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XAUUSD: Golden Surge at $4,035 — Breakout or Blow-Off Top?Summary Gold has shattered previous highs, now hovering around $4,035. Is this a breakout with legs—or the final push before a correction? This idea blends macro catalysts with multi-timeframe technical analysis to guide your next move. Macro Context Geopolitical Risk: Safe-haven flows intensify amid global instability. USD Weakness: Fed rate cut expectations and political gridlock weigh on the dollar. Inflation Hedge: Gold remains the go-to asset as central banks turn dovish. Technical Breakdown Weekly Chart Trend: Strong bullish momentum MACD: Bullish crossover RSI: Near 70 — overbought zone, but not extreme 4H Chart Support Zones: $3,872 (21-SMA), $3,820 (50-SMA), $3,753 (100-SMA) Resistance Zones: $4,050 (psychological), $4,100 (extension target) Trade Setup Bias: Bullish with caution Entry: On pullback to $3,872 or $3,820 Stop Loss: Below $3,750 Target 1: $4,050 Target 2: $4,100 Educational Angle This idea demonstrates: How to trade breakouts near ATHs Using SMA clusters for dynamic support Combining macro and technical for high-conviction setups
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrSumith
9
Gold–Bullish Reversal Setup from Extreme POI Toward 4060 TargetTimeframe: 30-minute chart (XAU/USD – Gold Spot vs U.S. Dollar) Market Structure: Price made a structural low (SMT) around the $$$ liquidity zone. A Market Structure Shift (MSS) occurred as price broke above short-term highs. POI (Point of Interest) Zones: High Probability POI: Previous accumulation zone that caused a bullish impulse. Extreme POI: Current demand zone (around 3960–3980), where price is rebounding. Current Price Action: Price has reacted bullishly from the Extreme POI. The breakout above MSS signals possible continuation to the upside. Target Zone: The shaded grey target area (~4060–4080) aligns with previous liquidity highs. Bias: Bullish short-term bias toward 4060–4080 zone, assuming the demand zone holds. Break below Extreme POI would invalidate the setup and suggest deeper retracement.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DavidFX02
1
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARDXAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the marketwhich preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for breakC. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by tradergyan01
4
XAUUSD – PRICE ABOVE $4000: ABSOLUTELY CRAZY FOR TRADERSXAUUSD – PRICE ABOVE $4000: ABSOLUTELY CRAZY FOR TRADERS Gold has officially surpassed the $4000 mark, marking one of the most robust increases in recent history. Let's take a look at the key price zones and short-term opportunities 👇 🔻 SELL Scenario SELL 4025–4027 → SL 4033 → TP 4015 – 4000 – 3980 SELL 4042–4044 → SL 4049 → TP 4030 – 4015 – 4000 – 3980 🟩 BUY Scenario BUY 3993–3995 → SL 3988 → TP 4005 – 4013 – 4023 – 4040 BUY 3980–3983 → SL 3975 → TP 3998 – 4005 – 4013 – 4023 – 4040 📈 Technical Analysis The medium-term upward price channel continues to be stable. Rising lows indicate that buying pressure remains very strong. The nearest psychological resistance is around the 4043 zone, coinciding with the Fibonacci extension. The expected buying zone is at the POC Volume Profile area — a high liquidity zone, once anticipated by many traders to reject gold prices, but now could become a strong demand zone. 🧭 Macroeconomic Perspective If the Federal Reserve (Fed) continues to cut interest rates, the market may aim for the next milestone – 5000 USD/ounce. Although short-term fluctuations may occur (such as temporary ceasefires in the Middle East or Ukraine), the core drivers of this trend remain unchanged: US public debt is increasing Central banks are diversifying foreign reserves The USD is weakening All of which support gold's medium-term upward trend. ⚡️Summary Gold remains in a solid upward structure, even as it approaches overbought territory. There might be strong corrections, but as long as the upward structure is maintained, buyers remain in control.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
4
Gold 4000 $ upside target hit next target given on chart buy dipGood upside move will continue until US shutdown settlement news not come How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below : Recent High or Low : D-0% is our recent low or high Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and . Are our Target zone Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active. Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start. If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate 1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels. 30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
4
XAUUSD | Bulls Maintain Weekly ControlGold continues to display firm momentum as investor confidence remains stable despite short-term fluctuations. The latest weekly candle structure shows price holding within a steady consolidation range, signaling accumulation rather than weakness. Market behavior suggests large participants are preparing for another expansion phase after absorbing liquidity in the lower zones. Institutional interest remains evident, with consistent buying pressure observed on dips, indicating sustained optimism for further growth. The current behavior aligns with broader market sentiment favoring safe-haven assets amid global uncertainty. Overall, Gold retains its dominance as capital flows stay supportive of the uptrend, positioning the metal for renewed strength in the upcoming sessions.
TVC:GOLDLong
by XAU_EMPIRE
4
XAUUSD GOLD BULLISH NOW 4028📈 XAU/USD (Gold) Trade Alert ✨ Gold (XAU/USD) is showing strong bullish momentum, presenting an excellent buy opportunity at the entry point of 4028. The support level at 4001 provides a solid foundation for this upward move, indicating potential strength in price action. Our target point is set at 4100, offering an attractive risk-to-reward setup for traders. Keep an eye on the resistance area around 4060, as a breakout above this zone could confirm continued bullish momentum. Manage your positions wisely and follow price action closely for optimal results.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by lucus_william
2
Gold Trading Strategy for 10th October 2025💰 GOLD (XAU/USD) Trading Setup ⏰ Timeframe: 1 Hour & 15 Minutes 🟢 Buy Setup 💹 Entry: Buy above the high of the 1-hour candle — once it closes above $4014 🎯 Targets: 🎯 Target 1: $4022 🎯 Target 2: $4035 🎯 Target 3: $4050 🛡️ Stop Loss: Below $4005 (adjust with risk tolerance) 📈 Trade Logic: If the hourly candle closes above $4014, it indicates bullish strength. Look for confirmation before entering a long position. Momentum above this level could push prices towards the next resistance zones. 🔴 Sell Setup 💹 Entry: Sell below the low of the 15-minute candle — once it closes below $3962 🎯 Targets: 🎯 Target 1: $3953 🎯 Target 2: $3941 🎯 Target 3: $3922 🛡️ Stop Loss: Above $3975 (adjust with market conditions) 📉 Trade Logic: If the 15-min candle closes below $3962, bearish momentum is likely to continue. Break below this level may open room for further downside. ⚠️ Disclaimer 📜 This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. 💼 Not financial advice. Always conduct your own research or consult with a certified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📊 Trading in commodities and financial markets involves significant risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ramkkyy
3
XAUUSD / GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION – 12.10.25The 1H structure is showing a clean breakout and retest, indicating strong bullish continuation. ✅ Technical Breakdown: Price broke above the resistance zone and retested the breakout level, confirming support at $4,007–$4,012. Fibonacci 0.618 Golden Ratio aligned with the support adds confluence for a long setup. An upward trendline is being respected, signaling controlled bullish structure. A fair value gap remains unfilled below, but since it’s in the order block zone, it’s less likely to break for a sell. Strong bullish momentum candles indicate buyers in control. 🎯 Targets: TP1: $4,030 (Resistance R1) TP2: $4,050 (Resistance R2 / ATH Zone) 🛡️ Invalidation: A clean break below $3,996 (order block zone) would weaken this bullish projection. 📈 Summary: Entry: $4,007–$4,012 zone after retest TP1: $4,030 TP2: $4,050 SL: Below $3,996 Bias: Bullish Timeframe: 1H ⚠️ Always use proper risk management and follow the trend structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
1
Gold (XAU/USD) Rebound Setup – Support Holding Strong!Analysis: Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of bullish strength after testing the $4,000–$3,970 support zone, where buyers are stepping back in. The recent consolidation above support suggests a potential reversal and continuation of the uptrend. The setup highlights: Support Zone: Around $3,970 – $4,000, acting as a key accumulation area. Bullish Trigger: A breakout above minor resistance could drive momentum higher. Targets: 🎯 Target 1: $4,101 🎯 Target 2: $4,150 🎯 Target 3: $4,200 Stop Loss: Below $3,970 to protect against a downside breakout. 📈 Outlook: As long as price sustains above support, Gold remains bullish, aiming for a breakout towards $4,150 and $4,200 levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
1
Intraday Trading vs Swing TradingIntroduction Brief overview of trading in financial markets. Importance of choosing the right trading style for profitability and risk management. Statement of purpose: Compare intraday trading and swing trading across multiple dimensions such as time horizon, risk, capital requirements, strategy, and psychology. 1. Understanding Intraday Trading 1.1 Definition Buying and selling financial instruments within the same trading day. Positions are squared off before the market closes. 1.2 Characteristics Short-term focus (minutes to hours). High trade frequency. Requires constant market monitoring. 1.3 Tools & Techniques Technical indicators: RSI, MACD, moving averages, Bollinger Bands. Chart patterns: Flags, triangles, head & shoulders. Level 2 data, real-time market depth. 1.4 Advantages Potential for high profits in a single day. No overnight risk exposure. Quick capital turnover. 1.5 Disadvantages High stress due to rapid decision-making. Significant brokerage and transaction costs. Requires advanced knowledge and quick reflexes. 2. Understanding Swing Trading 2.1 Definition Holding positions for several days to weeks to capture medium-term price movements. 2.2 Characteristics Medium-term focus. Fewer trades but larger profit potential per trade. Less time-intensive compared to intraday trading. 2.3 Tools & Techniques Technical analysis: Trendlines, support/resistance, moving averages. Fundamental analysis: Earnings reports, sector trends, macroeconomic indicators. Swing patterns: Breakouts, pullbacks, reversals. 2.4 Advantages Less stressful than intraday trading. More time to analyze and make informed decisions. Lower transaction costs due to fewer trades. 2.5 Disadvantages Exposure to overnight and weekend risks. Capital is tied up longer. Requires patience and disciplined risk management. 3. Time Horizon and Trading Frequency Intraday: Trades last minutes to hours; multiple trades daily. Swing: Trades last days to weeks; limited trades but larger exposure. Impact on lifestyle: Intraday requires active screen time; swing allows more flexibility. 4. Capital Requirements Intraday: Leverage is often used; margin requirements are smaller but risk is higher. Swing: Requires more capital per trade due to longer holding periods and lower leverage. Risk of capital erosion: Intraday mistakes can wipe out a day’s gains; swing mistakes can impact several days of profit potential. 5. Risk and Reward Dynamics Intraday: High volatility can yield high rewards but also steep losses. Swing: Moderate volatility, potential for larger cumulative gains, but exposure to overnight gaps. Risk management strategies: Stop-loss orders, position sizing, diversification. 6. Trading Psychology Intraday: Requires quick decision-making and mental resilience. Emotional discipline is crucial; fear and greed can destroy profits quickly. Swing: Patience is essential to ride trends. Ability to handle temporary drawdowns without panic-selling. 7. Strategy and Analysis Intraday Trading Strategies: Scalping: Quick small gains. Momentum trading: Riding strong price trends within the day. Swing Trading Strategies: Trend-following: Entering trades along prevailing trends. Reversal trading: Buying dips and selling rallies. Technical vs fundamental analysis balance: Swing trading often incorporates both; intraday is heavily technical. 8. Costs and Tax Implications Intraday: Higher brokerage and STT due to frequent trades. Short-term gains taxed differently depending on jurisdiction. Swing: Lower trading costs. Gains may qualify for medium/long-term capital gains benefits. 9. Suitability for Different Traders Intraday: Best for active, risk-tolerant, experienced traders with fast decision-making skills. Swing: Suitable for part-time traders, working professionals, and those seeking less stressful trading. 10. Technology and Tools Intraday: Real-time charts, high-speed internet, advanced trading platforms. Swing: Standard charting tools, technical analysis software, news alerts. Algorithmic trading: Both can benefit but intraday relies more heavily on automated systems. 11. Performance Metrics Intraday: Profit per trade is smaller but cumulative daily gains can be significant. Key metrics: Win rate, risk-reward ratio, drawdown percentage. Swing: Profit per trade larger due to capturing trends. Key metrics: Holding period returns, average gain/loss, volatility capture. 12. Case Studies Example of successful intraday trades: High-volume stocks, news-based spikes. Example of successful swing trades: Trend-following in indices or sectoral stocks. Comparison of returns, drawdowns, and effort required. 13. Hybrid Approaches Combining intraday scalping with swing trading to diversify income streams. Portfolio allocation between short-term and medium-term trades. Pros and cons of hybrid trading. 14. Choosing Your Style Assess your risk tolerance, time availability, capital, and psychological comfort. Test both styles using paper trading before committing real capital. Flexibility and adaptation to changing market conditions. 15. Conclusion Recap of key differences: time horizon, risk, rewards, strategies, tools. Emphasis on personal suitability over “best style.” Encouragement to practice disciplined trading, regardless of style.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | October 14, 2025📊 ________________________________________ 🔹 1. Momentum D1: Daily momentum has started to turn upward from the oversold zone, suggesting that the bullish pressure may continue throughout the week. H4: On the H4 chart, momentum is stuck together in the overbought zone, indicating that a reversal could occur at any moment. Currently, there have been 13 consecutive bullish candles in the H4 momentum cycle — a typical length before a reversal often appears. 👉 Therefore, avoid chasing long positions (Buy) at this stage. H1: H1 momentum is also deep in the overbought area, which means a short-term correction could take place soon. ________________________________________ 🔹 2. Wave Structure D1: The current pattern shows that Wave 5 is extending, which makes it difficult to project the exact target using Fibonacci ratios. However, an extended fifth wave usually ends with a sharp and decisive decline, which serves as a confirmation that Wave 5 has completed. H4: Price is currently forming Wave 5 (yellow), which also represents Wave 3 (purple) in the higher degree. Thus, the uptrend is still intact for now. Once Wave 5 (yellow) — equivalent to Wave 3 (purple) — finishes, the market will likely enter a corrective phase (Wave 4 purple), which would align with a momentum reversal on H4. H1: On the Elliott channel drawn from Wave 2 → Wave 4 → Wave 3 (yellow), price has broken above the upper boundary, which could be a throw-over pattern. If price returns and closes back inside the channel, it would confirm the completion of Wave 5. Connecting Wave 1 and Wave 3 highs, we can see that price is now above this trendline, and the 4157 zone coincides with the 0.618 Fibonacci extension of Waves 1–3 — forming a strong confluence area where a correction is likely to begin. ________________________________________ 🔹 3. Trading Plan At the moment, price is sitting around a major top, where the Monthly Wave 3 and the Weekly Wave 5 structures converge. 👉 This means volatility could be high and unpredictable. For now: • Avoid swing trades, • Focus only on short-term scalp opportunities with tight targets, • Wait for a clear confirmation signal at the top zone before entering new positions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
2
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (13/10/2025) ________________________________________ 🔹 1. Overview In the previous plan, I predicted an upward correction after a panic sell-off, which was identified by an unusually extended blue wave C on H1. ________________________________________ 🔹 2. Momentum D1 Momentum is currently reversing downward, however, since price and momentum are diverging, the bullish pressure remains strong. H4 Momentum has now entered the overbought zone, so within the next 1–2 H4 candles, a corrective decline may occur. H1 Momentum is currently falling, while price is moving sideways, so we should continue observing this zone carefully. ________________________________________ 🔹 3. Wave Structure D1 Chart: • Price is still within the yellow wave 5. • Although D1 momentum is declining, the extended wave 5 structure suggests that once a correction begins, the first drop will likely be steep and deep. • The divergence between D1 candles and D1 momentum only signals weakening bullish strength, not yet a confirmed reversal. H4 Chart: • Price is currently moving along the upper boundary of the channel. • Earlier, a blue ABC structure completed, and now price is forming three consecutive peaks near the previous high. • This setup hints at a WXY pattern, where wave Y may develop as either: 1️⃣ A Flat (5-wave) pattern, or 2️⃣ A Triangle. H1 Chart: • A blue ABC correction has been completed, followed by a rally back to the previous top. • Price is now moving sideways around this zone. • Given that the ABC correction is done, there are two possible outcomes: o (1) The correction is complete, and price is now in a 5-wave impulsive rally, meaning further upside. o (2) The correction is still developing, and price may continue to drop as described in the H4 scenarios. ________________________________________ 🔹 4. Additional Notes • The current wave structure shows significant overlap, and given the previous panic sell, this slow recovery makes sense — it likely represents a leading diagonal (wave 1 triangle). • In such a case, once price breaks out of the channel, it should accelerate sharply into a strong wave 3. • However, since price remains sideways, this scenario may instead represent wave X of a continuing correction. ⚠️ Important: Unlike the Friday Buy setup, which had strong confluence, the current scenario presents two conflicting possibilities, so the probability is not high. ________________________________________ 🔹 5. Trade Plan Sell Setup (Short-Term): • Sell Stop: 4040 • SL: 4058 • TP1: 4010 Risk Management: If price rises strongly above, confirming wave 3 behavior, then cancel the Sell setup. As mentioned, this signal has lower probability and a relatively wide stop, so it’s better to either observe or enter with a small position size.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
1
Robust Safe Haven Flow Sends Gold Flying to $3985Dollar Index shows resilience, climbs to 98.50 Geo political unrest boosts safe haven demand. Gold extends bullish move to $3985 Immediate Support sits at $3955 Immediate Resistance sits at $3978 Gold continues to extend prevailing bullish streak setting new record high back to back with hardly any noticeable pullback as any retracement and dips are quickly being absorbed by buyers waiting for value buying on at bargain prices. Today's session has witnessed strong surge to new record high reaching $3985 and a pullback to $3969 while immediate hurdle $3988 caps recent gains in consolidation mode. Fundamental drivers Strong buying by central banks and record ETF flow boosting structural demand for the metal as safe haven asset as the world prepares to add more Gold to reserves to ward off dollar risks. Geo political uncertainties across some European countries and Japan elections add to global concerns already on edge from Tariff woes. Sticky inflation remains pivotal concern for Fed's interest rate decisions and Fed's hawkish or dovish tones will significantly impact further price action for Gold, Treasury bonds and Gold. The US government shutdown continues with standoff in Congress adding tailwind to Gold. Technical drivers Gold is trading inside a broad ascending channel with strong bullish momentum where any pullback is quickly being absorbed and bought by buyers waiting to buy at value bargain. The bullish momentum is defying odds of overbought conditions and has been testing channel resistance where casual downward spikes only work to scare away weak longs enabling strong longs to see further gains and sustainability. There has been multiple tests of channel mid line and lower boundaries attracting buying intervention again and again. The current momentum is bullish supported by price stability above immediate support $3955 which if broken, exposes next downside zone $3938-$3935 The only major catalyst with potential for a strong downside correction is extremely overbought RSI reading of 90+ on monthly time frame which may witness a sizeable price correction in near term as these heights are prone to profit booking. Overall outlook Immediate rend remains bullish with strong momentum buying any pullback while heights are vulnerable to profit booking and correction. Markets are adopting very cautious approach and short sellers are miserably trapped.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SunilKumarDixitSKCharting
4
GOLD: ACCUMULATION POST SELL-OFF,Weekend Short-term Trading PLANGOLD: ACCUMULATION POST SELL-OFF, Weekend Short-term Trading Plan Hello traders 👋 The Gold market witnessed a strong and clear Sell-off yesterday, especially with the decisive break of the $4000 zone – a confirmation area for a new corrective trend, or at least a long-term downtrend cycle. Currently, Gold prices are fluctuating within a narrow range (Sideways), mainly due to the cautious sentiment of investors and the weak liquidity characteristic of Friday. This lack of momentum makes it likely for Gold to continue moving sideways until the New York Session opens. 🔎 Technical Analysis (Chart 30M – XAUUSD) Resistance Retest Zone (Fibonacci Retest): $4030 – $4035. An ideal area for Sellers to re-enter. Sell Scalping/FIBO 50 Zone: $4000 – $4004. The $4000 price zone, once broken, now becomes strong resistance. Key Support/Accumulation Zone: $3940 – $3945 (Confluence of Support level 1.618). Long-term Buy Zone (Buy Scalping): $3890 – $3880. ⚙️ Detailed Trading Plan (Short-term Trading) The strategy for the day is Short-term trading (Scalping) when the price hits minor resistance zones and seeks larger orders when matching Entry zones according to Fibonacci Extension. 🔴 SELL Scenario (Priority according to the downtrend structure) 1. Sell Re-test Zone $4000 Entry: 📍 4002 – 4004 SL: 🛑 4010 TP: 🎯 3998 – 3985 – 3960 (Can hold the position if the reaction is good) 2. Sell Re-test Zone $4030 (Fibonacci Retest) Entry: 📍 4030 – 4032 SL: 🛑 4037 TP: 🎯 4016 – 4002 – 3998 – 3978 🟢 BUY Scenario (Bottom-fishing/Support) 1. Buy Scalping Zone $3940 Entry: 📍 3940 – 3942 SL: 🛑 3935 TP: 🎯 3965 – 3977 – 3999 – 4035 💡 Fundamental View & Weekend Risk News: A report from SEB Research suggests that market expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates might be too high due to persistent inflation risks. This could pressure Gold and support the USD on a macro level. Friday Risk: Reduced liquidity, prone to Stop Hunts or Fakeouts. ⚖️ Conclusion & Recommendations Short-term main trend: Correction/Downtrend. Action: Closely observe market reactions this Friday. Prioritise Selling at strong Resistance zones ($4000, $4030) and manage capital tightly (Tight SL) for Buy Scalping orders. 👉 Follow me for timely updates on the latest scenarios in the weekend trading session!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
Gold Trading Strategy for 08th October 2025🟡 GOLD (XAUUSD) – INTRADAY TRADE SETUP 💰 📊 Strategy: Trade based on 5-Min Candle Breakout 🟢 BUY Setup 💵 Buy Above: High of 5-min candle closing above $4004 🎯 Targets: 1️⃣ $4013 2️⃣ $4022 3️⃣ $4035 4️⃣ $4050 🛡️ Stop Loss: Place below the low of the previous 3 candles from the entry point. 🔴 SELL Setup 💵 Sell Below: Low of 5-min candle closing below $3966 🎯 Targets: 1️⃣ $3953 2️⃣ $3941 3️⃣ $3922 4️⃣ $3903 🛡️ Stop Loss: Place above the high of the previous 3 candles from the entry point. ⚖️ Disclaimer: 📢 This setup is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading in Gold, Forex, or any commodity involves high risk. Please use proper risk management and consult your financial advisor before trading.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 09/10/2025 ________________________________________ 🔹 1. Momentum D1: The current momentum is turning downward. We need to wait for today’s D1 candle to close for confirmation. ➡️ If the daily candle closes bearish, it may mark the beginning of a deep and strong corrective wave. H4: H4 momentum is about to enter the oversold zone, suggesting the possibility of: • A short-term bullish retracement, or • A sideways consolidation phase before the next major move. H1: H1 momentum is approaching the overbought zone, indicating a potential short-term bearish correction ahead. ________________________________________ 🔹 2. Wave Structure Overview: In the previous analysis, the COT report indicated that the market is in an overly optimistic phase — a warning sign to stay cautious with long positions or late entries. D1: • The yellow wave 5 has already broken above the channel (throw-over), which is a typical sign of a final impulsive phase. • When wave 5 extends strongly, the following correction (wave 4) often drops sharply, erasing most of the previous gains. ➡️ Therefore, it’s time to prioritize a defensive strategy and avoid chasing tops. H4: • Price has moved beyond the upper boundary of the channel, making the exact top of wave 5 hard to pinpoint. • We should monitor price reaction when it returns inside the channel — if price fails to make a new high when H4 momentum reaches the overbought zone, it will likely confirm the completion of wave 5. H1: • The wave count has been slightly adjusted compared to the previous plan. • Within the black wave 5, there is now a clear 5-wave yellow substructure. • The recent decline has broken below the lower trend channel and the previous wave 4 low — an early sign of a potential wave 5 top. ⚠️ The upcoming correction could be steep and fast, making this an important time to prepare for risk management and trade planning. ________________________________________ 🔹 3. Outlook & Trading Plan All timeframes (D1 – H4 – H1) are showing an extended wave 5, but there’s still no clear confirmation of a top. Hence, we should trade cautiously and manage positions tightly. Currently, price has broken below the lower channel and wave 4 yellow, with a liquidity area near 4038 — this offers a good opportunity to open a small sell position to anticipate a potential reversal. Trading Plan: Sell zone (small lot): 4037 – 4039 Stop loss: 4048 Take profit: 3985
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
GOLD (XAUUSD) 1H CHART ANALYSIS – BEARISH SETUP AHEADGOLD (XAUUSD) 1H CHART ANALYSIS – BEARISH SETUP AHEAD 🔍 Technical Overview Current Price: Around $4,036 – $4,040 Trendline: A key uptrend line (blue) has been broken, signaling weakening bullish momentum. Resistance Zone: Between $4,058 – $4,062, marked by red arrows 🚫 Support Zone: Near $3,930 – $3,940, highlighted by the purple box 🟪 📊 Market Structure The market recently made a lower high formation after failing to break above $4,062, indicating bearish divergence. Multiple rejection candles at the resistance zone confirm selling pressure 💣. The blue projection lines suggest a potential bearish retracement back toward the support zone around $3,930. 🧭 Key Levels Type Price Level Notes 🔺 Resistance 4,058 – 4,062 Double top zone, strong sellers present ⚖️ Mid-Level 4,000 Psychological round number, interim support 🟣 Support 3,930 – 3,940 Major buying interest, possible reversal zone 📉 Expected Price Action 🔻 Scenario 1 (Primary): Price may retest $4,050 – $4,060 resistance area, form another rejection, and drop toward $3,940 support. Potential short entry near $4,050 – $4,060 Target $3,940 Stop loss above $4,070 🔄 Scenario 2 (Alternative): If the price holds above $4,060, a breakout could trigger a bullish continuation toward $4,100+. 🧠 Trader’s Insight ⚠️ Bearish bias remains valid while below $4,060. 🕒 Watch for price reaction around the trendline retest and confirmation candles (bearish engulfing or pin bars). 📈 Smart traders might wait for confirmation below $4,000 before adding short positions. 💬 Summary ➡️ Bias: Bearish below $4,060 ➡️ Target: $3,940 ➡️ Invalidation: Break and close above $4,070 📍 “Trendlines break fast, but support zones hold stronger — trade smart, not fast.”
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ali-Traders-Pro
XAU/USD | 15M | Smart Money Short SetupAfter a strong impulsive rally, price swept liquidity above the recent swing high and instantly rejected from a premium zone. A clear shift of structure confirms bearish intent, with supply perfectly aligning with imbalance fill. 🔹 Key Notes: – Liquidity grab above previous high ✅ – Premium zone rejection ✅ – Market structure shift to bearish ✅ – Clean imbalance + Supply confluence ✅ Now expecting continuation to downside targeting the next demand and inefficiency below 4020 region.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by YCGH_Capital