ETH Price Outlook – Consolidation Phase Before ExpansionETH Price Outlook – Consolidation Phase Before Expansion
Ethereum has been trading with mixed sentiment after its recent surge, creating a period of indecision where both bullish and bearish flows are visible. The market has shifted from an impulsive rise into a phase of correction, where price is probing lower levels to test demand before establishing the next trend.
Recent activity shows sharp swings on both sides, reflecting a battle between profit-taking and fresh positioning. Sellers have been active, but each decline still encounters buyers stepping in, preventing a deeper breakdown. This pattern suggests that the market is in a balancing phase, where short-term pressure coexists with longer-term accumulation.
The overall structure points toward a scenario where current weakness may serve as a preparation stage for another expansion move. Volatility is likely to remain elevated, and once liquidity pockets are cleared, momentum could shift more decisively, paving the way for stronger directional movement.
ETHUST.P trade ideas
Part 2 Master Candlestick Pattern1. Liquidity Risk – When You Can’t Exit
Some options, especially far out-of-the-money strikes or illiquid stocks, don’t have enough buyers and sellers. This creates wide bid-ask spreads.
You may be forced to buy at a higher price and sell at a lower price.
In extreme cases, you might not find a counterparty to exit at all.
👉 Example:
Suppose you buy an illiquid stock option at ₹10. The bid is ₹8, and the ask is ₹12. If you want to sell, you may only get ₹8 — losing 20% instantly.
Lesson: Stick to liquid contracts with high open interest and trading volume.
2. Assignment Risk – The Surprise Factor
If you sell (write) options, you carry assignment risk. That means the buyer can exercise the option at any time (in American-style options).
A short call may be assigned if the stock rises sharply.
A short put may be assigned if the stock falls heavily.
👉 Example:
If you sell a put option of Infosys at ₹1,500 strike, and the stock crashes to ₹1,400, you may be forced to buy shares at ₹1,500 — incurring a huge loss.
Lesson: Always be prepared for early exercise if you are a seller.
3. Gap Risk – Overnight Shocks
Markets don’t always move smoothly. They can gap up or down overnight due to global events, earnings, or news. This is gap risk.
If you are holding positions overnight, you cannot control what happens after market close.
Protective stop-losses don’t work in gap openings because the market opens directly at a higher or lower level.
👉 Example:
You sell a call option on a stock at ₹500 strike. Overnight, the company announces stellar results, and the stock opens at ₹550. Your stop-loss at ₹510 is useless — you are already deep in loss.
Lesson: Overnight positions carry additional dangers.
4. Interest Rate and Dividend Risk
Option pricing models also factor in interest rates and dividends.
Rising interest rates generally increase call premiums and reduce put premiums.
Dividends reduce call prices and increase put prices because the stock is expected to fall on ex-dividend date.
For index options or long-dated stock options, ignoring this can lead to mispricing.
5. Psychological Risk – The Human Weakness
Not all risks come from markets. Many come from the trader’s own mind.
Greed: Holding on for bigger profits and losing it all.
Fear: Exiting too early or avoiding trades.
Overtrading: Trying to chase every move.
Revenge trading: Doubling down after a loss.
👉 Example:
A trader makes a profit of ₹20,000 in a day but refuses to book gains, hoping for ₹50,000. By market close, the profit vanishes and turns into a ₹10,000 loss.
Lesson: Emotional discipline is as important as technical knowledge.
6. Systemic & Black Swan Risks
Finally, there are risks no model can predict — sudden wars, pandemics, financial crises, regulatory bans, or exchange outages. These are systemic or Black Swan risks.
👉 Example:
In March 2020 (Covid crash), markets fell 30% in weeks. Option premiums shot up wildly, and many traders were wiped out.
Lesson: Always respect uncertainty. No system is foolproof.
ETHUSDT: Strong Uptrend with Solid SupportETHUSDT is currently experiencing a strong uptrend driven by the stability of the cryptocurrency market and strong fundamental factors. Despite some recent pullbacks, the primary trend remains bullish, supported by a solid foundation and positive investor sentiment.
Technical Analysis: ETHUSDT is currently testing a key support level at 3,985. If this level holds, there is a high probability of a rebound and continued upward momentum. The next resistance level is expected at 4,215.
Trading Strategy: If the price stays above the support level at 3,985, ETH is likely to continue rising towards the next resistance levels.
Outlook: Given the current fundamentals and technical indicators, ETHUSDT is likely to maintain its upward trajectory and target the 4,215 resistance level in the near future.
Liquidity Shift Suggests Extended Bearish CycleThe market is showing a progressive decline after losing upward strength. Recent swings indicate a decisive bearish control, with successive shifts in structure confirming the downward pressure. Attempts to recover higher levels have been shallow, reflecting exhaustion on the buy side and stronger liquidity flow toward sellers.
Market behavior suggests that rallies are being used as opportunities to exit or reposition short rather than initiate sustained bullish momentum. This is consistent with the overall weakening tone across the chart, where volatility spikes have favored downward extensions.
Looking ahead, if the current pace of distribution continues, the market is likely to maintain a bearish trajectory with potential for deeper declines as liquidity seeks out lower price ranges.
ETH plan 1/9/2025 LTFTrading Plan for ETH
Primary Scenario (Red Path)
Expect a pullback toward the 4,000 level, forming a potential bottom structure.
Alternate Scenario (Blue Path)
If price breaks below 4,000, watch for deeper retracement toward the FVG HTF (~3,800) or even the Demand zone (~3,400). This area may offer a higher-probability long setup for a rebound.
Plan will fail if ETH price reclaim 4900 zone
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 4,800–5,000 (YH)
Support: 4,000 (VAL), 3,800 (FVG), and 3,400 ~ 3,300 (Demand)
Strategy Notes
Look for confirmation signals (price action, volume) at key support zones.
Avoid chasing breakouts; focus on planned entries at zones of interest.
Use tight stops to manage risk, especially if price breaks below demand areas.
ETH Long🔎 Chart Breakdown:
1. Trendline Support (Orange Line)
• You’ve drawn an ascending trendline starting from Aug 26.
• Price just touched and bounced from this trendline around $4,490, showing it’s acting as a dynamic support.
2. EMA Indicators (15 & 35)
• Blue = EMA 15
• Yellow = EMA 35
• Currently, EMA 15 is below EMA 35 → short-term bearish bias, but if price holds the trendline, EMAs may start crossing bullish.
3. Support & Resistance Zones (Red & White Levels)
• Immediate support: $4,467 → just below current price.
• Major support: $4,370 → strong horizontal demand zone.
• Resistance levels:
• $4,570 (short-term resistance)
• $4,656 (next target/resistance)
• $4,854 (higher resistance).
4. Trade Setup on Chart (Green & Red Box)
• Looks like a long trade setup (buy position).
• Entry: Near $4,490 (trendline bounce).
• Take Profit (TP): Around $4,656.
• Stop Loss (SL): Below $4,370 zone.
• This gives a good risk-to-reward ratio if price respects the ascending trendline.
5. Volume
• No huge volume spike at the bounce, meaning confirmation is still weak.
• Need a strong bullish candle close above $4,570 for more conviction.
⸻
📌 Summary:
• ETH is bouncing from the ascending trendline at $4,490.
• If it holds, next upside targets are $4,570 → $4,656 → $4,854.
• If the trendline breaks, ETH could retest $4,370 support (and even $4,310 low).
This setup is a long position based on trendline support, but caution: if price closes below $4,467–$4,370, the bullish setup fails.
ETH on the road to $10,000? Let’s break it down🔥 ETH on the road to $10,000? Let’s break it down 👇
Here’s why ETH looks stronger than ever:
1️⃣ Big Money Flowing In
🔹 ETFs & public companies bought 4.4M ETH ($20B) this quarter.
🔹 Whales & Web3 firms added another 2M ETH.
🔹 That’s more than 5% of total supply absorbed in just months.
2️⃣ Record Network Growth
🔹 DEX trading volume at new highs.
🔹 Daily transactions & active wallets breaking records.
🔹 Stablecoin supply at ATH.
👉 Demand for Ethereum’s network is exploding.
3️⃣ Massive Supply Crunch
🔹 30% staked, 8% with institutions, 25% with long-term holders.
🔹 5% permanently lost.
🔹 Only 12% left on exchanges, shrinking fast.
🔹 Inflation rate just 0.5%, even lower than Bitcoin.
With retirement funds opening ETH access, rate cuts coming, and pro-crypto regulations, the demand will only increase while supply dries up.
Short-term dips may shake out weak hands… but the bigger picture is clear: ETH is heading above $10K this cycle.
Note: NFA & DYOR
Breakout in ETHEREUMA Big Breakout has happened in Ethereum in weekly time frame.
The Coin shoul be holded for months to achieve its final target.
As price has reached all time high which is its first target.
Rest two targets are 7400 and 7700.
No SL should be placed as the coin should be acquired on holding basis.
Note: This analysis is for Educational Purpose Only. Please invest after consulting a professional financial advisor.
[SeoVereign] ETHEREUM Outlook – August 12, 2025I will present a short position perspective on Ethereum for August 12.
This idea is based on the premise that the direction is downward, derived from a strict counting of Bitcoin, and the specific entry point was set based on the Shark pattern.
Accordingly, the average take-profit target was set at around 4,126 USDT.
I plan to continue updating this idea as the movement unfolds.
Thank you.
Trend Reversal Rejection Strategy | Higher High + Candle Confirm🔍 Idea Summary:
This strategy focuses on identifying trend reversal zones using classic Higher High (HH) and Lower Low (LL) structures followed by rejection confirmation candles.
🔻 Short Setup:
Price forms a Higher High.
Wait for a rejection candle (long wick, body closes inside previous range).
Confirm structure break and take short entry on confirmation.
✅ Example: On the left side of the chart, price printed a HH, followed by a strong rejection candle. That led to a clean move downward.
🔺 Long Setup:
Price forms a Lower Low.
Watch for a rejection candle near key support.
Enter long trade after confirmation.
✅ Example: Mid-chart shows price breaking to LL, then instantly rejecting with a strong bullish candle. Followed by a sustained move up.
🔴 Current Price Action:
Price is testing a potential new Higher High.
📌 Strategy suggests: Wait for a bearish rejection candle before shorting!
📈 Strategy Benefits:
Avoids impulsive entries
Combines structure with candle logic
Great for reversal traders and range scalpers
🔥 Like & follow for more real-time trading ideas!
💬 Drop your thoughts or questions below – let’s grow together, traders! 💪
#ETHUSDT #PriceAction #RejectionCandle #TrendReversal #SupportResistance #Scalping #TradingStrategy #Crypto #ChartPatterns #TechnicalAnalysis
[SeoVereign] ETHEREUM BEARISH Outlook – August 10, 2025In this idea, I would like to present a bearish perspective on Ethereum.
This perspective was derived based on the Elliott Wave Theory.
Until this pattern is confirmed, I have been continuously tracking the Elliott Waves and adding reasons for the bearish scenario one by one.
As a result, I have concluded that the next major move is likely to be downward, and while searching for a specific entry point, I detected the recent trendline break.
If this wave is clearly confirmed, I believe there is a high possibility of a decline to around the average take-profit level of 3763 USDT without much difficulty, and therefore, I am considering entering a short position.
All the details have been drawn on the chart, so please refer to it.
Thank you very much for reading, and as time goes by and the chart becomes clearer, I will continue to update this idea accordingly.
Thank you.
Scalping opportunity in ETHUSDT ??
Scalping Opportunity in ETH? 📉 Short Setup Below 3488
📈 ETHUSDT is currently in a strong uptrend on the higher timeframes.
However, on the lower timeframe, there's a possibility of a short-term correction.
🔻 A short position can be considered below 3488, targeting 3361.
If the weakness continues, the fall may extend to 2570. ETHUSDT might consolidate within this range (3488 to 3361) for the next few weeks.
So, a safe exit zone would be around 3361.
🎯 Plan the trade, manage risk, and trail your stops accordingly.
#ETH #ETHUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #TradingView
ETH rise foreverMy advanced fibo technical analysis says that It has 6100 easy target in sometime. Then It can take bit of a break and then rise other levels. My ultimate target for Etherium is unbelievably 10k in coming time. It's currently undervalues. If BTC touch 100k mark this can easily double triple in no time.
Follow the targets given in the chart.