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Gold – Bullish Trendline Retest Points Toward Move to 4,120 USDAnalysis (English): Gold (XAU/USD) is maintaining a clear bullish uptrend, supported by a strong ascending trendline. After a sharp push upward, the price is now pulling back, moving toward a key demand zone aligned with the trendline. The chart projection indicates a likely scenario: ✅ Bullish Scenario (Most Probable) Price corrects down into the demand zone and touches the trendline. Buyers step in and defend the level. A bullish continuation move develops, pushing price toward the upper resistance zones at: 4,100 USD 4,115 – 4,120 USD As long as the price remains above the trendline, the bullish structure stays intact. ⚠️ Bearish Risk If the price breaks below the trendline (around 4,050 USD), momentum could slow and shift into a deeper correction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H2 | A corrective phase might occur todayLiamTrading – XAUUSD H2 | A corrective phase might occur today Follow Liquidity 4090, FVG 4053–4069 & VAH ~4025 Quick glance: Gold remains in an uptrend but shows signs of stalling at the upper boundary of the rising channel. With the USD potentially volatile as the US nears “reopening”, a technical correction towards liquidity zones is a scenario to prepare for. Technical Analysis Trendline/Price Channel: Price is moving within an ascending channel; the channel top around 4130–4140 is prone to profit-taking/stalling. Liquidity: 4085–4092 – a price pull/volume attraction point before choosing the next direction. FVG #1: 4053–4069 – a price gap likely to fill and rebound. VAH (Volume Profile): 4023–4028 – volume value peak; strong confluence support during deep corrections. POC: ~3985–3990 – a magnetic level if the market weakens more than expected. Resistance: 4135–4140 (near channel top + short-term offer), further 4166 (Fibo/channel top extension). Fibonacci: The latest upward wave shows the expansion area around 4135–4166 as a “liquidity pocket” – suitable for scalp sell upon clear rejection; retracement levels 0.382–0.5 converge around 406x–402x, matching FVG & VAH → priority buy point if price corrects. Trading Scenarios Buy shallow pullback (trend-following) Entry: 4083–4085 SL: 4077 TP: 4098 → 4112 → 4140 → 4166 Note: Require rejection/wick at Liquidity 4090; move SL to breakeven at +1R. Buy deep at VAH/Volume Profile Entry: 4025–4028 SL: 4020 TP: 4040 → 4065 → 4100 → 4112 Note: Prioritize when FVG 4053–4069 fills and rebounds; exercise caution with volume. Sell scalp at channel resistance (counter-trend) Entry: 4135–4140 SL: 4148 TP: 4122 → 4105 → 4090 Note: Only a scalp trade; abandon if H1/H2 closes strongly above 4140. H1/H2 closes below 4077 → risk of testing 4053–4069; breaking further 4020 might drag to POC ~3990. Each trade risks 0.5–1%, do not average against the trend; adhere to Dow (enter only when support/resistance is confirmed broken on entry timeframe). Which level are you watching for gold today? Comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel for the fastest updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Gold Holds Firm Above $4,140, Aiming for a $4,200 Breakout🔍 Market Context Gold continues its strong upward momentum, trading around a 3-week high at $4,146 as buyers maintain full control of the trend. Despite a slight recovery in the USD due to cautious sentiment in the Asian market, gold's upward drive remains intact — supported by expectations that the Fed might cut interest rates in December. Weak U.S. economic data and a sharp drop in consumer sentiment have further reinforced this expectation, reducing real yields and increasing safe-haven demand for gold. 📊 Technical Analysis (H1–H4 timeframe) The market structure remains clearly bullish, with the ascending channel pattern being maintained. The price has broken through the previous resistance area at $4,086 and is currently consolidating around $4,140, indicating potential preparation for the next upward move. Important Levels: • Support: $4,086 – $4,039 → potential retest area for buyers • Short-term Resistance: $4,146 • Breakout Target: $4,203 • Extended Target: $4,382 (all-time high – ATH) As long as the price holds above $4,080, the bullish trend is favored. Only a clear close below this area might trigger a short-term correction before continuing higher. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “Momentum always follows liquidity. When the price reclaims the main structure, Smart Money stops observing – they start building the next upward wave.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – PRICE STRUCTURE UPDATE: MAINTAINING THE TRADING ...💛 XAUUSD – PRICE STRUCTURE UPDATE: MAINTAINING THE TRADING SCENARIO 🎯 🌤 Overview Hello everyone 💬 The price structure of gold is still on track as per the previous scenario — those who have bought according to the prior plan might have already profited and should continue to hold their ground. The price in the Asian session at the start of the week has risen steadily, breaking through the 4021 zone, confirming a short-term uptrend and aiming to retest the upper edge of the H4 price channel. This is a positive signal before the market might enter a deeper correction in the mid-week sessions. In terms of news, the latest statement from US President Trump indicates that the government shutdown might soon end — this is a factor that could cause significant USD volatility, thereby having a short-term impact on gold prices. 💹 Technical Analysis 📈 On the H4 frame, the price remains within the medium-term upward channel, maintaining the structure of “higher lows”. 🟣 Breaking the 4021 zone confirms that upward momentum is prevailing, and the Sell Zone Liquidity 4090–4100 continues to be the short-term target for testing. 🔹 After hitting this zone, a correction is expected towards the 3920 – 3785 zone (Buy Zone Fibonacci) – where buyers might return strongly. 💫 The current price signal is entirely in line with the previous technical scenario, with no need to change the trading plan. 🎯 Reference Trading Plan 💢 SHORT scenario (short-term) Entry: 4098–4102 ｜ SL: 4112 TP: 4078 – 4025 – 3998 – 3920 – 3875 – 3785 💖 LONG scenario (long-term strategy) Entry: 3785–3789 ｜ SL: 3777 TP: 3810 – 3865 – 3925 – 3988 🌷 Conclusion Gold prices are moving exactly as predicted in the structure 💛 Be patient, maintain discipline, and stick to the key price zones – this is the time when perseverance will yield the greatest advantage.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (Week 2, November 2025) Momentum W1 timeframe: Weekly momentum is approaching the oversold zone, suggesting a high probability of a bullish reversal within the next 1–2 weeks. Once confirmed, this could mark the beginning of a new medium- to long-term uptrend. D1 timeframe: Daily momentum is moving toward the overbought area. During the first 1–2 trading days of the week (starting Monday), there is a strong likelihood of a downward reversal. If that occurs, the price may enter a short corrective phase to bring D1 momentum back to the oversold zone. When both D1 and W1 momentums turn upward together from oversold levels, it would signal the potential start of a new bullish trend. H4 timeframe: H4 momentum is currently declining, suggesting a possible short-term drop during the Asian session. However, since price is being compressed within the major liquidity zone (POC) highlighted on the chart, the next direction remains unclear. It’s best to wait for a clear breakout beyond this liquidity area before confirming the next move. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure W1 timeframe: The larger structure remains within wave (4) in yellow. With weekly momentum nearing oversold territory, wave (4) is likely to complete within the next 1–2 weeks, paving the way for the development of wave (5). D1 timeframe: The market is currently deep within the corrective phase of wave (4) in yellow, forming a W–X–Y pattern in purple. • Wave W (purple) has been completed. • Price is now likely forming wave X. Once wave X finishes, a downward move to complete wave Y is expected. Wave W has already reached the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of wave (3), meaning the minimum price objective for wave (4) has been met. When price achieves its target quickly, Elliott theory suggests the structure often extends sideways to complete in terms of time rather than depth. A notable possibility: • Wave W is complete. • Wave X may have finished as a three-wave a-b-c correction (black). • Wave Y may now be evolving as a contracting triangle (a-b-c-d-e). This scenario will be reinforced if D1 momentum moves into the oversold zone simultaneously with a bullish reversal on W1, while price holds above 3897. H4 timeframe: Since D1 momentum is likely to turn downward soon, the primary short-term bias remains toward the W–X–Y structure shown on the chart. Price is currently oscillating around the POC (Point of Control – green line), the highest liquidity area. Price is approaching this POC from below while both D1 and H4 momentums are near reversal points — signaling potential for another short-term decline to complete wave y. The 4038 and 4145 zones act as strong resistances and could serve as potential completion points for wave X (purple). At present, wave X is consolidating within a triangle pattern. Since triangles typically form through contracting, overlapping waves, it’s essential to wait for a clear breakout candle above or below the triangle to determine the next trend direction. ________________________________________ 🔹 Trading Plan In the short term, avoid opening new positions while the price remains within the compression zone. It’s recommended to observe Monday’s market open for a confirmed breakout direction — once clarity appears, a more precise and safer trading plan can be established.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
LiamTrading – XAUUSD | Early Week Bullish Scenario...LiamTrading – XAUUSD | Early Week Bullish Scenario: Successful Box Breakout, Watch for Retest at 4056 & Deep Buy at 3998–4000 The price has just broken out of the accumulation box and accelerated as per the weekend scenario. Bullish inclination for the day, with a near-term target of 4080 → 4110; the 4110–4112 zone is a suitable psychological resistance for scalping. Prioritise buying at the 4056 retest or deep buying at 3998–4000 when the price sweeps liquidity and then rebounds. The US Senate takes further procedural steps to end the shutdown. Expectation of systemic risk cooling → pressure on USD decreases, supporting gold in the short term. The process still has a few steps, fluctuations around news hours might be volatile → adhere to technicals, manage risks tightly. Technical Analysis (H1/H2) – Volume Profile • Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci Structure & Trendline: Box breakout upwards, trend-following capital dominates. Short-term uptrend when the price holds above 4056 (retest point of breakout zone). Support/Resistance (S/R): Support: 4056 (retest), 4025–4038 (FVG liquidity fill), 3998–4000 (Buy Zone Liquidity). Resistance: 4110–4112 (psychological + short-term supply cluster), 4160–4165 (Fibo extension). Fibonacci Extension: 1.618 coincides with 4110–4112 → likely reaction/scalp sell. 2.272 targets ~4160 → extended target/final profit exit. Today's Trading Scenario Continuation Buy (priority) Entry: 4056–4060 (retest of breakout zone) SL: 4048 TP: 4080 → 4110 → 4160 Management: Move SL to breakeven at +1R; partial close at 4080/4110. Deep Liquidity Buy (cautious volume) Entry: 3998–4000 SL: 3992 TP: 4020 → 4045 → 4080 → 4110 Note: Enter only with clear rejection candle (long lower wick, M1–M15 reversal) or after FVG fill and rebound. Scalp Sell at Psychological Resistance (counter-trend) Entry: 4110–4112 SL: 4118 TP: 4100 → 4080 → 4065 Note: Abandon trade if H1 closes strongly above 4112 or if the uptrend is too strong (breakout with volume). Invalidation & Notes Short-term bullish bias invalidated if H1 closes below 4048 → may test deeper at 4025–4038 or 3998–4000. Avoid entering trades close to news hours about the US government reopening process. Risk per trade: 0.5–1%, adhere to discipline of moving SL at +1R. If you find this useful, comment on the price levels you're watching and hit Follow on LiamTrading to receive daily updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Gold 1H – Is This Pump Temporary or the Start of a Bigger Move?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold extended its bullish leg overnight, driven by a sharp upside displacement following a clean ChoCH on the H1 structure. However, the impulsive rally is now pushing deep into premium territory, where higher-timeframe supply begins to re-enter the picture. Market sentiment remains cautious ahead of U.S. consumer confidence data and upcoming comments from several Fed officials. • A hawkish tone could strengthen the dollar intraday, making the current rally vulnerable to a pullback. • A neutral or dovish signal may allow gold to sweep higher liquidity before forming its next decisive move. Price is currently tapping into resting buy-side liquidity above 4060–4070, with the next pool sitting just beneath the 4090 supply zone, making this an ideal location for short-term reversals. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style) • Structure: H1 bias remains bullish after the major ChoCH, but price is now entering an exhaustion phase as it reaches unmitigated supply. • Premium Zone: 4090–4088 aligns with the freshest H1 supply, formed right before the displacement — a prime location for a short-term reversal. • Liquidity Sweep: The candles show aggressive wicks into higher liquidity, suggesting the market may engineer one final sweep into 4090 before rotating downward. • Discount Zone: 3974–3976 lines up with unmitigated demand and sits directly below the previous accumulation range — an ideal discount level for continuation buys if price retraces. 🔴 Sell Setup (High-Probability Reversal) • Entry: 4090 – 4088 • Stop-Loss: 4100 • Take-Profit Targets: → 4040 (first liquidity pocket) → 4005 (return to structure) → 3976 (discount zone & demand confluence) 🟢 Buy Setup (Demand Reaction Setup) • Entry: 3974 – 3976 • Stop-Loss: 3967 • Take-Profit Targets: → 4005 → 4040 → 4080 (Only valid if price performs a liquidity sweep into 3976 and prints a clean M15 ChoCH.) ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Avoid entering early inside the premium zone — wait for bearish confirmation (M5–M15 BOS). • The demand at 3974–3976 is strong but only valid once liquidity beneath the range has been fully taken. • Do not chase buys near current levels; price is overextended and has no discount alignment. • Partial profits should be secured at each liquidity point, with stops trailed using structural highs/lows. • Intraday bias remains bullish-to-neutral, but current price is at an extreme, making shorts more favorable short-term. ✅ Summary Gold is reaching into a major premium zone near 4090, where a short-term reversal becomes highly probable. The 4090–4088 supply provides a clean, high-quality SMC continuation-short setup, while the 3974–3976 demand zone remains the strongest location for reactive long positions. Stay patient — today’s movement will likely determine whether the recent pump is temporary or the beginning of a broader structural shift. FOLLOW RYAN_TITANTRADER for daily SMC setups ⚡
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
GOLD LIKELY TO RETRACE INTO DEMAND BEFORE EXTENDING HIGHER📅 November 10, 2025 | XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan 💰 🧭 Market Structure Overview Gold continues to trade within a bullish structure, confirmed by multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) and a Change of Character (CHoCH) on the 30M timeframe. The market recently printed a Weak High at 4070, indicating that liquidity remains above and buyers are still in control. After a strong impulsive leg to the upside, price is expected to retrace into the nearest demand zones before resuming the bullish leg. The unmitigated order blocks around 4001–3999 and 3969–3967 present high-probability re-entry areas. 📊 Technical Breakdown Structure: Bullish Liquidity: Equal highs at 4070 likely to be swept before deeper retracement. Zones of Interest: Demand #1 → 4001–3999 Demand #2 → 3969–3967 Fair Value Gap: Between 4005–3990 offers potential rebalancing area. 🎯 Trading Plan (LONG Bias) Entry Zone 1: 4001 – 3999 Entry Zone 2: 3969 – 3967 Take Profit (TP): 4078 Stop Loss (SL): 3994 (6$ risk) Bias: ✅ LONG 🧩 Rationale The recent bullish impulse following the CHoCH confirms a structural shift to the upside. With liquidity resting above the Weak High, we anticipate a short-term retracement to fill imbalance and tap into discount demand zones. From these zones, bullish continuation towards 4078 remains the most probable scenario — unless price breaks below 3965, which would invalidate the setup. 📌 Summary Price remains bullish with strong momentum. Wait for retracement into the identified demand zones for a high-probability long continuation setup.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Anneliese_Engel
Gold Breaks Out from Accumulation, Eyes Wave 3 Expansion🔍 Market Context Gold kicked off the new week with strong upside momentum, perfectly aligning with MMFLOW’s previous outlook — calling for a Wave 3 impulse from the accumulation base around 3,940$ – 3,970$. The market’s reaction in early Asia confirmed a bullish structural shift, as gold continues to gain traction amid stable yields and cautious sentiment around the US Dollar. Macro catalysts remain balanced, but liquidity behavior suggests smart money is loading into the breakout phase, positioning early for a potential run toward the 4,100$ handle this week. If momentum sustains, this move could mark the official mid-term reversal that MMFLOW anticipated — setting up a broader recovery phase into year-end. 📊 Technical Outlook (H4 Structure) Gold continues to follow its Elliott Wave recovery path, now developing Wave (3) within the medium-term bullish cycle. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Support: 3,942$ – 3,982$ (accumulation base & breakout retest) • 🎯 Target 1: 4,072$ – 4,133$ (Wave 3 completion zone) • ⚙️ Target 2 / Extended: 4,189$ – 4,201$ (Fibo 1.618 extension) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,940$ → loss of short-term momentum, return to neutral structure. The breakout above 4,000$ reinforces bullish sentiment, while higher highs and sustained volume through 4,072$ would confirm a new impulsive phase with room to expand further. 🎯 MMFLOW TRADING View This breakout isn’t random — it’s a smart-money-led accumulation exit after weeks of liquidity sweeps. The narrative remains consistent: “Buy the dips inside strength.” As long as gold stays above 3,970$, the probability of retesting 4,100$+ remains high, and a move toward 4,200$ before year-end cannot be ruled out. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “When the crowd hesitates, liquidity has already chosen direction.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD LONG SSWING TRADEGOLD ANALYSIS 1 HOUR TF What to Expect This Week Early in the week 1. Gold may open slightly lower or stay near $4,000. 2. There’s a good chance it’ll dip a bit first — around $3,970–$3,960 — before going up again. 3. After that small drop, we could see a bounce back toward $4,050–$4,080. 4. If price stays strong above $4,050, it can even head toward $4,150–$4,200 later in the week. 5. If it breaks below $3,950, then the next support is near $3,900–$3,880 — that’s where buyers may step in again.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Sukoonsetrade
Gold weekly Outlook 10/11/2025 - 14/11/2025Wassup Lads! So Gold, this looks very interesting, gold right now is in a very trappy orderflow, it's supported by a bullish weekly fair value gap on the downside and is facing resistance by a daily bearish fair value gap, if you drop down further to the 4h time frame, no keylevels are respected totally, indicating side ways movement. So there's three possibilities - 1. We take out buyside and go to the sellside 2. We inverse the daily bearish fair value gap, then retest and continue higher 3. We take out the lows and create a bullish daily fair value gap Honestly speaking, any of these 3 is possible. So it's a good idea tp stay away from gold for now unless you have an intra day A+ setup at play. Gold looks interesting let's wait and watch. Keep in mind to - 1. Stay disciplined 2. Manage your risk 3. Do your own research Let's win this week
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ksha3ya_99
Part 2 Understanding the Structure of a CandlestickKey Terminologies To understand options deeply, it’s essential to know the following terms: Strike Price: The fixed price at which the option holder can buy (call) or sell (put) the underlying. Premium: The price paid by the option buyer to the seller. Expiry Date: The date on which the option contract expires. In-the-Money (ITM): A call option is ITM if the underlying price is above the strike price; a put option is ITM if the price is below the strike. Out-of-the-Money (OTM): The opposite of ITM; when exercising the option would not be profitable. At-the-Money (ATM): When the underlying price is equal (or close) to the strike price. Intrinsic Value: The amount by which an option is in the money. Time Value: The portion of the option’s premium that reflects the time left until expiry and market volatility.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
Basic Concepts of Options TradingWhat Are Options? An option is a financial derivative contract that gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset—such as a stock, index, or commodity—at a predetermined price (called the strike price) on or before a specified date (the expiry date). Options are of two main types: Call Option: Gives the holder the right to buy the underlying asset at the strike price. Put Option: Gives the holder the right to sell the underlying asset at the strike price. Each option contract typically represents 100 shares of the underlying stock in many markets (such as the U.S.), but in the Indian derivatives market (NSE/BSE), the lot size varies for different stocks and indices.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
How will the golden new week be from 10-14/11?📉 H4 Analysis (Trendline, Support & Resistance) Structure: The price is currently moving within an upward channel. Trendline: Upper red trendline: Acting as dynamic resistance. Lower red trendline: Current support, from where the price has bounced several times. 🧭 Fibonacci Levels: 0.5 = 4,130 0.618 = 4,188 → This zone (4,180 – 4,200) is the key resistance zone. 💎 Key Levels: Resistance: 4,180 – 4,200 (Fibo 0.618 + Previous Swing High) Support: 3,890 – 3,920 (Previous Base + Bottom of Channel) ⚔️ Possible Scenarios: If the price stays above 4,000 → Bullish move may continue, target 4,180–4,200. If the price falls below 3,970 → Bearish breakdown, target 3,890 support zone. 📊 In Summary: 🔺 Resistance: 4,180 – 4,200 🔻 Support: 3,920 – 3,890 ⚡ Trend: Mildly bullish, but strong resistance exists at 4,200. SELL GOLD: 4195 – 4200 Stoploss: 4210 Take profit: 100-300-500pips BUY GOLD: 3885 – 3890 Stoploss: 3970 Take profit: 100-300-500pips
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AstronautPioneer
1
Gold start buying on dip if break 4060 then 4150-4180 come Gold start buying on dip for nex week 4150-4180 upside will come if break 4060 How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below : Recent High or Low : D-0% is our recent low or high Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and . Are our Target zone Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active. Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start. If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate 1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels. 30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
LiamTrading – XAUUSD D1 | Scenario for Week 2 of NovemberLiamTrading – XAUUSD D1 | Scenario for Week 2 of November Accumulation range 4047–3928, prioritise buying on breakout – watch for short at 4200 (FVG + Fib 0.382) Overview: After the correction from the historical peak, gold is forming a bottom – accumulating in the price box 4047–3928. The D1 structure still leans towards a medium-term uptrend if the price holds above 3928; the ~4200 area coincides with a broad FVG + Fib 0.382, a “liquidity pool” prone to strong reactions. Macro Summary Hedging flows against public debt/deficit risks and net buying demand from some central banks/Asian bloc support the long-term trend. Expectations of a cooling interest rate path in 2026 help ease pressure on gold, but pullbacks may still occur before major technical milestones. Technical Analysis (D1 Frame – Trendline | S/R | Volume zone | Fibonacci) Accumulation Range: 4047 (top of the box) ↔️ 3928 (bottom of the box). D1 closing above 4047 confirms an upper range expansion; breaking 3928 triggers a deeper decline to lower Fib levels. Fibonacci of the most recent up wave: The price is oscillating around 0.618 → tendency to form a base. Deeper area if the base breaks: 0.5 ~ 3850 and 0.382 ~ 3710. Key resistance: 4090–4120 (mid-box area), ~4200 (FVG + Fib 0.382) – expected large liquidity/short-term reversal zone. Important support: 3990–4010 (psychological/trading cushion), 3928 (lower range – breakout mark). Trendline: The medium-term uptrend line remains intact if corrections do not close below 3928. Trading Scenario for the New Week Scenario 1 – Buy with the trend on upper range breakout Condition: D1 closes above 4047, retest holds firm at 4038–4047. Entry: 4048–4055 SL: 4018 TP: 4090 → 4120 → 4185–4205 (FVG + Fib 0.382) Management: Take partial profit at 4090/4120, move SL to breakeven at +1R. Scenario 1b – Buy at the box bottom (fade range) Entry: 3935–3945 (when there is a rejection candle/clear buying tail at 3928–3945) SL: 3895 TP: 3995–4010 → 4040–4047 Note: If D1 closes below 3928, cancel the plan and switch bias to a bearish scenario. Scenario 2 – Short reaction at the 4200 liquidity zone Entry: 4185–4205 (FVG + Fib 0.382) when clear rejection appears on D1/H4 SL: 4225 TP: 4120 → 4047 → 4010 (extended target: 3850 if there is a breakdown signal) Note: Counter-trend order; reduce volume, exit quickly if D1 closes above 4205. Risk & Invalidation The medium-term bullish bias remains valid as long as D1 does not close below 3928. D1 closing below 3928 opens the path to 3850 (Fib 0.5), even 3710 (Fib 0.382). Strong news (CPI, employment, central bank speeches) can disrupt signals; wait for candle closure according to the chosen frame. Summary Gold is “spring-loaded” within 4047–3928. Priority plan: Buy on breakout–hold 4047 to aim for 4090–4120 and test ~4200; simultaneously watch for short reaction at 4200. If 3928 breaks, switch scenario to decline towards 3850 → 3710.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – H4 PERSPECTIVE: WAIT FOR LIQUIDITY TEST BEFORE DEEP...💛 XAUUSD – H4 PERSPECTIVE: WAIT FOR LIQUIDITY TEST BEFORE DEEP DECLINE 🎯 🌤 1. Overview Hello everyone 💬 Gold just ended the week with a candle closing at the 4001 region, after a slight rise and then holding steady in the upward channel on the H4 frame. The current sideways movement is making it difficult for many traders to find short-term entry points. However, the 4090 area still has an unfilled liquidity gap (FVG), which coincides with the upper edge of the price channel. This could be the next short-term destination before the market adjusts for a deeper decline. From my perspective, gold might rise another leg to sweep the liquidity in the upper region, then adjust back to the 3785 area – an important Fibonacci Retracement zone, where a strong reaction from buyers is highly likely. 💹 2. Technical Analysis 📈 The price structure is still maintaining an upward trend within the H4 price channel, with each subsequent low being higher than the previous one. 🟣 The 4090–4102 area is a liquidity region yet to be swept, located at the channel's peak – a high probability of a downward reaction. 🔹 The potential Buy zone around 3785–3789 coincides with Fibonacci 0.618 and a strong historical support area. 💫 Main scenario: Price might test the upper liquidity region, then adjust down to the Buy Zone before forming a larger upward momentum. 🎯 3. Reference Trading Plan 💢 SELL scenario (short-term) Entry: 4098–4102 ｜ SL: 4112 TP: 4078 – 4025 – 3998 – 3920 – 3875 – 3785 💖 BUY scenario (long-term strategy) Entry: 3785–3789 ｜ SL: 3777 TP: 3810 – 3865 – 3925 – 3988 ⚠️ 4. Important Notes Prioritize short-term Sell if there is a strong reaction at the 4090–4100 region. Long-term Buy only if the price adjusts deeply to the 3785–3790 region. Limit emotional trading – this is a liquidity accumulation phase before major volatility. 🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2 Gold is following the accumulation path before forming a major wave 💛 Be patient and observe reactions at the two critical regions 4090 and 3785, as these could be the pivot points for the coming week.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAU/USD – Holds Its Range, Preparing for a Year-End Expansion🔍 Market Context Friday’s New York session closed with a two-sided liquidity sweep, yet gold managed to hold its structural balance, maintaining the same rhythm seen over the past two weeks — sideways to mildly bearish, but firmly supported. This behavior shows that buyers are still defending key zones, especially around 3,940$ – 3,980$, which MMFLOW highlighted multiple times last week as the decisive liquidity floor. From a macro lens, the Fed’s cautious tone has slowed expectations for aggressive rate cuts — but the probability of another reduction before Q1 2026 remains alive. As we move toward the final stretch of the year, thinner liquidity and seasonal safe-haven flows could help gold establish a mid-term bottom, setting the stage for the next impulsive leg. 📊 Technical Structure (H4) The current chart presents a clear 5-wave recovery structure within a tightening range — a classic setup before expansion. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Support Zone: 3,942$ – 3,982$ (liquidity base + strong absorption area) • 🎯 Wave 3 Target: 4,072$ – 4,133$ (first reaction zone) • ⚙️ Extended Target / Wave 5: 4,189$ – 4,201$ (Fibo 1.618 projection) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,940$ → loss of short-term structure, possible re-accumulation lower. The structure remains sideways but constructive, and a confirmed breakout of the descending trendline could act as the catalyst for a year-end bullish continuation. 🎯 MMFLOW TRADING View Smart money continues to accumulate within equilibrium zones, with every liquidity sweep appearing more like preparation than rejection. As long as gold stays above 3,970$, the bullish bias remains valid — with a 60%+ probability of a move toward 4,130$+ in the short to mid-term. Historically, November–December often brings portfolio rebalancing and policy easing cycles, both of which may serve as fuel for a potential gold rally into Q1 2026. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “Accumulation isn’t waiting — it’s when big money quietly builds the next wave.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading