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Gold 1H – CPI Liquidity Play Before ExpansionGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating near 3,633 after multiple ChoCHs and engineered liquidity grabs. With today’s CPI release, price is expected to sweep both premium and discount liquidity zones. The structure suggests engineered spikes toward 3,688–3,691 or dips into 3,595–3,592 before expansion. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,643 – 3,645 (SL 3,650): Premium supply pocket for short-term rejection. • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,688 – 3,691 (SL 3,696): Premium sweep zone targeting 3,680 → 3,670 → 3,660 → 3,650 with extended open target at 3,625. • 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,595 – 3,592 (SL 3,587): Discount demand zone targeting 3,615 → 3,625 → 3,635 → 3,645 with extended open target at 3,685. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection (Intraday) • Entry: 3,643 – 3,645 • Stop Loss: 3,650 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,630  TP2: 3,620  TP3: 3,600 👉 Scalp opportunity if CPI spikes price into this supply zone. 🔻 Sell Setup – CPI Premium Sweep • Entry: 3,688 – 3,691 • Stop Loss: 3,696 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,680  TP2: 3,670  TP3: 3,660  TP4: 3,650  Open: 3,625 👉 Expect engineered CPI move into premium liquidity before reversal. 🔺 Buy Setup – CPI Discount Sweep • Entry: 3,595 – 3,592 • Stop Loss: 3,587 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,615  TP2: 3,625  TP3: 3,635  TP4: 3,645  Open: 3,685 👉 Ideal entry if CPI drives gold into deep discount demand before expansion. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note CPI will dictate volatility and smart money may sweep liquidity both sides. Key bias favours: • Scalp sells at 3,643–3,645 • Deeper swing sells at 3,688–3,691 • High R:R buys at 3,595–3,592 Risk management is essential — expect fake-outs before expansion.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD | Buy Setup | 11 Sep 2025 – 21:45 IST XAUUSD | Buy & Sell Setup | 11 Sep 2025 – 21:45 IST Buy Zone: 3658.58 – 3641.81 Sell Zone: 3640.34 – 3612.69 Scenario : Buy Entry: 3640.67 Stop Loss: 3620.13 Targets: TP1 → 3657.61 TP2 → 3674.69 Analysis: From Buy Zone (3658.58 – 3641.81) creates possibilities for a buy move. Stay alert on updates here. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This idea is shared for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own analysis before making trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TrendReset
Gold Trading Strategy for 03rd September 2025📊 Gold Trading Plan 🔹 Buy Setup Condition to Buy: Enter a Buy position only if the price closes above the high of the 15-minute candle at $3352. Targets for Buy: $3363 $3374 $3385 🔹 Sell Setup Condition to Sell: Enter a Sell position only if the price closes below the low of the 1-hour candle at $3513. Targets for Sell: $3501 $3490 $3480 📝 Notes for Beginners Wait for Candle Close – Do not enter before the candle fully closes above or below the given level. Use Stop Loss – Always protect your trade with a stop loss (example: slightly below entry for buys, or above entry for sells). Risk Management – Never risk more than 1–2% of your trading capital on a single trade. Targets – You can exit at each target partially or hold until the final target depending on your strategy. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading in gold or any financial markets involves risk, and you should do your own research or consult a licensed financial advisor before making trading decisions.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
3
Gold is currently in a period of profit-taking.Gold is currently in a period of profit-taking. As shown in Figure 2h: 1: Clearly, gold prices have fallen after two consecutive days of positive news. The motivation is clear: gold has reached a record high, and everyone is taking advantage of the good news to sell. 2: Important CPI data will be released today, and everyone is waiting to see whether gold prices will show any new momentum after the release. This is already very clear. Even if the data is positive, the likelihood of gold prices reaching new highs is low. I still maintain my view that gold prices will struggle to reach new highs this week. 3: Gold prices need some time to breathe and adjust, and the specific technical pattern is: wide range fluctuations. Strategy Analysis: 1: Buying low remains the mainstream strategy. 2: Focus on the next important price support levels: 3620: (Current support level, range: 3620-3660) 3600: (Current support level, important round number support level) Many people ask whether round number support levels are useful. It's like if you go to the supermarket and see the same item priced at $1,000 and $999.9, you'll definitely choose the $999.9, right? This is the core logic behind round-number support and resistance levels. People always set a standard for judgment. 3580-3570 (Current Trend Support, Currently the Strongest Support Level) 3: You can certainly participate in short selling, but don't be overly bullish on your short position. Once a trend is established, it won't change easily. Intraday short selling is fine. 4: Strategy: Sell 1: 3630-3635 Stop Loss: 3645 Sell 2: 3650-3655 Stop Loss: 3665 Target Price: 3620-3600 Note: Short selling is suitable for intraday trading. Buy 1: 3620 Buy 2: 3600 Buy 3: 3580 Stop Loss: 3568-3570 Note: Long positions require a swing trading strategy and be prepared for long-term trading.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Timo_Weber
XAU/USD – GOLD 08/09 | Captain VincentObserving JPY & USD | Buy still holds dominance 🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context This morning there were no major new updates. The US session tonight (08/09) will also not release big data. The latest impact on the market is Japanese PM S. Ishiba’s resignation , which pressured JPY downward and slightly lifted the Dollar. However, Gold only made a small correction and maintained strong stability. ➡️ Captain’s Summary: Dollar and JPY currently only have indirect influence, not enough to push Gold deeply lower. The main trend is still supported for a bullish rebound. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis Captain’s Shield (Main Support): Golden Harbor OB: 3542 – 3549 Main Buy Zone: 3549 – 3551 Liquidity Dock: 3573 – 3575 Storm Breaker (Resistance): Quick Boarding: 3602 – 3604 (Short-term Sell scalp) Storm Breaker Peak: 3632 – 3634 (Sell zone – may form a new ATH) ⏩ Price structure remains bullish (continuous BOS). Corrections are mainly liquidity grabs before pushing up to higher resistance zones. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Scenarios ✅ Golden Harbor (BUY – Priority) Buy Zone: 3549 – 3551 | SL: 3542 | TP: 3553 → 3557 → 3560 → 3563 → 35xx Liquidity Dock: 3573 – 3575 | SL: 3565 | TP: 3578 → 3581 → 3583 → 35xx ⚡ Quick Boarding (SELL Scalp – Short-term) Entry: 3602 – 3604 SL: 3610 TP: 3600 → 3597 → 3594 → 3591 → 3588 → 35xx 🌊 Storm Breaker (SELL Zone – New ATH) Entry: 3632 – 3634 SL: 3640 TP: 3629 → 3625 → 3623 → 3619 → 361x ⚓ Captain’s Note “The golden ship sails steadily as the seas remain calm this morning, with no big news waves. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3549 – 3551) together with OB near 3542 is the safe anchorage for sailors riding the bullish trend. Liquidity Dock ⚓ (3573 – 3575) is just a temporary anchor before the bullish winds carry the ship further. Quick Boarding 🚤 (3602 – 3604) is for those who want to ride short-term waves. And if the ship touches Storm Breaker 🌊 (3632 – 3634) , it may be a new wave peak – but the grand journey is still headed North with the bullish sails full of wind.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Weekly Outlook: Big Bullish Move + Key US DataMarket View: Gold (XAUUSD) finished the week with strong momentum after Nonfarm pushed price close to $3600/oz ATH. On the daily chart, the candle closed almost full body (only ~30% wick), showing no profit-taking yet. The weekly chart is also strongly bullish – confirming that buyers are in control. This signals more upside likely in the coming week and month. Key US Events This Week: Wed, Sep 10: Core PPI & PPI m/m → If higher than expected, USD may strengthen short-term, creating pressure on gold. Thu, Sep 11: CPI (Core, m/m, y/y) + Jobless Claims → the most important release. Lower CPI + higher claims = bullish for gold. Higher CPI = hawkish Fed = pressure. Fri, Sep 12: UoM Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations → could shift Fed outlook further. 👉 Fundamentals may bring volatility, but overall medium-term trend remains bullish. Technical Outlook (H1 Chart): After the Nonfarm breakout, gold is consolidating sideways. Levels to watch: Support: 3574 – 3551 – 3530 – 3516 Resistance: 3600 – 3621 – 3633 – 3649 – 3669 – 3678 Trading Plan: BUY bias (preferred): Long on dips near 3574–3550 SL: below 3530 TP: 3600 → 3621 → 3633 → 3649 → 3669 → 3678 SELL scalp (alternative): Only if 3530 breaks with strong CPI surprise → target 3516/3527 Summary: ✅ Gold stays in a strong uptrend on Daily & Weekly charts. Macro factors support more upside if inflation keeps easing. 👉 Watch 3592 (bullish trigger) and 3575 (bearish trigger) as the key decision levels. Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily plans and quick updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – Latest Trend UpdateXAUUSD – Latest Trend Update Hello Traders, Gold is moving in line with yesterday’s outlook: after a corrective pullback towards 3660, price resumed its decline and is currently trending lower. If this bearish structure is confirmed on the higher timeframes such as H1 and H4, it may signal that a larger corrective phase on the D1 chart has already begun. Key Levels to Watch 3620: Marked as an important support zone from yesterday, now considered the key level to confirm continued downside. 3630: Aligned with the lower boundary of the ascending channel, where a reaction could occur before the trend direction becomes clearer. Medium-Term Scenarios Gold could decline towards 3550, before bouncing higher again – this is the preferred medium-term scenario. A deeper move towards 3510 is also possible, where liquidity from previous candle wicks may be retested, before the broader uptrend resumes on the daily timeframe. The reason for favouring this medium-term downside: price has already completed the Fibonacci Extension 2.618, which often signals the potential for a corrective pullback. Trading Strategy Observe reactions around 3630 – 3620 – 3610 for potential buy opportunities aligned with the broader bullish structure. Sell setups should only be considered if price closes firmly below 3620, confirming further downside momentum. This is my trading plan for gold today. Use it as a reference and feel free to share your own perspective in the comments.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
Gold prices have entered a wide range of 3330-3360.Gold prices have entered a wide range of 3330-3360. As shown in Figure 4h: Gold prices remain strong today. Although gold prices fell sharply yesterday due to profit-taking, they have risen again today. The impact of news and sentiment has largely reversed. The market has returned to volatility, and gold prices are currently holding generally high around 3650 points. I believe gold is unlikely to break new highs today. The market needs a buffer zone for adjustment. Sideways trading at high levels is the most likely pattern for gold prices going forward. Based on this: For Wednesday's strategy, I believe we can try a short position. Sell: 3360-3370 Stop loss: 3380 Target: 3350- This strategy is for intraday reference only. With the revision of non-farm payroll data, tomorrow's CPI data will be a key focus. Gold prices are forming a converging ascending triangle pattern, and the possibility of an upside breakout remains high. This week, there's a strong chance that gold prices will break through the 3700-3750 range. Therefore, buying low remains the prevailing strategy. For this reason, it's crucial to clearly identify all key support levels. Currently, key support levels for gold are: $3640, $3625, $3600, $3580, and $3560. We can identify a high-probability range for gold price fluctuations: $3330-3360. Key support levels to watch: $3625-3630. I would most likely enter a position in this range. However, if a pullback breaks through this range, gold prices could fall to $3580-3560. Therefore, we should closely monitor this range when entering a position.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Edmund007
Gold Trading Strategy for 12th September 2025📊 GOLD Trading Plan ⚡ Buy Setup ✅ Buy above the high of the 15-min candle close above $3650 🎯 Targets: $3660 $3670 $3680 🔒 Stop Loss: Place just below the breakout candle 🔻 Sell Setup ❌ Sell below the low of the 15-min candle close below $3622 🎯 Targets: $3613 $3601 $3590 🔒 Stop Loss: Place just above the breakdown candle ⚠️ Important Notes 📌 Wait for 15-min candle close confirmation (avoid premature entries). 📌 Always follow risk management (1–2% of capital per trade). 📌 This setup is for intraday levels only. 📢 Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only 📚. It is not financial advice. Trading in commodities like GOLD carries risk 💹. Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
Waiting for CPI & FED rate cut | Priority Buy at support🟡 XAU/USD – 11/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context US PPI yesterday : Wholesale prices dropped sharply, below forecasts → strengthening expectations of a FED rate cut. FED probabilities : 100% odds for a -25bps cut next week, and even 16% of investors bet on -50bps. Today : US CPI & Jobless Claims – key data to assess inflation & labor, determining the specific cut. ⏩ Captain’s Summary : FED will certainly cut rates, so Gold remains supported in its bullish trend. Short-term fluctuations may occur due to sentiment or surprises (e.g., tariff news from Trump). 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis Storm Breaker (Resistance) : Bearish OB: 3645 – 3650 (near-term resistance) Weak High: 3674 (target if breakout succeeds) Golden Harbor (Support) : Near support: 3622 FVG Dock: 3603 Bullish OB: 3581 – 3585 (strong mid-term support) Market Structure : H1 shows a short-term bearish BoS, retesting support. Main trend remains bullish → possible pullback to 3622 or 3603 before rallying toward 3670+. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan ✅ Buy (priority with trend) Entry 1 (FVG): 3603 – 3605 SL: 3592 TP: 3610 – 3615 – 3625 – 365x Entry 2 (Bullish OB): 3581 – 3585 SL: 3572 TP: 3600 – 3620 – 3640 ⚡ Sell (only short scalp at resistance) Sell Zone: 3645 – 3650 SL: 3658 TP: 3635 – 3628 – 3622 ⚓ Captain’s Note “The Golden sails remain full of wind as the FED is almost certain to cut rates. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3622 – 3603) and the deeper OB 3581 – 3585 are safe havens to follow the bullish tide. If the ship touches Storm Breaker 🌊 (3645 – 3650) , only Quick Boarding 🚤 short scalps are recommended. The larger voyage still heads north, steering Gold toward new highs at 367x.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Stretched but Strong Waiting for PullbackGold is moving aggressively and relentlessly, day by day, with no signs of exhaustion. The price has once again printed a fresh all-time high and is now trading around 3650, pushing higher without any meaningful rejection on the daily, weekly, or monthly charts. Momentum remains strong, but the rally is clearly stretched, and chasing buys at these levels looks more like FOMO than a high-probability setup. On the Fibonacci extension, the next major resistance is seen at 3681, which also aligns with the monthly R3 level, making it a critical zone to watch. Buying directly into this resistance is risky, and the better approach is to wait for a healthy pullback before looking for new longs. On the downside, 3600 now acts as immediate support, followed by 3550 as the secondary support level. As long as these supports hold, the broader structure remains bullish, but patience will be key for catching the next move.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold Price Analysis – Testing Resistance near Sell ZoneAnalysis: Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading around 3,551.40, showing minor intraday losses (-0.03%). The chart indicates a strong resistance zone between 3,556–3,563, identified as the “sell zone,” with an All-Time High (ATH) slightly above at 3,578.12. Price is consolidating beneath this resistance, struggling to break higher. The Fair Value Gap (FVG) below suggests a potential retracement toward 3,511–3,520 if sellers gain momentum. The Ichimoku cloud shows mixed signals, with price hovering around the equilibrium, indicating indecision in the short term. A break above 3,563 could trigger bullish continuation toward ATH, while rejection at this level may lead to a pullback into the highlighted FVG region.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KingProTrader
Gold: Cooling inflation, eyeing the 3.70x waveHello everyone, The macro backdrop is currently favourable for gold, with both China and the US reporting weaker-than-expected inflation data: China’s CPI came in at 0% m/m and -0.4% y/y, with PPI at -2.9% y/y; meanwhile, the US posted PPI at -0.1% m/m, 2.6% y/y, and core PPI at 2.8% y/y. These softer figures have pushed yields and the USD lower, while strengthening expectations that the Fed may cut rates at its next meeting. Adding to this, the PBoC continued to purchase gold in August, reinforcing confidence in long-term reserve demand. On the H4 chart, the bullish structure remains intact: price is holding above the rising Ichimoku cloud, while FVG blocks below act as support. Gold is currently consolidating tightly in the 3.66–3.68 zone, with short-bodied candles suggesting sellers lack the momentum to break the trend. The nearest support levels to watch are 3.63–3.62, then 3.61–3.60, with deeper support at 3.585–3.575 along the cloud edge. My view leans bullish: I’m looking for a shallow pullback and an H4 close above 3.66–3.68 to open the way towards 3.70–3.715, potentially extending to 3.72 if momentum holds. Only a close below 3.60 on H4 would make me consider a deeper retracement into the 3.585–3.575 cloud zone. In short, softer inflation and consistent reserve buying are building a strong foundation for gold. What’s needed now is a firm close above 3.68 to confidently target the 3.70x region. What do you think – will gold break through 3.70x in this move, or does it need another balance around 3.60 first? Share your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EmmaChartist
Gold Surges 37% YTD: Fed Cuts, Jobs Slump & Trade Setups!Namaste, traders! Gold (XAU/USD) has skyrocketed 37% in 2025, building on a 27% rally in 2024, fueled by a weakening USD, central bank buying, loose monetary policies, and global economic/geopolitical unrest. With US jobs growth tanking in August 2025 and unemployment climbing to 4.3%, markets are betting big on Fed rate cuts: 90% chance of 0.25% and 10% for 0.5% in September. Let’s dive into today’s (08/09/2025) action and uncover trading opportunities tailored for Indian investors! 💰 Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold Keeps Shining Bright 🌟 Massive Rally: Gold thrives in low-rate, high-uncertainty environments—perfect for India’s gold-loving market! Weak USD and central bank purchases are key drivers. 📈 US Jobs Slump: August data shows a sharp slowdown in hiring and a 4.3% unemployment rate, boosting Fed rate cut expectations and safe-haven demand. Fed Drama Fuels Gold: Trump’s attempt to sack Fed Governor Lisa Cook and pressure for rate cuts has sparked legal battles, shaking USD confidence. Tariff tensions (Trump’s appealing to the Supreme Court after lower court losses) further drive gold as a hedge. Standard Chartered sees more upside amid these uncertainties. Demand Dip in India: Record-high prices have slowed physical gold demand in India and China this week, but the bullish outlook remains strong for Indian investors chasing safety. Gold’s your ultimate bet in this volatile market—will the Fed’s next move keep the rally alive? Technical Analysis: Breakouts & Liquidity Grabs—Stay Sharp! 📉 In today’s early Asian session, gold dipped to 358x before a swift rebound, smashing last week’s ATH resistance at 3600 and hitting 361x. No major news triggered this spike, but continuous ATHs mean fast liquidity sweeps—beware of traps! Avoid FOMO: Focus on broken round levels for BUY setups or structure breaks at round numbers for SELL, but watch out for false breakouts. Key Resistance: 3614 - 3624 - 3634 - 3644 Key Support: 3597 - 3581 - 3574 - 3566 - 3560 - 3550 Trading Opportunities: Sell Scalp: 3624 - 3626 SL: 3630 TP: 3621 - 3616 - 3611 - 3606 Sell Zone: 3634 - 3636 SL: 3644 TP: 3626 - 3616 - 3606 - 3596 Buy Scalp: 3596 - 3594 SL: 3591 TP: 3599 - 3604 - 3609 - 3614 Buy Zone: 3581 - 3579 SL: 3571 TP: 3589 - 3599 - 3609 - 3619 Gold’s breaking out, but fakeouts are everywhere—wait for confirmations at key levels! If supports hold, bulls could push for new highs. 📊💡
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD September 5, 2025Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD September 5, 2025: Gold rebounds after correction, market eyes on NFP data and Donald Trump's surprise statement for the week. Fundamentals: Spot gold prices experienced extreme volatility on Thursday, with intraday swings reaching $53 before closing lower, currently trading at $3,557/oz, representing a gain of about $11 on the day. Gold's slight decline also reflects traders taking profits from the recent incredible rally. Investor focus now shifts to today's Non-Farm Payrolls report, which is expected to provide clues on the Federal Reserve's policy direction. Technical analysis: Yesterday's strong decline showed investors' short-term profit-taking, but the current gold price is still trading above 3500. We continue to trade according to the main trend, waiting for support areas for long-term trading. Important price zones today: 3525 - 3520 and 3495- 3500. Today's trading trend: BUY. Recommended orders: Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3515 - 3517 SL 3512 TP 3520 - 3530 - 3550 - 3580. Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3498 - 3500 SL 3495 TP 3503 - 3513 - 3530 - 3550. Wishing you a safe, effective and profitable weekend trading day.🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰
OANDA:XAUUSD
by tieeggsly
Gold Slips After Peak: Trade Fed Uncertainty & Jobs Report!Hello traders! Gold (XAU/USD) pulled back on Thursday (04/09/2025) as investors took profits after its record-breaking rally, with focus now shifting to the upcoming US jobs report for fresh signals on the Fed’s policy path. Spot gold closed down 0.3% at $3,547.68/oz—is this a buying dip or a reversal? Let’s dive in and uncover trading setups! 💰 Fundamental Analysis: What’s Behind Gold’s Dip & Potential Rebound? 🌟 Profit-Taking Post-Record: Gold eased after hitting an all-time high of $3,578.50/oz on 03/09, driven by weak job openings data that bolstered rate cut bets and ongoing uncertainty fueling safe-haven demand. 📉 US Jobs Report Looms: Set for release tomorrow (05/09), this key report follows early-session data showing US jobless claims rising more than expected last week, signaling a softening labor market. Fed Signals & Rate Cut Buzz: Several Fed officials on 03/09 highlighted labor market concerns, reinforcing confidence in rate cuts. Markets now see a 98% chance of a 0.25% rate cut this month, per CME FedWatch. As a non-yielding asset, gold thrives in low-rate and uncertain environments! 🏦 Fed Drama Heats Up: Trump’s attempt to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook has sparked a serious legal challenge, raising fresh concerns about Fed independence. Coupled with tariff tensions (Trump’s appealing to the Supreme Court after two lower court losses), this is eroding USD asset confidence and boosting gold demand. Bullish Outlook: Standard Chartered predicts further gains, citing persistent tariff uncertainty and Fed independence fears as key safe-haven drivers. Technical Analysis: Consolidation Before Big Data—Buy Dips or Wait? 📉 Gold has been trading in an uptrend channel, with early-session accumulation. After a strong Asian session push, it hit the 356x OB zone and dropped quickly. The European session may see sideways action, awaiting tonight’s critical data. If gold holds the channel, bulls could take charge—watch for breakouts! Key Resistance: 3560 - 3576 - 3586 Key Support: 3540 - 3526 - 3500 - 3490 - 3476 Trading Opportunities: Sell Scalp: 3558 - 3560 SL: 3564 TP: 3555 - 3545 - 3535 Sell Zone: 3576 - 3578 SL: 3587 TP: 3568 - 3558 - 3548 - 3538 Buy Scalp: 3526 - 3524 SL: 3520 TP: 3529 - 3539 - 3549 Buy Zone: 3500 - 3498 SL: 3490 TP: 3508 - 3518 - 3518 - 3538 Gold’s in consolidation mode, but the jobs report could trigger a breakout—manage risk tightly! If it holds above supports, bulls may push for new highs post-data. 📊💡 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #USJobs #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Crypto
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold Dips Pre-CPI: Fed Cut Buzz Fuels Indian Trade Ops!Namaste, traders! Gold (XAU/USD) is easing today (11/09/2025) after yesterday’s PPI shocker—US wholesale inflation dropped more than expected, boosting Fed rate cut bets to 100% for a 0.25% cut and rising odds for 0.5% (CME FedWatch). Tonight’s CPI and Jobless Claims at 19:30 ET will shed light on US inflation and labour, shaping the Fed’s next move. With India’s love for gold, dips are prime buying opportunities unless a shock like Trump tariffs hits—short-term pullbacks only! Let’s dive into today’s market and grab trade setups! 💰 Fundamental Analysis: Gold’s Shine Intact for Indian Investors 🌟 The weak PPI has supercharged rate cut expectations, easing USD and Treasury pressure, making gold a star for INR-based portfolios. Gold’s 38% YTD rally (after 27% in 2024) is driven by a weak USD, China’s 10-month buying spree, loose policies, and global uncertainty. Tonight’s CPI (11/09) will steer Fed policy—low inflation could rocket gold to new highs (potentially $3,700); hotter data may trigger brief dips. Indian traders, keep risk-reward (RR) tight in this news-heavy market—perfect for MCX futures! Technical Analysis: Consolidation Pre-CPI – Buy Dips, Watch Traps 📉 Gold rose in Asia but hit resistance at 364x OB, falling to 362x with liquidity sweeps—set SLs carefully to avoid traps! The 362x zone is pivotal; a break below could test 361x or 3600. The bullish trend is strong—prioritize buying dips unless key resistance fails. Resistance: 3640 - 3648 - 3659 - 3674 Support: 3621 - 3615 - 3607 - 3600 Trade Setups (Tight RR): Sell Scalp: 3640 - 3642 (SL: 3646; TP: 3637 - 3632 - 3627) – Quick profits if resistance holds. Sell Zone: 3648 - 3650 (SL: 3658; TP: 3640 - 3630 - 3620) – Short deeper if rally fades. Buy Scalp: 3617 - 3615 (SL: 3611; TP: 3620 - 3625 - 3630) – Catch support rebounds. Buy Zone: 3601 - 3599 (SL: 3591; TP: 3611 - 3621 - 3631) – Long-term buy if CPI is dovish. Gold’s consolidating pre-CPI—watch for liquidity traps! Above 362x, bulls target new highs; below, test lower supports. Indian traders, manage risk tightly for CPI volatility! Buy dips or sell highs? Share your MCX strategies below! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #CPI #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #GoldTrading #IndiaTrading #MCX #USInflation #RateCuts
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Crazy gold! Buy or wait for a pullback?Market News: Spot gold prices fluctuated narrowly in early Asian trading on Friday (September 5th), currently trading around $3,550 per ounce. International gold, a traditional safe-haven asset, hit a record high of $3,578 per ounce on Wednesday amid growing global economic uncertainty. The London gold price declined after reaching a record high, primarily due to profit-taking by traders. After a strong rally, the market accumulated a large amount of long positions, and many investors chose to cash in their profits at the peak, leading to a short-term price decline. Traders are focused on the upcoming US non-farm payroll report, which could directly influence the pace of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and, in turn, the price of gold. In the current environment, weak employment indicators reinforce expectations of rate cuts and support gold's safe-haven demand. However, if the data exceeds expectations, gold may face further pressure. Technical Analysis: After seven consecutive days of gains, gold experienced a sharp drop yesterday, closing with a long lower shadow on the daily chart. Technically, this closing pattern is often a continuation of an upward trend, as prices remain within the ascending channel. Furthermore, a double top or head-and-shoulders top pattern has yet to emerge and establish. The daily chart retreated to yesterday's 5-day moving average at 3511, then bottomed out and rebounded. The European and American markets strengthened again, pulling back towards the 3559/60 levels. The 10-day and 7-day moving averages remained open and moved upward to 3504/3467, and the RSI indicator remained above 70. On the short-term four-hour chart, gold prices are trading within the upper middle Bollinger Band, with the moving averages converging and the hourly Bollinger Bands closing. Regarding news data, focus on the non-farm payroll report today. The market's estimate is slightly bearish, but the 4.3% increase in the unemployment rate is favorable for buying. The main strategy for intraday trading is to focus on wide range fluctuations, primarily buying on dips and selling on highs. Trading Strategy: Short-term gold buy at 3535-3538, stop loss at 3527, target at 3570-3590; Short-term gold sell at 3577-3580, stop loss at 3588, target at 3540-3520; Key Points: First support level: 3536, second support level: 3523, third support level: 3510 First resistance level: 3562, second resistance level: 3576, third resistance level: 3590
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BullMarketKing
Gold - Buy near 3540, target 3558-3578Gold Market Analysis: The market's greatest allure lies in its ever-changing nature. Yesterday, gold plummeted in the Asian session, plummeting to around 3510. It then hit the 5-day moving average on the daily chart and rebounded rapidly. It then went on to not only rebound, but also rise in a V-shaped pattern. Your supposed sell-off was a lie. The daily chart ultimately closed with a bearish hammer candlestick pattern. The long lower shadow suggests yesterday's sharp drop was fleeting. Gold has not yet shifted its buying trend. Today is the time for the non-farm payroll report, and I predict a period of volatile correction with a buying bias. If gold can rally to a new high in the Asian session today, consider buying directly. Our approach in the Asian session is to buy low and then wait for the non-farm payroll data. It's difficult to determine whether 3578 on the daily chart is the high point, and the pattern doesn't signal a peak. The 1-hour chart shows a new support level near 3540. Buying in the Asian session is possible based on this support level. Furthermore, support from moving averages and indicators is near 3531. This level, which represents daily support, presents a buying opportunity. If gold reaches 3578 during the Asian session, do not consider selling. The strategy of buying at low prices can be maintained until the release of the non-farm payroll data. Support levels are 3531 and 3540, while resistance levels are 3578 and 3560. The dividing line between strength and weakness is 3540. Fundamental Analysis: Recent fundamentals have not significantly stimulated the market. Today, we will focus on the US non-farm payroll data. Trading Recommendation: Gold - Buy near 3540, target 3558-3578
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BullMarketKing
"XAUUSD Update – Resistance Rejection and Market Structure ShiftXAUUSD Update – Resistance Rejection and Market Structure Shift Price Action: Gold has recently tested the 3550 – 3600 resistance zone, where the market showed signs of rejection. This level represents a significant supply area formed by previous liquidity grabs. Market Structure: After a strong bullish impulse, the current price behavior suggests a possible correction phase. The rally left behind areas of imbalance that could attract price back downward. Key Observation: The first reaction zone sits around 3480, which aligns with a structural support level from past consolidation. A deeper correction may extend toward the 3330 – 3320 support region, a critical level where historical demand has been observed. Context: Liquidity above recent highs has been taken, and the chart now shows potential for retracement to restore balance before determining the next directional move.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mentor_Michael03