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GOLDMINICFD trade ideas

Gold prices are expected to remain volatile: $3,635-3,660.Gold prices are expected to remain volatile: $3,635-3,660. International gold prices are fluctuating at high levels, with market expectations of a Fed rate cut and geopolitical risks acting as key support. From a technical perspective, the overbought region supports the view that gold prices will continue to fluctuate within a range. As shown in Figure 2h: Key short-term support levels: $3,620-3,635-3,600; resistance level: $3,660. Market focus is highly focused on this week's Federal Reserve FOMC meeting, with the market pricing in a 25 basis point rate cut probability exceeding 93%. This is likely to trigger the next directional breakout in gold. Gold faces short-term technical correction pressure and needs to consolidate before building momentum for the next round of gains. Key Support and Resistance Levels: Upward Resistance: Near-term major resistance lies in the $3,657-3,658 range. A successful breakout could re-challenge the all-time high of $3,675 and open the door for a test of the $3,700 mark. Downside Support: Immediate support lies in the $3,627-3,620 range. If broken, further declines to $3,600-3,580 (static level, 20-day simple moving average) are possible. Stronger support lies at the psychological level of $3,500. Current Trend Analysis: Since reaching a new all-time high, gold prices have not shown any clear reversal signals (such as a high-level shooting star or a large black candlestick), indicating that bullish market sentiment remains dominant. Currently, the price is consolidating at a high level, which can be considered a healthy correction within the trend. Trading Strategy: Short-term traders: Try to buy low and sell high in the $3,620-3,660 range, but be sure to maintain a small position and set a strict stop-loss. Focus on a directional breakout opportunity after the Fed's decision. Medium- to long-term investors: The bullish trend in gold remains unchanged. Any pullback caused by the market "selling the facts" or by less-than-expected dovish Fed comments could be an opportunity to establish a phased long position in the $3,600-3,500 support area. Key Points to Watch Next: Federal Reserve FOMC Meeting (this week): More importantly, it's not just the interest rate decision, but also the future rate trajectory and Powell's outlook for the economy and inflation. Other Central Bank Moves: The Bank of England, Bank of Japan, and others will also announce interest rate decisions, which will influence global liquidity expectations and the dollar's trajectory. Geopolitical Situation: Any escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict or the situation in the Middle East could trigger a new round of safe-haven buying. US Economic Data: Any data on employment, inflation, and economic growth will influence market expectations of Fed policy.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Freja_rb
Gold 1H – Fed Week: Liquidity Sweeps Before FOMCGold on the 1H timeframe is range-bound around 3,643 after a series of ChoCH/BOS prints. Liquidity is stacked above the intraday buy zone at 3,658–3,656 and higher at 3,676–3,678, while discount liquidity sits near 3,615–3,613. With markets pricing a possible Fed cut this week and the dot-plot in focus, expect engineered spikes into premium followed by mean reversion before any sustained move. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,676 – 3,678 (SL 3,683): Premium resistance for an engineered sweep/rejection targeting 3,665 → 3,655 → 3,645. • 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,658 – 3,656 (SL 3,651): Intraday demand within prior consolidation targeting 3,665 → 3,670 → 3,675+. • 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,615 – 3,613 (SL 3,610): Discount demand at the base of structure targeting 3,630 → 3,645 → 3,655+. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔺 Buy Setup – Intraday Reclaim (3,658–3,656) • Entry: 3,658 – 3,656 • Stop Loss: 3,651 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,665  TP2: 3,670  TP3: 3,675+ 👉 Look for a sweep into the zone and an H1 close back above 3,656 to confirm order-flow continuation. 🔺 Buy Setup – Deep Discount Sweep (3,615–3,613) • Entry: 3,615 – 3,613 • Stop Loss: 3,610 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,630  TP2: 3,645  TP3: 3,655+ 👉 High R:R if liquidity runs into protected demand before the New York session. 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Sweep to Resistance (3,676–3,678) • Entry: 3,676 – 3,678 • Stop Loss: 3,683 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,665  TP2: 3,655  TP3: 3,645 👉 Expect a stop-run above recent highs into premium; invalidate on a firm H1 close above 3,683. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note Into Fed week, smart money often runs both sides of the book. Bias today favours: discount buys at 3,658–3,656 and 3,615–3,613, and a premium fade at 3,676–3,678. Use reduced size, wait for structure confirmation, and avoid holding through any unexpected Fed headlines or USD spikes.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by tradergyan01
2
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | September 15✅ Fundamental Analysis 🔹 Fed Rate Cut Expectations The Federal Reserve is almost certain to cut rates by 25 basis points in September, which is the market consensus. The recent rally in gold has been primarily driven by “rate cut expectations” rather than purely safe-haven demand. As the rate decision approaches, market volatility is expected to increase. 🔹 Geopolitical Risk Support Ongoing global geopolitical risks continue to provide additional safe-haven support, keeping gold prices within a strong range. 🔹 “Buy the Rumor, Sell the Fact” Logic Before the rate decision: Market sentiment dominates, with gold maintaining a high-level bullish consolidation. After the rate decision: If the rate cut is delivered and Powell does not sound excessively dovish, a short-term pullback could occur on “sell the fact” behavior. ✅ Technical Analysis 🔸 From a structural perspective, gold broke out of a four-month consolidation range and formed a strong unilateral uptrend, reaching as high as $3674. Based on the principle of “the longer the base, the higher the move,” the trend remains strong, with no clear topping signal yet. However, the rapid rise has caused short-term overextension, suggesting a need for technical correction. 🔸 On the 4-hour chart, the current candles are trading near the Bollinger Band midline (around $3640), showing balanced forces between bulls and bears. The narrowing Bollinger Bands indicate a consolidation phase. A strong breakout above the upper band ($3660) could lead to a retest of $3675–3680. The MA5, MA10, and MA20 are converging, showing that the market is waiting for a directional breakout. As long as prices hold above MA20 ($3640–3620), the bullish structure remains intact. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 3657–3660 / 3675–3680 🟢 Support Levels: 3625–3630 / 3605–3610 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference: 🔰 Short-Term Idea: Focus on buying on dips near the 3625–3630 support zone. Light short positions may be considered if the price stalls near 3657–3660. 🔰 Medium-Term Idea: If gold breaks and holds above 3675–3680, the rally could extend toward 3700 or even new highs. If it falls below 3620–3610, a deeper correction may unfold, targeting 3595–3580. 🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions , feel free to contact me🤝
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MarketSage_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 15/09/2025 1. Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum is about to enter the oversold zone. At the beginning of next week (Monday), D1 may officially enter the oversold area and start reversing upward. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is also approaching the oversold zone and preparing to reverse. This opens the expectation of a bullish move within the next 1–2 sessions. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is currently declining, so there may be one more short-term drop to push H1 into oversold conditions before a potential reversal. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: Price is still within wave iv (black). In terms of time, wave ii (black) took 7 daily candles to complete. According to the principle of alternation, waves 2 and 4 often differ in nature. With D1 momentum about to reach oversold, there is a high probability that wave iv (black) is near completion. • H4 timeframe: Price is moving sideways, which is consistent with the characteristics of wave iv. If in the next session H4 momentum reverses upward and reaches overbought while price still fails to break above 3657, then the corrective structure may evolve into a triangle or a double three (WXY). • H1 timeframe: An ABC corrective structure seems completed, but instead of rallying, price continues to consolidate within the liquidity block at 3657 – 3631. This suggests a more complex structure is unfolding, either a triangle or a WXY combination. With D1 momentum heading into oversold, the expected downside range is 3631 – 3595, which also aligns with the nearest high-liquidity zones on the chart. ________________________________________ 3. Price Zones & Targets • Breakout level: o 3657 → A strong candle close above this level would confirm a buy signal. • Support / Buy zones: o 3631 – 3632 → Possible bottom of the current correction. o 3593 – 3596 → Scenario if wave iv develops into a WXY structure. • Wave v (black) target: o Projection: 3709 (main target). ________________________________________ 4. Trading Plan 1. Buy Breakout 3657 o SL: below breakout candle o TP: 3709 2. Buy Zone 3632 – 3630 o SL: 3622 o TP: 3709 3. Buy Zone 3596 – 3593 o SL: 3585 o TP: 3709 ________________________________________ 👉 Summary: Both D1 and H4 momentum are approaching oversold, signaling that wave iv (black) may soon complete. The preferred strategy is to wait for confirmation at liquidity zones (3631 – 3595), or for a strong breakout above 3657, to join the next bullish wave v (black) targeting 3709.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 15, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 15, 2025: Weekly trend outlook, gold still has enough conditions for the possibility of continued price increases. Basic news: After surpassing the 3670 USD/ounce mark, the highest level in history, the gold price has entered a correction phase, in the context of the market focusing on monitoring the policy moves of the US Federal Reserve (Fed). According to CME's FedWatch tool, investors are almost certain that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing the margin to 4 - 4.25%. However, the scenario of the Fed cutting 50 basis points is still considered, because this could cause the USD to plummet and push gold to skyrocket. Technical analysis: The sideway range of 3600 - 3660 is still holding. Currently, we will wait for trading points at the 2 edges of the sideway range, but the priority is still mainly trading according to the trend. Important price zones today: 3600 - 3605 and 3660 - 3665. Today's trading trend: Sideway. Recommended orders: Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3600 - 3602 SL 3597 TP 3605 - 3615 - 3635 - 3665 - OPEN. Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3618 - 3620 SL 3615 TP 3623 - 3630 - 3650 - 3665. Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3663 - 3665 SL 3668 TP 3660 - 3650 - 3640 - 3630 (small volume). Wish you a new week of safe, effective and profitable trading.🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰
OANDA:XAUUSD
by tieeggsly
Gold Nears Peak: Fed Cuts & Tensions Fuel Indian Trades!Namaste, traders! Gold (XAU/USD) bounced from an early Asian dip at $3,626-$3,627 on Monday (15/09/2025), staying strong near record highs as weak US labor data locks in a 100% chance of a 0.25% Fed rate cut on 17/09, with two more expected in October and December (CME FedWatch). Geopolitical sparks—Ukraine hitting Russian energy and Iran pushing Qatar to counter Israel—make gold a top pick for Indian traders on MCX. With big central bank moves this week, let’s dive into the market and spot trading setups! 💰 Fundamental Analysis: Gold Shines for Indian Investors 🌟 Fed Rate Cut Fever: Weak US jobs (surging claims, 911,000 jobs revised down) keep USD near its 24/07 low and Treasury yields soft, driving gold’s 39% YTD rally—perfect for INR portfolios. The Fed’s set for three rate cuts in 2025, starting 17/09. Geopolitical Boost: Ukraine’s energy strikes on Russia, US pushing NATO sanctions, and Iran’s missile talk in Qatar ahead of the Arab-Islamic summit fuel gold’s safe-haven demand. China’s relaxed gold import rules add more bullish vibes for MCX traders! Key Events: Watch Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments (17/09), Bank of Canada, Bank of England (18/09), and Bank of Japan (19/09) decisions. Soft CPI and labor data mean dips are buying opportunities—don’t miss out! Technical Analysis: Sideways Near Highs – Buy Dips 📉 Gold’s consolidating in a wide sideways range on M30, H1, H2 around 3650. If Fed news triggers a sharp drop, FVG zones (3608-3598) are prime for buying. Watch volume to confirm entries and dodge liquidity traps near round levels. Resistance: 3646 - 3655 - 3666 Support: 3623 - 3615 - 3608 - 3598 Trade Setups (Tight RR): Buy Scalp: Range: 3623 - 3621 SL: 3617 TP: 3626 - 3631 - 3636 - 3641 Buy Zone: Range: 3608 - 3606 SL: 3598 TP: 3616 - 3626 - 3636 - 3646 Sell Scalp: Range: 3654 - 3656 SL: 3660 TP: 3651 - 3646 - 3641 - 3636 Sell Zone: Range: 3665 - 3667 SL: 3675 TP: 3657 - 3647 - 3637 - 3627 Gold’s holding near highs—beware liquidity traps around Fed news! Above 3623, bulls aim for new highs; below, test 3608/3598. Indian traders, keep risk tight with central bank volatility ahead! Buy dips or sell highs? Share your MCX strategies below! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #RateCuts #CPI #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #GoldTrading #IndiaTrading #MCX #Geopolitics #CentralBanks
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold faces early selling pressure | Main trend still Buy🟡 XAU/USD – 15/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context FED rate cut probabilities this week : -25bps : 96.4% (up from 89.1%). -50bps : only 3.0% (down sharply from 10.9%). Trump : Announced more sanctions on Russia, urged NATO to stop buying Russian oil; also emphasized “the possibility of significant FED rate cuts.” Key event today : New York Manufacturing Index at 1:30 (US time). ⏩ Captain’s Summary : The sharp drop in -50bps expectations caused early selling pressure on Gold this morning. But overall, FED is still certain to cut rates and inflation is cooling → the bigger trend continues to favor Buy . 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) : 3665 – 3670 (Weak High & upper cap). Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) : 3623 – 3603 – 3587. Market Structure : On H1, Gold is moving within a tightening triangle with EqH and EqL . Main trend stays bullish, but needs a retest of support before rallying toward 3665 – 3670. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan ✅ Buy (priority) Buy Zone 1 Entry: 3623 – 3625 SL: 3612 TP: 3640 – 3650 – 3660 – 3665+ Buy Zone 2 (FVG) Entry: 3603 – 3605 SL: 3592 TP: 3620 – 3640 – 3655 – 3665 Deep Buy Zone Entry: 3587 – 3590 SL: 3575 TP: 3610 – 3630 – 3650 ⚡ Sell (short scalp at resistance) Sell Zone Entry: 3665 – 3670 SL: 3678 TP: 3655 – 3645 – 3635 – 36xx ⚓ Captain’s Note “The Golden ship faces headwinds this morning as sailors reduce expectations for a -50bps cut. But the larger sail remains filled with dovish FED winds, steering the voyage north. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3623 – 3603 – 3587) is the safe dock to gather strength. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3665 – 3670) may raise waves, suitable for short Quick Boarding 🚤 . The main journey still favors Buy , waiting for the FED to blow more tailwind into the Golden sails.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
xau paper trade placedFollowing the close of the Asian session, market sentiment remains firmly bullish. Key indicators and price action suggest continued upward momentum as we transition into the London session. Given this outlook, I am initiating a buy-side trade in anticipation of further strength. The setup aligns with our broader strategy and risk parameters, and I will continue to monitor price behavior closely for confirmation and potential scaling. Please stay alert for any updates or adjustments as the session unfolds
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by livecalls
1
XAUUSD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK , SEP 15,2025📊 XAUUSD Technical Outlook Over the past week, price has been consolidating in a tight range between 3656 – 3624, indicating a buildup of momentum. 🔑 Key Level to Watch: 📉 Demand Zone: Near 3530, which also aligns with the Fib 61.8% retracement level – a strong confluence area. A possible retracement toward 3530 could offer buyers a favorable entry before the next bullish leg. 📈 Bias: As long as price holds above 3530, we anticipate a potential upside continuation after a short-term pullback. ⚠️ Trading Plan: Watch for bullish confirmation near 3530 before entering long positions. Manage risk carefully if price breaks and closes below this key level.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Akfx369
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H SELL PROJECTION 15.09.25XAUUSD/Gold 1H Sell Projection (15.09.25). Here’s a structured breakdown of what the chart indicates: 🔎 Chart Analysis Entry Zone: Around 3646 – 3647 (confluence of trendline + 0.618 Fibonacci retracement = "Golden Ratio"). Stop Loss: Around 3653.16 (above trendline & key resistance). Take Profit Targets: TP1 (Support S1): Around 3639 – 3640 TP2 (Support S2): Around 3630 – 3631 🧭 Trade Idea (Sell Bias) Reasoning: Price has rejected the descending trendline resistance. Confluence with Fibonacci 0.618 retracement level (3647). Bearish projection towards support zones. 📌 Summary Setup: Short/Sell Entry Zone: 3646 – 3647 Stop Loss: 3653 Target 1: 3640 Target 2: 3630
FX:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
Gold Stuck in 3620–3655 Range – All Eyes on Fed DecisionGold is still consolidating between 3620–3625 support and 3650–3655 resistance, respecting this week’s pivot level around 3632. As highlighted in the weekly outlook, this week’s trading action is likely to remain muted until the FOMC rate decision and press conference on Wednesday. Until then, we can expect price to stay range-bound, with quick scalps working better than trend trades. Once the Fed outcome is out, we should see a clearer short-term direction. A higher-timeframe close above 3655 could open the door for a move toward 3675+ and potentially new highs. On the flip side, a break below 3620 could trigger a deeper pullback, but so far there’s no sign of reversal pressure bulls remain firmly in control on higher timeframes.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
XAUUSD – Pennant Pattern Waiting for ConfirmationXAUUSD – Pennant Pattern Waiting for Confirmation Hello Traders, Gold started the week with a strong bounce of nearly 20 dollars after testing the ascending trendline. This move further confirms the Pennant Flag formation that is currently in play. The key now is to wait for a clear breakout from this structure to position trades effectively. Bullish Scenario A break above the upper trendline, with confirmation ideally above 3657, would signal continuation of the uptrend. Best entry: around 3650, targeting 3680 in the short term. Bearish Scenario The 3627 level is critical. A breakdown below this zone, along with a close under nearby support, would validate the bearish case. Traders can either enter directly on the break or wait for a retest around 3630 for a cleaner entry. Downside targets could extend to 356x or even lower. Medium-Term Buy Setup The 3560 – 3564 zone remains an attractive area, aligning with an FVG and strong volume accumulation. This is a medium-term buying opportunity, with stop-loss placed below 3544. Requires larger account size (above $1000) due to wider stop distance, but offers higher reward potential while aligning with the broader bullish trend. This is my outlook for gold today. Traders can take it as a reference and align it with their own setups. If you trade gold regularly, you can follow me here and join my community to receive updates quickly when the price action changes. 👉 Wishing everyone a profitable and disciplined trading week with Gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
Gold Trading Strategy for 15th September 2025📊 Gold Trading Plan 🟢 Buy Setup (Long Trade) ✅ Condition: Enter a Buy trade if the 1-hour candle closes above 3657. 🎯 Targets: First Target → 3668 Second Target → 3679 Third Target → 3690 🔒 Stop Loss: Always place a stop loss below the breakout candle’s low to manage risk. 🔴 Sell Setup (Short Trade) ✅ Condition: Enter a Sell trade if the 1-hour candle closes below 3630. 🎯 Targets: First Target → 3620 Second Target → 3610 Third Target → 3595 🔒 Stop Loss: Always place a stop loss above the breakdown candle’s high to limit losses. 📅 Timeframe → Use the 1-hour chart only. 🕐 Wait for Candle Close → Do not enter in the middle of the candle; wait for the candle to finish. 📈 Confirmation → A close above/below the levels means the price has settled, not just touched it. 💰 Risk Management → Trade with only 1–2% of your capital per trade. ⚖️ Targets → Book partial profits at the first target, then trail stop loss for higher targets. ⚠️ Disclaimer 📌 This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading in gold or any financial market involves high risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research (DYOR) and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD CPI UPDATEXAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the marketwhich preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for breakC. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by tradergyan01
1
Gold Outlook – Short-Term Pullback, Long-Term StrengthGold has shown a strong bullish phase over recent weeks after a long consolidation. The market moved from accumulation into expansion, reflecting renewed participation by larger players. This upward momentum indicates strong capital inflows, supported by macroeconomic uncertainty and shifting investor sentiment. Technically, price has broken out of a prolonged range and established a clear upward trajectory. Market structure suggests that buyers remain in control, though current price levels are showing signs of potential exhaustion, which could trigger short-term corrective moves before the broader trend resumes. Fundamentally, global economic pressures continue to boost gold’s role as a safe-haven asset. Concerns over inflation, central bank policy adjustments, and currency volatility are keeping investor demand elevated. With global risk sentiment fluctuating, gold is likely to remain an attractive hedge, sustaining its medium-term bullish outlook despite short-term pullbacks. Conclusion: Gold is in an expansion cycle, supported by both technical momentum and fundamental demand. Short-term corrections are expected, but the broader trajectory remains upward.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by XAU_EMPIRE
Gold Trading Strategy for Monday✅ Fundamental Analysis 🔹 Fed Rate Cut Expectations The Federal Reserve is almost certain to cut rates by 25 basis points in September, which is the market consensus. The recent rally in gold has been primarily driven by “rate cut expectations” rather than purely safe-haven demand. As the rate decision approaches, market volatility is expected to increase. 🔹 Geopolitical Risk Support Ongoing global geopolitical risks continue to provide additional safe-haven support, keeping gold prices within a strong range. 🔹 “Buy the Rumor, Sell the Fact” Logic Before the rate decision: Market sentiment dominates, with gold maintaining a high-level bullish consolidation. After the rate decision: If the rate cut is delivered and Powell does not sound excessively dovish, a short-term pullback could occur on “sell the fact” behavior. ✅ Technical Analysis 🔸 From a structural perspective, gold broke out of a four-month consolidation range and formed a strong unilateral uptrend, reaching as high as $3674. Based on the principle of “the longer the base, the higher the move,” the trend remains strong, with no clear topping signal yet. However, the rapid rise has caused short-term overextension, suggesting a need for technical correction. 🔸 On the 4-hour chart, the current candles are trading near the Bollinger Band midline (around $3640), showing balanced forces between bulls and bears. The narrowing Bollinger Bands indicate a consolidation phase. A strong breakout above the upper band ($3660) could lead to a retest of $3675–3680. The MA5, MA10, and MA20 are converging, showing that the market is waiting for a directional breakout. As long as prices hold above MA20 ($3640–3620), the bullish structure remains intact. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 3657–3660 / 3675–3680 🟢 Support Levels: 3625–3630 / 3605–3610 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference: 🔰 Short-Term Idea: Focus on buying on dips near the 3625–3630 support zone. Light short positions may be considered if the price stalls near 3657–3660. 🔰 Medium-Term Idea: If gold breaks and holds above 3675–3680, the rally could extend toward 3700 or even new highs. If it falls below 3620–3610, a deeper correction may unfold, targeting 3595–3580. 🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions , feel free to contact me🤝
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MarketSage_FX
Gold oscillation adjustment pattern: 3320-3360Gold oscillation adjustment pattern: 3320-3360 Next, the focus of the gold market will mainly focus on the Fed's upcoming interest rate resolution, and its interest rate cut and guidance on future policies will become key catalysts for the gold price trend in the short term. Fundamental analysis: 1: The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its meeting on September 17-18 (the probability is as high as more than 90%). The current market pricing reflects the expectation of a cumulative interest rate cut of 70 basis points this year (that is, it may also include interest rate cuts in October and December). 2: Lax labor market: The number of initial unemployment claims in the United States rose sharply last week, recording its worst performance in the past four years, strengthening the need for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. 3: Inflation stickiness: In August, the US CPI increased by 2.9% year-on-year and 0.4% month-on-month (0.3% exceeded expectations). This shows that inflationary pressure still exists, but the data is basically in line with expectations, and the market is more concerned about the downside risks of the employment market. 4: Geopolitical risks: The continued tension in the Middle East and the uncertainty in many places around the world continue to provide safe-haven support for gold. 5: Trend of central bank gold purchases: Many central banks around the world (such as the People's Bank of China and the Central Bank of Poland) continue to increase their holdings of gold reserves and relax import and export rules, which provides support for gold prices in the long-term structural sense. 6: "Super Economic Week": A number of major economic events and data were released this week, including US retail sales data in August ("terror data"), housing start data, and interest rate decisions from Canada, the United Kingdom and the Bank of Japan, which may exacerbate market volatility. Technical analysis: Macro support: US$3587-3600 Macro resistance: $3675, after breaking through, it looks at $3700 and $3758 4-hour level Short-term support: US$3620-3630 Short-term resistance: $3660-3675 As shown in the figure: High sideways oscillation consolidation range: (3620-3660) Short-term core range: US$3637-3650 The direction is waiting to break. Operational strategies and suggestions Aggressive long positions: Consider focusing on supporting the region to stabilize at US$3630-3620 and moving forward with a light position and a target of US$3658-3675, with a stop loss below 3610. Stable long positions: If the gold price pulls back to the US$3587-3600 area and gets support, you can consider layout long positions, with the same target as above, and the stop loss is set below 3570. Aggressive short positions: After the current resistance is under pressure in the US$3660-3674 area, try short positions with a light position, the target is US$3630-3620, and the stop loss is set above 3675. Safe short positions: If the gold price rebounds to near the integer mark of $3,700, you can consider trying shorts, and the target is to look at a pullback of $100-150, and the stop loss is set above 3,710.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Freja_rb
The Secret of Liquidity Grab – Why Price Hunts Highs Before FallHello Traders! Have you ever noticed how the market first breaks a recent high, traps breakout traders, and then suddenly reverses? This is not random, it’s called a liquidity grab . Understanding this concept can completely change how you see price action. 1. What is a Liquidity Grab? Liquidity means orders in the market, stop losses, buy orders, sell orders. When price hunts a previous high or low, it triggers stop losses and pending orders. This creates a sudden burst of liquidity. Institutions use this liquidity to enter or exit large positions without causing slippage. 2. Why Price Hunts Highs Before Falling At previous swing highs, many breakout traders place buy orders and short sellers place stop losses. When the price spikes above that level: Breakout traders enter long positions. Short sellers’ stop losses get triggered (buy orders). This creates a pool of buying liquidity. Once institutions have sold into this buying pressure, price often reverses sharply. 3. Why This Matters for Retail Traders Most retail traders get trapped during these liquidity grabs. They either chase breakouts too late or panic exit at the wrong time. By recognizing this pattern, you can avoid being the liquidity and instead trade with the smart money. 4. How to Use This in Trading Wait for the Grab: Don’t rush into a breakout. Wait to see if price quickly reverses after taking out a high/low. Confirm With Volume: A liquidity grab often shows a sudden spike in volume followed by an opposite move. Look for Rejection Candles: Pin bars, engulfing candles, or sharp wicks at highs/lows confirm the trap. Rahul’s Tip: Next time you see price breaking a high, don’t get excited. Ask yourself, is this a real breakout or just a liquidity grab? Waiting a little longer often saves you from being trapped. Conclusion: Liquidity grabs are the hidden traps of the market. Price doesn’t move randomly, it seeks liquidity first. By understanding this, you can avoid becoming the victim and instead align yourself with the institutions. If this post gave you clarity on liquidity grabs, like it, share your thoughts in the comments, and follow for more smart price action insights!
TVC:GOLDEducation
by TraderRahulPal
1
Gold Nears Peak: Fed Cut Hype Fuels Indian Trades!Namaste, traders! Gold (XAU/USD) climbed 0.4% on Friday (12/09/2025), closing at $3,648.55/oz, just shy of its all-time high of $3,673.95/oz (09/09). With a 1.7% weekly gain—its fourth straight week up—gold is riding high on weak US labor data, cementing bets for a Fed rate cut on 17/09. CPI showed inflation up sharply, but labor weakness dominates, making gold a top pick for Indian traders on MCX. Let’s dive into the market and grab trading opportunities! 💰 Fundamental Analysis: Gold’s Shine Bright for India 🌟 Rate Cut Buzz: Weak US jobs (surging claims, 911,000 jobs revised down) and a soft PPI push 100% odds for a 0.25% Fed rate cut, with 0.5% less likely (CME FedWatch). Low rates ease USD and Treasury pressure, boosting gold’s appeal for INR portfolios. Global Tailwinds: Gold’s 39% YTD rally (after 27% in 2024) is fueled by a weak USD, China’s 10-month gold buying spree, and global unrest. China’s move to simplify gold import rules signals stronger demand—great for Indian investors! Market Focus: CPI (11/09) showed hotter inflation, but labor weakness keeps Fed easing on track. No major shocks (like Trump tariffs) mean dips are buying opportunities—perfect for MCX futures! Technical Analysis: Consolidation Near Highs – Buy Dips 📉 Gold’s weekly chart shows consolidation at Fibonacci 2.618 (3650), with wide sideways action, closing below 3650 as anticipated. A deeper pullback isn’t confirmed, but liquidity zones at 359x and 354x are ideal for buying, while 370x is a sell zone if the rally continues. Watch volume for reversal or rejection signals to avoid traps. Resistance: 3655 - 3684 - 3694 - 3704 Support: 3621 - 3595 - 3582 - 3559 - 3545 Trade Setups (Tight RR): Buy Zone: 3582 - 3580 (SL: 3572; TP: 3590 - 3600 - 3610 - 3640) – Long-term buy on deeper dips. Buy Zone: 3546 - 3544 (SL: 3536; TP: 3554 - 3564 - 3574 - 3594) – Buy at strong support. Sell Zone: 3703 - 3705 (SL: 3713; TP: 3695 - 3685 - 3675 - 3665) – Sell if rally hits round levels. Gold’s consolidating near highs—beware liquidity traps! Above 3621, bulls eye new highs; below, test 359x/354x. Indian traders, manage risk tightly for Fed volatility! Buy dips or sell highs? Share your MCX strategies below! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #CPI #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #GoldTrading #IndiaTrading #MCX #USInflation #RateCuts #CentralBanks
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC