NIFTY- Intraday Levels - 9th September 2025 expiry special If NIFTY sustain above 24778 then 24810/26 above this bullish then 24899/05 above this more bullish 24972/96 then wait
If NIFTY sustain below 24747/41 below this bearish then 24708 to 24684 then 24661 below this more bearish then 24621 then 24581 then wait
Consider some buffer points in above levels.
Please do your due diligence before trading or investment.
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Trade ideas
RANGE BOUND SERIES TRADE - 2Market Outlook: A neutral to mildly range-bound outlook is anticipated for the near term (next few weeks).
Underlying Asset: NIFTY 50 index (Current price: 24845, Expiration: September 16, 2025)
Strategy: A non-directional options strategy is recommended, detailed as follows:
* Sell 4 call options at a strike price of 25250 @ 46.81
* Buy 4 call options at a strike price of 25450 @ 19.90
* Sell 4 put options at a strike price of 24500 @ 53.35
* Buy 4 put options at a strike price of 24200 @ 22.75
Net Credit: 57.5 points (Target Profit: 50% of net credit received)
Breakeven Points: Downside breakeven at 24442 / Upside breakeven at 25308
Technical Analysis:
* Weekly Chart: The current candle appears to be an inside candle, suggesting a range-bound market.
* Daily Chart: Resistance levels are identified between 25054 and 25153, with support levels around 24500. The strategy's breakeven points encompass these key levels, indicating a reasonable alignment with the anticipated trading range.
Trade Management Guidelines:
1. Profit Target: Aim to capture 50–70% of the initial net credit received. Consider closing the position early if this target is met.
2. Implied Volatility (IV) Considerations: Monitor implied volatility closely. A significant increase in IV is likely to result in higher option premiums. In such an event, consider rolling the options positions or narrowing the strategy's wings.
3. Price Action:
* If the NIFTY 50 index trends towards the upper range of the strategy, consider rolling the short call options to higher strike prices.
* If the NIFTY 50 index trends towards the lower range of the strategy, consider rolling the short put options to lower strike prices.
4. Event Risk Management: Exercise caution concerning potential event risks, including Nifty rollovers, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) monetary policy announcements, and other macroeconomic events. These events can induce significant IV spikes and gap movements in the underlying asset.
Advantages: Defined risk profile, potential for income generation through time decay, relatively straightforward structure.
Disadvantages: Limited profit potential, vulnerability to price gaps exceeding the defined wings, potential adverse impact from IV spikes.
NIFTY ANALYSISDay candle View Shows Head & Shoulder pattern for Bearish movement.
24690 Breaks signals bearish
Target -24500,24350,24000.
Upside Target is 25050 which market may have chance to retest But Crucial lvl is 2700 sustainability, And upside will be risky trade,
Crucial Lvls-24690,24780 ( No trade Zones).
(disclaimer-Educational view only).
Nifty Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 09th September 🔎 Market Structure Analysis (Multi-Timeframe)
4H Chart
Nifty has been in a rising channel since 29th August lows (~24,280).
Price is currently around 24,790, sitting at mid-channel support.
Multiple supply zones overhead:
24,850–24,900 (fresh supply, recent rejection).
25,000–25,050 (unfilled FVG + strong supply).
Demand zones:
24,700–24,720 (FVG + channel support).
24,550–24,580 (deeper demand zone).
Bias: 4H is still bullish-to-neutral, as long as price holds above 24,700. Break below 24,700 will turn structure weak.
1H Chart
Clear break of structure (BOS) upwards on 6th Sept.
Current pullback has respected 24,740–24,760 demand.
Liquidity was swept above 24,850, which aligns with rejection from supply.
Trendline support intact, but looks fragile.
Bias: 1H shows a short-term corrective pullback, but trend still points higher if demand holds.
15M Chart
Market swept liquidity near 24,850, rejected hard, now consolidating.
Strong support forming near 24,730–24,750.
If broken, downside target = 24,650.
If defended, upside re-test of 24,850–24,900 possible.
Bias: Neutral, waiting for confirmation at 24,730 zone.
📌 Trade Plan for 9th September (Monday)
Bullish Scenario
Entry: Near 24,730–24,750 demand zone if defended with bullish candle.
SL: Below 24,680.
Targets:
T1 = 24,850 (previous supply).
T2 = 25,000–25,050 (major FVG & supply).
Bearish Scenario
Trigger: If price closes below 24,720 on 15M/1H.
Entry: Short on breakdown retest around 24,720–24,740.
SL: Above 24,800.
Targets:
T1 = 24,650 (first demand).
T2 = 24,560 (major demand).
Key Levels to Watch
24,850–24,900 → Supply rejection zone.
24,730–24,750 → Immediate demand & decision point.
24,650 / 24,560 → Next strong supports.
25,000–25,050 → Bullish target if demand holds.
✅ Summary:
Nifty is at a make-or-break zone near 24,750.
Hold = continuation towards 24,900–25,050.
Break = deeper pullback towards 24,650–24,560.
Trading Master Class With ExpertsHistory & Evolution of Options
Options are not a modern invention. Their roots go back thousands of years.
Ancient Greece: The earliest recorded use of options was by Thales, a philosopher who secured the right to use olive presses before harvest. When olive yields turned out abundant, he profited by leasing the presses at higher prices.
17th Century Netherlands: Options became popular in the Dutch tulip mania, where people speculated on tulip bulb prices.
Modern Options: Organized option trading as we know it started in 1973 with the creation of the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE). Alongside, the Black-Scholes model for option pricing was introduced, which gave traders a scientific framework to value options.
Today, options are traded globally — from U.S. exchanges like CBOE, CME, and NASDAQ to Indian platforms like NSE’s Options Market. They’ve also expanded into forex, commodities, and even cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.
Why Traders Use Options
Options serve different purposes:
Investors: Hedge portfolios (e.g., protective puts).
Traders: Speculate on price moves (buying calls/puts).
Institutions: Manage risk exposure across assets.
Market Makers: Provide liquidity and earn spreads.
Risk Management in Options Trading
Options can wipe out capital if not managed properly. Key practices include:
Position Sizing: Never risk more than a fixed % of capital.
Stop Loss & Exit Rules: Define risk before entering.
Diversification: Avoid concentrating all trades on one asset.
Understanding Margin: Selling options requires large margin because risks are unlimited.
Hedging: Use spreads to limit risk.
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 08th September 2025NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 24975 – 25025 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 25200 – 25250 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 24550 – 24500 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 24350 – 24300 range.
Positive opening expected as US President signalling to cool down the escalated tension with India.
Market Breadth Breakout – Tracking NSE MomentumThis TradingView chart analyzes the NSE Index with a focus on market breadth, highlighting the percentage of stocks above their moving averages. The chart showcases a recent breakout above key breadth levels (44.0 and 50.0), signaling improving momentum and a potential trend reversal. Visual trendlines track advancing participation, offering insight into market strength and possible continuation if breadth values sustain above these thresholds. This setup helps traders identify early signs of bullish sentiment before price confirmation.
Nifty 50 | Sell Setup | 08 Sep 2025 – 11:05 ISTSupport Zone: 24576 – 24997
Resistance Zone: 24406 – 24721
Scenario: Sell
Trade Levels:
Entry: 24705
Stop Loss: 24835
Targets:
TP1 → 24405
TP2 → 24335
Analysis:
Current price action indicates possibilities for a sell move from the Resistance Zone (24406 – 24721).
As long as price remains below 24835, the downside scenario stays valid.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This idea is shared for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own analysis before making trading decisions.
Weekly view (higher-timeframe) / Daily view for NiftyWeekly view (higher-timeframe)
Trend: Consolidation with slight bearish bias — weekly candles have shown limited follow-through above previous highs; failure to hold weekly support would open deeper correction. Use the weekly chart to judge whether weekly close holds above 24.5k
Key weekly levels to watch:
Major support (weekly): 24,150 – 23,775 (secondary targets if 24,500 fails).
Major resistance (weekly): 25,200 – 25,600 (weekly close above this turns bias bullish).
Daily view (what matters for tomorrow’s open)
Bias: Range to bearish unless price decisively gaps/opens above 24,900–25,000 and sustains. Daily momentum indicators referenced in live dashboards show neutral-to-slight-bearish readings (RSI not extremely oversold/overbought), so intraday follow-through matters.
Key intraday levels (actionable):
Immediate support: 24,500 — watch for a probe; below it increases odds of a drop to 24,150 and then 23,950–23,775.
Immediate resistance / bullish pivot: 24,900–25,200 — sustained trade above flips intraday bias toward 25,400+ (short-term targets).
Short setups / playbook for tomorrow (08-Sep-2025)
Bull scenario (momentum long)
Condition: Open/gap above 24,900 and 30-min candle closes above that level with rising volumes.
Plan: look for entries on pullback to 24,900–24,800.
Targets: 25,200 → 25,400.
Stop: close below 24,700 (or 1%–1.5% price-based SL depending on risk).
Bear scenario (momentum short)
Condition: Fails to hold 24,500 on the open or gaps down below 24,500 with follow-through.
Plan: short on retest of 24,500 after breakdown.
Targets: 24,150 → 23,950 → 23,775.
Stop: close above 24,650–24,700 (or 1%–1.5% price-based SL).
Range / neutral day (no trade if uncertain)
If price chops between 24,500–24,900, prefer to stay flat or trade tight intraday scalps with strict stops — higher chance of whipsaw.
Extra checks before market opens
Watch the first 15–30 minutes: the direction of the first 30-min candle + volume will largely determine day’s bias. If you trade, use that as confirmation. (Common intraday rule.)
Monitor macro headlines / premarket flows — anything on GST / policy / global cues may trigger gaps (recent GST news moved markets).
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 08/09/2025Nifty is likely to witness a flat opening today, reflecting indecisiveness among traders after recent swings. The index is trading near crucial support and resistance levels, making today’s session important for directional clarity.
On the upside, strength may build if Nifty sustains above 24,750–24,800. A successful move above this zone can trigger a rally toward 24,850, 24,900, and 24,950+. If momentum continues, it could extend further toward the 25,000 psychological mark, strengthening the bullish outlook.
On the downside, if Nifty slips below 24,700, selling pressure may intensify. A breakdown under this level could open the path toward 24,650, 24,600, and 24,500. These supports will be key for traders to watch, as failure to hold could drag the index into deeper weakness.
Overall, with a flat start on the cards, Nifty is expected to remain volatile within this range. Traders should adopt a cautious intraday approach, waiting for a clear breakout above 24,800 or a breakdown below 24,700 to initiate directional trades, while keeping strict stop-losses in place.
NIFTY Levels for TodayHere are the NIFTY's Levels for intraday (in the image below) today. Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both.
Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level.
Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose.
Your likes and boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.
NIFTY Analysis 8 SEPTEMBER, 2025 ,Daily Morning update at 9 amNifty is showing short covering from oversold zone.
Closed below fake levels at 24779.
possible to open flat near 24779.
24779 will act as today’s important level.
Sustaining above 24799 signals bullish buyes active.
First upside level is 24860 (breakout).
Above 24860, next level is 24950 and 24983.
Failure to hold 24779 shifts buyers to bearish.
Watch for bearish bb pattern in 15m chart.
Breakdown may test 24643 first support.
Below 24643, next support is 24560.
Strong support at 24485.
Bullish trades valid only above 24779.
Bearish trades valid below 24779.
Focus on small scalping trades.
Wait for clear pattern confirmation before entry.
Bulls already positioned in the market This week the market moved exactly the way we studied in last week’s commentary.
We saw everything – Bullish moves, Sell-on-Rise, and even a Shakeout.
If you’ve been following my commentary daily, by now you must have realized that the market can be predicted with good accuracy. You can know when to trade and make money and when not to trade so you can avoid unnecessary losses.
The only condition is – you must have a strong will to learn.
If you keep thinking the market is “too difficult to understand”, it will always feel difficult. Change your perspective. Once you know what to look for, everything starts making sense right in front of your eyes.
Now let’s talk about the market.
Just as we planned, this week played out exactly the same. That means the environment is very good.
On Friday, Nifty held strong in the first half but then slipped in the second half. It couldn’t hold above 24800, which was an important resistance. Until Nifty closes above 24800, we will continue to see volatility and shakeouts.
Remember – volatility and shakeouts usually mean institutional players and big money are quietly building positions. They create this “noise” so you can’t see their footprints.
You don’t have to fear this volatility. Instead, find stocks where positions are being built. Focus on sectors showing relative strength or absorbing volatility while charts are showing demand building up.
One such sector is #Finance. I’ll be sharing good swing setups from this space in the swing group today.
Now, let’s analyze Nifty for the coming week:
1. On Friday, buyers’ volume was 6 million higher than sellers.
2. Nifty broke 24650 support and then closed above it – meaning both bulls and bears’ liquidity got absorbed = Shakeout.
3. Resistance of 24950 got broken = path cleared for upside.
4. Sentiment index closed higher compared to last week.
5. Nifty’s Pivot is at 24731 and the index already closed above it.
6. Pivot Percentile is just 0.04 = sharp momentum ahead.
7. Nifty OI buildup is positive = options liquidity is coming in.
So, overall, almost all points are positive. But the key level remains 24800. Until we get a strong closing above it, we shouldn’t build aggressive longs. Even last week, despite positive GST news, we couldn’t close above this level. That’s why Sell-on-Rise is still possible.
However, if today the index opens gap-up above 24777 and breaks 24800, then we can see a sharp move to 25025.
BankNifty also shows positive OI buildup. If it breaks 54500 resistance, then in the next 1–2 weeks we can see a move up to 56600.
For now, focus more on Financials and Auto Parts sector. I’ll share specific stocks in the swing group.
That’s it for today. Take care and have a profitable week ahead.
📊 Levels at a glance:
NSE:NIFTY Pivot: 24731
Support: 24650 / 24700
Resistance: 24800 → 25025 (if breakout)
Pivot Percentile: 0.04 (indicates sharp move)
Bias: Bullish but cautious till 24800 breaks
NSE:BANKNIFTY Support: 53500
BankNifty Resistance: 54500 → 56600 (if breakout)
BankNifty PP: 0.17% (scope of sharp move)
Sectors on Radar: Financials, Auto Parts
That's all for today. Take care. Have a profitable day ahead.
Nifty strategy for 8/9/25Nifty may opened gap up note as per SGX NIFTY around at 24780 levels. Nifty index was moving between 24990 to 24250 levels in the last week trading so we expected nifty faced stiff resistance around the 25000 levels and take strong support around at 24200 levels so until upto break these levels either upside or downside nifty consolidated inside these levels.
If nifty once break those levels nifty may touched 25200 levels on higher side and 23800 levels on downside respectively.
Support levels : 24700,24625
Resistance levels : 24790,24850
Stock of the day : DOMS which one was recommended by me on friday still it is in progress. So investor follow the same stop loss, targets,and entry price which are mentioned by me on friday.
Disclimer : I AM NOT A SEBI RESEARCH ANALYST OR FINANCIAL ADVISOR, these recommendations are only for education purpose, not for trading and investment purpose please take an advise from your financial advisor before investing on my recommendations.
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Nifty Trading Strategy for 08th September 2025📊 NIFTY Intraday Trading Plan (15-Minute Candle Strategy)
This plan uses the 15-minute candle breakout method. Please read carefully before trading.
✅ Buy Setup (Go Long) 🚀
Condition to Enter:
Enter a buy trade if the 15-minute candle closes above ₹24,835, and then price breaks the high of that candle.
Stop Loss (SL):
Place your SL just below ₹24,835 (keeps your risk limited).
Targets 🎯: ₹24,870,₹24,900,₹24,945,₹24,975,₹25,020
👉 Tip: Book partial profits at the first or second target, then trail your SL to cost price. This way, you lock in profits and ride the trend safely.
✅ Sell Setup (Go Short) 📉
Condition to Enter:
Enter a sell trade if the 15-minute candle closes below ₹24,675, and then price breaks the low of that candle.
Stop Loss (SL):
Place your SL just above ₹24,675 (protects you against false breakdowns).
Targets 🎯:₹24,640,₹24,600,₹24,560,₹24,510,₹24,470
👉 Tip: After the first target is reached, trail your SL to cost price and continue. Don’t aim for all targets in one go—trade step by step.
📝 Trading Notes
Wait for Candle Close – Do not trade in the middle of the 15-min candle. Always confirm the close first.
Risk Management – Never risk more than 1–2% of your total capital in a single trade.
Control Emotions – Don’t chase trades. If the condition is missed, wait for the next opportunity.
Keep a Journal – Note down entry, exit, profit/loss to improve discipline.
Use Confirmation – Support/resistance, RSI, or volume can add extra confirmation.
⚠️ Disclaimer 🚨
I am not SEBI registered.
This strategy is shared only for educational purposes.
Stock market & index trading involve high risk due to volatility.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Please do your own research or consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before trading.
I am not responsible for any profits or losses from your trades.
Nifty analysis for tomorrow.My view about Nifty tomorrow. Market on longer time frame is down trend but we have seen retest previous day. We have strong Resistance till 24820, if we sustain above it then 24870 and 24920 are targets. We have strong support till 24700 and if we break this then we can see 24630 and 24590 are targets. Tomorrow there will decay for the past 2 days so wait for 30 minutes before taking any trade. Market will settle then we can take trade as per market movement. Let the levels break and sustain then we can take trades.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 08-Sep-2025NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 08-Sep-2025
📌 Key Levels to Watch :
Resistance for sideways: 25,010
Major Resistance: 25,165
Last Intraday Resistance: 24,867
Opening Resistance / Support: 24,778
Opening Support: 24,659
Buyer’s Support (Must Try Zone): 24,452 – 24,517
The market is trading near an inflection zone. The price reaction at these levels will guide the intraday trend.
🔼 1. Gap-Up Opening (100+ points above 24,867)
If Nifty opens strongly above 24,867, bulls will attempt to extend gains towards higher resistances.
📌 Plan of Action :
Sustaining above 24,867 will shift momentum towards 25,010.
A sideways consolidation can occur near 25,010, as it’s a critical resistance.
If Nifty manages to sustain above 25,010, the next big target is 25,165.
👉 Educational Note: Gap-ups near major resistances require confirmation. Always wait for a retest or sustained move before entering long positions.
➖ 2. Flat Opening (Around 24,720 – 24,780)
A flat start near 24,743 – 24,778 indicates indecision, with equal chances for bulls and bears.
📌 Plan of Action :
If Nifty sustains above 24,778, it can push towards 24,867.
A breakout above 24,867 strengthens the bullish momentum towards 25,010.
Failure to hold above 24,743 can drag Nifty back to 24,659 (opening support).
👉 Educational Note: Flat openings provide clarity after the first 30 minutes. Observe how price reacts around the opening resistance/support zone before taking trades.
🔽 3. Gap-Down Opening (100+ points below 24,640)
If Nifty opens with weakness below 24,640, sellers will try to dominate.
📌 Plan of Action :
Immediate test will be at 24,659; if broken, price may fall towards the buyer’s support zone 24,452 – 24,517.
A strong rebound is likely from this buyer’s support zone, as it is marked as a “must-try” level for bulls.
Sustaining below 24,452 will open deeper downside possibilities, turning the sentiment weak.
👉 Educational Note: Gap-downs often trigger panic selling. Instead of chasing the fall, wait for a retest of supports to catch a safer entry.
🛡️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders
Always define a stop-loss based on hourly close to avoid getting trapped in volatility.
Keep position sizing small (1–2% of capital) in uncertain zones.
For gap-up/gap-down days, prefer directional option buying only after confirmation.
Use hedged strategies (like spreads) if trading near major support/resistance zones.
Book partial profits at intermediate levels to lock in gains.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
🟢 Above 24,867 → Bullish bias towards 25,010 & 25,165 .
🟧 Flat Opening → Watch 24,778 for breakout; above bullish, below weak .
🔴 Below 24,640 → Weakness towards 24,517 & 24,452 buyer’s support zone .
⚠️ Critical Zone: 24,452 – 24,517 (Buyer’s Support). A rebound here is highly probable, but if broken, weakness can accelerate.
⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Please consult your financial advisor before trading.
Nifty - Weekly Review Sep 8 to Sep 12Price is moving in the range of 24500 to 24900 for a few days. 24500 is a strong support zone. 25000 is a strong resistance zone. Another important zone is 24700, which can decide the trend direction.
Buy above 24740 with the stop loss of 24690 for the targets 24780, 24820, 24880, 24920, 24980, 25020, and 25120.
Sell below 24580 with the stop loss of 24630 for the targets 24540, 24500, 24440, 24400, 24340, and 24280.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
What is ADR/GDR – How Indian Companies Get Foreign Investors!Hello Traders!
You may have heard terms like ADR and GDR when companies talk about raising money abroad. These instruments allow Indian companies to get international investors without directly listing on foreign stock exchanges. Let’s understand them in simple words.
What is an ADR?
ADR stands for American Depository Receipt .
It is a certificate issued by a US bank that represents shares of a foreign company (like an Indian company). These ADRs trade on US stock exchanges just like normal US stocks.
Example: Infosys and Wipro have ADRs listed in the US.
Advantage: US investors can buy Indian companies without dealing with Indian exchanges.
What is a GDR?
GDR stands for Global Depository Receipt .
It works the same way as ADR, but instead of being limited to the US, GDRs are listed on global exchanges like London or Luxembourg.
Example: Many Indian companies raise funds through GDRs in Europe.
Advantage: Gives access to a larger pool of foreign investors.
Why Do Companies Issue ADR/GDR?
Access to Foreign Capital: Helps Indian companies raise funds from global investors.
Better Visibility: Being listed abroad increases global recognition of the company.
Diversified Investor Base: Attracts institutional investors who may not invest directly in Indian markets.
Liquidity: Allows more trading activity and easier buying/selling internationally.
Rahul’s Tip:
ADR/GDR listings are a sign that a company wants to expand globally and attract foreign capital. But as an investor, always check if the company is fundamentally strong before getting influenced by the “global listing” tag.
Conclusion:
ADR and GDR are simple tools that connect Indian companies with foreign investors.
While ADRs are limited to the US, GDRs open doors to global markets.
For long-term investors, these instruments show how Indian companies are scaling globally.
If this post made ADR/GDR clear for you, like it, share your thoughts in comments, and follow for more market education in simple language!
NIFTY Not Moving Despite GST Cut | Sensex, BN & Market AnalysisThe government's decision to reduce taxes is a positive factor for market sentiment, yet the market has not become fully bullish or reached new highs. This raises the question as to why market is struggling to go up.
Well, the answer lies in the weightage of the Nifty index.
Nifty's Sector Weightage
Approximately 60% of the Nifty's weight is carried by just three sectors:
* Financial Services : Makes up 36.82% of the Nifty's weight.
* Oil, Gas and Fuels (Majorly Reliance) : Accounts for 9.90% of the weight.
* IT Sector : Holds around 10.51% of the weight.
The remaining 40% of the Nifty is composed of many other sectors, including metals, pharma, and FMCG etc
Impact of GST Reforms
The recent Goods and Services Tax (GST) reforms were primarily aimed at the consumption sector to provide relief to the middle class. While the tax benefits are a positive for the consumption sector, its overall weight in the Nifty is only around 7%.
In contrast, the banking sector, which has around 37% weight, did not receive any direct benefits from the GST rate cuts except Insurance Companies. This is a key reason why the banking sector and by extension the market, has not turned fully positive.
Similarly, the IT sector is already largely exempt from GST, so the recent rate cuts had no direct impact on it, preventing it from driving the market up.
The oil and gas sector, dominated by Reliance, also presents a mixed picture. While some areas like Reliance's FMCG and solar projects are positively impacted by the new rules, the government has actually increased taxes on oil and gas, which makes up a significant portion of Reliance's revenue and profit. Furthermore, international tensions continue to affect the revenue and profits of the oil and gas sector.
The Role of International Factors
These three major sectors—banking, IT, and oil and gas—are all directly related to international factors like global situations and the political tensions between India and the US. The market is in a "wait and watch" mode as it awaits the outcome of potential future US actions, such as imposing tariffs. If the US government eases its stance on tariffs, the market is likely to celebrate and move upward. However, if any new tariffs are imposed or a negative outlook emerges, the market could decline significantly.
Therefore, despite the positive tax changes, the market's direction ultimately depends on international developments and the major sectors responsible to them.
Regards
Yogesh Verma 🙂
Nifty50 Weekly Analysis - 8th Sep. 2025Weekly Analysis: #Nifty50
Date: 8th Sep. 2025
Recap: Last week we analyzed that Nifty could have a pull-back on the upside and there was high probability that it would be sold into.. Even with the great news of early GST reforms the market was sold into. We also discussed "what if" Trump directs FIIs to sell aggressively, well that is an indirect action now, as he is threatening the IT outsourcing sector in India.
Whats Ahead: 25,200 has been a strong resistance ever since we have been discussing, even before this rally of the recent few months. 24,400 is still a good support. The way DIIs have been supporting the market since last many months if that continues we could see the market stay side ways for a while.. But, if this support breaks along with a confirmation candle we will witness a sharp sell-off. As and when that happens I will not start buying immediately as I see more pain ahead in months to follow. This CY is going to be brutal.. Nothing new. We've had a good run for almost 5 years now (since 2020 Pandemic) so this is BAU (Business As Usual) where Big Players need an opportunity to buy cheap. Also since Wave 3 is usually the longest, Wave 4 is usually brutal.
Now I believe that people may start seeing the real threat of this Tariff-Tantrum. We need to understand that IT/ITES/BPO sector provides lively hood to millions of youth in India. If their lively hood is hampered the entire cycle of money gets disrupted. As the young professionals spend more on wants/desires than mid-age group. I was once part of the same group (and the same industry) for 12 years. So, i think I have some say in this matter.
Chart (Updated): There is a Descending Triangle being formed, for which the target on the lower side is 23,080. Similar to what we mentioned last week (22,900). So a 1,600-1,700 points drop has high probability within this month itself.
Mid/Long term view: Same.. More pain expected in next few moths.
#USDINR #DX: Ab toh kya hi kahey.. Rupee is at it's lowest.
#Gold - What a pleasant surprise. Broke out of symmetrical triangle and is now headed for 3,750-3,850 levels. I should have not sold my Gold ETF holding a few months back.. but what the hell.. we can't catch all the moves.
#CrudeOil No - No View for this week.
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⚡️Disclaimer: Any of my posts should not be considered as a Buy/Sell/Hold recommendation. This analysis is for educational and learning purpose only. I'm only sharing what I am doing or would do and using this platform only to publish my findings in a public domain for future reference of my past work and using this platform as a "Publicly available Personal Journal". I may or may not be invested in the above mentioned Asset/Equity/Indices etc... If I am then it would be mentioned above. You should consult a Licensed Financial Advisor before taking any decision (s). I am not SEBI Registered⚡️






















