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Nifty May Slide to 22000 — Here’s the Technical BreakdownNSE:NIFTY Why Nifty May Slide to 22000 – A Comprehensive Technical and Macro-Economic Analysis --- 🔹Summary: The Indian stock market, led by the Nifty 50, appears to be entering a corrective phase. Based on a comprehensive multi-timeframe technical analysis, combined with deteriorating global cues and domestic economic pressure points, there is a high probability that the Nifty index could fall to the 22000 zone in the coming weeks or months. --- 📊 1. Multi-Timeframe Technical Analysis 🔴 Daily Chart Insights: Nifty has broken below the 20-day and 50-day EMAs. MACD has shown a fresh bearish crossover, and the histogram is increasing in negative territory. Lower highs and breakdown candles indicate short-term weakness. Immediate support zones: 22800 and 22100. 🔵 Weekly Chart Insights: After forming a lower high, Nifty has started forming red candles. MACD on the weekly chart has recently given a bearish crossover. Price is nearing the 50-week EMA; a breakdown may accelerate the fall to 21084. 200 EMA stands near 20618 – strong medium-term support. 🔶 Monthly Chart Insights: Long-term uptrend is weakening. MACD histogram is red, with the MACD line diverging downward. Historical resistance around 25,000 held strong. Monthly supports at 23401, 22805, and major zone at 21084. Extreme correction support zone: 18250. --- 🌎 2. Global Macroeconomic Factors ✉️ Hawkish US Federal Reserve: Fed remains reluctant to cut rates due to sticky core inflation. High US yields attract capital back to the US, triggering FII outflows. ⛽ Rising Crude Oil Prices: Brent crude consistently around \$70+/barrel. India, a net importer, faces rising import bills, widening the current account deficit. Higher oil = pressure on inflation + input cost rise for manufacturing and transport sectors. 🇨🇳 China’s Slowdown: Real estate crisis, deflation risk, and declining exports in China. Global growth slowdown impacting Indian export-heavy sectors (IT, Pharma). 📈 FII Data: * FIIs have turned net sellers in recent weeks in both equities and index futures. * Weak INR (trading near 84) adds pressure to FII outflows. --- 📊 3. Domestic Economic Concerns 📉 Valuation Concerns: Nifty PE > 22x, above historical mean of 18x. Many large caps are seeing **EPS downgrades** or flat YoY growth. Risk of further de-rating if earnings disappoint. 👐 Weakening Sectors: IT: Margin pressures and delayed tech spending. Banking: Credit growth tapering, NIM compression. Auto & FMCG: Rising input cost and subdued rural demand. 🪖 INR Weakness: A weak rupee leads to expensive imports and inflation. RBI may have limited ability to control INR due to global currency war. ✈️ Pre-Election Volatility: Upcoming general elections (2026) cause policy overhang. Historically, markets correct 6-9 months prior to national elections. --- 🔹 4. Conclusion: Levels to Watch | 22805 | First technical support / swing low zone | 22105 | Confluence of horizontal support and Fibs | 21085 | Weekly structure support | 20618 | 200 EMA on weekly chart | 18277 | Worst-case scenario support (panic zone) --- 🔎 Final View: While the long-term bullish structure of Nifty is not completely broken, signs of a **multi-month correction are strong and building**. The alignment of technical breakdowns with global and economic headwinds suggests a high-probability move toward 22000 or lower. Caution is advised for investors and traders holding long positions. Actionable Advice: Wait for confirmation reversal signals before entering fresh longs. Maintain strict risk management and monitor key levels closely. --- ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors. This is our personal view based on available data and market trends. Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content. ======================== Trade Secrets By Pratik ========================
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Trade_Secrets_By_Pratik
NIFTY MONTHLY ANALYSIS AUGUST 2025 @ 24764LTP: 24766 Supports: 24473/24377 Resistances: 24955/25021/25670 If 24377 holds support and a break of 24955, I expect to see 25555 first and further 26540, 27Km 27400, 700, 28500. Break below 24377, we can see more downside towards, 24100, 23400, 23500, 22900. As of now the market is trading in a range between 24350-25670. Need a break of these levels for trending move. But, as per seasonality, I am still bullish for 27K+ in the coming months. And I am BULLISH. Buy on Dips is my view. Thanks.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by kacraj
NIFTY Analysis 1 AUGUEST, 2025 ,Morning update at 9 amIF YO LIKE THESE LEVEL SAY THANK YOU Expected Scenarios: Gap-Down Open Possibility: Likely around 24700. May test lower levels quickly: 24662, 24600, or even 24483. Bearish Setup to Watch: On the 5-min chart, watch near 24650: If a Bearish Bottleneck Pattern forms Nifty may slip towards: 24602, and even 24500. Recovery Watch: If Nifty holds above 24760 then chances of: Short covering towards 24851 and potentially 24940 increase. Critical Levels (Exclusive Support & Resistance): Support 24661 , 24600 ,24483 Resistance. 24851,24940,25108 Nifty opens below 24700 Wait for 24662 or 24600 test Bearish bottleneck at 24650 Go short for 24602 24500 Nifty holds above 24760 Look for long towards 24851 24940 Nifty reclaims 24851 with strength Possibility of rally to 25108
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Powerniftypro
1
NIFTY Levels for TodayHere are the today's NIFTY Levels for intraday (in the image below). Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both. Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level. Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose. Your likes and boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.
NSE:NIFTY
by RainingMoneywithTech
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 01/08/2025Nifty is likely to open flat near the 24,750 zone, suggesting a neutral start to the day. Traders should be prepared for a breakout or reversal setup based on how price behaves near key levels. If Nifty holds the 24,750–24,800 zone and sustains, a reversal long opportunity is valid, with upside targets of 24,850, 24,900, and 24,950+. A breakout above the 25,000 psychological level would trigger a strong rally with higher targets of 25,150, 25,200, and 25,250+. On the other hand, if Nifty faces resistance near 24,900–24,950, it could reverse sharply. A reversal short from this zone can target 24,850, 24,800, and 24,750. A further breakdown below 24,700 will open up shorting opportunities, targeting 24,600, 24,550, and 24,500. Today’s flat opening presents a wait-and-watch situation. Price action near the key zones of 24,750–24,800 and 24,900–25,000 will determine directional momentum.
NSE:NIFTY
by TradZoo
Nifty strategy for 01/08/2025Nifty may open 100 points gap down as per SGX NIFTY around at 24630 which is a immediate support level for nifty. In yesterday trading nifty erased its lossses and turned into positive since opening but it can't sustained at where 50 days EMA existed to nifty around 24960 levels. The FALLING WEDGE is formed in nifty on hourly charts which is indicated lower lows and lower highs so nifty may consolidated between the wedge until upto breakout occurred either upside or downside. Support levels : 24630,24500 Resistance levels : 24879,24983 I AM NOT A SEBI RESEARCH ANALYST OR FINANCIAL ADVISOR, these recommendations are only for education purpose, not for trading and investment purpose please take an advise from your financial advisor before investing on my recommendations. ‌🙏 : If you liked my content please suggest to your friends follow my trading channel. Your likes and comments provide boosting to me to update more financial information. Thanking you
NSE:NIFTY
by viswanath_ktc
Nifty Trading Strategy for 01 August 2025📊 NIFTY INTRADAY STRATEGY 🕒 Timeframe: 15-Minute Candle ✅ BUY Setup Trigger: Buy above the High of the 15-min candle that closes above 24,860 🎯 Targets: 1️⃣ 24,892 2️⃣ 24,928 3️⃣ 24,952 💡 Logic: Momentum continues if the price sustains above recent resistance. ❌ SELL Setup Trigger: Sell below the Low of the 15-min candle that closes below 24,675 🎯 Targets: 1️⃣ 24,640 2️⃣ 24,609 3️⃣ 24,573 💡 Logic: Weakness expected if price sustains below support. ⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This information is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. 📌 Trade at your own risk. Always use stop-loss and follow proper risk management.
NSE:NIFTY
by ramkkyy
Nifty 4 hrs time frame wave analysis STRONGE BUYING ZONE 24500-24400 Nifty trade in consolidation phase on weekly time frame, consolidation phase have key of next impulse wave. The market moves up and down in wave form so we study nifty chart in 4hrs time frame, this consolidation phase I read (denoted by) as ABCDE minor degree . E-wave is the last consolidation phase which we are going to study further: Now Questions is how to understand down fall ? lets discuss about down fall in waves structure as simple as Minute degree ((w)) ((x)) ((y)) ((x)) ((z)). Internal structure of these waves Minute degree ((w)) internal waves as minuette degree (a) (b) (c) Minute degree ((y)) internal waves as minuette degree (a) (b) (c) Minute degree ((w)) ((x)) ((y)) ((x)) have been completed by market Wave ((z)) is in-progress it may be in three waves Internal structure of wave ((z)) , according to me market has completed wave (a) and wave (b) and wave (c) is in-progress wave (c) will end between 24500 and 24400 range so conclusion is that all sell setup will be valid below 24961 and target area 24500 to 24400. I think it is last down fall as I have read the structure. 24500 to 24400 is strong buying zone in weekly time frame, here buyers will try to investment maximum capital in the market for next motive waves, if all buyers got success in pulling the market then it must go at minimum 27500 on weekly time frame. Thank you Disclaimer I am not SEBI registered financial adviser, it is my personal research and posted for only educational purpose. Before taking any trade or investments please take advice from your financial adviser. MKT Learner
NSE:NIFTYLong
by meenaanita613
1
Nifty super resilience and stronger than before Everything we discussed in yesterday’s commentary played out beautifully: 1. We noted that sellers were stronger than buyers — and the market opened gap down, just as expected. 2. I also highlighted that the Intraday chart looked bullish — and yes, we saw a solid bounce intraday. 3. Later in the day, the market reversed again — exactly how the red flag on the daily chart warned us. This kind of price behavior confirms one thing: the market is flowing in sync with our planning. And when that happens, it becomes the perfect ground for my trading style. I’ll continue focusing on my momentum setups with full confidence. Now let’s come back to the market: NSE:NIFTY has shown strong resilience. Despite all the noise around the Trump news, it managed to close above the key support of 24700 — a sign of strength. Pivot has now shifted to 24786, and Pivot Percentile is just 0.07%. This tells us that any sustained move above 24796 can unleash a sharp directional move. Support remains firm at 24750. More importantly, buyers have outnumbered sellers by 28 million — setting a strong tone as we step into August. NSE:BANKNIFTY also looks primed. Pivot Percentile is at an ultra-tight 0.02%, and buyer volume leads by 29 million. Support is placed at 55550, with resistance around 55976. A breakout here could kickstart a fresh trend. Sector-wise, Construction and NSE:CNXREALTY are gaining traction. Oil & Energy is also showing promising signs. Keep an eye on NSE:ASHOKLEY over the next few sessions — something’s brewing there. Today I traded just one setup — NSE:BELRISE . Booked a clean 2% intraday gain, though the stock went on to give over 5% after exit. Still, a green trade is a good trade. That’s all for the day. Take care and have a profitable tomorrow.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Trendxinc
NIFTY- Intraday Levels - 1st August 2025If NIFTY sustain above 24780 above this bullish then 24813/25 then 24868 to 24902/08 above this more bullish then 24948/60/72 strong level then last stop if comes would be to 24996/25002/14 If NIFTY sustain below 24738 below this bearish then around 24692/77/68/54 below this more bearish then 24588/64/52/44/28/18 then wait My analysis is for your study and analysis only, also consider my analysis could be wrong and to safeguard the trade risk management is must The market's direction is currently unclear, suggesting potential movement in both direction and also consider Friday factor. If prices rise during the opening session or within the first couple of hours, we anticipate selling pressure from significant resistance levels. Conversely, if prices fall during the initial hour or two, we expect buying interest to emerge from strong support levels. Consider some buffer points in above levels. Please comment if you wish to see my analysis for any script/stock. Please do your due diligence before trading or investment. **Disclaimer -  I am not a SEBI registered analyst or advisor. I does not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any information, conversation, or content. Stock trading is inherently risky and the users agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that they make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of these communications should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. The users understands and acknowledges that there is a very high risk involved in trading securities. By using this information, the user agrees that use of this information is entirely at their own risk. Thank you.
NSE:NIFTY
by PrashantTaralkar
1
Trade Plan Description for Tomorrow August 1, 2025Bullish Zones & Strategy (Call / CE Levels) Above 24,765 (Opening S1): If price sustains above this, bias may shift positive. 🔹 Buy CE (Call) above this level with stop below S1. Key Upside Resistance Levels: 24,940 – Above this, positive trade view builds (Strong CE Hold). 25,100 - 25,150 – CE entry & momentum zone. 25,350 - 25,382 – Shot Cover Zone (Strong resistance, book profit or expect reversal). 🔻 Bearish Zones & Strategy (Put / PE Levels) Below 24,765: Stay cautious – move toward bearish bias if price sustains below. 🔸 Buy PE (Put) below this level with stop above. Key Downside Support Levels: 24,708 – R1 level; below this, PE strength increases. 24,550 - 24,500 – PE by-level zone. 24,370 – Safe Zone for PE traders. 24,173 - 24,130 – Unwinding + Fib Support.
NSE:NIFTY
by mayuraj_820
2
NIFTY 50 Intraday Review – July 31, 2025 | V-Shaped Reversal📉 NIFTY 50 Intraday Review – July 31, 2025 | V-Shaped Reversal & Weak Close 📅 Date: July 31, 2025 📍 Timeframe: 5-minute Heikin Ashi 📈 Indicator Used: RSI (18, 60-40-20 zones) ⚠️ Key Highlights: Gap-down open near 24,699 due to macro news: U.S. announced 25% tariffs on Indian goods. Intraday low at 24,635, marking a sharp early fall as sentiment was hit by FII selling pressure. Market staged a strong V-shaped recovery, peaking at 24,956.50 — almost +300 pts from the low. From 1:15 PM, profit booking set in and Nifty lost over 180 pts from its high. Closed at 24,768.35, still down 86.70 pts (-0.35%) for the day. 🔍 Technical Observations: RSI (18): Early RSI drop to ~20.31 (oversold zone) triggered bounce. Midday RSI surged above 68, showing strength in recovery. By EOD, RSI dropped back to ~20 — hinting bearish divergence. Heikin Ashi candles: Strong green candles till early afternoon confirm trend strength. Series of red candles post-1:30 PM confirms profit-booking / weak close. 📊 Levels to Watch – August 1, 2025 Support Zone Resistance Zone 24,735 / 24,635 24,890 / 24,960 If the index fails to reclaim 24,800+ quickly in the next session, we may see a bearish continuation. Otherwise, a bounce toward 24,900 remains on the cards. 💡 Trading Bias: 🟠 Cautious Bearish Monitor early session RSI & price action. No long positions unless 24,800 is reclaimed. 📌 #Nifty50 #IntradayAnalysis #HeikinAshi #RSI #PriceAction #FIIoutflow #IndiaMarkets
NSE:NIFTYShort
by ajayekka002
Nifty Market Structure & Trade Plan 1st August🔎 Market Structure Overview 4H Timeframe Price rejected sharply from the 24,940–24,960 resistance zone (FVG + Supply). Current close around 24,765, showing a rejection candle. Key support demand zone at 24,650–24,680 remains untested after today’s fall. Bias: Bearish-to-neutral, unless price sustains above 24,900. 1H Timeframe Clean rejection from the supply zone 24,930–24,960. A fresh FVG created near 24,820–24,860; watch if it acts as resistance on retest. Liquidity sweep visible above 24,920, indicating potential reversal confirmation. Structure suggests lower high formation underway. 15M Timeframe Intraday price action shows: BOS (Break of Structure) on the downside after liquidity grab. Immediate support zone around 24,680–24,700. Resistance has shifted lower into the 24,820–24,860 band. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance Zones 24,930–24,960 → Strong supply / shorting area 25,050–25,100 → Next FVG resistance if 24,960 breaks Support Zones 24,680–24,700 → Immediate support 24,460–24,500 → Major demand zone (next swing support) 📝 Trade Plan (1st August) 🔻 Bearish Scenario (High Probability) Sell on retest of 24,820–24,860 zone Entry: 24,830–24,850 SL: Above 24,960 Targets: 24,700 → 24,500 🔼 Bullish Contingency (Only if breakout above 24,960 holds) Buy above 24,960 with retest confirmation Entry: 24,970–25,000 SL: 24,860 Targets: 25,100 → 25,220 📍 Bias Short-term bias: Bearish (unless 24,960 is reclaimed) Preferred setups: Sell on pullback into resistance
NSE:NIFTYShort
by BhardwajVipin
1
Open Interest & Option Chain AnalysisIn the world of options trading, two of the most critical analytical tools are Open Interest (OI) and Option Chain Analysis. While price and volume are commonly used indicators, OI and the Option Chain give unique insights into market sentiment, strength of price movements, and likely support/resistance zones. Let’s break down both concepts thoroughly and understand how you can use them to make smarter trading decisions. 1. What is Open Interest (OI)? Open Interest (OI) refers to the total number of outstanding (open) option contracts that have not been settled or squared off. These contracts can be either calls or puts, and each open contract reflects a position that has been initiated but not yet closed. Important: OI is not the same as volume. Volume counts the number of contracts traded in a day. OI shows how many contracts are still open and active. Example: If Trader A buys 1 lot of Nifty Call and Trader B sells it, OI increases by 1. If later one of them exits the trade (either buy or sell), OI decreases by 1. If the same contract is bought and sold multiple times in a day, volume increases, but OI remains the same unless a new position is created or closed. 2. Interpreting Open Interest Changes Here’s how to interpret changes in OI: Price Movement OI Movement Interpretation Price ↑ OI ↑ Long Buildup (bullish) Price ↓ OI ↑ Short Buildup (bearish) Price ↑ OI ↓ Short Covering (bullish) Price ↓ OI ↓ Long Unwinding (bearish) This table is a cheat sheet for OI interpretation. Let’s break them down with simple language: Long Buildup: Traders are buying calls/puts expecting further rise. (Positive sentiment) Short Buildup: Traders are selling expecting fall. (Negative sentiment) Short Covering: Sellers are closing their shorts due to rising prices. (Momentum shift to bullish) Long Unwinding: Buyers are exiting as prices fall. (Loss of bullish strength) 3. What is Option Chain? The Option Chain is a table or listing that shows all the available strike prices for a particular underlying (like Nifty, Bank Nifty, or a stock) along with key data: Call & Put Options Strike Prices Premiums (LTP) Open Interest (OI) Change in OI Volume Implied Volatility (IV) Structure of Option Chain An Option Chain is usually divided into two sides: Left Side → Call Options Right Side → Put Options In the middle, you have the Strike Prices listed. 4. Key Elements in Option Chain Analysis A. Strike Price The set price at which the holder can buy (Call) or sell (Put) the asset. At the Money (ATM): Closest to current spot price In the Money (ITM): Profitable if exercised Out of the Money (OTM): Not profitable if exercised now B. Open Interest (OI) Shows how many contracts are still open for each strike. Higher OI means greater trader interest. C. Change in OI Shows how much OI has increased or decreased. This is critical for real-time sentiment tracking. Increase in OI + Rising premium = Strength Increase in OI + Falling premium = Resistance or Support forming D. Volume Number of contracts traded today. Shows activity and liquidity. E. Implied Volatility (IV) Indicates market expectation of future volatility. High IV means higher premiums. 5. How to Read Option Chain for Support & Resistance One of the most powerful uses of Option Chain Analysis is identifying short-term support and resistance. Highest OI on Call Side = Resistance Highest OI on Put Side = Support This happens because: Sellers of Calls don’t want price to rise above their sold strike Sellers of Puts don’t want price to fall below their sold strike Example: Let’s say: 19700 CE has 45 lakh OI 19500 PE has 40 lakh OI This implies: Resistance = 19700 Support = 19500 So, traders expect Nifty to remain between 19500–19700. Conclusion Open Interest and Option Chain Analysis are powerful tools to understand the mood of the market. They help traders: Find real-time support and resistance Gauge market direction and strength Understand where big players (institutions) are placing their bets Plan both intraday and positional trades with more accuracy But remember, OI and Option Chain are not standalone indicators. Combine them with price action, volume, and technical levels for better results.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TechnicalExpress
2