Technical analysis projection for XAU/USD 25.08.25Chart Overview
Type: Daily candlestick chart of XAU/USD.
Current Price: Around 3,369 USD/oz.
Bias: Bullish (Buy projection).
📊 Key Technical Highlights
Trendline & Pattern
A major ascending triangle pattern is visible.
Price is respecting a major upward trendline (Day Uptrend Line).
Recently, a Double Bullish Engulfing candle formed near the trendline support – a strong bullish reversal signal.
Support & Resistance Levels
Support S1: Around 3,360 – 3,370 (close to current price).
Support S2: Around 3,330 – 3,340 (stronger downside support).
Resistance R1: Around 3,410 – 3,420.
Resistance R2: Around 3,450 – 3,460.
A Flat Resistance Zone exists between 3,400 – 3,420.
Bullish Signals
Bullish Momentum Formed: Price has bounced from support, forming upward momentum.
Major Trendline Obeyed: Price tested the uptrend line and respected it, confirming bullish structure.
Double Bullish Engulfing Pattern: Reinforces buying strength.
🟢 Projection Path (Bullish Scenario)
From the current price (3,369):
Expect a move toward Support S1 confirmation.
Break above Flat Resistance Zone (3,400 – 3,420).
Target Resistance R2 at 3,450 – 3,460.
🔴 Risk (Bearish Scenario)
If price fails to hold Support S1, it may retest Support S2 (~3,340).
A break below 3,330 would invalidate this bullish outlook and may push gold further down.
✅ Summary:
This chart shows a bullish projection for gold with price expected to rise from the current level 3,369 → 3,450, supported by an ascending triangle pattern, bullish engulfing signals, and strong trendline support.
GOLDMINICFD trade ideas
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 25, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 25, 2025:
The market revolved around the FED and Trump, gold rose at the end of last week and was limited by the 0.236% Fib level.
Fundamental news: Mr. Powell's unexpectedly dovish remarks reinforced the market's hopes for a rate cut in September. As a result, the US Dollar Index fell sharply on Friday, reversing the upward trend of the first 4 trading days of the week. Moreover, the strong increase on Friday also pushed the gold price to skyrocket nearly 36 USD during the week.
Technical analysis: After a strong increase when it had compressed enough force in the bullish pattern and broke the downtrend channel on the H1 frame, the gold price at the beginning of this week's trading session is having a correction phase. The uptrend of gold is still maintained. The liquidity zones combined with FIB support and MA lines will now be our trading area. The gold price is very likely to return to the old ATH zone of 3500 this week.
Important price zones today: 3345 - 3350 and 3330 - 3335.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3345 - 3347
SL 3342
TP 3350 - 3360 - 3370 - 3390.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3330 - 3332
SL 3327
TP 3335 - 3345 - 3355 - 3390.
Wish you a safe, successful and profitable trading week.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
Gold preparing for correction under FED & geopolitic - Vincent🟡 Gold Plan 25/08 – Captain Vincent ⚓
1. Market Context 🌍
Russia – Ukraine: Trump puts pressure on Putin to negotiate within 2 weeks. This looks positive for peace, but also carries escalation risks → Gold keeps its safe-haven role .
FED – Powell at Jackson Hole: Hawkish tone reduced expectations of a September rate cut from 3 to 2. USD strengthened → short-term downside pressure on Gold .
👉 Mix of political support vs FED pressure → Sideways market, Gold may need a pullback to absorb liquidity before showing clear direction.
2. Technical Outlook ⚙️
H4 candle closed bearish → Buying momentum weakens , sellers may return.
Recent FVG created after sharp bounce → Likely pullback for liquidity grab .
Bias of the day: Prioritise Sell, but short Buy Scalp setups possible at support.
3. Key Levels – Captain Vincent’s Map 🪙
Resistance:
Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3398 – 3400)
3376 (intermediate resistance – watch reaction)
Support:
Quick Boarding 🚤 (Buy Scalp 3340 – 3342)
SL: 3333
TP: 3345 → 3349 → 3353 → 3357 → 33xx
Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3328 – 3326)
SL: 3318
TP: 3332 → 3336 → 3339 → 33xx
Higher Low – 3323
Anchor point of the trend → If broken, need to reassess all Buy setups.
4. Trade Scenarios 📌
🔻 Sell at Storm Breaker 🌊
Entry: 3398 – 3400
SL: 3408
TP: 3395 → 3390 → 3387 → 3384 → 33xx
🚤 Buy Scalp at Quick Boarding
Entry: 3340 – 3342
SL: 3333
TP: 3345 → 3349 → 3353 → 3357 → 33xx
🏝️ Buy at Golden Harbor (3328 – 3326)
SL: 3318
TP: 3332 → 3336 → 3339 → 33xx
5. Captain’s Note ⚓
"Today, the golden sea is full of undercurrents: FED winds blow against, politics push along. Those who pick Storm Breaker 🌊 may ride the wave safely; those who patiently wait at Golden Harbor 🏝️ will find peace. Quick Boarding 🚤 is for sailors seeking fast scalps in narrow waters."
A good scenario being devolved in Gold.A good scenario being devolved in Gold.
1. Displacement is done.
2. Overlapping FVGs in different time frames 1h, 30m and 15m are formed.
3. These FVGs are formed at OTE level.
4. OB is also kind of overlapping these FVGS.
There may be a good scenario of buying if MSS happens in lower time frame with this POI.
Gold (XAUUSD) Sell IdeaKey Points
Price rejected from the descending trendline resistance.
Market is moving inside a bearish channel, signaling continuation to the downside.
This setup gives a Risk/Reward ~1:4.4.
📌 Trade Plan
Entry Zone: 3367 – 3372
Stop Loss: 3379 (above resistance & swing high)
Target: 3344 (channel support)
Risk Management: Use strict SL. Trail stops as price moves in favor.
⚠️ Why Stop Loss & Trailing SL Matter
Stop Loss = protection from unexpected spikes.
Trailing Stop = locks profits while leaving room for bigger moves.
Together, they transform trading into a probability game instead of emotional guessing.
Gold Trading Strategy for 28th August 2025🌟 Gold Intraday Trading Levels 🌟
📈 Buy Setup
🔹 Buy above the High → $3387 (only if 1-hour candle closes above this level)
🎯 Targets:
1st Target → $3400
2nd Target → $3413
3rd Target → $3425
📉 Sell Setup
🔹 Sell below the Low → $3350 (only if 1-hour candle closes below this level)
🎯 Targets:
1st Target → $3338
2nd Target → $3325
3rd Target → $3313
⚠️ Disclaimer ⚠️
This analysis is for educational purposes only. 📚
Trading in Gold, Forex, or Stocks involves high risk of capital loss. 💰❌
Past results are not indicative of future performance. 📊
Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 👨💼
XAU/USDThis XAU/USD setup is a sell trade, reflecting a short-term bearish outlook on gold prices. The entry price is 3367, the stop-loss is 3372, and the exit price is 3356. This trade aims for an 11-point profit while risking 5 points, providing a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of better than 2:1.
Selling at 3367 suggests the trader expects downward momentum, possibly triggered by strength in the U.S. dollar, firmer Treasury yields, or reduced safe-haven demand. The level may also align with a resistance zone, where selling pressure is likely to build, signaling an opportunity to enter a short position.
The target at 3356 is strategically set near a support zone to secure profits before potential buyers step back in. On the other hand, the stop-loss at 3372 ensures losses remain limited if gold unexpectedly pushes higher.
This setup favors intraday traders seeking disciplined execution with controlled risk and strong reward potential.
Gold Surges After Fed Remarks: Next Target at $3,370Hello everyone, following Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole symposium yesterday, the gold market experienced a sharp rally. Powell hinted at potential rate cuts, weakening the USD and opening a strong opportunity for gold. Currently, gold is trading around $3,345, and if it breaks through the Fair Value Gap between $3,340 – $3,350, the bullish trend will be confirmed, with the next target at $3,370.
Rising trading volumes in recent candles indicate buyers are in control. Meanwhile, Ichimoku cloud signals still confirm an upward momentum as gold prices remain above the cloud, reflecting sustained bullish strength.
With both Fed policy signals and strong technical indicators, gold is likely to extend its rally in the near term. If the price holds above $3,350, reaching $3,370 is just a matter of time.
What’s your view on the current gold trend? Share your thoughts below.
Gold Trading Strategy for next Monday✅ 4-Hour Analysis
Gold has converted the previous key resistance zone of 3348–3350 into the primary support level, serving as the first line of defense for the bulls. Even if there is a brief intraday breakdown, it can be regarded as a technical adjustment. On the upside, close attention should be paid to the 3400 psychological level, which is the critical resistance that will determine whether the bullish trend can extend further.
✅ 1-Hour Analysis
The moving average system has formed a golden cross signal, indicating stronger short-term bullish momentum. Combined with Powell’s dovish remarks and rising expectations for a Fed rate cut, gold has risen as expected and successfully stabilized, further reinforcing the 3350 support level. Therefore, a short-term pullback toward this area could still provide buying opportunities.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3390–3400
🟢 Support Levels: 3350–3355
GOLD(XAU/USD) BULLISH - 1 HR Bullish OutlookGold (XAU/USD) – 1H Bullish Outlook
Gold continues to maintain a bullish structure on the 1-hour timeframe after sweeping liquidity from recent lows.
Currently, price is showing strength, but the best risk-reward entry would be on a retest of:
- 🟢 Breaker Block (3340/3345) / FIB 0.5 Level around 3327
### Key Points:
- ✅ Market already bounced strongly from the 4H Order Block, confirming higher-timeframe demand.
- ✅ Waiting for a lower timeframe (5-min) confirmation is important to avoid false entries.
- 🎯 If 3345 area holds (Breaker Block), we could see continuation toward higher liquidity levels.
### Trading Plan:
- 📍 Buy Zone: 3327 (Breaker Block + FIB 0.5)
- ⏳ Confirmation: 5-min structure shift
- 🎯 Target: Higher liquidity zones above recent highs
Part 1 Ride The Big Moves Call and Put Options in Action
Call Option Example
Reliance is trading at ₹2500.
You buy a 1-month call option with strike price ₹2550, premium ₹50, lot size 505.
If Reliance rises to ₹2700 → Profit = (2700 - 2550 - 50) × 505 = ₹50,500.
If Reliance falls below 2550 → You lose only the premium (₹25,250).
Put Option Example
Nifty is at 20,000.
You buy a 1-month put option, strike 19,800, premium 100, lot size 50.
If Nifty falls to 19,200 → Profit = (19,800 - 19,200 - 100) × 50 = ₹25,000.
If Nifty rises above 19,800 → You lose premium (₹5,000).
Participants in Options Trading
Option Buyer – Pays premium, has limited risk and unlimited profit potential.
Option Seller (Writer) – Receives premium, has limited profit and potentially unlimited risk.
Example:
Buyer of call: Unlimited upside, limited loss (premium).
Seller of call: Limited profit (premium), unlimited loss if stock rises.
Gold Daily Chart – Final Week of AugustGold Daily Chart – Final Week of August
Hello traders, let’s discuss the gold outlook for the coming week.
Gold has continued its strong bounce after touching the ascending trendline on the D1 chart, in line with the outlook shared earlier. This move also makes the triangle pattern more valid. For the week ahead, price is likely to trade within the 3330–3410 range, about 80 dollars of movement.
While the long-term expectation is for gold to push towards new ATH levels, a confirmed breakout from this triangle is required first. After such a breakout, a short pullback is possible before the next leg higher (as shown on my chart).
On the H4 chart, Friday’s rally allows us to draw a Fibonacci Extension, pointing towards 3390 and 3430 as higher levels to watch. These zones could act as short-term selling opportunities, based on profit-taking sentiment from buyers.
On the daily timeframe, if the breakout from the triangle plays out, gold could extend as high as 3540, creating a new ATH – this is the long-term scenario. On the downside, if price pulls back, the ascending trendline around 3341 remains a key area to look for new buying opportunities.
Also note, this is the last week of August. On Friday, there could be a liquidity grab to rebalance gold’s value and settle large institutional flows, so caution is advised.
This is my personal outlook for XAUUSD for the week ahead. I hope it helps in building your own trading plan.
Share your thoughts in the comments so we can learn from each other.
XAUUSD – At Critical Trendline | Breakout vs. RejectionDescription:
Gold has reached a major descending channel resistance where the next move could define short-term direction.
🔹 Market Context:
Price has been respecting the broader descending channel.
Recent sharp rally has brought price into the upper boundary of this structure.
Volume has picked up, showing strong participation at this zone.
🔹 Key Levels to Watch:
Upper Trendline Resistance: Potential breakout zone (monitor for candle closes above with volume).
Immediate Support Zone: Near current consolidation area – holding this level keeps bullish pressure alive.
Mid-Channel Level: Acts as a pivot; rejection could bring price back here as the first downside target.
Lower Channel Support: Remains the major bearish target if rejection extends further.
🔹 Scenarios:
Bullish: A clean breakout above the descending trendline with follow-through momentum could trigger upside continuation.
Bearish: Failure to break higher and rejection from this zone could re-align price back into the channel, targeting mid- and lower boundaries.
👉 This is a high-probability decision point. Confirmation will be key before aligning with either direction.
The Importance of Stop-Loss and Trailing Stop-Loss📊
🔹 1. Why Stop-Loss Matters
Capital Protection: Prevents small losses from turning into account-destroying drawdowns.
Removes Emotions: Cuts the trade automatically, avoiding fear/hope-driven decisions.
Consistency: Keeps your risk per trade fixed, aligning with your strategy.
Survivability: The #1 rule in trading is not to lose big; stop-loss ensures you stay in the game.
🔹 2. The Role of Trailing Stop-Loss
Locks in Profits: Moves along with price to secure gains while keeping the trade open.
Follows Trend: Keeps you in winning trades longer, capturing extended moves.
Dynamic Protection: Adjusts with market momentum instead of staying static.
Psychological Edge: Reduces the stress of “when to exit,” as the market decides for you.
🔹 3. Key Takeaways
A stop-loss is defense, protecting your account from disaster.
A trailing stop is offense, maximizing profit while still defending capital.
Together, they form a balanced risk management system:
Stop-loss = Control the downside.
Trailing stop = Let the upside run.
XAU/USD – Bullish Breakout: Buy Dips Toward $3,409 Target📊 XAU/USD (Gold) – 2H Analysis
Gold has just broken out of its descending channel, showing a clear change of character (CHOH) around the $3,348–$3,358 support zone. This breakout suggests bullish momentum is taking control after weeks of compression.
Key Observations:
✅ Support Zone: $3,348–$3,358 is now a strong demand zone (previous rejection area flipped to support).
✅ Moving Averages: Price is above both the EMA 70 ($3,342) and EMA 200 ($3,346), strengthening the bullish bias.
✅ Projection: A potential continuation rally toward $3,409 (major liquidity target).
⚠️ Risk: If the support zone fails, price could re-test $3,334 or even $3,326.
Trading Plan (Short-Term):
Entry (Buy): Around $3,358–$3,348 (support retest).
Stop Loss: Below $3,342 (under EMAs).
Target 1: $3,390
Target 2: $3,409
👉 In summary: Gold is in a bullish reversal phase, and buying dips into the support zone offers the best risk-reward setup.
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – 4H Chart AnalysisCurrently, Gold is trading at $3,371 after a strong bullish push. Price action is forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, with resistance from the descending trendline (red) and support from the ascending trendline (green).
Key levels to watch:
🔴 Resistance: $3,377 – $3,380 (confluence with trendline & horizontal resistance)
🟢 Support: $3,310 (strong horizontal support zone)
The RSI (14) is currently at 68.45, approaching the overbought region, which could suggest a short-term pullback unless strong momentum continues.
📌 Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $3,380 could open the door for continuation toward $3,420 – $3,440.
📌 Bearish Scenario: Failure to break resistance may lead to a retest of the $3,310 support, and a breakdown below could push price toward $3,260.
⚖️ Overall, Gold is consolidating within a tightening range – a breakout is likely soon. Traders should watch for confirmation before entering positions.
Gold Technical Analysis: Navigating Key Support ?The Gold chart shows a 30-minute timeframe analysis, highlighting recent price consolidation and potential future trends. The analysis suggests a potential V-shape recovery for gold.
Key Levels: The price is currently at a critical juncture, having tested a support zone around 3,326 - 3,333 USD. This zone has proven to be a strong base. Above it, a significant resistance zone is identified between 3,349 - 3,353 USD. Further up, another major resistance is at approximately 3,389 USD.
Price Action: The price has recently experienced a sharp decline and is now in a consolidation phase. The chart projects a potential bounce from the current levels, indicated by the black curved arrow, with the target being the upper resistance zone around 3,389 USD. The green shaded box illustrates the potential upward movement from the current position.
Conclusion: Gold appears to be at a key support level and could be poised for a rally if it successfully breaks above the immediate resistance zone.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 4-Hour Chart Analysis
The Bitcoin chart shows a 4-hour timeframe analysis, focusing on a short-term uptrend channel.
Key Levels: The price is trading within an ascending channel. A significant support zone is identified between 112,000 - 114,000 USDT. A "weak supply zone" is marked around 118,000 USDT, which is currently acting as support. A major resistance is at approximately 124,564 USDT.
Price Action: After a strong push towards the channel's upper boundary, the price has pulled back and is now retesting the "weak supply zone." The blue and red arrows project two possible scenarios: a bounce back up towards the channel's high, or a deeper retracement towards the channel's lower trendline. The price movement appears to be following the blue projected path.
Indicators: The Ichimoku cloud and RSI strategy are used to confirm the trend and identify entry/exit points. The price is above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish trend.
Conclusion: Bitcoin is at a pivotal point within its uptrend channel. Its ability to hold the 118,000 USDT level will be crucial for a potential re-test of the 124,564 USDT resistance.
Gold: Strong Upside Potential Above $3,350Hello traders,
Looking at the current market setup, gold is hovering near the key resistance zone between $3,340 and $3,350. This area acts as a decisive barrier, and a clear breakout could trigger strong bullish momentum.
Recent price candles with higher trading volumes signal that buyers are becoming more aggressive, suggesting that gold may soon overcome $3,350 and move towards $3,370 or beyond.
On the macro side, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut continue to weigh on the US dollar, providing additional support for gold as a safe-haven asset. If the Fed’s meeting minutes or Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole confirm a dovish stance, it could further fuel the rally.
What’s your view on this move? Do you believe gold can break above $3,350 and extend its rally?
Share your opinion—I’d love to hear your thoughts!
XAUUSD: Downtrend Under Pressure from Strong USDCurrently, XAUUSD is trading around 3,328.400, with resistance at 3,369.000 and support at 3,313.000. The price is forming a downtrend within a price channel, and if it breaks the support at 3,313.000, it could push the price lower towards the 3,300.000 target. The EMA indicators show that the downward momentum continues, and if the price fails to break through the resistance at 3,369.000, the downtrend will remain in place.
Market Context:
Recent news has caused XAUUSD to drop, mainly due to the recovery of the USD after positive economic signals. Higher-than-expected unemployment claims data strengthened the USD, putting downward pressure on XAUUSD.
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | August 22✅ After a period of consolidation, gold posted a strong bullish candlestick today, sparking short-term bullish sentiment. Our buy positions placed in the 3323–3326 range also successfully gained nearly 300 pips. Overall, gold remains in a wide high-level consolidation range (around 3310–3400).
🔹 Moving Averages: MA5 and MA10 have formed a golden cross, but the price is still capped by MA20 and MA60, meaning the medium-term trend has not fully reversed yet.
🔹 Indicators: MACD shows a bullish crossover at the lows, but histogram momentum has not expanded; RSI is near the mid-range, reflecting strong competition between bulls and bears.
✅ On the 4-hour chart, gold rebounded sharply after bottoming at the 3311 level, reaching as high as 3378, but faced rejection at upper resistance. It is now consolidating between 3340–3375. The Bollinger Bands are slightly opening, and price is trading around the mid-band. If gold can hold above 3350–3360, it may continue toward 3375–3400. However, a drop below 3340 could trigger further downside risk.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3380–3384
🟢 Support Levels: 3355–3360
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 If price pulls back and holds at 3355–3360, consider light long positions, targeting 3375–3380.
🔰 If price rebounds to 3380–3385 and faces rejection, consider light short positions, targeting 3370–3360.
🔰 If price breaks above and holds 3375–3380, further upside toward 3400 is possible.
Gold – Medium-Term Buy StrategyGold – Medium-Term Buy Strategy
Hello traders,
Gold continues to move within wave B under Elliott Wave structure. I expect price to retest the trendline once more, with the strong support around 3325 — which already triggered a sharp bounce yesterday — likely to play a key role before wave C begins.
According to Elliott theory, wave C is often the strongest, and in this case, it could extend towards the 339x region. This offers a swing buy opportunity with a reasonable target of 30–40 dollars.
The MACD also supports this outlook, with volume holding above the average line and the MACD (green) remaining on top.
Key Resistance: 3348–3352, must be broken to open the way towards 339x.
Key Support: 3313, if broken, the scenario shifts and longer-term selling pressure could return.
Buy Zone: Around 3327, with profit potential of 40–60 dollars.
This is my personal outlook for gold this week. I hope it helps you align your trading plan.
What do you think about gold’s direction here? Share your views in the comments below.
Sell Gold with SL of 3390Gold Technical Outlook – Post Jackson Hole
Despite expectations that the Jackson Hole Symposium and renewed talk of rate cuts might lift bullion, gold has failed to decisively cross its key resistance at $3,388. This inability to break higher indicates that near-term bullish momentum is weakening.
🔎 Market & Technical Context
Resistance: Multiple technical analyses (DailyForex, OANDA, FXOpen) confirm that $3,388–$3,390 remains the critical ceiling for gold. A sustained break above could open the path toward $3,500, but until then, sellers dominate.
Support Zones: Initial support is seen around $3,330–$3,328, aligning with the 100-day SMA. Deeper downside levels lie at $3,280–$3,270, which also coincides with strong trader interest.
Bearish Trigger: InvestingLive highlights that a failure at $3,388 often activates a short trade setup, reinforcing the bearish risk below this zone.
📉 Outlook & Scenarios
If resistance at $3,388 holds, gold is likely to correct lower toward $3,330 and potentially retest $3,280–$3,265.
A close above $3,390 would negate this bearish view and could revive upside momentum toward $3,450–$3,500.
📝 Summary
Gold’s inability to rally past its critical resistance—despite supportive macro headlines—suggests the market may already be pricing in rate cut optimism. Unless $3,388 is broken decisively, the bias leans toward a correction.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $3,388–$3,390
Support: $3,330, then $3,280–$3,265