ETH Setup You Can't Ignore:4k FVG to 5k Seller Zone ⚠️ ETH Setup You Can’t Ignore: 4K FVG to 5K SELLER ZONE!
ETHUSD – Fair Value Gap & Liquidity Sweep Setup
Ethereum is trading within a critical range, presenting a potential ICT-style setup:
Fair Value Gap (4000–4200) – Key demand zone with a “Golden Line” midpoint; price may dip to fill this imbalance before reversing.
Seller Zone (~5000) – Major supply zone where profit-taking or distribution could trigger.
Bias – Expect a sweep of downside liquidity, a reaction within the FVG, and a possible rally toward the 5000 zone if higher timeframe confluence supports it.
⚠️ Always wait for confirmation and manage risk before execution.
ETHWAVAX_1ACF15.USD trade ideas
ETH/USD 4H ANALYSIS
Ethereum continues to respect the ascending trendline from July lows. Price recently tested the $4,600 zone and is now pulling back slightly.
Trendline Support: Price remains above the rising trendline, showing buyers are still in control of the mid-term trend.
RSI (14): Currently at 56, holding above the 50 level → signals bullish momentum remains intact despite the pullback.
Short-Term Outlook: A retest of the trendline could provide a potential higher-low setup for continuation towards $4,800–$5,000.
Invalidation: A break and close below the trendline would weaken the bullish structure and open downside risk toward $4,200–$4,300.
🔑 Trading Plan
Bullish Bias: Look for long setups on successful retest of trendline + RSI staying above 50.
Bearish Scenario: If price closes below the trendline with RSI < 50, shift bias to short-term downside.
Relative Strength Index (RSI) in Trading1. Introduction to RSI
The financial markets operate on the constant tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. Traders have long sought tools to identify when markets are likely to reverse or continue trending. Among the most widely used technical indicators is the Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum oscillator developed to measure the speed and magnitude of recent price movements.
The RSI is not just a number; it’s a psychological mirror of the market, showing when traders may be overenthusiastic (overbought) or overly fearful (oversold). Since its introduction in 1978 by J. Welles Wilder Jr., RSI has become a cornerstone of technical analysis, used by retail traders, institutional investors, and even algorithmic systems across stocks, forex, commodities, and crypto.
2. History & Origin of RSI
RSI was introduced in Wilder’s famous book “New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems” (1978), alongside other indicators like the Average True Range (ATR) and Parabolic SAR. Wilder, a mechanical engineer turned trader, believed in quantifying market psychology.
Before RSI, momentum indicators existed, but they lacked a standardized scale. Wilder’s breakthrough was normalizing momentum into a range between 0 and 100, making it universally applicable and easier to interpret. Over time, RSI’s simplicity and adaptability allowed it to transcend asset classes, from Dow Jones stocks in the 80s to Bitcoin and Ethereum today.
3. Mathematical Formula & Calculation
The RSI formula is:
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𝑆
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=
100
−
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100
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RSI=100−(
1+RS
100
)
Where:
RS (Relative Strength) = Average Gain / Average Loss (over a set period, usually 14)
Steps:
Calculate the average of “up closes” and “down closes” for 14 periods.
Divide average gain by average loss = RS.
Plug RS into the RSI formula to scale between 0–100.
Example:
Average Gain = 1.5%
Average Loss = 0.75%
RS = 1.5 / 0.75 = 2
RSI = 100 – = 66.6
Thus, RSI = 67 indicates bullish momentum but not yet overbought.
4. Understanding RSI Levels
Above 70 → Overbought (possible correction)
Below 30 → Oversold (possible rebound)
Around 50 → Neutral (balance between buyers & sellers)
Some traders adjust:
80/20 levels for stronger trends
60/40 levels in trending markets (RSI may not touch extremes often)
RSI levels act as zones of probability, not absolute buy/sell signals.
5. RSI in Different Market Conditions
Trending Markets: RSI can remain overbought (>70) or oversold (<30) for extended periods. For example, in strong bull runs, RSI may hover around 70–80.
Ranging Markets: RSI oscillates smoothly between 30 and 70, making it excellent for mean-reversion strategies.
Volatile Markets: RSI signals can be whipsawed, requiring filters like moving averages or multiple timeframe confirmations.
6. RSI Trading Strategies
a) Overbought & Oversold Strategy
Buy when RSI < 30 (oversold) and price shows reversal.
Sell when RSI > 70 (overbought) and reversal signs appear.
Works best in sideways markets.
b) Divergence Strategy
Bullish Divergence: Price makes lower lows, RSI makes higher lows → reversal likely upward.
Bearish Divergence: Price makes higher highs, RSI makes lower highs → reversal likely downward.
c) RSI Swing Rejections
A method Wilder emphasized:
Bullish: RSI goes below 30, bounces back, rejects a second drop, then crosses above previous high.
Bearish: RSI goes above 70, falls, rejects second rise, then breaks lower.
d) RSI Trendlines & Breakouts
Traders draw trendlines on RSI itself, treating it like a price chart. Breakouts often lead price action.
e) RSI + Moving Averages
Use RSI to confirm MA crossovers. Example: RSI > 50 when 50-day MA crosses above 200-day MA strengthens bullish trend.
7. RSI for Different Timeframes
Intraday/Scalping (1–5 min): RSI is very sensitive. Traders use shorter settings (7-period RSI).
Swing Trading (1D–1W): Classic 14-period RSI works well. Divergences are powerful.
Long-Term Investing (1M): RSI identifies market cycles; buying when RSI < 30 on monthly charts often captures generational opportunities.
8. Combining RSI with Other Indicators
a) RSI + MACD
MACD confirms trend direction; RSI signals entry/exit.
Example: MACD bullish crossover + RSI near 40–50 = strong buy signal.
b) RSI + Bollinger Bands
RSI overbought + price at upper band → higher reversal probability.
RSI oversold + price at lower band → bounce likely.
c) RSI + Volume Profile
High volume at RSI extremes confirms stronger reversals.
d) RSI + Moving Averages
RSI trending above 50 while price is above MA = bullish confirmation.
Conclusion
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains one of the most effective momentum oscillators in trading history. From J. Welles Wilder’s manual calculations in the 70s to modern-day algorithmic applications, RSI has proven its adaptability.
Its power lies not in blindly buying at 30 or selling at 70, but in understanding context, divergences, swing rejections, and market psychology. While it has limitations in trending markets, when combined with other tools, RSI becomes a formidable ally.
For traders, RSI is more than a number. It’s a window into collective human behavior, showing how emotion, momentum, and probability interact to move markets. Whether you’re day-trading forex, swing-trading stocks, or investing in crypto, RSI remains a timeless guide to navigating uncertainty.
Ethereum Liquidity Sweep Setup for Bullish Continuation📊 Market Analysis Report – ETHUSD
The market has been consolidating within a range after a strong impulsive move down, followed by a period of liquidity sweeps and corrective structure. Price action shows signs of engineered liquidity grabs both above and below recent highs and lows, which indicates smart money activity.
Currently, ETH is transitioning from a compression phase into expansion. The accumulation zone formed in recent sessions suggests a build-up for a larger move. The market appears to be setting up a liquidity sweep to the downside before a potential continuation upward, aligning with the projected path on the chart.
From a structural perspective, the overall cycle points towards bullish continuation after this corrective phase. The projected liquidity sweep is designed to trap early sellers before price accelerates towards higher objectives.
The Future of Trading in India1. Evolution of Trading in India – A Brief Context
Before we talk about the future, it’s important to understand how far India has come.
Pre-1990s: Physical shares, long settlement cycles (T+14), insider networks, and lack of transparency.
1990s reforms: Liberalization, NSE’s electronic trading, SEBI’s regulatory oversight, and screen-based trading.
2000s: Growth of F&O (Futures & Options), dematerialization of shares, introduction of commodities and currency derivatives.
2010s: Rise of algo trading, mobile trading apps, intraday retail participation, weekly expiries, and increasing global fund flows.
2020s: Post-COVID retail boom, discount brokers like Zerodha and Groww democratizing access, explosion in derivatives volumes, and surge in SIPs and mutual fund penetration.
This trajectory shows that India’s trading market has not only caught up with global peers but is now innovating at its own pace.
2. Key Drivers Shaping the Future of Trading in India
a) Digital Penetration and Fintech Boom
India has the world’s second-largest internet user base and one of the cheapest data costs globally. This means that even in small towns, traders can access real-time markets through smartphones. Apps like Zerodha, Upstox, Angel One, and Groww are onboarding millions of new users every year.
b) Demographics
Over 65% of India’s population is below 35 years. This young, tech-savvy generation is more comfortable with risk, online platforms, and experimenting with trading.
c) Regulatory Support
SEBI has been tightening rules to ensure transparency, margin requirements, and investor protection. This gives credibility to Indian markets and attracts foreign investors.
d) Globalization
India is being integrated into global indices (MSCI, FTSE, etc.), which means more foreign fund flows. Also, global geopolitical shifts are making India a preferred investment destination.
e) Technology
Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, Big Data analytics, Blockchain, and Algorithmic Trading are going to redefine how trades are executed, analyzed, and managed.
3. Future of Stock Market Trading in India
a) Retail Participation Will Continue to Explode
Currently, around 10–12% of Indians invest in stock markets, compared to over 50–60% in the US. This gap indicates massive potential for growth. With increasing financial literacy, better apps, and more disposable income, retail participation could double in the next decade.
b) Rise of Passive Investing and ETFs
While active trading will continue, more Indians will start investing through Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) and index funds as they seek stable, long-term returns. The growth of Nifty and Sensex ETFs is just the beginning.
c) Weekly and Daily Expiries
The popularity of weekly options will expand. Exchanges may even introduce daily expiries, mirroring global trends, which will increase intraday volatility and attract short-term traders.
d) Integration of Global Markets
Indian traders may soon get seamless access to trade US stocks, global commodities, and even international ETFs through domestic broker platforms.
4. Future of Derivatives Trading in India
a) Options Mania Will Expand Further
The future of derivatives trading will be dominated by options. With low capital requirements, retail investors are already driving record F&O volumes. NSE is among the largest derivatives markets in the world, and this trend will accelerate.
b) New Products
We can expect products like volatility indices (India VIX derivatives), sector-specific options, and more currency/commodity pairs.
c) AI-Driven Strategies
Algo trading will no longer be restricted to institutions. With cheaper cloud computing and APIs provided by brokers, retail traders will also use machine learning-based strategies.
d) Increased SEBI Scrutiny
To balance risk, SEBI may tighten margin rules further, introduce stricter disclosures, and limit speculative retail blow-ups.
5. Role of Technology in the Future of Trading
a) AI and Predictive Analytics
Traders will use AI to analyze massive amounts of market data, predict price trends, and execute strategies with precision.
b) Algorithmic Trading for All
Currently, algo trading is dominated by institutions. In the future, retail algos will become mainstream, with drag-and-drop strategy builders.
c) Blockchain and Tokenization
Trading of tokenized assets—fractional ownership of real estate, art, or even stocks—on blockchain networks will become possible in India once regulations evolve.
d) Real-Time Risk Management
Advanced systems will allow traders to manage portfolio risk dynamically, with real-time alerts and auto-hedging.
6. Future Regulations and Policies
T+1 and Beyond: India already has T+1 settlement. The next move could be instant settlements using blockchain.
Investor Protection: SEBI will likely mandate stronger disclosure norms, AI-based surveillance to catch manipulation, and education programs.
Crypto Regulation: Once a clear framework is set, crypto exchanges may integrate with traditional stock brokers, creating a unified trading ecosystem.
Capital Controls Relaxation: India may slowly allow easier foreign participation and cross-border trading.
7. Retail Traders vs. Institutional Players
Retail Boom: Short-term retail speculation in F&O will remain strong.
Institutional Dominance: Mutual funds, sovereign wealth funds, and foreign institutions will continue driving long-term capital inflows.
Future Balance: Retail will dominate derivatives, while institutions will dominate cash markets.
8. Commodities and Currency Trading
Gold and Silver: India, being a large consumer, will see more hedging and speculative participation in precious metals.
Energy: As India grows, trading in crude oil, natural gas, and electricity futures will expand.
Currency Trading: With India becoming a global manufacturing hub, currency hedging in INR/USD, INR/JPY, INR/CNY will grow. Eventually, the Indian Rupee could become a global trading currency.
Challenges Ahead
Over-Speculation: Retail traders blowing up accounts in options.
Regulatory Delays: Slow response to crypto, tokenization, and new products.
Tech Risks: Cybersecurity threats and system outages.
Global Shocks: Geopolitical events, Fed policies, or oil shocks impacting India’s markets.
Conclusion
The future of trading in India is a mix of opportunity and responsibility. The next two decades will witness:
Retail explosion, with millions of new traders joining.
Technological disruption, led by AI, algos, and blockchain.
New asset classes, from crypto to carbon credits.
Deeper global integration, making India a key player in world finance.
Yet, risks of speculation, lack of financial literacy, and regulatory bottlenecks remain. The winners of this new trading era will be those who combine discipline, knowledge, and adaptability with the right use of technology.
In short, India’s trading future is not just about more trades—it’s about more intelligent, inclusive, and globally connected trading.
ETHEREUM | VISUAL ART with PipGuardETHEREUM | VISUAL ART with PipGuard
Article published by PipGuard™ on the TradingView® platform – to continue this free publication, LEAVE A BOOST and a COMMENT, hit the notification bell, and never miss ANOTHER ANALYSIS.
ANALYSIS
Hello colleague, how are you?
Today I bring you a different kind of analysis, designed to be understood on a purely visual level. Because when we're in front of the chart, in the arena, in the cage... there's no room for bullshit or distractions. Here, we fight, and whoever comes in with a confused mind always ends up crushed.
Trading is a ruthless game, like a game of chess. And the winner isn't the one who knows a thousand abstract theories, but the one who has clear ideas, simple concepts, and concrete results.
Think about it: there are few pieces on the chessboard, but the possible moves reach 10^120. That means there are more combinations in a game of chess than stars in our galaxy. An insane number. Yet, the winner isn't the one who gets lost in complexities, but the one who knows how to move those few pieces well with cunning, craftiness, and awareness.
Trading is nothing but this: a continuous battle between you and the market. It moves its pawns, it provokes you, it deceives you, it tries to screw you over. And you? You must observe, wait for its move, analyze it, imagine its counter-move, and only then react.
The tools are few and clear: liquidity, support, resistance, trend.
You don't need an infinite arsenal: you need the basics, the ability to interpret, and the coolness to respond.
I dedicate most of my time to the charts, studying the market, building indicators that actually work instead of complicating life. Over the years, I've understood that behind every strategy, every concept, every approach, there's always a common denominator: simplicity .
So remember this well, colleague: you hold the power in your hands, the power to decide. The market has made its move... what about you? How will you respond?
NEWS
✅ Ethereum is shining again as “digital oil” with a +200% rise in five months, driven by massive institutional investments via ETFs, making Bitcoin pale in comparison!
✅ ETFs and whales are pumping Ethereum: bullish flows and strategic accumulations are putting directional pressure on the price; it looks like it's set for the next push.
SECRETS
🔓 Ethereum is transforming into ultra-sound money: thanks to EIP-1559 and the Merge, it now burns more ETH than it issues daily, with emissions crushed to 1,600 ETH/day, compared to the 13,000 under PoW.
🔓 A core dev's wallet was cleaned out by a malicious AI extension: a sophisticated attack that rips ETH directly from the platform's tech heart.
GREETINGS
Remember to leave a GREETING 🚀 or a COMMENT not because I need the likes, but because every boost does more for morale than a double espresso with cream.
Talk to you soon,
PipGuard
Article published by PipGuard™ on the TradingView® platform
PCR Trading StrategiesCommon Mistakes & Myths about Options
Myth: Options are only for experts. (Truth: Beginners can use basic strategies safely.)
Mistake: Treating options like lottery tickets.
Mistake: Ignoring time decay and volatility.
Mistake: Over-trading due to low cost of buying options.
Future of Option Trading
Algo & Quant Trading: Algorithms dominate global options volume.
Retail Boom: Platforms like Zerodha, Robinhood, and Binance bring retail investors into options.
AI & Machine Learning: Predictive models for volatility and pricing.
Global Expansion: Options on new assets like carbon credits, crypto, and ETFs.
Conclusion
Option trading is a powerful tool — a double-edged sword. It can be used for risk management, speculation, or income generation. To master options, one must:
Learn the basics (calls, puts, pricing).
Understand strategies (spreads, straddles, condors).
Respect risk management and psychology.
Stay updated with market trends and regulations.
With proper discipline, options can transform how you interact with markets, offering opportunities that stocks and bonds alone cannot.
ETH multiple Sell OpportunitiesETH is moving in range for almost a week time. Now it has shown a displacement after ChoCH and formed a bearish 15m FVG. There may be a good trade at sell side if price approach it. Well there are two trade scenarios are forming.
Trade # 1
1. Price is moving around a short term trend line and resistance.
2. If price breaks trend line and take the liquidity of resistance than it may be sell trade.
Trade # 2
3. Price moves to 15m FVG and OTE overlap zone.
4. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG zone and break trend line.
5. After breaking trend line it should pullback till FVG/trend line or any newly created OB/FVG.
All these combinations are signaling a high probability and high Risk and Reward (1:8) trade scenario.
Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas.
Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share.
Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
ETH–USD 2 Hour ViewEthereum vs USD — 2-Hour Timeframe Levels
You asked for key price levels on a 2-hour chart. While I can't generate live 2-hour chart data here, I can share recent technical insights with support and resistance levels, plus your current price context.
⏺ Key Technical Levels (as of early September 2025):
Support Zones:
$4,360 — initial support area
$4,315 — next downside level
Below that: $4,260 and $4,220 are cited as further downside supports
Resistance Zones:
$4,500 — key resistance, blockage for current rally
If surpassed: $4,520 and $4,555 are possible next targets
Extended resistance: up to $4,620, then $4,660 or even $4,720 if momentum builds
Mid-range / Technical Sentiment:
Recent consolidation between $4,350–$4,450, holding above the 100-hour SMA with rebound potential
Daily chart structure remains bullish as long as ETH stays above $4,000; a breakdown below that could weaken structure
Next Steps for You:
Use a charting platform (e.g., TradingView) with a 2-hour timeframe and apply horizontal lines at these zones.
Watch for price action: Does ETH bounce at support? Does it stall or break through resistance? Candlestick patterns and volume around these levels help refine entries/exits.
Play momentum: Watch aggressiveness above $4,500 with targets at $4
The Art of Position SizingIntroduction: Why Position Sizing is the Silent Weapon
When most people think about trading success, they picture things like stock picking, finding the next multibagger, or timing the market perfectly. But the truth is, none of these alone will make you a consistently profitable trader. The difference between traders who survive and thrive versus those who blow up their accounts often comes down to one thing: position sizing.
Position sizing is the art and science of deciding how much to risk on a trade. It’s not glamorous. It doesn’t make headlines like “XYZ stock doubled in a week.” But it’s the most powerful tool you have for controlling risk, managing emotions, and growing capital over the long term.
Think of trading like sailing. The market is the ocean — unpredictable, sometimes calm, sometimes stormy. Your strategy is the ship. But position sizing? That’s the steering wheel. Without it, even the strongest ship can sink.
In this article, we’ll dive deep into the art of position sizing, explore different methods, psychological aspects, and real-world applications, and by the end, you’ll understand why smart traders say: “It’s not about being right, it’s about surviving long enough to grow.”
What is Position Sizing?
In simple terms, position sizing answers the question:
“How many shares (or contracts/lots) should I buy or sell on this trade?”
Let’s take an example. Suppose you have ₹1,00,000 as trading capital. You see a stock trading at ₹500 and want to buy. Should you buy 20 shares, 100 shares, or go all-in with 200 shares? The answer depends on:
Your risk tolerance per trade (how much you’re comfortable losing if it goes wrong).
Your stop-loss level (the price at which you’ll exit if the trade fails).
Market conditions (volatility, liquidity, trend strength).
Two traders can take the exact same trade setup — same entry and exit — but one could lose 50% of his account, while the other loses just 1%. That’s the power of position sizing.
The Role of Risk Management in Position Sizing
Before we dive into methods, let’s lay the foundation: risk management.
The golden rule in trading: Never risk more than a small fraction of your capital on a single trade.
Commonly used: 1% Rule or 2% Rule.
Risk 1% of your account per trade.
Example: If you have ₹1,00,000, risk only ₹1,000 per trade.
Now, here’s the beauty: By limiting risk per trade, even if you face a losing streak, you can still survive.
Imagine you risk 10% of your capital per trade. After just 10 losing trades, your account is wiped out. But if you risk 1% per trade, you’d need 100 consecutive losing trades to lose everything. That’s survival power.
Position Sizing Methods
There’s no one-size-fits-all approach. Traders use different methods depending on style, psychology, and goals. Let’s go through the major ones:
1. Fixed Dollar Method
Decide a fixed amount to risk on every trade.
Example: “I’ll risk ₹2,000 per trade no matter what.”
Simple but not flexible. Works for beginners.
2. Fixed Percentage Method
Risk a set percentage of account equity per trade.
Example: 2% risk rule. If account = ₹1,00,000 → risk = ₹2,000.
Dynamic: As account grows, risk amount grows.
3. Kelly Criterion
A mathematical formula to maximize long-term growth by balancing win rate and risk-reward.
Powerful, but aggressive.
Example: If you win 60% of trades with 2:1 reward/risk, Kelly suggests a certain % of capital to risk.
Many traders use half-Kelly for safety.
4. Volatility-Based Position Sizing
Position size adjusts to stock volatility.
Use ATR (Average True Range) or standard deviation.
More volatile stocks → smaller size.
Less volatile → larger size.
Helps normalize risk across different stocks.
5. Risk/Reward-Driven Sizing
Position based on expected reward vs. risk.
Example: If reward:risk is 3:1, you may size slightly larger.
Ensures high probability trades get priority.
6. Scaling In & Out
Scaling in: Enter gradually, adding positions as trade confirms.
Scaling out: Reduce position as profit builds, locking gains.
Useful in trending or uncertain markets.
Mathematical Foundations
Let’s go step by step:
Formula:
Position Size = (Account Risk per Trade) ÷ (Trade Risk per Share)
Account Risk per Trade = % of account × account size.
Trade Risk per Share = Entry Price – Stop Loss.
Example:
Account = ₹1,00,000.
Risk per trade = 2% = ₹2,000.
Stock entry = ₹500, Stop loss = ₹490 → Risk per share = ₹10.
Position size = ₹2,000 ÷ ₹10 = 200 shares.
This formula keeps every trade within safe limits, regardless of stock price.
Psychology of Position Sizing
This is where most traders fail. Even with formulas, emotions creep in:
Greed: “This setup looks perfect, let me double my size.”
Fear: “I just had three losses; let me reduce my size drastically.”
Overconfidence: After a winning streak, traders often oversize.
Revenge trading: Going all-in after losses to “win it back.”
The art of position sizing isn’t just math — it’s discipline. Sticking to your rules despite emotions is what separates pros from amateurs.
Position Sizing in Different Trading Styles
Day Trading: Smaller time frames, quick exits. Use tight stop-loss → often larger position sizes.
Swing Trading: Wider stop-loss, overnight risks. Position size smaller to balance.
Long-Term Investing: Position sizing matters less per trade, but diversification becomes key.
Options & Futures: Leverage complicates sizing. Need margin-based calculations and higher discipline.
Adapting Position Sizing to Market Conditions
High Volatility Markets: Reduce position size. Survive turbulence.
Calm/Trending Markets: Increase size cautiously to capture trends.
During Losing Streaks: Reduce size temporarily to preserve confidence and capital.
During Winning Streaks: Carefully increase size, but avoid over-leverage.
Position Sizing Mistakes to Avoid
All-in mentality.
One bad trade can end your career.
Averaging down blindly.
Throwing good money after bad.
Ignoring correlations.
Buying 3 different banking stocks = concentration risk.
Sizing based on gut feel, not rules.
Leads to inconsistency.
Case Studies & Practical Examples
The Blow-Up Trader
Started with ₹2,00,000. Risked 20% per trade. After 5 losses, wiped out.
Lesson: Poor position sizing = fast death.
The Survivor Trader
Started with ₹2,00,000. Risked 1% per trade = ₹2,000.
Even after 10 losses, only down 10%. Account intact.
Lesson: Survival > glory.
The Professional Fund Manager
Doesn’t risk more than 0.5%–1% per trade.
Manages billions, but each trade is just a small piece.
Lesson: Longevity and risk control matter most.
Position Sizing as an Art
So far, we’ve discussed the science — formulas, rules, risk percentages. But in real life, position sizing is also an art.
It requires judgment — when to size up, when to stay small.
It requires psychological control — sticking to plans.
It requires adaptability — markets change, volatility changes.
Great traders think of position sizing like a volume knob: turning risk up and down depending on conditions, but never letting it break the system.
Conclusion
At its core, position sizing is about survival first, profits second. You can have the best strategy in the world, but without proper sizing, you’ll blow up before you can reap the rewards.
The art of position sizing is:
Mathematical discipline (formulas, risk per trade).
Psychological discipline (controlling greed/fear).
Strategic flexibility (adapting to markets).
So next time you’re about to hit “buy” or “sell,” ask yourself:
How much am I risking?
Is this within my rules?
If I lose, can I survive to trade another day?
Because in trading, the ultimate goal isn’t to win one big trade.
The ultimate goal is to stay in the game long enough to let compounding work its magic.
Difference Between Shares & Mutual Funds1. Introduction
Investing is one of the most powerful ways to grow wealth. However, beginners often get confused about where to invest – should they directly buy shares of a company, or should they put money into mutual funds?
Both are popular investment vehicles in India and worldwide, but they work very differently. Shares represent direct ownership in a company, while mutual funds represent indirect ownership, where a professional fund manager pools money from many investors and invests in shares, bonds, or other securities on their behalf.
Understanding the difference between the two is crucial because your choice will depend on your risk appetite, knowledge, investment horizon, and financial goals.
In this article, we will deeply explore the differences between shares and mutual funds in simple, human-friendly language.
2. What are Shares?
Definition:
A share is a unit of ownership in a company. When you buy shares of a company, you become a shareholder, which means you own a small portion of that company.
Example: If a company issues 1,00,000 shares and you buy 1,000 of them, you own 1% of the company.
Key Features of Shares:
Direct Ownership – You directly hold a piece of the company.
Voting Rights – Shareholders often get voting rights in company decisions.
Dividends – Companies may share profits with shareholders in the form of dividends.
Capital Appreciation – If the company grows, the value of your shares rises.
Types of Shares:
Equity Shares – Regular shares with ownership and voting rights.
Preference Shares – Fixed dividend, but limited voting rights.
Example:
Suppose you buy shares of Reliance Industries. If Reliance grows, launches new businesses, and earns higher profits, the value of your shares may increase from ₹2,500 to ₹3,500, giving you a good return.
But if Reliance faces losses, the share price may fall, and you can lose money.
Thus, shares are high-risk, high-reward investments.
3. What are Mutual Funds?
Definition:
A mutual fund is an investment vehicle that collects money from many investors and invests it in a diversified portfolio of shares, bonds, or other assets.
A professional fund manager decides where to invest, so you don’t have to pick individual stocks.
Key Features of Mutual Funds:
Indirect Ownership – You don’t directly own shares of companies; you own units of the mutual fund.
Diversification – Money is spread across many securities, reducing risk.
Professional Management – Experts manage your money.
Liquidity – You can redeem your units anytime (except in lock-in funds like ELSS).
Types of Mutual Funds:
Equity Mutual Funds – Invest mainly in company shares.
Debt Mutual Funds – Invest in bonds and fixed-income securities.
Hybrid Funds – Invest in a mix of equity and debt.
Index Funds – Simply track an index like Nifty 50.
Example:
Suppose you invest ₹50,000 in an HDFC Equity Mutual Fund. That money may get spread across 30–50 different stocks like Infosys, TCS, HDFC Bank, Reliance, etc. Even if one stock falls, the other stocks may balance it out.
Thus, mutual funds are moderate-risk, managed investments suitable for beginners.
4. Key Differences Between Shares & Mutual Funds
Feature Shares Mutual Funds
Ownership Direct ownership in a company Indirect ownership through fund units
Risk High (depends on single company) Lower (diversified portfolio)
Returns High potential but uncertain Moderate and stable
Management Self-managed (you decide) Professionally managed
Cost Brokerage + Demat charges Expense ratio (1–2%)
Liquidity High (buy/sell anytime in market hours) High (redeem units, except in lock-in)
Taxation Capital gains tax Capital gains tax, indexation benefit on debt funds
Knowledge Needed High (requires market understanding) Low (fund manager handles it)
5. Advantages & Disadvantages of Shares
✅ Advantages:
High return potential.
Direct ownership and control.
Dividends as additional income.
Liquidity – can sell anytime.
❌ Disadvantages:
Very risky and volatile.
Requires knowledge and research.
No guaranteed returns.
Emotional stress during market falls.
6. Advantages & Disadvantages of Mutual Funds
✅ Advantages:
Diversification reduces risk.
Managed by experts.
Suitable for beginners.
Flexible – SIP (Systematic Investment Plan) possible.
❌ Disadvantages:
Returns are moderate compared to direct stocks.
Expense ratio reduces profits.
No control over which stocks are chosen.
Some funds may underperform.
7. Which is Better for You?
If you have time, knowledge, and risk appetite, go for Shares.
If you want professional management and diversification, go for Mutual Funds.
Many investors do a mix of both – mutual funds for long-term stability and some shares for higher returns.
8. Practical Examples
Investor A buys Infosys shares for ₹1,00,000. If Infosys doubles in 5 years, he makes ₹2,00,000. But if Infosys crashes, he may end up with only ₹50,000.
Investor B puts ₹1,00,000 in a Mutual Fund that holds Infosys + 30 other stocks. Even if Infosys crashes, other stocks balance out, and his fund grows steadily to ₹1,60,000 in 5 years.
9. Conclusion
The main difference between Shares and Mutual Funds lies in direct vs. indirect ownership, risk levels, and management style.
Shares are like driving your own car – full control, high speed, but risky if you don’t know how to drive.
Mutual Funds are like hiring a driver – safer, more comfortable, but less thrilling.
For beginners, mutual funds are safer, while for experienced investors, shares offer higher growth opportunities.
Ultimately, the best strategy is to balance both according to your financial goals.
ETHUSD 1H — Liquidity Sweep Reversal with Precision EntryTrade Summary
• Entry: $4,350
• Target: $4,600
• Stop Loss: $4,250
• Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.5:1
After a significant liquidity sweep just below $4,350, Ethereum Perpetual Futures have reclaimed support and established a potential reversal base. The trade enters at $4,350, with a tight stop loss at $4,250, banking on the exhaustion of sellers and fresh momentum above reclaimed support. The target is $4,600, right before a major resistance cluster and previous swing high, offering clarity on profit-taking and risk parameters.
Recent price action signals a shift from bearish momentum to consolidation, as aggressive buyers absorbed supply during the liquidity sweep — a signature move that often precedes sustained rallies. The setup features:
• Clear horizontal support with visible volume confirmation
• Precise entry post-sweep for maximum risk efficiency
• Stop loss positioned below the sweep zone for strict invalidation
• Well-defined target near a high liquidity supply area
Why I like it: Excellent risk management, technical clusters, and early signs of trend reversal. Would love feedback from the community on additional confluence factors or alternate views!
ETH/USD 4H – Losing Momentum at Key LevelsEthereum is struggling to hold above its ascending trendline after rejection from the $4,800–$4,880 resistance zone. Price is currently trading around $4,395, sitting just above support at $4,186 and $4,066.
📉 ETH has broken below its short-term uptrend while the 200 EMA ($4,184) now acts as a crucial support zone. A breakdown below this level could accelerate downside pressure.
📊 Indicators:
RSI (14): Around 42, showing bearish momentum with room for further downside before oversold levels.
ADX (14): At 26, indicating a weakening trend strength compared to previous moves.
🔻 Bearish Scenario: Failure to defend $4,184–$4,066 could open the door for deeper retracements.
🔺 Bullish Scenario: A reclaim of the descending trendline and $4,792 resistance would be the first sign of recovery.
⚡ ETH is at a decision point — support retest or deeper correction.
ETHUSD Harmonic Pattern AnalysisPattern Analysis
• The chart identifies a possible harmonic pattern (likely a Bat or Gartley) with labeled points X, A, B, C, and a projected D.
• Crucial level noted at USD, referred to as “Eye of the Harmonic,” representing a significant support/resistance.
• The chart suggests, “Harmonic D can be Tested if pt B Breaks,” implying bearish potential if the price drops below point B.
• Current ETHUSD price is 4,336, with a recent decline of about 3.88%, and visible moving averages providing trend context.
Key Technical Points
• Swing trading setup: Uses harmonic pattern recognition for potential entry/exit decisions.
• Resistance & Support zones: Eye of the Harmonic ( USD) and potential future support region near projected point D ( USD).
• Indicators: The chart overlays zone levels, moving averages, and pattern ratios (e.g., 0.523, 0.785, 1.194, 1.419), which are standard in harmonic pattern calculations.
Potential Scenario
• If price breaks below point B, traders may target the level indicated by point D for possible support or reversal opportunities.
• The scenario implies caution for long positions until the price confirms support above crucial harmonic levels.
ETH HnSA Head N Shoulder is being made in ETH in 4hr tf. It is also break a rising trendline support.
Entry- 4395-4400
SL- 4550
Target- One can look to book after one is to one or can also target the recent low it made that is 4200.
Disclaimer- This is just for educational purpose. Please take advice before making any decision.
Jai Shree Ram.