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LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Two scenarios for the new weekLiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Two scenarios for the new week: wait for reactions at 4100 & Fibonacci zone – prioritise bullish trades when the market recovers Gold is completing a technical rebound after a sharp drop, and H1 is showing two clear scenarios for the new week. The medium-term trend remains a corrective decline, but on H1, the price is in a rebound phase, so bullish trades will be prioritised – as long as the lower liquidity zones are maintained. The key this week lies at 4100, where FVG, Fibonacci, and liquidity converge – this is the decisive point to see if gold will bounce back or continue to decline deeply. 🔍 Technical Analysis (Fibonacci • Trendline • Liquidity • Volume Zone) Fibonacci H1: The price may rebound to Fib 0.5 (~4140–4150) – a zone with high liquidity & likely to show a bearish reaction. Fib 0.382 (~4120–4130) is currently the first short-term resistance. Price Structure: The medium-term downtrend is still present, but H1 is forming a rebound wave → prioritise buying when the price pulls back at the support zone. The descending trendline is still controlling the market. If it breaks the trendline + holds above 4130–4150 → the uptrend is confirmed stronger. Important liquidity zones: 4100: liquidity confluence + previous bullish resistance → strong reaction zone. 4085 and 4060: liquidity bottoms – if breached, it will trigger a deep decline scenario. 4032: FVG + Fibonacci bottom – the "break or hold" zone for buyers. Key resistance this week: 4161 – 4187 – 4138 – 4111 📈 TRADING SCENARIOS FOR THE NEW WEEK Scenario 1 – Bullish trade (priority) Logic: Gold is rebounding; if it holds 4100 and pulls back strongly → target is the upper Fibonacci zone. Entry: 4100–4111 SL: 4090 TP: 4138 → 4161 → 4187 Suggestion: Wait for strong signals like pin bar or engulfing H1 to confirm the rebound bottom. Scenario 2 – Bearish trade (when the market fails to hold the bottom) Logic: If gold breaks the H1 bottom and retests 4100 without holding → the medium-term downtrend continues to activate. Entry: 4100–4108 (retest after break) SL: 4120 TP: 4085 → 4060 → 4032 Suggestion: Only enter when H1 closes below 4100. 🌍 Macro Analysis – Fed causes market noise According to the latest data from CME Watch: 54.1% chance the Fed maintains rates at 375–400 bps 45.9% chance the Fed cuts rates The ratio is almost balanced → the market is very indecisive, creating unpredictable volatility ahead of the 10/12 meeting. In this environment, gold often reacts strongly to unexpected news, so prioritise trading at liquidity zones – wait for clear confirmation. ⚠️ Invalidation Conditions Price closes below 4060 → fully prioritise bearish trades. Price closes above 4161 → strong bullish trade activated, discard all sell setups. What scenario are you preparing for the new week? Please comment & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel to receive the earliest analysis every day!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | November 20-21✅ From the 4-hour chart, gold remains in a weak, downward-biased consolidation structure after yesterday’s failed rally. 1️⃣ Moving averages show a bearish setup MA5 and MA10 have formed a bearish crossover and continue to slope downward, indicating that short-term bearish momentum still dominates. MA20 (around 4082–4088) acts as strong resistance; price has repeatedly failed to break above it, showing weak rebound strength. 2️⃣ Bollinger Bands indicate weakness The Bollinger middle band (around 4069) continues to suppress the price; the latest candles remain below it — a classic weak consolidation pattern. The lower band (around 4014) remains the next downward target. 3️⃣ Rebound attempts fail Multiple attempts to break above 4088–4090 failed, creating a short-term top structure. The recent rebound also failed to break above the moving averages, showing continued lack of bullish momentum. ➡️ H4 Conclusion: The structure remains bearish. As long as price stays below 4090, the market bias remains to the downside. ✅The 1-hour chart confirms the same bearish structure: 1️⃣ Clear downward channel After topping at 4132, gold dropped sharply to 4038, then rebounded to 4068–4070 and faced renewed selling pressure. MA5 / MA10 / MA20 / MA60 are again aligned in a bearish formation. 2️⃣ Rebound momentum is weak The latest rebound only reached MA10–MA20 before turning down again, showing strong selling pressure. Key resistance remains at 4070–4085; breaking above this area is unlikely. 3️⃣ Key support at 4044–4038 This zone has shown short-term buying interest but lacks strength. A break below this region will open the path toward 4015–4008. ➡️ H1 Conclusion: Weak short-term structure with limited rebound strength. More downside tests toward 4044–4038 remain likely. 🔴 Resistance Levels 4070–4085 4100–4110 4132 🟢 Support Levels 4044–4038 4015–4008 3997 ✅ Trading Strategy Suggestions 🔰 Strategy 1: Sell the Rebound (Main Plan) If gold rebounds to 4070–4085 and faces rejection: ➡️ Enter light short positions SL: 4090 Targets: 4055 / 4044 / 4035 👉 This is the highest-probability strategy under current conditions. 🔰 Strategy 2: Strong Resistance Short (Aggressive) If gold reaches 4100–4110: ➡️ Use medium position shorts SL: 4120 Targets: 4065 / 4045 👉 Strong resistance zone; breakout probability is low. 🔰 Strategy 3: Breakout Short Below Support If gold breaks 4044–4038: ➡️ Follow the trend with breakout shorts Targets: 4015 / 4000 👉 Loss of this zone will open further downside. 📌 Summary Both H4 and H1 remain in a weak bearish structure. Rebounds lack momentum and are consistently pressured by moving averages. 4044–4038 is the key support; if broken, the downtrend will accelerate. Recommended approach today: Sell rebounds as the primary strategy Buy dips only at strong support levels (around 4038)
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTrading_JACK
XAUUSD | Bulls Hold Control Above 4070 - Eyes on 4090–4100 ZoneGold (XAUUSD) continues to show strong bullish structure, and price action above the 4070 key support reinforces buyers’ dominance. If price sustains above this level, the next upside liquidity area sits at 4090–4100 , a zone where previous reactions have occurred. Bullish Scenario: Holding above 4070 keeps momentum pointed toward 4082 and then the 4090 zone. The bullish outlook remains valid as long as price stays above 4059, which currently acts as intraday invalidation. What I’m Watching: A clean intraday consolidation above 4070 Momentum strength into 4082 Whether buyers can break into the 4090–4100 resistance pocket This setup highlights how the market could behave, not financial advice—just educational analysis. 📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always manage risk and follow your trading plan. Your feedback drives our content and keeps everyone trading smarter. Let’s make those pips together! 🚀 Happy Trading, – The InvestPro Team
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by InvestPro_India
1
HOW MANY BUYER TRAPS BEFORE NEW ATH GOLD ?📈 Analysis of Gold Trading Plan (SMC/Order Flow) 🔍 Current Market Context Structure: The market has shown a strong bullish trend, marked by a Break of Structure (BOS) and a Liquidity Done Sweep around the ₹4,145 price level. Liquidity: The market performed a "First Sweep Here" (initial liquidity grab) after the rally, signaling a readiness for a correction. The main liquidity target for the upward move (Big Boy Liquidity) is set above the ₹4,240 level. Recent Price Action: After hitting the peak and the initial sweep, the price experienced a sharp decline, creating a correction zone. 🎯 Proposed Trading Plan The plan focuses on two main scenarios: a Short-term Sell (SELL SCALP) and a Primary Buy (BUY GOLD). 1. Primary Buy Scenario (BUY GOLD) This is the main scenario to continue the bullish trend (Long). Entry Zone: BUY GOLD 4126 - 4124. This zone is likely a critical Order Block or an unmitigated Demand Zone, positioned just below the previous liquidity sweep and acting as a strong support/Displaced/Fair Value Gap (FVG) area. Stop Loss (SL): SL 4120. This stop-loss level protects the long position, placed just below the key entry zone to avoid being shaken out by minor liquidity grabs. The indicated Stoploss Buyer area (around ₹4,145 - ₹4,150) suggests the price drop might aim to sweep prior buyers' liquidity before bouncing from the ₹4,124 - ₹4,126 zone. Take Profit (TP): The ultimate target is the Liquidity Limit Big Boy (above ₹4,240). 2. Short-term Sell Scenario (SELL SCALP) This is a short-term trading opportunity (Scalping) during the corrective move. Entry Zone: SELL SCALP 4208 - 4210. This area likely represents a Supply Zone or a bearish Order Block following the sharp drop, where hidden selling pressure resides. Stop Loss (SL): SL 4212. This is a very tight stop loss, placed just above the entry zone. Take Profit (TP): The target is the BUY GOLD 4126 - 4124 area (the primary buy entry zone). ⚠️ Key Considerations Timeline: This plan requires the price to move according to the predicted scenario (drop to the buy zone before rallying). Confirmation: Traders should wait for structural confirmation on a lower timeframe (e.g., a Change of Character - CHoCH or a bullish BOS) at the 4126 - 4124 buy zone before entering the trade to improve the probability of success. Risk Management: Using the suggested Stop Loss (SL) is mandatory for capital protection.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
Gold Trading Strategy for 21st November 2025📈 BUY SETUP (Long Position) ➡️ Condition to Enter Buy: Enter a BUY only if the 1-Hour candle closes above the high of 4096. This confirms bullish momentum and reduces false breakouts. 🎯 Buy Targets: TP1: $4,110 TP2: $4,124 TP3: $4,138 TP4: $4,150 🛑 Recommended Stop Loss: Place SL below the breakout candle low or ≈ $4,085–4,088 based on your risk comfort. 📝 Reasoning: A strong close above $4096 indicates buyers gaining control. Targets move in 14–16 point intervals, ideal for intraday or short swing trades. 📉 SELL SETUP (Short Position) ➡️ Condition to Enter Sell: Enter a SELL only if the 1-Hour candle closes below 4055. This signals bearish continuation. 🎯 Sell Targets: TP1: $4,042 TP2: $4,030 TP3: $4,018 TP4: $4,005 🛑 Recommended Stop Loss: Place SL above the breakdown candle high or ≈ $4,062–4,067 depending on volatility. 📝 Reasoning: A close below $4055 confirms downside pressure. Targets decrease in 12–15 point steps, matching typical gold volatility on breakdowns. 🧠 TRADING TIPS Always wait for candle close confirmation, not wick break. Use 1–2% risk per trade to avoid major drawdowns. Check news events (FOMC, CPI, NFP) before entering any trade. Watch market structure on 15m for refined entries. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER This analysis is for educational & informational purposes only. It is NOT financial advice, and trading involves high risk. You are responsible for your own trading decisions. Always do your own analysis and use strict risk management.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold breaks bullish structure...LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold breaks bullish structure, short-term downside takes control Gold has dropped sharply by more than $20 in a short time, losing over 1% on the day and moving close to the lower 4,030 area. The previous bullish structure has officially been broken, 4040 failed to hold, and today’s focus continues to be selling with the trend until the 4000–398x support zone shows clear reactions. Macro Analysis Gold prices declined as expectations for a December rate cut weakened: JPMorgan no longer forecasts a Fed rate cut in December, opposite to their earlier 25 bps cut scenario. Some institutions still believe rising unemployment and weaker economic data may force the Fed to cut 25 bps at the upcoming meeting. The market is currently pricing the probability of a December rate cut at nearly “50–50,” creating strong uncertainty and putting short-term pressure on gold, even though the metal still benefits in the long term if the rate-cut cycle begins. Technical Analysis H1 – Bearish structure, price channel, and support zones After breaking below 4040, price formed a series of Lower Highs – Lower Lows, confirming a Dow-theory bearish structure on H1. A falling channel is forming; the channel’s upper boundary aligns with the short-term resistance zone at 4050–4060. 4000 zone: a key psychological support. If broken decisively, the medium-term structure may shift into a deeper corrective phase. Buy Zone 3987–3989 Strong support confluence + Fibonacci extensions (1.618/2.272) of the current bearish swing Optimal area for catching a corrective bounce if clear reversal signals appear Key Resistance Levels Today 4052–4054: retest of former support + upper boundary of falling channel → ideal area for a pullback-sell setup. Trading Scenarios Today (LiamTrading) Scenario 1 – SELL with the prevailing downtrend (priority) Entry: 4052–4054 SL: 4060 TP: 4030 → 4015 → 3990 Logic: Price retraces to resistance + channel top, suitable for trend-continuation selling. Prefer setups where M15 shows rejection candles (pin bar/bearish engulfing) around 405x. Scenario 2 – BUY at strong support 398x (counter-trend bounce) Entry: 3987–3989 SL: 3980 TP: 3999 → 4014 → 4040 → 4080 Logic: 398x is a high-confluence support zone; trigger only when clear price reaction appears (long lower wicks or reversal patterns on M15–H1). This is counter-trend, so use smaller position sizes and take partial profits. Risk Notes & Invalidation H1 closes above 4060: short-term bearish structure weakens → pause all sell setups and reassess. H1 closes below 3980: buy zone fails → downside could extend further; only sell setups preferred. Always keep risk per trade at 0.5–1%, and once reaching +1R, move SL to break-even. Are you leaning towards continuing to sell with the trend, or waiting to buy the dip at 398x? Follow LiamTrading on TradingView for daily XAUUSD updates
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAU/USD: Gold's Final Correction Before a Strong Rebound📊 Market Structure – Elliott Wave + SMC Gold has completed impulse wave 1–5 at the peak of 4,207 USD and is entering an Elliott correction phase in the form of ABC . Wave A : bottomed at Demand Zone 4,008 – 4,020 USD Wave B : retraced upwards, creating consecutive Equal Highs and small BoS but has not broken the larger structure Wave C : is forming, may extend down to the Demand Zone if the price loses 4,030 SMC signals reinforce the scenario of a completed correction: A series of Equal Lows → the market still has liquidity below to "sweep" towards the Demand Zone The area BoS – 4,076 is the decisive structure: if not broken upwards, the correction trend continues The area FVG + Resistance 4,152 USD is the target for a major retracement wave after completing wave C => In summary: the market is in the final phase of correction. Once wave C is completed, gold is likely to rebound strongly in the larger trend. 💎 Key Technical Zones 🔹 Demand Zone – Main BUY area 4,008 – 4,020 USD → Strong Demand confluence + Elliott wave C + liquidity below. → High probability of reversal. 🔹 Reaction Zone – Temporary reaction area 4,030 – 4,040 USD → If the price retraces early but hasn't swept the bottom → the correction may still continue. 🔹 Supply & FVG Zones (Strong resistance) 4,152 – 4,207 USD → Main target of the retracement wave after the ABC pattern is completed. 🎯 Trading Plan – Vincent’s Execution Map 1️⃣ BUY Setup – According to Wave C (top priority) Wait for the price to complete wave C at the Demand Zone: Entry: 4,012 – 4,020 SL: below 3,984 TP1: 4,076 TP2: 4,128 TP3: 4,152 TP4: 4,207 → This is the main setup of the day, confluence of both SMC + Elliott. 2️⃣ BUY Aggressive – Early buy according to Break of Structure If the price breaks BoS 4,076 before reaching Demand: Entry: 4,070 – 4,076 SL: 4,040 TP: 4,128 – 4,152 – 4,207 → Setup for those who want to catch the impulsive wave early. 3️⃣ SELL Scalp – Small trend (not the main trade) Only enter when the price retraces to Fibo: Entry: 4,092 – 4,106 SL: 4,116 TP: 4,040 → 4,020 → Short-term scalp, aiming to complete wave C. 🧠 Vincent’s View The overall trend still leans towards Bullish Reversal after correction. As long as the price holds Demand Zone 4,008 – 4,020 , gold can rebound strongly back to the target of 4,152 – 4,207. “Liquidity always shows the way – patience is the real advantage.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 21/11/2025 ✍️ Analyzed by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold on a downward trend, hitting ...💛 LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold on a downward trend, hitting strong support around 4005 🎯 Gold has plunged from its peak, currently “visiting” the 4005–3990 zone, where trendline + POC/OB + high liquidity converge. This is a zone where a technical rebound might occur, but the short-term trend remains bearish, so any BUY orders need to wait for clear confirmation. 🔍 Fundamental Analysis Goldman Sachs forecasts that during 2025–2026, central banks will purchase an average of ~80 tons of gold per month, a significant driver that could push gold towards 4,900 USD/oz by the end of 2026. This keeps the long-term trend of gold bullish, but in the short term, deep corrections like the current one are normal to “shake off” positions before big money returns. 📊 Technical Analysis Current trend: H1 is still in a short-term downtrend phase (lower high – lower low), with prices below the 4080–4100 resistance zone and below the nearest descending trendline. Main support zones: 4005–3990: intersection of long-term rising trendline, POC – OB, old VAH/VAL zone → crucial support, potential for bottom-fishing buying force. 3975–3977: deeper support, coinciding with liquidity zone & recent low. Key resistance zones: 4098–4100: confluence of resistance + trendline test → ideal zone to watch for SELL retracement. Above is the cluster 4011 – 4053 – 4077 – 4098–4100 acting like “steps” for scalping orders. Volume Profile: Heavy trading volume around the 4000–4020 zone → prices tend to revisit this area multiple times before moving away. 🎯 Reference Trading Scenarios SELL – following the downtrend (priority) Entry: 4098–4100 SL: 4105 TP: 4082 → 4060 → 4035 → 4012 Price retraces to resistance + descending trendline. Only trigger when M15–H1 shows clear rejection candles (pin bar/bearish engulfing) around 4098–4100. BUY – catching the rebound at strong support Entry: 3975–3977 SL: 3970 TP: 3995 → 4025 → 4050 → 4080 Confluence support zone at channel bottom + POC/OB + liquidity. Only BUY when there is strong rejection or a clear reversal pattern (M15–H1). ⚠️ Price zones to watch for scalping 4011 – 4053 – 4077 – 3939 These zones are suitable for short scalps, prioritising the main trend (currently bearish), quick exits – do not hold positions too long. 🧠 Risks & Invalidations H1 closes above 4105 → reduces SELL priority, wait for new structure. H1 closes below 3970 → bad structure for BUY side, potential for further decline to lower zones. Are you watching to BUY or SELL gold in this zone? 👉 Comment your perspective & Follow LiamTrading channel for daily XAUUSD plans.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 21/11/2025 1. Momentum D1: The D1 momentum is contracting, signaling a potential reversal. If today’s candle confirms this, it will further support the continuation of wave Y. H4: H4 momentum has turned downward, so the expectation for today remains bearish movement. H1: H1 momentum is preparing to turn upward, suggesting a small corrective bounce. However, in the current context, price is likely to remain sideways within the 4046 – 4081 range. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure D1 – Higher timeframe With D1 momentum preparing to turn down, the continuation of wave Y is reinforced. But since momentum is near the oversold zone, two potential scenarios may unfold: 1️⃣ Strong decline: A sharp drop may break 3888, opening the way toward deeper targets such as 3746. 2️⃣ Weak decline – Compression: Price may continue down but fail to break 3888. Once momentum turns upward again, a new trend could form. ________________________________________ H4 – Pattern outlook The H4 structure remains unclear—price may still be in wave (3) or wave (2). • If it is wave (3), strong bearish candles or a test of 4001 should appear. • If price keeps moving sideways without breaking 4001 until H4 momentum reaches oversold, the current move is likely wave B of an ABC correction inside wave 2. Based on the current depth of wave B, wave C is estimated to target 4175. ________________________________________ H1 – Lower timeframe Wave 2 (green) is taking longer than ideal, but not enough to invalidate the current labeling. The 4081 resistance is very strong and serves as our sell zone. Below, the 4020 support is equally important: • A sharp decline with H1 closing below 4020 may trigger a larger bearish continuation. • Typically, price reacts with a bounce when it first touches this area. ________________________________________ 3. Trade Plan Sell Zone: 4073 – 4075 SL: 4093 TP1: 4020 TP2: 3958 TP3: 3885
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (18 November 2025)1️⃣ Momentum D1 Timeframe: D1 momentum is approaching the oversold zone, signaling that a potential reversal may be forming. Although this does not confirm a daily reversal yet, it is an early warning that bearish momentum may be weakening soon. H4 Timeframe: H4 momentum is also nearing the oversold zone, suggesting that a reversal or recovery bounce could appear shortly. H1 Timeframe: H1 momentum is beginning to turn upward, indicating that in the short term we can expect a bullish pullback on the H1 timeframe. ________________________________________ 2️⃣ Wave Structure D1 Wave Structure: Price is currently still moving inside wave Y. With D1 momentum entering the oversold zone, we do not have a confirmed reversal yet, but it alerts us to the rising probability of one forming soon. Wave W previously took 8 days to complete. Since momentum cycles often form in 5–8 daily candles, this time structure can be used as a reference when observing the development of wave Y, as waves W and Y tend to share similar timing characteristics. ________________________________________ H4 Wave Structure: On H4, a 5-wave sequence (blue) has completed, and price is currently in wave 5. Combined with D1 momentum nearing oversold, this leads to three possible scenarios: 1️⃣ Scenario 1: This 5-wave decline is wave (1) of a larger 5-wave structure inside purple wave Y. If so, once wave (5) finishes, we will see a wave (2) pullback, aligning with the upcoming D1 momentum reversal. 2️⃣ Scenario 2: Wave Y may end earlier than expected, failing to reach the 3746 target. If this occurs, a new trend could begin sooner, coinciding with the next D1 momentum reversal. 3️⃣ Scenario 3: D1 momentum enters the oversold zone but remains compressed there, dragging price lower for a deeper extension before any reversal happens. These three possibilities help guide our chart observation and prepare for multiple outcomes. ________________________________________ H1 Wave Structure: On H1, price is also forming a 5-wave decline (blue) and is currently in wave 5. The projected target for wave 5 is around 3958, which is where we expect a Buy setup. Additionally, RSI is showing bullish divergence across the lows, reinforcing the probability that price is completing wave 5 and preparing for a short-term bounce. ________________________________________ 3️⃣ Trade Plan • Buy Zone: 3959 – 3957 • Stop Loss: 3938 • TP1: 4000 • TP2: 4096 • TP3: 4145
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
GOLD 4H | Bearish Retracement Into FVG • MSS → BOS 📌 Pair: XAUUSD (Gold) ⏱ Timeframe: 4H 📉 Bias: Bearish until premium FVG mitigation The market created a clear MSS (Market Structure Shift) on the higher time frame. Followed by multiple BOS confirming bearish continuation. Price is currently trading below the major swing high → showing bearish orderflow. Gold is showing a perfect ICT SMC bearish retracement after BOS + MSS. Price is expected to continue lower as long as it stays below the FVG premium zone. This idea is based on pure SMC + ICT concepts (BOS, MSS, FVG, BB, Premium/Discount zones).👉 Sky Eagle Trader Get: ✔ Live XAUUSD analysis ✔ ICT + SMC concepts ✔ Entry, SL, TP updates ✔ Daily market outlook ✔ Professional charts & explanations
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by SkyEagleFXTrader
Gold Strategy 11/18: Break this Points gold will more FALL📝 GOLD TRADING PLAN – Nov 18 1. Market Context Price is moving around 4030–4040 after a bearish BMS break. Main structure: corrective bounce within a broader liquidity-seeking environment. Expectation: liquidity sweep → reaction → directional move. 2. Key Trading Zones (from chart) 🔽 BUY ZONES Primary Buy Zone 3982 – 3980 → SL: 3977 Strong confluence (trendline + OB + support). Deep Buy Zone 3927 – 3920 (OB zone) → SL below 3920 Only active if price sweeps below 3980 and continues lower. 🔼 SELL ZONE Primary Sell Zone 4056 – 4058 → SL: 4061 Strong confluence: FVG + resistance + liquidity sweep zone. Sell Targets TP1: 4000 TP2: 3980 TP3: 3930 (only if heavy news-driven volatility) 3. Expected Price Scenarios Scenario 1 – Most Probable 🔹 Price retests trendline → minor bounce → pushes into 4056–4058 🔹 Sell from that zone → target 4000 → 3980 Scenario 2 – Secondary 🔹 Price drops first → reaches 3982–3980 🔹 Look for bullish reaction → Buy → retest 4040–4050 Scenario 3 – High-volatility Move (News Impact) 🔹 If price breaks below 3980 decisively → drops toward 3927–3920 🔹 Strong Buy zone → expect reversal back into 4000–4030 4. News Impact – Nov 18 High-impact events today: FED speakers: Waller, Barr, Barkin (10:00pm–11:00pm) → Strong volatility expected on gold. President Trump Speaks – 6:00am USD Housing Starts – 8:15pm 🔔 Notes: Avoid large positions before major speeches. Keep SL tight; gold reacts aggressively to USD news.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
GOLD DAILY TRADING 17/11: BUY TODAY🦁 THE GOLDEN ARENA – 17 NOV, 2025 “Rebound or Trap? Let the Orderflow Decide.” A visually striking TradingView plan – part narrative, part tactical map. This is not just a bias, it’s a battlefield strategy. 🧭 MARKET CONTEXT SNAPSHOT Price currently consolidating around 4076 – 4084, after clean breaks of structure (BOS) and a deep retracement. Significant supply zones confirmed at 4157 – 4180, where POC clusters, FVG imbalances, and volume absorptions align. Orderflow on M5–M30 shows fading buy pressure and aggressive sells into lower highs. 🎯 CORE STRATEGIES FOR TODAY 🔺 Scenario 1: Breakout Trap SELL (High Conviction) Target Zone 4178 – 4180 (Main Supply) Stop Loss (SL) 4185 Take Profit 1 (TP1) 4155 (Low volume node) Take Profit 2 (TP2) 4100 (Local support) Take Profit 3 (TP3) 4040 (Structural SSL level) 🔍 Why this setup? Clear liquidity pool above 4178 being targeted. Volume tapering off into the move → classic reversal signal. Footprint shows absorption candles at key supply. 🪙 Scenario 2: FVG Scalping SELL (Secondary) Entry Zone 4157 – 4158 SL 4163 TP 4100 – 4105 ✅ Perfect for short-term scalpers looking to ride the intraday rejection from the imbalance zone. 🟢 Bullish Reversal INVALIDATION (Failsafe Plan) Trigger Break and hold above 4185 Entry Breakout Buy above 4190 SL 4175 TP 4220 Only flip bullish if aggressive buyers step in + strong delta + profile breakout. 🧱 KEY PRICE ZONES TO MONITOR Level Description 4185 Stopline – invalidates Sell 4178 – 4180 Main SELL Zone (POC + FVG) 4157 – 4158 Minor FVG Scalping Area 4100 Micro support + Bull trap 4040 SSL – liquidity target 📊 VOLUME & ORDERFLOW INSIGHT M5–M30 Footprints: Massive seller imbalances from 4175+ Footprint at 4084 shows buyer exhaustion Volume Profile: High-volume node at 4178 acting as strong resistance Low-volume gap below 4155 → fast price travel zone Delta: Negative delta buildup confirming sell bias 💡 EXECUTION CHECKLIST ✅ Wait for entry trigger at marked zones – don’t pre-empt. 🚫 Avoid FOMO buy into supply unless 4185 is cleanly broken. 🔔 Set alerts at 4157 and 4180 for rejection signs. 🧠 TRADING MANTRA OF THE DAY "The chart speaks in structure, The volume whispers the truth, But the orderflow shouts the conviction." 📌 Bias: SELL on retracements toward supply → hold for 4100–4040 📌 Watchlist: Footprint aggression, absorption blocks, spoof traps
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
Gold Still in Distribution, FOCUS ON SELL Setups at 4,10x–4,14x 🔍 Market Context Risk sentiment remains fragile as investors reassess the global rate and stimulus story. Goldman Sachs notes that rising worries about the size of Japan’s fiscal stimulus are bringing financial risk premia back, putting pressure on long-term JGBs and the JPY. Capital tends to rotate into USD and yield-bearing assets in this environment, which limits the upside for gold in the short term. 📊 XAU/USD Technical Structure (H1) After topping around 4,242 USD, gold broke its short-term uptrend and is now moving in a descending structure. Price is currently capped below the 0.5–0.382 Fibonacci area around 4,11x, which overlaps with a strong supply / Sell Liquidity zone on the chart. Below price, we have a series of liquidity / support pockets: 4,098 – 4,077 – 4,048 USD: short-term downside liquidity levels. OBS BUY ZONE around 4,00x: major demand zone where price previously launched a strong rally. Current price action shows sellers still in control – every bounce into 4,10x–4,14x is being rejected quickly, which fits a “sell the rally” approach. 🎯 Trend-Following Trade Ideas (for reference) Zones below are technical areas to watch, not signals or financial advice. Scenario 1 – Shallow Pullback Sell Sell Zone 1: 4,102 – 4,104 SL: 4,110 TP levels: TP1: 4,098 TP2: 4,077 TP3: 4,048 Idea: Price makes a minor intraday pullback into local supply, then resumes selling pressure toward lower liquidity pockets. Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback into Fib/Trendline Confluence Sell Zone 2: 4,142 – 4,144 (confluence of descending trendline + Fibonacci combo) SL: 4,150 TP levels: TP1: 4,133 TP2: 4,105 TP3: 4,088 TP4: 4,060 Idea: If the market grabs more upside liquidity first, the 4,14x zone offers a better R:R area to align with the H1 downtrend. ⚜️ MMFLOW TRADING View As long as price stays below 4,14x and H1 structure keeps printing lower highs, gold remains in a distribution phase. Pullbacks into the 4,10x–4,14x liquidity band are treated as opportunities to optimize SELL entries, while the 4,00x OBS BUY ZONE is the key area to reassess any potential larger bottoming process. “In a downtrend, our job isn’t to call the bottom – it’s to use every weak bounce to sell from a better position.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Reaches Exhaustion Zone — Sell Momentum LoadingGold Reaches Exhaustion Zone — Sell Momentum Loading Gold is showing signs of upside exhaustion, with price repeatedly failing to gain momentum as it approaches the mid-range premium zone near the 4,245 area. The recent structure reflects a market transitioning from short-term recovery into renewed weakness, with each bullish attempt losing strength faster than the previous one. Order flow remains dominated by distribution behaviour, and the chart signals a potential liquidity sweep followed by a bearish continuation. The projected rejection zone suggests that buyers are running into an area of heavy supply, where institutional activity has previously triggered aggressive downside extensions. Volume distribution across the range also highlights diminishing demand at higher prices, reinforcing the likelihood of a downward rotation. As the market continues to respect its broader range ceiling, the probability increases for price to revisit deeper value regions. With momentum fading and the current leg showing hesitation, gold is positioned for a potential sell-side move toward lower mean-reversion levels.
TVC:GOLDShort
by XAU_EMPIRE
XAUUSD Bullish Retracement Setup from Support Zone Toward Key Re1. Market Structure Price is currently trading near a major support zone (~4055–4060 area), highlighted in blue. Multiple rejections from this zone in the past indicate strong buying interest. The structure shows higher lows forming intraday, suggesting bullish pressure building. 2. Key Zones 🔵 Support Zone (Entry Region) Marked around 4055–4060. Price dipped into this zone and bounced, showing a potential demand area for long positions. 🔵 Resistance Level (First Target Region) Around 4081–4098. This is the first major resistance the price is likely to test after bouncing. 🔵 Final Target Zone 4120 area, the upper major resistance. Previous highs around this level show strong selling interest historically. 3. Expected Price Movement The chart suggests a potential bullish move: Price bounces from the support (entry) area. Climbs toward 4081 (minor resistance). Retraces slightly. Continues upward toward 4097–4100. Final push toward 4120 target zone. This is a classic retracement + continuation bullish structure. 4. Trade Idea Bias: Bullish Entry: 4055–4060 (support zone) First TP: 4081 Second TP: 4097–4100 Final Target: 4120 Stop Loss: Below 4050 (beneath support zone)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
Gold (XAU/USD) 2H Chart Analysis – Sell Setup from High ProbabilBased on the chart you provided, Gold is currently reacting near a High Probability POI (supply zone) after a corrective bullish move. The structure still shows: Lower highs and lower lows → Bearish market structure Price is approaching a supply zone where sellers previously dominated Liquidity has been taken above internal highs (marked as "$$$"), indicating a liquidity grab This supports a short position idea from the supply zone. 🔍 Key Technical Levels Zone / Level Meaning 4,125 – 4,150 USD High Probability POI / Supply (Sell area) 4,080 – 4,100 USD Entry region (price is currently here) 4,040 – 4,025 USD First reaction / partial take zone (50% area) 3,990 – 4,000 USD Main Target (previous demand + equal lows) 🎯 Suggested Target Primary Target: $4,000 (Exactly aligning with your chart’s marked “TARGET” zone where liquidity sits) If momentum continues and structure breaks more aggressively: Extended Target: $3,975 – $3,960 (deeper sweep into demand) 🛑 Risk Management Detail Level Stop Loss Above 4,155 USD (beyond POI + liquidity) R:R Potential Approx. 1:3 to 1:4 📌 Summary Price has retraced into a key supply zone Liquidity was taken → seller confirmation likely Expectation is continuation downward towards the liquidity pool below 📊 Title Recommendation: “Gold Retests Supply Zone – Bearish Continuation Toward $4,000 Expected”
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Pipshunter27
Gold H1 – Sideway or Preparing for a Bigger Break?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (20/11) 📈 Market Context Gold continues to move inside a tight consolidation as markets digest fresh headlines: Treasury markets just erased hopes for a December rate cut and now even a January cut is doubtful, following hawkish tones revealed in the latest Fed minutes. This shift reinforces USD strength in the short term and pressures gold’s bullish momentum, keeping price trapped between well-defined liquidity zones. Key implications from the news: • The 6-month Treasury yield jumped back to 3.83%, aligning with hawkish expectations. • Rate-cut bets evaporating → USD stays firm, limiting gold’s upside. • Institutions are engineering both-side liquidity sweeps ahead of upcoming Fed speakers. • Gold is currently hovering around ~$4,070 inside a neutral zone where no clean premium/discount imbalance exists. Until the market receives fresh macro catalysts, price is likely to sweep liquidity at the edges of the range before choosing direction. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure) • Structure: Price remains inside a short-term sideways distribution after the recent CHoCH + BOS sequence. • Premium Sell Zone: 4145–4147, aligning with unmitigated supply + buy-side liquidity resting above recent highs. • Discount Buy Zone: 4004–4002, sitting inside last clean demand with previous sell-side sweep. • Liquidity Map: → Buy-side liquidity: above 4145–4150 (equal-high cluster). → Sell-side liquidity: below 4004–3997, where earlier long positions were cleared. 🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4145 – 4147 • Stop-Loss: 4155 • Take-Profit: → 4085 (minor imbalance) → 4045 (range midpoint) → 4004 – 4002 (discount demand) 📌 Execution rule: Wait for liquidity sweep into zone + bearish CHoCH M5–M15 before entering. 🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4004 – 4002 • Stop-Loss: 3997 • Take-Profit: → 4040 (short-term range high) → 4075 (inefficiency fill) → 4140 (premium retest) 📌 Valid only if price sweeps the 4000–3997 liquidity pocket and shows strong bullish displacement. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Expect increased volatility as markets reposition after the sharp decline in rate-cut expectations. • Avoid trading inside the 4030–4080 chop zone unless a clear structure break occurs. • Reduce risk size during sudden USD spikes caused by Treasury-yield moves. • Trail stops progressively as each liquidity level is taken. 📝 Summary Gold is currently stuck in a clean intraday range as hawkish Fed minutes remove hopes for early rate cuts, pushing USD up and holding gold below premium supply. SMC structure favors liquidity-sweep setups at both edges: • Sell Zone: 4145–4147 (premium supply) • Buy Zone: 4004–4002 (discount accumulation) Expect classic manipulation → reaction → continuation patterns until the market resolves the new macro pressure. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | November 18-19✅ From the 4-hour chart, gold remains in an overall bearish correction structure. MA5 and MA10 have formed a bearish crossover and continue to suppress the candlesticks, indicating that the short-term rebound is limited. MA20 is located near 4097, acting as significant resistance. As long as the price fails to stabilize above this level, the bearish structure will not change. The Bollinger Bands show a downward opening, reflecting a weak trend. Price previously broke below the lower band (around 3980) and although it has since rebounded, it still remains below the middle band. Gold has repeatedly tested the 3997–4000 support zone and formed brief rebounds, but the strength is weak — this is still technical correction rather than a trend reversal. ✅ On the 1-hour chart, gold shows a clear short-term rebound correction. Price has broken above MA5 and MA10 and is holding above the short-term moving averages, indicating strengthening rebound momentum. The upper resistance comes from the Bollinger upper band at 4075–4078, an area where gold has repeatedly been rejected. MA20 (around 4036–4040) has shifted from resistance to short-term support. As long as this level holds, the 1-hour structure still has room to extend the rebound. Long lower wicks and concentrated trading around 4050–4060 suggest that buyers are trying to establish a short-term base. However, the short-term rebound has not changed the bigger bearish structure. If gold fails to break through 4075–4080, the rebound may end and the price could return to its bearish rhythm. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 4075–4080 / 4100–4108 / 4150 🟢 Support Levels: 4036–4040 / 4000–3997 / 3953 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference 🔰 Strategy 1 — Look for short positions near resistance (trend-following): If gold rebounds to 4075–4080 and shows rejection: Consider taking light short positions Stop Loss: above 4088 Targets: 4050 → 4035 → 4000 👉 This zone combines multiple moving-average resistance and the Bollinger upper band, making it a high-probability area for trend-following shorts. 🔰 Strategy 2 — Short-term long positions from support (countertrend, light positions): If gold pulls back to 4035–4040 and stabilizes: Consider a short-term long position Stop Loss: below 4030 Targets: 4060 → 4075 👉 This is only a corrective rebound trade — not suitable for large positions. 🔰 Strategy 3 — If gold breaks below 4000, downside may accelerate: A break below 3997–4000 could trigger a stronger sell-off, with targets toward:3953 → 3920 ✅ Summary Gold remains in a bearish, downward-dominated structure, and the current rebound is still a weak correction. As long as the price remains suppressed below 4080–4100, the bearish trend remains intact.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTrading_JACK
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H4 | Gold accumulates on the trendlineLiamTrading – XAUUSD H4 | Gold accumulates on the trendline, waiting to break the structure for a breakout After testing the upward trendline twice, gold bounced up and then moved sideways around the 4065 area. On H4, this price zone has accumulated for almost a week – indicating that the selling force is not liquid enough to push the price down deeply, while there is still plenty of price gap above according to Fibonacci. My preferred scenario: gold continues to "compress" within the triangle, then breaks out to create a new wave. Macro – Fed context Fed member Collins emphasized that there is still reason to be cautious about cutting rates in the December meeting. She stated: This is a complex phase, and it's not unusual for internal disagreements within the Fed. The Fed must balance between the two goals of employment and inflation, which are moving in opposite directions. This makes it difficult for the market to clearly price the interest rate scenario, so gold continues to choose to accumulate around important technical zones instead of breaking out in one direction. Technical Analysis – Trendline, Fibonacci, Volume Profile The current H4 structure is a triangle model with: A downward sloping trendline from the old peak 42xx. An upward sloping trendline from the late October low, acting as dynamic support. Zone 4060–4070: the "balance" price zone last week – where the price moved sideways the longest, serving as a reference point for the short-term trend. Key levels: 4132: near resistance, coinciding with the VAH area of the current Volume Profile. 4171: higher resistance, near the Fibonacci 1.0 area of the recovery wave. 4242: Fibonacci extension confluence zone (1.618) + historical resistance – where strong profit-taking is likely. 4347: 2.618 expansion zone – reference target if the peak is successfully broken. 4022 and 3997: important support close to the lower trendline – main buy zone if there is a liquidity sweep. When the price decisively breaks out of one of the trendlines, the new trend on H4 will be clearer; the trading plan will follow this breakout direction. Risk management and invalidation H4 closes below 3997: the triangle structure is broken downward, fully prioritizing sell orders to lower zones – at that point, medium-term buy orders should not be held. H4 closes above 4245 with good volume: considered a successful triangle peak breakout, discard all sell orders in this area and focus on buying according to the new trend. Which scenario are you leaning towards for next week: breaking up to test 4242–4347 or sweeping down to 4022–3997 before bouncing back? Leave a comment and follow the LiamTrading channel on TradingView for daily XAUUSD updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
GOLD MARKET UPDATE 11/19 – STRUCTURE HAS SHIFTED1. Market Structure Gold has broken above the H4 downtrend line and completed a successful retest around 4,060–4,070. The strong push toward 4,100 confirms a transition from bearish → short-term bullish. Structural Signals: Buyers are gaining control as price continues forming higher lows The POC zone 4,072–4,075 has turned into strong support Intraday structure is leaning clearly toward a bullish recovery 2. Technical Breakdown – H1 & H4 H4 Trend After the previous strong drop, price is forming a potential bottom around 4,030–4,050 H1 Trend The short-term bullish trend is confirmed after breaking and retesting the descending trendline 3. Key Levels to Watch Support Zones 4,072–4,075 → POC – major support maintaining the bullish structure 4,060–4,065 → minor support – quick-reaction area Resistance Zones 4,108–4,112 → first resistance (H1/H4 confluence) 4,147–4,150 → strong H4 resistance, potential higher target if bullish continuation remains ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should always conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MarksMelanie8855