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Gold .....Triangle pattern in the making ?Do you see what i see ? Marked on the above chart are two triangular patterns which are identical in nature, one already formed and one in the making . if we break the sloping trend line on the upside, the targets mentioned is possible. stoploss for the trade will be the swing low of the structure which breaks the upper trend line. Plan your trade and then trade the plan. This is just my view. Trade according to your risk management or consult your financial consultant before taking the trade.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by stocksinboxx
1
Part 2 Support and Resistance1. Who Participates in Option Markets? There are two main participants in options trading: Option Buyers: Pay premium upfront. Limited risk, unlimited profit potential (in calls). They speculate on price movement. Option Sellers (Writers): Receive premium from buyers. Limited profit (only premium collected), but potentially large risk. Often institutions or experienced traders who use hedging. 2. Why Trade Options? Options are not just for gambling on price. They are multipurpose: Leverage: You control more value with less money. A small premium can give exposure to big stock moves. Hedging: Protect your stock portfolio from market crashes. Flexibility: You can profit whether the market goes up, down, or even stays flat. Income: Selling options regularly earns premiums, like rental income. 3. Option Pricing (The Premium) The premium of an option has two parts: Intrinsic Value: The real value if exercised today. Example: Stock price ₹1,500, Call strike ₹1,450 → Intrinsic value = ₹50. Time Value: Extra amount based on time left until expiration and market volatility. The longer the time, the higher the premium. Higher volatility also increases premium because big moves are more likely. So, Option Price = Intrinsic Value + Time Value. 4. Types of Option Trading Strategies Options are flexible because you can combine calls, puts, buying, and selling to create different strategies. Here are some important ones: A. Basic Strategies Buying Calls – Bullish view. Cheap way to bet on rising prices. Buying Puts – Bearish view. Cheap way to bet on falling prices. Covered Call – Hold stock + sell call to earn extra income. Protective Put – Hold stock + buy put to protect against fall. B. Intermediate Strategies Straddle – Buy one call and one put at the same strike. Profits from big moves in either direction. Strangle – Similar to straddle, but with different strikes. Cheaper but needs bigger move. Spread Strategies – Combining buying and selling options of different strikes to limit risk. Bull Call Spread Bear Put Spread Iron Condor C. Advanced Strategies Butterfly Spread – Limited risk and reward, used when expecting no big movement. Calendar Spread – Exploits time decay by selling short-term and buying long-term options.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
5
Part 1 Support and Resistance1. Introduction: What Are Options? In financial markets, traders and investors use different instruments to make profits or manage risks. Among these, options are one of the most powerful yet misunderstood tools. Unlike stocks, where you directly own a share in a company, or bonds, where you lend money, options are derivative contracts — meaning their value comes from an underlying asset (like a stock, index, commodity, or currency). An option gives its buyer a right, but not an obligation, to buy or sell the underlying asset at a fixed price within a certain period. This ability to choose, without being forced, is why it’s called an option. Options are widely used for three reasons: Speculation – Traders use them to bet on price movements. Hedging – Investors use them to protect against losses in their portfolios. Income Generation – Some traders sell options to collect premium income. Now, let’s break it down step by step. 2. Key Terms in Option Trading Before going deeper, you need to know the language of options: Call Option: A contract that gives the buyer the right to buy an asset at a set price within a specific time. Put Option: A contract that gives the buyer the right to sell an asset at a set price within a specific time. Strike Price (Exercise Price): The price at which the option buyer can buy (call) or sell (put) the underlying. Premium: The price you pay to buy an option. This is like a ticket fee for getting the right. Expiration Date: The date when the option expires. After this, the contract becomes worthless if not exercised. In the Money (ITM): An option that already has value if exercised. Out of the Money (OTM): An option that would not make money if exercised now. At the Money (ATM): When the stock price and strike price are nearly equal. Example: Suppose Infosys is trading at ₹1,500. A Call option with a strike of ₹1,450 is ITM because you can buy lower than market. A Put option with a strike of ₹1,550 is ITM because you can sell higher than market. 3. How Options Work Think of options like an insurance policy. When you buy a call option, it’s like booking a movie ticket in advance. You pay a small fee (premium) to reserve the seat (stock at a certain price). If the stock rises, you use your ticket. If not, you just lose the fee, not more. When you buy a put option, it’s like buying insurance for your car. If something bad happens (stock falls), you can still sell at a higher strike price. If nothing happens, your premium is the cost of insurance. This is the beauty of options: limited risk (only the premium), but potentially unlimited reward (especially for calls).
TVC:GOLDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
2
GOLD TREND 23/09 SIMPLE ANALYSIS1. Market Context Price is currently moving within an ascending channel. A recent BOS (Break of Structure) indicates that buyers are still in control. There is an untested FVG (Fair Value Gap) and CP (Demand Zone) below. 2. Key Levels Immediate resistance: around 3,758 – 3,760 USD. FVG zone: 3,700 – 3,720 USD. CP (strong demand): around 3,650 USD. Mid-level of interest: 3,702.8 USD (possible retracement point). 3. Trading Scenarios 🅰️ Scenario 1 – Pullback before continuation (higher probability) Price may touch the resistance zone at 3,758 → retrace to test the FVG (3,700 – 3,720). If the pullback extends deeper, it could sweep into the CP zone at 3,650 before bouncing strongly upwards. Entry: Buy around 3,700 – 3,650. SL: Below 3,630. TP1: 3,758 (previous high). TP2: 3,800+. 🅱️ Scenario 2 – Strong breakout continuation If price breaks clearly above 3,760 with high volume → possible breakout buy. Entry: Buy above 3,765 after a retest. SL: 3,740. TP1: 3,800. TP2: 3,830 – 3,850. 🅾️ Risk scenario – Reversal If price breaks down below the channel and closes H4 candles under 3,630 → bullish structure is invalidated. In this case, best to stay out or look for short setups towards 3,580. 4. Risk Management & Notes Risk per trade < 1–2% of account. Prioritise long entries from the FVG/CP zones, avoid chasing highs. Keep an eye on USD & Gold-related news (economic calendar may cause strong volatility).
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
2
XAUUSD/GOLD 30 MIN BUY PROJECTION 23.09.25XAUUSD/Gold 30-min buy projection chart you shared for 23.09.25. Here’s the breakdown of what the chart indicates: 🔎 Chart Analysis Trend: Price is moving within a bullish (upward) channel, shown by the blue trend lines. Entry Zone: Around 3749.687 (marked as ENTRY, just above Support 1). Stop Loss (SL): Around 3743.131, below the 30-min FVG (Fair Value Gap). Supports: Support 1: ~3749 zone Support 2: ~3755–3757 zone Take Profits: TP1: Around 3765–3767 level (mid-channel target). TP2 (ATH – All-Time High for this projection): Around 3783–3785. Projection Path: Price expected to bounce near entry zone → rise towards TP1 → possible pullback → continue bullish momentum towards TP2 ATH following the 30-min uptrend line. ⚡ Trading Idea (based on chart) Buy Entry: ~3749 Stoploss: ~3743 TP1: ~3765 TP2: ~3783 This setup offers a risk-reward ratio > 1:3, which is strong for an intraday buy trade. 👉 Do you want me to calculate the exact risk-to-reward ratio (RRR) for this setup so you can evaluate position sizing?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonasir
Gold Prices Continue to Rise Amid Rate Cuts and Geopolitical RisGold prices today are being strongly supported by growing expectations that the Federal Reserve (FED) will continue to cut interest rates and the increasing demand for safe-haven assets amid rising geopolitical instability. Last week, the FED made its first rate cut of 0.25% since December, causing gold prices to surge. While some investors took profits, most experts believe the uptrend is not over yet. This week, investor focus will be on the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data for August, the FED's preferred inflation measure, which may provide further clues about future rate cuts. Many forecasts predict a slowdown in core PCE, reinforcing the case for continued rate cuts by the FED. Additionally, safe-haven flows are further supported by prolonged geopolitical risks, including the Russia-Ukraine conflict and concerns over economic impacts from U.S. tariffs. Furthermore, strong gold buying activity from global central banks plays a crucial role in strengthening the bullish outlook for the precious metal.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Alliance_Signal
Gold’s Medium-Term Play: From Momentum Peaks to Reload Zones!!Gold’s rally has been relentless, breaking out of ranges and pressing higher into the 3750s. That strength reflects the macro backdrop where the Fed is walking a fine line: inflation is sticky, growth signals are uneven, and market expectations are already pricing a deeper rate-cut cycle. Yields have softened, the dollar has lost some shine, and capital continues to flow into safe-haven trades. All of this leaves gold well supported in the medium term, though the path forward will not be a straight line. Target Zone (3827–3840): The immediate stretch for bulls sits higher around 3827–3840. This is where the rally could stall as momentum traders lock in profits. A clean break and hold above this zone would open the door to new all-time highs, but the market could just as easily treat it as a ceiling before pulling back. Hidden Bounce Zone (3720–3680): Sitting just under the current price is a pocket that often acts as a liquidity trap. Markets can bounce sharply from here or slice through with equal speed. For active trades this zone will give the first clue whether momentum is running out of steam. High-volume Zone (3630): This level is the backbone of the current structure. Holding above it keeps the broader trend intact. A decisive break below, however, signals that the correction phase has started and the market is hunting for deeper liquidity. Correction Band (3600–3560): If gold slips into this range, expect chop and sideways action as weak longs get flushed out and new buyers gradually step in. This zone isn’t where the story ends, but where the market catches its breath. Medium-Term Reload Zone (3440–3480): This is the level that matters for swing trades. If a deeper washout comes, this area offers the opportunity to reload positions for the next major leg up. The medium-term backdrop still favors higher prices, with rate cuts, a weaker dollar, and central bank demand forming a strong tailwind. Macro Picture Fed Outlook: Committee members are split, but the overall tone is tilting toward easing as growth cracks widen. Powell may sound careful, yet markets are already betting on more cuts ahead. Dollar and Yields: The dollar index remains pressured while U.S. yields edge lower, creating a supportive base for gold. Global Flows: Central banks remain steady buyers, and geopolitical tensions continue to underpin safe-haven demand. In short, gold has room to push into the 3827–3840 zone, but trades should prepare for corrective phases along the way. The hidden bounce pocket and HVZ will decide the near-term path. Should the market wash down into the 3440–3480 reload zone, it should be seen not as weakness, but as a prime setup to load into the medium-term bullish story. Trade safe!
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by sparkrlight
How to Control Trading Risk Factors1. Understanding Trading Risk Before controlling trading risk, you must understand what “risk” means in trading. 1.1 Definition of Trading Risk Trading risk refers to the potential for financial loss resulting from trading activities. It arises due to various internal and external factors, including market volatility, economic changes, human errors, and systemic uncertainties. 1.2 Types of Trading Risks Trading risks can be broadly categorized as follows: Market Risk: Losses due to price movements in stocks, commodities, forex, or derivatives. Liquidity Risk: The inability to buy or sell assets at desired prices due to insufficient market liquidity. Credit Risk: The risk that counterparties in trades fail to meet obligations. Operational Risk: Risks arising from human errors, technology failures, or process inefficiencies. Systemic Risk: Risks related to the overall financial system, such as economic crises or political instability. Understanding these risks allows traders to create a comprehensive strategy for mitigation. 2. The Psychology of Risk 2.1 Emotional Discipline Trading is as much psychological as it is technical. Emotional decisions often lead to risk exposure: Fear: Selling too early and missing profit opportunities. Greed: Over-leveraging positions and ignoring risk limits. Overconfidence: Ignoring stop-loss rules or trading based on intuition alone. 2.2 Behavioral Biases Behavioral biases amplify trading risk: Confirmation Bias: Seeking information that confirms existing beliefs. Loss Aversion: Avoiding small losses but risking larger ones. Recency Bias: Overweighting recent market trends over long-term data. Controlling these psychological factors is critical to managing risk effectively. 3. Risk Assessment and Measurement 3.1 Position Sizing Determining how much capital to allocate to a trade is crucial: Use the 1–2% rule, limiting potential loss per trade to a small fraction of total capital. Adjust position size based on volatility—larger positions in stable markets, smaller positions in volatile markets. 3.2 Risk-Reward Ratio Every trade should have a clear risk-reward profile: A risk-reward ratio of 1:2 or 1:3 ensures potential profit outweighs potential loss. For example, risking $100 to gain $300 aligns with disciplined risk control. 3.3 Value at Risk (VaR) VaR calculates potential loss in a portfolio under normal market conditions: Traders use historical data and statistical models to estimate daily, weekly, or monthly potential losses. VaR helps in understanding extreme loss scenarios. 4. Risk Mitigation Strategies 4.1 Stop-Loss Orders Stop-loss orders are essential tools: Fixed Stop-Loss: Predefined price point to exit the trade. Trailing Stop-Loss: Moves with favorable price movement, protecting profits while limiting downside. 4.2 Hedging Techniques Hedging reduces exposure to adverse market moves: Use options or futures contracts to protect underlying positions. Example: Buying put options on a stock to limit downside while holding the stock long. 4.3 Diversification Diversification spreads risk across multiple assets: Avoid concentrating all capital in one asset or sector. Combine stocks, commodities, forex, and derivatives to balance risk and reward. 4.4 Leverage Management Leverage magnifies both gains and losses: Use leverage cautiously, especially in volatile markets. Understand margin requirements and potential for margin calls. 5. Market Analysis for Risk Control 5.1 Technical Analysis Identify trends, support/resistance levels, and patterns to anticipate market moves. Use indicators like RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands to time entries and exits. 5.2 Fundamental Analysis Evaluate economic indicators, corporate earnings, and geopolitical factors. Understanding macroeconomic factors reduces exposure to unforeseen market shocks. 5.3 Volatility Monitoring Higher volatility increases risk; adjust trade size accordingly. Use VIX (Volatility Index) or ATR (Average True Range) to measure market risk. 6. Trade Management 6.1 Pre-Trade Planning Define entry and exit points before executing trades. Calculate maximum acceptable loss for each trade. 6.2 Monitoring and Adjusting Continuously monitor positions and market conditions. Adjust stop-loss and take-profit levels dynamically based on market behavior. 6.3 Post-Trade Analysis Review each trade to identify mistakes and improve strategy. Track metrics like win rate, average profit/loss, and drawdowns. 7. Risk Control in Different Markets 7.1 Stock Market Diversify across sectors and market capitalizations. Monitor earnings releases and economic indicators. 7.2 Forex Market Account for geopolitical risks, interest rate changes, and currency correlations. Avoid excessive leverage; use proper position sizing. 7.3 Commodity Market Hedge with futures and options to mitigate price swings. Consider global supply-demand factors and seasonal trends. 7.4 Derivatives Market Derivatives can be highly leveraged, increasing potential risk. Use proper hedging strategies, clear stop-loss rules, and strict position limits. 8. Risk Management Tools and Technology 8.1 Automated Trading Systems Algorithmic trading can reduce human emotional error. Programs can enforce stop-loss, trailing stops, and position sizing automatically. 8.2 Risk Analytics Software Platforms provide real-time risk metrics, VaR analysis, and scenario simulations. Enables proactive decision-making. 8.3 Alerts and Notifications Real-time alerts for price levels, volatility spikes, or margin requirements help mitigate sudden risk exposure. 9. Capital Preservation as the Core Principle The fundamental rule of trading risk control is capital preservation: Avoid catastrophic losses that wipe out a trading account. Profitable trading strategies fail if risk is not controlled. Focus on long-term survival in the market rather than short-term profits. 10. Professional Risk Management Practices 10.1 Risk Policies Institutional traders operate under strict risk guidelines. Examples: Daily loss limits, maximum leverage caps, and mandatory diversification. 10.2 Stress Testing Simulate extreme market conditions to assess portfolio resilience. Helps prepare for black swan events. 10.3 Continuous Education Markets evolve constantly; traders must learn new techniques, understand new instruments, and adapt to regulatory changes. 11. Common Mistakes in Risk Management Overleveraging positions. Ignoring stop-loss rules due to emotional bias. Failing to diversify. Trading without a risk-reward analysis. Reacting impulsively to market noise. Avoiding these mistakes is essential for long-term trading success. 12. Conclusion Controlling trading risk factors requires a blend of discipline, knowledge, planning, and continuous monitoring. Traders must combine: Psychological control to avoid emotional decision-making. Analytical tools for precise risk measurement. Strategic techniques like diversification, hedging, and stop-loss orders. Capital preservation mindset as the foundation of sustainable trading. Successful risk management does not eliminate losses entirely but ensures losses are controlled, manageable, and do not threaten overall trading objectives. By adopting a systematic and disciplined approach to risk, traders can navigate volatile markets confidently, optimize returns, and achieve long-term financial success.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
Daily Trading Plan: Liquidity Zones & Bullish Outlook📊 Market Context Gold is holding strong after its breakout, trading near 3760 USD/oz as safe-haven demand stays elevated. The combination of geopolitical tensions, global fund flows into ETFs, and a weaker USD continues to support the bullish bias. For Indian traders, gold’s rally is closely watched as both an investment hedge and a short-term trading opportunity. While the broader structure remains bullish, price may first sweep liquidity in key zones before pushing towards higher levels. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4/2H) Price recently tested 3760, confirming bullish momentum. Immediate support: 3725, marked as a CP retest zone. Stronger support: 3689–3690, overlapping with OBS + FVG demand zone. Resistance targets: 3788 (short-term liquidity pool) and 3805–3830 (major liquidity area). Overall structure: Still bullish, but likely to retest demand zones before the next leg higher. 🔑 Key Levels Resistance / Sell Zones: 3760 ➡️ 3788 ➡️ 3805–3830 Support / Buy Zones: 3725 ➡️ 3689–3690 📈 Scenarios & Trading Plan ✅ BUY ZONE 1 (Shallow Pullback): 3725 SL: 3716 TP: 3760 ➡️ 3788 ➡️ 3805 … ✅ BUY ZONE 2 (Deeper Liquidity Retest): 3689–3690 SL: 3680 TP: 3725 ➡️ 3760 ➡️ 3788 ➡️ 3830 … ✅ SELL SCALP (Liquidity Trap Setup): Around 3788–3805, if rejection patterns confirm SL: 3810 TP: 3775 ➡️ 3760 ➡️ 3740 … ⚠️ Risk Management Notes Watch out for false breakouts above 3788 or below 3725 – liquidity sweeps are common. Enter trades only after confirmation; avoid chasing price in the middle of the range. Keep risk per trade controlled, as Fed speeches and geopolitical headlines could spark volatility. ✅ Summary Gold remains in a strong uptrend, with 3788–3805 as the next upside magnet. The plan is to buy dips at 3725 or 3689–3690, while keeping an eye on potential short-term sell setups near 3788–3805. The bias stays bullish, but risk management is key. 📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for intraday updates, liquidity-based setups, and strategies tailored for global gold traders.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Bullish Momentum Intact: Watching R2 for continuation or pause Gold continued its upside momentum after a clean breakout above the previous week’s high, leading to a strong one-way rally towards the weekly R2 level at 3754. At the moment, price is holding well above the rising trendline, showing no signs of major rejection or reversal. The immediate resistance remains at weekly R2, and a sustained break above this level could open the door for a move towards weekly R3 around 3800. The overall structure is still bullish, with higher highs and higher lows firmly intact. For any meaningful correction to take place, price would first need to break below the rising trendline. A deeper retracement would require price to trade back under the previous week’s high, which would then shift the short-term bias toward the weekly pivot zone near 3672. Until then, dips are likely to be seen as buying opportunities.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
all commodities closing predictions As per chart patterns and technical indicators, there is a possibility that gold will close lower today compared to the previous closing. As per chart patterns and technical indicators, there is a possibility that silver will close lower today compared to the previous closing. As per chart patterns and technical indicators, there is a possibility that natural gas will close lower today compared to the previous closing. As per chart patterns and technical indicators, there is a possibility that crude oil will close higher today compared to the previous closing
TVC:GOLDEducation
by Foreseenbtc
1
Gold Trading Strategy for 23rd Sember 2025GOLD TRADING STRATEGY 🟢 Buy — Enter only when a 15-minute candle closes above 3765; buy a tick/point above that candle’s high. Targets: 3775, 3785, 3800. 🔴 Sell — Enter only when a 1-hour candle closes below 3728; sell a tick/point below that candle’s low. Targets: 3715, 3703, 3685. BUY SETUP — 15-minute candle (very detailed) 🔎 Condition to enter Wait for a 15-minute candle to close above 3765. Only after the candle closes above 3765 do you prepare to buy. 🧭 Entry execution Identify the high of that confirmed 15-min candle (call it C_high). Place a Buy-Stop order a small tick above the candle high (e.g., Entry = C_high + 1 tick), so your order triggers only if price continues up. 🛡 Stop-loss (SL) Place SL just below the low of the same candle (call it C_low - 1 tick). This is a clean, candle-based SL — simple for beginners to manage. 🎯 Targets Target 1: 3775 Target 2: 3785 Target 3: 3800 SELL SETUP — 1-hour candle (very detailed) 🔎 Condition to enter Wait for a 1-hour candle to close below 3728. Only after the hourly candle closes below 3728 do you prepare to sell. 🧭 Entry execution Identify the low of that confirmed 1-hour candle (H_low). Place a Sell-Stop order a small tick below H_low (e.g., Entry = H_low − 1 tick). 🛡 Stop-loss (SL) Place SL just above the high of the same 1-hour candle (H_high + 1 tick). 🎯 Targets Target 1: 3715 Target 2: 3703 Target 3: 3685 ⚠️ Disclaimer (READ CAREFULLY) 📢 This content is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trading gold or any financial instrument involves substantial risk — you can lose more than your initial capital. Use proper risk management (e.g., limit risk per trade to 1–2% of your account). Always verify instrument point/contract value with your broker and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor before trading. Past results do not guarantee future performance.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ramkkyy
STEVEN XAUUSD – Buy Scenario Aligned with the TrendTechnical Analysis Gold continues its strong upward trend after breaking out from the previous accumulation zone. Currently, the price has tested the 3,742–3,744 range and is showing signs of pausing for a short-term correction. The EMA200 H1 (3,662) remains upward sloping, confirming that the main uptrend is intact. Fibonacci Retracement for the latest upward move: The 0.786 level (3,738) coincides with the Volume Profile area – this is the first support for the short-term buy scenario. The 0.618 level (3,707) coincides with the old resistance now turned support – a strong confluence, suitable for finding the main Buy point. The RSI (14) is around 63–65, not yet in the overbought zone, indicating there is still room for an increase. Trading Scenario Buy aligned with the trend Entry 1: 3,738–3,740 SL: 3,730 TP: 3,750 – 3,760 Entry 2: 3,707–3,710 SL: 3,695 TP: 3,738 – 3,760 – 3,780 Price Levels to Watch 3,742–3,744: short-term resistance, may cause adjustments. 3,738–3,740: nearby support, suitable for quick Buy. 3,707–3,710: strong support, important Buy zone. 3,780–3,785: extended resistance, target of the upward trend. This is a reference scenario, not an investment recommendation. Stay tuned for earlier analyses and scenarios in upcoming sessions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 23, 2025 Momentum • D1: Momentum is in an uptrend, currently on the 3rd bullish candle of the cycle. This suggests we may see at least 2 more bullish daily candles from now. • H4: Momentum has turned bearish, indicating the possibility of a corrective decline within today’s H4 structure. • H1: Momentum has already turned bearish and is approaching oversold territory. This shows the current decline is weakening, and a short-term rebound is likely. However, if momentum turns back up and enters the overbought zone but fails to break the previous high, another bearish leg may follow. ________________________________________ Wave Structure • D1: After completing wave 4 (yellow), price broke the previous high, confirming the continuation of the uptrend. Wave 5 (yellow) targets are projected at 3789.019 and 3887.117. • H4: Wave 3 (yellow) has completed, followed by a corrective structure in a flat WXY pattern. Currently, price is rising steeply, suggesting wave 5 (yellow) is underway. With H4 momentum turning bearish, this pullback could correspond to wave 4 within the ongoing wave 5 (yellow). • H1: Wave 3 (black) has formed with a complete 5-wave sequence (blue). Price is now in wave 4 (black), which could develop as a Zigzag, Flat, or Triangle correction. Wave 4 (black) target zones: 1. 3729.447 2. 3709.732 3. 3696.422 Once H4 momentum turns bullish from the oversold region, the nearest level among these zones is the most likely end of wave 4. ________________________________________ Trading Plan Buy limit strategy at support zones: • Buy Zone 1: 3730 – 3727 o SL: 3719 o TP: 3760 • Buy Zone 2: 3710 – 3707 o SL: 3696 o TP: 3729 If price extends lower, additional buy opportunities can be considered around 3696 or deeper levels marked on the chart. ________________________________________ 👉 The primary trend remains bullish, with wave 5 (yellow) in progress. The plan is to wait for wave 4 (black) to complete and then enter Buy positions in alignment with the larger uptrend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Weekly Candle Closes High | Prioritise Buying on Pullback to Sup🟡 XAU/USD – 22/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – Quick Overview Last week, gold closed around 3,685, paving the way for further advancement and a new ATH. After the FED cut 25bps, Powell's 'brake' remarks slowed the rise, but the larger trend remains bullish. This morning, prices surged to 3,697.xx, now slightly adjusting around 3,692 – 3,690 → a sensible strategy: wait for a pullback to continue Buying. ⏩ Captain’s Summary: The gold voyage still heads North, Buying remains the main choice, but wait for a pullback to board. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone): Thin support: ~3,698 (recently broken old range top). OB Dock: 3,687 – 3,690. FVG Dock: 3,672 – 3,676 (liquidity check on deep pullback). Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone): 3,714 – 3,720 (supply cluster / old ATH – likely to react). Price Structure: Continuous BoS series, price breaks short-term up channel and creates higher highs → bullish remains the main trend. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trading Plan (before US session) ✅ Buy (trend priority) Buy Zone 1 Entry: 3,698 – 3,701 SL: 3,688 TP: 3,706 – 3,714 – 3,720+ Buy Zone 2 (OB) Entry: 3,687 – 3,690 SL: 3,680 TP: 3,698 – 3,706 – 3,714 – 3,72x Buy Zone 3 (FVG) Entry: 3,672 – 3,676 SL: 3,664 TP: 3,687 – 3,706 – 3,714 ⚡ Sell (only scalp when overbought) Sell Zone (ATH test) Entry: 3,740 – 3,738 SL: 3,750 TP: 3,730 – 3,690 – 3,695 Captain’s Note ⚓ “The new week kicks off with a high-closing candle, the gold vessel continues its bullish course. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,690 – 3,672) is a safe anchorage for the crew to watch for Buys. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,714 – 3,720) is the wave crest where winds may rise, suitable for Quick Boarding 🚤 short scalps. Before the US session, the seas might get choppy – hold the helm tight and manage volume wisely.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAUUSD – Wolfe Waves forming on H4 chart, clear correction signaHello Trader, On the H4 chart, gold is forming a quite standard Wolfe Waves pattern. The 5th wave has completed, and the price is moving into the crucial resistance zone of 3760 – 3770, which is also a potential Sell Zone. Given the current structure, the preferred scenario is a short-term downward correction before the main trend resumes. Technical Analysis The price has touched the 2.618 Fibonacci Extension and reacted with a decline, indicating profit-taking pressure. The MACD still shows the previous buying force was quite strong, but the histogram is starting to weaken, aligning with the possibility of a correction wave emerging. Area 3760 – 3770: a critical resistance zone, also coinciding with the 5th wave line of Wolfe Waves. Trading Scenario Sell order according to Wolfe Waves Entry: 3760 – 3770 SL: 3782 (above resistance zone) TP: 3710 -3660 -3610 – 3620 (key level Wolfe target) Sell when price confirms below trendline Entry 3727-3730 sl 3735 tp 3715-3700-3686-3665 Short-term Buy Scalping Entry: 3705 – 3708 SL: 3700 TP: 3720-3730 – 3745- 3766 Note: This is just a short-term retracement strategy, going against the correction, so risk management is crucial. Conclusion Short-term: Prioritise observing reversal signals at 3760 – 3770 to Sell. Medium-term: Wait for Buy opportunities around 3564 – 3574 to align with the main trend. The market is entering a distribution and correction phase, so patiently waiting for candle confirmations at key zones will be key to optimising entry. This is the Wolfe Waves scenario I propose for gold during this period. You can refer to and adjust according to your own strategy. Follow me for the fastest updates when the price structure changes.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
Why Gold and US Bonds Move Together!Hello Traders! If you follow global markets, you’ll notice that Gold and US Bonds often move in the same direction. When one rises, the other usually does too. But why does this happen? Let’s understand the link in simple words. 1. Both Are Seen as Safe Havens In times of uncertainty, whether it’s recession fears, geopolitical tension, or market crashes, investors rush towards safety. Gold is considered a timeless store of value. US Bonds are backed by the US government, making them the safest fixed-income asset globally. So, in panic situations, both attract inflows together. 2. Driven by Interest Rates & Inflation When inflation rises or central banks cut interest rates: Bond yields fall, but bond prices rise as investors lock in fixed returns. At the same time, low yields make gold more attractive since the “opportunity cost” of holding it decreases. That’s why both often rally when interest rates are falling. 3. Dollar Weakness Adds Fuel Both gold and US bonds are influenced by the US dollar. A weaker dollar makes gold cheaper for global buyers, pushing prices up. Foreign investors also buy US bonds when the dollar weakens, supporting bond demand. 4. Why Traders Must Watch This Correlation If both gold and US bonds are rising, it usually signals fear and risk-off sentiment in global markets. If both are falling, it often reflects rising risk appetite, money moving back into equities. This correlation can help you gauge global market mood even before equities react. Rahul’s Tip: Don’t just watch Nifty in isolation. Keeping an eye on gold and US bonds can give you early clues about global risk sentiment. It’s like reading the heartbeat of safe-haven flows. Conclusion: Gold and US bonds move together because they serve the same purpose, safety in uncertain times . Understanding this relationship can help you read the bigger picture and prepare for market shifts more confidently. If this post helped you connect the dots, like it, share your views in comments, and follow for more global market insights!
TVC:GOLDEducation
by TraderRahulPal
3
Gold 1H – Fed Signals & Geopolitics Keep Bulls on the MoveGold on the 1H timeframe is trading around 3,705–3,710 after a strong breakout, staying within a rising channel. Liquidity is concentrated above at the premium resistance zone near 3,716–3,718, while demand is positioned lower at 3,687–3,689 and deeper at the FVG zone 3,654–3,656. Recent dovish signals from the Fed following last week’s rate cut, coupled with rising geopolitical tensions, continue to bolster safe-haven demand. However, upcoming U.S. inflation data and Fed speakers could trigger engineered moves into premium supply before retracements into discount demand zones. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,718–3,716 (SL 3,725): Premium resistance where liquidity sweeps may cause short-term rejections targeting 3,710 → 3,700 → 3,690. • 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,687–3,689 (SL 3,680): Near-term demand zone aligned with channel structure, offering a pullback entry targeting 3,695 → 3,700 → 3,715+. • 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,654–3,656 (SL 3,647): Deeper discount support, attractive for longer setups targeting 3,670 → 3,685 → 3,700+. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔺 Buy Setup – Pullback to Demand (3,687–3,689) • Entry: 3,687–3,689 • Stop Loss: 3,680 • Take Profits: TP1: 3,695 TP2: 3,700 TP3: 3,715+. 🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Sweep (3,654–3,656) • Entry: 3,654–3,656 • Stop Loss: 3,647 • Take Profits: TP1: 3,670 TP2: 3,685 TP3: 3,700+ 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Liquidity Run (3,716–3,718) • Entry: 3,718–3,716 • Stop Loss: 3,725 • Take Profits: TP1: 3,710 TP2: 3,700 TP3: 3,690. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note The Fed’s dovish stance and safe-haven flows from geopolitical risks are sustaining bullish momentum, but intraday structure suggests smart money may first engineer stop-runs into premium resistance before retracing toward demand. Maintain buy-the-dip bias at defined support zones, while cautiously fading liquidity sweeps near 3,716–3,718. Volatility could increase as markets await fresh U.S. inflation data and Fed policy remarks.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader