#Nifty Weekly Analysis 21-06-25 to 25-06-25#Nifty Weekly Analysis 21-06-25 to 25-06-25
24900-25300 is a Sideways range. Option sellers can sell this range for next week.
If Nifty sustains above 25260, XABCD gets activated, more upside possible & targets are 25500/25650.
If Nifty trades below 24900, ABCD gets activated, more downside possible & targets are 24750/24500.
View: Monday move will decide next weeks direction because of results season.
INDIA50CFD trade ideas
renderwithme | Nifty 50 July 21-25, 2025 TechnicalFor the week of July 21-25, 2025, the Nifty 50 is expected to trade in a range-bound manner with a slightly bearish bias, influenced by mixed global cues, ongoing Q1 earnings, and macroeconomic data. Key support lies at 24,800-25,000, with resistance at 25,300-25,500. Traders should monitor sectoral performance, FII/DII activity, and global trade developments for potential market shifts.
Nifty 50 Intra day setupnifty at 4 hour support
Chart for the reference
~~ Disclaimer ~~
This analysis is based on recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources. It is for informational \ educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading.
# Boost and comment will be highly appreciated.
Nifty July TDX Levels -First Week –
Throughout the week, market dynamics favored the bears, who maintained an upper hand. However, it was a continuous challenge for the bears to sustain this position, as the bulls remain engaged until the Nifty index reaches the target level of 25,890.
Looking ahead, several major announcements are anticipated from the US administration, which may positively influence market sentiment and potentially shift the index toward a bullish trend.
Once the 25,890 target is achieved, it will be advisable to resume monitoring the TDX levels for further guidance.
For clarity and better analysis, please consider viewing the chart in the hourly timeframe.
Nifty Index 24968.40 as visible by Weekly Chart viewNifty Index 24968.40 as visible by Weekly Chart view
- Nifty 50 Index has formed a Bearish 3 Black Crow Technical Pattern indicating about the probable negative sentiment might continue
- Nifty is also closely forming a sliding Bearish Double Top from ATH 26277.35 to current top 25669.35, which again syncs with the negative sentiment trend trajectory
18 July 2025 - The bearishness continues, 416pts profit so far Nifty Stance Bearish 🐻
After the short signal was triggered, the Nifty50 fell 416 points to end the week at 24965. We almost came close to a long signal reversal on Thursday, 09.31 AM, but Nifty decided otherwise.
The retracement green candles are sharper and more volatile, indicating fear in the minds of bears and an anticipated short-covering rally. The first false-reversal signal came Nifty crawled back 245+ points between Monday 14th, 1.00 PM and Tuesday 15th, 11.00 AM. We then hit the same double top on Wednesday, before giving way to a bear rally on Friday.
Bears would really need some more firepower to bring us lower than 24750. The OTM options premium is not indicating a sharp downmove whatsoever. Meanwhile, the US and India trade-tariff announcements are waiting on the sidelines to spoil our technical setup.
Nifty trend directionNifty 24968 is still in bearish trend. Volume increase confirms the trend.
On Wycoff analysis Nifty is in Phase C of UTAD test.
We expect Nifty will drop to 24822-24868 zone and give a pull back
and will drop to 24509 to 24568 zone after the pullback.
FII's have sold 3,206 contracts and have build short positions and have bought PUTS.
made us to believe Negative trend continuation.
NIFTY50Nifty could 📉 fall to below level 24850 within 18th July 2025 or to the white line marked on the chart.
Even there's a high possibility that 24850 could break and it could even fall 📉 to below red dashed line 24370 within last week of july 2025.
Disclaimer:
It's a personal view not a financial advice and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
Monday Trade Plan (Nifty 50) 🔼 Bullish Levels (Call Side Entry):
Above 25,008
🔹 Hold CE (Call) — Positive trade view.
Above 25,118
🔹 Hold CE by Entry Level
🚨 Below this: Risky Zone for PE (Put)
Above 25,218
🔹 10 min Closing Short Cover Level
✅ Strong momentum expected above this zone
🔽 Bearish Levels (Put Side Entry):
Below 25,000
🔻 Hold PE — Negative trade view.
Below 24,888
🔻 Opening R1 10m — Hold PE by level
Below 24,788
🔻 Hold PE by level
Below 24,688
🔻 Hold PE by Safe Zone level
Below 24,600 (Approx)
🧯 UNWINDING ZONE
🔻 Strong downward momentum expected
⚠️ Mid-Zone / Risk Areas:
Between 25,000 – 25,008: No clear direction
Between 25,088 – 25,118: Risky Zone for PE
Between 24,788 – 24,888: Rangebound area, watch for breakout
Nifty 50 spot 24968.40 by the Daily Chart view - Weekly updateNifty 50 spot 24968.40 by the Daily Chart view - Weekly update
- Support Zone 24900 to 25100 Price Band just sustained
- Next Support Zone seen at 24325 to 24500 of the Nifty Index
- Breakdown from Falling Resistance Trendline might just continue
- Rising Price Channel Breakdown indicates weakness might continue
- Resistance Zone 25250 to 25400 then ATH 26277.35 of Nifty Index levels
Nifty 50 Trade Plan – July 19, 2025 |📊 Timeframe: 4H | 1H | 15M
🔍 Methodology: ICT Concepts | Market Structure | Supply & Demand Zones
🔻 Bias: Bearish to Neutral
The index is in a clear downtrend, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows on the 4H and 1H charts. Price is currently trading below the key structural resistance zone of 25,070, and any pullback into this zone is a potential short opportunity unless invalidated by a bullish breakout.
🔑 Key Levels:
Supply Zones:
🟥 25,030 – 25,070 (1H Supply)
🟥 25,150 – 25,250 (HTF Supply)
Demand Zone:
🟩 24,880 – 24,910 (1H Demand)
🟩 Below that: 24,700 (next liquidity zone)
Current Price: 24,965
📌 TRADE SETUPS:
✳️ Plan A – Short Setup (High Probability)
Trade with trend, from supply zone rejection.
Entry: Around 25,030–25,070
Trigger: Bearish rejection candle (engulfing / pin bar) on 5M–15M
Stop Loss: Above 25,100
Targets:
🎯 T1: 24,910
🎯 T2: 24,860
🎯 T3: 24,700 (if structure breaks)
✳️ Plan B – Long Setup (Countertrend, Low Conviction)
Only if strong bullish PA emerges with break above 25,070.
Entry: Retest of 24,880–24,910 demand zone with bullish engulfing on 15M
Stop Loss: Below 24,850
Targets:
🎯 T1: 25,030
🎯 T2: 25,150–25,200
🧠 STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT:
Element Status
HTF Trend 🔻 Bearish
Demand Holding ✅ Yes (24,880 zone)
BOS for Bullish Shift 🚫 Not yet confirmed
Liquidity Pool 🟥 Above 25,100
Risk-Reward Zones ✅ Clear structure for both long & short
📌 Conclusion:
Unless Nifty gives a clean breakout above 25,070, rallies are to be sold into. Keep watch for rejection patterns from supply zones. If the 24,880 demand breaks, we could see accelerated downside.
Stay patient. Let price come to your zones. React, don't predict. 🎯
GIFT Nifty Signals Bullish Start🏛️ What is GIFT Nifty?
Let’s start with the basics.
GIFT Nifty is the new name for what used to be known as the SGX Nifty—a derivative contract that mirrors the Nifty 50, but is traded outside India.
It now runs on the GIFT City platform (Gujarat International Finance Tec-City).
It gives traders, especially foreign institutional investors (FIIs), the ability to trade in Nifty futures even before the Indian market opens.
Think of it as an early indicator of how the Nifty 50 might perform when the Indian market opens at 9:15 am.
✅ Important: GIFT Nifty is NOT a separate index.
It simply reflects the expected movement of the Nifty 50 index, based on global market cues and overnight developments.
🧠 Why Did SGX Nifty Become GIFT Nifty?
Until July 2023, the Nifty futures were traded on the Singapore Exchange (SGX).
But to bring more liquidity and volume back to Indian shores and to establish India as a global financial hub, the trading of Nifty derivatives was moved from Singapore to the GIFT IFSC platform.
Thus, SGX Nifty became GIFT Nifty.
📈 Why GIFT Nifty’s Morning Move Matters
Each morning, traders, analysts, media houses, and even retail investors check GIFT Nifty levels.
Why?
Because it acts as a directional clue. Here’s how:
If GIFT Nifty is up by 100 points, it’s a sign that Nifty 50 is likely to open higher.
If it’s down by 75 points, it hints at a gap-down opening.
It reflects the sentiment of global markets, overnight US cues, geopolitical risks, and FII mood.
📊 Example:
GIFT Nifty trading at 22,450 (up 80 points)
Yesterday’s Nifty close: 22,370
→ Bullish sign → Indian markets may open with a gap-up of 70–100 points.
📌 What Does “Bullish Start” Mean?
A bullish start means the market is expected to open on a positive note—meaning, the index (like Nifty or Sensex) may start the day higher than the previous day’s closing.
This can happen due to:
Strong global cues (e.g., Dow Jones, Nasdaq closing higher)
Positive FII activity
Good earnings announcements
Supportive macroeconomic data
Favorable government or budget policy
Cooling of global tensions or crude oil prices
So, when GIFT Nifty shows a positive movement before 9 am, traders call it a bullish pre-market setup.
🔍 Real-World Example – July 18, 2025
On July 18, 2025:
GIFT Nifty was up by 55 points, indicating a positive start.
This came after a volatile weekly expiry on Thursday.
Strong earnings expected from companies like Reliance, JSW Steel, L&T Finance added to positive sentiment.
US markets closed flat, but no major negative surprise.
FIIs were net sellers, but DIIs absorbed selling pressure.
→ All this combined gave a green signal from GIFT Nifty to the domestic market.
💼 How Traders Use GIFT Nifty in Strategy
✅ 1. Pre-Market Planning
GIFT Nifty gives early clues, so:
Intraday traders plan opening range setups
Option traders adjust straddles/strangles based on expected gap
F&O traders look at overnight position rollover
✅ 2. Risk Management
A weak GIFT Nifty warns of gap-downs due to global negativity.
This allows traders to:
Hedge long positions
Tighten stop-losses
Avoid aggressive morning trades
✅ 3. Sectoral Rotation
If GIFT Nifty is up, focus shifts to high-beta stocks like Bank Nifty, Reliance, Adani Group, etc.
If it's down, defensive plays like FMCG and Pharma may perform better.
🧮 How to Read GIFT Nifty Properly?
Here are 3 simple tips:
✔️ Tip 1: Compare with Previous Day’s Nifty Close
If GIFT Nifty > Last close → Gap-up expected
If GIFT Nifty < Last close → Gap-down likely
✔️ Tip 2: Watch Global Cues
Dow/Nasdaq closing + crude oil + USD/INR = impact GIFT Nifty
If all show strength, GIFT Nifty usually reacts positively
✔️ Tip 3: Use With FII/DII Data
Bullish GIFT Nifty + FII Buying = Strong setup
Bullish GIFT Nifty + FII Selling = Weak opening might reverse later
🌎 GIFT Nifty & Global Linkage
India is now deeply linked with:
US markets (Nasdaq, S&P 500)
Crude oil
Dollar Index
Global interest rate policies (Fed, ECB)
So if:
US markets crash overnight → GIFT Nifty reacts instantly
Crude oil falls sharply → Positive for India → GIFT Nifty turns green
📍 Important: GIFT Nifty Is Not Always Accurate
Sometimes GIFT Nifty shows bullish signs, but:
Domestic news (politics, budget) pulls market down
FII/DII data surprises post-opening
Index gaps up but then reverses during the day
That’s why traders use GIFT Nifty as a clue, not a guarantee
🚦 Final Thoughts – Why You Should Watch GIFT Nifty
GIFT Nifty is like the morning alarm for the market:
It tells you what’s likely to happen before the bell rings.
Gives you a head start to plan your trades.
Helps spot sectoral strength, F&O positioning, and market mood.
Nifty 50 – 1 Day Timeframe✅ Closing Summary:
Closing Price: ₹24,968.30
Change: −₹143.55 (−0.57%)
Opening Price: ₹25,108.55
Intraday High: ₹25,144.20
Intraday Low: ₹24,919.10
Nifty 50 traded in a narrow but bearish range throughout the session, losing nearly 0.6%, as market sentiment remained weak due to earnings pressure and global cues.
🔍 Key Reasons for the Decline:
Banking Sector Drag:
Major private sector banks like Axis Bank reported weaker-than-expected earnings, sparking a broad sell-off in financials.
Financial stocks make up a large portion of Nifty 50, pulling the entire index lower.
Cautious Investor Sentiment:
Global uncertainty regarding U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate decisions and economic slowdown concerns weighed on overall risk appetite.
Investors are also being cautious ahead of major Indian corporate earnings from companies like HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, Reliance Industries, and others.
Foreign Institutional Selling (FII):
FIIs continued to sell Indian equities, especially large-cap financials and IT stocks.
This added selling pressure even as some domestic institutional investors tried to buy the dips.
Technical Weakness:
The index slipped below the 25,000 psychological support level, a sign of short-term technical weakness.
Intraday recoveries were capped near resistance, confirming the bearish tone.
📈 Technical Outlook (Short-Term):
Support Zone: ₹24,900 to ₹24,850
This is the next critical area. If broken, further decline toward ₹24,600 is likely.
Resistance Zone: ₹25,150 to ₹25,300
Bulls need to reclaim this zone for the trend to turn positive again.
Momentum Indicators:
RSI: Slipping below 45, showing weakening momentum.
MACD: Bearish crossover; trend remains under pressure.
Volume: Slightly above average, indicating serious selling interest at the top.
📆 Recent Trend Performance:
1-Day Return: −0.57%
1-Week Return: −0.35%
1-Month Return: +2.10%
6-Month Return: +12.8%
1-Year Return: +10.9%
Nifty 50 remains in a medium- to long-term uptrend, but short-term correction is underway, largely due to sector-specific drag and earnings volatility.
🧠 What Traders & Investors Should Know:
Day Traders: Watch for quick reversals near support at ₹24,900; consider shorting near resistance if recovery fails.
Swing Traders: Wait for either a bullish reversal candle or RSI bounce before entering fresh long positions.
Long-Term Investors: Despite the dip, the market remains healthy. This could be a buy-on-dip opportunity, especially in sectors like auto, pharma, and capital goods that are holding well.
💬 Conclusion:
Nifty 50 showed weakness on July 18 due to negative earnings surprises and bearish sentiment in financials. While technical indicators suggest short-term downside pressure, the broader long-term trend remains intact. Key support at ₹24,900 is crucial. A bounce from that zone can trigger a recovery, but a sustained break below it could accelerate the decline
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 18th July 2025NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 25250 – 25300 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 25450 – 25500 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 25000 – 24950 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 24800 – 24750 range.
Master Institutional TradingWhat is Master Institutional Trading?
Master Institutional Trading is the advanced knowledge and skill set focused on understanding how big institutions operate in the market. It includes learning about market structure, order flow, liquidity zones, and smart money concepts. The goal is to understand where and why institutional players are placing their trades so individual traders can follow their footprint rather than trade blindly.
Key Elements of Institutional Trading
Smart Money Concepts (SMC):
This focuses on how "smart money" (institutions) moves in the market, including liquidity grabs, fakeouts, and manipulation of retail traders. Mastering SMC helps traders identify high-probability trade setups.
Order Blocks:
Institutions don’t place orders like retail traders. They use large block orders, which leave visible patterns on charts called “order blocks.” Learning to identify these helps in predicting price movements accurately.
Liquidity Pools:
Institutions hunt liquidity because they need large volumes to execute trades. Stop-loss levels and obvious support/resistance zones are common liquidity areas. Master institutional traders learn to identify where liquidity sits in the market.
Market Structure:
Understanding market structure (higher highs, lower lows, break of structure) is critical. Institutions move the market in phases — accumulation, manipulation, expansion, and distribution.
Volume and Order Flow Analysis:
Mastering institutional trading includes studying how volume flows in the market, using tools like volume profile, footprint charts, and delta analysis to see where institutional money is entering or exiting.
Benefits of Learning Master Institutional Trading
Higher Accuracy: You trade with the market makers, increasing your chance of success.
Better Risk Management: Institutional strategies often involve precise entry points and tighter stop-losses.
Avoiding Retail Traps: Most retail traders lose money because they trade in the wrong direction. Institutional trading helps you avoid these traps.
Consistency: You develop a rule-based approach, avoiding emotional decisions.
Why Institutions Dominate the Market
Institutions control over 70% of daily market volume, especially in forex, stocks, and commodities. They have advanced technologies like high-frequency trading (HFT), deep market data, and insider information that allow them to manipulate short-term price actions. By understanding their strategies, you can ride the momentum they create rather than getting trapped.
Final Thoughts
Mastering Institutional Trading is not about predicting the market but reading it correctly. By learning how institutional players think and operate, you can make more informed, disciplined, and profitable trading decisions. It transforms your trading approach from gambling to a professional strategy. This knowledge is essential for anyone serious about making consistent profits in the financial markets
Is Nifty Signaling a Short-Term Bounce?The Nifty 50 has completed a 5-wave impulse on the 1-hour timeframe, with Wave ⑤ tagging a fresh lower low at 24,918, just under the previous swing.
While price made a lower low, RSI made a higher low, forming a bullish divergence just above the oversold zone. This often indicates weakening bearish momentum and a potential for a short-term bounce or a larger correction depending on the context.
We now have:
• ✅ A completed 5-wave(wave A) decline
• ✅ Price at a key support zone
• ✅ RSI divergence adding confluence
If this structure holds, we may have completed wave A and be entering Wave B of correction.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
OHLC Monthly Magic🎯 Simple but Powerful Trading Concept – No Indicators, No Patterns Needed!
Dear viewers,
Today, I'm sharing something so simple that most traders completely overlook it. While everyone else is busy complicating trading with fancy indicators, patterns, and strategies — I want to take you back to the basics that actually work.
✅ I’m using a Nifty chart to explain this. I’ve highlighted the previous month’s candle, and using the drawing tool’s magnet mode, I’ve plotted simple horizontal lines at the:
• Open
• High
• Low
• Close
📊 That’s it! No indicators. No patterns. Just price action from the previous month.
Now, switch to the Weekly or Daily timeframe and observe what happens around those levels. You’ll see clear supply and demand zones forming — automatically. These are the real institutional levels where price reacts strongly.
🔒 Who Should Use This?
If you're a retail trader, I do not recommend getting into intraday or index options — they are high-risk and emotionally draining, especially for beginners.
However, if you're an experienced trader and can handle the volatility, here’s how you can use this method powerfully:
📅 After marking the previous month’s OHLC levels:
• Move to the current month
• Watch how price interacts with those levels
• Combine this with RSI for extra confirmation:
📈 RSI + OHLC = High-Probability Zones
• If RSI > 60 and price is nearing the previous high — there's an 80-90% chance of a breakout.
• If RSI < 40 and price is near the previous low — expect further downside.
• We ignore the 40–60 RSI range. It’s noise. We're only focused on strong bullish or bearish momentum.
✅ Try this on stocks, crypto, forex (EUR/USD) — anything.
Once you master this concept, you won’t need any fancy indicators or complicated supply-demand theories. Just price action and momentum will guide your trades.
Thanks for watching, and apply this to see the magic yourself. Check my previous post for deeper understanding of -
Positional Trading Setup
Swing Trading Setup
Stock Options Swing Setup
And - Investment Positional Trading Setup (coming soon)
Focus on which is simple. God Blesses you All!
Faraaz T
Sr. Exec. Research Analyst - Equity
Stockholm Securities - UK
Nifty 50 Trend Analysis A detailed wave analysis in larger times frames indicates that nifty is beginning to trigger a sharp or moderate momentum deep correction. The correction & downtrend can last upto 23874 & 23458 potentially. In a downtrend, institutions will sell on every rise, hence its not the right time to make new investments directly in the stocks. Currently nifty is trading at 25073 and this swing momentum can go upto 24802 without reversals, and 24802 will play a crucial role but since the wave 3 has completed its maximum levels we need to brace for 23874 & 23458.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 18.07.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 18.07.2025
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
If the range is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
NIFTY Analysis – 18 july 2025 ,morning update at 9 amTechnical Summary
Daily Candle:
Nifty formed a negative candle after a Doji, indicating potential weakness or indecision turning bearish.
which is a sign of weakness.
Expected Opening:
May open flat near 25143 (critical level).
Upside move possible to 25218, but likely to consolidate.
Key Observation:
If Nifty fails to sustain above 25143, downside possible towards:
25023 (1st support)
24931 (2nd support)
Strategy Advice:
Wait for a clear pattern formation.
Use BOD (Buy on Dip) or SOR (Sell on Rise) strategy.
Scalping preferred due to expected sideways move.
oday's market likely to be range-bound to weak unless strong buying comes above 25143.
Avoid aggressive trades early. Watch for confirmation.
Scalping with tight SL or quick exits is preferred.
What is Sideways or Consolidation?
Sideways market = Price moves between a narrow range without clear direction.
Consolidation = Market takes a pause after a trend (up or down) and moves within a range before the next breakout.
Today's Expected Sideways / Consolidation Range in NIFTY (Spot):
Range Type Price Range (Spot)
Sideways Zone 25143 to 25218
Lower Consolidation Range 25023 to 25143
Expanded Range (if breakout) 24932 to 25278