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GOLD trade ideas

AI Predicts Market Moves1. The Foundation: How AI Understands Market Behavior AI predicts market movements by analyzing enormous amounts of structured and unstructured data. Unlike traditional models that rely on past prices and fixed formulas, AI adapts dynamically to changing market conditions. Here’s how the process works: Data Collection: AI systems gather information from multiple sources — stock prices, volumes, social media sentiment, macroeconomic indicators, corporate filings, and even satellite images. Feature Engineering: Machine learning algorithms identify key features (price momentum, volatility, correlations) that may impact future movements. Model Training: AI models, especially deep learning networks, are trained using historical data to learn patterns that precede bullish or bearish trends. Prediction: The trained model predicts probable outcomes, such as price direction, volatility range, or breakout levels. Feedback Loop: The system continuously learns from real-time data, refining its accuracy over time. This self-learning nature makes AI a powerful force in financial prediction, as it becomes more accurate and efficient the longer it operates. 2. Machine Learning Models That Power Market Predictions Several AI techniques are used to predict market movements. Each serves a unique role depending on the type of market data and the trading objective. A. Supervised Learning Supervised models are trained on labeled data (e.g., past price data with known outcomes). Common algorithms include: Linear and Logistic Regression: Useful for basic price trend forecasts. Random Forests and Gradient Boosting: Handle complex, nonlinear relationships between variables. Support Vector Machines (SVM): Ideal for identifying trend reversals. B. Unsupervised Learning Unsupervised models detect hidden patterns without pre-labeled outcomes. Clustering (e.g., K-means): Groups similar stocks or market behaviors. Principal Component Analysis (PCA): Reduces data complexity to identify dominant market factors. C. Deep Learning and Neural Networks These models simulate how the human brain processes information. Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) and LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory): Designed to analyze sequential data like time series, making them perfect for price prediction. Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs): Surprisingly effective for pattern recognition in candlestick charts or heatmaps. Transformers (like those used in ChatGPT): Emerging models that can process multiple forms of data — text, numbers, sentiment — simultaneously for market insight. D. Reinforcement Learning In this model, AI acts as an agent that learns by taking actions and receiving feedback (reward or penalty). It’s widely used in algorithmic trading to optimize execution strategies or portfolio balancing. 3. Sentiment Analysis: Reading the Market’s Mood The market is not purely mathematical — it’s emotional. Investor sentiment can drive markets up or down faster than fundamentals. AI sentiment analysis decodes these emotions from textual and social data sources. Natural Language Processing (NLP) allows AI to read news articles, analyst reports, earnings calls, and social media posts. By detecting tone and language, AI gauges whether market sentiment is bullish, bearish, or neutral. Sentiment data is then quantified and fed into predictive models to anticipate short-term movements. For example, a sudden surge in positive social media mentions about a stock may indicate upcoming bullish momentum. Conversely, a negative news trend could trigger an early warning for a price drop. 4. Big Data Meets AI: The New Market Edge Market prediction used to depend primarily on numerical data — prices, volumes, and indicators. Today, AI uses big data to analyze patterns across multiple dimensions simultaneously. Key data types AI analyzes include: Price and Volume Data: Traditional market information. Fundamental Data: Balance sheets, earnings reports, P/E ratios. Macroeconomic Data: Inflation, interest rates, GDP growth. Alternative Data: Satellite imagery (e.g., tracking retail traffic), credit card spending, or shipping volumes. Behavioral Data: Search engine trends, social media posts, and online sentiment. AI’s ability to merge these data types into a single predictive framework creates a far more holistic understanding of market dynamics — something human analysts can’t achieve manually. 5. High-Frequency Trading (HFT) and Predictive Algorithms AI plays a crucial role in high-frequency trading, where thousands of trades occur in milliseconds. Here, even a microsecond advantage can yield significant profits. AI systems in HFT: Predict short-term price fluctuations based on market microstructures. Execute trades automatically using reinforcement learning strategies. Continuously adapt to new data and refine models to maintain a competitive edge. For instance, if AI detects a sudden imbalance between buy and sell orders, it might predict a short-term breakout and place rapid-fire orders to capitalize on the move — all before human traders can react. 6. Predictive Portfolio Management and Risk Control AI doesn’t just forecast prices; it predicts risk. Predictive portfolio models use AI to optimize allocations by analyzing correlations, volatility, and macroeconomic scenarios. Predictive Asset Allocation: AI forecasts which assets are likely to outperform under certain conditions. Dynamic Hedging: Machine learning models predict downside risk and automatically adjust hedges using derivatives. Anomaly Detection: AI identifies abnormal price movements that may indicate fraud, manipulation, or systemic instability. This predictive capability helps fund managers stay one step ahead of uncertainty, minimizing losses and enhancing long-term returns. 7. AI-Powered Tools Used by Traders The global trading ecosystem now hosts numerous AI-based tools and platforms that help traders predict and react faster. Examples include: Bloomberg Terminal AI: Integrates NLP to summarize financial news instantly. Kavout’s Kai Score: AI-driven stock ranking system. Upstox and Zerodha (India): Implement algorithmic and data-driven recommendations powered by AI analytics. AlphaSense: Scans millions of financial documents to detect sentiment and trends. Even retail traders can now use AI-based trading bots that combine technical indicators, sentiment data, and reinforcement learning to generate predictive insights. 8. Limitations and Risks of AI Predictions While AI has immense potential, it’s not infallible. Market predictions are inherently uncertain, and several challenges remain: Black-Box Models: Deep learning models often lack transparency. Traders may not understand why a prediction was made. Data Bias: If training data is skewed or incomplete, predictions may be inaccurate. Overfitting: Models may perform well on past data but fail in new, unseen conditions. Market Manipulation Risks: Predictive AI can be exploited by bad actors who manipulate data sources. Flash Crashes: Rapid automated trading decisions can trigger sudden market collapses, as seen in past HFT incidents. Thus, while AI enhances prediction power, it must be used responsibly, with human oversight and ethical guardrails. 9. The Human-AI Partnership in Trading Despite automation, human intuition still matters. The most successful traders today combine AI-driven insights with human experience. AI handles the data overload, filtering millions of variables into actionable signals. Humans interpret context, political events, and macroeconomic nuances that models might miss. Hybrid Strategies — where AI predicts and humans confirm — are proving to be the most effective approach for modern trading. This collaboration ensures that traders harness the computational power of AI without losing the strategic foresight that only human judgment provides. 10. The Future of AI Market Predictions: What Lies Ahead The next generation of AI in trading will go beyond prediction — it will move toward autonomous financial decision-making. Emerging trends include: Quantum AI Trading: Combining quantum computing with AI to handle even more complex datasets. Generative AI Models: Creating simulated market scenarios for predictive testing. Explainable AI (XAI): Making black-box models transparent so traders understand the “why” behind predictions. Emotion AI: Measuring real-time trader sentiment through voice and facial analysis for behavioral prediction. Global Integration: AI systems linking across markets — equities, commodities, forex, and crypto — for unified predictive analysis. By 2030, it’s expected that over 70% of all trades globally will be AI-assisted or AI-driven, making machine intelligence the core of the financial ecosystem. Conclusion: The Predictive Revolution in Trading AI has evolved from being a buzzword to becoming the backbone of market prediction and trading. Its ability to process massive datasets, identify hidden correlations, and forecast potential moves with remarkable accuracy is transforming the very structure of financial markets. Yet, while AI can predict patterns and probabilities, it cannot guarantee certainty — because markets are influenced by human behavior, policy shifts, and black swan events that defy logic. The key lies in balance: leveraging AI’s speed, precision, and learning capability while maintaining human control and intuition. As AI continues to mature, those who adapt early — blending technology with insight — will dominate the next generation of global trading.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
Gold Breaks $3900: Safe-Haven Demand Soars & Fed Fuels the Rally📊 Market Context Gold continues to assert its strength by breaking the psychological barrier of $3,900, becoming the central asset amidst financial and political turmoil. US government shutdown → defensive capital flows strongly into gold. Fed expected to cut interest rates by another 0.25 points → further strengthens the advantage for the non-yielding precious metal. Lack of economic data → investors closely follow private reports, adding uncertainty and supporting gold's role as the “number 1 safe haven”. 👉 Market sentiment is perfectly aligned: USD under pressure, capital moving away from risky assets, BUY side FOMO continues to amplify → gold stands before the opportunity to climb and conquer the 3950–3990 range. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Main trend: Strong uptrend, price holding above the rising trendline. BUY ZONE 1: 3904–3902 → Volume CP Zone, supports momentum. BUY ZONE 2: 3885–3883 → Retest old ATH, accumulation zone for the next rally. SELL Zone: 3949–3950 → Liquidity Zone, prone to liquidity traps. Extended target: 3994 (Fib 3.618). 🔑 Key Levels BUY Zones: 3904–3902, 3885–3883 SELL Zone: 3949–3950 Resistance: 3950, 3994 Support: 3900, 3880 📈 Scenario & Trading Plan ✅ BUY ZONE 1: 3904–3902 SL: 3898 TP: 3910 - 3915 - 3925 - 3935 - 3945 - ??? ✅ BUY ZONE 2: 3885–3883 SL: 3878 TP: 3895 - 3905 - 3920 - 3935 - 3945 - ??? ⚠️ SELL ZONE (scalp/trap): 3949–3950 SL: 3955 TP: 3940 - 3935 - 3925 - ??? ⚠️ Risk Management Notes Liquidity may sweep above 3950 before adjusting → need to wait for price action confirmation. Avoid FOMO at the peak, prioritize BUY only when price adjusts to support zones. Order volume should be slightly reduced before unexpected Fed policy announcements. ✅ Summary Gold is in the “golden phase” of an uptrend: political instability + dovish Fed + safe haven demand = BUY is the main strategy. Plan to accumulate around 3904–3902 and 3885–3883, with an extended target of 3950–3990. SELL is only a short-term strategy at the liquidity zone. 📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates & BIGWIN setups with the team!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
SELL XAU USDThis setup on XAUUSD is based on a bullish reversal pattern. After multiple rejections near support, a long entry was taken with a defined stop loss below the recent swing low. The target is set at a 3.3 Risk-to-Reward ratio, aligning with momentum and price structure. Entry: After bullish confirmation candle Stop Loss: Below the rejection zone Take Profit: At projected resistance zone (3.3R) Reasoning: Price showed strong rejection wicks, increasing buy pressure, and higher volume support. This trade idea focuses on risk management first — accepting a small controlled loss while targeting a larger potential gain.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Aj1t4
BUY GOLD UNTIL WAVE 5 END - BIG SHORT IN NEXT 2 DAYS 📊 Trading Plan based on SMC + Elliott Wave 1. Market Context SMC (Smart Money Concept): Price is consolidating around a strong liquidity zone. Evidence of a stop hunt / long squeeze before a potential reversal. The 3820 – 3822 area acts as a Demand Zone, where Smart Money is likely accumulating buy orders. Elliott Wave: Current structure suggests we are in Wave IV (corrective phase). A confirmed breakout above 3895 (previous ATH) would validate the start of Wave V, with Fibonacci targets around 3915 – 3920 (1.272 – 1.618 FE). 2. Trading Logic 🔺 Buy Setup (SMC-based) Entry Zone: 3820 – 3822 (Demand Zone). This zone is expected to hold as institutional liquidity support. Ideal area to position for the anticipated Wave V rally. 🔺 Breakout Buy (Elliott confirmation) Trigger: Clean breakout above 3895 (ATH) with confirmation. Target: Expansion towards 3915 – 3920 (Fibo extensions). This confirms Wave V continuation. 🔹 Short-term Sell (Scalping idea) Entry Zone: 3913 – 3915 (Supply Zone + liquidity cluster). Short-term reaction expected → possible retracement towards 3885 – 3870. Note: This is counter-trend, only for scalping opportunities. 3. Trade Scenarios (SMC + Elliott Wave combined) Price taps Demand Zone (3820 – 3822) → Long position targeting Wave V. Breakout above ATH 3895 → Confirmation of Wave V → Continue long towards 3915+. At 3913 – 3915 (Supply Zone) → Expect short-term reaction → Intraday short setup. 4. Risk Management Stop Loss for Buys: below 3816 (Demand invalidation). Stop Loss for Shorts: above 3920 (Supply invalidation). Main bias = long (Wave V continuation). Short trades = counter-trend only (scalping pullbacks). 👉 In summary: SMC view: Trade around liquidity pools (Demand/Supply Zones). Elliott view: Structure suggests Wave IV is ending, Wave V expansion is next → bias remains bullish.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
1
Gold Day Trading Outlook: Resistance Holding! Gold is showing signs of weakness as the resistance around 3860–3865 continues to hold strong, keeping the intraday sentiment tilted to the bearish side. As long as price stays below this band, the market is vulnerable to further downside pressure with immediate support seen near 3827 and an extended target towards 3798. Any minor pullbacks into the 3855–3860 region may attract sellers, maintaining the short-term bearish structure. However, a decisive hourly close above 3865 would invalidate this bearish view and shift the bias back to the upside, opening the door for a possible retest of 3880–3900. Until then, day trading leans bearish with sellers holding the upper hand. Trade safe !
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by sparkrlight
US Government Shutdown Sends Gold Flying HigherWhat's Happening With Gold? Gold continues recording new high despite monthly RSI reading of 89-90 signalling extremely overbought conditions and casual pullbacks are attracting buyers on any dip towards value areas resuming higher high and higher low structure which is precisely bullish. Disappointing ADP numbers keep dollar under pressure and Gold gets substantial support as bond yields remain neutral or dull. Recent record high of $3895 witnessed a minor pullback to $3852 which was quickly absorbed by buyers retesting $3893 today and prices stand at striking distance of record high. What's Driving the Bullish Rally? Fundamental Drivers: The US government shutdown and fiscal stress has caused global concerns triggering increased bets for risk off sentiments driving investors for higher Gold prices on safe haven buying. Continued Dollar Weakness below critical resistance 98 is supportive for dollar denominated Gold reducing opportunity cost of holding the non yielding asset. Sticky Inflation makes Gold a preferred hedge against inflation as store of value. Geo political concerns across Europe, mid east keep safe haven demand strong and boost Gold prices further. Robust buying by major Central Banks create further structural demand for Gold as several central banks continue increasing Gold in reserve than dollar and no central bank selling Gold despite record high prices. Any surprise hawkish message from the Fed members or strong economic data can cause a pullback in Gold prices while any dovish tone by Fed will further boost Gold prices. Technical Drivers: Technical structure is still bullish favouring further continuation supported by price stability above immediate support $3852 and moving within a strong ascending bullish parallel channel as seen on the 4 hourly chart while further bullish extension requires strong break and stability above immediate resistance $3898 which targets next leg higher $3914 followed by $3934 Overbought conditions on Monthly RSI reading 89-90 urges caution on heights as break below crucial support may trigger profit booking pressure, especially if some news about potential agreement on US shutdown strengthens dollar and treasury yields. If Gold breaks below $3872, expect a retest of $3860-$3858 while break below $3852 will expose $3845 followed by $3830-$3820
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SunilKumarDixitSKCharting
13
Intraday Scalping Tips1. Understanding the Scalping Concept Scalping is different from traditional intraday trading. While intraday traders may hold positions for several hours, scalpers aim to profit from very small price fluctuations that occur over minutes—or even seconds. Key principles include: High Trade Frequency: Scalpers often make dozens of trades in a single day. Small Gains: Each trade typically targets 0.1–0.5% profit. Minimal Exposure: Trades are closed quickly to avoid major market risks. Scalping is particularly effective in highly liquid markets like Nifty, Bank Nifty, or major blue-chip stocks where order execution is smooth and spreads are low. 2. Choosing the Right Stocks or Instruments Not all stocks are suitable for scalping. Selecting the right instruments is critical for consistent profits. Key considerations include: Liquidity: Highly traded stocks allow quick entry and exit. Volatility: Moderate volatility provides enough price movement for scalping without excessive risk. Tight Spreads: Stocks with narrow bid-ask spreads reduce transaction costs. Market Depth: Strong support and resistance levels make prediction of price action more reliable. Popular choices for scalpers in India include Nifty, Bank Nifty, HDFC Bank, Reliance, and Infosys, as they provide both liquidity and predictable movement patterns. 3. Time Frame Selection and Chart Analysis Time frame selection is critical in scalping since trades are short-lived: 1-Minute and 5-Minute Charts: Most scalpers rely on very short time frames for identifying entry and exit points. Tick Charts: Some traders use tick charts to focus on the number of trades instead of time intervals, offering precision in fast markets. Indicators: Common indicators include: Moving Averages: For trend confirmation. Relative Strength Index (RSI): To spot overbought/oversold conditions. Volume Indicators: Confirm breakout strength and liquidity. Chart patterns like flags, pennants, and micro-trends are also useful for short-term trade setups. 4. Setting Precise Entry and Exit Points Successful scalping relies on strict entry and exit discipline: Entry Rules: Enter trades when technical indicators align (e.g., price breaks a micro-resistance on high volume). Exit Rules: Always set a pre-determined profit target (e.g., 0.2–0.5%) to avoid greed. Stop-Loss Discipline: A tight stop-loss (0.1–0.3% below entry price) prevents small losses from becoming large. Risk-Reward Ratio: Even for small profits, maintain a risk-reward ratio that ensures overall profitability. Automation tools like bracket orders in NSE allow traders to simultaneously set stop-loss and target levels. 5. Capital Management and Trade Sizing Proper capital management is crucial to survive in high-frequency scalping: Small Position Sizes: Avoid risking too much on a single trade. Leverage Management: Use leverage cautiously; while it magnifies profits, it also amplifies losses. Diversification: Spread trades across multiple instruments to reduce concentration risk. Daily Loss Limits: Decide beforehand how much you can lose in a day and stick to it—emotional control is key. Even small profits can accumulate when losses are strictly controlled. 6. Using Technology for Speed and Accuracy Scalping is a speed-driven strategy, making technology a critical factor: Direct Market Access (DMA): Enables faster order execution compared to traditional brokers. Low Latency Trading Platforms: Platforms like Zerodha Kite, Upstox Pro, and Interactive Brokers help reduce slippage. Hotkeys and Advanced Orders: Pre-set hotkeys speed up entries and exits. Real-Time Data Feeds: Access to live market data is essential for micro-trend identification. Automated scripts and algorithmic tools can also be employed to execute scalping strategies without hesitation. 7. Psychological Discipline and Emotional Control Scalping is mentally demanding due to rapid decision-making: Avoid Overtrading: Even if setups are frequent, wait for high-probability signals. Embrace Small Wins: Focus on cumulative gains rather than single trades. Detach from Emotions: Fear and greed can destroy scalping strategies in seconds. Routine and Focus: A disciplined pre-market routine enhances performance. Mental fatigue can lead to poor execution, so breaks and mental preparation are crucial. 8. Continuous Learning and Strategy Adaptation Markets are dynamic, and scalping strategies must evolve: Review Trades Daily: Maintain a trade journal to track setups, wins, and losses. Backtesting: Test strategies on historical data to identify strengths and weaknesses. Adapt to Market Conditions: Scalping in trending markets differs from range-bound markets. Stay Updated: Economic events, corporate news, and global market movements can drastically affect intraday behavior. Continuous refinement ensures long-term profitability and helps scalpers stay ahead of changing conditions. Conclusion Intraday scalping is a high-speed, high-discipline trading approach that rewards precision, strategy, and emotional control. Success depends on selecting the right instruments, leveraging technology, maintaining strict risk management, and continuously learning from market behavior. While scalping can offer consistent profits, it is not suitable for everyone due to its demanding nature. Traders who combine discipline with strategic execution and adaptive methods can use scalping to capitalize on micro-movements in the market and achieve steady gains over time.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
2
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 10/03/2025📊 ________________________________________ 🔹 Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum is currently declining → the corrective process is likely to continue until D1 enters the oversold zone and reverses. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is preparing to turn upward → today we may see a bullish move. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is heading into the oversold zone → the current H1 decline is weakening, which may lead to a bullish move aligned with H4. This potential rally could last for about 4–5 H4 candles. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure • D1: Price is still within the wave 5 target zone without a clear breakout. However, D1 momentum suggests that a corrective decline may continue. • H4: An ABC structure has formed → the current rebound may be: o The start of a new uptrend. o Or part of a more complex correction. • H1: Showing a rebound, which could be: o Wave 1 of a new uptrend. o Or wave A of a corrective 3-wave ABC move. ⏩ In either case, the current decline can be identified as wave 2 (purple) or wave B (blue). • Downside targets: o Zone 1: 3842 o Zone 2: 3830 Afterward, the market is expected to rise: • If it is wave C → target equals wave A at 3885 (after 3842 support) or 3874 (after 3830 support). • If it is wave 3 (purple) → minimum target = 1.618 of wave 1 (purple). ________________________________________ 🔹 Trading Plan Scenario 1 • Buy Zone: 3843 – 3841 • SL: 3833 • TP1: 3862 • TP2: 3874 • TP3: 3885 Scenario 2 • Buy Zone: 3831 – 3829 • SL: 3818 • TP1: 3862 • TP2: 3874 • TP3: 3885 ________________________________________ 👉 Main strategy: Look for buy entries around 3842 or 3830 support zones, targeting 3874 – 3885.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold Holds Above 3850 But Faces Resistance at 3890–95 ZoneAfter printing a rejection candle on Wednesday, gold followed up with further weakness yesterday, but once again bulls managed to defend and push the price back above 3850, securing a daily close above this level. This makes 3850 the immediate support to watch, and only a confirmed H4 close below it could open the door for a deeper test of the 3810–3800 zone, which remains the next key support area. The current price action suggests that the much-expected pullback is underway, though it looks more like a healthy cooldown rather than a reversal, as the broader structure remains bullish. On the upside, the 3890–3895 zone is acting as immediate resistance and will be the key hurdle for bulls in the short term.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheGoldenCircle
LiamTrading – Follow the Buy trend, target ATH 3915 The gold market continues to demonstrate the strength of an upward trend. After yesterday's shakeout, we witnessed a very clear Long Squeeze: all buying forces were forced to exit, but immediately after, the price quickly rebounded. This is the hallmark of a strong trend – the more it shakes out, the more momentum it creates for a new peak. Today's perspective: Continue to follow Buy, do not SELL against the trend. The Buy position from 3797 is still being held, if the price returns to retest, we will continue to add orders. Prioritise observing the POC of the Volume Profile to place Buy orders; if the price adjusts deeper, the VAL area coinciding with the rising trendline will be an extremely safe buying point. Trading scenario Buy 3847–3844, SL 3840, TP 3868 – 3880 – 3900 – 3915 Buy 3821–3819, SL 3814, TP 3835 – 3850 – 3868 – open In summary: The upward trend remains extremely strong, the short-term target is ATH 3915. Stick to the trend, prioritise Buy to maximise profits. This is my personal view on XAUUSD. Please follow the scenario and stay tuned for my updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
2
Gold Hits $394x! New ATH: Fed & BoJ Drive the Rally.Hello, traders! Gold (XAU/USD) has just delivered a massive breakthrough in the Asian session, setting a New ATH around $394x after comfortably breaching that $3900 level. This strength, bhai, is getting serious support from two big monetary policy moves: Fed rate cut expectations and the likelihood of the BoJ (Bank of Japan) delaying rate hikes due to the new PM. Paisa hi paisa! Fundamentals & Technical Caution: Mind the FOMO Dual Drivers: Market sentiment is clear—the Fed is expected to cut rates two more times, and the dovish BoJ outlook only adds more fuel, creating a rock-solid foundation for Gold. Safe-Haven: The continuous US Shutdown drama and geopolitical tensions are keeping that safe-haven bid strong. FOMO Warning: The momentum is fierce, but you must avoid buying the high. Prioritize Buying on pullbacks to FVG (Fair Value Gaps) to secure a safer entry point. Discipline is key, boss. Key Price Levels: Resistance: $3954, $3963 Support: $3910, $3895, $3883, $3870 Trading Strategy (Absolute Risk Management): BUY SCALP: $3910 - $3908 SL: $3904 TPs: $3918, $3928, $3938, $3948, $3958 BUY ZONE (FVG): $3895 - $3893 SL: $3885 TPs: $3903, $3913, $3923, $3933, $3943 SELL ZONE (High Risk): $3964 - $3966 SL: $3974 TPs: $3956, $3946, $3936, $3926, $3916 Are you placing your bets on a $4000 target this week? Let me know your plan! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #Fed #BoJ #Shutdown #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #GoldFever
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold 1H – Liquidity Plays Between 3794 and 3918Gold on the 1H timeframe is fluctuating within a defined range after multiple ChoCH signals, with liquidity concentrated at both premium supply and discount demand. Current price action suggests engineered sweeps remain likely: upside liquidity sits near 3918–3916, while downside support aligns with 3794–3796. This dual structure sets up both tactical sell and buy plays depending on liquidity grabs. From the macro perspective, gold traders are balancing caution ahead of upcoming U.S. data releases with the backdrop of a resilient dollar and persistent geopolitical risks. These drivers reinforce intraday volatility, where engineered liquidity hunts at extremes provide clearer opportunities. ⸻ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL GOLD 3918–3916 (SL 3925): Premium supply sweep zone. Downside targets at 3896 → 3872 → 3853. • 🟢 BUY GOLD SUPPORT 3794–3796 (SL 3788): Discount demand aligned with structural lows. Upside targets at 3819 → 3853 → 3872+. ⸻ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔻 Sell Setup – Liquidity Grab at 3918–3916 • Entry: 3918–3916 • Stop Loss: 3925 • Take Profits: • TP1: 3896 • TP2: 3872 • TP3: 3853 🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand at 3794–3796 • Entry: 3794–3796 • Stop Loss: 3788 • Take Profits: • TP1: 3819 • TP2: 3853 • TP3: 3872+ ⸻ 🔑 Strategy Note Gold remains liquidity-driven and range-bound, with engineered sweeps expected at both premium highs and discount lows. Flexibility is crucial: fade rallies into the 3918 supply zone, while preparing to scale into longs if liquidity clears into the 3794 demand base.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
2
GOLD XAU/USD – Intraday Plan | Bulls Targeting 4,000$Gold has once again proven its safe-haven dominance, pushing close to 3,980$ during the Asian session. Despite USD fluctuations and global market risk-on vibes, buyers remain firmly in control. The psychological milestone of 4,000$ is now directly in focus. 🔎 Technical Snapshot (M30) Trend remains bullish, supported by the Fibo channel. Dip-buying pressure continues to dominate intraday price action. Sellers will only gain short-term control near the 3988 – 4000$ resistance zone. 🔑 Key Trading Levels BUY Zone (Fibo 0.618): 395x → Ideal intraday demand. Support Zone: 393x → Must hold for bullish structure. Immediate Resistance: 397x → Current ATH zone. SELL Reaction Zone: 3988 – 4000$ → Potential short scalp. Major Resistance: 4000 – 4006$ → Strong psychological wall. 📌 Trading Plan (FranCi$$ Style) ✅ BUY on Dips Entry: 395x – 393x Targets: 3975 → 3988 → 4000$ Stop Loss: Below 392x ⚡ SELL Scalp Entry: 3988 – 4000$ Targets: 3970 → 3950$ Stop Loss: Above 4015$ 🎯 Final Take Gold’s path remains upward, but the 4000$ barrier is where bulls meet the biggest challenge. Smart traders will look to buy dips for continuation and use scalp sells only at strong rejection zones. 🔥 Stay tuned with FranCi$$ for realtime intraday updates – precision signals, scalping setups, and golden opportunities!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
LiamTrading – Risk of correction before hitting the $4000 mark? LiamTrading – GOLD: Risk of correction before hitting the $4000 mark? Hello everyone, Gold is approaching the psychological price zone of $4000/oz, but before reaching this historic milestone, the market may be preparing for a short-term correction. According to Bank of America's technical strategist – Paul Ciana, gold's upward momentum is “too hot,” and a mid-cycle correction could occur soon. 📉 Technical Analysis (Chart H1 – Wolfe Waves Formation) Observing the chart, a Wolfe Waves pattern is clearly forming: The Sell zone 3988–3990 is the convergence point of wave number 5 – a potential short-term reversal zone. The Buy zone 3963–3965 is the retest point of local support, where sellers often tend to take short-term profits. The Wolfe trend line indicates the possibility that the price will take liquidity above the peak zone before a corrective decline appears. If a correction occurs, the 3940–3955 zone will be the first reaction area, where strong buying support is present. 🎯 Trading Scenario Buy retest: 📍 3963–3965 🛑 SL: 3960 🎯 TP: 3972 – 3985 – 4000 Sell following Wolfe wave: 📍 3988–3990 🛑 SL: 3995 🎯 TP: 3972 – 3955 – 3945 🧭 Medium-term Outlook Although the upward momentum remains dominant, the momentum is gradually decreasing and the market needs to “cool down” to create a new accumulation rhythm. Dense liquidity zones around POC 3957–3960 may trigger a short-term pullback, before gold gains momentum to advance to the ATH zone of $4000 in the late-week sessions. 📌 Conclusion Gold remains in a medium-term uptrend, but a short correction is necessary to maintain a sustainable upward structure. Traders should prioritize flexible scalping, observing reactions at Fibo zones – Volume Profile – and especially the developing Wolfe Waves pattern. I will continue to update the latest scenario details for XAUUSD daily. 👉 Follow me to not miss important wave rhythms!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – US Government Shutdown Pressure on Gold Hello Traders, For the first time since 2018, the US Government is facing the risk of a shutdown. This can only be avoided if Congress passes new funding legislation, but the timing remains uncertain. This political backdrop is exerting strong pressure on the financial markets, and gold – the traditional safe haven asset – has become the focal point for investors. Technical Outlook Gold continues to set new ATHs right in the Asian session today, indicating the uptrend remains intact. The upward price channel on H4 maintains a beautiful structure, with the main trend continuing to favour buying. Yesterday's dip was merely a "liquidity sweep," after which the price quickly returned to its upward momentum. Short positions can be considered when the price hits strong resistance, combining Fibonacci + Trendline, to optimise winning probabilities. Trading Scenario Sell (short-term at resistance): Entry: 3884 – 3886 SL: 3890 TP: 3872 – 3860 – 3845 – 3830 Buy (aligning with the main trend): Entry: 3820 – 3823 SL: 3816 TP: 3835 – 3850 – 3862 – 3880 Conclusion Gold remains strongly supported by the political instability in the US. The medium-term strategy continues to prioritise Buying at support zones, while Selling should only be considered when there is a clear reaction at resistance zones. Traders need to closely monitor political news, as any developments related to the US government could alter the short-term structure of gold. Follow me for the quickest updates on new scenarios as the price path changes.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD – Price Channel Rising Towards 4000 USD Next Week Hello Traders, Every day I share scenarios for you to refer to and build your own strategy. And here is the perspective for next week – as gold is in a sustainable uptrend, approaching the psychological mark of 4000 USD. Technical Perspective On the H4 frame, gold continues to move within a clear upward price channel. Every time the price touches the support trendline, a strong rebound reaction appears, indicating that buying pressure still dominates. This price channel has remained stable for many weeks, providing a basis for us to prioritise buying in line with the trend. The target of 4000 USD is not far away, especially when the fundamental context continues to support the upward trend. Fundamental Context The market is expecting the Fed to continue cutting interest rates in October, creating momentum for gold. Current US financial-economic news is limited, as the US Government remains shut down. Geopolitical factors have somewhat cooled down, but gold still holds its position as an important safe-haven asset. Trading Scenario 1. Buy (main priority): Entry: 3860 – 3865 (at the rising trendline). TP: 3960 – 4000. SL: manage below the trendline. 2. Sell (backup if the channel breaks): Condition: 3853 is breached. At that point, a new trend will form and the Sell scenario will be activated. Conclusion Main trend: Buy in line with the rising channel, aiming for 4000 USD next week. Sell should only be considered if there is confirmation of a break below 3853. The market is in a critical phase, so be patient and wait for a good entry point to trade safely and effectively.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 6, 2025) ________________________________________ 🔹 1. Momentum D1 Timeframe • Daily momentum is currently declining, with both lines starting to converge inside the overbought zone. • Today is a critical day: o If the daily candle closes strongly bullish, price may extend the upside for another 2–3 days. o If the daily candle closes bearish, momentum will continue to decline, suggesting the correction may extend further. ➡️ Therefore, today’s daily close will be important to determine the mid–term trend direction. H4 Timeframe • H4 momentum lines are stuck together in the overbought zone, indicating a potential reversal could happen at any moment. H1 Timeframe • H1 momentum is turning upward, but since it’s already near the overbought area, the current push may not be sustainable. ➡️ A short-term pullback is likely to occur within the next 1–2 H1 candles. ________________________________________ 🔹 2. Wave Structure D1 Timeframe • On the daily chart, price has broken above 3877, which is the second target of the yellow wave 5. • Given the strong move, this could simply be a liquidity sweep, not necessarily the end of wave 5 yet. ➡️ We need to observe the daily close to confirm whether momentum continues to weaken or stabilizes. H4 Timeframe • After a 3-wave ABC correction (in blue), the price is now moving within purple wave 5. • Based on the current price channel, two possible targets for purple wave 5 are: o 🎯 Target 1: 3923 o 🎯 Target 2: 3986 H1 Timeframe • The structure shows a 5-wave pattern (in black) inside purple wave 5. • The 0.618 projection of wave 5 has already been reached near 3926, which also aligns with the 0.382 retracement level of the H4 structure — creating a strong confluence zone suitable for a potential short setup. • If price closes decisively above 3926, it may continue to extend toward 3986. ➡️ In that case, it’s better to wait for a clear reversal signal near 3986 rather than shorting too early. ________________________________________ 🔹 3. Trading Plan 📍 Setup: • Sell Now: 3925 – 3926 • Stop Loss: 3936 • Take Profit: 3899 📌 Safer Option: Wait for a bearish H1 confirmation candle before entering the trade. ⚠️ Note: This is a potential topping phase, so it’s essential to manage positions carefully — avoid loose stop losses or unprotected exposure.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Gold Correction: Fed Warning vs. Massive Safe-Haven Flows Hello, traders! Gold pulled back to $3,845.78/oz after Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan called for caution regarding further rate cuts. Fundamentals: Fed Warns, But the Buying Wave is Unstoppable The market stands at a crossroads: Downward Pressure: The caution signal from Fed's Logan. Upward Momentum: Government shutdown (increases instability, delays jobs report), weak private sector jobs data (down 32k), and SPDR Gold Trust ETF holdings rising to the highest level since 2022. Conclusion: Political instability and weak economic data continue to reinforce the likelihood of a Fed rate cut. Massive safe-haven capital is flowing into Gold. Technical Analysis & Strategy Gold retreated to the FIBO 0.618 - 0.5 zone, indicating a healthy technical correction after the sharp rally. Priority remains Buy if the price holds above $3861. Be cautious of Stop Loss hunting. Resistance: $3870, $3884, $3894 Support: $3855, $3833, $3798 Trading Strategy (Tight SL): BUY SCALP: $3838 - $3836 / SL: $3832 / TP: $3846 - $3857 BUY ZONE: $3798 - $3796 / SL: $3788 / TP: $3816 - $3836 SELL ZONE: $3888 - $3890 / SL: $3898 / TP: $3870 - $3850 Do you think the Fed's warning is strong enough to reverse this trend? 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GovernmentShutdown #TradingView #PhânTíchVàng #ETF
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold – Resistance at 3840, Contra Move in Play?Gold has approached the 3825 and at high around 3840 resistance zone where sellers are likely to step in. Price rejection from this area can trigger a downside move toward the 3775–3780 support zone. Currently, the setup favors a contra play, with risk defined above the resistance zone and reward potential aligning with the lower support. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before trading.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TraderRahulPal
2
“Gold Price Action: Bullish Momentum with Key Correction ZonesAnalysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot) The chart shows a clear uptrend channel, supported by higher highs and higher lows. Price recently pulled back after testing the $3,915 zone, which is acting as a short-term resistance. Multiple support zones are highlighted (around $3,760 and $3,700), which can provide strong buying opportunities on retracement. The structure suggests impulse–correction–impulse movement, aligning with bullish continuation patterns. Bullish Scenario If price holds above the $3,760–$3,780 support, continuation towards $3,915 (previous high) is expected. A breakout above $3,915–$3,920 will open the door for further upside, targeting $3,960–$3,980. Bearish Scenario If price breaks below the trendline support (~$3,760), deeper correction is possible toward $3,680–$3,640 (TP1 zone). That zone is mentioned on the chart as a strong re-entry point for long positions. ✅ Suitable Target (Bullish): Immediate Target: $3,915 (previous high) Extended Target: $3,960 – $3,980 ⚠️ Correction Target (Bearish Pullback): $3,680 – $3,640 (strong buy zone for re-entry)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
1