Trade ideas
Gold 1H – Slight Correction or Bullish Reaccumulation Ahead?XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Khang_Trader
📈 Market Context
Gold is currently trading around $4,110/oz as traders digest a mix of macroeconomic signals and shifting expectations surrounding the Federal Reserve’s next moves.
The market focus today centers on U.S. housing-starts and jobless-claims data.
Strong data → could trigger short-term selling pressure on gold.
Weak data → may fuel safe-haven demand, extending the current rally.
Treasury yields remain steady, while dovish rate-cut bets for early 2026 are gaining traction.
Expect liquidity sweeps around session highs/lows before a clear directional move, as institutional traders fine-tune their positioning within the week’s range.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Perspective)
The overall market structure remains bullish, with recent BOS confirming continuation after a prior accumulation phase.
A minor Change of Character (ChoCH) has appeared, signaling a short-term correction — likely a liquidity grab before the next bullish leg.
Liquidity below $4,090-$4,100 has been swept, bringing price into the discount zone near $4,050-$4,080.
A potential re-accumulation zone is forming around that area — buyers should wait for M15/M30 BOS or ChoCH confirmation before entering.
Upside liquidity targets align with the $4,350-$4,380 region — a premium supply zone where sellers may re-enter.
🔴 Sell Setup
Entry: 4378 – 4376
Stop-Loss: 4386
Take-Profit Targets:
1️⃣ 4325
2️⃣ 4260
📌 Only consider this setup if price reaches the supply zone and shows bearish confirmation (BOS/ChoCH on lower timeframe).
🟢 Buy Setup
Entry: 4050 – 4080
Stop-Loss: 4045
Take-Profit Targets:
1️⃣ 4150
2️⃣ 4300
3️⃣ 4350 +
📌 Look for BOS or ChoCH confirmation on M15 before execution. Avoid entering right before U.S. data releases.
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
Avoid trading during high-impact news — spreads can widen and cause slippage.
Scale in/out gradually; take partial profits at liquidity zones.
Once structure confirms continuation, trail stop-loss to lock profits.
A clean break below $4,000 would invalidate the bullish continuation scenario — re-evaluate bias if that happens.
Maintain a clear Risk : Reward ratio (ideally 1 : 3 or better).
✅ Summary
Bias: Bullish as long as price holds above $4,000.
Buy zone: 4050-4080 (watch for confirmation).
Sell zone: 4376-4378 (look for reaction and BOS down).
Key invalidation: Below 4000.
Watch U.S. data this session — it will likely dictate short-term volatility and direction.
FOLLOW RYAN FOR MORE USEFUL TRADING IDEAS!!!
XAU/USD (Gold) chart on the 3-hour timeframe...XAU/USD (Gold) chart on the 3-hour timeframe, I can see my using the Ichimoku Cloud and have marked a range with a potential breakdown area and a target point already indicated on the chart.
Here’s what the chart suggests:
Current price: around 4031 USD
Range low (support): around 4030 USD (which is currently being tested)
Range high (resistance): around 4190–4200 USD
Breakdown target (measured move): around 3940–3950 USD
📉 Analysis:
Price has broken below the range box, indicating a bearish breakout.
The Ichimoku Cloud ahead is bearish and thick, showing potential resistance.
A measured move from the height of the range (≈ 150–170 points) projects downward to around 3940–3950 USD.
My chart already marks 3944.299 as the target point, which aligns well with this projection.
✅ Target Summary
Type	Level (USD)	Comment
Short-term target	3,944	Measured move target after range breakdown
Extended target	3,900–3,880	Possible continuation if bearish momentum sustains
Invalidated above	4,090–4,100	If price re-enters the range and closes above the cloud
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 22, 2025)
🔹 1. Momentum
D1:
The D1 momentum is preparing to turn bullish, signaling the start of a new upward trend.
→ We can expect at least 3–5 consecutive bullish days ahead.
H4:
We need to wait for the H4 candle to close to confirm the reversal signal.
If confirmed, there’s a strong possibility that today will form an intraday uptrend.
H1:
H1 momentum has already turned upward, but it’s now in the overbought zone.
Therefore, the current rise won’t be strong, and a minor pullback is needed to bring momentum back to the oversold area — creating a foundation for a more stable bullish move.
________________________________________
🔹 2. Wave Structure
D1 Timeframe:
Yesterday saw a sharp decline, but D1 momentum is now preparing to reverse upward.
Counting the correction candles, we already have five candles, suggesting that the market may soon enter a new bullish phase lasting 3–5 days or more.
During this recovery phase, we need to monitor two key scenarios:
•  If wave movements overlap and lack strength, and when D1 momentum returns to the overbought zone but price fails to break the previous high, then the Wave 4 (yellow) scenario is still in play.
•  If price rises sharply and decisively, the recent correction might only be part of Wave 3 (yellow), meaning the bullish trend is continuing.
H4 Timeframe:
Yesterday’s structure was identified as a Flat correction, and it remains valid.
Price has retraced into the Wave 4 zone of the smaller degree structure, reaching the 2.0 Fibonacci extension of Wave A.
If Wave 5 (purple) is now developing, the ideal target would be around 4476.
However, if price rises with overlapping waves, this could instead represent a corrective move within Wave 4 (yellow), targeting the previous high zone between 4381 and 4476.
H1 Timeframe:
Within Wave W, there is a small Flat correction, where Wave C extended to twice the length of Wave A.
Now, Wave Y (blue) has also declined to 2× Wave W, suggesting weakening buying power.
Even so, in the short term, we still expect an intraday bullish move today.
→ The trading bias remains buy-side until H4 momentum reaches the overbought area and reverses.
________________________________________
🔹 3. Trading Plan
Buy Zone: 4101 – 4098
Stop Loss (SL): 4088
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 4190
________________________________________
🔹 4. Notes
Liquidity and resistance zones are already marked on the chart.
→ Wait for price to break and retest those areas to confirm a valid Buy setup.
Gold Trading Strategy for 29th October 2025 (IST)🪙  TVC:GOLD  Intraday Trading Plan
📈 Buy Setup:
🔹 Entry: Above the high of 15-min candle (Close > $3990)
🎯 Targets: $4000, $4015, $4030
🛑 Stop Loss: Below $3975 (or below candle low for confirmation)
📉 Sell Setup:
🔹 Entry: Below the low of 15-min candle (Close < $3915)
🎯 Targets: $3903, $3889, $3870
🛑 Stop Loss: Above $3930 (or above candle high for confirmation)
⚠️ Disclaimer:
Trading in gold or any commodity involves substantial risk. This plan is for educational and informational purposes only — not financial advice. Always assess your own risk before entering any position. 📊
GOLD - ENTERS COREECTION PHASESymbol - XAUUSD
Gold is currently undergoing a corrective phase following approximately six weeks of aggressive upward movement. Price action is forming a consolidation range while continuing to pressure the support zone.
The recent record breaking rally became overheated, prompting profit-taking and long liquidation. Additionally, a gradual shift in market sentiment and macroeconomic backdrop is contributing to capital outflows. However, ongoing US–China trade negotiations, the US government shutdown, and heightened geopolitical uncertainty, including the cancellation of Trump’s meeting with President Putin, continue to pose economic risks that could provide underlying support for the precious metal.
Overall, the current pullback appears to be a healthy corrective pause within the broader structure. The 4000 level remains a critical support area. A sustained recovery above 4110 would indicate that buyers are interested, though further momentum largely depends on developments surrounding global trade policies.
Resistance levels: 4100, 4110, 4163
Support levels: 4058, 4000
A decisive breakdown of the lower boundary of the trading range could trigger a deeper corrective wave. The 4000 level is the primary focus, as strong volatility may occur around this zone. Given the current market conditions - with declines matching the previous intensity of the rally, patience is warranted until momentum stabilizes, enabling more informed technical decisions.
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY OVERVIEW PROJECTION 25.10.25“XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY OVERVIEW 25.10.25”:
🟡 Pair: XAUUSD (Gold vs USD)
📅 Timeframe: Weekly
📊 Chart Type: Price action with liquidity zone and retest entry plan
📌 Key Levels:
Resistance / Upper Target Zone: ~4,360 – 4,400
Entry Zone / Supply-Demand Range: ~4,057 – 4,145
Support / Lower Target Zone: ~3,868
🧭 Market Structure Analysis:
The price is currently consolidating inside a mid-range zone (4,057–4,145) after a strong previous down move.
Liquidity zones are marked both above and below, suggesting potential breakout and retest setups.
The market is showing accumulation or indecision before a big move.
🛒 Buy Scenario (Bullish Plan):
Price may retest the lower boundary of the entry zone (~4,057–4,145).
If a bullish retest/confirmation candle forms → Long Entry.
Target: ~4,360 area (major resistance).
Stop-loss likely placed slightly below 4,057.
🟢 This aligns with a potential reversal or continuation of higher timeframe bullish structure.
🐻 Sell Scenario (Bearish Plan):
Price may break below the entry zone, retest it from the bottom, and reject.
If a bearish retest/confirmation candle forms → Short Entry.
Target: ~3,868 support level.
Stop-loss likely placed slightly above 4,145.
🔴 This aligns with a continuation of the recent bearish momentum.
⚠️ Additional Notes:
Watch for fake breakouts near the entry zone.
Weekly candles can give strong direction but might take 1–2 weeks to fully play out.
High impact news related to gold or USD can accelerate the move.
✅ Summary Plan:
Buy entry: After bullish retest of 4,057–4,145 → TP 4,360
Sell entry: After bearish retest of 4,057–4,145 → TP 3,868
SL: Just outside the opposite edge of the entry zone.
Gold Breaks Trendline: 4000 Back in FocusYesterday's trading session brought further downside pressure as gold pushed lower to test the 3880 zone, which is just above the monthly open. We have seen a decent recovery bounce from there, suggesting some buying interest is emerging at these lower levels. However, it's important to maintain perspective here while we're seeing short-term stabilization, the reversal signs on higher timeframes haven't materialized yet. We need to see more convincing price action and stronger closes on the larger timeframes before we can confidently call this as reversal to bullish case.
Also today we have extremely narrow CPR positioned at 3954. When we see such tight CPR levels, it often signals either an impending trend reversal or the potential for a high volatility session ahead. The early Asian session has already given us something to work with price is attempting to reclaim this CPR zone, which is a constructive development. Adding to the bullish case, we've also seen a breakout from the descending trendline structure that had been capping rallies over the past few sessions.
From a tactical perspective, the immediate support zone to monitor is 3900-3910.... If buyers can defend and sustain price action above this level, we could see gold make an attempt toward the first meaningful hurdle at 4000-4010. This target zone is particularly significant as it aligns with today's R1 pivot and the prior week's low, creating a confluence resistance area. A daily close above 4000-4010 would be an encouraging sign that momentum is genuinely shifting back in favor of the bulls and could open the door for further upside.
As for my positioning, I'm maintaining my existing buy positions and continuing to manage them as the price action develops. The risk-reward from these levels still appears favorable given the technical setup unfolding.
Is Gold (XAUUSD) Set for a Major Pullback? Short Below 4185!Gold has been in a massive range between  3500 and 3120  (a 320-point base). Following the breakout, we witnessed an explosive rally up to  4380 —an 880-point surge, nearly  2.5x the previous range! 
But now, caution is warranted. Gold has formed a  bearish reversal candle  at the peak, and the  RSI is deeply overbought . Despite the strong bullish trend, a  confirmed short signal will trigger only if Gold breaks below 4185 .
Trade Setup:
 Entry:  Sell Gold (XAUUSD) below  4185 
 Sell on Rallies:  Add to shorts near 4280
 Targets: 
1st target: 4050 - 4000
2nd target: 3850
 Stop Loss / Invalidation:  Close shorts if price moves above 4402
 Why this setup matters: 
With Gold’s momentum stalling at key resistance and technical indicators signaling overextension, a well-timed short could capture a strong corrective move.
Do you agree with this bearish outlook?
👍 Like if you’re ready to short!
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Happy Trading,
– The InvestPro Team
Gold at Key Support — Will XAUUSD Bounce From 3900 - 3895?Gold is testing a crucial demand zone at 3900–3895, where buyers have previously stepped in.
If this level continues to hold, we could see a bullish intraday rebound play out.
📊 Trade Setup
Buy Zone: 3900 – 3895
Stop Loss: 3878
Target 1: 3924
Target 2: 3936
💡 Technical Outlook
Price action is hinting at renewed buying pressure around 3900, with candles showing wicks and slowing momentum on the downside.
This could indicate that bulls are defending this key zone, setting up for a short-term bounce toward the 3920–3935 area.
Watch for:
A bullish engulfing candle or strong rejection wick near 3895
Increasing volume confirmation on smaller timeframes (M15–H1)
🧭 Bias
✅ Expecting a bullish bounce from the 3900–3895 zone
❌ Invalidated if price closes below 3878
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is for educational purposes only — not financial advice. Always manage your risk and use proper position sizing.
PCR Trading Strategies How Option Trading Works
Let’s take an example. Suppose you believe Infosys stock will go up from ₹1,500 to ₹1,600 soon. You buy a call option with a strike price of ₹1,500 for a premium of ₹20.
If the stock rises to ₹1,600, your option’s value also rises. You can sell it for a profit.
If the stock stays below ₹1,500, the option expires worthless, and you lose only the ₹20 premium.
Risks and Rewards
Option trading can be highly rewarding but also risky. The risk for buyers is limited to the premium paid, but sellers (writers) of options can face unlimited losses if the market moves against them. Hence, it’s important to understand how options work before investing.
PCR Trading StrategiesWhy Traders Use Options
Options are used for several strategic purposes:
Hedging: Protecting existing positions from price fluctuations.
Speculation: Earning profits from expected price movements with limited capital.
Income Generation: Selling options to collect premiums regularly.
Leverage: Controlling large positions with smaller amounts of money.
XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) 4H chart:XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) 4H chart:
I can see a clear double top pattern near the 4,330 zone (circled areas).
Price has broken the ascending trendline and is currently retesting near the 4,080–4,100 resistance zone (previous support).
The green zone shows the neckline area that price already broke below.
📉 Technical Breakdown:
Pattern: Double Top
Neckline: Around 4,130
Measured Move Target: Equal to the distance from the top (~4,330) to the neckline (~4,130), i.e. ≈ 200 points.
Applying that below the neckline gives:
→ 4,130 - 200 = 3,930
However, my chart’s “Target Point” line is drawn slightly lower — around 3,848.57, which aligns with a deeper support level and the full projection of the trend break.
✅ Final Target Zone:
Primary Target: 3,930
Extended / Full Target: 3,850 (3,848.57)
So:
> 🎯 XAU/USD Bearish Target = 3,850 – 3,930 zone
Banking Sector Leadership & PSU Bank Rally – A Deep Dive1. Introduction
The Indian stock market has witnessed several phases of leadership rotation over the years. At times, technology stocks dominate; at other times, energy or infrastructure sectors take the front seat. However, whenever the broader market gears up for a major uptrend or a new bull cycle begins, the Banking sector often takes the leadership role — and within that, Public Sector Undertaking (PSU) banks frequently emerge as key outperformers.
The recent rally in PSU banks and the resurgence of the banking sector as a whole highlight not just cyclical market behavior but also deep structural changes in the Indian economy. To understand this movement, it’s important to analyze both why banking leads and what’s fueling the PSU bank rally in particular.
2. Why Banking Sector Often Leads the Market
a. Core to Economic Growth
Banks are the financial backbone of any economy. When economic activity expands — whether through manufacturing, infrastructure, or consumer spending — banks benefit directly. Credit growth picks up, deposit bases rise, and loan demand strengthens. Therefore, the health and momentum of the banking sector often act as a mirror of economic strength.
b. Credit Cycle Expansion
A strong economy usually corresponds to an expanding credit cycle. When businesses borrow more for expansion, and individuals take more loans for consumption (homes, vehicles, education), banks record higher net interest income (NII) and better profitability.
During the early-to-mid phase of a bull market, credit growth typically accelerates sharply, turning the banking sector into a market leader.
c. Interest Rate Cycle and Net Interest Margins
The interest rate environment plays a crucial role. When rates stabilize after a hiking cycle, banks — especially those with a large low-cost deposit base — witness margin expansion. With loan yields rising faster than deposit costs, Net Interest Margin (NIM) improves.
This scenario often unfolds in the mid-stages of economic recovery — precisely when the stock market’s optimism about growth is at its peak.
d. Heavy Market Weightage
In indices like the Nifty 50 and Bank Nifty, banking and financial services account for around 35–40% of total weightage. Naturally, whenever large investors — both domestic and foreign — turn bullish on India, their first entry point is often the banking sector, leading to index-level leadership.
3. Banking Sector’s Structural Transformation
The Indian banking landscape has undergone a major transformation over the last decade — both in private and public sectors.
a. Clean-up of Balance Sheets
Post the 2014–2018 NPA crisis, Indian banks, particularly PSUs, faced massive challenges due to bad loans, corporate defaults, and poor asset quality. The Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) and RBI’s asset quality reviews forced banks to recognize, provision, and resolve bad assets.
Today, most major banks — especially SBI, Bank of Baroda, Canara Bank, and Union Bank — have net NPA ratios below 1%–1.2%, compared to 5–6% a few years ago. This clean-up has set the stage for a sustainable recovery.
b. Digitization & Efficiency Gains
The digital transformation in banking — UPI, mobile apps, digital KYC, and paperless loans — has enhanced operational efficiency, reduced cost-to-income ratios, and improved customer acquisition. PSU banks, once lagging behind in technology, have now made significant progress through partnerships with fintechs and internal digital drives (like SBI’s YONO or BoB World).
c. Government Recapitalization and Consolidation
Between FY2017 and FY2021, the Indian government infused over ₹3 lakh crore into PSU banks, strengthening their capital buffers. Additionally, bank mergers created stronger entities — for example:
Bank of Baroda absorbed Dena and Vijaya Bank,
Canara Bank merged with Syndicate Bank,
Union Bank merged with Andhra and Corporation Bank.
This consolidation reduced fragmentation, created scale, and enhanced competitiveness.
4. The PSU Bank Rally – What’s Driving It?
The PSU bank rally has been one of the most notable themes in the Indian stock market in recent years. After a decade of underperformance, these stocks have turned into multi-baggers, with several PSU banks delivering 200–500% returns in just 2–3 years.
Let’s decode the reasons behind this rally:
a. Massive Valuation Re-rating
For a long time, PSU banks traded at deep discounts to book value — often between 0.3x to 0.6x — reflecting investor pessimism. With the clean-up of balance sheets, profitability return, and stable management, the market started to re-rate these banks.
Currently, large PSU banks trade at 1.0–1.5x P/B, still lower than private peers (2.5x–4x), leaving room for further revaluation.
b. Return of Profitability
Post-2020, PSU banks started showing consistent quarterly profits, driven by lower provisioning costs and higher NII.
Example:
SBI’s FY2025 profits are expected to exceed ₹75,000 crore,
Canara Bank, BoB, and Union Bank are recording ROEs above 15%, levels not seen in over a decade.
These results changed investor sentiment from skepticism to confidence.
c. Credit Growth Momentum
PSU banks are witnessing robust credit growth of 12–14%, led by retail loans (housing, personal, auto), SME lending, and corporate capex revival. Their strong presence in rural and semi-urban areas gives them an edge in deposit mobilization, leading to stable funding costs.
d. Capital Adequacy & Improved Asset Quality
Thanks to recapitalization and internal profit generation, most PSU banks now have Capital Adequacy Ratios above 14%, giving them room to expand their balance sheets. Their Gross NPA ratios have fallen below 4%, compared to 10–12% in 2018.
e. FII and DII Interest
Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) and Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) have both turned net buyers of PSU banks. The segment is considered a proxy for India’s growth story — benefiting from both cyclical and structural drivers.
Moreover, PSU banks offer attractive dividend yields (3–5%) and stable earnings visibility, making them a favorite in the current interest rate environment.
5. Comparing PSU vs Private Banks
Parameter	                        PSU Banks	                                    Private Banks
Valuation (P/B)	                0.9–1.5x	                                    2.5–4.0x
ROE/ROA                	        Improving (12–15%)	                    High (16–18%)
NIM                       	        3–3.3%	                                    3.5–4.5%
Asset Quality	                Improved, but slightly lower	    Very strong
Technology Adoption 	Rapidly catching up	                    Already advanced
Growth Drivers	                Retail, Infra, SME, Rural Credit	    Premium Retail, Digital, Corporate
Investor Sentiment	        Recovering fast	                            Already strong
The valuation gap between PSU and private banks has started narrowing, but PSUs still remain value plays, whereas private banks are seen as quality growth plays.
6. Banking Sector as Market Leader in 2025 Cycle
In the ongoing market cycle, banking is again showing signs of leadership emergence, driven by several factors:
a. Capex Revival
India’s private and public sector capex is gaining momentum — from roads and ports to data centers and manufacturing. Banks will play a financing role in this multi-trillion-rupee expansion phase.
b. Liquidity & Deposit Growth
Despite competition from small finance and fintech banks, traditional banks — especially PSUs — have maintained strong CASA (Current Account Savings Account) ratios, ensuring liquidity. This gives them pricing power in a tightening liquidity environment.
c. Credit Quality Cycle at Its Best
With low slippages and strong recoveries, India is in the best credit quality cycle in two decades. Credit costs (provisions as a % of assets) are at multi-year lows, directly boosting profitability.
d. Government Support & Reforms
The government continues to push for PSU bank modernization, privatization of smaller entities, and improvement in governance. The “bad bank” (NARCL) initiative has further helped clear legacy NPAs.
e. Rising Financialization of Savings
With rising income levels and formalization, more money is flowing into banking and financial systems — deposits, mutual funds, and loans — further deepening the sector’s dominance.
7. Technical & Market Structure Perspective
From a market structure angle, the Bank Nifty index is often the leading indicator for Nifty’s trend direction. Historically:
When Bank Nifty outperforms Nifty, it signals broad-based bullishness.
When PSU banks outperform private banks, it often indicates a mid-stage bull market, where value stocks catch up with growth stocks.
As of 2025, both Bank Nifty and Nifty PSU Bank Index are trading near record highs, showing strong volume support, healthy price structure, and institutional accumulation — confirming that leadership lies with the banking pack.
8. Risks & Challenges
Despite strong fundamentals, certain risks remain:
Interest Rate Volatility: A sharp rate hike cycle can squeeze margins.
Global Slowdown: If export demand or global growth falters, corporate loan demand may soften.
Competition from Fintechs: Fintechs may eat into certain profitable retail segments.
Policy Risks: Privatization delays or regulatory tightening can temporarily hurt PSU valuations.
However, these are manageable risks in the current macro setup, as most PSU and private banks maintain high provisioning buffers and stable management practices.
9. Outlook for 2025 and Beyond
The outlook for the banking sector remains constructive and bullish. Analysts expect:
Credit growth of 12–14% CAGR,
NIMs to remain steady,
ROEs to sustain above 14%,
Asset quality to remain stable.
PSU banks are expected to narrow the valuation gap with private banks as they continue to deliver consistent profits, higher dividends, and improved governance.
In the medium term (2025–2027), the PSU Bank Index could potentially outperform broader indices, supported by:
Credit growth in infrastructure, housing, and MSMEs,
Rising investor confidence,
India’s macroeconomic resilience.
10. Conclusion
The Banking sector’s leadership in the market is not accidental — it is rooted in economic cycles, financial system dominance, and investor psychology. Every major bull market in India’s history has been led, directly or indirectly, by banks.
The PSU Bank rally represents not just a price recovery but a structural turnaround story — from being crisis-hit entities plagued by NPAs and inefficiency to becoming profitable, tech-savvy, dividend-paying institutions aligned with India’s growth narrative.
As India’s GDP moves toward the $5 trillion mark, and capex, consumption, and credit cycles expand together, banks — both private and public — will remain the torchbearers of the next leg of India’s equity bull market.
Gold Trading Strategy for 27th October 2025🪙 GOLD ($XAU/USD) Trading Plan
📈 Buy Setup
Entry: Buy above the high of the 30-minute candle, only if price closes above $4145
Targets:
🎯 1st Target: $4158
🎯 2nd Target: $4170
🎯 3rd Target: $4185
Stop Loss: Below the breakout candle’s low
Notes:
A strong close above $4145 could indicate bullish momentum continuation. Watch for volume confirmation before entry.
📉 Sell Setup
Entry: Sell below the low of the 1-hour candle, only if price closes below $4080
Targets:
🎯 1st Target: $4065
🎯 2nd Target: $4050
🎯 3rd Target: $4035
Stop Loss: Above the breakdown candle’s high
Notes:
A decisive close below $4080 may trigger a downside move — confirm with bearish momentum before taking a short position.
⚠️ Disclaimer
📜 This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and you should consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author is not responsible for any losses incurred while following this analysis.
Gold Under Pressure: Critical Support Lost, 4040 Reclaim Needed Yesterday's session provided clear confirmation of the bearish pressure building in gold as price faced strong resistance around the CPR area between 4094-4108. The early Asian session rejection was particularly telling, as buyers simply couldn't get enough strength to push through this zone. What followed was a decisive breakdown below the psychologically important 4000 level, which had been acting as major support throughout the recent price action.
For today's session, CPR zone positioned at 4001-4040. This is now our critical battleground. Bulls need to reclaim at least 4040 (CPR TC) to suggest any meaningful recovery is underway. Without a clean breakout above this level, the path of least resistance remains to the downside, and bears are firmly in control of the near-term direction. The current price structure suggests sellers are gaining confidence, especially after yesterday's breakdown.
On the downside, the first intraday support level for today is to watch at 3933. This could provide a temporary bounce zone if we see continued selling pressure. However, given the momentum shift and the loss of 4000 support, we need to approach any long positions cautiously here. The market is clearly favoring the bears at this point, and it would take a significant shift in sentiment to change that dynamic in the immediate term.
My Position : I am still managing my buy entries and currently in floating loss ,max extension that I am expecting in lower side is at around 3800-50 area and that is manageable as per my current lot sizing.
Gold Trading Strategy for 28th October 2025🌟 💰 GOLD TRADING SETUP 💰 🌟
📊 Instrument: 🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD)
🟢 BUY SETUP
➡️ Entry: Buy above the high of the 1-hour candle — once price closes above 💲4021
🎯 Targets:
🎯 T1: 💲4033
🎯 T2: 💲4045
🎯 T3: 💲4070
🛡️ Stop Loss: Below 💲4010 (or as per your risk tolerance)
🔴 SELL SETUP
➡️ Entry: Sell below the low of the 15-min candle — once price closes below 💲3944
🎯 Targets:
🎯 T1: 💲3932
🎯 T2: 💲3919
🎯 T3: 💲3903
🛡️ Stop Loss: Above 💲3955 (or as per your risk tolerance)
⚠️ Disclaimer:
📢 This is not financial advice. These are purely educational and technical analysis-based trading ideas.
💼 Always do your own research and use proper risk management before taking any trades.
📉 The market is volatile — trade at your own discretion and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY SELL PROJECTION 26.10.25Here’s a clear explanation of the 4H SELL SETUP shown in your chart 📊👇
📌 Chart Breakdown (XAU/USD — Gold 4H)
Pattern: Rising wedge / structure breakdown
Trendline: “4H Uptrend Line – Broken” ✅
Candle signal: Bearish Engulfing at ATH (strong reversal confirmation)
🧭 Key Levels
🟥 Stop Loss: Around 4,225.640 (above structure high)
🟡 Entry Zone: ~4,192 (below trendline break)
🟢 Targets:
TP1: 4,125
TP2: 4,075
TP3: 4,031
🧠 Trading Logic
Market formed a Bearish Engulfing at the top.
The main trendline was broken, indicating possible trend reversal.
After a retest of the broken structure, price is expected to continue downward.
Multiple TPs (TP1, TP2, TP3) help scale out profits gradually.
SL is placed above the previous high to protect against a fake breakout.
XAUUSD Intraday Trade Plan | Buy @ 4060Gold (XAUUSD) is attempting to hold above the 4060 support zone — a key level that acted as a strong base in previous sessions.
If this level continues to hold, we could see a potential bullish rebound in the intraday session.
📊 Trade Setup:
Buy Zone: 4060 – 4062
Stop Loss: 4052
Target 1: 4075
Target 2: 4090
💡 Analysis:
Price action is showing signs of demand re-entering near the 4060 level, suggesting buyers are defending this zone.
A clean break and hold above 4070 could trigger momentum toward 4090.
However, a breakdown below 4052 would invalidate the setup.
🧭 Bias: Intraday Bullish (above 4060)
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Manage your risk accordingly.
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H SELL LIMIT PROJECTION 28.10.251H Sell Limit Projection Chart for XAU/USD (Gold):
📝 Chart Summary (28.10.25)
Timeframe: 1 Hour
Setup Type: Sell Limit Projection
Market Structure: Bearish
📈 Key Levels:
Sell Limit Zone (Entry Area): Around $3,958 (Resistance R1)
Stop Loss: Around $3,982 (Top of FVG + Trendline)
Target 1 (TP1): Support S1 – around $3,920
Target 2 (TP2): Support S2 – around $3,883
📉 Technical Confluences:
🔹 1H Downtrend Line acting as dynamic resistance
🔹 FVG (Fair Value Gap) aligning with entry zone
🔹 Fibonacci retracement zone overlap
🔹 Resistance R1 matches previous supply zone
🧭 Trading Plan Idea:
Wait for price to retrace back to $3,958 zone.
Place Sell Limit order in the zone.
Stop loss: Above $3,982 zone to protect from fakeouts.
Take Profit: First target at $3,920 (partial booking), second target at $3,883 (runner).
⚠️ Risk Notes:
Watch for liquidity grabs above R1 before rejection.
Avoid market entry — wait for price confirmation near the zone.
Adjust SL if price structure shifts on lower timeframes.
Gold Trading Strategy | October 29-30✅ From the 4-hour timeframe, gold remains within a medium-term bearish trend channel. The price has repeatedly been rejected around the MA10/MA20 levels, indicating that short-term rebounds are limited and sellers still dominate the market.
The Bollinger Bands have opened downward, and the middle band (around 4003) is pressing lower, showing that recent rebounds are merely weak corrective moves rather than a trend reversal. Candlesticks have failed multiple times to stand above the middle band, facing pressure on every rebound — a typical weak, oscillating, downward structure. The support near 3886 is an important short-term defense level; if broken, price may further test the 3860–3840 region.
✅ On the 1-hour timeframe, gold briefly rebounded to the 4030 area before retreating sharply and breaking below the cluster of moving averages, showing heavy selling pressure above. Candles are currently running below the MA5 and MA10, with both sloping downward, suggesting ongoing bearish momentum. The Bollinger middle band is also turning lower, strengthening the current downward pressure. Rebounds are repeatedly capped around the middle band, and there is a high chance of testing the lower band near 3888.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3853 / 3980–3990 / 4000
🟢 Support Levels: 3920–3915 / 3886 / 3855
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 If gold rebounds to 3980–3990 and shows rejection, consider scaling into short positions, targeting 3920–3886
🔰 If gold drops to 3885–3890 and stabilizes, consider light-lot long positions, targeting 3950-3960.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. 
Gold's Historic Crash! MSS $4195: Kindly Wait for SELL at $4185📰 FUNDAMENTALS (Context is Key)
Gold has seen a massive drop—sharpest since 2013, mind you—after hitting that record high of $4,398. This steep fall is primarily technical profit-booking, not any major panga (trouble) on the macro side. The core drivers (inflation, uncertainties) for Gold are still intact, pakka (surely), for the long term. However, short-term, a good correction is compulsory.
📊 TECHNICALS (1H Chart Basis)
Market Structure Shift (MSS) Done: The price has given a proper Breakout of the strong support at $4,195 - $4,200. This zone is now our New Resistance—the best place for selling, no doubt.
The market is currently undergoing a Technical Pullback.
🎯 DETAILED TRADING PLAN (Actionables)
Our main focus is to SELL at the Resistance re-test, which aligns nicely with the changed market structure.
1. SELL Strategy (Pro-structure Trade)
SELL ZONE: $4183 - 4185
SL (Stop Loss): $4193
TP (Take Profit): $4175 - 4165 - 4155 - 4145
2. BUY Strategy (Counter-trend Scalp)
BUY ZONE: $4060 - 4055
SL (Stop Loss): $4030
TP (Take Profit): $4091 - 4114 - 4185
🔥 Expert Mandate: Kindly wait for the price to revert to the $4183 - 4185 zone. That is where you Do the needful and look for a SELL (Short) setup. The Risk-Reward is quite handsome.
Please ensure strict risk management (1-2% capital) is followed.
What is your good name for this market? BUY or SELL? Leave your comments and Kindly Follow for the timely updates!
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