NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 21.07.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 21.07.2025
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
If the range is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
INDIA50CFD trade ideas
NIFTY Analysis – 21 july 2025 ,morning update at 9 amNIFTY Price Levels:
Expected Opening:-- Near 24985 (flat)
Upside Watch: May test 25035
Downside Trigger: If Nifty fails to hold 24985, potential fall towards:
24896 (Support 1)
24807 (Support 2)
nifty support -24897, 24807, 24722
Resistance -25035, 25122, 25219
Wait for Pattern Confirmation:
Bottleneck patterns often result in fakeouts, so avoid premature entries.
Use BOD or SOR Strategy
BOD (Buy on Dip): Only if strong bounce from support with volume.
SOR (Sell on Rise): If price fails to sustain above resistance zones.
Scalping Opportunity:
Due to bottleneck formation, expect a narrow range
Opening near 24985, range-bound likely due to bottleneck.
Upside capped near 25035 unless breakout on volume.
Watch 24896 and 24807 for bounce or breakdown.
Prefer scalping or small quantity BOD/SOR trades post 9:30 AM
Nifty is opening flat near 24985 (inside this range).
Bearish Bottleneck pattern means price is getting compressed (low volatility).
Both buyers and sellers are active inside this tight band but no clear breakout yet.
Scalping is best strategy in sideways zones, with small targets and stop-loss.
Nifty call for 21/07/25Nifty may open on slight negative note with 30 points loss around 24915 as per SGX NIFTY which is short term support level to nifty. If nifty breaks and closed below 24915 on daily charts it will come down upto 24700 levels.nifty may bounce back from 24900 levels due to RELIANCE INDUSTRIES announced ever great numbers on friday after market hours so I am expecting positive momentum in this stock which is helpful to nifty to move upside. Investors can add this stock to their portfolios at support levels.
Support levels : 24910,24822
Resistance levels : 25040,25150
Disclimer : I AM NOT A SEBI RESEARCH ANALYST OR FINANCIAL ADVISOR, these recommendations are only for education purpose, not for trading and investment purpose please take an advise from your financial advisor before investing on my recommendations.
🙏 : If you liked my content please suggest to your friends follow my trading channel. Your likes and comments provide boosting to me to update more financial information.
Thanking you
NIFTY Levels for TodayHere are the today's NIFTY Levels for intraday (in the image below). Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both.
Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level.
Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose.
Your likes /boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.
NIFTY- Intraday Levels - 21st July 2025Porbebely market will make a bottom today or tomorrow? however if it managed to break/sustain/day closing price is below our strong support then we may see more dowside.
If NIFTY sustain above 24972 to 24982 above this bullish then 25028 to 25050 above this more bullish then 25084 to 25094 then 25141 to 25150 then 25184 to 25204 then wait.
If NIFTY sustain below 24953 to 24945 below this bearish then around 24914 to 24904 or 24877 below this more bearish then 24893 to 24973 or 24778 to 24738 strong support then wait
Consider some buffer points in above levels.
Please do your due diligence before trading or investment.
**Disclaimer -
I am not a SEBI registered analyst or advisor. I does not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any information, conversation, or content. Stock trading is inherently risky and the users agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that they make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of these communications should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. The users understands and acknowledges that there is a very high risk involved in trading securities. By using this information, the user agrees that use of this information is entirely at their own risk.
Thank you.
Nifty Trading Strategy for 21st July 2025📊 NIFTY 50 – INTRADAY TRADING STRATEGY (15-MINUTE CANDLE BREAKOUT)
(Easy to understand – Perfect for beginners)
🟢 BUY TRADE – Plan to Go LONG (Expecting Price to Go Up)
🕒 Step 1:
Wait and watch a 15-minute candle during market hours (between 9:15 AM – 3:30 PM IST).
📈 Buy only if a 15-minute candle CLOSES above ₹25,065.
This means the candle must complete and finish above that level, not just cross it temporarily.
🎯 Target Levels After Buy Entry:
✅ Target 1: ₹25,098
✅ Target 2: ₹25,131
✅ Target 3: ₹25,171
🛡️ Suggested Stop Loss: ₹25,035 (or below the previous swing low)
🔴 SELL TRADE – Plan to Go SHORT (Expecting Price to Fall)
🕒 Step 2:
Similarly, watch the 15-minute candle closely.
📉 Sell only if a 15-minute candle CLOSES below ₹24,905.
Wait for the candle to complete and close below this level to confirm weakness.
🎯 Target Levels After Sell Entry:
✅ Target 1: ₹24,870
✅ Target 2: ₹24,840
✅ Target 3: ₹24,810
🛡️ Suggested Stop Loss: ₹24,935 (or above the recent resistance)
🧠 Helpful Tips for Beginners:
🔍 What is a 15-Min Candle Close?
A candle that opens and completes over a 15-minute duration.
You must wait for the full 15 mins to finish before deciding — this avoids false breakouts.
⚠️ Don’t Jump Early:
Never buy or sell while the candle is still forming. Wait for the close.
📊 Use TradingView for charting.
💼 Lot Size Tip:
Trade only 1 lot or a small quantity if you're a beginner.
Keep your risk under 1–2% of your capital.
📅 Time Window Tip:
Use this strategy between 9:30 AM and 2:30 PM — avoid trades too close to market close.
📜 DISCLAIMER (Please Read Carefully):
⚠️ This content is for educational purposes only.
💡 I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
📉 Trading and investing involve risk. Do your own research before making decisions.
💬 Consult with a certified financial advisor before entering the market.
You are fully responsible for your own trades and profits/losses.
NIFTY VIEW FOR 21-07-2025Dear Learner,
Today session bearishness has been shown, so sellers are dominating, so overall market can be seen bearish side
Bearish -> After OPEN, may test to 24785 and 24709
Bullish -> If OPEN above 25050, which is less in chance, may test to 25147 and 25232.
Thank You, Rest will be after OPENING, Have a profitable day !
Disclaimer: This is not for BUY or SELL recommendation, do your own analysis or consult your financial adviser before entering into the trade, this is only my view for educational purpose.
NIFTY should REVERSE from here!!Following our analysis, we can expect NIFTY to reverse from here and form a potential good green candle from here but for POSITIONAL one can wait for NIFTY to show signs of REVERSAL around this demand zone. Hence wait for confirmation as any sustainment below the given zone could change the overall trend so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 21 Jul 2025NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 21 Jul 2025
Bullish-Above 25015
Invalid-Below 24965
T- 25150
Bearish-Below 24910
Invalid-Above 24960
T- 24640
NIFTY has closed on a slight bearish note with 0.72% cut last week. Index has reached 50 EMA in daily TF which is placed near 24900. A bounce from EMA can be expected. However below 24900 index may dive in the next week also. On a flat opening above 25015 a bullish move towards 25150 can be expected. Intraday resistance is placed at the 25150 as per half bat pattern. On a flat opening below 24910 index will test 24640. Plan trades on 15 Min candle close.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Nifty - Weekly Review July 21 to July 25Price had a nice fall on Friday morning and in afternoon price consolidated within the range of 24900 to 25000. Bulls will gain strength above 25000.
Buy above 25020 with the stop loss of 24970 for the targets 25060, 25120, 25180, 25220 and 25300.
Sell below 24880 with the stop loss of 24930 for the targets 24840, 24780, 24720, 24660 and 24600.
Always do your own analysis before taking any trade.
Regression channel breakout - Short term Shift1. Price is out of regression channel — signaling short-term weakness.
2. POC around 24,750 — That is most traded level.
Option Chain Data:
Call writing at 25,300 & 25,500 — clear resistance
But
Yesterday we got positive earnings of ICICI & HDFC Bank.
There is a expectation of pullback as long as nifty is above 24450, long term view is positive
Nifty tomorrow gap up opening then dip and upside in 2nd halfHow My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone: D13% -D15% is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone : SL 23% and SL 25% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Rise of Algorithmic & Momentum-Based Strategy Innovation🧠 Introduction
The world of trading has changed drastically in recent years. Gone are the days when investors made decisions based on gut feeling, tips from friends, or simply following news headlines. Today, technology and data dominate the markets. A big part of this transformation is due to two fast-evolving areas of strategy:
Algorithmic Trading (Algo Trading)
Momentum-Based Trading Strategies
Together, these innovations are not just making trading faster—they're making it smarter, more scalable, and, in some cases, more profitable. Let’s explore this rise of strategy-driven trading in simple, relatable terms.
⚙️ What Is Algorithmic Trading?
Algorithmic trading (or "algo trading") refers to using pre-programmed computer code to buy and sell stocks or other financial assets. These programs follow specific sets of rules and conditions like:
Price movements
Volume changes
Timing of the trade
Technical indicators
News sentiment (in advanced models)
Instead of a human watching charts all day, the algorithm scans multiple assets simultaneously and executes trades at lightning speed when conditions are met.
🔍 Why Is It Popular?
Speed: Algos react in milliseconds.
Accuracy: Reduces human errors.
Discipline: Emotions like fear or greed don’t interfere.
Scalability: Can track hundreds of instruments at once.
⚡ What Is Momentum-Based Trading?
Momentum trading is based on a simple principle:
"What is going up will likely keep going up (at least for a while), and what is going down will keep going down."
Momentum traders try to ride these price trends. They don’t care much about why something is moving—they care that it is moving.
A momentum-based strategy focuses on:
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Moving Averages
Breakouts above previous highs
Volume surges
In today’s digital world, most momentum strategies are now executed through algorithms, bringing us to the heart of this innovation wave.
💡 Why Is Strategy Innovation Booming in 2025?
1. Availability of Real-Time Data
In the past, getting real-time stock prices or volume data was expensive or difficult. Today, thanks to modern brokers and APIs, anyone can access tick-by-tick data in real time. This has democratized trading innovation.
2. Cloud Computing & Machine Learning
Cloud platforms like AWS, GCP, and Azure now allow even small traders to run complex models. Add machine learning to the mix, and you can build:
Predictive price models
Auto-optimizing strategies
Real-time anomaly detectors
This tech stack is fueling rapid innovation in custom algos and momentum-based systems.
3. Rise of API Brokers
Brokers like Zerodha (via Kite Connect), Upstox, and Dhan offer APIs that allow traders to:
Place trades programmatically
Access order books
Monitor positions via code
This has opened the doors for retail coders and quant enthusiasts to create strategies from their bedrooms—something only institutions could do a decade ago.
4. Market Volatility & Liquidity
Modern markets, especially post-COVID and now with geopolitical unrest, are fast-moving and noisy. Traditional long-term investing sometimes feels too slow. This has created fertile ground for short-term strategies like intraday momentum and algo scalping.
🧬 Types of Momentum-Based Algo Strategies Gaining Popularity
1. Breakout Algos
Entry: When price breaks above a resistance level or 52-week high.
Exit: After achieving target return or on breakdown.
2. Mean Reversion Momentum
Belief: Stocks that over-extend eventually revert back to mean.
Algo buys on dips and sells on peaks, based on Bollinger Bands or Moving Average deviations.
3. Relative Momentum Rotation
Focus: Switch between sectors/stocks showing strongest momentum.
Example: If Auto sector shows higher returns than Pharma over 4 weeks, the algo reallocates capital into Auto.
4. High-Frequency Momentum
Based on volume spikes, price speed, and Level-2 data.
Needs co-location or ultra-low latency to profit from small tick movements.
📊 Real-World Examples (2025 Trends)
Nifty and Bank Nifty Momentum Bots
Retail algo traders now use trend-following strategies on Nifty weekly options, taking intraday calls when the index crosses VWAP + 2%.
SME IPO Listing Day Momentum Plays
Some traders have built algos that scan listing price action and jump in when a stock breaks opening highs with volume.
AI-Augmented Algos
AI-powered bots use NLP (Natural Language Processing) to analyze earnings calls, company announcements, and even tweets. If sentiment is strongly positive, they take long positions.
🧠 Benefits of These Innovations
✅ For Retail Traders:
Better access to tools once exclusive to hedge funds.
Ability to automate their edge.
Save time watching screens all day.
✅ For Institutions:
Lower execution costs.
Scalable strategies across global markets.
Statistical models reduce dependence on human traders.
🧱 Challenges and Limitations
❌ Overfitting in Backtests
Just because a strategy worked in the past doesn't guarantee future success. Many algos “look perfect” in backtests but fail in live trading.
❌ API Latency and Downtime
Retail infrastructure is not as reliable as institutional setups. Brokers may experience order delays or API failures.
❌ Regulation Risk
SEBI and global regulators are watching algo trading closely. Flash crashes or manipulative algos can bring scrutiny and even bans.
❌ Emotional Disengagement
Too much automation can make traders disconnected from market context. Sometimes, manual intervention is needed.
🧭 What’s the Future of These Strategies?
🔮 1. AI + Algo = Self-Learning Bots
The next wave of bots may not follow fixed rules. They may adapt automatically by learning from market behavior—almost like an evolving trader.
🔮 2. Regulation Around Algo Trading
Expect more regulation in 2025–2026 to ensure fairness and stability. SEBI may require audits or sandbox testing before public deployment.
🔮 3. Community-Based Innovation
Open-source algo trading platforms (like Blueshift, QuantConnect, etc.) are becoming collaborative hubs where traders share and upgrade each other's strategies.
🔄 How Can a Retail Trader Start?
✅ Step 1: Learn Python or Use No-Code Platforms
Python is the language of algo trading. If you can’t code, use platforms like AlgoTest, Tradetron, or Streak.
✅ Step 2: Start Small
Begin with paper trading or small capital. Don’t go all-in until you have confidence and historical data.
✅ Step 3: Choose a Clean Strategy
Start with something simple—like RSI + Moving Average crossover, and backtest on Nifty.
✅ Step 4: Track Metrics
Measure win ratio, drawdown, average profit per trade. Good algo traders analyze more than they trade.
✍️ Final Words
The rise of algorithmic and momentum-based strategy innovation is reshaping India’s trading landscape. It’s making the game smarter, faster, and more competitive. But like every tool, it depends on how you use it. These strategies aren’t magic bullets—they're systems that require patience, research, and constant optimization.
For traders willing to invest in knowledge and tools, the opportunities are exciting. For those hoping to “copy-paste” quick riches, the market may prove costly.
In 2025 and beyond, the best traders may not be those with the sharpest eyes—but those with the smartest code.
Nifty 1D Timeframe✅ Current Market Status:
Closing Price: ₹24,972.50
Change: –95.20 points
Percentage Change: –0.38%
Day’s Range: ₹24,905.60 – ₹25,095.10
52-Week Range: ₹19,638.30 – ₹25,194.60
🔍 Key Technical Levels:
📌 Support Zones:
Support 1: ₹24,900 – Intraday low and key psychological level
Support 2: ₹24,750 – Previous breakout zone
Support 3: ₹24,500 – Short-term trendline base
📌 Resistance Zones:
Resistance 1: ₹25,100 – Day’s high and minor barrier
Resistance 2: ₹25,200 – All-time high
Resistance 3: ₹25,500 – Next potential rally target if breakout succeeds
🕯️ Candlestick Pattern:
Recent Candle: Bearish candle after range-bound session
Price Action: Failed to sustain above ₹25,100
Implication: Weakness around highs, possible pullback toward support
📊 Market Structure Summary:
Nifty formed a double top near ₹25,200, indicating exhaustion
Currently testing ₹24,900 – if broken, next support is ₹24,750
A breakout will only be valid above ₹25,200 with strong volume
🧠 Institutional Behavior:
Likely profit booking near highs
No major signs of heavy accumulation
May re-enter above ₹25,200 or below ₹24,500 for value buying
🔚 Summary:
🔴 Short-Term Bias: Slightly Bearish
🟡 Watch Levels: ₹24,900 (support) and ₹25,200 (resistance)
✅ Buyers: Wait for breakout above ₹25,200
⚠️ Sellers: Watch for breakdown below ₹24,900 or ₹24,750
NIFTY Technical Breakdown – Rising Wedge Pattern🔻 NIFTY Technical Breakdown – Rising Wedge Pattern
The Nifty 50 has broken down from a rising wedge pattern on the daily timeframe, a bearish reversal formation that often signals distribution at the top.
📉 Key Observations:
Rising wedge breakdown after extended rally
RSI bearish divergence confirming weakness
MACD crossover turning negative
Volume gradually decreasing during the rise, indicating exhaustion
ADX flattening, showing weakening trend strength
📌 Support Levels to Watch:
23,783 – Key swing support
22,798 – Previous breakout zone
📌 Sectoral Rotation:
Defensive sectors like Pharma & FMCG are gaining strength
FII selling pressure, rising DXY, and global uncertainty continue to weigh on sentiment
⚠️ Outlook:
Caution warranted in the short term. Watch for sustained close below 24,900 for further downside confirmation. Macro and global cues to play a key role ahead.
💬 What’s your view on Nifty's near-term direction?
#Nifty50 #TechnicalAnalysis #RisingWedge #MarketOutlook #TradingView #ChartStudy #IndiaMarkets #BearishSetup #NiftyBreakdown #Puneet0130
Learn Institutional Trading Part-3🔍 What You'll Learn:
✅ Market Structure Mastery
Understand how price moves through different phases — accumulation, manipulation, expansion, and distribution — and how institutions position themselves at each level.
✅ Order Flow & Liquidity Concepts
Institutions focus on liquidity. Learn how they seek out stop-losses and resting orders to fill large positions without moving the market too much.
✅ Smart Money Concepts
Identify where "smart money" (institutional money) is entering and exiting the market using tools like:
Fair Value Gaps (FVG)
Order Blocks
Breaker Blocks
Liquidity Pools
Inducement and Mitigation zones
✅ Volume & Open Interest Analysis
Discover how volume analysis and options open interest reveal institutional footprints in futures and options markets.
✅ Institutional Risk Management
Learn how institutions manage massive portfolios with strict risk control, position sizing, and hedging techniques.
✅ High Probability Trade Setups
Master trade setups based on institutional logic — including trap setups, liquidity grabs, and imbalance trades — with better reward-to-risk ratios.
🧠 Why Learn Institutional Trading?
Retail traders often fall prey to emotional trading and market manipulation. Institutional traders, however, rely on logic, data, and strategy. By learning institutional trading:
You'll stop chasing price and start anticipating moves.
You'll learn to trade with the big players, not against them.
You'll gain confidence by using smart money principles instead of random indicators.
🚀 Who Should Learn This?
Day traders looking to level up
Swing traders aiming for high precision
Option traders focusing on large-scale setups
Anyone who wants to understand how real money moves the market
📈 Ready to Ride the Big Moves?
“Learn Institutional Trading” is your pathway to mastering the strategies that drive the global markets. Say goodbye to confusion and emotional trades — and start thinking like a professional.
True Close Theory in Action: Institutional Levels In modern trading, price action alone isn’t enough. What separates professional and institutional traders from the rest is how they interpret where price closes — not just where it goes.
This concept is captured in what we call the True Close Theory — the belief that:
"The candle’s close reveals the market’s true intent — not the wick, not the high, and not the drama."
Here’s a live market example to show how you can apply True Close Theory using 1-hour closes, with confirmation and entries from 15-minute or 5-minute charts.
📊 Chart Breakdown
Let’s break this down:
🟨 Yellow Zones: Manually marked support and resistance zones, drawn based on past price reactions, where institutional activity is likely.
➡️ White Arrows: Represent the 1-Hour True Close for the Day — highlighting how price reacted around those institutional zones on a daily basis.
🔵 Blue Downtrend Line: Visual structure of lower highs confirming a bearish environment until a new character shift happens.
🧠 The Power of 1-Hour True Close
Instead of chasing moves or relying on breakout wicks, the True Close method waits for:
The daily close of the 1-hour candle.
A close above or below an important level or zone.
If it fails to close above resistance or below support, it signals institutional rejection.
This daily closing behavior often sets the tone for the next session.
🧷 Real Market Behavior from the Chart
🔽 Shorts from Supply Rejection
Price enters the upper yellow resistance zone.
Each day, the 1-hour close fails to stay above — shown by white arrows closing back inside or below.
This indicates strong institutional selling, not a breakout.
👉 Lower timeframe entry (15m/5m): Once the daily close rejects, traders drop to the lower TFs to find pullback entries with:
VWAP/EMA rejection
Reversal patterns
Liquidity sweep fake-outs
📉 Consolidation to Breakdown
Mid-chart shows several days of tight range inside a minor structure.
Despite upward attempts, the true closes show no bullish follow-through — just sideways absorption.
Eventually, price breaks down from support with a daily 1-hour close outside the yellow box.
👉 Again, entries can be managed on LTF pullbacks to the breakdown zone.
🔽 Final Leg to Demand
Price sells off sharply toward the bottom yellow support zone.
Even after a minor bounce, the daily close doesn’t show strength — again highlighted by weak closes with no bullish engulfing or structure reclaim.
🔁 How to Use This in Your Trading
✅ Strategy Flow:
Mark Institutional Zones (support/resistance from HTF like 1H/4H).
Wait for 1-Hour Daily Close (ideally around session end like NY close).
Check if the candle:
Rejected the zone (closed inside)
Broke clean (closed above/below with body)
Drop to 15m or 5m chart the next day/session:
Look for re-tests, patterns, structure shifts.
Enter with tight stops, targeting the next zone.
🔚 Final Thoughts
This chart is a live example of how True Close Theory combined with institutional S/R zones gives you a powerful advantage:
You’re not guessing.
You’re not chasing wicks.
You’re aligning with how smart money actually operates — by watching the close and letting the market reveal its bias.
Happy Trading !!!..
A Bounce in Nifty but... In the market, it doesn’t work like — “The market has fallen enough, so now it should go up.” Even worse is putting your money into trades just because you feel that way.
Markets fall because of fear, and overcoming fear takes time. In fact, fear often grows stronger before it fades.
That’s exactly what is happening right now.
So don’t trade with the mindset — “The market has dropped a lot, it should rise now.”
Use this time to identify setups that have already broken out and are now giving a retest or have completed one.
For now, just build your watchlist. Trade only when you see stopping volume or a pivot low forming.
Remember — Markets are driven by people. And people trade based on either Fear or Greed. Their fear has no bottom, and greed has no top.
Be patient. I’m sure you will get much better opportunities soon.
That said, a bounce can still be expected because the heaviest sector from the last rally — Defence — is now showing mean reversion.
Talking about #Nifty,
On Friday, it formed a Reversion Candle. Interestingly, seller volume was 40 million lower than Thursday’s candle.
A big candle with such low volume usually signals accumulation — which means smart money has started buying.
Since it’s earnings season, our focus will remain on the Earnings Pivot strategy.
NSE:NIFTY levels:
- Support - 24920. Good if consolidate here for 1-2 days.
- Resistance: 25150 — above this, strong short covering can push it to 25400
But I doubt if this bounce will be buyable yet because next week is monthly expiry. Bears may close their shorts, so the market might just move up to grab short-side liquidity around 25333.
However, if we get a monthly close above 25333, that will be a strong bullish sign.
NSE:BANKNIFTY levels:
- Support: 55950
- Resistance: 56750
Sector-wise, NSE:CNXPHARMA and NSE:CNXFINANCE are showing traction.
Still, I strongly suggest sticking to stocks with Earnings Pivot setups.
In this market, that’s the safest strategy.
My this week's trades:
NSE:IXIGO - BOOKED ON UPPER-CIRCUIT
NSE:EIEL - 12% BOOKED
NSE:GARUDA - 19.5% BOOKED
NSE:DENTA - 18% BOOKED
NSE:CUPID - - 23% AND HOLDING
NSE:SPORTKING - 16% AND HOLDING
That’s all for now.
Take care.
Have a profitable week ahead.
Investment Trading Setup - Growth & Wealth✅ Investment Trading Setup – “GARP + RSI” Model
🧠 Step 1: Fundamental Filter (GARP - Growth at Reasonable Price):-
Use screeners or research reports to filter stocks with:
• Revenue Growth: > 12% CAGR (3–5 yrs)
• PAT Growth: > 15% CAGR (3–5 yrs)
• ROCE: > 15%
• Debt/Equity: < 0.5 (or < 1 for capital-intensive sectors)
• PEG Ratio: < 1.5 (Growth at a Reasonable Price)
• Institutional Holding: Rising trend over last 2–3 quarters
✅ Example sectors: Specialty Chemicals, Private Banks, IT Product, Pharma APIs, Auto Ancillaries.
I strongly advise you all to go for most mid cap and some small cap segments as major growth is expected from this 2 verticals.
📈 Step 2: Technical Entry (Monthly + Weekly RSI Confirmation)
Once fundamentals are strong, check charts:
On Monthly chart:
• RSI(14) > 60 or crossing above 60
• Price breaking out of multi-month resistance or cup & handle/base
On Weekly chart:
• RSI(14) > 55 and trending higher
• Volume > 20-week average during breakout week
🔁 Optional Add-On: Use 200 DMA and 50 DMA Golden Cross for extra confirmation.
🎯 Entry & Risk Management
• Buy Zone: After breakout on weekly chart with confirmation of RSI
• Stop Loss: Below recent swing low (weekly or monthly)
• Pyramid/Add: On every 15–20% dip if fundamentals remain intact
🏁 Exit Rules
• Major fundamental deterioration (falling ROCE, rising debt)
• Technical breakdown below 200 DMA with heavy volume
• Stock becomes significantly overvalued (e.g. P/E > 3x sector average + RSI > 80)
🧾 Example Stocks That May Fit This Model (as of mid-2025)
✅ Mid Cap Growth Stocks (₹10,000 Cr to ₹50,000 Cr Market Cap)
Suprajit EngineeringAuto AncillariesHigh ROCE, consistent profit growth, global exportsKPI Green EnergyRenewable EnergyStrong revenue CAGR, solar EPC + IPP modelKEI IndustriesCables/WiresScalable, infra theme, strong profit marginsSona BLW PrecisionEV & Auto TechEV-ready, global OEM exposureJ.B. ChemicalsPharmaConsistent earnings, margin expansion, clean balance sheetNarayana HrudayalayaHospitals/HealthcareAsset-light model, expanding RoCE, high promoter skinSansera EngineeringAuto EngineeringDiversified clientele, improving marginsPolycab IndiaWires & CablesStrong infra push, leader in B2C wire segmentTriveni TurbineEngineering/Clean TechHigh margin niche business, export growtheMudhra Ltd.IT/Digital SignatureFast growth, unique niche (cybersecurity theme)
🚀 Small Cap Growth Stocks (< ₹10,000 Cr Market Cap)
Ksolves IndiaIT Services/NicheDebt-free, high RoE, software exportsNGL Fine ChemPharma APIsHigh margins, good growth visibilityGensol EngineeringSolar EPCEV + Solar + Infra theme, fast-growingShivalik BimetalSpecialty AlloysHigh-tech materials, strong RoEHLE GlascoatSpecialty Chem/EquipLeader in glass-lined equipment, capex doneIndia PesticidesAgrochemClean books, exports-led growthGNA AxlesAuto ComponentsPickup in CV/Tractor cycle, strong balance sheetLa Opala RGConsumer DurablesHigh margins, niche player in opalwareDynacons SystemsIT Infra ServicesNiche contracts, high profitabilityZen TechnologiesDefence TechDefence theme, order book visibility
📊 Suggested Metrics You Can Track:
• Revenue CAGR (3Y): >15%
• PAT CAGR (3Y): >20%
• ROCE: >18%
• D/E Ratio: <0.5
• Promoter Holding: >50% (or rising trend)
• Cash Flows: Positive from operations
Note - I have provided you all with my best 4 setups used by big firm and I can assure you they are working for us for the past 18 years.
Check my post in the profile -
Setup provided were:-
Positional Trading Setup
Swing Trading Setup
Stock Options Buying Setup
And Investment Trading Setup above.
I wish you all the best and am sure and confident that you will reflect and ponder on how simple techniques work.
At Last, KISS - Keep it Simple and Systematic.
Happy Trading!
Faraaz T
Sr. Ex. Financial and Equity Analyst
Stockholm Securities
Option Selling Strategies for Monthly Income📘 What is Option Selling?
In options trading, you have two parties:
Option Buyer – Pays premium to buy the right (but not obligation) to buy/sell a stock or index
Option Seller (Writer) – Receives that premium, but takes on the obligation to deliver, if the buyer exercises
📌 So, in option selling:
You earn premium upfront
Your profit comes if the option expires worthless
Time is your friend (theta decay helps you)
The odds of success are higher, but risk is theoretically unlimited (if not managed well)
🔧 Core Concepts You Must Know Before Selling Options
✅ 1. Time Decay (Theta)
Option prices fall as expiry nears (especially if OTM)
Sellers benefit because buyers lose value daily
✅ 2. Implied Volatility (IV)
Higher IV = Higher Premiums = Better for sellers
Sell when IV is high, buy when IV is low
✅ 3. Margin Requirement
You need sufficient funds (or collateral) to sell options
Brokers block margin depending on your strategy
✅ 4. Strike Price Selection
Selling options far away from current price reduces risk
Choose strikes based on support/resistance or option chain OI
📦 Top 4 Option Selling Strategies for Monthly Income
Let’s look at the most trusted, beginner-to-pro level strategies used for monthly income.
🔹 1. Covered Call – Best for Stock Investors
You own a stock and you sell a Call Option against it.
Generates income from stocks you already hold
You earn premium every month
If stock stays below strike → you keep stock + premium
If stock crosses strike → your stock may get sold (with profit)
Example:
You hold 1 lot of TCS (300 shares) at ₹3,600
Sell 3700CE for ₹40 premium
If TCS stays below ₹3700, you keep ₹12,000 premium (₹40 × 300)
✅ Low risk
✅ Good for long-term investors
🚫 Limited upside on stock
🔹 2. Cash-Secured Put (CSP) – Get Paid to Buy Stocks
You sell a Put Option for a stock you’re willing to buy at a lower price.
You collect premium
If stock falls below strike → You must buy it
You effectively get stock at discount
Example:
Sell 3600PE in TCS and collect ₹50 premium
If TCS closes above ₹3600, you keep the ₹15,000 premium
If TCS drops below ₹3600, you get to buy it—but at an effective price of ₹3550
✅ Ideal for long-term investors
✅ Safer than naked put selling
🚫 Requires full cash or margin
🔹 3. Short Strangle – Good for Range-Bound Market
You sell one Out-of-the-Money Call and one OTM Put.
Profit if the stock/index remains in a range
You earn premium from both sides
Risk if price moves too much either way
Example (Nifty at 24,000):
Sell 24200CE at ₹100 and 23800PE at ₹120
Total premium = ₹220 (₹11,000 per lot)
Max profit = ₹11,000 if Nifty stays between 23800 and 24200 till expiry
✅ High premium potential
🚫 Unlimited risk if market breaks range
✅ Can be hedged with far OTM buys
🔹 4. Iron Condor – Limited Risk, Limited Reward
This is an advanced version of strangle with protection.
Sell 1 OTM Call + 1 OTM Put
Buy 1 further OTM Call + 1 further OTM Put
You form a “box” where profit is limited, but losses are capped
Example (Nifty at 24000):
Sell 24200CE (₹100) + 23800PE (₹120)
Buy 24400CE (₹30) + 23600PE (₹40)
Total premium = ₹220 – ₹70 = ₹150
Max profit = ₹150 × 50 = ₹7,500
Max loss = ₹50 (difference in strikes – net credit)
✅ Great for peace of mind
✅ No unlimited risk
🚫 Less profit than naked strangle
📅 How to Use These Strategies for Monthly Income
🔄 Repeat Monthly:
Choose 1 or 2 strategies
Select stocks or index with high liquidity
Sell options 20–30 days before expiry
Exit before expiry (if needed) or let decay work
📌 Ideal Instruments:
Nifty / Bank Nifty
Liquid stocks: Reliance, HDFC Bank, Infosys, ICICI, TCS
🧠 Smart Practices:
Trade with capital you can afford to lock for a few weeks
Don’t sell options blindly – check news, IV, support/resistance
Use alerts or trailing stops
⚠️ Risks and How to Manage Them
Risk How to Handle
Unlimited Loss Use hedging (e.g., iron condor) or stop-losses
Sudden Market Moves Avoid during events (budget, elections, Fed)
Low Premium Don't sell too close to expiry with low reward
Margin Call Keep extra buffer; monitor exposure
Overtrading Stick to 1–2 good trades per expiry
✅ Final Thoughts
Option selling is not a get-rich-quick tool—but it’s a powerful way to generate stable income month after month, when done with patience, logic, and discipline.
You don’t need to be a genius—just:
Understand how premiums behave
Focus on low-risk, high-probability trades
Use hedges and stop-losses
Stick to tested rules
Track your performance and learn from mistakes
Nifty 50 - 1D Timeframe📊 Nifty 50 – Daily Chart Overview (1D Timeframe)
Current Close (July 18): Around 24,968
Change: Down ~143 points (–0.57%)
Intraday Range: High ~25,145 | Low ~24,918
52‑Week Range: 21,744 to 26,277
YTD Performance: Approximately +5.6%
📈 Technical Indicators
RSI (14-day): ~32.5
This shows that the market is entering bearish territory, but not yet oversold.
MACD: Below signal line, value ~–67
A clear sell signal, confirming negative momentum.
Stochastic Oscillator: Above 98
Indicates that the index is overbought, and a correction may be due.
ADX (Average Directional Index): ~48
Signifies a strong trend—right now, it’s favoring bearish movement.
Other Oscillators (CCI, ROC, Ultimate): Mostly giving sell signals
🧠 Market Sentiment & Context
Nifty has been bearish for the third straight week
Trading is happening below the 20-day EMA, suggesting downward pressure
Overall tone is range-bound and lacking momentum due to:
Weak quarterly earnings
Foreign investor selling
Global market uncertainty
📉 Volatility & Risk Gauge
India VIX: ~11.2 to 11.4
This is the lowest in 15 months, signaling low market fear
Low VIX often means sideways consolidation and narrow movement
📊 Put-Call Ratio (PCR) & Options View
PCR (based on open interest): ~0.80
Indicates a bearish bias
More calls being written compared to puts
🏦 Bank Nifty Overview (for Comparison)
Close: ~56,283
Drop: ~1%
RSI: ~28 (Bearish)
MACD: Sell signal
Resistance: 57,200 – 57,600
Support: 56,300 – 55,800
Bank Nifty is also showing bearish momentum and mirrors Nifty’s structure.
📅 What to Watch Next
Corporate Q1 results – especially from large caps like Reliance, HDFC, ICICI
Global cues – US inflation, interest rate decisions, global markets
India VIX – If it spikes above 14–15, market fear might return
FIIs activity – Any strong buying/selling can swing the market
✅ Summary (Daily Timeframe)
Nifty is currently weak and range-bound
Key level to hold: 24,900
Key level to break: 25,250
Momentum is with sellers; cautious approach recommended
If no trigger appears, expect sideways movement or slow decline
Opening Range Breakdown – Intraday Bears’ Favorite Setup!Hello Traders!
Today, let’s explore one of the most reliable setups for intraday traders – the Opening Range Breakdown (ORB) . This strategy is widely used by professional traders to catch early downside momentum when the market shows weakness right after opening. If executed correctly, it offers quick profits and tight risk management. Let’s break down how it works and how to trade it with confidence.
What is Opening Range Breakdown (ORB)?
The ORB strategy focuses on the first 15 to 30 minutes of market open . The idea is to mark the high and low of this initial range and look for a breakdown below the low – which signals bearish pressure. This setup works best on volatile days or when there’s negative sentiment in global cues.
Mark the Opening Range:
Track the high and low of the first 15 or 30 minutes of the market open.
Wait for a Breakdown Candle:
Look for a strong bearish candle closing below the opening range low with rising volume.
Enter on Confirmation:
Take a short entry just below the breakdown candle with stop-loss above the opening range high.
Target Previous Day’s Support or VWAP:
Your exit target could be based on previous day’s support, VWAP, or risk-reward ratio like 1:2.
Volume Confirmation is Key:
Avoid low volume breakdowns. Strong volume is what separates real breakdowns from fake-outs.
Ideal Conditions for ORB
Gap Down Open or Weak Global Cues – ORB works well when sentiment is already negative.
High Beta Stocks or Indices like BankNifty – These respond sharply to breakdowns.
No Major Support Below the Breakdown Level – Clean charts increase trade reliability.
Risk Management Tip
Keep your position size small and risk predefined. Don’t chase entries. Let the candle confirm the breakdown and only then execute.
Conclusion:
ORB is a favourite among experienced traders due to its simplicity and effectiveness. If you’re an intraday bear looking for high-probability setups, Opening Range Breakdown is something you must master.
Have you used ORB before? Let me know your experience or results in the comments!