades, plan entries, and manage risk — not predict the market.
📖 How to Use
1️⃣ Identify Swing Points – Draw from recent swing low ➝ swing high (or reverse for downtrend)
2️⃣ Watch Key Levels – 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6%
3️⃣ Confirm with Price Action – Candle closes above/below key levels = stronger signal
4️⃣ Plan Stops & Targets – Use Fibonacci zones or swing points
5️⃣ Enhance Reliability – Combine with trendlines, moving averages, or candlestick patterns
📊 Chart Explanation (Step-by-Step)
The chart demonstrates a possible long setup using Fibonacci retracement:
Point A (Swing Low) : Starting point of the retracement
Point B (Swing High) : Endpoint establishing Fibonacci ratios
Point C (Chart Confirmation) : Swing low confirming levels are relevant
Point D (Potential Invalidation) : Price dips near 38.2%–61.8%; closes below could invalidate
Point E (Entry Zone) : Successive closes above 78.6% confirm entry
🔍 Observations
Price respected multiple Fibonacci zones (38.2%, 50%, 61.8%)
Swing highs/lows defined the structure
Yellow path = past trend movement
Blue path = potential reaction for illustration only
📌 Trade Management
Stops : Just beyond Fibonacci zones or swing points
Targets : Next Fibonacci level or previous swing high/low
Reliability increases when combined with other confirmations
✨ Key Takeaways
✔ Fibonacci is a guide, not a prediction
✔ Candle closes near levels strengthen entries
✔ Stops & targets can flex with Fibonacci or swing structure
✔ Always use confluence for decision-making
✅ Conclusion
Fibonacci retracement is a visual framework to time entries and exits with discipline. Combine it with other tools for stronger setups.
⚠️ Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
INDIA50CFD trade ideas
Nifty Market Structure Analysis & Trade Plan : 18th August🔎 Market Structure Analysis
4H Chart (Higher Timeframe Bias)
Trend: Price is still in a broader downtrend channel, though it recently attempted a bounce.
Key Resistance Zone: 24,650 – 24,700 (current rejection zone).
Support Zone: 24,350 – 24,400 (green demand zone).
Observation: Price has tested resistance and is struggling to break above. Sellers are defending this supply area strongly.
1H Chart (Intermediate View)
Trend: Recent up-move has stalled at 24,650–24,700 supply.
Structure: Multiple wicks into the supply zone showing rejection.
Support: 24,400 remains crucial. If broken, momentum may extend downside.
Bias: Sideways to bearish until a clear breakout.
15M Chart (Execution View)
Current Action: Price consolidating within the 24,600–24,700 range.
Intraday Resistance: 24,680–24,700 (supply overhead).
Intraday Support: 24,500–24,550 minor zone, then 24,400 major zone.
Setup: Small range-bound moves, awaiting breakout for momentum.
📌 Trade Plan for 18th August (Monday)
1. Bullish Scenario
Trigger: Sustained breakout above 24,700 with volume.
Upside Targets:
24,850 (first target)
25,000 (next target, major supply)
Stop-Loss: Below 24,600 (re-entry into range invalidates breakout).
2. Bearish Scenario
Trigger: Rejection from 24,650–24,700 supply and breakdown below 24,500.
Downside Targets:
24,400 (first support)
24,300–24,250 (extended target, demand zone)
Stop-Loss: Above 24,700 (if shorting from supply zone).
3. Range-Bound / Neutral Scenario
If price remains between 24,500–24,700, avoid over-trading.
Focus on quick scalps inside the range until a clean breakout confirms direction.
🎯 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance Zones: 24,650 – 24,700 | 24,850 | 25,000
Support Zones: 24,500 | 24,400 | 24,300
✅ Summary:
Nifty is at a make-or-break zone. Monday’s plan is simple:
Above 24,700 → look for longs targeting 24,850–25,000.
Below 24,500 → look for shorts targeting 24,400–24,300.
Stay neutral if trapped inside 24,500–24,700 range.
Nifty Trend on Daily Charts - Sideways PatternNifty is Trading in A channel downwards, Where it meet these levels as-
S1- 24530
S2- 24460
R1 - 24710
R2- 24820
Market trend nutral, sideways pattern for 5-6 sessions.
Note & Disclaimer -
I am not a SEBI registered advisor. The above data is for informational purposes only and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
Always conduct your own due diligence (DYOR) and consult with a SEBI-registered advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Nifty 50 Intraday Expiry for 14/08/25 ⚡ Trade Setups with Precise Stop Loss Rules
A) BULLISH BREAKOUT (PREFERRED):
✅ Trigger: Hourly candle CLOSE > 24,700 (breakout confirmation).
🎯 Targets:
T1: 24,800
T2: 24,950 (triangle high)
❌ STOP LOSS: Below the LOW of breakout candle (e.g., if breakout candle low = 24,685, SL = 24,684).
B) BEARISH BREAKDOWN:
✅ Trigger: Hourly candle CLOSE < 24,465 (breakdown confirmation).
🎯 Targets:
T1: 24,350
❌ STOP LOSS: Above the HIGH of breakdown candle
🚫 STRICT NO-TRADE ZONES (NTZ):
Upper NTZ: 24,535 – 24,700
→ Avoid longs/shorts. Wait for confirmed breakout/breakdown.
Lower NTZ: 24,535 – 24,465
→ Avoid premature shorts. Only trade on confirmed close < 24,465.
Price Bias: Bullish Edge: Repeated tests of 24,700 suggest weakening resistance. Breakout likely if volumes surge.
Bearish Caution: Failure below 24,535 may accelerate selling toward 24,350.
📅 Critical Notes:
Expiry + Holiday Risk:
15th Aug (Fri): Weekly Expiry + Independence Day Holiday (Market Closed).
16th–17th Aug (Sat–Sun): Weekend closure.
🛑 NO BTST: Square off all positions by day’s close (14th Aug). Holding overnight into expiry + 3-day break = unacceptable risk!
Disclaimer:
This idea is for educational purposes only. The market outlook involves substantial risk, especially during expiry and holidays. Do NOT hold positions overnight. Trade with strict stop losses, and adjust position sizes to volatility. Consult a financial advisor if needed. Jai Hind! 🇮🇳"
Happy Independence Day! Celebrate freedom, trade disciplined.
Key Tip: Trail SL to breakeven at T1 to protect profits.
GIFT Nifty TradingIntroduction
India has always been at the center of global investor attention. With a rapidly growing economy, strong demographic advantage, and increasing financial market maturity, India is becoming a major hub for global capital flows. To strengthen this position, the Gujarat International Finance Tec-City (GIFT City) was established as India’s first International Financial Services Centre (IFSC).
One of the most important steps in making GIFT City globally relevant was the introduction of GIFT Nifty, a trading platform that connects global investors to India’s equity markets in real time. Replacing the Singapore Exchange (SGX) Nifty, GIFT Nifty represents India’s move to bring back offshore Nifty trading volumes to Indian territory.
In this comprehensive guide, we’ll cover everything about GIFT Nifty trading, including its background, structure, importance, strategies, risks, and its role in shaping the future of Indian and global financial markets.
1. Background of GIFT Nifty
1.1 The SGX Nifty Era
Before GIFT Nifty, foreign investors who wanted exposure to Indian equities largely used SGX Nifty, a derivative contract listed on the Singapore Exchange. SGX Nifty mirrored India’s Nifty 50 index, providing offshore traders the ability to hedge or speculate on Indian markets without registering in India.
For years, SGX Nifty was highly popular because:
It offered almost 16 hours of trading time, including when Indian markets were shut.
Foreign investors avoided compliance with Indian regulations.
It provided liquidity and easy entry/exit.
But this created a problem for India. A large portion of trading in Indian indices was happening outside the country, meaning India lost out on liquidity, market depth, and revenue.
1.2 The Transition to GIFT Nifty
To bring this trading activity back to India, the NSE International Exchange (NSE IX) at GIFT City was launched. After years of negotiations, SGX Nifty trading officially shifted to GIFT Nifty on July 3, 2023.
Now, instead of trading in Singapore, foreign investors access Nifty futures through GIFT City, keeping the ecosystem within India’s borders.
2. What is GIFT Nifty?
GIFT Nifty is the international version of India’s Nifty index futures, traded on the NSE IX at GIFT City. It allows global and domestic investors to trade, hedge, and speculate on Indian equities in a globally accessible financial environment.
2.1 Key Features
Underlying index: Nifty 50
Contracts available: GIFT Nifty 50, GIFT Nifty Bank, GIFT Nifty Financial Services, GIFT Nifty IT
Trading hours: Nearly 21 hours (6:30 AM IST to 2:45 AM IST next day), overlapping with Asian, European, and US markets
Currency denomination: USD, making it attractive to global investors
Taxation benefits: IFSC offers favorable tax regimes compared to onshore markets
2.2 Why It Matters
Strengthens India’s financial sovereignty
Brings liquidity back from offshore to onshore
Provides global investors with near-continuous access to Indian markets
Enhances India’s role in global trading ecosystems
3. Structure of GIFT Nifty
3.1 Contract Specifications
Lot Size: Each contract has a fixed multiplier (usually 50 units per contract, like SGX Nifty).
Expiry: Monthly and quarterly contracts available.
Settlement: Cash-settled in USD, based on Nifty 50 closing value.
Margin Requirements: Traders need to maintain margins similar to global exchanges.
3.2 Participants
Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs)
Domestic Institutional Investors
Hedge Funds and Asset Managers
Retail (through IFSC brokers)
3.3 Trading Ecosystem at GIFT City
The GIFT IFSC provides:
Low taxation (no securities transaction tax, commodity transaction tax, or stamp duty).
100% foreign ownership allowed in IFSC brokers.
Liberalized rules for foreign currency accounts.
Global-standard clearing and settlement infrastructure.
4. Why GIFT Nifty is Important
4.1 For India
Revenue retention: Trading volumes and fees stay in India.
Market depth: Strengthens domestic derivatives market.
Global status: Puts India on the map as a global trading hub.
4.2 For Global Investors
Extended trading hours: Easier to trade in Indian markets across different time zones.
USD contracts: Reduces currency risk for international traders.
Access to India’s growth story: India is one of the fastest-growing economies, and GIFT Nifty gives direct access.
4.3 For Traders
More opportunities: Nearly round-the-clock trading enables reaction to global events.
Arbitrage: Traders can arbitrage between onshore NSE Nifty and offshore GIFT Nifty.
Liquidity: Strong foreign participation ensures volumes.
5. How GIFT Nifty Works in Practice
Imagine a scenario:
The US Fed announces a surprise interest rate hike at 10 PM IST.
Indian stock markets are closed, but GIFT Nifty is live until 2:45 AM.
Global traders immediately react, selling GIFT Nifty contracts.
This provides a real-time indication of how Indian equities may open the next day.
Thus, GIFT Nifty acts as a barometer of global sentiment towards India, even outside normal Indian trading hours.
6. Trading Strategies in GIFT Nifty
6.1 Hedging
Foreign investors holding Indian portfolios can hedge overnight or global risks by taking opposite positions in GIFT Nifty.
6.2 Arbitrage
Onshore vs Offshore Arbitrage: Price differences between NSE Nifty and GIFT Nifty create opportunities.
Cross-market Arbitrage: Traders arbitrage between GIFT Nifty and other indices (like S&P 500, Nikkei).
6.3 Speculation
Day traders and institutions speculate on short-term moves, just like in regular futures markets.
6.4 Event Trading
Events like Budget, RBI policy, or global announcements can create sharp moves in GIFT Nifty, offering trading opportunities.
7. Risks in GIFT Nifty Trading
7.1 Market Risks
Like any derivative, GIFT Nifty is highly leveraged. Sudden volatility can wipe out margins.
7.2 Currency Risks
Although contracts are USD-based, Indian investors face INR-USD conversion risks.
7.3 Liquidity Risks
While volumes are growing, some contracts may still lack liquidity compared to NSE Nifty.
7.4 Regulatory Risks
Any change in IFSC or SEBI regulations may affect participation.
8. Taxation & Regulatory Framework
Tax advantages: No capital gains tax for non-residents, no stamp duty, no STT/CTT.
IFSC Authority: The unified regulator for GIFT City ensures global standards.
Foreign Investors: Allowed to directly trade via IFSC brokers without needing SEBI FPI registration.
9. Future of GIFT Nifty
9.1 Growth Potential
More contracts (Midcap, sectoral indices) likely to be introduced.
Potential for options trading in addition to futures.
Increasing participation from global hedge funds, asset managers, and even retail investors.
9.2 India as a Global Hub
If successful, GIFT Nifty will make GIFT City a financial hub comparable to Dubai, Singapore, and Hong Kong.
9.3 Integration with Global Markets
Longer trading hours and global recognition will ensure GIFT Nifty becomes the benchmark for Indian equities worldwide.
10. Practical Guide for Traders
Step 1: Open an IFSC Trading Account
Traders must open accounts with NSE IX-registered brokers in GIFT City.
Step 2: Fund Account in USD
Trading is USD-denominated, so funding is done in dollars.
Step 3: Understand Margin & Risk
Maintain adequate margins to avoid forced liquidation.
Step 4: Build Strategies
Use GIFT Nifty to hedge portfolios.
Trade during overlapping hours with Europe/US for maximum volatility.
Step 5: Monitor News
Global events significantly impact GIFT Nifty. Keep track of US Fed, crude oil, geopolitical tensions, etc.
Conclusion
GIFT Nifty trading is more than just a financial product – it is a symbol of India’s growing financial power. By bringing offshore Nifty trading back home, India has strengthened its sovereignty, deepened its markets, and provided global investors with seamless access to its growth story.
For traders, it offers nearly round-the-clock opportunities, arbitrage, hedging, and speculation in USD terms. For India, it positions GIFT City as a global financial hub.
As volumes rise and new contracts are introduced, GIFT Nifty is set to become the global benchmark for Indian equities, bridging India with the world’s markets like never before.
#Nifty Weekly Analysis 18-08-25 to 22-08-25#Nifty Weekly Analysis 18-08-25 to 22-08-25
24500-24700 is sideways Range for next week.
If Nifty sustains above 24700, more upside possible and Targets are 24880/25030.
Short level is below 24600 for the target of 24480/24330.
View: Upside to Sideways Market.
Nifty view for next week starting 18th Aug
Nifty Outlook — Cheetah Trader Perspective
Nifty has been in a steady downtrend since the end of June, consistently forming lower highs and lower lows. However, over the last few trading sessions, the market has moved into a consolidation phase.
Key Levels to Watch
Support Zone: 24,460–24,410 with stronger support at 24,350–24,320.
Resistance Zone: 24,600–24,670 with strong resistance at 24,700.
Bullish Signals Emerging
Trend Break: The six-week decline has been interrupted by a solid green candle, signaling buying strength.
MACD Crossover: Daily MACD is turning upward, indicating potential momentum shift.
EMA Crossover in Sight: Price action suggests a bullish EMA crossover may be near.
Trading Strategy — Act Like a Cheetah
The setup now favors a bullish bias.
Futures: Consider long positions with tight stop-losses to manage risk.
Options: Deploy bullish strategies — e.g., call spreads — for leveraged but risk-defined exposure.
Discipline: As the cheetah waits for the perfect moment to strike, wait for confirmation of breakout before committing capital.
Free Cash Flow – The Most Ignored Metric That Can Save You!Hello Traders!
When most people look at a company’s financials, they stop at profits.
But smart investors know that profits on paper don’t always mean cash in hand.
That’s where Free Cash Flow (FCF) comes in, the metric that reveals the real financial strength of a business.
What is Free Cash Flow?
Free Cash Flow is the money a company has left after paying all operating expenses and making necessary investments in its business.
It’s the cash available to pay dividends, buy back shares, reduce debt, or reinvest for growth.
Why It Matters More Than Reported Profits
Cash is King:
A company might report high profits but still struggle if it doesn’t have actual cash flow.
FCF shows if the business can fund itself without borrowing.
Signals Financial Health:
Consistently positive FCF means the company generates enough money to grow and reward shareholders.
Negative FCF for many years can be a red flag unless it’s due to planned growth investments.
Protects During Tough Times:
Companies with strong FCF can survive economic slowdowns without cutting essential spending or taking on expensive debt.
How to Check It
You can find FCF in the company’s cash flow statement:
FCF = Operating Cash Flow, Capital Expenditures
Rahul’s Tip:
Don’t just chase high profits.
Always check if the company is actually generating cash, because without cash, growth and survival both become impossible.
Conclusion:
Free Cash Flow might be the most ignored metric in investing, but it’s also one of the most powerful.
It tells you if a company can stand on its own feet, grow sustainably, and protect your investment in tough markets.
If you found this useful, like the post, share your view in the comments, and follow for more practical investing tips!
Part 4 Learn Institutional TradingProtective Put
When to Use: To insure against downside.
Setup: Own stock + Buy put option.
Risk: Premium paid.
Reward: Stock can rise, but downside is protected.
Example: Own TCS at ₹3,000, buy 2,900 PE for ₹50.
Bull Call Spread
When to Use: Expect moderate rise.
Setup: Buy lower strike call + Sell higher strike call.
Risk: Limited.
Reward: Limited.
Example: Buy 20,000 CE @ ₹100, Sell 20,200 CE @ ₹50.
Bear Put Spread
When to Use: Expect moderate fall.
Setup: Buy higher strike put + Sell lower strike put.
Risk: Limited.
Reward: Limited.
Nifty Positioning for an Upside Reversal
Price is holding above a key horizontal demand zone, showing signs of a base formation after a sustained decline. With the anchored VWAP flattening and buyers defending the support, the setup favors a positional long toward the 25,250 region, with risk contained below 24,350. A decisive close above the recent congestion area could confirm trend resumption.
Market Rotation Strategies1. Introduction to Market Rotation
Market rotation (also called sector rotation or capital rotation) is a strategy where traders and investors shift their capital between different asset classes, sectors, or investment styles based on economic conditions, market sentiment, and performance trends.
The idea is simple: money flows like a river — it doesn’t disappear, it just changes direction. By positioning yourself where the money is flowing, you can potentially capture higher returns and reduce drawdowns.
Example: In an economic boom, technology and consumer discretionary stocks may outperform. But during a slowdown, utilities and healthcare might take the lead.
2. Why Market Rotation Works
Market rotation works because of capital flow dynamics. Institutional investors, hedge funds, pension funds, and large asset managers reallocate capital based on:
Economic Cycle – Growth, peak, contraction, and recovery phases affect which sectors lead or lag.
Interest Rates – Rising or falling rates change the attractiveness of certain assets.
Earnings Growth Expectations – Sectors with better forward earnings tend to attract inflows.
Risk Appetite – “Risk-on” phases favor aggressive sectors; “risk-off” phases favor defensive sectors.
Rotation strategies aim to front-run or follow these capital shifts.
3. Types of Market Rotation
Market rotation isn’t just about sectors. It happens across various dimensions:
A. Sector Rotation
Shifting between market sectors (e.g., tech, energy, financials, healthcare) depending on performance and macroeconomic signals.
Example Pattern in a Typical Economic Cycle:
Early Expansion: Industrials, Materials, Financials
Mid Expansion: Technology, Consumer Discretionary
Late Expansion: Energy, Basic Materials
Recession: Utilities, Healthcare, Consumer Staples
B. Style Rotation
Shifting between different investing styles such as:
Growth vs. Value
Large-cap vs. Small-cap
Dividend vs. Non-dividend stocks
Example: When interest rates rise, value stocks often outperform growth stocks.
C. Asset Class Rotation
Shifting between stocks, bonds, commodities, real estate, or even cash based on macroeconomic conditions.
Example: Moving from equities to bonds before an expected recession.
D. Geographic Rotation
Allocating funds between different countries or regions.
Example: Rotating from U.S. equities to emerging markets when global growth broadens.
4. The Economic Cycle & Market Rotation
Understanding the economic cycle is critical for timing rotations.
Four Main Phases:
Early Recovery: GDP starts growing, interest rates are low, credit expands.
Mid Cycle: Growth strong, inflation starts rising, central banks begin tightening.
Late Cycle: Growth slows, inflation high, corporate profits peak.
Recession: GDP contracts, unemployment rises, central banks cut rates.
Sector Leaders by Cycle:
Economic Phase Leading Sectors
Early Recovery Industrials, Financials, Technology
Mid Cycle Consumer Discretionary, Industrials, Tech
Late Cycle Energy, Materials, Healthcare
Recession Utilities, Consumer Staples, Healthcare
5. Tools & Indicators for Rotation Strategies
A. Relative Strength (RS) Analysis
Compares the performance of a sector/asset to a benchmark (e.g., S&P 500).
RS > 1: Outperforming
RS < 1: Underperforming
B. Moving Averages
Track momentum trends in sector ETFs or indexes.
50-day & 200-day MA crossovers can signal when to rotate.
C. MACD & RSI
Momentum oscillators can indicate when a sector is overbought/oversold.
D. Intermarket Analysis
Study correlations between:
Stocks & Bonds
Commodities & Currencies
Oil prices & Energy stocks
E. Economic Data
Key data points for rotation:
PMI (Purchasing Managers Index)
Inflation (CPI, PPI)
Interest Rate Trends
Earnings Reports
6. Step-by-Step: Building a Market Rotation Strategy
Step 1 – Define Your Universe
Choose what you’ll rotate between:
S&P 500 sectors (using ETFs like XLK for tech, XLF for financials)
Style indexes (e.g., Growth vs Value ETFs)
Asset classes (SPY, TLT, GLD, etc.)
Step 2 – Choose Your Indicators
Example:
3-month relative performance vs S&P 500
Above 50-day MA = bullish
Below 50-day MA = bearish
Step 3 – Establish Rotation Rules
Example:
Every month, buy the top 3 sectors ranked by RS.
Hold until the next review period.
Exit if RS drops below 0.9 or price closes below 200-day MA.
Step 4 – Risk Management
Max 20-30% of portfolio per sector
Stop-loss of 8-10% per position
Cash position allowed when no sector meets criteria
Step 5 – Backtest
Use historical data for at least 10 years.
Compare performance vs buy-and-hold S&P 500.
7. Example Rotation Strategy
Universe: 9 SPDR Sector ETFs
Indicator: 3-month price performance
Rules:
Each month, rank all sectors by 3-month returns.
Buy the top 3 equally weighted.
Hold for 1 month, then rebalance.
Exit if price drops below 200-day MA.
Result (historical):
Outperforms S&P 500 in trending markets.
Avoids big drawdowns in recessions.
8. Advanced Rotation Approaches
A. Factor Rotation
Rotate based on factors like:
Momentum
Low Volatility
Quality
Value
B. Tactical Asset Allocation (TAA)
Mix market rotation with risk-on/risk-off models.
Example:
Risk-on: Equities + Commodities
Risk-off: Bonds + Cash
C. Quantitative Rotation
Use algorithms to dynamically shift assets based on multi-factor models (momentum + macro + volatility).
D. Seasonal Rotation
Exploit seasonal trends.
Example: Energy stocks in winter, retail stocks in holiday season.
9. Risk Management in Market Rotation
Even with a rotation strategy:
Correlations can rise in market crashes (everything falls together).
Overtrading can eat into returns due to costs.
False signals can lead to whipsaws.
Mitigation:
Use confirmation from multiple indicators.
Diversify across at least 3 positions.
Keep cash buffer during high uncertainty.
10. Common Mistakes in Rotation Strategies
Chasing performance – Entering too late after a sector has already peaked.
Ignoring transaction costs – Frequent rebalancing reduces net gains.
Overfitting backtests – Strategy works historically but fails in real time.
Neglecting macro trends – Technicals alone may miss big shifts.
Conclusion
Market rotation strategies are about positioning capital where it has the highest probability of growth while avoiding weak areas.
Done right, rotation:
Improves returns
Reduces volatility
Aligns with economic and market cycles
But it requires discipline, data, and adaptability.
The market is dynamic — rotation strategies must evolve with it.
Nifty 50 spot 24631.30 by Daily Chart view - Weekly updateNifty 50 spot 24631.30 by Daily Chart view - Weekly update
- Support Zone 23930 to 24200 for Nifty Index
- Resistance Zone 24450 to 24700 for Nifty Index
- Breakout from above one of the Tiny Falling Resistance Trendline seems well sustained
- Rising Support Channel seems back in supportive role and maintained by current status of Nifty Chart setup
- Nifty Index thou formed a Bearish Rounding Top, seems attempting to cross above Resistance Zone over past week, indicates hope for upside reversal
14 Aug 2025 - Change of stance on Nifty at 24500 levelsNifty Stance Bullish 🐂
Nifty changed its stance from bearish to bullish on 12th August, Tuesday. If you are following me on Trading view, you would have got the email once this EMA crossover happened. Interestingly, Nifty made this reversal after a decent trend of 473 points.
Even though the reversal came, Nifty is still unable to break out from the resistance level of 24620. We are still hovering around 40 points away from the last crossover signal at 24580.
US markets, which are hitting a new high every day, compare this to our markets, which are tired and lacking momentum. We might need fresh triggers to escape from these levels and the US-India trade deal could be a big reason.
A possible trigger could be either a monetary policy relaxation (reduction of repo rates) or a fiscal policy relaxation (decrease in taxes) to boost production/consumption. We cannot reduce our repo rates, as the current 5.5% rate is only 1% higher than the US Fed rate of 4.5%. If we reduce our repo further, our debt and money market will crash, which points us to the only option of a tax cut.
How I Shortlist Fundamentally Strong Stocks in Just 10 Minutes!Hello Traders!
Finding fundamentally strong stocks doesn’t have to be a week-long research project.
With the right process, you can filter out weak companies and shortlist potential winners in just 10 minutes.
Here’s exactly how I do it.
Step 1: Check Revenue & Profit Growth
I look at the last 5 years’ data to see if both sales and profits are growing steadily.
A consistent upward trend means the company has a stable business model and strong demand for its products.
Step 2: Look at Debt Levels
A fundamentally strong company should have low or zero debt.
Too much debt can eat into profits and create risk during market slowdowns.
Step 3: Review Free Cash Flow
I check if the company is actually generating cash after expenses.
Positive free cash flow shows the business is self-sustainable and not dependent on constant borrowing.
Step 4: Check Return on Equity (ROE)
An ROE above 15% usually means management is using shareholders’ money efficiently.
It’s a sign of strong leadership and good capital allocation.
Step 5: See Valuation Ratios
I compare the P/E and P/B ratios with industry averages.
A great company bought at an overvalued price can still give poor returns, so valuation matters.
Rahul’s Tip:
Don’t overcomplicate the process.
Focus on these 5 points and you’ll quickly filter out the junk, leaving you with stocks worth deeper research.
Conclusion:
Stock analysis doesn’t have to be overwhelming.
With a structured checklist, you can shortlist fundamentally strong companies in minutes — and spend the rest of your time tracking their performance.
If this process helped you, like the post, share your thoughts in the comments, and follow for more simple investing strategies!
What are they waiting for "Market participants are awaiting clear news developments to determine the market's direction.
"The market is currently trading within a range, bounded by 24800 at the high end and 24400 at the low end. Given its position in the middle of this range, key market levels are offering clear targets aligned with the market's direction."
NIFTY- Intraday Levels - 18th August 2025If NIFTY sustain above 24668/87/95 above this bullish then 24709/23 above this more bullish then 24745/54 then 24797 to 24813/22 or 24840 then wait
If NIFTY sustain below 24602 below this bearish then24563/45/35 below this more bearish then last hope 24486/76/67 then or 24414 to 24371 then wait
Consider some buffer points in above levels.
Please do your due diligence before trading or investment.
**Disclaimer -
I am not a SEBI registered analyst or advisor. I does not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any information, conversation, or content. Stock trading is inherently risky and the users agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that they make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of these communications should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. The users understands and acknowledges that there is a very high risk involved in trading securities. By using this information, the user agrees that use of this information is entirely at their own risk.
Thank you.
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 14th August 2025NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 24800 – 24850 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 25000 – 25050 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 24500 – 24450 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 24300 – 24250 range.
NIFTY Eyes Long on 25133- Bullish Breakout WatchTimeframe: 2-hour (H2)
Entry Zone: Around current breakout level of 24,619
Target: 25,133 – aligns with a prior reaction high and measured move projection from recent swing range.
Stop-Loss: 24,542 – just below the most recent higher low, protecting the setup if momentum fails.
Reasoning:
Price has been forming higher lows since August 7, indicating gradual strength building.
Moving averages have turned upward, confirming short-term trend change.
Previous sell-side liquidity zones have been cleared, reducing overhead resistance until the 25,133 area.
Volume profile shows a gap zone between 24,650 and 25,100, often filled quickly in trending conditions.
Risk Management:
This is a swing-style setup within an ongoing uptrend on the lower timeframe but still needs confirmation from follow-through buying.
Disclaimer:
This chart is for educational discussion only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to trade. Markets carry risk, and decisions should be based on your own analysis and risk tolerance.
Nifty Intraday Analysis, Key Levels & Trade Plan for 14 Aug 2025Good Morning Traders,
Yesterday, Nifty maintained a bullish tone throughout the session, respecting the upward support trendline and closing near the higher levels. Price action stayed above key psychological support zones, hinting at buying interest on dips. Resistance near the 24,660 area acted as a hurdle, and today’s session will decide whether bulls can take control for higher targets or sellers will step in at resistance.
Important Levels for Nifty (15-Minutes Timeframe):
Intraday Support Zone: 24,583 – 24,536
Intraday Resistance Zone: 24,659 – 24,735
Buy Setup:
Buy above 24,659 if the level sustains for at least 15 minutes .
Targets: 24,735 / 24,794
Stop Loss: 24,612
Sell Setup:
Sell below 24,583 if the level sustains for at least 15 minutes .
Targets: 24,536 / 24,485
Stop Loss: 24,650
Trend Bias: Neutral-to-bullish above 200 EMA; bearish bias if price sustains below it .
Note: Levels are for reference. When a trade setup forms, I will update it in the live market, stay tuned .
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before trading .
Nifty Trading Strategy for 14th august 2025📊 NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 15 MIN STRATEGY
🟢 BUY SETUP:
Entry Trigger: Buy above the high of the 15-min candle close above 24,703
🎯 Targets:
1️⃣ 24,735
2️⃣ 24,765
3️⃣ 24,795
🛡 Stop Loss: Below the 15-min candle low
🔴 SELL SETUP:
Entry Trigger: Sell below the low of the 15-min candle close below 24,520
🎯 Targets:
1️⃣ 24,485
2️⃣ 24,455
3️⃣ 24,415
🛡 Stop Loss: Above the 15-min candle high
⚠ Disclaimer:
📌 I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
📌 This information is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice.
📌 Please consult your financial advisor before making trading decisions.