HWHG trade ideas
Tata Steel Ltd (NSE) – Simple Technical AnalysisPrice Action:
The stock appears to have been in a downtrend within a descending channel.
Recently, the price is attempting to break out from this channel.
Support & Resistance (Pivot Points - Fibonacci Levels):
The current price is ₹138.82.
Immediate resistance: Near ₹145 - ₹150 (Pivot R1).
Major resistance: ₹183.80 (Potential upside target).
Support levels: ₹109 (S1) and lower Fibonacci pivot levels.
Technical Indicators:
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
The MACD (blue line) is trying to cross above the Signal Line (orange line).
Histogram is reducing negative momentum, indicating a potential bullish crossover.
Trend Breakout Potential:
If the stock sustains above the descending channel, a bullish breakout towards ₹183 could be expected.
Risk-Reward Analysis:
Upside Target: ₹183 (about 32% gain from current price).
Downside Risk: ₹109 (about 21% loss from current price).
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1.5 (favorable for long position).
Prediction & Trading Strategy:
Bullish Scenario:
If price holds above ₹140 and breaks resistance at ₹150, we can expect an upside move towards ₹183.
The MACD crossover confirms strength in price momentum.
Bearish Scenario:
If the stock fails to hold above ₹130 and re-enters the descending channel, it might revisit ₹109 or lower.
Entry & Stop Loss:
Entry: ₹140-145 (after confirming breakout).
Stop Loss: Below ₹130.
Target: ₹183.
Conclusion:
Bullish bias if breakout holds.
Wait for confirmation above ₹140-145 for a strong move.
If rejected at resistance, a drop towards ₹109 is possible.
What is fibonacci retracements and how to gain profit from it ?### **What is Fibonacci Retracement?**
**Fibonacci Retracement** is a popular technical analysis tool that helps traders identify potential levels of support and resistance in a trending market. It is based on the Fibonacci sequence, a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones (e.g., 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, etc.). The key ratios derived from this sequence — **23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6%** — are used as potential levels at which an asset's price may retrace before continuing its trend.
In technical analysis, **Fibonacci retracements** are plotted by drawing a line between the **high** and **low** points of a recent price movement (either upward or downward). The horizontal lines are drawn at the key Fibonacci levels between those points. These levels act as potential zones where prices could reverse or find support/resistance.
---
### **Key Fibonacci Retracement Levels:**
1. **23.6%** – The shallowest level of retracement, typically indicating a weak pullback.
2. **38.2%** – A moderate retracement that is often considered a strong level of support or resistance.
3. **50%** – Although not a Fibonacci number, this level is significant in technical analysis. A 50% retracement is a commonly observed level for potential reversal.
4. **61.8%** – The most important Fibonacci level, often referred to as the "golden ratio." This level is frequently seen as a strong support or resistance area.
5. **78.6%** – A deeper retracement level, signaling a significant correction or pullback.
---
### **How to Use Fibonacci Retracements to Gain Profit?**
Fibonacci retracements help traders find entry points, set stop-loss levels, and define profit targets based on historical price movements. Here’s how you can apply Fibonacci retracements to gain profit:
#### **1. Identify the Trend:**
Before using Fibonacci retracement, it’s crucial to **identify the prevailing market trend** (uptrend or downtrend). Fibonacci retracements work best in trending markets, whether bullish or bearish.
- **In an Uptrend:** Identify the most recent **low** and **high** points. Fibonacci retracements are drawn from the low to the high, as the price is expected to retrace back down before continuing higher.
- **In a Downtrend:** Identify the most recent **high** and **low** points. Fibonacci retracements are drawn from the high to the low, as the price is expected to retrace upward before continuing lower.
#### **2. Draw Fibonacci Retracement Levels:**
- To apply Fibonacci retracement:
- In an **uptrend**, draw the Fibonacci retracement tool from the **lowest point** (start of the trend) to the **highest point** (end of the trend).
- In a **downtrend**, draw the Fibonacci retracement tool from the **highest point** (start of the trend) to the **lowest point** (end of the trend).
This will automatically plot horizontal lines at the key Fibonacci levels (23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6%) on the chart.
#### **3. Watch for Price Reactions at Fibonacci Levels:**
Once you’ve plotted the Fibonacci retracement levels, watch how the price reacts as it approaches these levels:
- **Support in an Uptrend**: When the price pulls back to a Fibonacci retracement level, it may find **support** at one of these levels before bouncing back in the direction of the prevailing trend.
- **Resistance in a Downtrend**: In a downtrend, as the price retraces upward, it may encounter **resistance** at one of these levels before continuing lower.
#### **4. Enter the Trade:**
Once the price approaches a key Fibonacci level, look for signs of a **reversal**. This could be in the form of candlestick patterns (e.g., bullish engulfing or bearish engulfing), **divergence** with indicators (e.g., RSI or MACD), or other technical signals indicating the price is likely to reverse or continue in the direction of the trend.
- **In an Uptrend**: Look for the price to find support at a Fibonacci level (like 38.2%, 50%, or 61.8%) and begin to move higher. You could enter a **buy trade** when the price shows signs of reversal (e.g., bullish candlestick patterns).
- **In a Downtrend**: Look for the price to face resistance at a Fibonacci level and begin to move lower. You could enter a **sell trade** when signs of reversal (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns) appear.
#### **5. Set Stop Losses and Take Profits:**
Once you’ve entered a trade, it’s crucial to set **stop-loss orders** to protect your capital and **take-profit levels** to lock in gains.
- **Stop-Loss:** Place your stop-loss slightly below (for a buy) or above (for a sell) the Fibonacci level, depending on where the price retraced. If the price breaks through the Fibonacci level significantly, it could indicate that the trend is reversing, and you should exit the trade.
- **Take-Profit**: Use the next Fibonacci level as a potential **take-profit target**. For example, if you enter a buy trade after a pullback to the 50% level, you could set your target at the 23.6% level or the previous high.
#### **6. Combine with Other Indicators:**
Fibonacci retracement works best when combined with other technical analysis tools. Using multiple confirmation signals can increase the reliability of the trade setup:
- **RSI (Relative Strength Index)**: Use RSI to check for overbought or oversold conditions. For example, if the price pulls back to the 61.8% level, and RSI shows **oversold conditions**, this could confirm that the price may reverse upward.
- **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)**: Use MACD to confirm trend momentum. If the price approaches a Fibonacci level and you see a bullish or bearish MACD crossover, this can add confirmation to your trade.
- **Candlestick Patterns**: Watch for reversal candlestick patterns (e.g., bullish engulfing, hammer, shooting star) at key Fibonacci levels to strengthen your trade entry.
---
### **Examples of Fibonacci Retracement in Action**
1. **Bullish Trend Example**:
- The price of a stock moves from $100 to $150 (a 50% gain).
- You draw Fibonacci retracement from $100 (low) to $150 (high).
- The key retracement levels will be 23.6% at $141.80, 38.2% at $138.90, 50% at $125, and 61.8% at $123.20.
- The price pulls back to the 50% level at $125 and starts to bounce back up, showing bullish candlestick patterns like a **hammer**.
- You enter a **buy** position at $126, place your stop-loss at $123, and target the previous high of $150 for profit.
2. **Bearish Trend Example**:
- The price of a stock moves from $200 to $150 (a 25% decline).
- You draw Fibonacci retracement from $200 (high) to $150 (low).
- The key retracement levels will be 23.6% at $157.80, 38.2% at $161.80, 50% at $175, and 61.8% at $178.40.
- The price retraces to the 38.2% level at $161.80 and begins to show bearish signals (e.g., **bearish engulfing candlestick**).
- You enter a **sell** position at $160, place your stop-loss at $164, and set a take-profit target at $150 (previous low).
---
### **How to Maximize Profits Using Fibonacci Retracements**
1. **Trade with the Trend**: Fibonacci retracements work best in trending markets. Always identify the trend first and trade in the direction of that trend.
2. **Look for Confirmation**: Do not rely solely on Fibonacci levels. Always look for additional confirmation signals like candlestick patterns, volume, and oscillators (RSI, MACD) before entering a trade.
3. **Combine with Other Fibonacci Tools**: In addition to retracements, use **Fibonacci extensions** to project future price levels where the trend might continue after the retracement.
4. **Use Multiple Timeframes**: Check Fibonacci retracement levels on higher timeframes (e.g., daily or weekly) to identify stronger, more reliable support/resistance levels.
5. **Monitor Volume**: A price movement toward a Fibonacci level with high volume often indicates a more reliable support or resistance level.
### **Conclusion:**
Fibonacci retracement is a powerful tool that can help traders identify potential reversal levels in trending markets. By combining Fibonacci retracement levels with other technical analysis tools and proper risk management, you can increase the probability of successful trades and potentially profit from market corrections or continuations.
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Tata Steel cmp 138.31 by Weekly Chart viewTata Steel cmp 138.31 by Weekly Chart view
- Volumes running close to Avg Traded Quantity
- Positively trending Technical Indicators EMA, MACD, RSI
- Resistance Zone 136 to 139 Price Band may be a probable Support Zone
- Price closure above Resistance Zone for few days would drive up the momentum for a fresh breakout opportunity
Tatasteel (Tata Steel Ltd)- AnalysisBullish Levels -day closing above 128 (early entry risky) then 148 the 168 to 170 (safe entry if day closing above this) long term targets can be around 250 to 272 if sustain above this then 373 to 393 intermittent targets are marked on chart
Bearish levels :- Day closing below 117 then 107 is average price then 96 SL for swing trade then 87 again an averageing price if come, with strict SL of 75 for Long term Investor below this more bearish.
**Consider some Points buffer in above levels
**Disclaimer -
I am not a SEBI registered analyst or advisor. I does not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any information, conversation, or content. Stock trading is inherently risky and the users agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that they make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of these communications should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. The users understands and acknowledges that there is a very high risk involved in trading securities. By using this information, the user agrees that use of this information is entirely at their own risk.
Thank you.
TATASTEEL on a 1-Day Chart:Support and Resistance for TATASTEEL on a 1-Day Chart:
Support Levels:
Recent Lows: Look for the most recent significant low where the stock price has reversed and started rising again.
Previous Swing Lows: This refers to the lowest points over the past few days or weeks.
Psychological Levels: Round numbers such as ₹1000, ₹1100, or ₹1200 are often key support levels.
Resistance Levels:
Recent Highs: Identify recent peaks where the stock has faced selling pressure and reversed.
Previous Swing Highs: Look for the highest price points from the last few days or weeks.
Psychological Resistance Levels: Round numbers such as ₹1300, ₹1400, or ₹1500 can act as resistance levels.
Is TATASTEEL Trading At A Fair Valuation?NSE:TATASTEEL has been falling since 185 rupees and has reached about 50% retracement level today from the last swing. Though this stock is in surveillance as the PE is above 50, But also considering the PB of less than 2 and other similar factors, It may not be that bad after-all.
Technically speaking, The stock is trading at an RSI of about 30 on daily, and there is a bullish divergence on hourly chart.
There is a doubt in my head due to the new Virus news sentiments. If it goes to 120, It would be trading around 61.8% retracement which would be an ideal buy for me. Currently I am tracking this stock and considering an early buy at 132-133 range.
~ Trading Idea by Dr. Sagar Bansal via @jyotibansalanalysis
TATASTEEL Breakdown Opportunity Stock Name: TATASTEEL
Entry Point: Considering a short position if the price breaks below today's low, supported by strong open interest (OI).
Stop-Loss (SL): Placed above today's high to control risk effectively.
Target: Near the next key support level or adjusted based on real-time price movement.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is shared purely for educational purposes and is not a recommendation to trade. Please perform your own research and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
TATASTEEL 1D TFAs discussed in the previous post NSE:TATASTEEL was moving around a trend line which it has broke down now. The stock could be traded with strong confirmations only.
We have discussed this more on our previous post. You can view the previous post by clicking the attachment below this post.
Disclaimer:- This analysis is only for educational purpose. Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades
TATASTEEL - 15m TFNSE:TATASTEEL has formed a clear support line ( Trend Line) with multiple touch points, as the month TF didn't have any break of structure(BOS) on the sell side, the market is still considered to be in uptrend. Moving down to the 15m TF the market has a resistance with multiple touch points and if it breaks the resistance zone with a good volume a long position could be expected.
Disclaimer:- This analysis is only for educational purpose. Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades NSE:TATASTEEL
TATA STEEL 1D TFNSE:TATASTEEL has been respecting a trend line for a very long time. We've discussed about this in our previous posts. The stock has formed a good bullish candle showing signs of possible bullish movement. A R:R of 1:1.5 can be traded in this trade. As the volume is good and supporting our audio. The possible of winning this trade is more.
The link to my previous post is given below where we've discussed about the consolidation. You can check the post for reference.
Disclaimer:- This analysis is only for educational purpose. Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades
TATA STEELThese are compelling reasons to consider a long position on TATA STEEL:
1. Strong Daily Support: When a stock sits on a well-established support level, it often indicates a potential bottom, reducing downside risk and creating a favorable risk-reward scenario.
2. Bullish Candle Pattern on Support Zone: A bullish candle at a support level can confirm buyer interest at that price, often signaling a reversal from that point.
3. Strong Fundamentals: With solid fundamentals, Tata Steel can be more resilient during market volatility, increasing the probability of a sustainable upside.
4. Nifty Metal on Daily Support: If the Nifty Metal index is on support, it can give sector-wide strength, providing momentum to Tata Steel if the sector bounces.
Waiting for confirmation with a CHOCH (Change of Character) on the 1-hour timeframe is a solid approach. Here’s a structured plan based on that:
1. Wait for CHOCH on 1-Hour: The CHOCH would confirm a potential shift in market structure, signaling the beginning of bullish momentum. This adds more reliability to the trade setup.
2. Entry on Retest / FVG / IFVG:
• Retest: After the CHOCH, a retest of the breakout zone could provide an optimal entry, ensuring the breakout holds.
• Fair Value Gap (FVG): If an FVG appears within this structure, entering here could capture the shift in momentum at a lower-risk point.
• Imbalance Fair Value Gap (IFVG): An entry on an IFVG could further refine your risk-to- reward ratio, especially if market liquidity fills these gaps.
Tata Steel - 1D TFNSE:TATASTEEL has almost broke a trend line and started to move downwards. With Nifty in downtrend in 1D TF it is possible that this could stock could easily hit take profit.
Disclaimer:- This analysis is only for educational purpose. Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades
NSE:TATASTEEL