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EUR/USD_TODTOM - SWAP EUR/USD

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EUR/USD Under Downward PressureHello everyone! Let’s join Alisa for an update on the EUR/USD pair’s movements. EUR/USD is under downward pressure due to concerns over Eurozone economic growth and the ongoing interest rate hikes by the US Federal Reserve. Additionally, rising uncertainty around the conflict in the Middle East may have strengthened the appeal of the US dollar (USD) as a safe-haven asset. The USD is also supported by the uncertainty surrounding the upcoming US presidential election. Currently, the EUR/USD pair is trading around 1.0816. The pair is moving within a descending channel and may continue to decline in the short term. The 1.0770 support level is a key barrier. If broken, the target could drop even lower. Could a reversal be on the horizon? Let’s discuss it together!
by Alisa_Rokosz
EU: Double-Bottom Formation at Key Support ZoneThe EUR/USD is currently testing a critical support zone around 1.0800 on the Daily timeframe, where price action shows potential for a bullish setup. The pair has formed a double-bottom pattern, with the second low forming at this same support level, indicating that selling pressure is weakening and buyer interest may soon increase. Technical Insights: Daily Support Zone and Double Bottom: Price has created a double-bottom pattern at the 1.0800 level, reinforcing the significance of this support. This pattern is a classic reversal signal, often signaling a potential trend change, especially when occurring at a major support zone. Confirmation with Bullish Reversal Pattern: For confirmation, look for a bullish reversal candle pattern on lower timeframes (such as H4 or H1) at this support level, like a bullish engulfing or pin bar, which would signal a potential upward move. Trade Plan: Entry: Consider entering a buy position if a strong bullish candle pattern forms around 1.0800. Stop Loss: Place below the recent low of 1.0750 to protect against further downside. Target: Initial target at 1.0900, with the potential to extend higher if the bullish momentum sustains. The double-bottom pattern, combined with the strong support zone, provides a solid basis for a potential buy opportunity, emphasizing the importance of waiting for confirmation before entry. FX:EURUSD OANDA:EURUSD FOREXCOM:EURUSD FX_IDC:EURUSD
Long
by Trading_Zone_3773
EUR/USD: Pausing at ResistanceHas everyone updated themselves on the EUR/USD pair? Let’s predict where it might go today! The EUR/USD pair is moving sideways in the Asian session, despite a slight rise yesterday. While the USD has softened a bit due to declining interest rates and stable stock markets, concerns about the U.S. economy and geopolitical risks continue to support the greenback. Additionally, weak eurozone PMI data and the ECB's potential policy easing add pressure on the euro. On the 4-hour technical chart, the EUR/USD pair is in a downtrend. Resistance at 1.082 has become a barrier, limiting the pair's chances of a recovery. We should also watch two support levels: 1.080 and 1.077. If the pair breaks below the 1.080 support level, a further decline becomes highly likely. What are everyone’s thoughts on this pair? Let me know!
by Alisa_Rokosz
2
EURUSD, H4 LongThe upper limit of the descending regression channel coming from late September aligns as immediate resistance near 1.0800. The 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart reinforces this level as well. Once the pair flips that level into support, it could extend its recovery toward 1.0850 (50-period SMA) and 1.0900 (round level, static level). If EUR/USD fails to clear 1.0800, technical sellers could look to retain control. In this scenario, 1.0770 (mid-point of the descending channel) and 1.0730 (lower limit of the descending channel) could be seen as next support levels.
Long
by dipen228
EURUSD bounces back from year-long support ahead of EU/US PMIEURUSD records its first daily gain in four, bouncing back from the lowest level since July 3, as traders eagerly await the preliminary readings of October's PMIs for the Eurozone and the US. The Euro pair’s movement aligns with overbought RSI conditions while it turns from an upward support line established in early October 2023. Sellers remain in control Despite an oversold RSI (14) supporting EURUSD's bounce from key support, bearish MACD signals and trading below the 200-SMA keep sellers optimistic. The downside bias is further strengthened by more dovish expectations from the European Central Bank (ECB) compared to the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Key technical levels to watch The multi-month support line around 1.0765 is crucial for EURUSD. A clear break below this level could expose the pair to a decline toward February and June 2024 lows, near 1.0700 and 1.0680, respectively. However, if the RSI conditions hold, Euro bears may face challenges around 1.0680. If not, the yearly low marked in April around 1.0600 will be the last line of defense for buyers before the pair heads toward the late 2023 bottom around 1.0450. Alternatively, a rebound for EURUSD seems unlikely while trading below the 200-SMA at 1.0870. That said, the immediate upside is protected by the 50% Fibonacci level from the pair's rise between October 2023 and September 2024, located around 1.0830. Additionally, the 38.2% Fibonacci level and an 11-week-old support line near 1.0920 and 1.1000 will be tough obstacles for bulls to overcome if they break past 1.0830. Further recovery looks challenging While some technical signals indicate that sellers may be losing momentum, several technical and fundamental factors suggest buyers are not yet ready to step in. The EURUSD's corrective bounce could continue with strong EU data and weak US statistics. However, if the US Dollar sees a positive surprise, the likelihood of further downside for the pair remains high.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD - POSITIONAL TRADE FOR HUGE PROFITSymbol - EURUSD EURUSD is currently trading at 1.11900 My short setup has formed in EURUSD & I'm seeing a trading opportunity on sell side. Shorting EURUSD pair at CMP 1.11900 I will be adding more position if 1.12300 comes & will hold with SL 1.12850 Targets I'm expecting are 1.10200 - 1.09150 - 1.07700 Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
Short
by akshit_official
Economic Recession Weighs on EUR/USDHello everyone, Alisa is back! Today, let’s analyze the EUR/USD currency pair. EUR/USD has fallen below 1.0800 due to concerns over an economic recession in the Eurozone and the ECB's continued rate cuts. Inflation decreasing faster than expected has driven these decisions, reducing the Euro’s appeal. On the 4-hour chart, EUR/USD is showing a clear downtrend. The 1.080 resistance level has become a significant barrier, repeatedly pushing the price back. Even with recovery attempts, the pair is quickly pulled down by the previous support level, which has now turned into a new resistance. Investors should exercise caution with the EUR/USD pair during this period. The ECB's rate cuts and the gloomy economic outlook for the Eurozone may trigger unexpected volatility in the market.
by Alisa_Rokosz
EURUSD potetial BUY opportunityClosing price currently trade at 1.07978 a buy opportunity is envisaged from the current market price as we may continue to see price go up. Our Buy target TP1 is 1.08971 , TP2 is 1.09947. stop loss at 1.07714. we can see a 50% retracement may come in upcoming days and now again after touching a long waited order block as mention in chart. It's a good 1:72 RR trade. I hope you will like my explanation. it's just my analysis and you guys trade after your analysis.
Long
by gaurgovindsingh_
EUR/USD Weakens: The U.S. Dollar Rises, ECB CautiousHello everyone, Alisa here! What’s the trend for the EUR/USD pair? Let’s discuss together! EUR/USD continues to slide, reaching its lowest level in 11 weeks, trading around the support level of 1.0828. The selling pressure has increased due to expectations that the European Central Bank (ECB) will further ease monetary policy, potentially cutting interest rates once again in December. Meanwhile, the strengthening U.S. dollar is also putting pressure on the pair. Looking at the technical chart, a bearish trend is currently unfolding for EUR/USD. Despite the 1.081 support level providing some momentum, with the current factors, any upward movement is unlikely to be sustained, and the pair is expected to face resistance at the key 1.085 level and then continue to decline. Traders should be cautious with long positions and consider opening short positions when there is confirmation of a break below the 1.081 support level. Profit targets could be set around the 1.075 - 1.070 zone. That’s my take. What do you think?
by Alisa_Rokosz
EUR/USD Under Downward Pressure from ECB DecisionHow is the EUR/USD pair fluctuating today? Let’s find out together! The EUR/USD pair remains steady at 1.0884 after four consecutive sessions of decline. However, selling pressure on the Euro persists, especially as the market is heavily pricing in the likelihood of the European Central Bank implementing monetary easing policies. From a technical analysis perspective, the pair is in a downward trend, with the EMA line continuing to move lower steadily. Resistance at 1.0949 has prevented any upward movement, forcing the pair to retreat towards its previous support at 1.0883. This is my take. What do you think about the EUR/USD pair today?
by Alisa_Rokosz
EURUSD: 200-SMA, oversold RSI test bears ahead of ECBEarly Wednesday, EURUSD sees the first daily gains in more than a week, after hitting its lowest point in 10 weeks. In doing so, the Euro pair portrays the market’s consolidation ahead of Thursday’s European Central Bank (ECB) Interest Rate Decision and September’s US Retail Sales data. Sellers have a bumpy road ahead In addition to pre-data consolidation, the 200-day SMA and oversold RSI pose challenges for EURUSD bears, indicating limited downside potential. A significant drop may occur only if the ECB disappoints or US data delivers unexpectedly strong signals for the dollar. Technical levels to watch The 200-SMA level surrounding 1.0870 appears a tough nut to crack for the EURUSD, backed by the oversold RSI. However, a downside break of the same won’t hesitate to drag the prices toward the August month’s low of near 1.0775. Following that, an ascending support line from October 2023, close to 1.0750 at the latest, will act as the final defense of the buyers. On the contrary, July’s high of near 1.0950 could lure EURUSD buyers during a corrective bounce. Following that, the March peak surrounding 1.0980 and the 1.1000 psychological magnet can entertain Euro buyers before testing them with a two-month-old horizontal support-turned-resistance of near 1.1015 and the previous support line stretched from late June, close to 1.1030. Price Consolidation Ahead, But No Trend Change Expected While technical indicators suggest bear exhaustion and a possible corrective bounce for EURUSD, multiple resistances and fundamental factors hinder a reversal of the ongoing two-week bearish trend.
by MTradingGlobal
EUR/USD: Will the ECB's Decision Determine the Future?Hello everyone! A new week is starting. Today, let’s join Alisa in predicting the EUR/USD currency pair. The EUR/USD pair continues to face downward pressure amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Fears of a large-scale conflict in the region have increased demand for the USD, while reducing the appeal of risk assets like the Euro. The ECB’s upcoming policy decision on Thursday also adds to the selling pressure on this currency pair. Looking at the 1-hour technical chart, the pair is fluctuating around the 1.0918 level, in a downtrend. With resistance at 1.0943 acting as a barrier, the EUR/USD pair is unlikely to break upward in the short term. If the pair breaks the 1.0920 support level, selling pressure could intensify, pushing the price to lower levels. What are your thoughts on the EUR/USD pair today?
by Alisa_Rokosz
Russian-Ukraine conflict and U.S. inflation hold back EUR/USDHello everyone. Today, let's take a look at the EUR/USD pair! The EUR/USD pair continues to face downward pressure as the U.S. inflation index came in higher than expected on Thursday, providing some support for the U.S. dollar and limiting the pair's upward momentum. This, combined with concerns over the European economic situation and the ongoing Russian-Ukraine conflict, has made the Euro less attractive. In the short term, EUR/USD could continue to decline if U.S. economic data remains positive. Looking at the 4-hour chart, the pair is defending around the 1.093 level, still in a downtrend. Despite support at 1.090, the pair has been unable to break through the resistance at 1.099. The price of the pair is likely to reverse and move downward. At the same time, the EMA has also turned bearish, further reinforcing this analysis. What about you? What do you think of this currency pair?
by Alisa_Rokosz
EURUSD: Bears focus on 1.0800 and US Inflation cluesEURUSD licks its wounds at the lowest level in eight weeks as traders await September's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, especially after the previous day’s FOMC Minutes drowned the Euro pair. Bears keep the driver’s seat Apart from the US Dollar’s run-up post-Fed Minutes, the EURUSD pair’s confirmation of “Double Tops” bearish chart formation and a clear break of a 15-week-old rising support line add strength to the downside bias. It’s worth noting, however, that the oversold RSI (14) line and sluggish MACD signals challenge intraday sellers, along with the pre-data consolidation. Key technical levels to watch The 50% Fibonacci level from the EURUSD’s June to September rise, around 1.0940, limits immediate downside. The next significant support is at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement near 1.0870, known as the “Golden Fibonacci Ratio.” If the price breaks below 1.0870, it could lead to a drop toward the bearish target from the "Double Tops" pattern, around 1.0800. On the upside, the EURUSD recovery is unlikely unless it surpasses the 1.1010 level. The previous support line, now acting as resistance, is near 1.1000. In a case where the Euro buyers manage to stay onboard past 1.1010, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and the double tops, respectively near 1.1085 and 1.1200, will be on their radars. Further downside expected While an oversold RSI and potentially softening US inflation data may pose challenges for US Dollar bulls, EURUSD bears remain encouraged. The confirmation of a bearish chart formation, combined with the European Central Bank's (ECB) more dovish stance compared to the Federal Reserve (Fed), keeps the sellers optimistic about further declines.
by MTradingGlobal
2
EUR/USD: Continuing to Decline or Approaching a Turning Point?Hello everyone. How are you all today? Let's join Alisa in analyzing the EUR/USD pair! The EUR/USD pair continues to slide and is nearing an 8-week low of 1.0960 due to the strong rise of the USD. Positive U.S. job data has reinforced expectations that the Fed will continue to raise interest rates, pushing the USD index to new highs. Additionally, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have also enhanced the appeal of the USD as a safe-haven asset. Looking at the 1-hour chart, the 1.097 resistance level is proving too strong for the Euro. If this level is not surpassed soon, the Euro may test the 1.095 support level. It could even break this support and fall further. This is Alisa’s analysis. What do you think about this currency pair?
by Alisa_Rokosz