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August 19 Gold AnalysisAugust 19 Gold Analysis The market awaits the Fed's policy signals, with gold fluctuating and consolidating in the $3,320-3,350 range, awaiting a directional breakthrough. Market focus is on the upcoming Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Annual Meeting (August 21-23). Fed Chairman Powell's speech may provide clear directional guidance for the gold market. Analysis of Influencing Factors 1. Macroeconomic and Policy Expectations The US Producer Price Index rose 0.9% month-over-month in July, far exceeding the expected 0.2%, indicating that underlying inflationary pressures in the US remain strong. This data has led the market to lower its expectations for the extent of the Fed's September rate cut—the probability of a 50 basis point cut has decreased, while the probability of a 25 basis point cut has risen to 93%. The market still expects an 85% probability of a September Fed rate cut, with two 25 basis point cuts expected in 2025. This adjustment in expectations provides medium- to long-term support for gold, but limits short-term upside potential. 2. Geopolitical Risks Easing Signs of easing tensions between Russia and Ukraine are emerging: Trump is pushing for preparations for the "Puzer meeting," and Ukraine has stated it no longer insists on a ceasefire as a prerequisite for negotiations. This development has significantly weakened safe-haven demand, and if the peace process continues, gold prices may face further pressure. However, geopolitical uncertainties remain in areas such as the Middle East and the Korean Peninsula, and a escalation in tensions could trigger safe-haven buying. 3. US Dollar and US Treasury Yields The US dollar index rose 0.3%, and the 10-year US Treasury yield rose to 4.337%. Rising yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing gold, limiting any rebound in gold prices. Technical Analysis Daily Chart Gold prices have recently been volatile, trapped within a complex moving average system. The 20-day simple moving average (SMA) is near $3,352/oz, providing dynamic upward resistance for gold prices. The 100-day moving average provides key support near $3,307.10/oz. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in the neutral 50 zone, indicating a stalemate between bulls and bears. The daily chart suggests a rebound has stalled, with bears temporarily in the driver's seat. The 4-hour chart The Bollinger Bands are converging, with candlestick patterns frequently trading near the middle band. Gold prices are poised to test the previous low of $3,323.60/oz. The MACD indicator is crossing near the zero axis, with alternating green and red momentum bars, indicating a fierce market tussle between bulls and bears. Technical indicators are below their midlines, indicating a neutral to bearish trend. Key Levels Support: $3,323.60/oz (recent low); $3,307.10/oz (100-day moving average); $3,295.80/oz (minor support). Resistance: $3,352.00/oz (20-day moving average); $3,372.30/oz; $3,389.85/oz. Trading Strategy Short Opportunities: Entry range: $3342-3350 (aggressive) or $3355-3360 (conservative buying). Stop-loss placed above $3365. Target range: $3325 → $3320; breakout targets $3307-3300. Long Opportunities: Entry range: $3316-3320 (small position for a trial long position) or $3307-3298 (strong support zone). Stop-loss placed below $3308. Target range: $3335 → $3345. Trade with caution and manage risk! Wish you good luck!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Emily357538
1
Gold Consolidates Ahead of FOMC Liquidity SweepGold is currently moving within a narrow range, with downside pressure becoming increasingly evident. With just over a day left before the FOMC meeting – an event that could shape the next major trend – the market seems to be preparing for a sharp liquidity sweep. 👉 At first glance, price action looks frustrating and unclear. But for traders following MMFLOW KeyLevels, this is actually the “golden range”, as key zones continue to hold with remarkable precision. 📉 Today’s Outlook Main Trend: Ongoing corrective downside move. Potential Scenario: A deep liquidity sweep towards the 331x zone before a strong bullish rebound. 🔑 Key Trading Levels SELL Zone: 3340 – 3345 | Short SL: 4 – 5$ 🎯 Targets: 3325 → 3317 → extended 3310 📌 Note: Manage risk tightly and watch reactions around KeyLevels – a single BreakOut move post-FOMC could unlock the next major opportunity. ✨ Once again: KeyLevels = Profits ✅ 👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily KeyLevel strategies, liquidity maps & smart money insights
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
🇮🇳 Gold Under Pressure | Key Levels to Watch TodayGold continues to move in line with our weekly outlook. Despite strong rebounds from liquidity zones, the market still faces heavy selling pressure, unable to break out of the 335x – 336x resistance area. With no major news events scheduled today, price action is expected to remain within range, making KeyLevels the most important zones to trade from. 📌 Trading Bias Today Priority remains on SELL setups at upper resistance zones. Adjust entries slightly for better risk–reward. For BUY positions, wait for deeper entries to avoid liquidity sweeps around 333x – 332x, which have been tested multiple times recently. 🔑 Key Market Levels Resistance: 3346 – 3357 – 3370 – 3383 Support: 3324 – 3316 – 3309 📌 Trading Plan for India Traders ✅ BUY Zone: 3316 – 3314 SL: 3310 TP: 3320 – 3324 – 3328 – 3332 – 3336 – 3340 – 3350 – 3360+ ✅ SELL Zone: 3356 – 3358 SL: 3362 TP: 3352 – 3348 – 3344 – 3340 – 3330 – 3320 ⚠️ Summary Gold remains inside a bearish channel, waiting for a clear breakout. Until major news like the FOMC hits, expect sideways price action within today’s KeyLevels. 👉 Watch reactions closely around 333x – 336x for the next potential move. Stay disciplined, trade the levels, and let the market show its hand.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Part 2 Ride The Big MovesBasic Concepts & Terminology Before going deeper, let’s simplify the core terms in options trading: Strike Price: The fixed price at which the buyer can buy (call) or sell (put) the asset. Expiry Date: The date on which the option contract expires (e.g., weekly or monthly). Option Premium: The cost paid by the buyer to the seller for getting this right. Lot Size: Options are traded in lots, not single shares. Example: Nifty option lot = 50 units. In-the-Money (ITM): When exercising the option is profitable. Out-of-the-Money (OTM): When exercising the option is not profitable. At-the-Money (ATM): When the strike price = current price of the underlying asset. Example: Suppose Reliance is trading at ₹2,500. A Call option with strike 2,400 is ITM (because you can buy at 2,400, lower than 2,500). A Put option with strike 2,600 is ITM (because you can sell at 2,600, higher than 2,500).
TVC:GOLDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
2
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 19, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 19, 2025: Gold's range remains narrow, closely monitoring the progress of ceasefire negotiations in Ukraine. Basic news: Yesterday, August 18, according to Rueter, US President Donald Trump told Ukrainian President Zelenskiy that the United States will support Ukraine's security in any agreement to end Russia's war in Ukraine. Gold reacted quite mildly when no message of real weight was released, and market sentiment was still very hesitant, currently spot gold is trading around $3,335/oz, equivalent to an increase of about $2 on the day. Technical analysis: Yesterday's bullish pattern of gold is still maintained when gold prices approach our Plan 1 area and increase again. However, the increase is not strong, it is very likely that today the gold price will still maintain a slight fluctuation in the area of 3325 - 3350. When the gold price breaks the pattern, it will fluctuate very strongly, we will continue to wait to buy mainly in the area around 3300. Important price zones today: 3325 - 3330, 3300 - 3305 and 3345 - 3350. Today's trading trend: BUY. Recommended orders: Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3328 - 3330 SL 3325 TP 3333 - 3340 - 3360 - 3390. Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3300 - 3302 SL 3297 TP 3305 - 3315 - 3335 - 3370. Plan 3: SELL STOP XAUUSD zone 3320 - 3322 SL 3325 TP 3317 - 3307 - 3300. Wish you a safe, successful and profitable trading day.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
OANDA:XAUUSD
by wargocue
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 19, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 19, 2025: Gold's range remains narrow, closely monitoring the progress of ceasefire negotiations in Ukraine. Basic news: Yesterday, August 18, according to Rueter, US President Donald Trump told Ukrainian President Zelenskiy that the United States will support Ukraine's security in any agreement to end Russia's war in Ukraine. Gold reacted quite mildly when no message of real weight was released, and market sentiment was still very hesitant, currently spot gold is trading around $3,335/oz, equivalent to an increase of about $2 on the day. Technical analysis: Yesterday's bullish pattern of gold is still maintained when gold prices approach our Plan 1 area and increase again. However, the increase is not strong, it is very likely that today the gold price will still maintain a slight fluctuation in the area of 3325 - 3350. When the gold price breaks the pattern, it will fluctuate very strongly, we will continue to wait to buy mainly in the area around 3300. Important price zones today: 3325 - 3330, 3300 - 3305 and 3345 - 3350. Today's trading trend: BUY. Recommended orders: Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3328 - 3330 SL 3325 TP 3333 - 3340 - 3360 - 3390. Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3300 - 3302 SL 3297 TP 3305 - 3315 - 3335 - 3370. Plan 3: SELL STOP XAUUSD zone 3320 - 3322 SL 3325 TP 3317 - 3307 - 3300. Wish you a safe, successful and profitable trading day.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
OANDA:XAUUSD
by fludaytoo
XAUUSD: Support Broken? Bearish Trend Continues!XAUUSD is currently trading in a clear downward channel on the H4 timeframe . After failing to break the resistance at 3,360 , the price reversed and is now testing the important support level at 3,320 . This support level has been tested multiple times in the past weeks. If this support is broken, the bearish trend could continue, with the next targets at 3,300 and 3,280. The market structure remains weak, with lower highs and lower lows , confirming that the selling pressure is dominant. If the price fails to hold the 3,320 support level, the likelihood of further declines towards lower support levels is very high. It’s crucial to closely monitor price action at these support levels. Stay tuned to market developments and prepare your trading strategy accordingly, as everything is shifting towards a stronger bearish move !
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Rocky_trade_
5
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | August 19✅ Fundamental Analysis Recently, due to the progress made in the "Puzey Summit" driven by Trump, Ukraine has given up its preconditions for a ceasefire, and the U.S. and Europe have committed to providing security guarantees. This has led to a cooling of market risk aversion, significantly easing the pressure for gold bulls to cover, and resulting in a technical shift toward a bearish consolidation in gold prices. ✅ Technical Analysis 🔸 On the daily chart, gold closed with a long upper shadow, forming a shooting star candlestick pattern, suggesting that the recent rebound might be over and that there could be further downside potential. Based on this pattern, gold is expected to encounter resistance at higher levels today, and after any rebound, the bearish trend may resume. 🔸 On the 4-hour chart, the price shows a downtrend, with MACD in the negative territory and both the MACD line and signal line pointing downwards, indicating strong bearish momentum. The price is approaching the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, suggesting potential oversold conditions, which may lead to a possible rebound. 🔴 Resistance levels: 3346–3352 🟢 Support levels: 3323–3309 ✅Currently, gold is at the end of a consolidation phase. If it breaks above 3360, it could open up an upside target toward 3405. However, if it breaks below 3320, it may accelerate downward towards 3282. ✅ Trading Strategy Reference: 🔻 Short Position Strategy: 🔰Consider entering short positions in batches if gold rebounds to the 3348-3350 area. Target: 3335-3325；If support breaks, the move may extend to 3310. 🔺 Long Position Strategy: 🔰Consider entering long positions in batches if gold pulls back to the 3323-3325 area. Target: 3335-3340；If resistance breaks, the move may extend to 3345. 🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions or need one-on-one guidance, feel free to contact me🤝
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingPros
Momentum Trading Strategies1. Introduction to Momentum Trading If you’ve ever watched a cricket match where a batsman suddenly starts hitting boundaries one after another, you’ll notice something called momentum. Once the flow begins, it often continues until something major interrupts it. The same happens in stock markets. Momentum trading is built on a simple idea: 👉 “Stocks that are moving strongly in one direction are likely to keep moving in that direction—at least for a while.” In trading, momentum is like catching a moving train. Instead of trying to guess where the train will start or stop, you jump on when it’s already moving. Unlike long-term investing, where you analyze fundamentals deeply, momentum trading is more about riding the wave created by news, earnings, emotions, or institutional flows. For example: If Reliance stock is up 8% today on strong earnings and massive volume, a momentum trader might buy in, expecting further upside tomorrow or over the next week. If crude oil prices fall sharply, a momentum trader might short oil stocks, assuming more selling pressure will follow. So momentum trading isn’t about predicting the future—it’s about following what’s already happening. 2. The Psychology Behind Momentum Markets are not purely logical. They are driven by human behavior—fear, greed, and herd mentality. Momentum thrives on these psychological forces: Herd Behavior – When people see a stock rising, they rush in, fearing they’ll miss out (FOMO). This buying creates more buying. Confirmation Bias – Traders look for news or charts that confirm their belief, reinforcing the trend. Fear of Loss – When prices fall, investors panic and sell, creating downward momentum. Overreaction – Markets often overreact to news—both positive and negative. Momentum traders exploit this by catching the exaggerated moves. That’s why momentum works: people chase winners and dump losers. 3. Core Principles of Momentum Trading To really get momentum trading, let’s simplify it into a few golden rules: The Trend is Your Friend – Don’t fight against the flow. If Nifty is trending up with strong breadth, focus on long trades. Volume Confirms Momentum – Price alone is not enough. A move backed by high trading volume signals real strength. Momentum Has a Shelf Life – No stock rises forever. Momentum fades when buyers lose energy. So, entry and exit timing is crucial. Relative Strength Matters – Stronger stocks outperform weaker ones, especially in bull markets. Momentum traders prefer leaders, not laggards. Risk is Key – Since momentum can reverse sharply, strict stop-loss discipline is non-negotiable. Think of momentum like surfing. You don’t control the wave—you just ride it until it fades, then exit before it crashes. 4. Popular Momentum Trading Strategies Momentum isn’t one single style—it’s a family of approaches. Let’s explore the most widely used ones: 4.1 Breakout Trading This is the classic momentum method. Traders wait for a stock to break above resistance or below support with strong volume. Example: Stock X is stuck between ₹100–₹110 for weeks. Suddenly, it breaks above ₹110 with huge volume. A momentum trader buys here, expecting ₹120, ₹125, or higher. The psychology? Breakouts attract fresh buyers, and shorts are forced to cover—fueling momentum. 4.2 Moving Average Crossover Strategy Traders use moving averages (like 20-day, 50-day, 200-day) to capture momentum. If a short-term average (20-day) crosses above a longer one (50-day), it signals upward momentum. If it crosses below, it signals downward momentum. This strategy filters noise and captures medium-term trends. 4.3 Relative Strength Strategy Momentum traders often compare how a stock is performing relative to the overall market or sector. Example: Nifty is up 1%, but Stock A is up 6%. That relative strength suggests momentum, making Stock A a candidate for long trades. The reverse works for shorting weak stocks in a weak market. 4.4 Intraday Momentum Scalping Some traders capture quick bursts of momentum within minutes or hours. They trade news, economic data releases, or sudden volume spikes. For instance, if Infosys announces strong guidance at 10 AM, intraday momentum traders jump in for a 2–3% move before it cools off. 4.5 News & Earnings-Based Momentum Earnings season is a goldmine for momentum traders. Positive surprises often create upward momentum; negative surprises trigger downward spirals. Example: Company beats earnings estimates → stock gaps up 10%. Traders buy expecting continued demand from institutions. This “post-earnings drift” is a classic momentum phenomenon. 4.6 Sector Rotation Momentum Big money often flows into specific sectors (IT, Banks, Pharma) during different phases of the economy. Momentum traders ride the hot sector until it cools. Example: When RBI cuts rates, banking stocks rally for weeks. A trader focuses on the strongest banks instead of random picks. 5. Technical Indicators Used in Momentum Momentum trading heavily relies on technical analysis. Some widely used tools: Relative Strength Index (RSI) – Measures speed of price movements. Above 70 = overbought, below 30 = oversold. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) – Tracks trend strength using moving averages. Rate of Change (ROC) – Calculates % change in price over a period. Volume Indicators (OBV, VWAP) – Confirm if price moves are supported by volume. Bollinger Bands – Help spot volatility and potential momentum breakouts. These are not perfect, but they guide entry/exit decisions. 6. Risk Management in Momentum Trading Momentum can be rewarding but also dangerous because reversals are sudden. To survive, traders follow strict rules: Stop-Loss Orders – Never trade without a predefined exit point. Position Sizing – Don’t put all capital in one trade. Risk 1–2% per trade. Avoid Overnight Risk (for intraday) – News or global events can reverse momentum overnight. Don’t Chase Too Late – Entering after a huge move often results in buying the top. Take Partial Profits – Lock in gains as momentum matures. Think of risk management as your seatbelt—it won’t prevent the accident, but it can save your life. 7. Real-Life Examples of Momentum Trading Example 1: Adani Enterprises 2020–2022 Adani stocks had a massive rally driven by infrastructure growth stories. Traders who identified the breakout early rode the multi-month momentum. Example 2: Tesla in the US Tesla stock in 2020–21 was a momentum trader’s dream—surging 10x in months. Technical breakouts plus EV hype created sustained momentum. Example 3: COVID Crash & Recovery (2020) Markets fell sharply in March 2020. Momentum traders shorted stocks during the fall. Then, when recovery began, they switched sides and rode the rally. 8. Advantages and Challenges Advantages Quick profits in short time. Works in both rising and falling markets. Backed by psychology and herd behavior. Flexible—can be applied intraday, swing, or positional. Challenges Momentum is short-lived; timing is tricky. False breakouts can trap traders. High emotional stress due to volatility. Requires constant monitoring—can’t be passive. 9. Tips for Traders Trade only liquid stocks—avoid low-volume traps. Combine momentum with fundamentals for stronger conviction. Don’t overtrade; wait for clear setups. Learn to exit gracefully—don’t wait for the last rupee. Keep a trading journal to track what worked and what didn’t. 10. Conclusion Momentum trading is like riding waves in the ocean—you don’t create the wave, you just ride it skillfully. It’s about speed, timing, and discipline. Done well, it can be one of the most profitable trading styles. Done poorly, it can wipe out accounts. The key is to remember: Follow the trend, not emotions. Risk management is more important than entries. Momentum is temporary—treat it like an opportunity, not a guarantee. If investing is like planting a tree, momentum trading is like harvesting fruits quickly when they’re ripe. Both can make money, but momentum needs sharper focus and faster decisions.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
6
GOLD Waiting for the Big BreakOut after FOMC This WeekGold Sideway Compression | Waiting for the Big BreakOut after FOMC This Week Gold is currently consolidating in a tight range, building up energy for a major BreakOut. After the liquidity sweep at the weekly open, price fluctuated strongly between the 332x – 335x zone, but on the H1 timeframe, the overall trend still remains within a descending channel. Last week, CPI & PPI data failed to deliver a clear direction. This week, all eyes are on the FOMC meeting, expected to provide stronger signals for gold’s next move. ⏳ Early to mid-week: with limited impactful news, gold may continue to sideway within the narrow range or maintain downside pressure until FOMC is released. 🔑 Key Market Levels Resistance: 3357 – 3369 – 3383 – 3398 Support: 3335 – 3317 – 3309 📌 Trading Setup ✅ BUY Zone: 3334 – 3332 SL: 3328 TP: 3338 – 3342 – 3346 – 3350 – 3355 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380 👉 If gold breaks the descending channel around 336x, expect a strong move towards 3383 – 3398. ✅ SELL Zone: 3383 – 3385 SL: 3390 TP: 3378 – 3374 – 3370 – 3360 – 3350 👉 If gold fails at higher resistance and reverses, liquidity may be swept back into 333x – 331x, with potential extension down to 329x. ⚠️ Summary Gold is at a critical decision point: BreakOut or Breakdown. Before FOMC: sideways / bearish bias within H1 channel. After FOMC: expect a strong Pump or Dump to define the clear weekly trend. 🔥 Keep a close eye on reactions at KeyLevels (333x – 336x – 338x) to adjust trading strategy accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Outlook – Buying as the Main ThemeGold Outlook – Buying as the Main Theme Gold continues to move in line with previous analyses. Earlier today in the Asian session, the market saw a quick dip due to liquidity being cleared during the daily one-hour break. However, price quickly recovered, broke through the 3339 resistance, and confirmed that buying momentum has returned, strengthening the short-term bullish trend. Expectations for a new Elliott wave cycle are gradually taking shape. At this point, wave 3 is considered to have begun — typically the strongest phase with greater momentum and wider price swings. This supports the scenario of a medium-term bullish outlook. Price remains above the key EMA levels, confirming that the long-term trend is intact. The breakout above 3339 reinforces buyer strength and opens the way towards Fibonacci extension targets at 2.618 and 3.618. MACD also maintains positive momentum, while Elliott structure suggests that wave 3 still has room to extend further. As long as gold holds above the 3336–3338 zone, this remains a reasonable area to consider buying. A minor pullback around this level would offer an even better opportunity to join the trend, with a stop-loss of about 6 dollars to manage risk effectively. When price approaches Fibonacci extension targets, traders may consider partial profit-taking or look for short-term selling opportunities. This approach will be suitable given how far wave 3 has already extended. It is important to monitor price reactions around the extension zones. Higher timeframes such as H1–H4 should be prioritised to capture the broader structure and avoid market noise. A strong trend never moves in a straight line; it always comes with pauses and retracements. Staying patient and riding with the main trend is often the best way to maximise profits in the medium term. #XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Fibonacci #ElliottWave #MACD #Forex #IndiaTrading
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
Gold Update: Range Trading with Bearish UndertoneAfter last week decline,gold has entered a consolidation phase within a well-defined range. The current support is at around 3330, which coincides with last week's low and also serves as the monthly pivot point, providing a strong foundation for short term. On the upside, resistance is at 3350-3355, which aligns with the current week's pivot level, creating a ceiling that sellers are defending. The price action within this tight range suggests that market participants are taking a breather after the recent selling pressure, with both bulls and bears showing restraint as they assess the next move. The way gold is trading within these boundaries gives the impression that energy is building up, much like a coiled spring ready to release. This type of consolidation pattern often precedes a significant directional move, as market forces accumulate before choosing their next path. The technical setup indicates that we're likely approaching a critical range where gold will need to make a decisive break either above or below this range. A breakout above the 3350-3355 resistance zone could signal renewed bullish momentum and attract fresh buying interest, while a breakdown below the 3330 support level might open the door for further downside pressure.Looking at the weekly and daily price action, the bears seem to have the upper hand in the current scenario. The recent decline from higher levels has created a bearish tone, and importantly, we haven't seen any major reversal signals that would suggest a strong buying opportunity at these current range levels
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheGoldenCircle
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 19/8/2025 1. Momentum • D1 timeframe: Price is still waiting for confirmation of a bullish reversal in the oversold zone. The current decline has lasted for 7 daily candles, which is usually sufficient for a corrective wave → suggesting the down move is in its final stage. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is preparing for a bullish reversal in the oversold zone. We can expect 4–5 bullish H4 candles ahead, indicating a possible upward move today. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is tightening in the overbought zone. o If price makes a strong rally above 3343, the bullish move will be confirmed. o If price continues to consolidate sideways, a downward liquidity sweep may occur before pushing higher. 2. Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: Expectation remains that the abcde red triangle correction has been completed. The market is likely forming waves 1 and 2 (blue) of a new 5-wave bullish sequence. • H4 timeframe: The red ABC correction has already reached its first target at 3322. Combined with reversal signals on D1 and H4, this level could mark the bottom of wave C red or wave 2 blue. • H1 timeframe: After a strong rally yesterday, price is now in a deep pullback. This is likely wave 2 red, following the completion of wave 1 red. o Wave 2 has retraced to the 0.782 Fibonacci level of wave 1, making it a potential ending point. o However, since H1 momentum is still in the overbought zone, another drop is still possible. o If price breaks below 3324, then wave C might still be in progress, with key support zones at 3322 – 3315 – 3300. 3. Trading Plan • Current Buy position 3329–3332 is running with about 100 pips profit → this trade can be held for longer. o TP1: 3343 o TP2: 3362 o TP3: 3381 • If not in position yet, consider a Buy Limit: o Entry: 3333 – 3330 o SL: 3323 o TP1: 3343 o TP2: 3362 o TP3: 3381 👉 Note: If price breaks below 3324, I will update with new entry levels at lower support zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Red CHoCH Confirms the Bears – Sell at Premium Zone📌 Gold Plan – M30 Timeframe | Captain Vincent ⚓ Background On the D1 chart, the candle closed lower, showing bearish pressure still dominates. On H4, the bearish structure continues. However, Gold is currently stuck around 3345/oz, unable to make a clear breakout. The 3323 – 3335 zone remains strong support – a level where Vincent has bought multiple times before with solid profits. But with the current structure, today’s priority will be Sell in line with the main trend. Sell Zone – Premium 🎯 Entry: 3345 – 3347 SL: 3352 TP: 3340 → 3335 → 3330 → 33xx SMC Note (CHoCH 🔴) On the M30 timeframe, a recent red CHoCH has appeared – a signal confirming that sellers have regained control. This strengthens the case for selling at upper resistance zones. Today’s Scenarios If price holds below 3345 – 3347 → Prioritise short setups, selling in line with the downtrend. If price breaks below current support → High chance the market will move to fill the previous FVG. In that case, wait for a Breakout Down retest to enter safer. Consider entering one small probe trade first, then go in stronger once a reversal candle confirmation appears. Resistance to watch: 3337 – 3345 Support to watch: 3323 – 3335 ⚠️ Captain’s Note: "SMC structure with a red CHoCH has confirmed that the bears are steering the market. We will flow with the main current – Sell at the Premium Zone – but always with discipline, waiting for clear confirmation before taking action."
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USDThis XAU/USD setup is a buy trade, highlighting a bullish outlook on gold. The entry price is 3333, the stop-loss is 3325, and the exit price is 3349. The trade is designed to capture a 16-point profit while risking 8 points, giving a balanced risk-to-reward ratio of 1:2. Buying at 3333 suggests the trader expects upward momentum, which could be supported by a weaker US dollar, easing Treasury yields, or stronger safe-haven demand amid global uncertainties. From a technical perspective, the entry level may align with a short-term support area, providing a strong base for buyers to step in. The target of 3349 is placed near a resistance zone, ensuring profits are secured before potential selling pressure re-emerges. This approach helps lock in gains while respecting market volatility. The stop-loss at 3325 is set carefully below support, limiting downside risk in case bearish momentum takes control. This disciplined approach demonstrates proper risk management, with protection against losses and a clear profit goal. Overall, this trade setup is well-suited for intraday or short-term strategies, focusing on precision, defined risk, and strong reward potential in gold’s dynamic price action.
TVC:GOLDLong
by smohdyusuf66
Gold Trading Strategy for 19th August 2025Gold Trading Strategy (XAUUSD) 📈 Buy Setup (Long Position): Condition to Enter: Enter a buy only after an hourly candle closes above $3343, and price breaks the high of that same one-hour candle. Entry Trigger: Price breaks above the high of the hourly candle that closed above $3343. Targets: 1st Target: $3354 2nd Target: $3365 3rd Target: $3376 Explanation: Waiting for the hourly close above $3343 helps confirm bullish momentum. Entering only after the high of that candle is taken out reduces the risk of possible false breakouts. Gradual profit-booking at multiple levels helps secure gains as price moves higher. 📉 Sell Setup (Short Position): Condition to Enter: Enter a sell only after a 15-minute candle closes below $3323, and price breaks the low of that same 15-minute candle. Entry Trigger: Price breaks below the low of the 15-minute candle that closed below $3323. Targets: 1st Target: $3310 2nd Target: $3300 3rd Target: $3285 Explanation: A close below $3323 on the 15-minute timeframe signals increasing bearish pressure. Waiting for the break of the candle’s low helps confirm continuation. As with the long idea, scaling out at the specified targets helps lock in profits as the trade moves in your favor. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or trading advice. All trading involves risk. You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions. Always conduct your own analysis or consult with a licensed financial professional before making any trading decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
1
August 18 Gold AnalysisAugust 18 Gold Analysis Key Viewpoint: Gold prices remain volatile amidst a mix of policy expectations and risk aversion. Technical indicators suggest a rebound, with a focus on the key $3358 level in the short term. I. Trend Reversal and Market Logic 1. Recent Volatility Characteristics - Last Friday, influenced by the unexpectedly strong US PPI data (the largest increase in three years), the market largely ruled out a 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September. Gold prices remained under pressure in the $3355-3358 range, but support at $3330 remained resilient. - This Monday, gold briefly dipped to $3323 (the middle line of the weekly Bollinger Band) in early Asian trading before rebounding sharply. It surged to $3358 during the European trading session, fully recovering the day's losses and confirming the strength of the $3330-3323 support range. 2. Bullish and Bearish Logic - Repressive Factors: - Resilient inflation weakens expectations of aggressive rate cuts (PPI surged 3.3% year-on-year); - The relatively strong US dollar is limiting gold's upside potential. - Support: - Rate Cut Anchoring Effect: The probability of a 25 basis point Fed rate cut in September remains over 80%, limiting downside potential; - Rising safe-haven demand: Trump's proposed new round of tariffs (rumored semiconductor tariffs could reach 300%) is attracting bargain-hunting; - Technical Buying: Multiple lines of defense have formed in the $3,320-3,330 area, triggering short-covering. II. Technical Structure Analysis 1. Key Price Levels - Lower Support: - First Line of Defense: $3,330 (last week's swing low, tested multiple times); - Core Fortress: $3,323 (weekly Bollinger Band middle line + intraday bottoming rebound starting point). - Upper Resistance: - Short-term Strength and Weakness Dividing Line: $3,358 (last Thursday's rebound high + weekly MA5 moving average); - Breakout Target: $3,374 (recent rebound high). 2. Technical Indicator Signals - Daily Level: - The 5-day moving average turned upward after a death cross, the MACD/KDJ death cross converged, and the RSI formed an initial golden cross; - The price hit a two-week low and then closed with a bullish candlestick, indicating a short-term bottoming pattern. - Bull-Bear Balance Zone: $3330-3358 forms a range-bound trading range. The direction of the breakout will determine the short-term trend. III. Trading Strategy Operational Recommendation: Capture breakout opportunities during volatility 1. Range Trading Strategy - Long Position: - After stabilizing at the $3330-3323 support level, try a light buy with a target of $3355-3358, with a stop-loss below $3315; - If it breaks through $3358, follow the trend and buy, targeting $3370-3374. - Short-term Defense: - Short if the market finds resistance below $3358, targeting $3340-3335, with a stop-loss at $3363; - If the market unexpectedly breaks below $3320, turn short, targeting $3300-3280. 2. Key Risk Warnings - Event Catalysts: - The Federal Reserve meeting minutes (August 20) and Powell's Jackson Hole speech (August 22) may reshape expectations of a rate cut; Trade with caution and manage risk! Best wishes!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Emily357538
Divergence SecretsWhat Are Options? Options are derivative contracts that give the buyer the right (but not the obligation) to buy or sell an underlying asset (like stocks, index, currency, or commodity) at a predetermined price on or before a specific date. Call Option (CE): Right to buy. Put Option (PE): Right to sell. Key Terms in Options To understand options, you must know these basics: Strike Price: The pre-decided price at which you can buy/sell the asset. Premium: The cost you pay to buy the option contract. Expiry Date: The date when the option contract ends. Underlying Asset: The stock, index, or commodity linked to the option. Lot Size: Minimum quantity you can trade in options (e.g., Nifty lot = 50 units). Call vs Put Options Call Option Buyer: Expects price to rise (bullish). Put Option Buyer: Expects price to fall (bearish). Call Option Seller: Expects price to stay below strike. Put Option Seller: Expects price to stay above strike.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
10
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 18, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 18, 2025: Gold prices fell 1.79% last week, although Trump and Putin failed to reach an agreement on the key issue, with the focus this week on the Jackson Hole conference. Basic news: Gold traders are closely watching the developments of the meeting between US President Donald Trump and his Ukrainian counterpart Zelensky today to set the terms of a potential peace deal that Trump agreed with Putin in Alaska on Friday. CME's "Fed Watch" report released today, the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 15.4%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 84.6%. Technical analysis: Gold prices have rebounded after approaching the support zone of 3325 - 3330. Currently, the bullish pattern of gold prices has not been broken, the possibility of gold prices having a strong increase in the near future. RSI on H1 and H4 frames is showing signs of entering the buying zone, combined with MA tending to expand after the previous sideways movement. Liquidity zones such as 3375 - 3380 and 3395 - 3400 could be profit-taking zones for this growth. Important price zones today: 3325 - 3330 and 3300 - 3305. Today's trading trend: BUY. Recommended orders: Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3326 - 3328 SL 3323 TP 3331 - 3340 - 3360 - 3390. Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3300 - 3302 SL 3297 TP 3305 - 3315 - 3335 - 3365 - Open. Plan 3: SELL STOP XAUUSD zone 3320 - 3322 SL 3325 TP 3317 - 3310 - 3305 - 3300. Wish you a new week of safe, successful and profitable trading.🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰
OANDA:XAUUSD
by fludaytoo
XAU/USD: Navigating the Uptrend and Key Support LevelsPrice Structure: Gold has been forming a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicative of a general uptrend. The chart labels a "high" and a "higher high," confirming this bullish structure. Support and Resistance: Two key support areas are identified: Support area S1: A narrow zone around 3,320 USD. The price recently bounced off this area. Support area S2: A broader, more significant zone around 3,290 USD, which appears to have been a strong support level in the past. Several horizontal resistance levels are marked: Immediate resistance: Around 3,351.231 USD and 3,366.029 USD. Higher resistance: At 3,408.819 USD and 3,438.677 USD. Channels and Trendlines: The price has been moving within a series of ascending channels (highlighted in green rectangles), suggesting a stair-step upward movement. A primary ascending trendline (black line) serves as a long-term support, with the price currently hovering just above it. Recent Price Action and Projections: The price recently broke out of a small downtrend and is showing signs of recovery from the "support area S1." A potential price path is drawn with a red arrow, indicating a possible move towards the immediate resistance levels around 3,351 USD and 3,366 USD. The chart highlights two specific price points, 3,360.604 USD and 3,350.685 USD, which likely represent a short-term trading range or target. Volume: The volume spikes visible at key price points (e.g., at the low on July 30 and during the recent drop) indicate strong market activity.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27