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Gold - Sell around 3532, target 3500-3480Gold Market Analysis: Yesterday, we planned to buy gold at 3531, and the blog post clearly stated buying at 3526. Almost all of the purchases were made at the lowest point. Gold surged to 3578 in the European and American trading sessions, closing with a strong positive daily candlestick pattern. However, gold plummeted in the Asian session, giving back all of yesterday's gains in just a few hours. Does this signal a topping? A technical pullback after a significant surge is normal, but the magnitude of the pullback has disrupted the short-term buying structure, allowing gold to re-enter a new pattern. This week is a data week, and the further into the future, the more critical the market for gold. I believe the current sharp drop is merely profit-taking ahead of the data releases, and it's not yet a definitive peak signal. The overall trend should continue to be buying today. Don't blindly buy in the Asian session. Consider selling on a short-term rebound. The 3526 level has been broken. This level is the hourly low and also the daily support level. A break of this level indicates a weakening trend. Another level is the 5-day moving average of the daily chart, 3508-3500. A significant drop below this level would confirm a short-term Yin-enclosing Yang pattern, potentially signaling the start of a major correction. We can buy and sell intraday, capitalizing on this trend. Furthermore, the 4-hour chart's consecutive reversals into the red are causing market confusion. Support is 3508-3500, while resistance lies at 3566, 3553, and 3542. The dividing line between strength and weakness is 3526. Fundamental Analysis: Today we will have ADP employment and unemployment benefit data. Trading Recommendation: Gold - Sell around 3532, target 3500-3480
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BullMarketKing
XAUUSD – Gold Stalls as USD Regains StrengthThe ISM Services PMI was reported at 50.9, higher than the previous 50.1 and still above the 50 threshold – indicating that the U.S. services sector remains in expansion. This is a sign that the U.S. economy is still resilient, and the USD immediately benefited. With a stronger dollar, it’s natural for gold to come under corrective pressure. On the 8H chart, after a sharp rally, XAUUSD was capped at the 3,579 USD resistance . From there, price showed a reversal signal and started to retreat. The nearest support lies around 3,465 USD, and if this level is broken, the probability of a deeper decline increases significantly – especially as the fundamentals continue to favor the greenback. In the short term , I favor a bearish scenario: sell while price stays below 3,579, targeting 3,465. Only a clear close above 3,579 would bring the bullish outlook back, but for now, gold looks set for a correction.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Rocky_trade_
2
XAUUSD – Bearish Crab hints at a corrective waveXAUUSD – Bearish Crab hints at a corrective wave Gold is facing pressure as the USD strengthens and Treasury yields move higher, dampening expectations for near-term rate cuts. With safe-haven demand losing momentum, profit-taking has started to surface after the recent sharp rally. On the H4 timeframe, price action has completed a Bearish Crab harmonic pattern right at a critical extension zone, with early reversal signals showing up near 3,550. This increases the likelihood of a corrective phase unfolding in the short term. Price zones in focus: Resistance : 3,540–3,555 First support area : 3,475–3,450 Next support area : 3,350–3,330 Deeper support zone : 3,290–3,270 Momentum now favors the bears in the short term. Any rebounds should be seen as potential entry points for sellers. Do you expect gold to hold at the first support, or extend deeper into the lower zones?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Dorian_Unugureanu
1
“XAUUSD – Strong Sell Setup from All-Time High Resistance“XAUUSD – Strong Sell Setup from All-Time High Resistance 🚨📉” Currently, gold has reached a strong resistance zone around 3575 – 3600, where price is showing signs of exhaustion after a strong bullish rally. This area is a key supply zone and could trigger profit-taking or fresh short entries. From here, I am expecting a potential correction move. 1st Target: Around 3480 – 3450, where we can see a clear demand zone and previous consolidation. If bearish pressure continues, the price may extend towards the final target at 3330 – 3320, which is also a key support point aligned with previous market structure. Market structure shows a clear higher low formation earlier, which fueled this rally, but after tapping into resistance, a short-term pullback seems highly likely. 📌 Overall, short-term bias = bearish correction, while long-term trend remains bullish unless price breaks below the 3320 support zone.ll-Time High Resistance
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mentor_Michael03
XAUUSD Trade Idea – Short SetupPair: XAUUSD (Gold/USD) Type: Sell Setup Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.7 : 1 🔹 Technical Overview: Price is moving inside a descending channel, respecting both the upper and lower trendlines. Recent rejection near the upper channel resistance indicates continuation of bearish pressure. A short position is taken after price failed to break above the upper boundary. Volume activity is showing reduced buying momentum, supporting bearish bias. 🔹 Trade Setup: Entry: 3,473 Stop Loss: 3,477.1 (above channel resistance) Take Profit: 3,461.4 (near lower channel support) 🔹 Idea Summary: As long as price remains inside the descending channel, bearish continuation is expected. This setup offers a strong risk-to-reward ratio of 2.7:1, making it favorable for short-term traders. ⚠️ Note: If price breaks above the channel resistance, bearish bias will be invalidated.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Aj1t4
Gold Trading Strategy for 01st September 2025📊 TVC:GOLD Intraday Trade Setup ✨ Buy Setup 🟢 Buy above the high of the 30-min candle close if price sustains above $3461 🎯 Targets: $3473 ✅ $3485 ✅ $3497 ✅ ✨ Sell Setup 🔴 Sell below the low of the 1-hour candle close if price sustains below $3430 🎯 Targets: $3418 ✅ $3405 ✅ $3390 ✅ ⚠️ Disclaimer: 📌 This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trading in commodities, forex, or stocks involves high risk. Please do your own research (DYOR) and consult with your financial advisor before taking any positions. I am not responsible for your profits or losses.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
4
GOLD 29/08: Monthly Candle Closing. DON’T BUY FOMOGold is sitting at a crucial level. As the monthly candle closes, traders must avoid emotional entries. With Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and Elliott Wave Theory, here are the clear trading zones to watch. 🔎 Market Structure (SMC + Elliott) Elliott Wave: Waves III – IV – V completed. Wave V hit the D1 trendline, showing signs of exhaustion. SMC Insights: Multiple BMS (Break of Market Structure) → institutional liquidity play. EQH (Equal Highs) & EQL (Equal Lows) → liquidity pools ready to be taken. Demand Zones: 3398 – 3396 (EQH + BMS support) 3372 – 3370 (EQL / deep liquidity sweep) Resistance: D1 trendline remains the key dynamic cap. 📌 Trading Plan Scenario 1 – Short-term Sell (Counter-trend): Entry: 3319 – 3321 SL: 3327 Target: 3398 – 3396 Scenario 2 – Buy at Demand Zone 1 (Main Setup): Entry: 3398 – 3396 SL: 3390 Target: 3410 – 3415 Scenario 3 – Buy at Demand Zone 2 (Deeper Sweep): Entry: 3372 – 3370 SL: 3365 Target: 3400 – 3410 ✅ Best Risk–Reward setup with liquidity sweep + Elliott retracement. ✅ Conclusion Bias: Still bullish in the bigger picture. Risk: Expect liquidity sweeps before continuation. Advice: Don’t chase price. Wait for demand zone confirmations. Focus: Safer buys from 3398–3396 or 3372–3370 instead of impulsive FOMO buys near highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Linda_OneShotTrader
1
Gold next movePresent bull run in gold that started in October of 2023 had 4 major consolidations with each lasting on average 3 to 4 months. The present 4th consolidation lasted a little over 4 month, which is quite similar to the 2nd one. Each breakout from a horizontal resistance resulted initially in a limited rally then 3-4 week short-term consolidation (elliptic shape) followed by a stronger rally. If the same pattern plays out, then I expect 1. Gold to reach approximately $3,600 within 2 weeks. 2. Consolidate for 3 - 4 weeks within elliptic shape. 3. Final run, in present cycle, to my to $3,900 - 4,000 price target within 3 - 4 weeks. All in all, gold should be able to reach price target within 8 to 10 weeks, which targets late October to early November 2025.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by AcordanResearch
5
Technical Analysis and Fundamental AnalysisIntroduction In the world of financial markets—whether equities, commodities, currencies, or bonds—two primary schools of thought dominate the decision-making process of traders and investors: technical analysis (TA) and fundamental analysis (FA). Both are distinct in methodology and philosophy, yet they share a common goal: to forecast future price movements and identify profitable opportunities. Technical analysis focuses on price action, charts, patterns, and market psychology, whereas fundamental analysis centers on intrinsic value, economic indicators, company performance, and long-term outlooks. Traders and investors often debate which approach is superior, but in practice, many combine elements of both to create a more holistic strategy. This essay provides an in-depth exploration of technical and fundamental analysis, covering their history, principles, tools, strengths, weaknesses, and practical applications. Part 1: Technical Analysis 1.1 What is Technical Analysis? Technical analysis is the study of historical price data and volume to forecast future market movements. Unlike fundamental analysis, it does not concern itself with “why” the price moves, but rather “how” it moves. The basic premise is that market action discounts everything, meaning all known information—economic, political, psychological—is already reflected in the price. Traders using technical analysis believe that patterns repeat over time due to human behavior and market psychology. By analyzing charts, they aim to identify trends and capitalize on them. 1.2 History of Technical Analysis The roots of TA trace back to Charles Dow, co-founder of the Wall Street Journal and the Dow Jones Industrial Average. His writings in the late 19th century evolved into what we now know as Dow Theory. Japanese rice traders developed candlestick charting in the 1700s, which still plays a major role in modern trading. Over time, charting techniques evolved into a sophisticated discipline supported by algorithms and computers. 1.3 Core Principles of Technical Analysis Market Discounts Everything All available information is already reflected in the price. Price Moves in Trends Markets follow trends—uptrend, downtrend, or sideways—and these trends are more likely to continue than reverse. History Repeats Itself Patterns of market behavior tend to repeat because human psychology does not change. 1.4 Tools of Technical Analysis (a) Charts Line Charts – simple, connect closing prices. Bar Charts – show open, high, low, close (OHLC). Candlestick Charts – visually appealing, show the same OHLC but easier to interpret. (b) Price Patterns Continuation Patterns: Flags, Pennants, Triangles. Reversal Patterns: Head and Shoulders, Double Top/Bottom, Cup and Handle. (c) Indicators and Oscillators Trend Indicators: Moving Averages (SMA, EMA), MACD. Momentum Oscillators: RSI, Stochastic Oscillator. Volatility Indicators: Bollinger Bands, ATR. Volume Indicators: On-Balance Volume (OBV), Volume Profile. (d) Support and Resistance Support: a level where demand outweighs supply, preventing further decline. Resistance: a level where supply outweighs demand, preventing further rise. (e) Advanced Tools Fibonacci Retracement and Extensions. Elliott Wave Theory. Ichimoku Cloud. Volume Profile Analysis. 1.5 Advantages of Technical Analysis Provides clear entry and exit signals. Works well for short-term and medium-term trading. Easy to visualize with charts. Reflects collective psychology and herd behavior. 1.6 Limitations of Technical Analysis Subjective interpretation: two analysts may read the same chart differently. Works best in trending markets, less effective in choppy markets. False signals can lead to losses. Relies on past data, which may not always predict future movements. Part 2: Fundamental Analysis 2.1 What is Fundamental Analysis? Fundamental analysis evaluates a security’s intrinsic value by examining economic, financial, and qualitative factors. It seeks to answer: Is this stock (or asset) undervalued or overvalued compared to its true worth? Investors use FA to make long-term decisions, focusing on earnings, growth potential, competitive advantages, management quality, and macroeconomic conditions. 2.2 Core Principles of Fundamental Analysis Intrinsic Value vs. Market Price If the intrinsic value is greater than market price → Buy (undervalued). If the intrinsic value is less than market price → Sell (overvalued). Economic and Business Cycles Matter Markets are influenced by GDP growth, inflation, interest rates, and other macroeconomic variables. Long-Term Focus Fundamental analysis is best suited for long-term investors, not short-term traders. 2.3 Types of Fundamental Analysis (a) Top-Down Approach Starts with the global economy, then narrows to sectors, and finally selects individual companies. (b) Bottom-Up Approach Focuses on company-specific factors first, regardless of broader economy or sector. 2.4 Tools of Fundamental Analysis (a) Economic Indicators GDP growth, unemployment rates, inflation, interest rates, currency fluctuations. (b) Industry and Sector Analysis Porter’s Five Forces model. Sector growth potential. (c) Company Analysis Quantitative Factors (Financial Statements) Income Statement (revenue, profit, margins). Balance Sheet (assets, liabilities, equity). Cash Flow Statement. Financial Ratios: P/E, P/B, ROE, ROA, Debt-to-Equity, etc. Qualitative Factors Management quality. Competitive advantage (moat). Brand value, innovation, customer loyalty. (d) Valuation Models Discounted Cash Flow (DCF). Dividend Discount Model. Price-to-Earnings and other multiples. 2.5 Advantages of Fundamental Analysis Provides deep insights into intrinsic value. Helps long-term investors make informed decisions. Identifies undervalued and overvalued opportunities. Considers broader economic and company-specific realities. 2.6 Limitations of Fundamental Analysis Time-consuming and requires access to reliable data. Assumptions in valuation models can be subjective. Does not provide short-term entry/exit signals. Markets can remain irrational longer than expected. Part 3: Technical vs. Fundamental Analysis Feature Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Focus Price action, charts, patterns Intrinsic value, financial health Time Horizon Short-term to medium-term Long-term Tools Used Indicators, oscillators, chart patterns Financial statements, ratios, DCF Philosophy “Price discounts everything” “Price may diverge from true value” Strengths Timing trades, market psychology Identifying strong companies/assets Weaknesses Subjective, false signals Time-consuming, subjective assumptions Part 4: Practical Applications 4.1 Traders Using Technical Analysis Day traders, scalpers, and swing traders rely heavily on technicals. Example: A trader identifies bullish divergence in RSI and enters a long position. 4.2 Investors Using Fundamental Analysis Long-term investors like Warren Buffett use FA to buy undervalued companies. Example: Buying a company with consistent free cash flow, strong moat, and low debt. 4.3 Combining Both Approaches (Techno-Fundamental) Many professionals combine both methods: Use fundamental analysis to select strong companies. Use technical analysis to time entry and exit points. Part 5: Case Studies Case Study 1: Reliance Industries (India) FA View: Strong business diversification, consistent earnings growth, high market share in telecom and retail. TA View: Technical breakout from a consolidation zone often triggers big moves. Outcome: FA supports long-term investment, TA helps with timing. Case Study 2: Tesla (US) FA View: High valuation multiples, but strong growth prospects in EV industry. TA View: Volatile price patterns with frequent trend reversals. Outcome: Investors may hold long-term based on fundamentals but traders rely on charts to manage risk. Part 6: Criticism and Debate Critics of TA argue that past price cannot reliably predict future performance. Critics of FA argue that intrinsic value is subjective, and markets often misprice assets for extended periods. In reality, both methods reflect different perspectives: TA focuses on “when” to trade, FA focuses on “what” to trade. Conclusion Technical analysis and fundamental analysis are two complementary pillars of market research. While TA is driven by patterns, psychology, and momentum, FA is grounded in data, earnings, and long-term value. For traders, technical analysis is often the weapon of choice due to its short-term applicability. For investors, fundamental analysis provides the framework for wealth creation over time. However, the most successful market participants often blend the two—using fundamentals to identify what to buy and technicals to determine when to buy or sell. In the ever-evolving financial markets, neither approach guarantees success. Markets are influenced by countless variables—economic, geopolitical, and psychological. But by understanding both technical and fundamental analysis deeply, one can develop a balanced perspective and navigate uncertainty with greater confidence.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
Healthy Pause in Gold’s Rally, Bulls Still in ControlGold has finally started to show a healthy daily correction after its sharp rally and breakout above 3500. This pullback was not unexpected, as intraday charts were looking overstretched in the last sessions. Despite today’s dip, the broader structure remains strong with momentum still favoring the upside as long as key supports hold. For the short term, 3500 (previous high) will be the immediate level to watch, followed by 3450 as secondary support. Holding above these levels will keep the bullish trend intact, and any stabilization here can set the stage for another leg higher. Overall, the correction looks more like a consolidation phase rather than a reversal, keeping the bigger picture positive.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
XAU/USD – Market awaits JOLTS, Gold holds safe-haven role⚓️ Captain Vincent – XAU/USD: US–Venezuela tensions push Gold as safe haven 1. Market News 🌍 US Secretary of State Marco Rubio confirmed that the US military attacked a drug ship departing from Venezuela, as Washington steps up pressure on the Maduro government. Earlier, Trump offered a $50 million bounty to force Venezuela’s President out of power, while deploying military forces near the Caribbean coast. 👉 These moves raise fears of a potential regional conflict, making Gold the top safe-haven asset. The strong rally this morning reflects safe-haven flows returning to GOLD. 📌 Tonight’s focus (3/9 – 21:00): JOLTS Job Openings report – a key gauge of US labour market health. If the data comes weaker than expected → USD may face more pressure → Gold could accelerate higher. 2. Technical Analysis ⚙️ On the H1 chart, Gold has formed multiple BOS (Break of Structure), showing the bullish trend remains in control. Buy Zone 3,478 – 3,480: Aligns with a major Order Block, strong support for pullback entries. Sell Zone 3,577 – 3,579: Near fib extension 1.618, potential resistance where profit-taking may appear. Key Support – Resistance zones: Support: 3,528 – 3,507 Resistance: 3,562 – 3,585 3. Trade Scenarios 📌 🔺 BUY Zone (Priority) Entry: 3,478 – 3,480 SL: 3,470 TP: 3,483 → 3,486 → 3,489 → 349x → 35xx 🔻 SELL Zone (Resistance) Entry: 3,577 – 3,579 SL: 3,586 TP: 3,573 → 3,570 → 3,567 → 3,560 → 35xx 4. Conclusion ⚓ Gold continues to benefit from US–Venezuela geopolitical tensions, while maintaining a bullish structure with consecutive BOS signals. In the short term, traders may: Look to BUY around 3,478 – 3,480 to follow the main trend. Watch for short-term SELL at 3,577 – 3,579 if price retests strong resistance. 👉 With geopolitical risks rising and US economic data (JOLTS) due tonight, Gold remains the No.1 safe-haven asset.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
GOLD crosses $3500! What’s next for Indian traders?Gold (XAUUSD) has shown massive momentum, moving nearly 50–60 points daily. Price is now reacting at an important FIBO extension level. Sellers are stepping in, but so far there is no strong confirmation on higher timeframes (H1–H2). 📊 MMFLOW VIEW Sideways consolidation → Breakout → New ATHs every day. Liquidity & FVG zones are still favoring the BUY side. SELL is only safe when higher timeframe volume confirms. For now: Focus on BUY entries from liquidity zones. 🔑 KEY LEVELS Resistance: 3440–3446 (ATH) | 3564 | 3576 | 3586 | 3595 Support: 3528 | 3508 | 3494 | 3480 | 3468 🎯 MMFLOW PLAN ✅ BUY ZONE: 3481 – 3479 SL: 3474 TP: 3486 – 3490 – 3495 – 3500 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – ??? ✅ BUY SCALP: 3496 – 3494 SL: 3490 TP: 3500 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – 3540 – ??? ❌ SELL ZONE: 3576 – 3578 SL: 3584 TP: 3570 – 3565 – 3560 – 3555 – 3550 – 3540 – 3530 – 3520 – 3510 – 3500 ⚠️ Important for Indian traders: GOLD is extremely volatile right now. Don’t rush into trades. 👉 Wait for confirmation at Key Levels, use proper Risk Management, and target smart entries for maximum profit. 🔥 This is the MMFLOW TRADING PLAN – Follow us on TradingView for daily GOLD strategies and never miss the next big move!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 2/9/2025 Momentum • D1: Momentum is still overbought and has been “sticking together” for about 5 consecutive daily candles. Usually, this amount of candles is enough for a potential reversal. This suggests that price may rise for only 1–2 more D1 candles before a daily reversal occurs. • H4: Momentum is currently turning upward, which indicates that today the market is likely to continue higher for at least 2 more H4 candles. • H1: Momentum is turning down. This implies that before H4 can continue its upward move, H1 may first produce a short corrective pullback and then resume the uptrend in line with H4. ——————————————- Wave Structure • D1: Price is still within wave 5 after completing a correction. Since D1 momentum has already stayed overbought for 5 candles, a multi-day correction may soon develop. This correction will clarify whether the current move is wave 1 of a larger wave 5, or if the larger wave 5 has already finished. • H4: Price is completing the 5-wave structure (1-2-3-4-5 in red). Breaking above the wave 3 high confirmed that wave 5 in red is unfolding. With momentum on H4 turning up, the upward progress of wave 5 in red is expected to continue. • H1: Within the 5-wave red structure, we can currently count 9 waves, where the upward waves are nearly equal in length. This reflects an extended wave iii (green). Counting 9 waves also hints that wave iii green is near its end, which implies wave 5 red may also be approaching completion. Drawing an Elliott channel from wave 2 to wave 4 (red) and extending it over the top of wave 3 shows that wave 5 red is nearing the upper boundary of the channel. This supports the expectation that wave 5 red is close to finishing. On a smaller scale, the current short-term decline in H1 looks like wave 4 of wave 5 red. The target zones for wave 4 have already been marked on the chart. ————————————— Principle & Plan • We do not enter against wave iii, especially in the case of an extended wave iii. • Wait for wave iv to complete in order to look for buying opportunities into wave v (green). ————————————— Wave iv targets: • 23.6% retracement of wave iii: 3479.3 • 38.2% retracement of wave iii: 3459.7 Wave 5 target: • Projected at 3577.6 (the farthest TP). ————————————— Trading Plan • Buy Zone 1: 3481 – 3478 o SL: 3470 o TP1: 3521 • Buy Zone 2: 3461 – 3459 o SL: 3450 o TP1: 3521
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
1
Gold Trading Strategy for 04th Sep 2025📊 Gold Intraday Trading Plan ✅ Buy Setup (Long Position) Condition to Enter: Wait for the 15-minute candle to close above $3579. Buy Entry: Above $3579. Targets: First Target – $3590 Second Target – $3601 Third Target – $3613 Stop Loss (SL): Below recent 15-min support (e.g., $3570). Example: If the 15-min candle closes at $3581, you can enter a buy trade at around $3582–$3583. If price moves to $3590, you book your first profit. If it continues higher, trail your stop-loss to lock in profits while aiming for $3601 and $3613. ✅ Sell Setup (Short Position) Condition to Enter: Wait for the 1-hour candle to close below $3545. Sell Entry: Below $3545. Targets: First Target – $3534 Second Target – $3523 Third Target – $3511 Stop Loss (SL): Above recent 1-hour resistance (e.g., $3555). Example: If the 1-hour candle closes at $3543, you can enter a sell trade around $3542–$3544. If price falls to $3534, that’s your first target. If it keeps dropping, trail your stop-loss and aim for $3523 and $3511. ⚠️ Important Notes for Beginners Always wait for candle close confirmation. Don’t jump in before the candle closes, as fake breakouts can trap traders. Use strict stop-loss. This protects you if the market moves opposite. Trade with small lot size in the beginning to control risk. Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): Always aim for at least 1:2 RRR (risk $1 to gain $2). 📌 Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading in gold or any market involves significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Please consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions. Trade at your own risk.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
Gold Approaches All-Time High with Strong Bullish MomentumAnalysis: Gold (XAU/USD) is showing strong bullish momentum after breaking through the buy zone around the $3,450 level. Price action has respected the ascending channel and successfully pushed above key resistance levels. Currently, gold is trading at $3,473, with the next major target set at the all-time high (ATH) of $3,550, as highlighted on the chart. The breakout above the consolidation zone suggests continued buyer strength, supported by high trading volume. If the bullish momentum sustains, we can expect a new ATH around $3,550+, while a failure to hold above $3,450 may bring a short-term pullback toward $3,400 – $3,346 support levels. Overall, sentiment remains bullish, and gold looks ready to test higher highs if momentum continues. Would you like me to also create a trade plan (entry, stop loss, take profit levels) for this setup?
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
1
MARKET CONTEXT-Gold is in a strong uptrend, with strong momentum pushing the price above 3500 – an important psychological level. -However, after reaching a peak around 3552, the price is now pulling back to the 3532 area. ➡️ On H1 & M15, the Higher High – Higher Low structure is still intact, but the big red candle just appeared on H1 suggests that the market may need some consolidation or a small correction before continuing the trend. 📊 VOLUME PROFILE (estimated) 🔺 VAH: 3548–3552 → New resistance zone, possible short-term profit-taking 🟨 POC: 3510–3512 → Nearest balanced support zone from volume 🔻 LVN: 3490–3494 → Low liquidity zone, price may react quickly if POC is broken 🟩 Demand Zone H4: 3450–3460 → Strong support from higher timeframe, potential buy zone if price corrects deeper 🛡 SUPPORT – RESISTANCE Resistance: 3548–3552 (new VAH) 3560–3565 (psychological barrier if breakout continues) Support: 3510–3512 (POC) 3490–3494 (LVN) 3450–3460 (H4 Demand Zone) 📍 TRADING SCENARIOS (based on M15 & H1) 📊 Scenario 1: SELL reaction at VAH 3548–3552 ✅Conditions: Price retests 3548–3552 Bearish Pin Bar or reversal pattern appears on M15 Weak breakout volume ⚠️ Reason: This is a newly formed resistance zone Strong profit-taking pressure may appear 🎯 Target: 3512 → 3494 🛑 SL: above 3556 📊Scenario 2: BUY at POC 3510–3512 ✅ Conditions: Price pulls back to 3510 Bullish Pin Bar / Fakey / Strong absorption volume on M15 ⚠️ Reason: POC is strong support based on volume Uptrend structure still valid 🎯 Target: 3535 → 3550 🛑 SL: below 3505 🧷 Scenario 3: SELL if POC 3510 breaks ✅ Conditions: H1 closes below 3510 Pullback does not reclaim POC Volume confirms sellers in control ⚠️ Reason: If POC is lost, the market may correct deeper Likely to retest LVN 3490 🎯 Target: 3490 → 3460 🛑 SL: above 3518 📊 Scenario 4: Strong BUY at Demand Zone 3450–3460 (H4) ✅ Conditions: Price drops to 3450–3460 Strong reversal pattern + good absorption volume on M15/H1 ⚠️ Reason: Major support from higher timeframe High chance of bouncing back if the market corrects deeply 🎯 Target: 3510 → 3530 🛑 SL: below 3445
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TraderX_68
1
Part 4 Institutional Trading Intermediate Strategies (a) Bull Call Spread Buy a call at lower strike and sell a call at higher strike. Reduces cost but caps profit. Good for moderately bullish markets. (b) Bear Put Spread Buy a put at higher strike, sell a put at lower strike. Used in moderately bearish markets. (c) Straddle Buy one call and one put at the same strike and expiry. Profits if stock makes a big move in either direction. Expensive, requires high volatility. (d) Strangle Buy OTM call + OTM put. Cheaper than straddle but needs a larger price move. (e) Iron Condor Combination of bull put spread + bear call spread. Profits when price stays in a range. Great for low-volatility environments.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
6
XAUUSD – Has the Downtrend Really Started?XAUUSD – Has the Downtrend Really Started? Hello traders, Gold is now showing signs of a corrective move lower. Price has already dropped by nearly 40 dollars, signalling that selling pressure is starting to build. Traders are accepting lower prices at this level, but to truly confirm a bearish shift, we need to see price action around the 3530 zone, which acts as a key level for validation. On the higher timeframe, gold has rallied almost 250 dollars (2500 pips) in just two weeks, a very strong bullish run. However, with the upcoming NFP release today and tomorrow, the market could redistribute liquidity. Current forecasts suggest weak NFP numbers, and if that plays out, gold may still push higher – but this remains speculative. Trading strategy for now: Short entries: around 354x, aiming for a medium- to long-term move lower. Potential buy zones: watch for reactions at the FVG liquidity gaps around 3510 – 3460 – 3430, where strong demand previously created imbalances. For now, my outlook remains medium-term short, while staying flexible around key liquidity levels. Take this as reference, and share your views in the comments – let’s discuss together.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
XAUUSD – Breakout Sets the Stage for More UpsideXAUUSD – Breakout Sets the Stage for More Upside On the Daily chart, gold has cleared the horizontal resistance around 3,500 , ending a prolonged consolidation phase and confirming the Ascending Triangle pattern . This signals that buyers remain firmly in control. In the short term, a pullback toward 3,500–3,520 is possible as the market retests the breakout zone. Holding this area would strengthen the case for continuation to the upside. Key levels to watch: Support: 3,500–3,520 Near-term Resistance: 3,575–3,600 Extended Target: 3,700–3,750 if momentum persists Overall, the outlook stays positive, and any dips are likely to be viewed as opportunities to join the prevailing uptrend. Do you think gold will soon make its way toward the 3,700 mark?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Dorian_Unugureanu
1