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Gold Awaits Fed Signals: Will 3,350 USD Determine the Next Move?Hi everyone, the gold market is currently at a very sensitive stage. Gold is trading around 3,345 USD, approaching the Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 3,340 – 3,350 USD, and it’s showing signs of consolidation within a narrow range. This phase is highly anticipatory of important news from the Fed and senior officials. So, where will gold head before and after these statements? Let’s break it down. Gold is currently facing strong resistance at 3,350 USD, a key level that could confirm the next direction. The chart shows that the FVG between 3,340 – 3,350 USD is a region where gold might test again. If it breaks above this level, the chances of continuing the uptrend are very high. On the other hand, if it fails to break 3,350 USD, gold could pull back to test the 3,320 USD support level. The current trading volume indicates that the bulls are gaining control. However, with significant news soon to be released from the Fed, statements from Jerome Powell and other FOMC members could be decisive factors, especially if there are further signals about potential rate cuts from the Fed. This would weaken the USD and fuel further upside for gold. Gold Trend Prediction: If gold breaks 3,350 USD, I expect it to continue rising, with the next target around 3,370 USD. However, if it fails to break this resistance level, gold might adjust back towards 3,320 USD or lower. Let’s continue to monitor the market and prepare for upcoming trading opportunities!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EmmaChartist
XAUUSD SD + OTE Long Trade (Smart Money Logic)This is my recent LONG trade on OANDA:XAUUSD on the 15 min chart. When everyone was waiting to SHORT , I was waiting patiently in my LONG position. Entry : $3378 - Order Block + FVG + 0.5 Optimal Trade Entry level Exit : 1st Target - $3400 (Standard Deviation Target 1 + 3400 psychological level) 2nd Target - $3418 (Standard Deviation Target 2) NOTE: Smart Money DOES NOT HUNT stoplosses , they trigger their positions slightly below where they find maximum liquidity, because their positions are WAY TOO HUGE and need all the anti-orders (buy/sell stops) basically buy side or sell side liquidity so that they can fill in their orders. They are literally there to HELP YOU push the price up or down, you just need to place your stoplosses right! not too tight not too far off which may cause market structure shifts. SLs need to be absolutely perfect Trade Explanation : OANDA:XAUUSD should have used the 1D Bearish Order Block and we should have seen a fall or at least a decent enough retracement, but only 1 thing saved us, that is 15 min Bullish INDUCMENT and 1H BIAS . I never entered in a short trade! I hope everyone saw these liquidity pools at the bottom and waited for them to get swept, but yeah, not always will liquidity be hunted right? Pools are areas with the most number of orders + stops. So aren't they supposed to be a good thing? :) So, yes, DAILY bias is good, but again, LTF bias is also very necessary. Markets won't always respect the DAILY bias. Else, they would always be stuck in a sideways momentum right? Think about it! Also, do let me know in the comments what you feel about this trade and also share your analysis!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mukul_9
Gold Plan (28/08) – Ahead of 3,400: Breakout or Correction to ??XAU/USD – Gold hits Storm Breaker 3400: Accumulation before breaking ATH? 1. Market Wave 🌍 Throughout last week, Gold continuously formed BOS (Break of Structure) , confirming that buyers remain in control. Currently, price is consolidating around 3,394 – 3,400, right at the Storm Breaker 🌊 , the crucial barrier before heading towards the old ATH at 3,424. The key question: Will Gold accumulate here and smash through ATH, or will it need a pullback to safe harbors before a strong rally in September? 2. Technical Analysis ⚙️ Storm Breaker 🌊 (Strong Resistance): 3400 – 3424 (old ATH). The gateway Gold must conquer to open a new bullish leg. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Key Support): 3375 – 3355 – 3330. Confluence with FVG + Fibonacci 0.5/0.618 , likely to attract liquidity if price corrects. Short-term scenario: Price may pull back to Golden Harbor before breaking higher. 3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Trade Scenarios 🪙 🔺 Quick Boarding 🚤 (BUY Scalp – Rebound Priority) Entry: 3353 – 3355 SL: 3349 TP: 3356 → 3359 → 3361 → 33xx 🔻 Storm Breaker 🌊 (SELL Reaction – Old ATH) Entry: 3422 – 3424 (if tested) SL: 3430 TP: 3419 → 3415 → 3410 → 3405 → 33xx 4. Captain’s Note ⚓ "The Gold ship is now pressing against Storm Breaker 🌊 3400 – 3424 . If it breaks through, the vast ocean opens a new trend. But if the waves push back, patiently wait at Golden Harbor 🏝️ to anchor and catch the September tide."
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD 4H – Strong Breakout from ConsolidationGold has broken out above its descending resistance line and is now trading at $3,447, reaching fresh highs. The breakout also cleared the key resistance at $3,409, turning it into immediate support. 📈 Price is well above the 200 EMA ($3,357), confirming strong bullish momentum. 📊 Indicators: RSI (14): At 81, showing overbought conditions — momentum is strong, but a short-term pullback cannot be ruled out. ADX (14): At 34, indicating a strengthening trend. 🔺 Bullish Scenario: As long as Gold holds above $3,409, continuation towards $3,460 and beyond remains likely. 🔻 Bearish Scenario: A rejection at current highs could trigger a retest of $3,409 or even the EMA zone near $3,357. ⚡ Momentum favors the bulls, but caution is warranted with RSI in overbought territory.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by sooryakanthsuresh
Gold 27/08: Smart Money Targets 3405 or Sweeps 3355?Gold SMC Daily Plan – 27/08 Market Context (SMC View): Price is consolidating around 3378, holding the liquidity trendline with multiple BOS and ChoCH, indicating strong smart money activity. Key resistance: 3393–3406 (supply & liquidity pool). Key support: 3352–3358 (demand zone) with an Order Block (OB) near 3325. A possible liquidity sweep could happen above 3405 or below 3355 before confirming the next trend move. 📊 Key Liquidity Zones & Entries ✅ Sell Zone: 3402–3406 SL: 3410 TP: 3390 → 3380 → 3360 ✅ Buy Zone 1: 3352–3358 SL: 3345 TP: 3360 → 3375 → 3385 → 3395 ✅ Buy Zone 2 (intraday pullback): 3376–3380 SL: 3370 TP: 3385 → 3395 → 3405 SMC Scenarios for 27/08 Scenario 1 – Liquidity Grab at Resistance: If price sweeps 3402–3406, look for fake breakout signals. Short from this zone with the TP levels mentioned above. Scenario 2 – Buy on Dip (Demand Zone): If price retraces deeper to 3352–3358, wait for bullish confirmation to go long. If price respects the trend and holds 3376–3380, consider intraday buy opportunities. SMC Notes: Focus on buying dips unless a liquidity grab occurs first at 3402–3406. Keep an eye on price action near the trendline & OB at 3325 for potential high-probability reversal setups.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold Surges $70+ – Is XAUUSD Ready for the Next Big Move?🔥 Market Update Gold (XAUUSD) just made a massive rally of more than $70, shaking the entire trading community. The rise in geopolitical tensions is pushing safe-haven demand to extreme levels, and gold has once again become the most-watched asset worldwide. For Indian traders, where gold holds not just market value but also cultural importance, this move is a wake-up call – volatility is at its peak, and discipline is key. 🔎 Macro Outlook 🌍 Global geopolitical risks → Strong inflows into gold as a safe haven. 💵 USD and bond yields are not enough to stop buyers rushing to gold. 📊 Upcoming US PCE data & Fed decisions could bring even bigger swings. 📊 Technical View (H4) After the sharp rally, gold built a base around CP Zone H4 before breaking out again. Key Support Levels 3,462 – 3,443 → Must hold to keep the bullish structure intact. Key Resistance Levels 3,487 – 3,518 → Likely area for pullback or reaction. A clean break could target 3,536+ next. 📌 Possible Market Scenarios ✅ Scenario 1 (Preferred) Price holds above 3,462 → Tests 3,511 – 3,518 and can push towards 3,536. ⚠️ Scenario 2 (Deeper Pullback) Break below 3,462 → Retest of 3,443 before buyers step back in. 🎯 Trade Plan (Reference Only) ✅ BUY ZONE 1 Entry: 3453 – 3451 SL: 3446 TP: 3460 – 3465 – 3470 – 3475 – 3480 – ??? ✅ BUY ZONE 2 Entry: 3444 – 3442 SL: 3438 TP: 3450 – 3460 – 3470 – 3480 – ??? ❌ SELL ZONE Entry: 3512 – 3514 SL: 3518 TP: 3505 – 3500 – 3495 – 3490 – 3480 – 3470 💡 Key Takeaways for Indian Traders Gold is in a powerful uptrend, driven by global uncertainty. But after such a sharp move, a technical pullback is very possible. Best approach now: ✔️ Wait for dip-buying opportunities near strong supports. ✔️ Respect stop loss – capital protection comes first. ✔️ Keep an eye on global news that can spark instant volatility. This is the kind of market where patience + discipline = survival and profit. 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Spot Gold, Door Open for $3800, Need Patience.Spot #Gold, Door Open for $3800, Need Patience. (Any Panic Buy on Dips). Gold’s price broke through an important level at $3,450, which experts call a “symmetrical triangle pattern.” This is a sign that gold might keep going up, continuing a trend that started earlier this year. After a strong two-month rise starting in February, gold took a break but now seems ready to climb again. Some experts think gold could reach $3,600 or even $3,800 soon, which would beat its previous high of $3,500 from April 22.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by Neal_Bhai
7
August 28 Gold AnalysisAugust 28 Gold Analysis > Market expectations of rate cuts and political risks intertwined, sending gold prices volatile and rising, breaking through the $3,400 mark. Fundamental Analysis 1. Fed policy expectations dominate market sentiment Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's dovish stance at the Jackson Hole symposium continues to influence the market. He stated that "downside risks to employment are increasing" and that "a shift in the balance of risks may require adjustments to our policy stance," which the market interpreted as a strong signal that the Fed could cut interest rates as early as September. The market is pricing in over an 87% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the Fed's September meeting. This expectation of a rate cut provides short-term support for gold prices. However, New York Fed President Williams emphasized that "rate cuts are data-dependent," suggesting that the Fed may remain cautious if economic data does not support this. 2. Political risks exacerbate market uncertainty US President Trump's intervention in the Federal Reserve has reached historic levels. On August 25, Trump fired Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, citing allegations of mortgage fraud. This marks the first time in the Federal Reserve's 111-year history that a president has removed a board member, raising serious concerns about its independence. Cook, through his lawyer, responded that Trump "has neither the legal basis nor the authority" to remove him from office and stated that he "will continue to fulfill his responsibilities to stabilize the U.S. economy." This incident not only reinforced market expectations for a rate cut but also attracted safe-haven buying, supporting gold prices. 3. Economic Data and US Dollar Trends The US dollar index is currently under pressure, retreating to a one-week low near 98.19. A weaker dollar makes dollar-denominated gold cheaper for holders of other currencies, indirectly supporting gold prices. III. Technical Analysis From a daily perspective, gold's rebound continues to rise, with strong short-term fluctuations. The moving average system shows a bullish alignment, and the overall trend remains volatile and strong. Gold prices remain at the upper limit of the recent oscillating triangle pattern. Whether it can effectively break through the downward trend line of 3414-3425 will be crucial. Gold's downward support could be at the 5-day moving average at $3385, marking the current intraday low and the recent breakout point for gold's rebound. Furthermore, focus on the middle Bollinger Band at $3362 and the 3360-3362 area, where the 10-day and 20-day moving averages converge. Upward resistance could be at $3410. Further gains could target the July high of $3440. Technical indicators show a golden cross between the 5-day moving average and the MACD, and between the KDJ and RSI. Short-term technical indicators suggest continued bullishness. IV. Trading Strategy Recommendations Based on the current market environment, we recommend a volatile trading strategy. Downward support could be at $3385 and $3362, while upward resistance could be at $3400. If gold prices stabilize in the 3380-3385 ​​area, consider a long position with a stop-loss below 3370 and a target of 3400-3405. If it breaks through, you can partially reduce your position, and focus your remaining positions on the 3414-3425 area. If gold prices break through 3414 and hold, consider buying with the trend, targeting 3425 or even higher. If gold prices unexpectedly break below the 3373 support level, it would signal a weakening of short-term bullish momentum and the market could enter a period of correction. For cautious investors, we recommend waiting and waiting for gold prices to effectively break through key resistance (3414-3425) or support (3360-3362) and then enter the market when the direction is clear. You can also monitor the market reaction to the release of US economic data tonight before making any decisions. Trade with caution and manage risk! Wish you good luck!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Emily357538
Gold Hits $3408, Bulls Targeting $3450Gold Reclaims $3400 psychological mark. Dollar Index drops to 98.10 Markets cautious ahead of Initial Jobless Claims data release. Immediate hurdle is $3415 followed by $3420-$3450 Immediate support $3392-$3386 crucial for Bullish momentum. Fundamental drivers Gold bullish momentum is getting strong boost by Fed rate cut expectations in September meeting and PCE data ahead which works as important inflation gauge. Also, upcoming Initial Jobless Claims release is awaited which may significantly influence Dollar and Gold prices. Rising political tensions from concerns on Fed's autonomy and independence threatened by Trump's strong actions and face off keeps Dollar under pressure and boosting Gold demand for safe haven. Technical drivers Gold remains undisputed favourite bet for buying the dips and retracement towards $3384 attracted buyers again, reclaiming the psychological mark of $3400. Bulls need to clear through immediate hurdle $3415 to extend advance towards $3420-$3430 above which next upside targets are positioned at $3438 followed by $3450-$3465. Major upmove will target a new All Time High around $3545-$3568. On the flip side, a strong break below $3350 will invalidate the immediate bullish momentum calling for drop to ascending trendline support $3330 before any new attempt to rise.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SunilKumarDixitSKCharting
1
August 27 Gold AnalysisAugust 27 Gold Analysis US President Trump announced he would fire Federal Reserve Governor Tim Cook, accusing him of misconduct in obtaining mortgages. This unprecedented action, if challenged in court, will test the limits of the president's power over an independent monetary policy institution. 01 Political Uncertainty Supports Gold Prices Trump's direct intervention in the Federal Reserve has created market uncertainty and stimulated safe-haven demand. Historically, such presidential action against Fed officials is rare, and this incident could trigger legal challenges and concerns about institutional stability. The Federal Reserve's status as an independent institution has been questioned, and investors have sought safe-haven assets. Gold, a traditional safe haven, has found support amid this political uncertainty. 02 Rate Cut Expectations Provide Upward Support Federal Reserve Chairman Powell hinted last week that a rate cut is possible at the September meeting, noting rising risks in the job market. According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, the market currently prices an over 87% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September. 03 Economic Data and Market Focus Data on Tuesday showed that US durable goods orders fell 2.8% in July, compared to expectations for a 4% drop and following a 9.4% drop in June. While the data beat expectations, it still showed a continued slowdown in manufacturing activity. Investors are currently awaiting the revised US second-quarter GDP figures to be released on Thursday and the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) data on Friday. These data will provide further clues about the health of the US economy and may influence the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. In particular, the PCE data, as the Fed's preferred inflation indicator, will have a significant impact on market expectations. Any signs of weakening inflation could reinforce expectations of rate cuts, thereby supporting gold prices. 04 Technical Bullish Pattern Maintained From a technical analysis perspective, gold quickly fell to a low of $3,351 before a strong rally. The daily candlestick chart closed strongly above the high, maintaining a strong bullish upward trend. Gold broke through another new high today. Although it has retreated slightly from its two-week high, the gold bulls remain the primary trend. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands and moving averages are both bullish, indicating that the technical bulls have the upper hand. Key support below is the 3370-3373 area. Intraday pullbacks to this level remain bullish. The short-term bullish stronghold is located near 3360. If the daily chart stabilizes above this level, a buying trend will continue. 05 Trading Strategy Gold's medium- to long-term outlook remains positive, supported by political uncertainty and expectations of rate cuts. Any pullback to support levels is likely to attract more buyers. Key resistance remains at the psychologically important $3400 level. A break above this level could open up opportunities for an upward move towards $3440. Trading strategy: Buy on dips with strict stop-loss orders. Market volatility may intensify, so closely monitor the development of the dispute between Trump and the Federal Reserve, as well as upcoming important economic data releases. Trade with caution and manage risk! Wish you a smooth trade!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Emily357538
Gold Plan 27/08 – Captain Vincent (IN)XAU/USD – Trump strengthens control over the FED, Gold consolidates near Storm Breaker 1. News Wave 🌍 Trump: “We will soon have majority control at the FED. Miran may be moved to another position with a longer term.” Trump: “I already have a candidate in mind to replace FED Governor L. Cook.” US Senate: Preparing hearings next week for Trump’s nominee – S. Miran . 👉 Message: Trump is consolidating power within the FED. Market fears FED losing independence → USD volatility rises, Gold benefits from safe-haven flows . 2. Technical Outlook ⚙️ Gold is approaching Storm Breaker 🌊 (3400 – 3402) , overlapping with resistance 3392 – 3406 → profit-taking likely . On H1, multiple FVGs remain unfilled around 3355 & 3330 → Price may correct to retest these supports before choosing direction. Intraday bias: Range-bound → Sell at resistance, short Buy at supports. 3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Key Levels 🪙 Resistance (Kháng cự): 3406 – 3400 – 3392 (Storm Breaker 🌊) Support (Hỗ trợ): 3372 (Minor Shield 🛡️) 3355 (Quick Boarding 🚤 – Buy Scalp Zone) 3344 (Intermediate Shield 🛡️) 3330 (Golden Harbor 🏝️ – Main Buy Zone) 4. Trade Scenarios 📌 🔻 SELL at Storm Breaker 🌊 (Priority) Entry: 3400 – 3402 SL: 3408 TP: 3395 → 3393 → 3389 → 3386 → 33xx 🚤 BUY Scalp – Quick Boarding Entry: 3353 – 3355 SL: 3345 TP: 3358 → 3361 → 3363 → 33xx 🏝️ BUY at Golden Harbor (Strong Support) Entry: 3330 – 3332 SL: 3325 TP: 3335 → 3338 → 3341 → 33xx 5. Captain’s Note ⚓ "Gold today faces Storm Breaker 🌊 above, but multiple shields of support remain below. Smart traders will scalp quickly at Quick Boarding 🚤, or patiently wait for Golden Harbor 🏝️ to anchor safely."
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
Gold Faces Resistance at 3.380–3.385, Correction LikelyLooking at the H2 XAU/USD chart, gold is struggling around 3.380–3.385 USD, where the supply FVG aligns with the upper Kumo edge. Recent candles indicate sellers are dominating: short bodies, long wicks, and lack of volume suggest buyers lack momentum. With a series of lower highs and a flat Ichimoku cloud ahead, a pullback appears likely. Immediate support is near 3.355 USD, with a further decline possible toward 3.345 USD.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EmmaChartist
August 26 Gold AnalysisAugust 26 Gold Analysis The gold market is volatile but firm. Following yesterday's sharp rise, gold prices retreated slightly today, but are still holding key support levels. Spot gold is currently trading around $3,370 per ounce, down slightly from yesterday's two-week high of $3,378. Market forces are intertwined, and gold prices are expected to fluctuate around key technical levels in the short term, but the medium- to long-term bullish outlook remains unchanged. Analysis of Influencing Factors 1. Fed Policy Expectations Dominate Market Sentiment Federal Reserve Chairman Powell delivered a clear dovish signal at the Jackson Hole symposium, opening the door to a September rate cut. Powell focused on the "strange equilibrium" in the job market, noting that the simultaneous slowdown in labor supply and demand suggests accumulating downside risks. While he continued to warn of inflationary uncertainties, he explicitly stated that "a shift in the balance of risks may require a policy response." This statement caused the market's probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September to surge from 75% to 90%. Expectations for the cumulative rate cuts by year-end were also revised upward. Powell's speech placed the labor market at the center of policy decisions, downplaying the impact of recent higher-than-expected inflation data. 2. Political Pressure and Concerns About the Fed's Independence It is worth noting that Powell's dovish stance may, in part, reflect political pressure. Given that US President Trump and the Treasury Secretary, among others, have strongly urged the Fed to cut interest rates significantly, Powell faces unprecedented pressure. Trump also reiterated his threat to fire Fed Governor Timothy Cook if she does not resign, raising concerns about the Fed's independence. This political interference in the central bank has weakened market confidence in the US dollar as a reserve currency, becoming a key driver of the decline in the US dollar index and indirectly supporting gold prices. 3. Economic Data and Market Focus Market focus has shifted to upcoming US economic data, which will have a significant impact on gold's short-term performance: - Today: July durable goods orders data will be released. Following a sharp 9.3% drop in June, the market expects a further 4% drop. Positive data could boost the US dollar and weigh on gold prices. - Thursday: Revised second-quarter GDP figures will be released, with the initial estimate of annual growth at 3%. Downward revisions are bearish for the dollar and supportive for gold, while upward revisions are the opposite. - Friday: July's core PCE price index (the Fed's most closely watched inflation indicator) will be released. This data will directly impact the strength of expectations for a rate cut. A higher-than-expected reading will cast doubt on the urgency of rate cuts and weigh on gold prices; a lower-than-expected reading will reinforce expectations of easing and drive a rebound in gold prices. 4. The US Dollar and US Treasury Yields Decline Following Powell's speech, the US dollar index fell sharply, 0.96%, to 97.66. US Treasury yields also fell across the board, with the two-year yield plummeting 10.2 basis points to 3.69% and the 10-year yield falling to around 4.259%. A steepening yield curve reduces the cost of holding gold, enhancing its appeal. 5. Geopolitical Risks Provide Support Geopolitical tensions continue to provide safe-haven support for gold prices: - Trade Tensions: Trump's tariff policy continues to escalate global trade tensions. The United States has imposed an additional 25% tariff on India, bringing the total tariff rate to 50%. - Russia-Ukraine conflict: The escalating tensions have also provided some safe-haven support. Trading Recommendations - Aggressive investors: Initiate long positions in batches when gold prices fall back to the $3,360-3,368 support area, with a stop-loss below $3,350 and a target of $3,385-3,400. - Conservative investors: Wait for gold prices to effectively break through $3,400 before entering long positions, or enter medium- to long-term long positions if they fall back to $3,340-3,350. - Risk Management: Ensure stop-loss orders are set appropriately to avoid the risks associated with volatile market fluctuations around the release of data. Maintain position management during trading and avoid trading without risk management. Trade with caution and manage risk effectively! Wish you good luck!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Emily357538
XAUUSD: Bulls Eyeing a Spark from the 3357 – 3352 Launchpad!We witnessed a strong bullish surge in Gold following Friday's event-driven move. Now, XAUUSD is pulling back toward a key support zone at 3357–3352, where fresh buying interest is likely to emerge. A confirmed bounce from this area could pave the way for a bullish reversal and a push toward higher targets. 🔻 Trade Setup Entry: Buy at 3357 | Add on dips near 3352 Targets: Refer to marked zones on the chart Invalidation: Setup becomes invalid on a daily close below 3346 📌 Risk-Reward Outlook This setup offers a tight downside risk with strong upside potential. Stick to disciplined risk management and adjust your position size accordingly to suit your strategy. 👍 If this idea resonates with your view, drop a like and share your thoughts in the comments — let’s learn and grow together! Happy Trading, – The InvestPro Team
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by InvestPro_India
1
August 25 Gold AnalysisAugust 25 Gold Analysis Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's dovish signals, coupled with geopolitical risks, pushed gold prices to a two-week high, but technical indicators suggest that gold prices will face a test of key resistance levels in the near term. Analysis of Influencing Factors 1. Fed Policy Expectations Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole symposium was a key factor influencing the gold market. Powell clearly signaled a rate cut, hinting at a possible September cut, which provided strong support for the gold market. His speech not only allayed market concerns about inflation but also ignited investors' eager anticipation for a September rate cut, driving a strong rebound in gold prices. Powell emphasized the growing downside risks in the job market and stated that the impact of tariffs on inflation would be relatively short-lived. He also announced a new monetary policy framework, returning to a flexible inflation targeting framework. Market expectations for a September Fed rate cut continue to build, providing structural support for gold. 2. Geopolitical Risks Geopolitical uncertainty also provides safe-haven support for gold. Trump has set a two-week deadline to decide whether to impose sanctions on Russia, coupled with the recent escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Geopolitical risk events such as the Russian military attack on a US-owned factory in western Ukraine have significantly increased the geopolitical risk premium. As a geopolitical risk hedge, gold often performs strongly during periods of tension in conflict-ridden regions such as the Middle East and Eastern Europe. 3. Technical Indicator Performance From a technical perspective, gold bulls and bears are engaged in a fierce battle at key price levels: - Upward Resistance: Strong resistance lies in the $3,380-3,400 range, with $3,385 being the core resistance level on the daily chart and $3,400 being the psychologically significant round number. - Downward Support: Initial support lies at $3,358 per ounce, with more critical support lying in the $3,345-3,334 range. The red momentum bar in the MACD indicator is shrinking, and the fast and slow lines are converging, suggesting the possibility of a death crossover, but the price remains in strong bullish territory. The RSI is also above its mid-axis, indicating strong bullish momentum. Despite a short-term correction, fundamentals suggest a bullish bias for the day. Market Outlook and Investment Strategy 1. Short-Term Outlook The gold market is likely to remain volatile in the short term, with the $3,380-3,400 resistance range becoming a key battleground for both bulls and bears. Positive factors include expectations of a Fed rate cut and geopolitical risks supporting gold prices. Negative factors include gold approaching key technical resistance levels and weak physical gold demand in Asia. 2. Investment Strategy We recommend a cautiously optimistic approach, focusing on key positions: - **Long Opportunity**: If gold prices retrace to the $3,358-3,360 range and show signs of stabilization, consider a small long position with a stop-loss below $3,355, targeting $3,370-3,375. **Short Opportunity**: If gold prices rebound to the $3374-3375 range but fail to break through, consider a small short position with a stop-loss above $3381 and a target of $3366-3364. Trade with caution and manage risk. Best of luck!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Emily357538
Gold Trading Strategy for 28th August 2025🌟 Gold Intraday Trading Levels 🌟 📈 Buy Setup 🔹 Buy above the High → $3387 (only if 1-hour candle closes above this level) 🎯 Targets: 1st Target → $3400 2nd Target → $3413 3rd Target → $3425 📉 Sell Setup 🔹 Sell below the Low → $3350 (only if 1-hour candle closes below this level) 🎯 Targets: 1st Target → $3338 2nd Target → $3325 3rd Target → $3313 ⚠️ Disclaimer ⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only. 📚 Trading in Gold, Forex, or Stocks involves high risk of capital loss. 💰❌ Past results are not indicative of future performance. 📊 Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 👨‍💼
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
Gold (XAUUSD) Sell IdeaKey Points Price rejected from the descending trendline resistance. Market is moving inside a bearish channel, signaling continuation to the downside. This setup gives a Risk/Reward ~1:4.4. 📌 Trade Plan Entry Zone: 3367 – 3372 Stop Loss: 3379 (above resistance & swing high) Target: 3344 (channel support) Risk Management: Use strict SL. Trail stops as price moves in favor. ⚠️ Why Stop Loss & Trailing SL Matter Stop Loss = protection from unexpected spikes. Trailing Stop = locks profits while leaving room for bigger moves. Together, they transform trading into a probability game instead of emotional guessing.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Aj1t4
XAU/USD – Bullish Breakout: Buy Dips Toward $3,409 Target📊 XAU/USD (Gold) – 2H Analysis Gold has just broken out of its descending channel, showing a clear change of character (CHOH) around the $3,348–$3,358 support zone. This breakout suggests bullish momentum is taking control after weeks of compression. Key Observations: ✅ Support Zone: $3,348–$3,358 is now a strong demand zone (previous rejection area flipped to support). ✅ Moving Averages: Price is above both the EMA 70 ($3,342) and EMA 200 ($3,346), strengthening the bullish bias. ✅ Projection: A potential continuation rally toward $3,409 (major liquidity target). ⚠️ Risk: If the support zone fails, price could re-test $3,334 or even $3,326. Trading Plan (Short-Term): Entry (Buy): Around $3,358–$3,348 (support retest). Stop Loss: Below $3,342 (under EMAs). Target 1: $3,390 Target 2: $3,409 👉 In summary: Gold is in a bullish reversal phase, and buying dips into the support zone offers the best risk-reward setup.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MR_JOHN144