#Nifty Weekly Analysis 14-07-25 to 18-07-25#Nifty Weekly Analysis 14-07-25 to 18-07-25
25000-25070 is the PRZ area which will act as major support for next week.
25420-25500 is the resistance for next week.
Option sellers can sell the range from 25000-25500 for next week.
Plan a long from support with confirmation in price action.
Short level is ONLY below 24900.
View: Trend is upside in weekly/daily TFs. Check for bullish reversal in 15 mins from support.
INDIA50CFD trade ideas
NIFTY: BULL or BEAR? 12-JUL-2025Nifty keeps on falling after reaching the high of 25669.x.
Note: the support 25434 is already broken and moving more down. Is the market top out, can we see more down?
Everyone is blaming because of TRUMP tariff the market is falling. But this is healthy correction N technically valid. I expect the reversal soon in the coming days/weeks.
As of now Base supports are 25355/21734.
If it moves down more, we can see 24991/24777. But as per me this will be less probability.
I expect the market to TURN UP soon and expecting 27K (25955/26500/27K) first.
Normal targets: 27277-27900-2855
Ultimate targets: 30200-30755-32400.
NOTE: BELOW 24355 NIFTY WEAK and can show more down move before BIG REVERSAL.
MY VIEW: BUY ON DIPS.
NIFTY 50 Index - Bullish Setup Inside Rising ChannelDescription:
The NIFTY 50 is currently trading inside a well-defined ascending channel on the 4H chart. After a series of higher highs and higher lows, price action has now pulled back from the upper boundary of the channel and is approaching the lower trendline support.
Key observations:
The rising channel has been respected multiple times, confirming its validity.
Price is currently near the midline of the channel and could dip slightly lower toward the channel bottom (around 25,000 zone).
A bullish reversal is anticipated from the lower channel line, offering a high-probability long setup.
Resistance levels to watch: 25,355 and 25,549.
Strong support lies at 24,508, which is also a psychological level if the channel fails.
The idea is to wait for a bullish confirmation at the lower boundary and then ride the next potential leg upward toward the top of the channel.
Summary:
Bias: Bullish
Structure: Ascending Channel
Entry Zone: Near channel bottom (around 25,000)
Target: Top of channel (approx. 25,800+)
Invalidation: Breakdown below 24,508
Delta Neutral Strategy – How Pros Make Money Without Direction!Hello Traders!
Most traders believe profits only come from predicting market direction. But professionals know a secret: you don’t always need to predict — you can neutralise! Today’s post is about the powerful Delta Neutral Strategy , a technique used by institutions and smart option writers to earn consistently even in sideways or uncertain markets.
What is a Delta Neutral Strategy?
It’s a position where the overall delta (directional exposure) of your trades is zero . That means, whether the market goes slightly up or down, your position stays unaffected — and you focus on time decay (theta) or volatility crush (vega) to generate profits.
Why Pros Love Delta Neutral Trades
No Need to Predict Direction: You’re not betting on bullish or bearish trends — you profit from time and volatility.
Ideal for Range-Bound Markets: When markets are consolidating, delta neutral setups thrive.
Lower Risk, Higher Consistency: With proper hedging, these setups offer smoother equity curves and capital protection.
Scalable Strategy: Institutions run massive delta-neutral books — it’s a proven method for large funds.
Popular Delta Neutral Setups
Short Straddles & Strangles: Collect premium from both Call and Put options — best for low volatility or strong resistance/support zones.
Iron Condor: A defined-risk variation that profits in a narrow range, great for weekly expiry strategies.
Calendar Spreads: Benefit from time decay differences between near and far expiry options.
Risk Management is Key!
Delta neutral doesn’t mean zero risk. Use proper stop-loss, position sizing, and adjustment techniques to control loss during trending moves or volatility spikes.
Rahul’s Tip
“Neutral is powerful — when used right.” Mastering delta-neutral trading can unlock consistent profits without playing guessing games on direction. Just let the premiums work in your favour!
Conclusion
The Delta Neutral Strategy is not just for pros — even retail traders can learn it and build a consistent, low-stress income model. If you’re tired of predicting every move, maybe it’s time to shift to a strategy where direction doesn’t matter — risk management does .
Have you tried delta-neutral trades before? Please share your experience below and let’s grow together!
renderwithme | Nifty 50's movement for the week of July 14–18, Predicting the Nifty 50's movement for the week of July 14–18, 2025,
Involves analyzing recent market trends, technical indicators, and macroeconomic factors based on available data. Here’s a concise analysis:Market ContextRecent Performance: The Nifty 50 closed at 25,149.85 on July 11, 2025, down 0.78% from the previous day, reflecting a bearish session driven by losses in IT, auto, and oil & gas stocks. The index has been volatile, with a weekly decline of 0.59% but a monthly gain of 0.63%.
# Global Cues:
Mixed global market trends are influencing sentiment. U.S. markets are at record highs, but Wall Street futures are down, and Asian markets are mixed (e.g., Nikkei 225 up, Hang Seng down). The looming U.S. tariff deadline and potential U.S.–India trade agreement talks are key events to watch.
#FII/DII Activity:
Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have been selling, which may weigh on short-term sentiment, while Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) could provide support.
~~ Technical Analysis ~~
Trend: The Nifty 50 is in a broader uptrend but showing signs of a short-term correction. It closed below the key level of 25,400, indicating potential weakness. Technical indicators suggest a sideways to bearish bias for the near term.
#Support and Resistance:
Support: Key support lies at 24,900–25,133. A break below 24,900 could lead to further declines toward 24,700 or 24,500.
Resistance: Immediate resistance is at 25,500–25,650. A sustained move above 25,650 could signal bullish momentum toward 25,770–26,000.
# Indicators:
Moving Averages: The index is above its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day EMAs, supporting a bullish long-term trend, but recent selling pressure at higher levels indicates consolidation.
# Sectoral Outlook
Bullish Sectors: Banking, pharma, realty, oil & gas, and media showed resilience last week, with stocks like HDFC Bank, Bajaj Finance, and Coal India gaining.
Bearish Sectors: IT, metals, telecom, and auto underperformed. IT stocks like TCS, HCL Tech, and Infosys dragged the index due to weak Q1 results (e.g., TCS reported a 6% profit increase but faced margin pressure).
Key Events to WatchU.S.–India Trade Talks: Clarity on a potential interim trade agreement could boost sentiment, especially for export-oriented sectors.
FOMC Minutes: The release of FOMC minutes may influence global rate expectations, impacting FII flows.
Forecast for July 14–18, 2025Expected Range: The Nifty 50 is likely to trade between 25,000–25,750. A break below 24,900 could test 24,500, while a move above 25,650 may target 26,000.
~~ Disclaimer --
This analysis is based on recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources. It is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading.
#Boost and comment will be highly appreciated
NIFTY AT CRUCIAL LEVELSNifty witnessed the worst fall in past 2 months, thanks to the IT and AUTO sector. There were major reasons fundamentally like rupee falling , Tariffs on canada, weak start to earnings month and FII's selling .
However technically nifty gave a breakout on 25 june from the 25199 level and post 3 weeks it could not sustain that level due to prolonged selling and global uncertainties. Nifty is basically retesting the breakout and i feel it would consolidate here for a while and then take further leap on the upside and making all time high
I feel nifty can still rally 13% if it sustains this 25189 - 25149 levels
11 July 2025 - Nifty gave away the bullishness yesterdayNifty Stance Bearish 🐻
If you look at the last two reversal signals, they ended up eating away our profits. Consecutive stop loss hits can wipe out a sizeable chunk of your trade money, and the best solution is to have a trend later.
The recent bearish crossover occurred at 11:23 on July 10th, and most of you would have received the message via TradingView Minds and email. When we reversed yesterday, the market was not particularly convincing, but the proof came today with a decent 205 point fall.
The reason for the fall could be sentimental or news-based (tariff), but now that we have an EMA crossover signal, we will continue to look out for bearish trade opportunities. Personally, would love to see another 300pts fall this week to regain some lost money :)
I haven't marked the support and resistance levels at these levels, and one of these days, I intend to spend half a day on that. Support and resistance levels, as you know, gives a better signal if the market will pause or reverse.
NIFTY- Intraday Levels - 14th July 2025If NIFTY sustain above 25165 above this bullish then around 25197 then around 25226 above this more bullish then 25284 to 25310 or 25336 to 25352 then 25366 to 25381 then wait
If NIFTY sustain below 25141 below this bearish then around 25116 to 25110 below this more bearish then 25084 to 25058 last hope then wait
Consider some buffer points in above levels.
Please comment if you wish to see my analysis for any script/stock.
Please do your due diligence before trading or investment.
**Disclaimer -
I am not a SEBI registered analyst or advisor. I does not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any information, conversation, or content. Stock trading is inherently risky and the users agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that they make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of these communications should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. The users understands and acknowledges that there is a very high risk involved in trading securities. By using this information, the user agrees that use of this information is entirely at their own risk.
Thank you.
Nifty call for 11-07-2025Nifty may open 100 points gap down as per SGX NIFTY due to trump imposed additional 35% tariffs on canada which is effected from 1st August. It has brought fear into the market participants once again. A long red candle was formed in yesterday trading wiithout any bounce back from lower levels with decent volumes which is indicated market is gripped by bears, so i advised to investors followed sell on rise strategy at resistance levels instead of buy on dips at support levels.
Support levels : 25264,25140
Resistance levels : 25335,25420
Disclimer : I AM NOT A SEBI RESEARCH ANALYST OR FINANCIAL ADVISOR, these recommendations are only for education purpose, not for trading and investment purpose please take an advise from your financial advisor before investing on my recommendations.
🙏 : If you liked my content please suggest to your friends follow my trading channel. Your likes and comments provide boosting to me to update more financial information.
Thanking you
NIFTY INDEX INTRADAY LEVELS ( EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ) 11/07/2025📈 Nifty 50 Index Intraday Trade Plan – 11 July
🕒 Analysis on 15-min | Trades on 1-min TF
🔍 Market Context:
Nifty is approaching key support zone near 25,340–25,350
If broken, downside momentum expected
If it holds, intraday bounce possible
🟢 BUY Setup (Bounce from Support Zone)
✅ BUY above 25,365
🎯 Target 1: 25,410
🎯 Target 2: 25,450
🛑 Stop Loss: 25,330
🔎 Entry Trigger: Bullish engulfing or strong 1-min green candle after bounce
🔴 SELL Setup (Breakdown of Support)
✅ SELL below 25,330
🎯 Target 1: 25,280
🎯 Target 2: 25,240
🛑 Stop Loss: 25,365
🔎 Entry Trigger: Volume spike on breakdown; avoid first red candle trap
⚠️ Flat Opening (Between 25,340–25,365)
🔄 Range Play until breakout
🔁 Buy dips at 25,340 with SL: 25,320
🔁 Sell rallies near 25,400–25,420 with SL: 25,440
⚙️ 1-Min Scalping Tips
🕔 Wait 5 mins post market open
🚫 Avoid trading in first 1–2 candles unless breakout/breakdown confirmed
🔍 Volume + structure-based confirmation needed
📊 Follow strict 1:2 risk-reward ratio
NIFTY MATHEMATICAL LEVELSThese Levels are based on purely mathematical calculations.
Validity of levels are upto expiry of current week.
How to use these levels :-
* Mark these levels on your chart.
* Safe players Can use 15 min Time Frame
* Risky Traders Can use 5 min. Time Frame
* When Candle give Breakout / Breakdown to any level we have to enter with High/Low of that breaking candle.
* Targets will be another level marked on chart
* Stop Loss will be Low/High of that Breaking Candle.
* Trail your SL with every candle.
* Avoid Big Candles as SL will be high then.
* This is one of the Best Risk Reward Setup.
For Educational purpose only
Nifty open gap down after TCS results then will go up again How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone: D13% -D15% is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone : SL 23% and SL 25% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
NIFTY- Intraday Levels - 11th July 2025If NIFTY sustain above 25358 to 25379 above this bullish then 25407 to 25435 above this more bullish then 25465 to 25479 or 25487 to 25493, in extreme case we may see 25522 to 25555
If NIFTY sustain below 25324 to 25296 below this bearish then around 25262 below this more bearish then 25234 to 25217 then wait
Consider some buffer points in above levels.
Please comment if you wish to see my analysis for any script/stock.
Please do your due diligence before trading or investment.
**Disclaimer -
I am not a SEBI registered analyst or advisor. I does not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any information, conversation, or content. Stock trading is inherently risky and the users agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that they make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of these communications should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. The users understands and acknowledges that there is a very high risk involved in trading securities. By using this information, the user agrees that use of this information is entirely at their own risk.
Thank you.
Nifty Trading Strategy for 11th july 2025📈 NIFTY Intraday Breakout Strategy (15-Min Chart)
🗓️ Timeframe: 15-Minute Candle
📍 Instrument: NIFTY Futures / NIFTY Index (based on your preferred trading setup)
🛠️ Strategy Type: Intraday – Breakout Based
🟢 BUY Setup:
✅ Entry Condition:
Go long (Buy) if a 15-minute candle closes above its high, and that high is above 25,435.
🎯 Tarets:
🔹 Target 1: 25,460
🔹 Target 2: 25,490
🔹 Target 3: 25,535
🛑 Suggested Stop Loss: Below the breakout candle's low.
📌 Tip: Ensure proper volume confirmation and avoid entering during sideways or volatile news events.
🔴 SELL Setup:
✅ Entry Condition:
Go short (Sell) if a 15-minute candle closes below its low, and that low is below 25,300.
🎯 Targets:
🔻 Target 1: 25,270
🔻 Target 2: 25,245
🔻 Target 3: 25,205
🛑 Suggested Stop Loss: Above the breakdown candle's high.
📌 Tip: Best executed during trending market sessions, especially near market open or post-lunch volatility.
🧠 Pro Tips:
Combine with moving averages or RSI divergence for added confirmation.
Avoid trading during major economic events like RBI policy, inflation data, or global cues unless you are experienced.
Always maintain a Risk-Reward Ratio of 1:2 or better.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This trading idea is shared for educational purposes only. I am not a SEBI registered advisor. Please do your own research or consult a certified financial advisor before acting on any trade ideas.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves significant risk. Always use stop-loss and proper risk management.
We Might See 25000 Level Testing in Nifty Today's price action in NSE:NIFTY formed a classic Supply Candle—indicating strong seller dominance with hardly any buying interest throughout the session.
Heading into tomorrow, we are likely to witness one of two potential scenarios:
Scenario 1:
We may open with a gap-down, driven by the pressure of today’s supply. If that happens, expect the opening to be below 25285.
In this case, avoid buying the dip. Instead, look to sell on any intraday bounce near 25333.
Scenario 2:
Alternatively, we could see a mild gap-up due to call unwinding, triggered by the emergence of a new resistance zone.
If the index approaches 25400, that will be a strong supply area. In such a scenario, look to initiate short positions near 25400 with a stop-loss around 25433 (on hourly closing basis).
Also, keep an eye on 25222. If we bounce from this level in the second half, it would suggest strength returning for the coming week.
However, a failure to hold this support and a close below it could push us towards the 25000 mark.
NSE:BANKNIFTY also continues to show weakness. Immediate support is around 56700, while resistance stands at 57100.
With earnings season underway, this is a crucial time to focus on the Earning Pivot strategy.
Stay selective—only trade setups with strong earnings-backed pivots.
On the sectoral front, Power continues to lead. I traded NSE:HPL today which still looks good.
Next in line are NSE:CNXFMCG and #SUGAR—both sectors showing early signs of strength.
Let me remind you—chaos often breeds the best opportunities. Use this phase to curate your watchlist for the next leg of the rally.
That will be all for today. Trade smart and have a profitable tomorrow.
NIFTY: Trading levels and plan for 11-Jul-2025📈 NIFTY INTRADAY PLAN – 11 JULY 2025 (15-min TF)
A level-based, educational breakdown to help traders plan trades across opening scenarios.
📍 Previous Close: 25,348.25
📊 Consider 100+ points for Gap classification
⏱️ Pro Tip: Allow first 15–30 mins of price action to settle and confirm direction before entering trades.
📌 KEY ZONES TO MONITOR
Resistance for Sideways: 25,574 – 25,605
Last Intraday Resistance: 25,506
Opening Resistance for Sideways: 25,439
Opening Resistance/Support Zone: 25,377
Opening Support Zone: 25,288 – 25,311
Buyer's Support Zone (Must Try Zone): 25,221 – 25,246
🚀 SCENARIO 1: GAP-UP OPENING (Above 25,439)
Bias: Bullish but expect sideways to resistance at higher zones
If Nifty opens above 25,439 , it may retest the Last Intraday Resistance: 25,506 quickly.
Sustainable strength above this level can lead to the upper resistance zone between 25,574 – 25,605 , where profit booking is expected.
Avoid fresh CE buying if prices reach the top resistance zone too quickly after open – wait for price cooling or consolidation.
On sharp gap-up days, wait for a pullback to 25,439 to see if it acts as support before continuing higher.
📊 SCENARIO 2: FLAT OPENING (Near 25,348 – 25,377)
Bias: Neutral-to-bearish depending on early structure
If Nifty opens flat between 25,348 – 25,377 , it may face immediate selling pressure.
Support lies around 25,288 – 25,311 ; bulls will try to defend this zone.
Breakdown below this zone can trigger a drift toward Buyer’s Support Zone: 25,221 – 25,246 , which is ideal for reversal trades.
Look for strong reversal candles like hammer or engulfing patterns at buyer's zone to take call side trades.
📉 SCENARIO 3: GAP-DOWN OPENING (Below 25,288)
Bias: Bearish with potential buy-on-dip opportunities
If Nifty opens below 25,288 , initial support comes in the Buyer’s Support Zone: 25,221 – 25,246 .
Watch for price reaction here – if bulls defend this zone, expect a sharp bounce-back move.
If this zone is breached with volume, don’t force counter-trades – wait for re-entry signals above 25,246 again.
On the bounce, target toward 25,311 – 25,377, but trail stop as we approach resistance.
💡 OPTIONS TRADING – RISK MANAGEMENT TIPS
Use ATM or ITM options to reduce the impact of time decay, especially in sideways zones.
Avoid trading aggressively in the first 5-minute candle — let price structure settle.
Stick to 15-min candle SL closing logic to reduce false stop-outs.
Avoid buying both CE & PE (straddle) blindly on volatile days — pick a side with confirmation.
If VIX is high, consider hedged strategies like spreads.
Secure profits early after 2:30 PM – avoid fresh entries late unless very high conviction.
📌 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION
Bullish Pathway: Above 25,439 with target toward 25,605
Neutral Zone: 25,348 – 25,377 (watch for confirmation)
Bearish Trigger: Below 25,288, eyes on reversal from 25,221 – 25,246
Observe volume, candle structure, and overall market tone to validate bias
Discipline and execution with risk control are more important than direction
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before taking trades.
STRONG REJECTION exactly as analysed!!As we can see NIFTY showed directional downward move exactly as analysed. Now that NIFTY has closed again at important demand zone from where it got rejected previously, but now the formation of this candle shows the strength of bear over bulls, Hence any closing below 25300 should lead to another strong downfall so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
Nifty 50 Intraday Trade Plan 11 july 2025🔴 Resistance & Shorting Zones:
25,620.00
🔹 Above 10m Closing = Short Cover level
🔹 Below 10m = PE by Safe Zone
25,518.00
🔹 Above 10m = Hold CE by Entry level
🔹 Below 10m = PE by Risky Zone
25,420.00
🔹 Above 10m = Hold Positive Trade View
🔹 Below 10m = Negative Trade View
⚖️ Neutral / Opening Zone:
25,348.25 (CMP)
🔸 Above Opening S1 = Hold CE by Level
🔸 Below Opening R1 = Hold PE by Level
🟠 Intermediate Support/Resistance:
25,260.00
🔸 Above 10m = Hold CE by Level
🔸 Below 10m = Hold PE by Level
🟢 Support & Unwinding Zones:
25,178.00
🔹 Above 10m = CE by Safe Zone
🔹 Below 10m = Unwinding Level
📌 Summary:
A move above 25,420 may shift view to bullish/intraday CE hold.
Below 25,260 suggests weakness, possible PE play.
Major support at 25,178, breakdown below this might trigger heavy unwinding.
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 10th July 2025NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 25575 – 25625 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 25750 – 25800 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 25325 – 25275 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 25100 – 25050 range.
Any positive news on India US trade deal will lift the market otherwise the same sideways market is expected.